Rolls Royce shares fly as earnings outlook upgraded

Rolls Royce shares were sharply higher in early trade on Wednesday after the group said they see a much better-than-expected first half.

Rolls Royce said operating profit would be £660m-£680m compared to analyst consensus estimates of £328m. The aerospace company’s free cash flow will also smash estimates coming in at around £340m-£360m. The consensus was for just £50m free cash flow.

“Rolls Royce is highlighting the early success of its transformation programme, which is driving productivity improvements. Civil Aerospace has swung back into profit, reflecting a stronger aftermarket outcome, while defence sector earnings are also sharply improved, with demand stronger and a more even pattern of deliveries this year compared to last,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Rolls Royce is boosting full year guidance for operating profits and cash flows by around 50%, one of the largest improvements seen so far in the current reporting season. The company is benefiting from a recovery in flying hours by the airline industry, which is pushing more aircraft into the workshops for engine overhauls.”

Rolls Royce shares were over 20% higher at the time of writing.

The strong first half has given Rolls Royce the confidence to upgrade their outlook for the rest of the year and now see underlying operating profit in the region of £1.2bn-£1.4bn, up from prior forecasts of £0.8bn-£1.0bn.

The upgrade in profit outlook is testament to Rolls Royce’s turnaround plan, which shows early signs of success.

Tufan Erginbilgic, Rolls Royce CEO, commented:

“Our multi-year transformation programme has started well with progress already evident in our strong initial results and increased full year guidance for 2023. There is much more to do to deliver better performance and to transform Rolls-Royce into a high performing, competitive, resilient, and growing business.”

Aston Martin Lagonda – better than expected interim results and charging ahead to very strong fourth quarter

Lawrence Stroll’s Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (LON:AML) has today announced better than expected half-time results.

The £2.5bn capitalised luxury car maker reported that in the six months to end June its total wholesale volumes were up 10% at £2.95bn (£2.67m), while its revenues were 25% increased at £677.4m (£541.7m), with its pre-tax loss halved at £142.2m (£285.4m).

The first half improvement was driven by the much higher volumes and stronger pricing, together with its DBX707 and V12 Vantage Roadster showing impressively.

The group, which is enjoying its 110th anniversary this year, ended the period with a cash balance of £400m, boosted by the Geely £95m subscription, together with a £60m revolving credit facility, giving it an overall liquidity of £460m. Net debt was £846m (£766m).

In Q3 deliveries are scheduled to begin for its 499 DBS 770 Ultimate, which was a total sell-out of the January 2023 launched model.

The Aston Martin DB12, the new generation front engine sports car classed as the world’s first Super Tourer, was launched in late May and which is sold out for the rest of the year will see customer deliveries starting in Q3.

Executive Chairman Lawrence Stroll stated that:

“Although we may only be halfway through the year, 2023 has already proven to be a remarkable year in which Aston Martin has shone brighter than ever.

We are now driving new levels of operational excellence to support our growth and deliver on our targets which focus on increasing value for each car we sell, aligned with the characteristics of a true ultra-luxury company.”

The group remains well on track to achieve its medium-term financial targets of c.£2bn revenue and c.£500m adjusted EBITDA by 2024/25. 

The company has stated that it expects to substantially achieve these financial targets in 2024 and, with continued strong momentum, is likely to exceed them in 2025.

Consistent with its target to become free cash flow positive from 2024, the company also expects to further deleverage its balance sheet, targeting a net leverage ratio of c.1.5x in 2024/25.

For the second half of this current year, the group expects to achieve a similar level of adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2023 as Q2 2023, with a significant increase in adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2023, primarily due to the timing and related contribution of new product launches.

It also expects to deliver significant growth in profitability.

The shares opened up 3% at 360.80p.

FTSE 100 gains on Chinese stimulus hopes, Unilever jumps

Just as developments in China drove declines in the FTSE 100 yesterday, on Tuesday, London’s leading index bounced back on reports that Chinese authorities were finally preparing to move to stimulate the economy.

China’s recovery from the pandemic has stalled, and market participants have been hoping for action to spur growth.

“After a poor start to the week as investors grew tired of waiting for the next stimulus initiative from China to boost its economy, Asia stocks rallied on Tuesday as investors got some of the news they wanted,” said Danni Hewson, head of financial analysis at AJ Bell.

“Reports suggested Beijing will provide more support, albeit details remain thin on the ground at present. It was enough to lift the Hang Seng by 4% and send investors scrambling to own shares in real estate, basic materials, technology and financial sectors.

