REA increases Rightmove bid after rejection

Rupert Murdoch’s REA Group has shown how keen it is to acquire Rightmove by coming back with a higher bid after an initial approach was rejected.

REA has made a improved proposal to acquire Rightmove, offering 770p share in a cash and stock deal. This latest offer, made on September 22, 2024, values Rightmove at approximately £6.1 billion and represents a 9.2% increase from REA’s initial proposal on September 5.

The new offer consists of 341p in cash and 0.0422 new REA shares for each Rightmove share.

The revised offer price represents a significant premium to Rightmove’s recent trading prices, including a 39% premium to its undisturbed share price on August 30, 2024. This move follows Rightmove’s rejection of REA’s previous improved offer of 749p per share on September 18, which the Rightmove board deemed as fundamentally undervaluing the company.

We will have to wait and see whether the Rightmove board see any merit in the revised offer, but it isn’t a huge increase on the initial offer.

“We believe that the combination of our world-leading expertise and technology with the attractive Rightmove business will create an enhanced experience for agents, buyers and sellers of property,” said Owen Wilson, CEO of REA.

“We live in a world of intensifying competition and this proposed transaction would bring together two highly complementary digital property businesses for investment and growth. We have today increased our proposal to an implied value of 770 pence – it provides a combination of immediate value certainty in cash and at the same time gives Rightmove shareholders an increasing opportunity in core digital property and adjacencies where we have much expertise. We are genuinely disappointed at the lack of engagement by Rightmove’s Board and we strongly encourage the Rightmove Board to engage.”

Rightmove is the UK’s leading property portal, and for it to fall into overseas hands at a low valuation will be a blow to London’s markets.

How will US rate cut affect commodities?

Last week’s 0.5 of a percentage point cut in US interest rates was larger than many people expected. The US government is switching from reducing inflation to growth. Panmure Liberum believes that this should be the start of a rate cut cycle.
There was one dissenting vote from someone who wanted a 0.25 of a percentage point reduction. Inflation is falling and the US authorities want to create more jobs and prevent the weakening of the economy. There are plans for significant investment in infrastructure.
If inflation returns, then there could be a change in interest rate policy. There are glob...

Director deals: Executives and non-execs buying shares in Next 15 after interims

Next Fifteen Group (LON: NFG) was hit by a profit warning ahead of its interims and the share price slumped. Following publication of the interim figures, five directors bought shares to show their confidence in the company.
Chief executive Tim Dyson bought 10,791 shares at 461p each, while finance director Peter Harris also bought 10,791 shares at the same price. Chief operating officer Jonathan Peachey acquired 11,019 shares at 454p each.
Chairman Panny Ladkin-Brand bought 1,083 shares at 460p each and 5,415 shares at 462p each. Non-exec Helen Hunter purchased 3,235 shares at 461p each. The ...

Aquis weekly movers: KR1 income grows

The Pitch Pit (LON: PICH) share price recovered 532% to 0.06p as it refocuses on AI ventures. The company plans to raise up to £500,000.

Digital assets investor KR1 (LON: KR1) reported interim revenues from those digital assets improving from £3.91m to £8.72m, although lower gains on disposals of assets meant that the pre-tax profit edged up from £10m to £10.3m. There was £1.5m in cash in the balance sheet at the end of June 2024. NAV was 82.01p/share at the end of June 2024 and this has fallen back to 71.92p/share at the end of July 2024. The share price jumped 19.8% to 51.5p, which is still well below asset value.

Constantine Logothetis has acquired more shares in SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) taking his total to 25.1%. The share price improved 4.11% to 38p.

FALLERS

Adsure Services (LON: ADS) has declared a final dividend of 0.99p/share. The ex-dividend date is 17 October. Even so, share buying at prices lower than the market price last week led to the share price halving to 15p.

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) has raised £360,000 at 0.375p. This will provide working capital. New 3D modelling at the Red Setter prospect owned by Wishbone Goldshows a high quality target, plus the structure of a dome target. The assessment of the Western Australia shows gold, some near the surface, and copper resource. The share price dipped 46.7% to 0.4p.

Probiotix Health (LON: PBX) has secured an agreement with Greek consumer business Eifron, which will introduce YourBiotix tablets in early 2025 under its own brand. There will also be other products using Probiotix Health’s core ingredient launched. The share price fell 10.5% to 4.25p

Oscillate (LON: MUSH) has signed an agreement to acquire Quantum Hydrogen for £1.4m in shares. The Minnesota exploration acreage has potential for hydrogen gas. There was £500,000 raised at 1p/share. The share price slid 3.85% to 1.25p. Investee company Shortwave Life Sciences (LON: PSY) announced positive safety results for its proprietary psilocybin-based drug combination.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) reported a higher loss in 2023. There was a £913,000 cash outflow from operating activities. There was also a £1.67m outflow from investing activities. The first manganese export sales have been completed from the Larisoro manganese mine. The share price declined 3.39% to 7.125p.

