UK wage growth slows ahead of Bank of England meeting

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The growth in UK wages has slowed in October but continues to outpace inflation, which currently stands at 4.6%.

The October decline in wages was the most significant since the period up to November 2021, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

Average weekly earnings slowed from 7.8% in September to 7.3%, slightly exceeding predictions.

The pound also experienced a slight decline in response to these figures. The GBP now trades at 1.26 USD.

“While annual growth in earnings remains high in cash terms, there are some signs that wage pressure might be easing overall,” said Darren Morgan, director of economic statistics at the ONS.

Wage growth will likely play a part in the Bank of England’s decision on interest rates in its upcoming Monetary Policy Committee meeting later this week.

Inflation has decreased after a series of interest rate hikes by the Bank of England, leading some financial markets and economists to speculate that the Bank might reduce interest rates from the current 5.25%.

However, despite inflation easing to 4.6%, it still exceeds the bank’s 2% target. Moreover, regular pay outpaced inflation in the three months leading up to October.

However, “the numbers are still very high historically and still well north of the 2% inflation target. We should also remember that at the last meeting, three members voted for a 25-bps rate hike due to concerns over high wage and service inflation,” stated Michael Hewson, Chief Market Analyst at CMC Markets UK.

“These three are unlikely to have shifted materially on that position because of today’s numbers, given that we are still well above 7%, and Bank of England Chief Economist Huw Pill said that inflation was starting to become ‘challenging to squeeze out of the system,'” further commented Michael Hewson.

Unemployment rates are steady at 4.2%.

On Thursday, the bank is expected to announce its decision to hold interest rates further.

However, “the reality is that while the Bank of England was the first central bank to start raising rates, it doesn’t necessarily follow that they will be the first to start cutting,” said Michael Hewson.

In November, Governor Andrew Bailey of the Bank of England stated that it was “much too early to be thinking about rate cuts”.

AIM movers: SmartSpace Software offer RWS declines

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Venue management software supplier Skedda Inc has proposed an 82p/share offer to SmartSpace Software (LON: SMRT) valuing it at £25m. The share price has not been that high since 2021 and it jumped 94% to 65p, still well short of the bid level. JO Hambro, which owns 8.3% of the software developer, is supportive of the offer. Skedda believes that it can provide the financial backing that SmartSpace Software requires. The SmartSpace Software board does not support the offer. The company is currently loss-making.

Powerhouse Energy (LON: PHE) finance director Ben brier has acquired 6.53 million shares at an average price of 0.306p each. This followschief executive Paul Emmitt’s purchase of an initial 3.57 million shares at 0.2797p each. The share price recovered a further 16.9% to 0.43p.

Mkango Resources (LON: MKA) says that its Birmingham-based HydroMag subsidiary has produced its first recycled rare earth magnets. Commercial production could start next summer. Other countries are likely to roll out sites for the recycling technology. The share price rose 12.2% to 12.625p.

Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) has been told by the Office of Financial Sanctions Implementation in the UK that it is entitled to have the $2m it paid for 10% stakes in Emirates Gold and Emperesse Bullion returned. This has not happened yet, but the cash will be invested in the Molaoi zinc lead silver germanium deposit in Greece. Assay results from four holes are expected. The share price increased 7.32% to 0.22p.

Defence and forgings company MS International (LON: MSI) more than doubled interim pre-tax profit from £3.46m to £7.72m. Revenues improved from £42m to £57m. The defence business returned to profit and generated all the revenue growth. That offset lower contributions from other divisions. Net cash is £50m. There are £57.5m of contract liabilities on long-term contracts and NAV is £43.4m. Deliveries for US navy contracts begin in the second half. The share price is 4.36% higher at 897.5p and it is 35% ahead this year.

FALLERS

Language and IP services provider RWS (LON: RWS) is continuing its share price decline this year. It fell a further 9.85% to 223.2p and it is down by two-fifths in 2023. Impairment charges meant that RWS slumped into loss, although the underlying pre-tax profit was 11% lower at £120m. The total dividend is 4% higher at 11.75p/share and that is covered nearly two times by earnings. Reduced costs will benefit this year. The prospective multiple is less than ten.

Anglo Asian Mining (LON: AAZ) has received the delivery of Caterpillar equipment for the Gedabek mine and production could commence by the middle of next year.  The Azerbaijan gold miner will use the equipment at the Gilar site, which has gold, copper and zinc mineralisation. Even so, the share price declined 10.2% to 57.5p

Image Scan (LON: IGE) returned to profit in the year to September 2023 as revenues were 50% ahead at £3m. A further improvement is expected this year. The order book is worth £650,000 with a pipeline of potential work that underpins further growth. At 1.725p, down 6.76%, the shares are trading on less than 12 times prospective earnings.

