AIM movers: H&T hit by weak jewellery sales, while Brave Bison beats expectations

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Digital advertising services provider Brave Bison (LON: BBSN) generated slightly better than expected 2023 revenues, but the pre-tax profit estimate has been increased by 13% to £3.6m. New contract wins have helped to boost scale. The share price improved 18.9% to 2.2p.

Energy supplier Yu Group (LON: YU.) has sparked another upgrade with its latest trading statement, which reveals 2023 trading was well above previous estimates. Liberum raised its pre-tax profit estimate from £32.9m to £41m. Cost reductions, hedging and operating leverage all helped to boost margins. The dividend estimate has jumped from 6.4p/share to 17.2p/share. The share price jumped 11.7% to 1245p, which is the highest level since 2018.

Serinus Energy (LON: SENX) is preferred bidder for the KON-13 block in the onshore Kwanza basin in Angola. Serinus will be allocated a 55% working interest. This licence covers more than 1,000 square kilometres and is underexplored. The share price increased 10% to 2.75p.

Construction and asset management software provider Eleco (LON: ELCO) generated a 22% organic increase in 2023 recurring revenues to £20.7m with an additional £2m coming from the acquisition of BestOutcome. The move to a SaaS-based business is gaining momentum. The 2023 earnings estimate has been increased by 3% to 3.8p/share. The share price rose 6.9% to 93p.

FALLERS

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) has raised £1.26m at 0.1025p/share. The cash will fund development of the Baita Plai mine in Romania to access higher-grade ore. Productivity should be improved by investment through developing the decline. The share price fell 18.9% to 0.1075p.

December retail jewellery sales at H&T (LON: HAT) were weak and this has led to profit downgrades, even though the pledge book of the pawnbroker was higher than expected at £130.9m. Foreign exchange business has not grown as fast as hoped. The 2023 pre-tax profit forecast has been reduced from £29.5m to £26.6m. The dividend expectations have been trimmed to 17p/share. Wage rises will hamper progress this year, but 2024 pre-tax profit is still expected to improve to £33.5m. The share price dipped 13.3% to 345p – the lowest level for more than three years.

Great Western Mining Corporation (LON: GWMO) has secured an agreement with Crowne Point Gold & Silver for exploring the western part of the Huntoon Valley in Nevada. This is a continuation of a previous agreement. Crowne Point will be assigned a 50% interest in nine of Great Western Mining’s claim.  There could be copper and precious metals in the area. Copper and base metal discoveries will be shared 50/50, while Crowne Point will have 70% of gold and precious metals discoveries. The share price declined 12.9% to 0.0575p, but it is still higher than one week ago.

Recruitment services provider Staffline (LON: STAF) estimates a small decline in profit in 2023. Temporary recruitment gained market share, while permanent recruitment continues to be weak. Net cash was better than expected at £3.8m. Zeus has trimmed its 2023 pre-tax profit forecast from £6.8m to £6.5m but continued tough trading conditions mean that the 2024 figure has been cut by one-third to £5.6m. The share price decreased 8.16% to 22.5p.

FTSE 100 slips ahead of central bank action

The FTSE 100 gave up early gains on Tuesday as the weight of concerns about the timing of interest rate cuts, softer economic data, and geopolitical risks dragged on London’s leading stocks.

Another record high for the S&P 500 envigorated the bulls in the early hours of trade on Tuesday, but the rally faded throughout the session, and the FTSE 100 was trading down 0.27% at the time of writing.

“For now, markets have shrugged off their New Year malaise, but investors’ newfound optimism could be tested in the near term with central bank meetings rapidly approaching on the horizon. At some point rates will have to be cut for stocks to maintain their upward trajectory,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

Investors will be conscious the ECB is due to announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, providing the first material insight into the thinking of major central banks this year.

ECB officials have regularly played down the prospect of interest rate cuts in Europe this year, and Thursday’s instalment will be eyed for any hints of dovishness from policymakers.

FTSE 100 movers

Miners were the standout performers as the sector bounced back from a string of poor sessions. Anglo American rose over 2%, Rio Tinto gained 1.8%, and Fresnillo 1.8%.

Indeed, there was a trend of stocks that have had a poor start to the year outperforming on Tuesday. Ocado, one of the FTSE 100’s heaviest-hit constituents of 2024, was among the risers, adding 1.9%.

