AIM movers: Epwin share buy back and and Warhammer disappointment for Frontier Developments

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Audio visual services provider MediaZest (LON: MDZ) has won additional work with an existing international retail client. Further installations will be made in early 2024, with further installations in stores in Europe later in the year. The share price improved 13.3% to 0.0425p.

Tlou Energy (LON: TLOU) has produced the first gas from the Lesedi-6 well in Botswana. Experience of other wells enabled the well to be brought into production more quickly. This will provide additional gas for electricity generation. The electricity transmission line should be completed by the end of the year. The share price rose 9.38% to 1.75p.

Building products supplier Epwin (LON: EPWN) is commencing a share buy back programme and says that 2023 figures are in line with expectations of a pre-tax profit of around £18m. The operating environment is not easy, but Epwin continues to generate cash. Up to three million shares will be bought back. The share price perked up 5.97% to 71p.

Professional service network DSW Capital (LON: DSW) reported a 31% decline in income from licensees in the first half due to much lower M&A activity, which still accounts for more than two-thirds of income. However, management is more optimistic about the second half with new teams and acquisitions making a contribution and other services generating more income near to the end of the tax year. Full year pre-tax profit is likely to be between £1.1m and £1.4m, compared with £1.4m last year. Although the interim dividend is lower, the total dividend for the year will be maintained at 3.76p/share. The share price recovered 5.94% to 53.5p, which is 54% lower than at the start of the year.

FALLERS

Scirocco Energy (LON: SCIR) shares are the worst performer on AIM after Roger Fulford reduced his stake in the energy company from 3% to 2.35%. The share price slumped 31.3% to

Video games publisher Frontier Developments (LON: FDEV) says Warhammer: Realms of Ruin has under performed and that is a major contributor to the slashing of full year revenues guidance from £108m to £80m-£95m. There is likely to be a much larger loss than originally expected. There is still cash in the bank to help the company to cope with the disappointing performance. Video games development will be refocused on core areas. The hare price declined 18.9% to 159.4p and it has fallen by nearly one-third this year.

Gfinity (LON: GFIN) is selling its 27.5% stake in Athlos Game Technologies for £260,000 and this will save more than £25,000/month of funding contribution. The share price slipped 10.3% to 0.065p. The most recent fundraising was at 0.06p. Forward Partners (LON: FWD) has agreed an all-share bid from fellow technology investment company Molten Ventures (LON: GROW), valuing it at £42.1m. Molten Ventures is offering one share for every nine Forward Partners shares, which is equivalent to 31p/share when the bid was announced. The Forward Partners share price is 5.97% lower at 31.5p.At the end of September 2023, Molten Ventures had a NAV of 735p/share, while at the end of June 2023 Forward Partners had a NAV of 67p/share.

Northvolt IPO: what we know so far

Swedish battery maker Northvolt is reportedly gearing up for an IPO as it plans to build more gigafactories across Europe to meet the burgeoning demand for electric vehicle batteries and renewable energy storage.

According to reports by the Financial Times, the company could be worth $20bn on listing.

Northvolt is a leader in lithium battery production but made the headlines recently when it announced the development of sodium-ion batteries.

Why is the Northvolt IPO important?

Swedish unicorn Northvolt is one of the world’s largest battery manufacturers and counts companies such as BMW, Fluence, Scania, Volvo Cars and Volkswagen Group as their clients.

The group has received over $55 billion in orders since it was founded in 2016 and employs 5,000 people across Sweden, Germany, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the US and Canada.

The Northvolt IPO is important because it will demonstrate investor appetite for electric vehicle and renewable power storage technology at a time when the pace of growth in EV sales is starting to slow, and major wind projects are canned.

The anticipation around the Northvolt IPO ratcheted up a notch or two last week after the company announced the development of 160 watt-hours per kilogram sodium-ion batteries designed for low-cost energy storage across India, the Middle East and Africa.

