tinyBuild sales above expectations despite ‘challenging backdrop’

tinyBuild, the premium video games publisher and developer, has released a trading update for the first five months of 2024, revealing sales slightly ahead of expectations.

tinyBuild shares were 2% higher at the time of writing.

The company’s performance offers a mixed picture for investors, with some positive indicators tempered by persistent market difficulties.

Revenue for the first five months of 2024 has marginally exceeded expectations, a welcome development given the tough time the company had last year.

tinyBuild has emphasised release schedule remains heavily weighted towards the second half of the year, and investors will hope these releases will do materially better than the disappointing launch of some titles this year.

Looking ahead, tinyBuild’s has several high-potential games in development. The company added one million new wishlists across its portfolio in the past month, a key indicator of future sales potential. However, management remains cautious, acknowledging the risks associated with new launches and maintaining a focus on cost control.

SIG revises 2024 profit forecast amid challenging market conditions

SIG plc, a leading European supplier of specialist insulation and building products, has issued a trading update indicating a downward revision of its profit forecast for 2024.

SIG shares were down 10% after the company alluded to persistent challenging market conditions as the primary driver behind lowering profit expectations for the year.

The Group reports that like-for-like sales have declined by approximately 7% in May and June to date, mirroring the trend observed in the first four months of the year.

This performance falls short of previous expectations, prompting the Board to revise its full-year underlying operating profit forecast to a range of £20m-£30m, below current analyst projections.

SIG attributes the subdued demand to ongoing softness in the building and construction sector, with the impact most pronounced in the French and German markets, as well as in the UK Interiors business.

While the company’s operations in Poland, Ireland, and UK Exteriors continue to demonstrate more robust demand, overall group sales have underperformed expectations in recent weeks.

Belluscura announces fundraising amid strong interest in CLNs

Belluscura announced successful fundraising on Monday and said it had enjoyed robust investor demand for a previously announced convertible loan note placing.

On 12 June, Belluscura announced a proposed placing of convertible loan notes. The company reports significant interest from both new and existing investors, with an update on final terms, including issue size, expected shortly.

In addition, Belluscura has successfully raised £300,000 from an investor through a subscription of new ordinary shares. This subscription was completed at 15p, representing a 7.7% discount to the closing mid-market price of 16.25 pence per share on 21 June.

The company plans to use the net proceeds from this share subscription for working capital purposes.

Last year, Belluscura recorded a step change in order intake and revenue generation after receiving approval for its oxygen concentrator units across Asia.

The funds raised from this round will be allocated to meeting these orders and supporting further revenue growth.

S&P 500 Weekly Outlook 24th June 2024

In our last note we remained cautious as the market looked vulnerable to some profit taking. This has not occurred in any scale, yet. Will this profit taking emerge or can this pace of buying continue?

We still stay skewed to the negative view, and can see the market dropping back to the previous upside resistance, now support, around 5,400 in the first instance, and then could slip down towards the previous resistance level, black line, currently around 5,150.

The Hindenburg Omen signal gained a lot of coverage this week as the S&P 500 is flashing up this signal which traditionally has helped to pick out tops in the market around 2-6 months before a 20-30% correction.

The signal essentially looks at the ratio of new 52 week highs and new 52 week lows, on the hypothesis that in a healthy positive market there should be a strong ratio of new weekly highs to lows. When the ratio of new highs to lows moves back towards parity, or even under, it signals that the market is pushing up to new highs only due to a few high profile names.

Which can be an early warning signal as then it only takes a market turn in a sector or two, or in just a few names, to pull the market lower. Currently this is the AI boom. Clearly AI will revolutionise the world at least as much as the internet has over the past 25 years. The issue is that, like the dotcom bubble of 2000, investors have been too quick to buy into any stock with any affiliation with AI. There will be a few huge winners with AI over the next decade. However the likelihood is that like the internet, this will be limited to a few huge winners, and not spread across the whole sector.

As a result the AI bubble could yet burst, and this would allow the Hindenburg omen to be proved correct in a few months time. Like last week, we are not calling the top of the market here, but we do feel that the underlying sentiment is one of greed at the moment, when this pivots to one more of fear there is now considerable downside.

So we would recommend a hold, take profits or even trading short position for the more active traders, as we wait to see how the market reacts when the heat starts to come out of the current sentiment.

THG – Is It Being Bailed Out By Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group Taking Out Coggles & Co?

Within the retail fashion sector, the buzz over the weekend was that Mike Ashley’s Frasers Group (LON:FRAS) was negotiating to relieve Matt Moulding’s THG (LON:THG) ‘empire’ of its Coggles retail operation.

