Nvidia posts record Q3 revenue but China concerns curb enthusiasm

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Californian tech giant Nvidia has reported astonishing revenue growth in Q3 as AI-inspired demand lifted sales. But it was not enough to lift shares, which fell on concerns about China demand tapering off.

In Q3, the tech company saw a record revenue of $18.12 billion. The revenue is up 34% from Q2. What’s more, it marks a 206% rise from a year ago.

Nvidia’s shares were slightly down (around 0.7%) in the premarket on Wednesday morning.

Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA, said that “our strong growth reflects the broad industry platform transition from general-purpose to accelerated computing and generative AI”.

He added that “large language model startups, consumer internet companies, and global cloud service providers were the first movers, and the next waves are starting to build. Nations and regional CSPs are investing in AI clouds to serve local demand; enterprise software companies are adding AI copilots and assistants to their platforms; and enterprises are creating custom AI to automate the world’s largest industries.”

Q3 Data Centre revenue also reached a historic high of $14.51 billion, marking 41% growth from Q2.

The data centre growth from the same time last year adds up to, once again, a record-breaking 279%.

According to Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown, “the growth in its market value since Chat GPT first arrived on the scene has been astonishing. The share price has trebled, and the company is now one of a handful worth over a trillion dollars. But the investment returns have very much been powered by even more impressive growth in the underlying business.”

The company further states that the expected revenue for the year 2024 is $20.00 billion (+/- 2%).

However, Russ Mould from AJ Bell warns that these successes might put too much pressure on the company: “The downside of being a superstar company is having to continuously smash expectations.”

He added that “US chipmaker Nvidia certainly beat market forecasts for its third quarter apart from a small miss on free cash flow. However, investors want nothing short of remarkable each time the company reports, and there wasn’t enough pzazz in the announcement to drive its shares higher, at least for now as the long-term outlook is still bullish from the company’s perspective.”

Sage shares jump as small business digitalisation propels revenue higher

Software and solutions company Sage topped the FTSE 100 in early trade on Wednesday after announcing surging revenues and wider adoption of their services.

Sage shares were 7% higher at the time of writing.

Sage saw strong growth in recurring revenue, up 12% to £2.1 billion, driven by 25% growth in Sage Business Cloud to £1.6 billion. Total underlying revenue increased 10% to £2.2 billion. The company said they saw similar levels of revenue growth over the next year.

Underlying operating profit rose 18% to £456 million, with operating margin up 140 basis points to 20.9%, thanks to operating efficiencies. EBITDA also grew strongly, up 16% to £553 million, with EBITDA margin up 120 bps to 25.3%.

However, statutory operating profit declined 14% to £315 million. This reflects one-off gains on business disposals last year, as well as restructuring charges and M&A costs this year.

Underlying basic earnings per share was up 22% to 32.3 pence, demonstrating strong bottom-line growth.

“Sage performed well in FY23, delivering double-digit revenue growth, increased profitability and strong cash flows. We sustained good momentum throughout the year in all regions, driven by consistent strategic execution,” said Steve Hare, Chief Executive Officer.

“We continue to help small and mid-sized businesses succeed, providing them with the tools and expertise they need to simplify their accounting and HR processes, streamline their operations, and make more informed business decisions.  Through the Sage Network, we are delivering innovative, AI-powered services to customers, faster and more efficiently than ever before.

“Small and mid-sized businesses are continuing to digitalise, despite the macroeconomic uncertainty. We are building a resilient platform to deliver sustained, efficient growth, and I am confident that Sage is well positioned to take advantage of the market opportunity in 2024 and beyond.”

Greenroc Mining sinks to all-time lows after discounted placing

GreenRoc Mining shares sank to an all-time low on Wednesday after the Greenland-focused miner conducted a heavily discounted placing.

GreenRoc Mining has raised £460,786 through a placing of 18.4 million new shares at 2.5p per share. Participants in the placing included GreenRoc’s CEO, Chairman and an Independent Non-Executive Director.

Shares in the company were down 24% to 2.56p at the time of writing. GreenRoc shares traded as high as 4.5p in early November after the company’s float at 10p in 2021.

The proceeds will primarily be used to fund work related to GreenRoc’s Amitsoq graphite project in Greenland. This includes completing a feasibility study on building a processing plant to produce active anode material for electric vehicle batteries. The feasibility study is being supported by a £250,000 grant and is expected to finish in Q2 2024.