Character Group (LON: CCT) chairman Richard King is stepping down after 33 years. Trading was tough, but there was a strong second half. Full year figures from the toys and games supplier were better than expected even though pre-tax profit more than halved from £11.4m to £5.2m on a 31% reduction in revenues. There should be a recovery this year. The share price slipped 3.51% to 275p.

Google loses anti-monopoly battle with Fortnite-operator Epic Games

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On Tuesday, the creator of the Fortnite game won its San Francisco-based trial against Google.

The lawsuit, filed three years ago, claimed that Google sought to stifle competition by imposing up to 30% fees on app developers.

It also accused Google of engaging in an illegal practice by linking its Play Store and billing service. This meant that in order for a developer’s app to appear in the Play Store, they needed to use both.

The penalty will decided next year.

Alphabet, the owner of Google, saw its shares drop 1.20% in premarket trading on Tuesday. Epic Games is privately held, although Chinese tech giant Tencent has a 40% stake.

On their website, Epic Games commented on the legal victor, saying that it was proof that “Google’s app store practices are illegal, and they abuse their monopoly to extract exorbitant fees, stifle competition, and reduce innovation.”.

The rare loss for a major US tech company in a US court marks a setback, as recent rulings have generally favoured big tech, dismissing allegations of misusing market dominance or operating illegal monopolies.

Google is currently also facing legal challenges in a federal court in Washington, where officials from the Justice Department allege that the company engaged in illegal practices to maintain the dominance of its globally leading search engine.

The case is related to Google’s substantial revenue-sharing agreements, where Apple receives a significant portion of the ad revenue generated by Google as the default search engine on Apple devices.

Tekcapital’s Innovative Eyewear launches Nautica branded ChatGPT-enabled Smart Eyewear

Tekcapital shares ticked higher on Tuesday after announcing their portfolio company Innovative Eyewear will launch Nautica branded ChatGPT-enabled Smart Eyewear in January.

The launch of Nautica-licensed smart eyewear is one of three licensing agreements with leading global lifestyle brands, including Reebok and Eddie Bauer.

Nautica will launch a line of smart eyewear with eight styles of sunglasses, two of which will also come with blue-light filtering lenses for indoor use.

All of the frames will be compatible with prescription lenses.

The collection marks Nautica’s first “Global Fit” frame designed for consumers with lower nose bridges, allowing for expanded availability in more regions.

Additional features include Bluetooth 5.2 for high-fidelity audio, up to 12 hours of music playback per charge, packaging made from 99% post-consumer recycled materials, patent-pending auto-adjusting hinges, and branded accessories such as a power brick, cleaning cloth and sail logo slipcase.

“Smart eyewear was once firmly in the remit of early adopters and tech enthusiasts alone. We are changing that forever by producing smart eyewear that is not only a functional Bluetooth accessory, but a fun and trendy fashion statement,” said Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear Inc.

“Combining our technology with the popular and storied Nautica brand is sure to delight consumers worldwide, and further advance our mission to make the future of eyewear smart. We look forward to launching the line via our optical store partners in January, as well as on Nautica.com soon after.”

Tekcapital has a 40% stake in NASDAQ-listed Innovative Eyewear.

Tekcapital shares were 5.1% higher, trading at 7.88p at the time of writing.

Spectris completes disposals and commencing £150m buy back

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Spectris (LON: SXS) has completed its divestment plans by selling Red Lion Controls for $345m. This cash enables the precision management technology developer to launch a share buy back of up to £150m.

Spectris has raised £1.2bn from disposals. There are now two divisions – Spectris Scientific and Spectris Dynamics.  

Sweden-based HMS Networks is acquiring Red Lion, which provides software and hardware to connect and access assets that enables visualisation of valuable data. In 2022, revenues were £91.3m and underling operating profit was £16m. After tax, the net proceeds will be $275m (£228m).

The initial £50m of the buy back will start before the end of the year. The rest of the disposal proceeds will be invested in research and development and other areas to promote organic growth. There could also be acquisitions.

Spectris will report its 2023 figures on 29 February. A pre-tax profit of £261m is forecast and the total dividend is expected to be 81.5p/share.

Today, the share price improved 10p to £35.14, which capitalises the company at £3.57bn. However, the announcement was not made until 5pm.

