FTSE 100 surges as oil spikes higher, Non Farm Payrolls signal rate cut

The FTSE 100 surged higher on Friday amid a spike in oil prices and a broad recovery from yesterday’s induced wobble in UK-focused shares.

London’s leading index was 1% at the time of writing, shortly after the release of the October Non-Farm Payrolls report revealing the US economy only added 12,000 jobs last month compared to estimates of 100,000.

Oil prices were one of the main drivers of trade on Friday amid a sharp jump in oil prices as tensions around the Middle East returned after Iran threatened further retaliation against Israel. BP and Shell were both higher by 1%.

“It’s been buoyed by energy stocks boosted by the higher oil price and a significant win for consumer goods giant Reckitt Benckiser in a case over its baby formula,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“However, an element of wariness is set to remain. Worries continue to swirl about the UK Budget stoking inflation and adding to the debt burden, geo-political tensions in the Middle East have risen sharply and a highly fractious US Presidential election is coming up next week.”

The weak Non Farm Payroll report helped provide support for stocks ahead of the election next week with the slow pace of job creation almost nailing on a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week.

“A 25bp cut next week remains on the cards, with further such cuts likely at every subsequent meeting, until the fed funds rate reaches a neutral level, around 3%, next summer,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

Although events overseas will be on traders’ minds, UK equities were driven by domestic occurrences on Friday. Corporate updates and recovery from yesterday’s budget-induced sell-off helped to drive the FTSE 100’s outperformance of other major equity indices.

Reckitt Benckiser was the top performer, with an 8% jump after a favourable court ruling regarding baby formula in the US.

“Reckitt Benckiser has shot to the top of the FTSE 100 leaderboard, with shares up sharply in early trade after it was cleared of liability in case over its pre-term infant formula, made by its US subsidiary Mead Johnson, by a state court in Missouri,” Susannah Streeter explained.

“The trial investigated if Reckitt and another manufacturer Abbott knew about disease risks linked with this type of formula. Investors are clearly relieved the manufacturers have been cleared by this court, but other trials are pending, and the companies were found liable in other cases. The companies’ overall liability was estimated at up to $2.5 billion.”

How to protect your portfolio from IHT and CGT after the budget

The new Labour Chancellor has launched a tax raid on investors and business owners that threatens to curtail the entrepreneurial spirit that drives our economy.

Capital gains tax, inheritance tax, and National Insurance were all targeted this week with freezes on thresholds or eye-watering increases. 

Most investors’ main concerns will be the increase in capital gains tax, the shakeup of inheritance tax relief for AIM shares, and bringing pensions under inheritance tax.

However, while the tax changes will be a kick in the teeth, savvy investors still have various options to protect their savings from the tax man. 

ISAs & SIPPs

An obvious place to start is using your ISA and Pensions allowances to protect your investments against capital gains tax. Investors have an ISA allowance of up to £20,000 and can put upto 100% of their income or a maximum of £60,000 into a a SIPP each year.

Thankfully, these were left unchanged by the chancellor. Ideally, these would have been increased to boost investment and sensible savings, but this wasn’t a budget for investors.

“The tax relief afforded to pensions and ISAs has survived the Budget, with the exception of the generous tax treatment of pensions on death. In particular, investments held within pensions and ISAs aren’t subject to capital gains tax, nor are the dividends they produce subject to income tax,” said Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at AJ Bell.

“A rise in capital gains tax, especially combined with an annual CGT allowance of just £3,000, means investors should prioritise pensions and ISAs if they’re hoping for growth on their investments.”

Khalaf continued to explain the tactics of ‘Bed and ISA’ or ‘Bed and SIPP’, which can bring investments into your tax wrappers to protect them from future capital gains tax.

“Those who hold unwrapped investments can perform a manoeuvre called a ‘Bed and ISA’ or ‘Bed and SIPP’ to move them inside a tax shelter. This does involve selling assets so there is potentially a capital gains tax liability at this point, though investors can mitigate this by judicious use of their annual £3,000 CGT allowance,” said

“Once inside the SIPP or ISA, any further gains are then free from tax. Investors who feel they might breach the £3,000 annual CGT allowance using this approach might consider pairing the sale of a profitable investment with a loss-making one. Losses can be used to offset gains, thereby reducing the capital gains tax liability, then either or both investments can be rebought within the ISA to avoid tax on future gains.”

