Tesla sees ‘notably lower’ sales growth, shares sink

Tesla shares were sharply lower in the US premarket after the electric car maker headed up by Elon Musk released soft earnings pointing to a slowdown in sales growth and said margins would come under pressure.

Tesla said sales growth would be ‘notably lower’ in the near term – a major disappointment for investors accustomed to substantial growth rates.

Despite the launch of the long-awaited Cybertruck, adjusted EBITDA was 27% lower in Q4 2023 compared to the same period a year ago.

Compounding problems for the EV maker, margins were being pressured by a price war with Chinese competitors that has led to erratic pricing strategies.

“When you consider the miss on gross margins in the fourth quarter, there is a danger Tesla is facing the worst of both worlds with an erosion of its leading market share – surrendered to Chinese rival BYD in 2023 – and its profitability,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Gross margins are now a long way short of their peak levels at 29.1% in the first quarter of 2022 and are now roughly on a par with some of the traditional carmakers which trade on less lofty valuations.”

Tesla shares were down 8% in the US premarket at the time of writing.

“Elon Musk may have apologised for not having a crystal ball, but investors would probably settle for a lesser attempt at forecasting. Sales are expected to drop as the EV specialist looks to find a place to land between two so-called growth waves,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The re-emergence of plans for a lower-priced vehicle speaks volumes about the pressures being faced as price wars wage on. The tougher dynamics have led to there being no guidance on specific delivery targets in 2024. 

“The tide isn’t turning against electric vehicles, but it has become less helpful. The higher costs of buying electric are putting consumers off at a time when cost of living pressures and uncertain economic conditions are pushing big-ticket purchases further down the road.”

Helium One Global shares soar after encountering ‘elevated helium shows’

Helium One Global shares soared on Thursday after announcing upbeat results from its helium drilling campaign in Tanzania.

Helium One Global today provided an update on drilling operations at its Itumbula West-1 well in Tanzania, announcing it has encountered “elevated helium shows” at multiple target depths.

The well reached its target depth of 961 meters in basement rock on 24th January after passing through the Lake Beds Formation, Red Sandstone Group, Karoo Group and other targets. The company reported helium shows over 20 times above background levels while drilling through these zones.

Helium One Global shares were over 60% higher at the time of writing.

Helium readings increased in frequency and concentration in faulted zones encountered during drilling, likely due to the migration of deeply sourced fluids along the faults liberating the helium, Helium One said.

In addition to helium shows, the well also hit high concentrations of hydrogen in the Lake Beds Formation. Elevated hydrogen continued in the Karoo Group and basement.

Wireline logging operations are now underway for further evaluation. This will be followed by drill stem testing across the faulted zone and other zones of interest. Helium One said it remains excited by the initial results and will provide further updates once testing is completed.

Although today’s news has been taken well by the market, it may have come too late for some longer-term holders who have suffered multiple delays and dilutive placings that have eroded shareholder value.

CVS Group shares rise as full-year guidance maintained, CMA review looms

CVS Group shares ticked higher on Thursday after the veterinary services group released rising revenue for the full year ended 31st December and said they expect to deliver full-year results in line with expectations.

The company posted strong revenue growth during the period, with total group revenue increasing 11.4% to £329.9 million compared to £296.3 million in the first half of 2023. On a like-for-like basis, CVS’ sales rose 6.0%, within the 4-8% target range outlined at the company’s Capital Markets Day in November 2022.

A key driver of CVS’ growth continues to be membership in its Healthy Pet Club preventative care program, which reached 500,000 members as of 31 December 2023, up 4.0% from 489,000 members as of 30th June 2023.

The company’s adjusted EBITDA margin held steady at approximately 19%, as a slight improvement in gross margin was offset by increased utilities and other costs, as well as continued investment in support functions.

“CVS continues to be buoyed by an explosion in pet ownership in the UK. The vet-care specialist has seen another round of double digit revenue growth in the first half, and robust like-for-like growth. The group’s mindful of the tough economic backdrop, but has reaffirmed it’s on track to hit full year expectations,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“One of CVS Group’s main strengths is that spending on our pets is an area that we won’t cut back on unless absolutely necessary. That doesn’t make the group immune to a tightening of purse strings, but it does make it more resilient than the average business.”

