Greece’s capital controls: what you need to know

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has announced that banks will close and capital controls will be imposed until the 7th July. Essentially, their aim is to prevent money leaving the country; capital controls mean that the government is able to restrict the amount that banks can allow people to withdraw, and transfer overseas. In brief, the controls are: – There will be a bank holiday until Tuesday 7th July, after a national referendum on the deal. – From midday June 29, ATMs will operate with a daily cash withdrawal limit of 60 euros per card, which is equivalent to 1,800 euros a month – Electronic transactions within the country won’t be affected. All transactions with credit or debit cards and other electronic forms (web banking, phone banking) can be conducted as normal – Any urgent transfers overseas – for medical reasons, for example, or to students studying abroad – will be dealt with by a special Committee to Approve Bank Transactions. This has been established at the State General Accounting Office in cooperation with the Finance Ministry, the Bank of Greece, the Union of Greek Banks and the Capital Markets Commission. Tourists will largely be unaffected by the controls, and will be able to withdraw unlimited funds from ATMs (subject to cash availability); essentially, the money is coming out of their national bank and will allow them to contribute to the economy, so there is no need to impose restrictions. All limits to prevent the free movement of money, such as those imposed by Greece, go against the very essence of the EU treaties. The controls aren’t illegal – the EU’s Financial Services Commission said in a statement that “in the current circumstances, the stability of the financial and banking system in Greece constitutes a matter of overriding public interest and public policy” – however, it is assumed that they would be removed as soon as is practicable. However, the history of capital control use has shown that they rarely work they way they are supposed to. Cyprus is the only other EU country to have imposed capital controls, which were put into use in 2013 after a banking crisis and a subsequent bailout negotiations with the IMF and the EU. There, the limits were much less strict; the withdrawal limit was 300 euros, and tranfers abroad were allowed up to 5000 euros a month. Gabriel Sterne, the head of global macro research at Oxford Economics, told Bloomberg: “The key point is that Cyprus’s were part of a cruel solution, while Greece’s would be part of a failure to agree on any sensible solution”. Capital controls “would solve nothing,” said Cypriot economist Athanasios Orphanides. “European governments have to make up their minds. Either they force Greece out of the euro or they lighten the debt burden the government faces to help the country stay in the euro.” Outside the EU, in Argentina froze bank deposits and banned overseas transfers, moves that led to an eruption of protests and ended in the death of 27 people. However, Iceland recently imposed capital controls and they kickstarted the economy, stabilizing the krona and, according to the IMF, “giving the nation the breathing room it needed the to get back on track.”    

Fidelity China Special Situations suffers heavy losses

As China enters a bear market, Fidelity China Special Situations (LON:FCSS) has fallen in unison, now down over 20% from intraday highs seen in late May. The Investment Trust that counts Tencent Holdings, Hutchinson China Meditech and China Pacific Insurance among its top ten holdings, enjoyed strong gains earlier this year after spending much of its time since the IPO underwater. Initially set up by Anthony Bolton, the fund set about focusing on the Chinese consumer, an investment theme that didn’t catch on for several years after the start of trading. Anthony Bolton handed the reins to Dale Nicholls earlier this year who say’s “From my ten years of investing in China, I struggle to think of a better time to find opportunities.” This will be of little comfort to investors who have recently purchased the fund. However his predecessor offers a rational stance on any volatility observed in Chinese stocks. “Investment is an odds-game. You are trying to make more good decisions than bad decisions, but you will make more bad decisions. No one can do well all the time, everyone has difficult patches” said Bolton in an interview with Share Radio. It appears the difficult patches have returned, the question is, for how long?

China enters bear market

China stocks have entered a bear market despite effort from authorities to support the economy. Defined as a drop of 20%, the bear market in Chinese stocks came even after the central bank slashed interest rates in an effort to slow the decline seen last week. At their lowest point the, the leading 300 stocks listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen were down as much as 7% in Monday’s session. Much of the declines can be attributed to the Greek crisis but investors will be unnerved as the plunge came after Chinese central bank easing, a typically bullish move for equities. The People’s Bank of China cuts interest rates by 0.25% to 4.85% on Saturda. Chinese stock markets have rallied sharply over the past few months as a record number of trading accounts were opened by Chinese individuals and margin trading levels soared, stoking fears of a bubble. The recent drop in shares has some investors believing Chinese shares are likely to see further downside in the coming months. “With this sort of slump, are we still in a bull market? Of course not,” said Lu Yahu, a Chinese stock trader to a Reuters reporter. Regulators will be concerned with the recent declines as they are running out of available tools to boost the economy and whilst preventing a bubble and eventual crash in asset prices. “This could prove to be a difficult balancing act; and, ultimately, to shore up investors’ confidence, earnings growth needs to come through and the hefty valuations for small-cap growth stocks have to come down,” HSBC analysts wrote in a note.

