Hotel Chocolat shares fly as £534m Mars acquisition agreed

Hotel Chocolat Group have announced that they have reached an agreement on the terms of a recommended £534m cash acquisition by Mars.

Under the terms of the acquisition, each Hotel Chocolat shareholder will receive 375p in cash.

The Cash Offer represents a bumper premium of approximately 169% to Hotel Chocolat’s share price of 139p yesterday. Hotel Chocolat shares were 162% higher at 365p at the time of writing.

The bid has taken Hotel Chocolat shares back to a level not seen since mid-2022.

Mars said it has long admired Hotel Chocolat’s credentials as a contemporary, premium brand with high-quality products and strong direct-to-consumer capabilities.

Hotel Chocolat recently released full-year results revealing a 10% decline in revenue and a sharp drop in EBITDA.

Mars considers itself well-positioned to support Hotel Chocolat’s next growth phase, providing an enhanced platform for UK and potential international growth. The chocolate giant believes it can provide Hotel Chocolat with better access to long-term capital and a supportive environment to achieve its strategic objectives.

Lazard and Liberum are advising Hotel Chocolat on the deal

Red Rock Resources investors unimpressed with lithium shipment update

Red Rock Resources shares whipsawed on Thursday after the company announced it had begun shipping lithium earlier in the week.

In a release issued on Wednesday, Red Rock said they had begun shipping lithium from Zimbabwe to a port in Mozambique, adding they had 200 tonnes ready to be shipped. 

However, the update lacked any major details, and investors dumped shares yesterday, before the stock rebounded on Thursday.

After a 7% fall on Wednesday, Red Rock shares opened 3% lower on Thursday before rebounding.

The company announced the targeting of lithium in Zimbabwe earlier this year and revealed a series of early-stage samples from rock outcrops in the country.

Red Rock has not confirmed any sales value of the lithium currently being shipped.

Red Rock Resources has a broad portfolio of precious and base metals, lithium, and fossil fuels across Africa and Australia.

The company generated zero revenue in the most recently reported half-year and has issued new equity on numerous occasions this year.

Shares are down 60% over the past year.

Tracsis looking increasingly attractive

Rail optimisation software and services provider Tracsis (LON: TRCS) is on track for another good year, but it will be significantly second half weighted. The latest financial year’s figures were in line with expectations with a substantial opportunity becoming obvious in North America.
In the year to June 2023, revenues improved from £68.7m to £82m, while underlying pre-tax profit rose from £12.3m to £13.7m. Both the rail technology and the data and analytics divisions grew organically.  
The business continues to be highly cash generative. Net cash was £15.3m at the end of June 2023. Th...

FTSE 100 soars as lower UK inflation spurs interest rate hopes

The FTSE 100 soared on Wednesday as UK investors cheered a material drop in inflation, which may mark the end of the cost-of-living crisis and the interest rate tightening cycle.

UK CPI plunged to 4.6% in October from 6.7% in September. UK inflation is now less than half the 11% peak recorded last year. 

The FTSE 100 was up 0.9% in a broad risk-on rally shortly after midday on Wednesday. Gains in London followed a bumper rally in US stocks overnight after US inflation fell to 3.3%.

It is now widely accepted the Bank of England and Federal Reserve are done with their respective rate hiking cycles.

In addition, lower inflation opens the doors to rate cuts, and markets were pricing in 80bps of UK rate cuts next year on Wednesday. 

“The FTSE 100 maintained the head of steam it had built up on Tuesday afternoon as UK inflation followed yesterday’s US reading and came in below expectations,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“With confidence there will be no rate increases before the end of the year the market is now looking ahead to the prospect of rate cuts. Whether falls in inflation will stall and whether the Bank of England is as keen as Rishi Sunak to declare mission accomplished in the fight against rising prices remains to seen.

“What will encourage observers in Threadneedle Street is the fall in services inflation – further falls in this area could be the precursor to a pivot towards bringing rates down.

“For now, investors are in the mood to celebrate, and the prospects of a big Santa Rally are building as we head towards December.”

Equity bulls have been out in force over the past 24 hours, but investors should remain cautious about upticks in the inflation rate in the coming months, potentially souring sentiment. 

Banks and housebuilders rally

As one would expect, interest rate-sensitive sectors, including housebuilders and banks, rose on Wednesday as gilt yields fell.

Although the two UK-centric sectors displayed signs of optimism on Wednesday, the gains weren’t exuberant, suggesting the drop in inflation had already been priced into stocks.

Taylor Wimpey gained 1.5%, while Barratt Developments added 1%. Banks continued their recovery from a disappointing round of earnings, with Lloyds perking up by 1.5% and Natwest shares 3% to the good.

While interest rates may not rise again in the current hiking cycle, there are still nagging doubts about the economy and the ‘long and variable lags’ of the sharp increase in rates over the past two years. This may cap UK-focused equity gains. 

There was strength across the mining sector after China released a relatively upbeat set of industrial and consumer economic indicators.