CVS invested £17.2 million in practice refurbishments, relocations, new equipment and technology during the first half, in line with its target of £30-50 million in capital expenditures per year.

The company remained active on the acquisition front, completing 4 additional acquisitions of small animal veterinary practices in Australia, bringing the total to 13 acquisitions and 15 sites in the first half of 2024. The aggregate initial consideration for these deals was A$103.8 million (£54.6 million).

CVS Group shares were 1.4% higher on Thursday, but the stock still remains well below 52-week highs after the UK’s CMA announced a review into the veterinary market’s practises.

“The cloud of the Competition and Markets Authority’s investigation into the veterinary sector is still lingering. Outcomes are due early this year, and this will be the main driver of sentiment in the short term. Issues surrounding branding when CVS acquires a local practice, as well as pricing transparency are two of the main issues at play. Despite the added pressure this brings, the shares have arguably been oversold in response to the investigation,” Lund-Yates said.

FTSE 100 gains as US stocks reside near record highs, China stimulus boosts miners

Record highs in US stocks do wonders for investor sentiment, as was the case on Wednesday after another strong session across the pond helped lift European stocks.

Upbeat earnings from Netflix raised hopes tech stocks could provide a catalyst for another leg higher in global equities. At the same time, reports of possible Chinese stimulus sent the FTSE 100’s China-focused stocks sharply higher.

“The FTSE 100 got off to a strong start on Wednesday as US stocks continued to test new records with earnings season getting underway in earnest,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Reported plans for a big intervention to help restore investor confidence in China helped lift shares with ties to emerging markets including insurer Prudential, banking outfit Standard Chartered and miners.”

The FTSE 100 was 0.3% higher at the time of writing in range-bound trade.

One eye on the UK economy

London’s leading index wobbled briefly earlier in the session following the release of upbeat UK services. Better than expected UK Services PMI data sent the pound higher against the dollar as the all-important service industry showed signs of expansion. Notably, employment in the sector was robust, supporting a healthy picture of the UK economy.

While this is excellent news for the economy, it’s not necessarily good news for stocks.

A rising pound tends to cap gains for the overseas-weighted FTSE 100, and a strong services sector reduces the need for the Bank of England to cut interest rates in the near term to support activity.

Trade on Wednesday represents the gyrations investors should become accustomed to in the coming months as anticipation around the first interest rate cut builds.

FTSE 100 movers

Reports of Chinese stimulus helped propel the miners higher on Wednesday, with the sector dominating the top risers. Fresnillo stormed nearly 6% higher and was the top gainer, closely followed by Endeavour Mining.

Copper miner Antofagasta was in demand as shares rose over 5%. Diversified miners Anglo American and Glencore gained between 2.6% and 3.3%.

Companies with strong ties to China, such as Burberry and Prudential, also showed well on Wednesday.

The risk-on trade was demonstrated by weakness in defensive names such as pharma groups Haleon and GSK.

AIM movers: System1 momentum improves and Molecular Energies share price halved

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Strong sales growth is being maintained at market research services provider System1 (LON: SYS1) and 2023-24 forecasts have been upgraded for the second month in a row. The pre-tax profit figure has been raised from £1.6m to £2.5m, while next year’s estimate has been increased from £2.2m to £3.5m. Operational gearing means that profit is growing faster than revenues. The share price rose 19.3% to 340p.

Flooring supplier AIREA (LON: AIEA) says sales continue to grow and it is winning business in export markets. Overall growth was in low double-digits. Two carbon neutral products have been launched. A £5m investment in the manufacturing facility in Ossett, West Yorkshire will be completed in 2025. The automation of processes will increase capacity. The share price is 16.3% higher at 28.5p.

Legal service provider NAHL Group (LON: NAH) performed in line with expectations in 2023 and pre-tax profit is estimated to be around £1.5m. National Accident Law is maturing and cash generation increasing. Critical care remains the main profit generator and National Accident Helpline personal injury leads remain subdued. Debt is declining. Allenby forecasts a 2024 pre-tax profit of £4.2m. The share price increased 9.9% to 66.5p.