Bargain hunters also took a shine to JD Sports as the sportswear retailer ticked higher after building a base around 110p. Yesterday, we explained the attractions of JD Sports in our article titled ‘JD Sports: shares look attractive after a terrible start to 2024.’

JD Sports shares had added another 1.4% at the time of writing on Tuesday.

Traders booked profits in Rolls Royce, which slipped 1.8% after meeting stiff resistance at 310p.

Inheritance tax receipts surge, but tax is largely ‘optional’

Inheritance tax receipts surged to £5.7bn between April and December 2023, a £0.4bn increase on the same period last year.

The increasing value of properties and stagnant thresholds means more people are being dragged into paying IHT, and HMRC is likely to have another record year for IHT receipts surpassing 2022/23’s record of £7.1bn.

“Inheritance tax may only be paid by 4% of estates but this hasn’t stopped our IHT bill surging to an estimated £5.7bn for the year so far. It looks increasingly likely that we will see another record-breaking year with IHT set to top last year’s £7.1bn by tax year end,” said Helen Morrissey, head of retirement analysis at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Reported government plans to axe inheritance tax at the last Autumn Statement were widely criticised, but with a mixture of frozen thresholds and historic house price growth pulling more people into the net, we may well see plans to reform this tax made a feature of March’s Budget.

“Increasing thresholds and gifting allowances that haven’t been touched for years could help some families from falling into the net and would likely prove more popular than a decision to scrap it completely.”

Although allowances and thresholds haven’t been amended for many years, experts call IHT an ‘optional tax’ because there are a plethora of ways to minimise paying the tax and manage your estate’s tax efficiently. Indeed, there are also many assumptions about thresholds and allowances that are often wrong and should be researched as part of IHT planning.

“There’s also a common misconception that you will have to pay Inheritance Tax on your family home if it’s worth more than £325,000. That’s not the case. Effectively, you have the right to transfer that property to your partner or your children with no Inheritance Tax to pay,” said Jonathan Halberda, Specialist Financial Adviser at Wesleyan Financial Services.

“It’s undoubtedly complex, but the reality is that this is largely an optional tax. By seeking professional support and acting early, you can put plans in place to minimise your risk. That might typically include putting savings into a trust, making gifts and taking out relevant life insurance policies that can counteract your liability. It’s never too early to start considering how you want your estate to be distributed.”

In addition to the measure mentioned by Jonathan Halberda, there are generous tax benefits including IHT exemption for investment schemes such as EIS and SEIS.

Cornerstone FS partners with Mastercard

UK-based Cornerstone FS announced today it has signed an agreement with Mastercard to launch a co-branded corporate card product. Under the partnership, Cornerstone will issue commercial cards supported by the Mastercard network to its corporate customers.

The new Mastercard-branded cards represent a key expansion of Cornerstone’s payment capabilities. The fintech company offers multi-currency accounts to businesses through its proprietary technology platform.

According to Cornerstone FS, the corporate card scheme aligns with its strategy to expand payment options for customers. The company expects to roll out the new commercial cards in the third quarter of 2024.

James Hickman, CEO of Cornerstone, commented:

 “We are thrilled to have entered this long-term agreement with Mastercard, which will expand our product offer to include commercial cards. This additional payment rail will provide our customers with greater choice and flexibility in managing their business expenses – and it is a key step towards our goal of offering our clients the ability to pay in or pay out, in any currency, via any payment method anywhere in the world.”

Cornerstone FS recently announced revenue grew 100% in the full-year period ending 31st December. EBITDA is expected to be not less than £1.4m.

Esken shares crash after fresh allegations by investor, loan repayment demanded

UK aviation group Esken announced new allegations from investor Carlyle Global Infrastructure Fund (CGI) regarding a technical breach of their loan agreement for London Southend Airport.

CGI is demanding early repayment of a £193.75 million loan by February 2024 that was not due until 2028.

Esken shares were down 52% at the time of writing.

Esken said it is investigating the validity of the alleged breaches and believes repayment at this time would have significant adverse implications for the company and stakeholders, including CGI. The company had viewed CGI as a long-term partner in the airport’s development.

Esken remains confident in its legal position on the original breach allegation made in September 2023. The company and its airport subsidiary will engage with CGI to resolve the issues, which they believe would be value destructive if the loan is called in early.