Rolls Royce shares gain after broker price target upgrade

Rolls Royce shares gained on Monday after the engineering firm enjoyed another broker price target increase.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank increased their price target to 400p from 310p and currently have a ‘buy’ rating on the stock.

The Rolls Royce share price was up 2.5% on Monday, trading at 296p. Shares in the jet engine maker are the FTSE 100’s best-performing of 2023 so far, gaining a whopping 218%.

Rolls Royce has left every other FTSE 100 stock in the dust, with the second-highest share, Marks and Spencer, gaining only 110%. The FTSE 100 index is up less than 1% year-to-date.

Today’s price target increase follows JP Morgan’s upgrading of Rolls Royce to ‘overweight’ from ‘neutral’ last week. JP Morgan also has a 400p price target.

Rolls Royce recently outlined a medium-term strategy to boost operating profits to £2.5bn-£2.8bn and free cashflow to £2.8bn-£3.1bn.

DG Innovate shares rocket higher after hiring ex-Tesla executives

DG Innovate shares rocketed higher on Monday after the junior batteries and electric motor company said it had hired ex-Tesla executives and raised £2.4m via a convertible note issue.

The company is developing two core technologies: the Enhanced Drive Technology (EDT) electric motors and Enhanced Battery Technology (EBT) sodium-ion electric vehicle batteries.

DG Innovate is among numerous companies exploring the viability of sodium-ion batteries in electric vehicles, including AIM-listed AMTE Power and privately held Northvolt.

The addition of three ex-Tesla executives to the board has sparked a wave of speculation as to what the future holds for the company, especially after one of the incoming directors, Christian Eidem, took a 29% take in the company. The executives have extensive experience at the forefront of electric vehicle innovation, and their appointment is a major vote of confidence in DG Innovate’s technology.

“The new executive management team, with their world-class track record in the electric vehicle and mobility sector, recognise the significant commercial potential in DG Innovate’s technology and the wider opportunity to use DG Innovate as a platform to build a larger company focused on the sector,” said Nick Tulloch, Chairman of DG Innovate.

DG Innovate shares were up 160% to 0.11p at the time of writing.

“Most people will have never heard of DG Innovate yet the stock was certainly shouting from the rooftop as the market opened. Initially surging by 180% in value, this tiny company delivered the type of news that sends small cap investors into a frenzy,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The research and development company looking to develop next-generation batteries and electric motors has appointed three executive directors, all of whom used to work for Tesla.

“Inevitably, when you see a small business appoint ‘heavyweight’ individuals there is speculation it will lead to a takeover by one of their contacts. The fact they’re linked to Tesla is the cherry on top as it implies to investors that this little-known company could eventually be gobbled up by the electric car giant. This is pure speculation but that’s how many investors operate.

“In such situations, investors look for a strong narrative around a stock and get carried away. Stirring the pot was an equity research group saying the shares could ‘5-10 bag into New Year’, namely increase by five to 10 times in value. That comment doesn’t appear to be based on any concrete analysis.

Mould continued to detail the use of the proceeds from the convertible note raise and suggested the company could raise further funds to facilitate its strategy.

“More noteworthy is that DG Innovate has raised £2.4 million – more than half the company’s value as of last Friday. This money will be used to advance existing projects; however, the new directors have already indicated they will use DG Innovate as a roll-up vehicle for acquisitions in the electric mobility and energy storage space. That implies we could see a succession of fundraises in 2024,” Russ Mould said.

FTSE 100 slips ahead of bumper week for central banks

The FTSE 100 slipped on Monday as worrying Chinese economic data hit mining companies ahead of a series of interest rate decisions.

London’s leading index was down 0.5% to 7,516 at the time of writing and was underperforming major European indices. The DAX was flat, and the CAC 40 gained 0.3%.

“The FTSE 100 started the week on the back foot, dragged lower by the mining sector as figures from China over the weekend showed the economy swung deeper into deflation,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“An indicator of depressed domestic demand and a very different story to the inflationary pressures faced in the rest of the world, the data inevitably hit the miners given the world’s second-largest economy is such a rapacious consumer of commodities.

A deflationary environment in China will damage the FTSE 100 with a strong weighting to commodity companies. This was evident on Monday with losses in diversified miners Rio Tinto and Glencore. Rio Tinto slipped 1.5%, while Glencore fell 3.2%. Anglo American rose 1.3% after a plummeting last week.