Animal feed additives supplier Anpario (LON: ANP) did much better than forecast in 2023. Even though the pre-tax profit forecast has been raised to £3.3m, it is still lower than the 2022 figure of £4.1m. Price increases and cuts in overheads improved profitability. Cash is £10.6m. The share price improved 5.21% to 252.5p.

FALLERS

Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) has raised £500,000 at 35p/share. The share price slumped 51% to 36p. The cash will finance ongoing activities while the spin-out of Green House Capital Group is progressing and the company awaits payments related to the disposal of the oil and gas assets in Argentina. So far, $500,000 out of $13m of debt has been repaid, while a $2m payment for the business is due in September. An exploration well is being drilled on the Pirity concession in Paraguay and management is seeking new opportunities.

Sunrise Resources (LON: SRES) is still in discussions with potential partners for its CS pozzolan project and pozzolan demand is growing for blended cements. The talks are dragging on, though. There was a £385,000 cash outflow from operations by the end of September 2023. The share price dived 32.1% to 0.0475p.

Technology investment company Tern (LON: TERN) raised £400,000 at 2p/share, which is the current share price after a 30.4% fall. The cash will be reinvested in investee companies.

Film localisation services provider Zoo Digital (LON: ZOO) says that delays in film and television productions mean that there will be a higher than expected loss in 2023-24. This is because there was a slower than expected pick up in work after the writers’ strike ended. There should be an improvement in workflow after the end of the financial year. The share price is 26.7% lower at 42.5p, which is still above the low during the strike.

Revolution Bars Group (LON: RBG) interims were hit by reduced student spending at its eponymous bar chain, while costs are increasing. The Peach outlets are performing in line with expectations. Cavendish has cut full year revenues estimates from £174m to £150m. The loss is likely to be £5.8m and losses are set to continue for the following two years. Net debt is £20.3m and could reach £25.7m by the end of June 2024. The debt facilities total £30m and capital investment is likely to be reduced. The share price slipped 20.8% to 3.05p.

Tekcapital gearing up for MicroSalt IPO with asset sale

On Wednesday, Tekcapital provided further evidence that MicroSalt is on the verge of listing in what could be the first AIM IPO of 2024.

The technology investment company said it had disposed of shares in another portfolio company, Belluscura, for the sole purpose of contributing towards MicroSalt’s admission to AIM.

MicroSalt has developed salt technology that lowers sodium intake without sacrificing taste. Millions of people globally die prematurely due to cardiovascular diseases exacerbated by the overconsumption of sodium.

Governments and large food corporations are waking up to the health implications of high-sodium intake and MicroSalt is well-positioned to drive the reduction in consumption.

In 2023, the company recorded a significant year of commercial progress for both its salt shakers and B2B business, including deals with two Fortune 500 companies.

According to the admission document released last year, MicroSalt has established a commercial relationship with one of the world’s largest snack food businesses, and Tekcapital further confirmed substantial orders of bulk low-sodium salt in its annual corporate review.

An updated Schedule One form submitted to the London Stock Exchange in December indicated MicroSalt would list in late January. Given the company has not advised otherwise, the listing could be a matter of days away.

Wetherspoon builds momentum over the key festive trading period

Demand for cheap pints gathered momentum over the festive period with Wetherspoon’s bars enjoying increased like-for-like sales ahead of industry benchmarks.

In the 25 weeks to 21st January 2024, like-for-like sales rose 10.1% versus the same period last year. Bar sales were up 11.8%, with food up 7.9%. Total sales grew 8.4% year-to-date.

Recent trading showed no let-up, with like-for-like sales jumping 11.1% in the last 12 weeks. Wetherspoon continued to outperform the broader pub and restaurant sector, with its December like-for-like growth of 15.2% well ahead of the industry average of 8.8%. This marks 16 straight months of outperformance for Wetherspoon.

The company did see some moderation in the last 3 weeks, with like-for-like sales up 5.8%, but the underlying momentum remains strongly positive heading into the key spring and summer trading periods.

“It’s fair to say that even a cost of living crisis has not dulled the British appetite for a pint at the pub, especially when the pints are going cheap. Wetherspoons’ jump in sales versus last year illustrates that small luxuries will still be afforded within people’s budgets, even when money is tighter than usual,” said Adam Vettese, analyst at eToro.