Esken said they see considerable value in the Southend Airport business underpinned by a buoyant air travel market after COVID-19.

Yü Group shares gain on bumper revenue growth

Yü Group shares jumped on Tuesday after the company announced exceptional financial results, surpassing expectations for revenue and EBITDA in 2023.

The UK energy supplier reported full-year revenue is expected to top £450 million, representing over 60% organic growth year-over-year. EBITDA is also projected to significantly exceed market expectations thanks to tight cost controls and operating leverage.

Yü Group shares were 8% higher at the time of writing.

Yü Group achieved monthly bookings growth of over 120% to above £55 million on average. The company maintained a strong net cash position of £31.9 million at year end, with an additional £49.8 million held on deposit to support hedging strategies.

Bobby Kalar, Yü Group CEO, said “Our systems, processes and balance sheet strength enabled us to deliver record financials despite energy market volatility. We expect this momentum to continue as markets stabilize.”

Kalar emphasized Yü Group’s hedging strategy as key to delivering profitable growth and cash flow generation amidst turbulence. A focus on higher credit quality and predictable consumption smart meters also fueled further volume growth.

With contracted revenues of £520 million for 2024, up 111%, Kalar said “We are positioned for another year of standout performance. As prices normalize, we expect substantially higher cash flow as collateral is returned to the business.”

FTSE 100 gains as S&P 500 hits record highs

The FTSE 100 jumped on US stock’s tailcoats as a record high for the S&P 500 last week helped lift sentiment in Europe on Monday.

The FTSE 100 was 0.2% higher at the time of writing, while the S&P 500 extended gains amid rising optimism around technology shares.

“A strong session last Friday for Wall Street saw the S&P 500 hit a new record high and that positivity extended to Europe at the start of the new trading week,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

London’s leading stocks have underperformed US counterparts in the early weeks of 2024, with the weighting towards commodities curtailing progress for the FTSE 100 amid growing optimism the Federal Reserve will cut rates in early 2024.

The FTSE 100 is down 3.3% in 2024 while the S&P has gained 1.5%. The German Dax is down 0.6%.

Monday was a fairly muted day for company earnings, and the FTSE 100 continued much in the same manner as last week. Concerns about China dragged on miners but failed to offset decent gains in gaming companies and housebuilders.

“Entain topped the FTSE 100 risers as investors piled back into the gambling sector after Flutter’s well-received update last week. Entain is the target of activist investors who have spotted an opportunity to drive change in the business after two years of share price weakness. It is also seen as a takeover target given the business has been sidetracked by numerous issues and is currently run by a caretaker CEO, making it vulnerable should a predator strike,” Russ Mould said.

Persimmon, one of the UK Investor Magazine’s Top 15 Picks for 2024, was the second top riser as investors continued to position for lower interest rates and the eventual revival of the UK property market.

JD Sports was among the best performers as bargain hunters picked up the stock after a dismal start to the year.

JD Sports: shares look attractive after a terrible start to 2024

JD Sports shares are the FTSE 100's worst performers of 2024 so far. A profit warning issued in the first week of the year sent the share price into a tailspin, touching the lowest levels since mid-2022.
After undoing 2023's rally entirely, we feel the company trades at an attractive valuation that doesn't represent its growth prospects in the medium term.
We first look at the reason for the selloff. After recording strong growth in Europe and North America, JD Sports set itself an ambitious profit before tax and adjusted items target of £1 billion for 2024FY.
JD Sports operates in a sportswe...

eEnergy sells energy management division

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eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) has sold its energy management division for an initial £29.1m in cash and intercompany debt repayments, which is similar to the whole company’s market capitalisation. There is further contingent consideration payable over the next two years. AIM-quoted eEnergy Group was one of UK Investor Magazine’s Top 15 Stock Picks for 2024 (https://ukinvestormagazine.co.uk/top-15-stock-picks-for-2024/(opens in a new tab)).

Flogas, a subsidiary of DCC (LON: DCC), is acquiring the energy management business. Contingent consideration is dependent on free cash flow generation from the core energy management business, plus the number of installations of the MyZeERO smart metering platform. This could add £8m-£10m to the cash payment. The maximum additional payment is £20m. This will be payable in two instalments covering the periods to September 2024 and the 12 months to September 2025.