Additional proceeds will support the completion of environmental and social impact assessments for the Amitsoq project. These assessments will be delivered in 2024 and are required for GreenRoc to submit an application for an exploitation permit. A recent change in Greenland’s mining law allows companies to apply for this permit before submitting the final assessments, subject to their subsequent approval.

The funds will also be used for further commercial negotiations with potential partners, as well as general working capital needs.

AIM companies set to be affected by Starvest winding-up

Shareholders have voted in favour of winding up investment company Starvest (LON: SVE). That means that the AIM quotation will be cancelled on 29 November. The winding up will affect the share prices of AIM companies that Starvest has a stake in.
Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) and Ariana Resources (LON: AAU) shares will be distributed to Starvest shareholders, while the others will be sold. The sale of stakes could hamper the short-term share prices, although that may provide a buying opportunity for other investors.
It is not clear whether any of the stakes have been reduced or sold in recent week...

Opportunities for Severfield in data centres and renewables

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A wide spread of sectors helped structural steel supplier Severfield (LON: SFR) improve its interim profit, even though some markets are getting tougher. Severfield has strong positions in its core markets and it has an opportunity to build on its business in Europe and India.

In the six months to September 2023, revenues were 8% lower at £215.3m, but underlying pre-tax profit improved 17% to £14.2m. This includes an unchanged contribution of £600,000 from the India joint venture, while the modular products business made a maiden profit. The interim dividend was raised 8% to 1.4p/share.

There was an underlying decrease in activity during the period, offset by the acquisition of Netherlands-based steel fabrication company Voortman Steel Construction Holding. Steel prices have fallen, and margins have improved.

Net cash fell to £400,000 at the end of September 2023, although that was after acquiring Voortman Steel Construction Holding for €24m. Advanced payments are worth £20m. However, the first half tends to be a better period of cash generation, so March 2024 net debt could be more than £25m as advanced payments unwind. The pension deficit is £11.2m.

The UK and Europe order book is worth £482m, even though the £50m contract for Hertfordshire-based film studio Sunset Studios has been delayed. The actors and writers strikes plus continuing losses for streaming companies, along with economic uncertainty, may have prompted the delay.

Distribution facilities were fuelling growth, but this area is weaker. Office building is starting to recover, while nuclear and datacentres provide growth prospects.

Another area that offers potential growth is renewables, in areas such as battery factories. There is plenty of business from this sector as long as the customers have the finance in place.

Margins improved in India, even though revenues declined. The facility in India will be expanded so that demand can be satisfied. The order book is worth £165m.

Liberum forecasts full year pre-tax profit rising from £32.5m to £34.3m. At 64.4p, the shares are trading on less than eight times prospective earnings and the yield is 5.5%.

This is being achieved under weak economic conditions and Severfield can do even better when the economy improves.

Strong base helps Calnex Solutions cope with short-term downturn

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Telecoms testing instrumentation supplier Calnex Solutions (LON: CLX) has been hit by a reduction in spending by the telecoms companies. They remain cautious, so there is no indication of a short-term recovery. Calnex Solutions is financially secure and there is underlying demand for its technology.

Calnex Solutions designs and manufactures equipment used by telecoms network operators, network providers and systems suppliers to test their products. It has broadened its customer base to include data centres, where demand is still strong, and defence.

Non-telecoms revenues make up one-quarter of total revenues. There is no pressure on pricing and the international nature of the business means that it is not dependent on any individual country. The Americas have been most impacted by the slow down of spending.

In the six months to September 2023, revenues slumped from £12.7m to £7.8m and the company moved from a pre-tax profit of £3.1m to a loss of £600,000. Trading did not pick up in September as is normally the case.

The cost base is being kept steady in expectation of a recovery, even though that may not be until the next financial year.

The strong balance sheet means that short-term dips are not a problem even though there was a large cash outflow during the period. There is still £13.5m in the bank and there is unlikely to be any significant outflow in the second half.

Management continues to invest in product development for existing and new markets. There could also be add-on acquisitions of new product areas if the opportunities arise.

Calnex Solutions raised £5m after expenses at 48p a share when it joined AIM three years ago. Trading was initially much stronger than expected. The share price briefly fell below the original placing price but has recovered to 66p.

Cavendish expects breakeven for the full year, compared with a pre-tax profit of £7.2m last year, on revenues of £17m, which are lower than in 2020-21. The continuing uncertainty means there is no forecast for 2024-25.