Rio Tinto announces Mongolian investment after withdrawing from Zimbabwe

After announcing plans to sell its stakes in mines in Zimbabwe, Rio Tinto confirmed that it has pledged to invest at least $250 million into the Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia. On Friday, the world’s second-largest mining company announced that it would be stopping operations in Zimbabwe and selling its 78 percent stake in the Murowa diamond mine to its former local unit, RioZim Ltd. The mine was valued at $279 million by Deutsche Bank AG in 2013. In a statement by the Mongolian Prime Minister, it emerged that Rio Tinto has pledged to invest in the construction of the underground section of the massive Oyu Tolgoi copper and gold mine in Mongolia this year. The development of the mine has long been stalled, but this announcement marks progress for the project that is expected to boost Mongolia’s economy by a third when it reaches full capacity in 2021. Operated by Rio Tinto, is expected to produce an average of 430,000 tonnes of copper and 425,000 ounces of gold annually, but still needs an additional $4 billion finance to go ahead.

Armadale Capital up 36% after news of possible acquisition

Investment company Armadale Capital (LSE:ACP) was up 36.5% this morning, after news of a proposed acquisition by investee company, Mine Restoration Investment. MRI announced that it has entered into a cooperative agreement with Armadale to acquire up to 39.2% interest in Iron Mineral Beneficiation Services Proprietary Limited. Armadale’c current investment in MRI is £0.91 million. In a statement on their website, the directors said that “the Company has been actively looking to realise its investment in MRI and the Directors believe this proposed acquisition will facilitate this process, as well as underpinning the value of its shareholding.” Armadale Capital Plc is focused on investing in and developing a portfolio of investments, targeting the natural resources sector in Africa.

Nova Resources down 54% after final year results

Investment company Nova Resources was on of the biggest movers on the AIM market this morning, falling 54.5% after publishing its audited results for 2014. The company reported a loss for the year of £2,922,790, compared to £477,699 in 2013. The basic loss per share was 0.82p. Despite these large losses, the report stated that “the Company has adequate resources and loans from long term investors to continue in operational existence for the foreseeable future”. Nova Resources are an investment company, with a policy focusing on building up businesses that are involved in the energy, infrastructure, technology and manufacturing industries, as well as the natural resources sector.

Euro pares losses

The Euro has pared its losses and filled the gap formed against the dollar on the open following the announcement of the Greek referendum. ‘It looks like a bit of stability has returned after the earlier onslaught, so I’d say there was a bit of profit-taking, given that we are very much in a state of flux’ RBC Capital said to Reuters. The EUR/USD fell as low as 1.0954 in Asian trading but rebounded in early European trading. The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls is likely to provide some stability in the pair as traders position themselves for a shift in rate hike expectations.

British mortgage approvals fall in May

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Mortgage approvals fell in May, according to data released this morning by the Bank of England. The drop surprised analysts, going against recent signs indicating that the housing market has picked up over the last few months. Mortgage approvals for house purchases numbered 64,434 in May from 67,580 in April. Analysts in a Reuters poll had forecast 68,700 mortgage approvals were made in May. According to the B of E figures, growth of consumer lending has also slowed; however lending to non-financial businesses rose by 713 million pounds, recovering around half of April’s 1.473 billion pound dip.

Global stock markets slide as hopes of Greek deal fade

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Stock markets throughout Europe and Asia have suffered in the wake of an announcement by Greece on Sunday that banks will remain closed for the next six days. The FTSE 100 fell 2% in early trading this morning, with travel and leisure stocks leading the fall; events in Greece, as well as holiday companies evacuating tourists from Tunisia after Friday’s terrorist attacks, have both had an impact. Japan’s Nikkei index, Germany’s Dax index and France’s Cac 40 all fell nearly 3% this morning, and the Athens Stock Exchange is closed all week.

Greek banks to close all week

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The Greek government has an announced that banks will stay shut all week, after a decision by the ECB not to extend emergency funding. In a televised address on Sunday night, Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said there was an “extremely urgent” need to protect the financial system and guard against the banks collapsing through mass withdrawals. It was confirmed that there will be a withdrawal limit of 60 euros a day in place throughout this period. Greece has 48 hours to pay back 1.6 billion euros to the IMF; however, hopes of reaching a deal with international lenders before this time are sinking fast. Tsipras has announced a snap referendum next Sunday on the terms of a cash-for-reforms deal, angering creditors and prolonging the negotiation process. “I can’t believe it,” Athens resident Evgenia Gekou, 50, told the BBC. “I keep thinking we will wake up tomorrow and everything will be OK. I’m trying hard not to worry.”