There is a cross-referral agreement between Flogas and eEnergy. There is a referral fee for successful referrals. This lasts for an initial two-year period.

There was £23.4m invested in the energy management business. The sale requires shareholder approval at a general meeting on or about 7 February.

The cash will be used to pay off debt and the rest reinvested in the core energy services business, which offers solar and LED lighting as a service. There should be £18m in cash available.

Energy services revenues grew by 87% in the 12 months to June 2023. The additional finance will enable growth to continue to be rapid, even if it does not maintain that level of increase.

Prior to the disposal, Canaccord Genuity was forecasting 2024 EBITDA of £4.5m from the energy services business. There were corporate overheads of £2.1m separate from this and it is unclear how this figure will change after the disposal.

Chief executive Harvey Sinclair has been awarded a bonus of £285,000 and finance director Crispin Goldsmith £200,000 relating to the disposal. New share incentives have been announced for four directors and other employees, including those two directors, with a minimum vesting threshold share price of 9.32p. Other tranches of shares have vesting thresholds of 13p, 15.8p and 18.4p. Just over 184 million shares could be issued if all vesting levels are reached. This was set when the share price was 5p.

Canaccord Genuity has a target share price of 12p. The current share price is 7.6p.

AIM movers: United Oil & Gas hit by cash demand and another bid approach for SmartSpace Software

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SmartSpace Software (LON: SMRT) has received a bid approach from Sign In Solutions Inc at an offer price of 90p/share. Management says that it would back this offer, which values SmartSpace Software at £26m. This bid is subject to due diligence. Late last year, venue management software supplier Skedda Inc proposed an 82p/share offer for the smart building technology. JO Hambro, which owns 8.3% of the company, was supportive of the Skedda offer. The share price jumped 26.9% to 82.5p.

Keras Resources (LON: KRS) has signed a 50/50, five-year deal with organic fertiliser company Phosul, which will build a 5,000 tonnes/year plant producing Phosul granulate comprising rock phosphate from the Diamond Creek mine in the US. The mine should supply 11,000 tonnes/year of rock phosphate to the joint venture, which is more than double current production. Keras Resources is also acquiring warehouses for $700,000. The share price improved 21% to 3.75p.

Aquaculture company Benchmark (LON: BMK) says the share price materially undervalues the business, partly due to a lack of liquidity. After talking to major shareholders management has decided to commence a strategic review of the business. This could lead to a bid. The share price rose 19.1% to 41.7p. This has more than recovered the decline in the share price since 2022.

Oriole Resources (LON: ORR) says a due diligence review of the Mbe gold project and this has identified a shear-related porphyritic unit trending to the northeast. This satisfied the earn-in agreement with BCM. The remaining upfront fee of $950,000 should be paid in $950,000. The share price is one-fifth higher at 0.45p, and it has nearly trebled since the beginning of 2023.  

FALLERS

United Oil & Gas (LON: UOG) has received a default notice from the operator of the Abu Sennan concession operator. United Oil & Gas owns a 22% non-operating interest in the Egyptian concession, and it was previously trying to sell this to a sister company of the operator. United Oil & Gas has extended the exploration licence period at the Walton Morant project offshore Jamaica until January 2026. The share price slumped 39.1% to a new low of 0.32p.

t42 IOT Tracking Solutions (LON: TRAC) continues to negotiate the extension of the repayment date for its convertible loan notes. They expired at the end of 2023, but holders are willing to extend subject to terms. There are £925,000 of convertibles with a conversion price of 15p/share. The share price declined 8.33% to 2.75p, which is not much higher than the share price prior to the eight-for-one share consolidation in November 2021.

Eco (Atlantic) Oil & Gas (LON: ECO) says that TotalEnergies and QatarEnergy have relinquished their jointly owned 25% working interest in the Orinduik licence in Guyana. This means that the AIM company will own 100% of the licence through two subsidiaries. There is a commitment to drill one exploration well by the beginning of 2026. Eco (Atlantic) has received government approval for the farm-out of its 6.25% participating interest in Block 3B/4B in South Africa to Africa Oil Corporation. The share price fell 7.95% to 10.125p.

Scientific instruments supplier SDI Group (LON: SDI) has appointed Stephen Brown to replace Mike Creedon as chief executive. The share price declined 7.41% to 75p.