Three reasons to consider NextEnergy Solar Fund shares after the recent dip

The NextEnergy Solar Fund’s share price has softened slightly since the Investment Trusts announced net asset value fell marginally due to energy price forecasts.

The trust regularly updates the valuation of its portfolio of solar assets to reflect the discount rates and expected future cash generation.

Looking past the short-term gyrations in underlying energy markets, we explore three factors central to the NextEnergy Solar Fund investment case.

NextEnergy Solar Fund yields 12%

The NextEnergy Solar Fund is a dividend juggernaut. The trust has consistently increased its dividend and is on track for another year of growth. The full-year dividend is expected to increase to 8.43p for the year ending 31 March.

Highlighting the sheer scale of the dividends distributed by the NextEnergy Solar Fund, the trust has paid out £370m in dividends totalling 72p since its IPO. This compares to a current share price of 69p and a market cap of £400m.

Dividend yields above 10% are treated with scepticism. However, the NextEnergy Solar Fund has set a dividend cover target of 1.1x -1.3x for the full-year dividend, meaning the dividend paid is more than covered by income, reducing the risk of any reduction in the dividend payout.

The income that covers the dividend is remarkably reliable. A common misconception is that solar power heavily depends on the weather and how bright the sun shines. Of course, the weather has a degree of variability, but its impact on a solar facility’s ability to generate power is minimal. NextEnergy Solar Fund uses Power Purchase Agreements to lock in prices for the power it generates and provide income security.

Share buybacks

The NextEnergy Solar Fund’s commitment to share buybacks further underpins its attraction. The trust has a programme of up to £20m, of which £6.2m was utilised up to 20 November 2024.

The share buyback programme isn’t massive, but the fact that one is in place demonstrates the underlying health of the trust’s finances, adding an extra layer of reassurance to its ability to pay dividends.

Share buybacks are currently playing a major part in shareholder returns for UK equity investments, and investors should be encouraged to see NextEnergy committed to a programme.

Asset sales at a premium to book value

NextEnergy Solar Fund shares trade at 29% discount to NAV. Wide discounts are a common theme across renewable infrastructure Investment Trusts. However, recent asset sales as part of NextEnergy’s capital recycling programme reinforce why their discount is unjustified.

Discounts across the sector partly reflect the higher interest environment and partly reflect concerns about a potential disparity between the achievable valuation of assets and the reported valuation.

Concerns about the achievable valuation of NextEnergy Solar Fund’s assets may be misplaced. As part of its capital recycling programme designed to manage its exposure to higher interest rates, NextEnergy has disposed of a limited number of assets at a premium to their holding value, delivering a 2.76p uplift in the trust’s NAV.

This highlights two things: first, NextEnergy Solar Fund NAV calculations have proven conservative compared to the price acquirers are prepared to pay, and second, any discount to NAV due to the trust’s portfolio’s achievable NAV could be unwarranted.

In addition to the benefits outlined above, investors must consider the risks, as with all investment trusts. NextEnergy Solar Fund is exposed to power prices that can be unpredictable, and there is an element of exposure to inflation through subsidies.

Share Tip: Greencore Group – Wonderful performance over the last year – shares have doubled in eight months, with more to come 

As I said last week when AO World issued its latest Interim results – I really do like to see companies upgrading their market guidance. 
It is especially noteworthy in the current economic environment which is generally voicing sluggish performances. 
So yesterday’s results from my favourite food group – Greencore Group (LON:GNC) – pleased me no end. 
The 52 weeks to 27th September 
Yesterday’s finals were stronger than expected and portrayed a very positive outlook for the current year to end-September 2025. 
Despite group revenues being down 5.6% at £1,807.1m (£1,91...

Greatland Gold completes Paterson gold assets acquisition in ‘watershed moment’

Greatland Gold has successfully completed the acquisition of a 70% stake in the world-class Havieron gold project it did not already own, as well as 100% of the Telfer mine, both located in the Paterson region of Australia, from Newmont Corporation.