Set up way back in 1974, Coggles today is a premium international fashion retailer home to over 200 men’s and women’s designer collections from established fashion houses, emerging designers and rare international labels, including Balenciaga, Bottega Veneta, Ganni, Gucci, Kenzo, Marc Jacobs, Karl Lagerfeld, Max Mara, Polo Ralph Lauren, Rains, Paul Smith, Thom Brown and Alexander Wang. 

It also sells a range of homeware and beauty branded products.

Husband’s Affair Was Just The Start

The company was started by Victoria Bage, who ran a stall in York market which proved such a big hit that she opened a store, one of the north’s first boutiques, two years later.

Bage, it is said, caught her husband having an affair with his secretary.

She promptly divorced him and named the store, situated in York, after the secretary ‘Sarah Coggles’ to remind him of the mistake he had made. 

Mark Bage, Victoria’s son, modernised the shop and launched an online store in 2006.

Enter Matt Moulding

However, the whole business was put into administration in 2013 – its physical stores were liquidated while The Hut Group acquired the Coggles online operation.

In early December 2017, the company opened a physical 4,000sq ft store in Alderley Edge, in Cheshire, marking its first offline offering since it had been forced to close the Coggles flagship in York, after the group fell into administration.

The new shop, a former bank, features preserved wood and marble decoration and two former vaults that have been converted into shoe and accessories showrooms.

It is situated in one of the most prestigious destinations in the north-west.

The loss-making THG has been selling off non-core assets in order for its management to focus upon its nutrition, beauty and digital, marketing and fulfilment businesses.

Frasers bought ProBikeKit from THG in May last year.

So, the market now questions whether THG making such a disposal as Coggles to Frasers a friendly buyer when funds are required – is it effectively a bailing out in times of need?

Today’s AGM

THG will be holding its AGM in Altrincham later today.

In the group’s AGM Trading Statement, the company has announced that it has agreed to sell its portfolio of luxury goods websites, including www.coggles.com to the Frasers Group.

Ingenuity will continue to support the brand portfolio across technology, digital marketing and fulfilment services post disposal.

From a standing start almost 11 years ago, THG’s luxury division grew to some £43m in sales and it reported a broadly break-even for 2023, despite a broader challenging luxury market.

Current Market Position

There are ‘short positions’ against 2% of the THG equity, with Marshall Wace, Wellington Management International and Qube Research & Technologies being the biggest players.

The shares, which were trading at 110.25p this time last year, are now fairly close to their 56.30p one-year low, are currently at 61.85p, valuing the whole group at £823m.

Three FTSE 350 dividend payers to ride out the election (Legal & General shares don’t make the cut)

The election shouldn’t bring too much in the way of excitement in equity markets. Everyone knows that – failing a monumental polling discrepancy that would render the entire industry not fit-for-service – Labour will be in power post 4th July. 

That said, such events have the potential for volatility, and a solid set of dividend payers can help smooth out any bumps in the road.

Legal & General shares would have historically given us a head start in compiling a selection of FTSE 350 dividend payers. However, its recent capital management targets involved reducing dividend growth to a meagre 2% in the coming years. The shares have a healthy yield, but stunting dividend growth makes the stock less attractive, and it doesn’t make the cut on this occasion. 

We explore three FTSE 350 dividend paying stocks that we feel offer not only healthy yields, but the opportunity for future dividend growth and capital appreciation.

Download ‘5 Stocks that could benefit from a Labour government’ Special Report

These three stocks also hold long-term potential and shouldn’t be viewed as a short-term trade.

NextEnergy Solar Fund

Yielding 10% and trading at a 29% discount to NAV, the NextEnergy Solar Fund Investment Trust should fare well in the coming weeks and beyond.

Over the past full-year period, the trust has expanded its portfolio of solar assets to 103 and increased installed capacity to over 1GW.

The big problem for the trust has been questions about the value of its portfolio of privately held solar assets during the higher interest rate environment. 

We’ve selected NESF, yet there are a whole host of trusts with portfolios of renewable infrastructure that are facing the same problem. 

The big attraction to the trust over its peers is its yield. High yields can sometimes be associated with distress. This simply isn’t the case with NESF. 

In its full-year results released this week, the trust outlined a dividend that is covered 1.3x and grew 11% in the last year. An 11% dividend hike is not a move made by a board concerned about being able to maintain payouts. 

The company has embarked on a capital management programme in the face of higher interest rates and has disposed of a number of assets, one of which provided a 100% valuation uplift on the balance sheet valuations. The proceeds of the capital recycling programme will be used to pay down short-term borrowings.

Download ‘5 Stocks that could benefit from a Labour government’ Special Report

A Labour government has also promised a big green agenda which will be generally supportive of the trust’s operations.

IG Group

IG Group provides tradeds with a trading venue for OTC derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and stocks. It has global operations, trading under the brand IG as well as tastytrade in the US after acquiring the platform in 2021.