Pure-play copper miner Antofagasta bucked the trend and rose 2% on Monday. Antofagasta is the second-best-performing FTSE 100 stock of December so far. InterContinental Hotels is the best performing, gaining 12%.

Centrica was the top faller on Monday as utility companies dipped.

The interest rate-sensitive banking and housebuilding sectors were weaker as traders trimmed positions ahead of central bank action this week.

Central bank action

Markets are preparing for a bumper week of central bank action. According to Bloomberg, central banks representing 60% of the world’s economy will decide on interest rates this week.

This includes the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve, and the European Central Bank.

Although these major central are set to issue decisions on interest rates, all are expected to keep rates on hold. Investors will pour over the accompanying commentary for hints of where rates will go in early 2024.

These comments and projections have the power to move markets significantly before Christmas.

A narrative has been established around interest rate cuts in Q1; should we learn of anything to the contrary, one would expect negativity in stocks. If hopes of rate cuts are fuelled by central bank rhetoric, we could well be on for a Santa’s rally.

AIM movers: Synectics upgrade and H&T hit by higher wage costs

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Security systems supplier Synectics (LON: SNX) traded more strongly than expected in the year to November 2023 and the pre-tax profit forecast has been raised from £2.3m to £2.8m. Net cash is better than previously anticipated at £4.6m. There was a recovery in oil and gas demand. The results will be published in February and the 2023-24 forecast will be updated by Shore Capital at that time. The order book is worth £28.6m. The share price jumped 28.6% to 135p, which is the highest it has been since March.  

Powerhouse Energy (LON: PHE) chief executive Paul Emmitt has acquired an initial 3.57 million shares at 0.2797p each. The share price recovered 22.8% to 0.35p.

Fire safety products developer Zenova Group (LON: ZED) says Zenova FX extinguishing fluids are compliant with EU standards and regulations. A German customer has ordered 100 FX fire extinguishers. The share price rose 13.3% to 4.25p.

Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) has revealed record November palm oil production, which is 152% ahead of the previous November – like-for-like growth in volumes is 82%. Crude palm oil prices were steady at €788/tonne and the extraction rate improved. The share price improved 10.5% to 2.1p.

FALLERS

It is the last day of trading for Myanmar Investments (LON: MIL) before trading on AIM is cancelled on 12 February. The share price 18.75% lower at 2.925 cents.

Shore Capital has reduced its 2024 and 2025 forecasts for pawnbroker H&T (LON: HAT). The pledge book is growing faster than expected and an additional £10m of funding was recently secured. That additional profit is offset by increased wage costs following the raising of the National Minimum Wage. There will also be higher interest costs. The dividend is likely to grow by a lower percentage than previously anticipated. The 2024 revenues have been edged up to £261m, while pre-tax profit is reduced from £36.7m to £39.7m. A higher tax rate means that there will be a 10% drop in earnings estimates to 62.8p/share. The share price slumped 7.59% to 432.5p.

Allergy Therapeutics (LON: AGY) says revenues for the year to June 2024 are likely to be slightly lower than last year, although cost reductions have been better than expected. This means that cash will last until the end of January. Funding discussions are ongoing. The share price declined 9.52% to 1.9p.

Carbon fibre brake technology developer Surface Transforms (LON: SCE) announced that there was a 137% take-up of the open offer, and the board has decided to accept all the applications raising £2.74m. A total of £11m has been raised at 10p/share. The share price dipped 5.49% to 10.75p.

Telematics company Quartix Technologies (LON: QTX) is taking a £2.5m impairment charge on the goodwill for the acquisition of Konetik, which was completed on 15 September. A review of the deal by founder Andy Walters, who recently returned as chairman, suggests that the growth prospects for the Evolve EV product are not as good as previously thought. This is partly due to the government’s decision to delay the ban of petrol vehicles. Investment in Evolve is not expected to produce a sufficient return. The share price fell 4.84% to 147.5p.

Sri Lanka-focused mineral sands developer Capital Metals (LON: CMET) has raised £625,000 from a placing at 4.25p/share following last week’s subscription of £625,000. Plans to develop the Eastern Minerals project can be accelerated. The share price slipped 4.04% to 4.75p.

Three potential London-listed takeover targets

US private equity and global corporations are swooping in on undervalued London-listed companies and snapping up great organisations that the UK's domestic market hasn't appreciated. We highlight three companies that could be next.
Recent takeover targets Ten Entertainment, Hotel Chocolat, and Smart Metering Systems share two key attributes: an attractive valuation and a deep moat.
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