Greatland Managing Director, Shaun Day called the acquisition a ‘watershed moment for Greatland’ as shares rose 3% on Wednesday.

The transaction, settled in a mixture of cash and shares in Greatland Gold, makes Newmont the largest shareholder in Greatland with a 20.4% stake, subject to a 12-month lock-in period and subsequent 12-month orderly market arrangement.

The Havieron project, now fully consolidated under Greatland’s control, represents a world-class gold-copper asset with a mineral resource estimate of 8.4 million ounces of gold equivalent.

According to independent reviews, the base case development scenario envisions a 2.8 million tonnes per annum mining operation producing an average of 258,000 ounces of gold equivalent annually over a 20-year mine life. The project is expected to operate at industry-leading costs, with all-in sustaining costs of US$818 per ounce in its first 15 years of steady-state production. Greatland plans to complete a Feasibility Study in the second half of 2025, which will examine potential throughput expansion opportunities.

The acquisition of the Telfer mine provides Greatland with an operational asset expected to generate immediate cash flow.

The mine benefits from approximately 11.5 million tonnes of run-of-mine ore stockpiles, significantly reducing initial production risks. An independent review projects production of 426,000 ounces of gold equivalent over 15 months at an all-in sustaining cost of US$1,454 per ounce. Notably, Greatland has secured the continued employment of 98% of Telfer’s workforce, with 435 employees accepting positions with the company.

“The closing of our acquisition today is a watershed moment for Greatland,” said Greatland Managing Director, Shaun Day.

“Greatland’s discovery of the world class Havieron orebody in 2018 established our platform for growth.  Returning to 100% ownership of Havieron now gives us the opportunity and control to deliver the project’s full potential.  We have a defined pathway for Havieron to become a low-cost long life gold-copper asset of significant scale.

“Telfer is an iconic Australian mine that immediately transforms Greatland into a significant producer of gold and copper, with a defined mine plan that is materially de-risked by substantial ore stockpiles, and significant mine life extension prospects. Telfer production is expected to generate significant free cash flow, which we expect will help to self-fund the completion of Havieron’s development.

“Combining Havieron and Telfer under our single ownership provides the opportunity to operate efficiently and deliver an exceptional platform for continued growth and a compelling opportunity to create value for our shareholders.”

Diales transformation underway

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Construction disputes and property services provider Diales (LON:DIAL), formerly Driver Group,has completed its rebranding and the benefits of cost cutting will show through in the current year. Even so, the AIM-quoted company’s results for the year to September 2024 were slightly better than expected.

Interim revenues edged up from £42.6m to £43m. A decline in European and North American revenues was offset by growth in the other markets. The Middle East returned to profit and the Asia Pacific loss was lower. Overall pre-tax profit improved from £1.1m to £1.2m. The total dividend is maintained at 1.5p/share, although it is still not covered by earnings.

The net cash of £4.3m (7.9p/share) enables Diales to add more fee earners, which might come from small acquisitions that may add to the range of services and sectors that can be addressed.

The North American operations have been closed and contracts are services from Europe, where ERP software has helped to improve efficiency. Utilisation levels in the region were steady and could rise this year. Two large customers went into administration and there are some potential bad debts.

The Australian market weakened in the second half. Diales is still trying to collect debts in the Middle East. The operations in Oman and Kuwait have been discontinued.

AB Traction has a 27.4% shareholding, and it has been that level for more than one year.

There have been no forecasts for a while. Following the publication of the results forecasts have been reinstated. A pre-tax profit of £1.3m is forecast for 2024-25, rising to £1.5m the following year. At 29p, the prospective multiple is 19, falling to 16 next year.

FTSE 100 rally gathers momentum as heavyweights lift index

The FTSE 100 soared on Tuesday in a broad rally driven by London’s heavyweight stocks including Shell, AstraZeneca, and HSBC.