While the timing of any recovery is difficult to predict, Calnex Solutions still has the same long-term prospects with investment in 5G and data centres continuing for the foreseeable future.

FTSE 100 falls with oil as risk-on rally fades

The FTSE 100 dipped on Tuesday posting a 0.5% decline despite US stocks soaring overnight. Oil majors dragged as oil prices fell on positive developments in Hamas and Israel ceasefire talks.

The risk-on rally in UK large caps is starting to fade as investors look to the economic realities of a nearly two-year interest rate hiking cycle coming to an end.

Markets have priced an end to rate hikes and now must prepare for the next chapter in the equity market’s story which may be slower growth.

Economic data certainly suggests the US, Europe and the UK are losing steam. Central banks will now have to carefully balance the risk of inflation increasing by cutting rates with not tipping their economies into recession by keeping them at higher levels.

Many economists predict interest cuts in the first half of next year. 

“The narrative has shifted from how fast interest rates could go up to now focusing on when rates might start to go down. Smaller companies have perked up on the market in recent weeks, alongside long duration investments such as infrastructure and property funds, which implies a slight shift in investor thinking,” said AJ Bell’s Russ Mould.

“However, these are bouncing off a low base and it is too early to proclaim any definitive market rotation.”

FTSE 100 movers

Coca-Cola HBC was the FTSE 100’s top gainer, rising over 4%, after announcing a major share buyback programme.

BP and Shell were both down in the region of 1.5% as Brent oil prices slipped back towards $80.

Ocado was the top faller as the company failed to break through technical resistance.

It was a quiet day for FTSE 100 corporate updates, and company-specific news came largely from the mid-caps.

AO World gained after upgrading its profit guidance for the year and Capita added 6% on news of cost savings and margin expansion. 

AIM movers: RUA Life Sciences continues to soar and Neometals fundraising

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RUA Life Sciences (LON: RUA) shares have soared a further 118.2% to 48p, which is the highest the share price has been for seven months. following yesterday’s news about potential work for the contract manufacturing business and progress with development and testing of heart valve and vascular products. Cash is being conserved and a partner is sought to help fund the £6m cost of regulatory testing of the vascular product in the US.

The latest interims from identity security company Intercede Group (LON: IGP) have sparked an upgrade by Cavendish. Interim revenues improve from £6.1m to £7m, while pre-tax profit rose from £600,000 to £1.1m. The full year forecast has been raised to £1.5m. Revenues are expected to continue to grow at around 10%/year. The share price moved ahead by 15.3% to 68p.

Light Science Technologies (LON: LST) is acquiring the Injecta Fire Barrier trade and assets from Fire Barrier International. The Injectaclad product expands when heated and prevents the spread of fire and smoke. There is no initial payment with consideration in the form of a deferred profit share agreement. The deal should be earnings enhancing and generate cash. There are maintenance and installation synergies with the contract electronics subsidiary. The cash generated will help to finance the growth of the group. The share price improved 10.2% to 3.25p. Seven months ago, the company raised money at 1p/share.

Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) shares have reacted positively to Javier Milei, the newly elected President of Argentina. He intends to remove government restrictions, including those on foreign exchange. That would allow repayment of intercompany debt, which is more than $13m. The share price recovered 9.88% to 94.5p.

FALLERS

Neometals (LON: NMT) launched a fundraising yesterday afternoon. It has raised £3.7m from a placing at 10p/share and wants to raise a further £6.8m from an entitlement issue. The share price slumped 24.1% to 11p. The cash will be used to fund the development of the nickel, cobalt, lithium recycling business Primobius, including the delivery of a facility to Mercedes Banz, and potentially to purchase a stake in Canadian licensee Stelco.  

Staffing company Empresaria (LON: EMR) says challenging trading conditions are continuing, particularly in the permanent recruitment market. The US and the UK are particularly weak, while offshore services remain strong. Cavendish has slashed its 2023 pre-tax profit forecast from £5m to £3.2m, compared with £9m last year. The share price fell 21.3% to 31.5p, the lowest level since March 2020.

Hardware manufacturer Samuel Heath (LON: HSM) improved sales by 3% to £7.78m in the six months to September 2023, but the order book has weakened, and trading conditions are getting worse. Higher costs meant that interim operating profit slipped from £610,000 to £441,000. Cash was £1.47m at the end of September 2023. Costs are being cut but there will be a second half loss. The share price declined 18.8% to 325p.