William Black and Armstrong Investments has increased its stake in EPE Special Opportunities (LON: EO.P) from 5.1% to 6.02%. The share price slipped 3.13% to 155p.

AIM weekly movers: Global Petroleum explores for metals

0

Shares in oil and gas company Bowleven (LON: BLVN) have rebounded 57.1% to 0.275p ahead of the exit from AIM on Monday 23 September. Crown Ocean Capital has increased its stake from 58.3% to 72.6%.  JP Jenkins will provide a matched bargain facility.

Global Petroleum (LON: GBP) has risen on the back of yesterday’s application two additional licences near to an existing Juno licence in Western Australia, where it increased its stake from 70% to 80%. This is near the Havieron project. Precious and base metals targets have been identified that have similar characteristics to the existing licence. The company has appointed Omar Alumad, who it says has a record of identifying early opportunities, as chief executive and Hamza Choudhry as finance director. The share price jumped 51.5% to 0.125p.

Nostra Terra Oil and Gas (LON: NTOG) fell into loss in the first half of 2024 as revenues declined from $1.47m to $938,000. There was a sharp fall in production. New management has taken control. Investors appear to be positive about the potential for the oil and gas company. The share price recovered 26.7% to 0.0475p.

Video games company Team17 (LON: TM17) improved revenues by 11% to £80.6m thanks to strong sales of back catalogue. Own IP is 42% of sales. Underlying pre-tax profit improved 23% to £19.2m. Cash in the bank is one-fifth higher at £54.3m. New releases will generate more income in the second half. The share price recovered 25.6% to 270p. That is the Cantor Fitzgerald target price.

FALLERS

Jade Road Investments (LON: JADE) shares continue to fall following news ithas constituted up to £1m of principal value convertible loan notes lasting 10 months. There is no interest charge, and the conversion price is a 30% discount to the lowest closing bid price in the 30 days prior to conversion. Jade Road Investments has issued £80,000 of convertibles to strategic partner MBM. The two-thirds decline in the share price to 0.3p means that the market capitalisation is not much more than the maximum amount of convertibles that can be issued. That means potential dilution is huge.

Africa-focused energy company Chariot Ltd (LON: CHAR) has completed the drilling of the Anchois-3 main hole. It encountered gas, but gas pays are thinner than pre-drill estimates. The well will be abandoned. The next step for the project is being discussed with joint venture partners. The share price fell 47.1% to 1.674p.

Digital media company Catenai (LON: CTAI) reduced its loss from £196,000 to £13,000 in the six months to June 2024. That is down to the fees earned for the £450,000 convertible loan note investment in oil and gas-focused data analytics company Klarian and reduced costs. Catenai has also moved from net liabilities to net assets. The cash position has improved to £31,500. The share price dipped 30.2% to 0.15p.

Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) raised £450,000 at 0.1p/share to continue the development of Molaoi zinc silver lead project in Greece. Earlier in the month, the JORC resource was raised by 500% to 1.09 million tonnes of zinc, 260,000 tonnes of lead and 19.1 million ounces of silver. A retail offer to existing shareholders of up to £250,000 managed to raise £82,000. Rostra Holdings holds 15.6%, TPM Middle East Dubai owns 10.1% and The Wonderful Group holds 9.98%. The share price is 30% lower at 0.105p.

FTSE 100 slips on mixed economic outlook, FedEx raises concerns

After a bumper session for US stocks overnight, UK investors may be disappointed with the soggy session for the FTSE 100, which was trading down heavily in afternoon trade.

UK-specific macro news was to blame, and concerns about the upcoming budget have started to take hold in the market.

“The FTSE 100 started off on the back foot on Friday despite record highs in the US overnight. The index was dragged lower by a surge in the pound which affects the relative value of constituents’ overseas earnings,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ regular warnings of ‘difficult decisions’ in the Budget will be carrying increasing weight after new figures showed public debt as a share of the economy had reached 100% for the first time since the 1960s.”

UK sentiment was hit by mixed economic data related to the consumer. Retail sales rose 1% in August, but Gfk Consumer Confidence fell on worries about the consequences of taxes and disposable spending.