Another record high for the S&P 500 overnight proved to be ample reason for equity bulls to buy into London’s blue chips on Tuesday, sending the index 0.9% higher to 8,388 and within touching distance of all-time record highs.

The FTSE 100 has flirted with the 8,400 level numerous times this year but has failed to break through the psychological level meaningfully, leaving all-time record highs at 8,445 just out of reach.

That said, the festive season may provide the conditions needed for London’s flagship index to do what US indices have done on many occasions this year and break to a fresh record.

A lack of macro influences on markets on Tuesday and the broad nature of the rally suggests investors are gearing up for a Santa’s rally by building positions in beaten-down large-cap shares before the end of the year. The gains on Tuesday likely reflect the actions of bargain hunters instead of out-and-out exuberance.

“The year is, effectively, done & dusted. Certainly, nobody is going to be making their year as Christmas approaches, but plenty would find it very easy to break it,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

“Consequently, liquidity tends to dry up and volumes thin out, as markets become a mix of position squaring as books are closed up, and portfolio window dressing as the dreaded task of writing year-end investment letters looms.”

BP and Shell were firmly bid as investors picked up the oil majors and locked in benchmark-beating yields after a prolonged period of poor performance.

AstraZeneca touched its highest level since the beginning of November as the pharma giant continued to rebound above 10,000p, having fallen from highs above 13,000p.

Easyjet was among the top risers after UBS and Barclays hiked their price targets for the airliner. UBS had the most ambitious target of 845p compared to Easyjet’s current price of 566p.

Vistry was down 0.3%, and it looks increasingly likely that the housebuilder will be ejected from the FTSE 100.

Gooch & Housego set to bounce back

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Photonics company Gooch & Housego (LON: GHH) had a better second half, but full year profit was still lower. The AIM-quoted company’s figures are expected to bounce back this year.

In the year to September 2024, revenues were 1% ahead at £136m. A decline in industrial revenues, due to weak product sales for semiconductor manufacturing and other industrial uses, was offset by higher aerospace and defence and life sciences revenues.

Underlying pre-tax profit slipped 22% to £8.1m. The total dividend was raised 1.5% to 13.2p, which is 1.9 times covered by earnings.

There is strong demand for the aerospace and defence division and orders already cover most of the expected revenues for this year. Phoenix Optical was acquired at the end of October. It has a factory in north Wales and supplies polished, coated and assembled precision optics and it will broaden the opportunities for the aerospace and defence division.

Net debt was reduced from £20.9m to £16m. That was before the acquisition of Phoenix Optical, where £3.4m was paid in cash and up to £3.35m is payable based on performance in the three years to June 2027. Net debt is still expected to fall to £15m by September 2025 and there is scope to fund further bolt-on acquisitions.

Although the year-end order book was weaker at £104.5m there is an upward trend, particularly for the aerospace and defence business. Destocking by industrial customers appears to be over and there is strong demand from the subsea market.

A recovery in pre-tax profit to £13.3m is forecast, rising to £17.8m next year. There is potential for continued improvement in margins. The share price improved 0.9% to 462p. The shares are trading on less than 12 times prospective earnings, falling to ten the following year.

AIM movers: Invinity Energy Systems product launch and premium fundraising by EMV Capital

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Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has launched its next generation flow battery ENDURIUM. This has higher efficiency and is designed to be manufactured in Scotland in high volumes. This new product is likely to be the main source of orders from now on. There are already orders for ENDURIUM. Invinity Energy Systems is expected to move into profit in 2026. The share price jumped 23.4% to 14.5p.

New Technology Capital Group has reduced its stake in data processing semiconductor technology developer Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) from 16.4% to between 12% and 13%. The stake peaked at 21.6% at the end of October. The share price recovered 10.8% to 0.145p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) owns 34.6% of the Amapa iron ore project in Brazil and the updated pre-feasibility study shows that 67.5% iron ore can be produced. This has boosted the NPV10 from $1.2bn to $2bn. Initial capex is expected to be $377m. Zeus estimates that the Amapa project could be worth 42p/share when adjusted for risk. The share price increased 17.4% to 2.7p.