Unfortunately, Pensions will now be included in individuals’ estates for IHT purposes, so those seeking to protect their portfolio on their death must consider alternative assets.

EIS & VCTs

More experienced investors with longer time horizons may want to consider VCTs and EIS. The schemes have generous tax benefits for investing in early-stage companies but come with much higher risks than listed equities.

The chancellor announced the schemes will be extended until 2035, signalling much needed certainty for investors using the schemes to shelter their investments from IHT and EIS.

“At a headline level Venture Capital Trusts have been left unaffected by this Budget. Investors will still receive upfront income tax relief of up to 30%, plus tax free dividends and capital gains tax (CGT) free growth,” said Nicholas Hyett, Investment Manager at Wealth Club.

“However, in relative terms the scheme has become significantly more attractive. With income tax thresholds frozen for years to come and CGT rising, the potential for tax free returns have become even more appealing.”

EIS provides investors with complete relief from income tax, CGT and IHT if unlisted shares are held for more than three years. However, the budget did cap the level of investments that are free from IHT to an allowance of £1 million in the budget.

“As shares in unlisted businesses, EIS qualifying investments qualify for Business Relief (BR). In the past this meant any amount of EIS investments could be passed on inheritance tax (IHT) free. Going forward investors could face a 20% IHT bill of EIS investments if they already have £1 million of BR qualifying investments,” Hyett explained.

“However, for individual investors, EIS has probably jumped up the list of investments worth considering. CGT free growth is more attractive now, and CGT deferral is more valuable in a higher tax world. Throw in 30% up front income tax relief and wealthy, sophisticated investors should certainly spend some time exploring the area. If the budget sparks significant inflows that would also be good news for British start-ups – potentially unlocking significant funding at lower cost.”

AIM movers: Emmerson seeks compensation and cyber security incident at Microlise

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Emmerson (LON: EML) has notified the Moroccan government of an investment dispute and argues that the government is violating an agreement between the UK and Morocco. The dispute can be submitted to the International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes. Prior to this, the company is seeking cash compensation from the government. The share price bounced back 98.8% to 0.825p.

Red Rock Resources (LON: RRR) has been meeting with the Democratic Republic of Congo authorities concerning the court judgement in the company’s favour, as well as new opportunities. A framework agreement has been signed with Koto DRC for an equal joint venture once a suitable asset is secured. The share price rose 21.4% to 0.0425p.

Minoan Group (LON: MIN) is converting £1.3m of creditors into 78 million shares. Management is still seeking to raise additional debt and equity to finance the development of the Cavo Sidero project. Discussions are ongoing with a potential strategic partner. The fundraising should be at 1p/share or more. The share price increased 19.2% to 0.775p.

Global Petroleum (LON: GBP) reported a full year loss of $1.04m, down from $1.28m. There was $193,000 in the bank at the end of June 2024. Since then, £503,000 has been raised. The share price improved by one-fifth to 0.21p.

FALLERS

Transport technology services provider Microlise Group (LON: SAAS) has been hit by a cyber security incident. This has disrupted services, and they are currently inactive. Cyber security specialists have been appointed. The share price slipped 12.2% to 115p.

Supercapacitors developer CAP-XX (LON: CPX) has raised £2.75m from a placing and subscription at 0.11p/share. A retail offer could raise up to £275,000 and this closes on 4 November. The cash will fund product development and boost sales resource. The share price declined 11.1% to 0.12p.

Litigation funder Manolete Partners (LON: MANO) has been named as a Financial Times Europe long-term growth champion 2025. It ranks 25th in the UK and 152nd in Europe. The share price fell 6.58% to 106.5p.

Hummingbird Resources (LON: HUM) is in discussions with its primary lender and largest shareholder Nioko Resources, which has the same owner as the lender, about liquidity and short-term waivers. The company wants to partially restructure its debt and reschedule payments. Payments of $30m due on 31 October have been deferred, pending a restructuring agreement by 6 November. Net debt was $155m at the end of September 2024.The share price decreased 5.51% to 6.35p.

Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has agreed the transfer of its mining licence for the Bougouni lithium project in Mali, which means that the Mali government will hold 35% of the joint venture. This is made up of a 10% free carry and the purchase of a 25% stake for $4.3m. This stake cannot be diluted when further capital is raised. Kodal Minerals will hold 49% of 65% of the Bougouni project. There will be a $15m cash payment to the government in two tranches. Canaccord Genuity describes the outcome as “mixed but net negative”. The share price is 3.49% lower at 0.415p.

Tekcapital shares jump as MicroSalt explodes higher, remains heavily undervalued

Tekcapital shares were firmly bid on Friday after a busy week for its portfolio companies, including significant updates for low-sodium technology company MicroSalt and Innovative Eyewear, the developer and manufacturer of smart eyewear.

Tekcapital broke above 10p in early trade on Friday, trading at the highest levels since June. Yet, the gains this week in TEK shares still leave the technology investment company heavily undervalued compared to the net asset value of its portfolio.

According to our calculations, the total net asset value of the portfolio companies is a little over £51m. This doesn’t include any cash or convertible loan notes it has on its books.

The portfolio value alone would translate to a share price of 26p compared to a current Tekcapital share price of just 10.5p at the time of writing. Our portfolio valuation total was calculated using live share prices and is subject to change as underlying prices fluctuate.

One of the shares fluctuating on Friday was MicroSalt after the company released a bumper update on its orders from some of the world’s largest snack food companies this week.

MicroSalt shares had added another 26% to trade at 95p at the time of writing on Friday. In terms of underlying value for Tekcapital, MicroSalt is the company’s largest holding, with the value of their holding exceeding the entire market capitalisation of Tekcapital.

There is a clear disconnect between portfolio company valuations and Tekcapital shares.

This disconnect results from the macroeconomic environment being largely unfavourable for early-stage companies as higher interest rates increase discount rates and lower the perceptions of value in certain assets.

However, this discount is largely unwarranted for Tekcapital. Most of its portfolio consists of listed equities, which have clear indications of value attributed to them by public markets. The discount between Tekcapital shares and the NAV is more appropriate for a portfolio of privately held stocks with big question marks about their valuation. The market may remove this discount as sentiment improves.

Tekcapital also has the additional benefits of potential upside in portfolio companies.

MicroSalt could well have further run if the company revealed further commercial deals that cement its place as one of the major players in reducing sodium content in food to help fight against cardiovascular disease.

Recently listed GenIP is arguably undervalued after coming to market during a period of uncertainty around AIM shares. The Generative AI analytics firm has already announced orders that infer an annual revenue run rate that would dictate a valuation two or three times higher than the current share price should one apply peer group average price-to-sales multiples to the company.

Then we have Guident, the only current privately held company that may be Tekcapital’s jewel in the crown. The autonomous vehicle safety company operates in the popular urban mobility sector and is busy building out commercial relationships, one would assume, in preparation for a future listing.

Tekcapital also retains holdings in Innovative Eyewear and Belluscura, which are both scaling their models and increasing revenue.

As an AIM-listed company with a market cap under £50m, Tekcapital should be considered a higher-risk share. However, adventurous investors with a reasonable appetite for risk may benefit from the closing of the discount between the NAV and share price and any further appreciation of portfolio company values.

Three shares set to benefit from the Autumn Budget

Believe it or not, some UK shares may actually benefit from the Labour budget announced this week.
Investors will be all too aware of the budget's impact on UK equities in the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the budget, and some may find it challenging to pick out any shares that will see improvement in their prospects due to the measures announced by Rachel Reeves. 
However, a small section of the market benefits from the budget, either directly or through the inadvertent consequences for UK markets.
Since the budget, the jump in gilt yields has been one of the most notable shifts in U...

Frasers Group and boohoo Group – Lightning speed appointment of new boohoo CEO puts Frasers’ Ashley at a disadvantage 

In a very quick snub for Mike Ashley’s demands, this morning it has been announced that the ailing boohoo Group (LON:BOO) has appointed former JD Sports and currently Debenhams CEO, Dan Finley, 41, as the Group’s Chief Executive Officer. 

Finley has been involved in the boohoo Group’s fast-growing digital department store, since he was appointed Debenham’s CEO in January 2022, under his leadership, the business has been transformed into Britain’s leading online department store with a gross merchandise value annual run rate of some £800m, through a capital-light, cash generative and highly profitable marketplace model.  