The FTSE 100 was down 0.8% at the time of writing. Although the S&P 500 surged to record highs overnight, US futures were on the back foot after a warning from FedEx about their outlook.

“Often seen as a good indicator of the health of the wider economy thanks to the breadth of its exposure across areas like transportation, logistics and e-commerce, FedEx’s big warning overnight might have wider resonance. It was severe enough to wipe $8 billion off its market value,” Russ Mould said.

“FedEx’s shares were down by double digits in pre-market trading as the company slashed its guidance after missing first-quarter forecasts by a notable degree. The company’s core Federal Express business is really in the doldrums.”

In London, the top risers and fallers were almost a mirror image of yesterday’s leaderboard. Utilities companies were among the very few gainers on Friday, and cyclical sectors were heavily in the red.

National Grid was the top riser with a 1% gain, and United Utilities wasn’t far behind.

All the optimism evident in retailers yesterday was obliterated after this morning’s economic data. Frasers Group and Kingfisher were heavily hit. Even B&M Value was down more than 2%.

Burberry, set to be ejected from the index on Monday, was the top faller with a 4% loss.

AIM movers: Pressure Technologies near to disposal and Global Petroleum applies for additional licences

0

Global Petroleum (LON: GBP) has risen on the back of yesterday’s application two additional licences near to an existing licence in Western Australia. Precious and base metals targets have been identified that have similar characteristics to the existing licence. The recent board appointments have experience in this area. The share price jumped 37.8% to 0.1275p.

Paul Scott has taken a 3.18% stake in wellhead safety equipment developer Plexus Holdings (LON: POS). The share price rose 13.3% to 11.5p.

FALLERS

Jade Road Investments (LON: JADE) shares continue to fall following news ithas constituted up to £1m of principal value convertible loan notes lasting 10 months. There is no interest charge, and the conversion price is a 30% discount to the lowest closing bid price in the 30 days prior to conversion. Jade Road Investments has issued £80,000 of convertibles to strategic partner MBM. The two-fifths decline in the share price to 0.3p means that the market capitalisation is not much more than the maximum amount of convertibles that can be issued. That means potential dilution is huge.

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) has raised £360,000 at 0.375p. This will provide working capital. The share price dived 31.8% to 0.375p.

Digital media company Catenai (LON: CTAI) reduced its loss from £196,000 to £13,000 in the six months to June 2024. That is down to the fees earned for the £450,000 convertible loan note investment in oil and gas-focused data analytics company Klarian and reduced costs. Catenai has also moved from net liabilities to net assets. The cash position has improved to £31,500. The share price dipped 30.2% to 0.15p.

Steppe Cement (LON: STCM) reports a 4% decline in cement volumes in the first half of 2024 and revenues fell 7% to $34.4m due to lower prices. That means that the Kazakhstan company has fallen into loss. Steppe Cement expects to maintain its market share at around 14%. Inflation is easing and sales volumes and prices are recovering. The share price is 16.1% lower at 13p.

CleanTech Lithium (LON: CTL) says procedural matters have delayed the approval process for the ASX listing. The share price is down 12% to 15p.

Pressure Technologies (LON: PRES) says current trading is slightly weaker than expected. A defence order has been delayed. On the bright side, the sale of the precision machined components division should be completed soon. This will enable the focus on the cylinders business and move the balance sheet into net cash. The share price fell 5.36% to 26.5p.

Iodine producer Iofina (LON: IOF) generated record interim revenues of $26m due to raised volumes, but higher costs meant that pre-tax profit slid from $4.68m to $1.06m. Iofina is paying more to oil and gas companies for the brines it requires, and maintenance costs were increased. The new IO#10 plant is operating, and prices have improved. Canaccord Genuity has raised its full year forecast revenues from $50.8m to $55.4m, although a higher tax rate means that earnings have been cut from 2.4 cents/share to 2.2 cents/share. The share price fell 4.65% to 20.5p.

EKF Diagnostics – The Shares Of This Profitable Global Business Are Now 28p, Brokers Predict 39p 

On Thursday 18th July, I asked whether the shares of EKF Diagnostics (LON:EKF) were a Buy at the then 31p. 

Since then, they have been up to 32.90p and down to 26.30p – after this week’s Half-Year Report, I answer my own question. 

Now at 28p, I consider that the shares of this £125m capitalised global diagnostics business are primed for a recovery rise. 

It may be some time for them to get back up to the 94p that they reached this time three years ago, even so I can see them putting on a neat-25% gain within the next six months or thereabouts. 

The Business 

Based in Penarth (near Cardiff), EKF operates five manufacturing sites across the US and Germany, selling into over 120 countries worldwide. 