Peter Carlsson, CEO and Co-Founder of Northvolt, said, “the world has put high hopes on sodium-ion, and I’m very pleased to say that we’ve developed a technology that will enable its widespread deployment to accelerate the energy transition.”

“It’s an important milestone for Northvolt’s market proposition, but battery technology like this is also crucial to reach global sustainability goals, by making electrification more cost-efficient, sustainable and accessible worldwide.”

Northvolt Sodium Batteries

Northvolt has developed a sodium-ion battery free from nickel, cobalt, graphite, manganese, and, significantly, lithium.

Northvolt’s breakthrough sodium-ion batteries are based on hard carbon anodes and Prussian White cathodes. Prussian White is made from sodium, iron, nitrogen and carbon.

The absence of lithium and other critical metals will reduce reliance on China and make battery storage for renewable power much cheaper.

Sodium-ion batteries can be made using locally sourced materials instead of expensive imported critical metals, lowering overall cost.

The company is still a way off commercialising batteries for use in electric vehicles. Still, as soon as the energy density is improved, some hope sodium batteries will overtake lithium in electric vehicle applications.

Northvolt is not the only company developing sodium-ion technology. Chinese EV maker CATL and London-listed AMTE Power are among many companies working on their own sodium power storage solutions.

When will Northvolt IPO?

No date has been set for the Northvolt IPO, although it has been widely reported the company is eyeing 2024 for their listing.

The Financial Times reported a person familiar with the matter said: “they want to be ready to go, whenever the market conditions are right. They want everything in place.”

IPOs of any size take time to prepare, and the company will want to wait for more favourable market conditions.

Rightmove shares jump on resilient trading

Rightmove was the FTSE 100’s best performer in early trading on Monday after the property portal said they were increasing guidance for key revenue metrics as new products show signs of promise.

The UK’s largest property portal now expects average revenue per advertiser (ARPA) to hit £112-116, exceeding previous guidance of £103-£105. The upgrade comes as overall revenue growth continues tracking ahead of expectations at 8-10%.

Rightmove shares were 5% higher at the time of writing.

Demand from new home developers for Rightmove’s advertising products has driven the majority of ARPA growth. Estate agents continue to use mix of Rightmove’s branding and lead-generation offering.

Despite broader uncertainty in the housing market, Rightmove’s market share and network effect continue to support growth. Underlying operating profit is now seen climbing 7-8% for the year.

The portal’s resilient performance has been seen since amid issues weighing on the property market, and investors will be encouraged by the upgrades to ARPA even as UK transactions slip.

Rightmove was also upbeat on non-core activities like commercial real estate. The group’s fledgling mortgages remains on track to meet targets and last week saw the launch of Rightmove’s first mortgage broker offering.

Johan Svanstrom, CEO of Rightmove commented on the results:

“The momentum that we reported in July has continued through the third quarter and beyond. The strength of our performance against an uncertain market backdrop demonstrates the strength of the UK consumer affinity to our platform, the value of the established network effect of our business model, the depth and richness of our consumer data, and the value that our customers place in our products to build their businesses.”

“It also illustrates the resilience of our business model in all phases of the property market cycle. We continue to look to the future with confidence and remain focused on the delivery of our strategic plans, both in our core business and in strategic growth areas. We look forward to providing more detail at this afternoon’s investor day about our plans to capitalise on the significant growth opportunities ahead.”

Director deals: Can Plant Health Care bounce back?

A poor trading statement due to destocking led to a slump of one-third in the Plant Health Care (LON: PHC) share price. That prompted share buying by two directors. Chairman Dr Christopher Richards bought 641,000 at 3.788p each, giving him a 1.44% stake, and James Ede-Golightly acquired 500,000 shares at 3.6218p each, taking his stake to 0.42%.

In June, James Ede-Golightly bought 310,488 shares at 9p each and Dr Christopher Richards acquired a further 500,000 shares at the same price. This was in the £28m placing. The chief executive and two other directors also bought shares.