“The pub group has always been centred on value and this is in focus more than ever, albeit with inflation weighing on input costs in recent times. This value focus will have helped the business to carefully balance costs over the last year and with pressures likely to ease up in the months ahead and with rate cuts coming in, Wetherspoons is very well placed to kick on.”

After a rip-roaring rally in JD Wetherspoons shares from the October in which the stock has gained by third, today’s trading update was the signal for some investors to book profits.

JD Wetherspoons shares were down by 1.5% at the time of writing.

“With the shares up some 75% over the last year and a valuation multiple of about 20x forward earnings, there’s certainly pressure to keep serving up impressive results,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

easyjet shares takeoff on strong summer bookings

easyjet shares were higher on Wednesday after the airline announced strong momentum going into the summer months and strength in the first quarter.

easyJet’s first quarter results showed improving underlying performance, despite conflict in the Middle East temporarily impacting operations.

The airline expects to reduce seasonal losses in the first half of 2024 versus last year, absorbing a £40 million impact from the conflict. easyJet holidays saw a 48% jump in customers.

easyjet shares were 5% higher at the time of writing on Wednesday.

The key passengers growth metric increased by 14% as loss before tax for the first quarter reduced to £126m from £133m in the last year. With profits almost exclusively weighted to summer months, airlines are expected to recorded losses over the winter.

Bookings indicate a positive summer ahead, with early trends showing increased volume and pricing year-on-year. easyJet expects second half revenue per seat to remain well ahead of 2023 levels, with higher loads and yields in Q3 and Q4. Cost control initiatives aim to deliver flat unit costs, excluding fuel.

The holidays business anticipates over 35% more customers this financial year. While the Middle East conflict caused short-term disruption, easyJet enters peak summer with strengthening demand and momentum.

“Geopolitical conflict can spook many industries, especially airlines. Broader softness was seen at the outbreak of the Middle East conflict in October, and easyJet is counting the lost pennies from paused flights to the tune of £40m. Shutting down routes is a very expensive undertaking and it’s unclear when things will normalise,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Looking further into the year, summer bookings look robust, in a sign that travel remains a priority for consumers. There is some uncertainty about how long these trends can hold though.

“Investors will be more concerned about the group’s ability to maintain the newly reinstated dividend. At this stage it seems unlikely easyJet will scrap its plans to increase the payout to 20% of post-tax profits this year, but that will depend on the resilience of forward bookings.”

Ilika progressing towards commercial battery products

Battery technology developer Ilika (LON: IKA) is making progress with the transfer of equipment and validation of production with its US manufacturing partner Cirtec Medical. Stereax product sales are still some way off, though. There is significant potential for Stereax and the larger Goliath batteries, but it will take years for this to be realised.
The Goliath automotive battery has reached prototype stage and most of the grant income of £1.34m in the six months to October 2023 relates to this.
There is plenty of cash in the balance sheet and this will last for another 18 months or so. A fu...

Steps to Make You Closer to Owning a Home

For the majority of people, becoming a homeowner is a dream and an aspiration. In fact, the average person – someone who’s not a major investor or a business owner – will see buying a house as the single biggest investment of their lifetime. This will be the most valuable asset that they own, but getting to that stage can be a challenge.

Now, we all know that homeownership rates among Millennials and Gen Z are not that great, even for their age, when compared to previous generations, that is. Does this mean that buying a house in this day and age is impossible? Of course not! After all, housebuilders were in huge demand in 2023, and someone has to buy these homes, right?

Sure, buying a home is difficult, but every challenge can be navigated. To help you overcome this obstacle, here are several tips you should hear.

1.   Create a budget

The first thing you need to do is figure out how much house you can afford. There are a lot of great online calculators out there, and while they’re not 100% precise, they can help you get a general idea of what you’re working with.

This way, you’ll also get an idea of total costs, like property taxes, monthly credit insurance, and more. The calculator takes into account your income, your debt-to-income ratio, credit score, loan term, etc.