“Good news from China always makes its way to the UK market in a flash, with commodity producers riding high including a 4% gain from Anglo American and Rio Tinto.”

Antofagasta was the FTSE 100 topr riser adding over 5% at the time of writing. Should China successfully stimulate the economy, demand for Antofagasta’s copper will be bolstered.

The FTSE 100 was 0.17% higher at 7,691 at the time of writing.

Investors will be looking forward to rate decisions from Federal Reserve and ECB later this week and the prospect of dovish tones from two central banks enjoying lower inflation rates.

Unilever

After releasing a respectable set of first-half results, Unilever was having its best session for months. Falling volumes were more than offset by rising prices, and revenue for the first half rose 2.7% to €30.4bn. The consumer group’s beauty and wellbeing unit was the standout performer, with growth of 8.6%.

“Decent headline sales growth across the business and an improvement in operating profit, operating margin and free cash flow helped to drive a 5% spike in Unilever’s share price at the market open. That was one of its strongest sessions on the stock market in a long time, helped by quarterly sales beating estimates,” Danni Hewson said.

“But dig deeper and there are several reasons not to get carried away.

“First, group sales growth has come entirely from putting up prices, not shifting more units of products. The sign of a good business is one that can grow prices and volumes. Unilever’s group volumes actually declined in both the first and second quarter periods.

“Second, chief executive Hein Schumacher is still new in the role and it’s easy to get excited when a new leader delivers messages of optimism.”

Achieving strong growth in the global sustainable personal care market with Faith in Nature

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome the Faith in Nature team to the Podcast for a deep-dive into their natural personal care products and current campaign on Crowdcube.

Faith In Nature has grown 226% in the last five years – recording £14.8m – and is stocked in Holland & Barrett, Boots, Waitrose and Sainsbury’s.

Explore Faith in Natures products here.

We were joined by Sara Fisher, UK channel director, and John Allaway, Managing Director, for a comprehensive exploration of Faith in Nature’s business and crowdfunding goals.

The company was founded 50 years ago and has deep roots in sustainability having recently achieved B Corp status. Sara and John present the investment case and detail their commercial success to date.

We look at the aims of the crowdfunding round and what the future holds for Faith in Nature and its investors.

Find out more on Crowdcube.

Hummingbird Resources – stronger production but higher debt, however, shares do have attractions

Hummingbird Resources (LON:HUM) is a leading multi-asset, multi-jurisdiction gold producing company, whose vision is to continue to grow its asset base, producing profitable ounces.
It has two core gold projects, the operational Yanfolila Gold Mine in Mali, and the Kouroussa Gold Mine in Guinea, which are expected to more than double current gold production once at commercial production.
The company also has a 51% controlling interest in the Dugbe Gold Project in Liberia, which is being developed by its joint venture partners, Pasofino Gold.
The fin...

Greatland Gold’s exploration progress

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AIM-quoted Greatland Gold (LON: GGP) has updated the market on the progress at Havieron and its exploration drilling. The share price dipped 1.41% to 7p, although buyers have returned and this is above the low for the day.

The Havieron decline development has reached 2,510 metres and it has passed the middle aquifer. No significant water issues were found, which is good news and reduces the risk.  

The current surface drilling campaign has ended. Management says that Greatland Gold will move to quarterly reporting of exploration and development at Havieron and Juri, which is in line with Newcrest Mining. Newcrest Mining has 70% of Havieron and 51% of the Juri joint venture, where it has taken on the management of the venture.

Greatland Gold will continue to report separately on its own exploration and development projects.

Exploration

Diamond drilling has been completed on five targets at 100%-owned Scallywag, while the maiden drilling at Paterson South has also ended. The latter is a farm-in and joint venture with Rio Tinto Exploration.

The data from the assays from Scallywag is being processed and this will be reported in the near future. Drilling on the Rameses target was not completed because the drill hole was not structurally accessible.

Paterson South drilling was on the tenement adjoining the Havieron mining lease and it targeted magnetic anomalies and airborne electromagnetics derived conductors.  

AIM movers: N4P patent grant and Wandisco slumps on return

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N4 Pharma (LON: N4P) has gained another US patent for its Nuvec silica nanoparticle delivery system for vaccines and therapeutics. The patent relates to the nanoparticle. Chris Britten has been appointed chairman. The share price jumped by one-third to 2p.