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Aquis weekly movers: Vinanz efficiency deal

Vinanz Ltd (LON: BTC) has teamed up with Luxor Technology Corp to improve its bitcoin mining operating efficiency. Luxor’s firmware improves mining margins when profitability is low and can increase a machine’s hashrate when profitability is higher. The share price is 6.45% higher at 8.25p.

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) has secured an option to acquire 100% of the Crescent East lithium and gold project in the Mosquito Creek area of Western Australia. Shares were issued at 1.25p each to pay the £25,000 option fee. The share price rose 5.41% to 1.95p.

Res Privata NV has increased its stake in NFT Investments (LON: NFT) from 3.33% to 4.09%. The share price increased 5.33% to 1.975p, which is below NAV.

Fuel additives developer SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) has successfully demonstrated the effectiveness of drop-in fuel conditioner SulNOxEco in the shipping sector. Monaco-based dry-bulk ship management company Marfin Management trialled the additive onboard a 60,000 MT DWT bulk carrier over a three-month period. This showed improvements in fuel consumption. The share price added 1.82% to 28p.

FALLERS

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) says investee company Hastings Technology Metals has agreed a $50m equity funding facility for the Yangibana rare earths project. Hastings Technology Metals can draw down up to $50m from Alpha Investment Partners to provide working capital for the development of the mine. Project financing talks are progressing and there have been offers from potential partners and debt providers. Cadence Minerals has a 1.4% stake in the investee company. The share price dipped 5.22% to 6.35p.

AIM weekly movers: RUA Life Sciences optimistic about the future

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RUA Life Sciences (LON: RUA) says the change in strategy has reduced the cash burn while also enabling operations to make progress. There has been a contract manufacturing bid request that could be worth £1.5m/year and is further potential work worth £500,000/year. This business could double in scale over the medium-term. However, later in the week RUA Life Sciences admitted that the interim revenues of the contract manufacturing business declined. Group interim revenues will be 28% lower at £794,000, even though Elast-Eon royalties increased by 6%. Development and testing of the structural heart valve leaflets is exceeding expectations. The plan is to make the company’s composite available to other companies to use in their heart valves. A large heart valve company is expected to start testing the composite. The vascular product is ready for regulatory testing in the US. As this will take up to three years and cost £6m a partner is being sought. The share price ended the week well of its high, but it was still 77.8% higher at 28p.

Gold explorer Oriole Resources (LON: ORR) has announced heads of terms with contractor BCM International for the development of the Bibemi and Mbe gold projects in Ghana. BCM can earn up to 50% of the Bibemi project by making a cash payment of $500,000 and commit to spend $4m on the project. BCM will pay $1m in cash and spend a further $4m to earn a 50% stake in Mbe project. The share price jumped 61% to 0.165p.

Battery technology developer Ilika (LON: IKA) has achieved its D4 development point for the Goliath battery. This is the start of turning the development into a battery product. Ilika will be able to create P1 samples for testing by customers. At the end of the week, Ilika confirmed that its interims will be in line with expectations with revenues of £1.3m and there is £13.2m in cash left. The share price improved 49.2% to 44p.

Phoenix Copper (LON: PXC) has extended its $2m loan facility until 8 December. The company is trying to obtain investor interest in a corporate copper bond issue. There is scope to extend the loan facility until 23 March 2024. The share price increased 34.8% to 31p.

FALLERS

Velocys (LON: VLS) is the worst performer on the day after the sustainable fuels company said that there is a potential bid at 0.25p/share from a consortium including Lightrock and Carbon Direct Capital Management. This would ensure long-term funding of the business. The low share price makes it difficult to finance the sustainable fuels operations. The share price dived 63.7% to 0.25p, which values Velocys at £4.5m. A large multiple of that value needs to be raised to fund development and production. Interim funding will be required.

Active Energy Group (LON: AEG) says construction of Coalswitch fuel reference plant at Ashland, Maine is still being delayed. It will not be up and running until the first quarter of 2024. The facility is 12 months late and management has lost confidence in contractor Player Design Inc. John Celaschi reduced his stake from 11.5% to 6.24%. The share price dipped 52.7% to 1.95p.