It is a global diagnostics business, whose two main divisions are focussed upon: Point-of-Care analysers in the key areas of Haematology and Diabetes; and on its Life Sciences services which provide specialist manufacture of enzymes and custom products for use in diagnostic, food and industrial applications. 

Half-Year Report 

The six months to end-June 2024 reported on Tuesday of this week, indicated a period that showed strong improvement in gross margins, earnings growth and cash generation, in-line with management expectations. 

Reflecting winding down of non-core and low margin product lines and services the Interim revenues from continuing operations were £25.2m (£26.9m), while the profit before tax of £3.1m (loss £0.03m). 

Chairman Julian Baines stated that: 

“The Board remains confident in the outlook for the business overall and with orders already in house for the second half we are very confident that the Point of Care performance in Europe, Middle East and Africa will improve significantly.  

The actions we’ve takenare expected to yield further improvements in gross margins, earnings growth and cash generation, and as a result of our efficiency drive we now have a leaner business, with a cost base correctly aligned to a more focussed higher-margin product mix. 

The Company expects the improvement in performance to continue in H2 2024 and remains confident that full year results will be in-line with market expectations.” 

Analyst Views 

The trio of analysts at Singer Capital Markets – Chris Glasper, Karl Keegan and Edward Sham – rate the group’s shares as a Buy, looking for 39p in due course. 

They noted that the Interim results show a strong improvement in margins and cash generation as a result of self-help measures and strong execution from management taking effect.  

They state that the outlook remains positive, with H2 looking well underpinned by orders already received in the Point-of-Care division and further growth from the newly commissioned Life Sciences manufacturing plant in South Bend. 

The analysts reckon that despite the tangible evidence of progress, with the shares remaining at depressed levels, trading on <10x EV/EBITDA, falling to <8x, underpinned by a solid balance sheet and a FCF yield of 6%.  

However, they do continue to believe that undervalues both the core Point-of-Care business and the significant growth potential in the Life Sciences division.  

For the current year to end-December, they estimate revenues of £53.0m (£52.6m), with adjusted pre-tax profits of £6.6m (£6.7m), generating earnings of 1.0p (1.5p) per share. 

The 2025 year could see £56.6m sales, an increased profit of £7.5m, with earnings of 1.2p. 

Going forward, they already estimate that 2026 will show £60.3m in revenues and £8.6m in profits, worth 1.4p per share in earnings. 

In My View 

Based upon the broker estimates it does look as though EKF’s reorganisation process is capable of showing some early benefits to the bottom line. 

Although the shares are trading at a fairly high price-to-earnings ratio, I consider that they will rise from the current 28p to trade around the 35p level within the next few months. 

UK retail sales jump but consumer confidence falls

Fresh economic data released on Friday provided a mixed picture of the UK consumer, with retail sales rising more than expected but consumer confidence slipping.

The weather played a part in retail sales rising 1% in August, much better than the 0.4% consensus expectation.

“It’s no secret that people feel happier when the sun shines and that happiness tends to impact their spending habits. Warm summer evenings are the perfect backdrop for a BBQ with friends and family, requiring a quick trip to the supermarket to stock up on burgers, buns and beer” said Danni Hewson, AJ Bell head of financial analysis.

“Food sales provided a substantial boost to retailers in August with fragile consumer confidence enjoying a rate cut hug which offset some of the political messaging that’s since eroded some positivity. 

“Ever since lockdowns blighted people’s lives, they have put experiences ahead of stuff and food often plays a vital role in creating those memorable events that will be cherished as nights draw in and summer excesses fade into memory.”

However, while the good weather ramped up people’s supermarket spending, Gfk’s Consumer Confidence reading slipped to -20 from -13, signalling underlying concerns of the UK consumer.

The -20 read was the lowest since March, showing that all of the optimism built up over the summer has quickly evaporated. Potential Labour tax risers are to blame.

For all the talk of helping the UK grow, Labour has done exactly the opposite in the first months of government.

GenIP: the next Tekcapital spin-off IPO

Whisper it, but it seems like IPO season may be coming back to AIM.

While the index has suffered a dearth of quality listings over the past couple of years, recent new entrants to the market include Helix Exploration, Pulsar Helium, MicroSalt and Rome Resources. The next one to watch is GenIP (AIM ticker GNIP), a remarkable GenAI service business that’s already revenue-generating, the second spin-off this year from Tekcapital.

This new AIM IPO is set for its first day of dealing 2nd October. Tekcapital, through its subsidiary Tekcapital Europe, will end up owning circa 64% of the share capital of GenIP post-admission, with an anticipated raise of approximately £1.5 million. Yes, this is fairly moderate.