Payments technology company Eckoh (LON: ECK) reported a 4% decline in interim revenues to £18.8m, but North American revenues grew. Exceptional costs led to a decline in operating profit. New contract wins mean that the second half should be stronger and full year revenues should be higher. Even so, the share price dipped 5.26% to 36p.

Cranswick shows inflation resilience as revenue rises by more than 12%

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Cranswick fought off inflationary pressures in their most recent half-year period and produced 12.3% revenue growth assisted by price inflation and volume growth.

The 12.3% increase in revenue took their top line to £1.25bn and helped a 25% leap in operating profits to £85.5m, much higher than analysts expectations.

The company’s shares were up 1.5% at the time of writing. 

The food producer reported resilient volume growth in all four main UK food categories.

Cranswick indicated a positive impact from expanding pig farming operations, efficient capital deployment, and stringent cost management, raising adjusted operating margin from 6.1% to 6.8%.

According to Adam Couch, Cranswick’s CEO, “Momentum has continued through the start of the third quarter as our customers and the UK consumer continue to appreciate the affordability, value for money and versatility of our core pork and poultry categories.”

He added that,  “continued positive progress is made possible by the substantial ongoing investment in our asset base, expansion of our pig farming operations and the quality and capability of our colleagues across the business.”

The company’s statutory profit before tax rose by 41.3% to £86.9 million in comparison to the previous year’s £61.5 million, while statutory earnings per share increased by 29.9% to 119.5p, up from 92.0p in 2022.

 The interim dividend saw a 10.2% growth, reaching 22.7p. 

Return on capital employed improved by 54 basis points, reaching 16.4% in 2023, up from 15.9% in the previous year. 

The company continues to invest in their processes and is improving facilities across the country.

A multi-phased expansion project, totaling £62 million, is underway at the Hull pork primary processing site. While, a £23 million fit-out for a new houmous facility in Worsley, Manchester, is currently in progress.

According to Orwa Mohamad, analyst at Third Bridge, “Cranswick has demonstrated it has pricing power as it has wrestled with how to address high inflation. (square brackets) the UK poultry industry is facing a shortage of butchers and this is driving up costs for many food producers. Cranswick has been able to avoid such problems  by creating a more self-sufficient supply chain and employing greater automation.”

Furthermore, the total capital expenditure of £39.4 million has been allocated across the Group’s assets to enhance capacity, capability, and operational efficiencies, with over £600 million deployed since FY16.

The acquisition of the Elsham Linc indoor pig farming business for £31.7 million diversifies the Group’s pig farming operations and adds feed milling capability, bringing self-sufficiency in UK pigs to over 50%

According to Steve Clayton, head of equity funds at Hargreaves Lansdown, “It is hugely encouraging to see the group continuing to invest in the growth of the business. Cranswick have committed over £600m into capital investment in recent years, building greater independence through owning more of the farms that underpin their own pork production. Vegan and vegetarian exposure has been added through the Cypressa acquisition and now the UK’s leading poultry and pork producer is also the number one in houmous.”

However, Mohamad cautioned that “Cranswck’s margins are under pressured from union activists advocating for improved wages and welfare. Cranswick has also had to rejig it’s grain sourcing routes away from Ukraine and Russia.”

Capita shares jump as the outsourcing company announces new cost-saving measures

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UK-based Capita shares jumped by more than 6% on Tuesday after the company stated that it was planning on pushing for faster delivery of efficiency savings.

Capita revealed new cost-saving measures today as it aims to double its operating margin to 6% in the medium term.

Capita CEO Jon Lewis added, “We are, today, announcing the accelerated delivery of the efficiency savings announced in our Half Year Results with a £20 million increase in overhead cost reduction to £60 million on an annualised basis from Q1 2024. As part of the organisational review that underpins the programme we are announcing today, we continue to identify further areas of cost efficiency and will pursue these during 2024.”

The measures also include a 2% workforce cut. This is 900 out of the 50,000 employees in the offices worldwide.

Capita shares were up by 6.25% and were trading at 20.4p at the time of writing.

According to Russ Mould, Investment Director at AJ Bell, the developments were “good news for shareholders as it should benefit the company’s profit margins, but bad news for the 900 employees of Capita who face potential redundancy.”