Video games developer Team17 Group (LON: TM17) says 2023 trading is slightly better than expected, although some titles are not performing as well as anticipated and that has hit margins. There has also been overspending and delays on some development projects. That means that underlying EBITDA will be around one-sixth lower than forecast at around £40m. Some titles are being reassessed and that is likely to lead to impairment charges of up to £11.5m. The share price slumped 47.8% to 180p. That is not far from the all-time low at the end of 2018.

Helium One Global (LON: HE1) says that drilling at the Tai-3 well confirms the presence of helium. Onsite pressure volume temperature analysis of fluid samples yielded helium concentrations of 8,320 parts per million. However, drilling was not able to reach the depths that management wanted. The drilling rig will be moved to Itumbula, where the iron rough neck and hydraulics will be repaired. The news disappointed the market and the share price dived 46.9% to 2.975p.

AIM movers: Cambridge Nutritional Sciences rises and Team17 write-downs

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Diagnostics company Cambridge Nutritional Sciences (LON: CNSL) gained some momentum following yesterday’s results that showed the benefits of concentrating on its core personalised health and nutrition business. The share price increased a further 12.7% to 3.1p. Interim revenues rose 44% to £4.9m and the loss was reduced. Production problems have been sorted out. There was strong growth in North America as management puts more resources into the region. A small full year loss is expected.

Mothercare (LON: MTC) increased its profitability even though Middle East franchise income fell. Interim revenues fell from £38.5m to £29m, while under lying pre-tax profit improved from £1.7m to £1.8m. Online sales increased by 5%. Underlying 2023-24 pre-tax profit is expected to dip from £3.4m to £3.2m, after interest charges of £3.8m. Management is still seeking to refinance borrowings, which would improve profit. The share price is 6.6% higher at 4.05p.

i3 Energy (LON: I3E) chief executive Majid Shafiq bought 337,291 shares at 10.08p each and executive director Ryan Heath acquired 228,571 shares at C$0.175 each. WH Ireland published analysis suggesting that a worst case scenario for the oil and gas producer would be cash generation from operations of £37.2m in 2024. The current forecast is for cash flow of £71.3m, leaving net debt of £300,000. The share price improved 2.3% to 10.23p, valuing the company at £123m.

Coro Energy (LON: CORO) is paying up to $290,000 in cash and shares to acquire a further 7.5% of the renewables joint venture in Vietnam. The partner will retain 7.5%. This values the joint venture at $4m. There is a 50MW rooftop solar project in Vietnam. The Italian gas assets are being sold for €7.3m. This will provide finance for further renewables investment. The share price rose 1.1% to 0.2275p.  

FALLERS

Video games developer Team17 Group (LON: TM17) says 2023 trading is slightly better than expected, although some titles are not performing as well as anticipated and that has hit margins. There has also been overspending and delays on some development projects. That means that underlying EBITDA will be around one-sixth lower than forecast at around £40m. Some titles are being reassessed and that is likely to lead to impairment charges of up to £11.5m. The share price slumped 38.7% to 192.5p. That is not far from the all-time low at the end of 2018.

After a strong rise in the RUA Life Sciences (LON: RUA) share price earlier in the week it has fallen 11.1% to 28p – still 78% ahead on the week. Although there are potential contracts for the contract manufacturing business its revenues declined in the fist half. Interim revenues will be 28% lower at £794,000, even though Elast-Eon royalties increased by 6%. Trading volumes are back to normal in the second half.

Telematics supplier Trakm8 (LON: TRAK) moved back into profit in the first half. Revenues fell 5% to £8.5m and the number of connections was 7% lower at 324,000 as management focused on higher margin business. Gross margins improved and cost savings enabled a £1.08m loss to be turned into a £119,000 pre-tax profit. Full year revenues are expected to be higher and a pre-tax profit of £1.83m is forecast, which would put the shares, down 3.23% to 15p, on less than four times earnings.