Then, you need to figure out where you want to live. The location is a huge factor here, especially since the costs of property will vary based on the neighborhood. For instance, moving into a “cheaper” neighborhood means that you can get a much larger or more luxurious place for the same amount of money.

At the end of the day, the most important thing you have to do is set your budget. How much can you afford to spend on a house? Sure, you may be willing to budge for the perfect home and the deal of a lifetime, but even then, the percentage by which you’re willing to deviate shouldn’t be that extreme.

In short, the first step in owning a house lies in figuring out your own finances.

2.   Find money for a downpayment

The downpayment can be anywhere from 6% to around 20% of the purchase price of a home. Since homes are incredibly expensive assets, these 20% can be a small fortune. So, where do you get the money from?

Generally speaking, people get money from their own savings accounts, while some borrow from their friends and family.

The latter sounds like a better idea than it is in reality. Sure, friends and family won’t charge you interest and could be a bit more lenient with their repayment terms, but this is exactly why you don’t want to take advantage of them. Think about it: you’ll immobilize a sizable chunk of their funds for a while, and if you fail to pay them back, you risk a relationship with someone who loves and trusts you enough to part with that kind of money.

Those who are a bit more proactive get this from a second job or a side hustle. Even something as simple as tax refunds can be used to bolster a down payment fund.

Those who think ahead of time can start saving or investing money early. Finding the right investment platforms in the UK and placing a few adequate trades can earn you just enough for this down payment.

It’s also worth mentioning that there are a lot of down payment assistance programs, employer assistance programs, and similar grants that are there to help people become first-time homeowners.

3.   Improve your credit score

People who can afford their first home without a mortgage are incredibly rare. In fact, if you’re one of the people in this category, good for you, but also, any advice that we give out in this post is completely redundant in your case.

Now, since you don’t already own a property, you likely lack any kind of collateral for a secured loan. This means that your credit score will play a huge role in your loan repayment terms. This will determine how much money you can get, how long until you have to pay it back, etc.

To boost it, you must first understand it. There are several factors that go into your credit score. These are factors like the total amount of money that you owe, the number of loan types that you currently have, and your credit history length. This means that closing that credit card that you’re no longer using might not be as good of an idea as you thought at first.

Also, bear in mind that while buying a home is a massive step in your life, it’s not a finish line. This mortgage that you’ve just got is an amazing opportunity to boost your credit score. It’s a huge debt with a lot of credit payments (spanning decades). In other words, it’s a perfect opportunity to prove to financial institutions that you’re actually creditworthy.

4.   Consider all your options

Before you make any major life or financial decision, it’s crucial that you reconsider your priorities. Do you just not want to pay rent? Is just owning your home a worthy enough goal, or does it have to be your dream home? How big of a priority is space?

Remember that some people see owning a home as an investment, not just an improvement in quality of life. After all, you can borrow against the equity in your home, sell it, and do a number of different financial actions. None of these things are to be dismissed too easily.

Still, if just owning a place is a goal, you might want to read up a bit on the tiny house movement. According to one survey, 68% of tiny house owners have no mortgage. This is true for just 29.3% of regular homeowners.

It’s not just the mortgage. With a smaller home, every other expense goes down, as well. The cost of utilities, property taxes, and everything else is proportional to the size of the place.

5.   Negotiate and shop around

While you may not think it’s worth your while, it’s generally not uncommon for a home buyer to successfully negotiate down up to 5% of the purchase price. These 5% are a significant amount, and it’s definitely worth your while to give it a go.

Remember one thing, if you’re tactful and considerate, no one will get offended by your suggestion that a price be lowered. After all, you’re not asking for 20% off; you’re merely asking for 2-5% off the total price.

Also, you might want to shop around a bit. Ask for quotes and offers, but never settle for just one option. Sellers can sense desperation, and if you’re considering several options, you’re definitely not desperate. It’s a simple tactic like this one that can help you the most.

Buying your first home is a worthy goal, even if it’s hard to achieve

Having a place of your own is about more than just not paying rent. It’s about owning a property that you can pass on, sell any time you want, or do with as you please. It’s about having a place that you can truly call your own. It’s not just an investment, it’s a major life achievement. So, hard as it may be, it’s definitely something worth grinding for.