Technology company adviser and investor EMV Capital (LON: EMVC) is raising up to £1.5m at 50p/share, which is a 15% premium to the previous day’s closing price. The share price rose 11.5% to 48.5p. A subscription will raise £880,000. The WRAP retail offer to existing shareholders can raise up to £620,000 and it closes at 4.30pm on 4 December. The minimum subscription is £100. The cash will fund investment in reporting infrastructure and hiring of additional staff. It will also provide money for additional investments. Management is targeting recurring annual fund management fees of more than £1m so that it can reach breakeven. In the ten months to October 2024, core income was £2m, up from £1.2m, including £500,000 of recurring fund management fees. This excludes subsidiary portfolio companies.

FALLERS

United Oil & Gas (LON: UOG) has not received the $620,000 owed following the disposal of Egyptian and discussions continue with EGPC. Costs are being reviewed and they will be reduced to a bare minimum. Talks concerning the farm out in Jamaica have been suspended until the New Year. The share price slumped 34.2% to 0.125p, which is an all time low.

Managed IT services SysGroup (LON: SYS) has been hampered by extended sales cycles and full year results will be below expectations. Interim revenues fell 7% to £10.2m, while the reported loss was £1.09m after exceptional costs of £397,000. No growth in revenues is forecast for the second half. Zeus has cut its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast from £900,000 to £100,000, down from £900,000 last year, and next year’s forecast has been slashed from £2.8m to £1.3m. Net cash was £4.6m at the end of March 2025. The share price dived 24.6% to 21.5p.

Kefi Gold and Copper (LON: KEFI) raised £469,000 at 0.55p/share from the PrimaryBid offer, with 90% of subscribers existing shareholders. This takes the total amount raised to £6m and there is an additional share issue in settlement of £4.6m of liabilities. The cash will be spent on the Tulu Kapi gold project. The share price is 20.4% lower at 0.519p.

Wind turbine sensor technology developer Windar Photonics (LON: WPHO) raised £5.9m at 40p/share from an oversubscribed placing. The cash will enable expansion of the management team and provide working capital. The company is transitioning to a recurring revenues model. The placing will use up the remaining EIS/VCT capacity. The share price declined 5.88% to 48p.

Revolut CEO favours US over UK for IPO

Nikolay Storonsky, the CEO of Revolut, one of the UK’s most successful FinTech firms, said he will choose the US over the UK for its IPO.

Speaking on the 20VC Podcast, Storonsky said that unless London dramatically changed its offering to companies seeking to raise capital on public markets, he would list Revolut in the US.

“I just don’t understand how the product which is being provided by the UK can compete with the product provided by the US,” Storonsky said in the podcast interview.

Storonsky highlighted the UK’s 0.5% Stamp Duty as one of the main reasons behind his preference for New York over London, but in reality, there is a multitude of well-documented factors making the US more attractive than the UK when planning a large-scale IPO.

Labour’s Rachel Reeves has had the chance to scrap the much-criticised stamp duty on UK shares but has chosen not to act. The result is that global innovators and leading growth companies such as Revolut are shunning the UK for the US.

Losing out on the Revolut IPO to New York will be another major blow for London after Revolut started life in the UK, raising two early crowdfunding rounds on Crowdcube and Seedrs platforms.

Following a recent secondary share sale, investors who backed the FinTech company in its early private rounds on crowdfunding platforms saw a valuation uplift of around 40,000% on their initial investment. Investments of just a few thousand pounds are now worth over a million.

The latest share sale values Revolut at $45bn, more than the current NatWest and Lloyds market caps and roughly the same as Barclays.

