Belluscura receives 89.6p midpoint valuation from Stonegate Capital

Belluscura has received an 89.6p ($1.09, GBP/USD: 1.2164) midpoint valuation from Stonegate Capital in a research note issued last week.

Stonegate Capital used a blended approach to their valuation, encompassing EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, and BV/Share ratios, and comparing Belluscura to a group of their peers.

The peer group includes Axonics, Inc, Penumbra, Inc, and Glaukos Corporation.

“We are using a comparison analysis to help frame valuation. Given the current stage of the product life cycle we are looking forward to 2025 for our valuation metrics. When comparing Belluscura to its peers we look at it through a EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, and a BV/Share lenses. By averaging these valuations, we arrive at a valuation range of $0.72 to $1.10, with a midpoint of $1.09.”

Belluscura shares were 2% higher at 27.5p at the time of writing on Monday.

After receiving orders, securing a royalty agreement and announcing further indications of orders totalling $85m, Belluscura has recently announced a funding package including the takeover of TMT Acquisitions, and an equity and convertible loan note issue.

MISSION Group sees materially lower profits as clients cut ad spending, shares sink

MISSION Group shares tanked on Monday after the marketing company said it now expects full-year profits to be “materially below market expectations,” as challenging trading conditions persist.

The marketing communications group forecasts headline pretax profits of no more than £3.1 million for 2023. This includes £1.2 million in costs from a business to be divested.

MISSION Group shares were down 67% at the time of writing.

The downgraded guidance comes as key clients in consumer, property and automotive sectors reduce or defer ad spending. Recent trading has been “more challenging than anticipated.”

While full year revenue is still expected to grow 8-9%, MISSION has commenced an operational review to cut costs. This includes headcount reductions to benefit 2023 and 2024.

The group also cancelled its 0.87p interim dividend to preserve cash. Net debt jumped to £25.5 million in October from £14.9 million in June.

MISSION remains in talks with NatWest bank regarding a covenant waiver, as higher debt pushes leverage ratios above current limits.

The board said it is “extremely disappointed” by the change in trading. But it believes MISSION is positioned to benefit as markets improve given continued investment in capabilities.

AFC Energy shares rise on ammonia cracking hydrogen test

AFC Energy’s next-generation ammonia cracker technology has successfully achieved 99.99% hydrogen from single reactor testing, meeting international standards for fuel cell applications, new test results show.

AFC Energy shares were 4% higher at the time of writing on Monday.

Independent analysis by the UK’s National Physical Laboratory confirmed the hydrogen derived from AFC Energy’s ammonia cracker and purifier contains ammonia at levels below limits in the ISO 14687:2019 standard for fuel cell grade hydrogen.

The results highlight AFC Energy’s ammonia cracking technology can deliver fuel cell grade hydrogen on a modular, scalable basis.

The ability to meet the ISO standard for residual ammonia “parts per billion” in hydrogen is a key milestone for the cracker technology. It demonstrates potential to support growing “ammonia to power” uses in stationary and maritime applications.

Cracking ammonia into hydrogen also enables use for refueling heavy duty hydrogen fuel cell vehicles. This provides an alternative to small scale electrolysis for distributed hydrogen production.

The ammonia cracker converts ammonia into discrete hydrogen and nitrogen molecules. The trace ammonia presence can damage fuel cells if not removed.

Meeting the ISO standard was tested based on individual ammonia cracker reactors. Independent analysis by the UK’s National Physical Laboratory confirmed the residual ammonia results.

Director deals: Should you follow new Forterra boss?

Brick maker Forterra (LON: FORT) shares are trading at their lowest point since 2016 when the share price fell from the offer price of 180p in April 2016. The share price has moved lower since the third quarter trading statement earlier this month.
Chief executive Neil Ash and his wife bought 22,016 shares at 135.52p each and 14,671 shares at 135.55p each, respectively. That takes the Neil Ash and family stake to 143,554 shares. The share price has fallen further to 129.4p since the purchases.
Neil Ash has three decades of experience in the building materials sector, including 15 years at Lafa...

Aquis weekly movers: S-Ventures plans fundraising

Aquis Exchange (LON: AQX) chief executive Alasdair Haynes bought 10,000 shares at 325p each, while non-exec chairman Glenn Collinson acquired 7,500 shares at 326.5p. Shares in the owner of the Aquis Stock Exchange improved 4.55% to 345p.