Glencore and Anglo American were up over 4%.

Experian was the top gainer, rising 6%, after profit before tax on an actual currency basis rose 48%.

Scaling an award-winning brewery that makes music better with Signature Brew

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to be joined by Tom Bott, Managing Director & Co-Founder at Signature Brew, to delve into the company’s current Seedrs crowdfunding round.

Signature Brew was founded by a brewer and a musician with a mission, brew beer that makes music better.

Signature Brew has established a thriving brewery and music venus business which is set to generate over £5m in revenue in 2023. The company has achieved their success by forging relationships with musicians and music venues to deliver an all-encompassing service to music lovers.

Signature Brew is currently crowdfunding on Seedrs and enjoying strong investor interest, surpassing its initial target.

Visit Seedrs Crowdfunding Page.

Tom discusses the importance of reaching the £10m revenue milestone and how it quickly attracts the interest of global brewers who may be interested in adding Signature Brew to their portfolios.

AIM movers: Verici Dx deal with Thermo Fisher and Aurrigo International fundraising

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Verici Dx (LON: VRCI) has entered into an exclusive licence agreement with Thero Fisher for its pre-transplant prognostics. This will generate staged payments of $5m over the next 12 months, plus future royalties of per test. That means that Verici Dx will have enough cash until the end of 2024. Thermo Fisher has the commercial expertise to roll out the technology and it will further develop the product. The share price jumped 65.2% to 9.5p.

Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) says Sunshine Metals has commenced drilling at the Lighthouse tenement in Queensland. This is part of the option for Sunshine Metals to earn up to 75% of the tenement by spending $2.2m over three years. This has helped the share price to recover 22.5% to 0.245p after the failed Emirates Gold acquisition, but it has still fallen by one-third over the past week.

Initial results from drilling at the Wedding Bell and Radium Mountain owned by Thor Energy (LON: THR) confirm the potential of the US uranium projects. More than 50% of the 25-hole drill programme has been completed. The initial results come from downhole gamma logs and handheld pXRF devices to determine anomalous levels of uranium and these will be sent to laboratories for final analysis. The share price improved 8.62% to 1.575p.

Helium One Global (LON: HE1) has pulled the drill string out of hole at Tai-3 following drilling problems and wireline operations and initial logging are underway. This will be followed by downhole sampling, which will be analysed on site so that further drilling plans can be decided on. The share price rose 6.93% to 5.4p. The September fundraising was at 6p/share.

Blue Star Capital (LON: BLU) investee company SatoshiPay has appointed Benchmark International to value the business and seek potential acquirers. Blue Star Capital owns 27.9% of SatoshiPay. The Blue Star Capital share price is 7.69% lower at 0.105p.

FALLERS

Autonomous vehicles developer Aurrigo International (LON: AURR) has launched a placing to raise at least £3.5m at 100p/share and there will also be a retail offer at the same price. That is a significant discount to the market price, which declined 27.1% to 107.5p. Coventry-based Aurrigo International won the best newcomer title at the 2023 AIM awards, having floated AIM on 15 September 2022 at 48p/share. Aurrigo International had cash of £2.8m at the end of June 2023 after a £1.9m outflow from operations in the first half. There will be £1.5m spent on customer roll out and £400,000 for additional staff.

Shares in kidney disease diagnostics developer Renalytix (LON: RENX) and nickel project developer Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) continue to fall. Yesterday’s results from Renalytix have knocked a further 20% off the price to 22p, which is a new low. Fears over the financing of the Araguaia nickel project mean that the Horizonte Minerals share price has slipped an additional 15% to 8.25p.

Zephyr Energy (LON: ZPHR) reports third quarter revenues of $6m, down from $7.1m in the previous quarter. That is due to expected declines in production from existing wells. However, operating income improved slightly to $4.3m. New operating wells will increase production in the fourth quarter. The share price dipped 7.27% to 2.55p.

Lithium project developer Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has completed the $118m financing agreement for the Bougouni spodumene project in Mali. This includes a $17.75m equity subscription by Hainan Group. The rest will finance the joint venture that owns the project, where Kodal Minerals owns 49%. First production at Bougouni could be at the end of 2024. The share price slipped 4.48% to 0.64p.

Siemens Energy shares jump on wind review following €4.6bn loss

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Siemens Energy is set to shake up its struggling wind business Siemens Gamesa, which has contributed to the group’s €4.6bn annual net loss, with the goal of making the division profitable.

Frankfurt-listed shares in Siemens Energy were up 5.50% and are trading at €10.73 at the time of writing.

Revenue for the fourth quarter declined 2.5% to €8.5bn due to problems at Siemens Gamesa.

The group has a €112bn backlog in orders, although new orders declined in the fourth quarter.

“In a year of unprecedented challenges for Siemens Energy, two-thirds of our businesses are on a profitable growth trajectory, meeting or exceeding their full-year targets. For our underperforming wind business all eyes must be on cost-out, selectivity and acceleration of productivity while continuously working on the remediation,” says Christian Bruch, President and CEO of Siemens Energy AG.