From a dividend perspective, IG has a 5.9% yield, which is covered 2.1x.

In recent years, the top line has grown steadily as the group wins new business and launches new offerings such as fully-managed smart portfolios and ISAs.

IG Group’s growth story is supported by solid fundamentals. In the third quarter ended 29 February, the number of new clients that traded for the first time increased to 18,000. This was higher than the previous quarter (16,600), and the same period a year ago (17,400). The key Active Clients metric for period was 266,800, an increase on the second quarter.

However, active clients are only one half of the story.

In times of volatility, IG’s account holders will have a greater propensity to place trades to take advantage of price fluctuations. A higher number of trades by its clients translates directly into higher revenue for IG. Thus, IG Group is a natural hedge against volatility.

In 2024 year-to-date, IG’s revenue is down 6% on the same period and the company has blamed ‘materially lower volatility’. Indeed, IG Group said the period year-to-date has seen the lowest volatility in the past five years.

Should financial market volatility heighten around the election, IG Group will be a beneficiary.

Download ‘5 Stocks that could benefit from a Labour government’ Special Report

AstraZeneca

AstraZeneca doesn’t pay a huge dividend. Its 2% yield isn’t anything to write home about. However, it has recently announced ambitious growth targets, which, if achieved, promise steady and measured dividend increases in the coming years.

In late May, the company set out plans to grow revenue to $80bn by 2023 as new blockbuster drugs are released to the market.

“In 2023 we delivered the ambitious $45 billion revenue goal set a decade ago,” said Pascal Soriot, Chief Executive Officer, AstraZeneca. “With the exciting growth of our innovative pipeline, which has the potential to transform millions of lives, we are now aiming for $80 billion by 2030.”

The company said they plan to ‘launch 20 new medicines by 2030, many with the potential to generate more than $5 billion’.

Should this goal be delivered – and there’s no reason to suggest it won’t – AstraZeneca’s current valuation is compelling.

AstraZeneca currently trades at 19x forward earnings. This may be considered a touch expensive compared to the benchmark, but this doesn’t take into consideration growth beyond next year.

The dividend was flat between 2022 and 2023 but the group increased payouts in 2024. The impact of capex and the pandemic slowed dividend hikes in recent year and investors will be encouraged to see the company return to the path of a dividend progression.

Download ‘5 Stocks that could benefit from a Labour government’ Special Report

Brokers generally have a favourable view of the stock with Berenberg recently upgrading their price target to 15,000p.

New AIM admission: AOTI Inc eyes $12bn market

Medical technology company AOTI Inc has developed products that help to heal wounds by focusing oxygen on chronic wounds. These can include diabetic foot ulcers and pressure ulcers. The company acquired a negative pressure wound therapy device.
Diabetes levels are increasing, and this will provide the core market. The estimated global market for the company’s technology is $12bn. That requires regulatory approvals in additional geographic markets.  
The board decided to come to AIM in June 2023. Existing shareholders sold 11.8 million shares in the placing. There were 22 trades during the...

Aquis weekly movers: Daniel Thwaites edges up revenues

Brewer Daniel Thwaites (LON: THW) increased full year revenues by 6% to £115.5m. The main growth was in the pubs and inns division. Operating profit before property disposals improved 4% to £11.3m. The interim dividend was raised from 0.75p/share to 0.85p/share. Net debt increased from £66.7m to £70.8m at the end of March 2024. The pension surplus rose to £34.9m. The share price recovered 11.85 to 85p.

Tap Global Group (LON: TAP) has launched its US service via its joint venture with Zero Hash. This operates a B2B2C crypto and stablecoin infrastructure platform and the US users will get access to a core suite of services to trade bitcoin and other digital assets. The share price rose 11.1% to 1p.

Renewable energy technology company Time to Act (LON: TTA) joined the market on 29 May and the share price had stayed at 50p until last week when an uptick in trading activity meant that it increased 10% to 55p.

EDX Medical (LON: EDX) is launching comprehensive hereditary germline cancer testing products and services. These will predict if family members are more at risk of contracting cancer. The first test identifies mutations in 70 genes associated with cancers. The share price improved 10% to 8.25p.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has secured the sale of a 4.4MWh vanadium flow battery to PowerFlex in the US and it will help to underpin the 2024 forecast revenues of £37.3m.  The deal is for California where there is significant demand for storage batteries. The share price is 3.9% higher at 20p.

FALLERS

TruSpine Technologies (LON: TSP) chairman Geoffrey Miller has increased his stake from 8.24% to 9.22%. Another shareholder transferred 1.5 million shares at 1.5p each. The share price dipped 36.4% to 1.75p.