Technology marketing business Inteliqo Ltd (LON: IQO) generated initial revenues of $558,000 in the year to September 2023 and it moved from a loss of $428,000 to a pre-tax profit of $185,000. There is $384,000 in the bank, after a cash inflow of $195,000. Inteliqo should continue to be profitable this year as it builds up sales of smart translation Ipedia earbuds and the Langaroo language app. The share price edged up 1.61% to 15.75p.

FALLERS

Healthy snack foods supplier S-Ventures (LON: SVEN) plans to raise at least £2.5m to pay deferred consideration and provide working capital. The fundraising has been announced ahead of time so that more investors can become involved. In the year to September 2023, gross revenues improved from £8.6m to £16.9m, while net debt is £6.8m. The main growth came from an initial contribution by gluten-free products company Juvela and technology platform Market Rocket. S-Ventures was loss making and the level is likely to depend on impairment charges. The share price slumped 18.8% to 4.75p, which is just above the all-time low.

Tap Global Group (LON: TAP) has appointed Tennyson Securities as its broker. The share price declined 10.6% to 2.1p.

Premier Miton has taken a 5.05% stake in Global Connectivity (LON: GCON). The share price fell 5.08% to 1.4p.

Shepherd Neame (LON: SHEP) director George Barnes bought 1,000 shares at 800p each. The share price slipped 0.625% to 795p.

AIM weekly movers: Gama Aviation disposal

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Quantum Blockchain Technologies (LON: QBT) says that its proprietary Method A and Method B software is available as a SaaS platform. Potential bitcoin mining clients were interested in the software, but the company did not want to give up the source code, so it has developed the SaaS platform. The share price soared 110% to 1.625p.

Gama Aviation (LON: GMAA) is selling its Jet East business for $131m. Adjusting for debt and transaction costs the net amount is $100m, which is equivalent to 125p/share. That could allow a 55p/share dividend. The share price is 64.8% higher at 86.5p. The rest of the cash can be reinvested in the remaining aviation services businesses. Gama Aviation recently won air ambulance and offshore helicopter contracts.

CoStar Group Inc is bidding 110p/share for On The Market (LON: OTMP), which values the property listings company at £99m. The share price jumped 60.9% to 107p, compared with the February 2018 placing price of 165p. CoStar Group Inc says that On The Market provides a good entry point to the UK residential property market. The purchaser owns US-based Homes.com.

Craven House Capital (LON: CRV) investee companies Garimon and Honeydog – it has 29.9% of each company – are planning to reverse into the Amigo Holdings shell on the Main Market. These are music streaming and digital publishing businesses. The Craven House share price rose 44.8% to 21 cents.

FALLERS

Networking technology supplier Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) has lost 64.5% since returning from suspension on Monday and ended the week at 0.275p on the back of allotting 37.1 million shares at 0.2p each. This relates to a settlement notice for $90,000 from 5G Innovation Leaders Fund. The remaining outstanding balance on the facility provided is £1m.

eDrive systems developer Saietta (LON: SED) shares returned from suspension on Thursday afternoon after it published results to the year to March 2023. There were problems with the accounting for the new agreements with Consolidated Metco Inc, which included an upfront payment of €3.3m and an inventory write-down of £2.1m. The share price has fallen 51.3% to 18.5p. Revenues from continuing operations more than doubled to £4.8m, but the group loss was higher. Orders are in place to build up revenues. There was cash of £7.2m left at the end of March 2023, but by September this was down to £400,000. More cash will be required to finance the delivery of orders.

Fashion retailer Sosandar (LON: SOS) has decided to reduce promotional and discounting activity on its website and open retail stores. There will be four shops by next spring. This will hold back short-term revenues but could accelerate progress in 2026-27. Singer has cut its full year revenues forecast by 19% to £46.8m. This means that having made a profit last year, this year Sosandar will be back to breakeven, and it will take two years to beat the £1.6m profit made last year. The initial reaction was negative with a two-fifths decline in the share price to 11.25p. That is the lowest share price for more than three years. In February, cash was raised at 22p.

Revolution Bars Group (LON: RBG) reported full year figures broadly in line with expectations. The Peach Pubs business is trading well with like-for-like sales 14% ahead, but the Revolution bars have been hit be train strikes. Cavendish retained its flat 2023-24 pre-tax loss forecast of £2m, even though trading has been tough. The share price slipped 26.3% to 2.69p. This is just above the all-time low.