“The current high demand for our products also brings challenges. We are therefore very glad that after very constructive discussions, we have now found a good solution with all parties to secure our energy transition-accelerated growth.”

Wind power businesses have come under increased scrutiny in recent times after Orsted scrapped major plans for offshore US wind facilities.

Siemens Energy had to set aside €1.6bn in provisions for faulty wind plants earlier this year but made no further provisions in today’s release.

China’s economy mixed with factory production and consumption exceeding expectations, property sector continues to struggle

On Wednesday, China’s official data showed that industrial output and retail sales growth exceeded expectations in October, while the overall Chinese economy remains weak, particularly in the property sector, which has long been hit by a crisis.

The second-largest global economy has struggled to achieve a robust recovery after COVID-19, and the property sector has weighed on sentiment.

China’s industrial output expanded by 4.6% in October compared to the same period last year, showing an acceleration from the 4.5% rate observed in September. This surpassed expectations for a 4.4% increase, as indicated in a Reuters poll, representing the strongest growth since April.

London’s largest listed miners rallied on the news Chinese industry was set to provide support for commodities in the coming months.

Retail sales experienced a 7.6% increase in October, showing improvement in both restaurant and auto sales growth. The Chinese government has taken steps to realign the economy towards the consumer, and the numbers will validate their approach.

According to Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown, ”There are some glimmers of hope emerging from the latest economic data out today, with industrial production at a 4-month high, rising 4.6% in October, beating forecasts of 4.4%.”

She added that “efforts to try and stimulate consumer demand finally appear to be paying off, with retail sales accelerating to 7.6% year-on-year in October, again surpassing expectations. This is encouraging, but it’s still set to be a slog to sustainably restore more buoyant growth, so any hints of rapprochement in terms of China/US trade will be well received.’

SSE revenue drops as mild weather leads to lower energy output

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SSE shares rose on Wednesday as earnings beat expectations in the recent half year as strong operational performance and a lower effective tax rate offset lower revenue due to better weather.

SSE saw a 14.9% decrease in half-year revenue, falling to £4.8 billion.

Despite this decline, the company managed to outperform group guidance in terms of underlying earnings per share, reporting 37.0p, which was higher than anticipated.

In response to its financial performance, SSE declared an interim dividend of 20p. However, the full-year payment forecast has been adjusted down to 60p as the company invests in improving its network.

The company said the decision to rebase the full-year dividend reflects SSE’s strategic approach in light of its overall financial position and market conditions.

This includes building additional renewable energy sources; the company currently owns nearly 2GW of operational onshore wind capacity and has over 1GW in development.

These financial moves by SSE indicate a nuanced performance, with revenue challenges balanced by a better-than-expected showing in underlying earnings per share and a strategic adjustment in dividend payments to align with the company’s broader financial strategy.

Weather hits revenue

Power utility SSE had anticipated a return to typical weather conditions in the second quarter to boost its renewable energy assets, following a slow start to the year.

However, this expectation did not materialise, as adverse weather conditions resulted in renewable output being 19% lower than expected.

According to equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, Aarin Chierkie, “That means other parts of the business are having to pick up the slack, leaving little room for further slippage if full-year guidance is to be hit.”

Aarin Chierkie further added that “looking ahead, SSE’s staying the course with its pivot towards renewable energy. The five-year investment budget’s been increased to a mammoth £20.5bn, with 90% of that set to be invested in electricity networks and renewables. Turbo-charging efforts towards renewables are a bold and admirable move. But the shift comes with a hefty dose of risk—they’re not always reliable. Fortunately, the thermal division’s flexible gas-fired plants helped to plug the energy shortfall, and profits here more than tripled. “

Currently, SSE’s energy portfolio includes about 4GW of onshore wind, offshore wind, and hydro projects.

The company has announced plans to increase its renewable energy output, aiming to triple it from 2019 levels to 30TWh by 2030.

Atlantic Lithium shares jump after rejecting takeover approach

Atlantic Lithium shares jumped on Wednesday as the Ghana-focused miner said they had rejected two takeover approaches by their largest shareholder.

Atlantic Lithium Limited has rejected a conditional and non-binding offer from its major shareholder Assore International Holdings Limited to acquire all shares in the company not already owned by Assore, the African-focused lithium exploration and development company announced Wednesday.

Atlantic Lithium shares were 23% higher in early trade.

Assore proposed acquiring the shares at an offer price of £0.33 per share (A$0.63), but an independent board committee established by Atlantic Lithium to review the approach determined the offer undervalued the company and was not in the best interests of shareholders.

The rejected offer follows a prior approach from Assore in October at an identical £0.33 per share price that was also turned down by Atlantic Lithium.

Atlantic Lithium said the rejected offers did not properly value the company’s status as a near-term lithium producer in Ghana, its pending investment from the Minerals Income Investment Fund, and the positive outlook for lithium project developers.