FTSE 100 slips in low volume Black Friday trade

The FTSE 100 slipped on Friday in low-volume trade, which is typical of the Thanksgiving and Black Friday period.

With US markets trading hours reduced on Friday, investors held off taking big positions in London’s leading stocks, and the FTSE 100 index slipped 0.24% to 7,465 as of 12.38pm.

“The usual adage is when the US sneezes the world catches a cold – in the latest case it appears when the US is on holiday global markets hit the snooze button,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The FTSE 100 drifted lower on Friday as it lacked the usual direction provided by Wall Street. A sprinkle of profit taking and some weakness in the resources sector helped to put the index on the back foot.”

Profit-taking was most pronounced in Sage Group, with declines of 3.2%, after the business software group stormed higher earlier this week.

There were surprising declines in the FTSE 100’s miners, who shrugged off the latest moves by Chinese authorities to support their struggling property market.

Rio Tinto fell 0.5% and Glencore lost 1.5%.

Barclays carved out minor gains after announcing cost-cutting measures, including thousands of job cuts.

“Reports Barclays is targeting £1 billion in cost cuts reflect the challenges facing the banking sector, despite higher interest rates, as inflationary pressures continue to weigh,” said Russ Mould.

“It also suggests CS Venkatakrishnan is starting to feel some pressure with the shares appreciably lower since his appointment in November 2021.”

Barclays shares rose 0.3%.

Team17 shares crash on lower video game sales

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Internationally known video game label Team 17 shares dropped on Friday, as the company stated in the trading update that some of its games are not meeting the sales target.

The gaming company’s shares were down by 41.08% at the time of writing on Friday.

Team17 is known for games such as “Worms,” “Miami Chase,” and “Yooka-Laylee.”

The label has not specified which games are underperforming.

The company’s trading update explains that:

“Despite this overall robust revenue performance, certain titles within the Games Label are not meeting internal expectations, resulting in a less favourable mix between higher margin own-IP titles and third-party titles (with higher royalty payments) than anticipated. In addition, the group was too slow to address some project overspends and has faced some delays in implementing key cost initiatives at Team 17 Games Label. These are now in advanced stages and will continue to bring benefits into next year.”

It is further stated that Team17 management is happy with the performance of two games in particular, Astragon and StoryToys.

However, following the H1 results and considering the changes in the post-Covid-19 landscape, the management is reassessing the cost structure of Team17 Games Label.

Additionally, it is evaluating various titles, the update states, both in development and already launched.

This assessment is anticipated to lead to impairments recognised in FY23.

Furthermore, Team17 now anticipates achieving a full-year adjusted EBITDA of at least £28.5m, including potential non-cash impairments on titles of up to £11.5m.

“It may not be game over for Team 17, but the game developer’s profit warning will definitely give any investors pause. While revenue will be modestly higher than expectations, earnings are expected to be lower than anticipated and fall materially from 2022 levels” , said AJ Bell Investment Director Russ Mould.

“Failing to control overspending will not do anything for the firm’s credibility in the market, and the decision to review games in development shows how this market has gotten tougher now that people aren’t stuck indoors, with gaming representing one of the few possible escapes from the drudgery of lockdown.”

Improving autonomous vehicle safety and fighting electric vehicle range anxiety with Guident’s Harald Braun

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to have Harald Braun, CEO of Guident, back on the Podcast to discuss the latest developments at Guident, an autonomous and electric vehicle technology company based in Florida.

Guident has two distinct technologies; the first is autonomous vehicle remote monitoring and control software, and the second is regenerative shock absorbers for electric vehicles.

Harald details the progress at Guident and the importance of a recent deal that secures Guident reoccurring revenue into the future.

Guident is a first mover in human-in-the-loop remote monitoring and control of autonomous vehicles for fixed-route geo-fenced buses and shuttles. Harald discussed their commercial progress and the rapid development of the market.

We finish with a look at developments at ReVive Energy Solutions and promising interactions with leading EV makers and tire companies.