Skin treatments developer Incanthera (LON: INC) has completed the recent fundraising at 15p/share. Unicorn Asset Management has taken a 11.4% stake.  The share price slipped 10.9% to 24.5p, but it is still 253% ahead this year.

Health food company Essentially Group (LON: ESSN) has received approval for the listing of $25m of 12% fixed rate notes 2027 on the Vienna MTF. This cash will fund capital investment. The share price fell 5.56% to 42.5p.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) is seeking admission to the Growth Enterprise Market Segment of the Nairobi Securities Exchange in July. This will provide access to institutional investors in Kenya. Initial spodumene sales of 500 tonnes have been made from the Blesberg site. The export sales process will complete in the next four weeks. Minimum sales target of 10,000 tonnes should be achieved for 2024. Other buy-products could be sold later in the year. The share price declined 4.55% to 7.875p.

Director deals: RWS recovery on cards

RWS (LON: RWS) directors, including outgoing chief executive Ian El-Mokadem, have bought shares in the translation and IP services provider following the recent interim results.
Ian El-Mokadem bought 5,000 shares at 176.4p each. He is leaving early next year and owns 195,000 shares.  
Chairman Julie Southern acquired 2,547 shares at 196.3p each and 2,529 shares at 197.8p each. That more than doubled her stake to 9,076 shares. The initial purchase of 4,000 shares was in June last year at 258p each following the previous year’s interims.
Business
RWS reported a 4% decline in interim revenue...

AIM weekly movers: Longboat Energy recovers after disposal news

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Shares in oil and gas projects developer Longboat Energy (LON: LBE) is selling its assets in Norway for $2.5m and the assumption of $8,5m of debt by the acquirer. This should save $1.25m in costs in 2025. The cash will be invested in the main asset, which is the 52.5% owned Kertang gas prospect, offshore Sarawak. A farm out process will be conducted in the second half of 2024. An updated competent person report is due at the end of the month. The share price recovered 169% to 19.5p, but it is still lower than at the start of the year. Chair elect James Menzies has bought one million shares at 9.75p each, prior to the main share price rise.

Supercapacitors developer Cap-XX (LON: CPX) has appointed former ITM Power boss Dr Graham Cooley, Peter Fraser and Anthony Sive as non-executive directors. They have each been granted 10 million options exercisable at 0.08p/share. There will be a capital markets update alongside the publication of the results for the year to June 2024. The share price jumped 144% to 0.1975p.

Crossword Cybersecurity (LON: CCS) has signed a partnership to jointly market its Rizikon supply chain cyber platform. The deal is with a UK subsidiary of a global aerospace and security company. The focus is sub-sectors within the UK critical national infrastructure market. There is potential to generate several million pounds over the next few years. The share price rose 64.6% to 6.75p.

There is a rival to the Checkit (LON: CKT) indicative offer for Crimson Tide (LON: TIDE), which has been rejected despite an increase from seven shares to nine shares for each Crimson Tide share. Former AIM company Ideagen has offered 312p/share for Crimson Tide, which is being considered. This pushed up the share price by 49.3% to 265p, still well below the bid level but the highest level for one year.

FALLERS

Slater Investments continued to reduce its stake in R&Q Insurance Holdings (LON: RQIH), which is trying to sell its Accredited business, and it has fallen from 11.7% to 3.63% over the past week. Other shareholders are following suit. The board says that it intends to accept the alternative proposal from the buyer of Accredited. This means that the company will go into liquidation. The share price slumped 70% to 0.075p before trading was suspended on Wednesday.

Active Energy Group (LON: AEG) dived because it intends to leave AIM and go into liquidation. There is no suitable offer for the CoalSwitch assets, but some discussions continue. Even so, shareholders are unlikely to get anything from the liquidation. Trading in the shares will be suspended on 1 July because the 2023 accounts will not be ready. Assuming the general meeting agrees to the proposals the AIM quotation will end on 23 July. The share price slipped 64.3% to 0.075p.

Geological information publisher Getech (LON: GTC) reported a rise in loss from £3.1m to £3.6m in 2024. Getech has refocused on its core business because it does not have the financial strength to develop hydrogen products. The first four months trading in 2024 has improved by 17%, but the cash outflow needs to be stemmed. There was £400,000 in cash at the end of 2023, supplemented by a property sale in January raising £650,000. There is another property valued at £850,000. Cavendish believes Getech could break even this year. The share price suggests that investors are not so sure, and it declined 57.4% to 3.25p.  

Market research company YouGov (LON: YOU) says sales bookings have been lower than expected since the interims were reported. Full year revenues will be approximately £324m-£327m and underlying operating profit will be £41m-£44m. There is reduced demand for fast-turnaround research. There will also be a change in revenue recognition for consumer panel services that delays some revenue into next year. The share price is down 44.1% to 467p, which is the lowest it has been since 2020.