Group Deputy Chairman Alistair McGeorge stated that: 

“The Board of boohoo was unanimous in its decision to appoint Dan Finley as CEO. Dan is one of the outstanding leaders in a new generation of digital retailers.  

Dan and his team have successfully transformed Debenhams from a failed department store, creating a new business model that is a capital-light, stock-light, high-growth marketplace.  

Before Debenhams, Dan had a track record of phenomenal success in online retail during his 10 years at JD Sports.  

The Board looks forward to working with him, as we continue the review of options to unlock and maximise shareholder value.” 

Current boohoo CEO John Lyttle, who recently announced that he was standing down from the role, will remain available to Dan and the group to ensure continuity through the change of leadership and a smooth transition.  

It is expected that Dan will be appointed to the boohoo Group Board in due course. 

Boohoo Group shares are currently trading at around the 29.62p level. 

Mike Ashley, who last week demanded that he should be appointed CEO, representing his Frasers Group, boohoo’s biggest shareholder, might consider that he has been snubbed by this appointment. 

Frasers Group (LON:FRAS) shares are 761p, down 23.50p. 

AIM movers: Selene recoverable gas volumes disappoint Deltic Energy and ex-dividends

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MicroSalt (LON: SALT) continues to rise on the back of the orders from major customers announced yesterday. The share price jumped a further 24.4% to 79p. Tekcapital (LON: TEK) owns 69% of MicroSalt and its share price is 8.82% higher at 9.25p.

Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) says third quarter gas production of its Italian interests, where it has a 37% stake, was 76,910scm/day. Prospex Energy’s net revenues for the quarter were €1m, which is a record. There should be a further increase in gas production in the fourth quarter. The share price increased 9% to 6.65p.

Automated transport analytics provider Cordel (LON: CRDL) has secured an extension to its contract with the Australian Rail Track Corporation up until August 2025. There is also an expansion of the work to be undertaken. This will help to underpin forecasts for this year. The share price rose 9.43% to 7.25p.

Versarien (LON: VRS) says that it has received a further £60,000 out of the £604,000 for the sale of the Korean plant and equipment. This leaves £242,000 outstanding and this will incur interest at an annual rate of 10%. If it is not paid by the end of 2024 the title to the assets will remain with Versarien. The share price improved 4.35% to 0.036p.  

FALLERS

Deltic Energy (LON: DELT) says wireline logging and fluid sampling confirm the gas discovery at Selene in the North Sea, where it has a 25% working interest. The reservoir quality is better than expected, but it is deeper than anticipated which means that recoverable gas volumes of 131bcf are lower than previous estimates of 320bcf. This should still be economically viable. Further work is required, though. The share price dived 20.7% to 6.15p.

Gaming and displays technology developer Nexteq (LON: NXQ) says 2024 revenues could be up to 12% lower than market expectations. Orders are being delayed to 2025. Cavendish has cut its pre-tax profit forecast by one-third to $6m, but the dividend is still expected to be raised by nearly 10% to 3.6p/share. That is twice covered by earnings. The share price declined 18.5% to 72.5p.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) reported its full year figures just in time to avoid suspension. Revenues fell from $3.72m to $2m in the year to April 2024, while the loss increased from $10.5m to $14.6m, partly due to a swing from an exchange gain to an exchange loss. There was a $3.97m cash outflow from operations. The share price fell 7.69% to 0.09p.

Diagnostics company Novacyt (LON: NCYT) has appointed Dr Ian Gilham as a non-executive director. He is currently chairman of Genedrive (LON: GDR). The Novacyt share price slid 5.41% to 55.9p.

Ex-dividends

Burford Capital (LON: BUR) is paying an interim dividend of 4.8p/share and the share price slipped 5p to 1046p.

CVS Group (LON: CVSG) is paying a final dividend of 8p/share and the share price is 13p lower at 960p.

Gattaca (LON: GATC) is paying a final dividend of 2.5p/share and the share price fell 3.3p to 87.5p.

London Security (LON: LSC) is paying an interim dividend of 80p/share and the share price declined 50p to 3600p.

NWF (LON: NWF) is paying a final dividend of 7.1p/share and the share price slipped 9p to 143.5p.

Sylvania Platinum (LON: SLP) is paying a dividend of 1p/share and the share price is unchanged at 46.5p.