MicroSalt Progress

But as a reminder, the last Tekcapital IPO was MicroSalt; the spin-off shot up to 114p out of the gate and even after correcting is still worth some £27 million. Given that TEK retains a 70% holding of SALT, and TEK itself only has a market cap of £12 million, there is an obvious value disconnect. Add in TEK’s holdings in Belluscura, Innovative Eyewear, and Guident — and the long-term value is obvious.

For context, MicroSalt continues to go from strength to strength, last week announcing new placements in Winn Dixie, Fresh Thyme Markets, Sedano’s Supermarkets, Northwest Grocers, Cub Foods, and Central Market, as well as bulk orders from Ingredients Online, for its SaltMe branded low sodium crisps and saltshakers.

There are now 1,200 shops across the US retailing the company’s products — and the business is using a new United Natural Foods distribution centre in Florida as well as a Kehe Foods distribution centre in Illinois to help it grow — two of the largest distributors in Northern America.

MicroSalt remains in advanced discussions with major food manufacturers, with volume commitments of approximately 350,000 lbs received in Q3. Even more order commitments are anticipated in Q4 from companies in both Mexico and the US.

And ‘positive conversations’ are also ongoing in the UK, Canada, South Africa, and the US — with the bulk business taking hold in Q4.

Indeed, CEO Rick Guiney remains ‘very excited about the placement of our MicroSalt products and the consequential growth in distribution within UNFI, Kehe and Ingredients Online. All of these retailers have strong presence in their respective markets, and this continues our efforts to have MicroSalt in every kitchen pantry across the US and beyond.’

GenIP IPO

But GenIP is the news of the day — and here’s why. The spin-off has proposed an IPO offer on AIM — having already filed a Schedule One Form with the London Stock Exchange.

GenIP provides artificial intelligence analytic services to help various companies, research institutions and venture funds assess and commercialise new discoveries. It does this by combining expert human technical review with GenAI algorithms to provide insightful services that function better than human work alone.

Current clients include Brazil’s National Nuclear Energy Commission, Fundación Copec UC (a strategic alliance between Empresas Copec and the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile), and the University of Huddersfield — though the client target list is large and growing.

For perspective, the company will be targeting the AI analytics market which is estimated to be worth $5 billion by 2030 through its two services: Generative AI enhanced research reports assessing market potential of tech breakthroughs, and Generative AI executive recruitment services to find the people to deliver them to commerciality.

CEO Melissa Cruz notes ‘We are entering a transformative phase in the Generative Artificial Intelligence growth story. The next chapter will be driven by the applications of generative AI and the revenue opportunities businesses will realise by integrating this technology into their core services. At GenIP, we see generative AI as an integral revenue generation tool, not just as a means of cost savings or headcount reduction. Generative AI is at the heart of the solutions we deliver to our clients and will be fundamental for the growth of GenIP. We believe that GenIP’s unique business model offers investors a valuable opportunity to engage with the rapidly expanding Generative AI analytics market and the research institutions and technology companies that fuel much of the world’s innovation.’

GenIP has developed its own generative AI software — Invention Evaluator — which alongside executive recruitment platform Vortechs™ may help clients enable better, faster and more affordable technology commercialisation and investment decisions.

The software should allow businesses to better evaluate and commercialise their technology discoveries. The Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) enhanced research reports assess their market potential and the GenAI executive recruitment service matches technology organisations with experienced executives and business leaders specifically capable of delivering them to market.

Or in other words, the company’s tech helps other organisations better monetise their advances and find the right people to make this happen cost-effectively.

Tekcapital comments

Tekcapital Executive Chairman Dr Clifford Gross enthuses that ‘GenIP’s Invention Evaluator and Vortechs have been instrumental in commercialising numerous technological innovations, allowing them to develop from a clean piece of paper to operating companies and listed spinouts. Now, having forged commercial relationships with leading research institutions and successfully launched revenue-generating GenAI analytics services, we believe the Company is well placed for the next chapter of its growth story as a stand-alone Company providing GenAI services to the wider market.

The new services were launched in September 2024 whereupon the Company received orders for 40 analytical assessments and three executive search assignments.’

Perhaps just as important as the orders is the personnel; Non-executive Chair is Lord David Willetts, who also serves as Chair of the UK Space Agency — alongside Oxford Professor and former Chairman of the UK Atomic Energy Authority Dr David Gann as a non-executive director.

The company’s website will go live at AIM admission with more detail, but given the market reaction to the MicroSalt IPO, it is certainly one to watch.