FTSE 100 falls at the end of a disappointing week for UK stocks

The FTSE 100 was set to close lower on Friday and end a week many investors will be pleased to see the back of. The tragedy unfolding in the Middle East and nagging concerns around interest rates have hit sentiment, sending major global equity indices lower.

London’s leading index was down 1.1% at the time of writing on Friday.

Only 16 of the 100 FTSE 100 constituents gained on the week as investors choose to sell cyclical sectors and those exposed to interest rates.

Defensive names were the best performers on the week. However, gains were limited with only one share, Endeavour Mining, gaining more than 2%.

“The FTSE 100 is on track to end the week nearly 2% lower, the result of a challenging period for investors worried about war in the Middle East, interest rates potentially staying higher for longer and mixed messages from large corporates in the US,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

There was little in the way of major corporate news on Friday, with InterContinental Hotels standing out after providing a Q3 trading update.

“InterContinental Hotels echoed the positive sentiment seen earlier this week from Whitbread,” said Russ Mould.

“Hotels are in rude health as demand is strong which enables operators to push up room rates. InterContinental has been busy buying back shares and it looks as if shareholders will get an update next February on future plans to spend surplus cash.

“However, the key sticking point for investors is the rate of growth for revenue per available room, which slowed in the third quarter versus the first-half period.”

InterContinental Hotels was down 3.7% at the time of writing.

Rentokil Initial had another bad session, losing 4%, after issuing a warning on their North American business yesterday.

Ocado was the FTSE 100 worst performer as the food distribution company lost 5%.

Lynas Rare Earths is temporarily shutting down its Malaysian operations

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On Friday, Australian-listed Lynas Rare Earths, which operates only in Malaysia and Australia, said in a press release that it was temporarily shutting down all of its Malaysian operations as the country’s government continuously expressed concerns over the radiation levels emitted during Lynas’s extraction process.

All of the operations, except for the mixed rare earth carbonate processing plant, are to be shut down temporarily.

During the interim shutdown, the mixed rare earth carbonate processing plant will continue to process a minimal amount of the raw materials.

Lynas shares were flat in Australian trade.

During the shut-down of Malaysian operations, the working crew based in the country will be deployed to Australia, where they can continue to work on a rare-earths processing facility start-up in Kalgoorlie, Western Australia.

Oil continues to gain as Gaza invasion looms

The conflict in the Middle East drove oil prices higher on Friday, with Brent and WTI heading towards the second straight week of gains.

According to Sophie Lund-Yates of Hargreaves Lansdown: “The oil price has topped $92 a barrel as concerns about recent conflict spreading throughout the Middle East rise. If Iran were to be pulled into the situation, there are fears the oil price could top $150 a barrel for Brent crude. While the demand picture remains muddied, the market is very much reacting to anxiety over supply.”

WTI crude was up 0.74% on Friday, while Brent crude is up 0.65%.

As Israel prepares for a potential ground invasion into Gaza, the concerns around oil supply from the Middle East continue to grow.

On Thursday, the Israeli Minister of Defence told the troops gathered at the border that they should be prepared to move into Gaza soon.

Russia and Saudi supply

In addition to concerns around the Middle East conflict, there are ongoing oil supply shortages from Saudi Arabia and Russia.

According to the official S&P Global Commodities at Sea data, total Russian shipped oil and oil products exports consisted of an average of 5.27 mb/d, the lowest supply of oil from the country since September 2022.

Russia has banned exports of oil and oil products to some countries as the price cap continues to be enforced.

Iofina progresses new plant

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AIM-quoted iodine producer Iofina (LON: IOF) has confirmed that development of the new iodine plant IO#10 is progressing, and it has signed a new brine supplier.

US-based Iofina is building the new plant next to the recently opened IO#9 plant. The new plant should increase capacity to 750 tons. The timing of the start of production has not been confirmed.

Iodine prices remain strong due to strong medical demand and the lack of additional supply. Cash generated from operations should fund the new plant construction.

Canaccord Genuity is maintaining its 2023 pre-tax profit forecast at $9.8m, up from $9.3m in 2022, while the 2024 estimate is $10.7m. The 2023 earnings estimate is 3.8 cents/share, rising to 4.2 cents/share next year.

The forecasts are based on an iodine price of $65/kg, falling to $55/kg in the second half of 2024, which is below the current price. Each additional $1/kg adds $300,000 to EBITDA.

The share price fell 1% to 24p, continuing a decline that has been going on since the summer. The 2023 prospective multiple is eight, falling to seven next year. Net cash should reach $1.9m at the end of 2023.