Tribal Group (LON: TRB) is paying an interim dividend of 0.65p/share and the share price rose 1.4p to 48.1p.

FTSE 100 falls as budget realities sink in, US tech hits sentiment

London’s flagship index was firmly in the red on Thursday as the budget implications hit sentiment and a US tech sell-off compounded a risk-off tone to trade.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.7% to 8,099 at the time of writing.

Although yesterday’s budget wasn’t as bad as many had first feared, it was still broadly negative for UK companies.

Increased National Insurance will raise business costs and erode profits, and the hike in capital gains tax will dent investor enthusiasm. Frozen corporation tax is a minor win for UK businesses, but it is very minor in the context of the £40bn tax hikes announced yesterday by Rachel Reeves.

Forecasts of increased government spending and borrowing have raised gilt yields, which doesn’t bode well for interest rate cuts. Everyone knows this isn’t good for stocks.

“Yesterday’s relief rally after the Budget didn’t last long,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Gilt yields jumped after the market cottoned on to a big increase in government borrowing over the next five fiscal years and that extra tax income from changes announced in the Budget won’t appear overnight.

“That means interest rates could stay higher for longer which is not good for housebuilders and retailers hoping for reduced pressures on household finances, hence why those sectors were in the red today. It also explains why banks were among the select few risers on the FTSE 100 as they stand to benefit from a stronger interest rate environment as they can charge more for lending.”

As alluded to by Russ Mould, yesterday’s rally in the housebuilders was turned on its head with Persimmon, Barratt Redrow, and Taylor Wimpey all down 3% or more.

The government pledge for £5bn to build houses isn’t going to do much good if buyers can’t afford to climb the property ladder and landlords dump properties because buy to let doesn’t make financial sense anymore.

Smith & Nephew was the FTSE 100’s loser after it reduced its revenue growth guidance amid weakness in China. Shares were down 12% at the time of writing.

“The largest UK medical devices maker, Smith & Nephew, has cut its full year revenue growth forecast based on weaker than expected performance in China. Lower demand in the surgical business has seen the trimming of the forecast from 5-6% down to 4.5%, a significant shortfall and shares are hurting for it this morning,” said Adam Vettese, market analyst at investment platform eToro.

The prospect of higher interest rates helped Lloyds and Natwest carve out minor gains while Shell rose 1% on a fresh $3.5bn share buyback.

Over 90% of the FTSE 100’s constituents were in the red at the time of writing on Thursday.

Microsoft shares fall on week guidance despite strength in the cloud business

Microsoft shares were down in the US premarket after the tech company released its Q1 results, which beat expectations but made investors reconsider the company’s outlook.

Q1 results were robuts. EPS came in at $3.30 against $3.10 expectations and revenue was $65.59 billion versus $64.51 billion analyst expectations. This should have been enough to drive a pop in the stock.

However, weak guidance drove investors to hit the sell button and shares slipped over 3% in the US premarket.

“Microsoft hasn’t been the hottest stock of late, and heading into earnings, it was cloud growth that was under the microscope,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Growth of 33% for Azure, its cloud computing platform, looked like a strong number, and when you add in the 12% contribution from AI, it continues to support the argument that the major cloud providers are well-placed to benefit from the new AI demand cycle.

“The downbeat stock reaction is likely due to guidance given on the call. Margins are expected to come under pressure next quarter as the ramp-up in AI spending hits the cost line, and with Azure growth expected at 31-32%, that would mark a slowdown quarter-on-quarter.”

Investors may also be concerned about huge ongoing investments in AI. Microsoft is a major player in the AI revolution through their investment in OpenAI, but the amount of cash being poured into pursuing building out the technology will be seen as a negative by some.

Share Tip: Just Take A Look At This Group’s Impressive Profit Growth Profile, Its Shares Are Looking Undervalued At 42p, Insider Buys, Brokers TP 68p

I really like these figures – 1.8, 2.9, 5.6, 7.2 – and investors should do too! 
In million pounds sterling they represent the four-year profit span for Venture Life Group (LON:VLG). 
Yesterday the self-care products group bought another big line for its portfolio. 
The Business 
Venture Life, whose products are sold in over 90 countries worldwide, is an international consumer self-care company focused on developing, manufacturing and commercialising products for the global self-care market.   
With operations in the UK, Italy, The Netherlands and Sweden, the group’s p...