Revolut has raised over $2.14bn and is not having trouble attracting new investors. The latest share sale was met with strong demand from institutions, which bodes well for an IPO.

It’s no surprise that Revolut CEO Nikolay Storonsky is choosing New York over London for its IPO. The UK hasn’t managed an IPO of any meaningful size for well over a year, and the UK public equity market is being picked apart by overseas firms swooping in on undervalued companies.

Why would the FinTech company battle to justify its valuation in London when US investors would likely welcome the company with open arms and give it the valuation it deserves?

Although Revolut started life in the UK, it has expanded aggressively and operations in 39 countries with ambitions to increase this to 50 over the next three years. Of the 39 countries the company is currently operating in, Revolut is number one in 19 of them. The company hasn’t yet won in the US market as in other markets, but Storonsky has the world’s largest economy firmly in his sights for the next chapter of growth.

Revolut reported revenues of $2.2bn in 2023, generating a record $545m profit before tax.

When asked where he would base the business if he were hypothetically given a chance to start Revolut again, he answered he would have set the company up in the US.

Share Tip: Foxtons Group – Valued at £179m, making £23.6m profits in 2025 and still on the acquisition trail – shares now 59p, while analysts have valuations up to 134p! 

It may be too early for some readers, but I have a number of companies within my Smaller Quoted Companies sector that I really fancy for a good run in 2025. 
One of the list is London’s leading estate agency the Foxtons Group (LON:FOXT). 
And following another read-through of the group’s recently announced Q3 Trading Update, I am convinced that its shares at the current 59p are totally undervalued. 
The Business 
Foxtons, which was established in 1981, is London’s leading estate agency and largest lettings agency brand and has a portfolio of over 28,000 tenancies.   
I...

Cadence Minerals shares jump on improved Brazilian iron ore mine economics

Cadence Minerals shares soared on Tuesday after the company announced positive results from an updated Pre-Feasibility Study for its Amapá Iron Ore Project in northern Brazil, where it holds a 34.6% equity stake.

The study, incorporating a Direct Reduction grade flow sheet, reveals a substantial increase in the project’s post-tax Net Present Value (NPV10%) to US$1.97 billion, with an internal rate of return of 56%.

Cadence Minerals shares jumped over 20% in early trade on Tuesday as investors cheered the improved outlook for the company’s flagship asset.

The project is estimated to generate average annual free cash flow estimated at US$342 million from start-up through to closure.

Over its 15-year mine life, the Amapá Project is expected to deliver US$9 billion in gross revenues, US$4.9 billion in net operating profit, and US$4.6 billion in free cash flow.

The processing plant has been redesigned to produce high-grade iron ore concentrate at 67.5% Fe, with an average production rate of 5.5 million metric tonnes per annum.

The project demonstrates strong cost efficiency, with Free on Board C1 Cash Costs of US$33.7 per dry metric tonne at the port of Santana, and Cost and Freight C1 Cash Costs of US$61.9 per dry metric tonne in China.

The pre-production capital requirement is set at US$377 million, with an attractive payback period of just three years, shortened by the increased free cash flows.

“This significant update to the Amapá Prefeasibility Study, which includes the DR-grade concentrate flow sheet, reinforces our firm belief that the project can add substantial value to Cadence. The increased net present value of $1.97 billion and improved post-tax internal rate of return reflect significant advancements in the project’s robust economics,” said Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria.

“The Amapá Project represents a well-developed and largely de-risked opportunity, featuring established mineral reserves, advanced environmental permitting, and complete control of integrated rail and port infrastructure. This ownership and control of the infrastructure contribute to the project’s low-cost base and will enable the pursuit of regional expansion opportunities, with substantial resources located within 30 kilometres of the existing rail line. In addition to the DR-grade flow sheet, the project will use 100% renewable energy sources. We anticipate this will help us achieve one of the lowest carbon footprints in the region while still delivering a robust and highly profitable project.”