Richard Bernstein has taken a 9.7% stake in Bonhill (LON: BONH), which has sold off its businesses and recently bought back £3.9m worth of shares at 10p each. The plan is to cancel the AIM quotation and a general meeting will be held on 1 August to gain shareholder approval. The share price recovered 52.4% to 0.8p.

Video streaming services provider Aferian (LON: AFRN) raised £3.12m at 12p/share, which was a premium to the market price. The cash is an alternative to drawing down a loan from major shareholder Kestrel. This will provide working capital to enable the continued move to software and services revenues. The share price moved up 30% to 13p.

Shares in Sportech (LON: SPO) have risen 8.61% to 176.5p ahead of going ex-dividend for the 35p/share special dividend.

FALLERS

Wandisco (LON: WAND) shares slumped 96.2% to 49.75p after the data software company returned from suspension. Wandisco recently raised £23.8m at 50p/share. The share suspension came about because of fraudulent irregularities in its accounts. There were $115.5m of false orders in 2022 and $14.9m of this was recognised as revenues. The additional cash will reinvigorate sales and marketing.  

Brighton Pier (LON: PIER) says that first half trading was subdued due to poor weather, weak consumer spending, train strikes and a fire in a hotel near to the pier. There are also cost pressures. Cenkos has halved its post-tax profit to £500,000, although net debt expectations have been cut from £4.5m to £3.7m. The share price dived 28.1% to 41p.

FireAngel Safety Technology (LON: FA.) says interim revenues are 17% lower at £21.4 and lower gross margin plus hedging losses means that the pre-tax loss will more than double to £3.7m. Price increases have been made. A strategic review has been started by new chief executive Neil Radley and is possible the company could be sold. FireAngel Safety Technology recently raised £6.1m at 5.05p. The share price slipped 24.4% to 3.25p.

Hummingbird Resources (LON: HUM) produced 24,000 ounces of gold in the second quarter of 2023 and even more was sold during the quarter. Costs were lower than expected at $1,234/ounce. This meant that EBITDA was $15.5m – the forecast was $11.8m. The downside is that net debt was higher than forecast at $123m. This was due to increased capital investment. The Kouroussa mine is likely to produce less than expected this year, while Yanfolila could continue to do better than anticipated. The share price is 6.46% lower at 14.125p.

Technology Minerals languishes below IPO price despite battery plant progress

Technology Minerals shares are struggling to get back above the company’s IPO price despite commissioning progress at their lithium battery recycling plant.

Technology Minerals has 48.25% in Recyclus Group, which is developing UK’s first industrial-scale lithium-ion battery recycling facility in Wolverhampton.

This week, Technology Minerals said the plant’s commissioning phase was on schedule, and operations were building steadily with the aim of processing 8,300 tonnes in the first year.

Despite the apparent landmark news, Technology Minerals shares have failed to rise above the 2.25p IPO price. Technology Minerals shares were comfortably above this level shortly after the IPO before crashing to lows around 1p earlier this year. The stock hasn’t convincingly traded above 2.25p for over a year.

Sellers have consistently stepped in as Technology Mineral’s share price approaches the 2.25p IPO price, and significant resistance has built in the 2p-2.4p region.

One Twitter user suggests Technology Minerals’ disappointing share price performance could be a result of “Bland/Dull” investor communications.

Indeed, one would think the UK’s first industrial-scale lithium-ion battery recycling would pique investor interest and earn the company a greater market cap than the current £32m.

There has also been little guidance on potential earnings from the plant despite Technology Minerals conducting numerous fundraises to progress their recycling plant.

Technology Minerals recorded zero revenue in the half year to 31st December, and there was no revenue forecast provided in their outlook.

Unilever shares jump as revenue growth beats expectations

Unilever shares were up over 5% in early trade on Tuesday after the consumer giant reported better-than-expected revenue due to sale price growth in the second quarter.

The company reported their second quarter trading statement alongside first-half results.

Unilever’s second-quarter revenue was €15.74bn versus analyst expectations of €15.54bn. Top-line growth was driven by 7.9% underlying sales growth in the second quarter, mitigated marginally by a 0.3% volume decline.

Robust first-half

Underlying sales grew 9.1% in the first half of 2023 for Unilever, driven by 9.4% price growth. Rising sales prices were offset slightly by a 0.2% volume decline for the first half. Unilever’s market share declined to 41% as the company reduced SKUs by 17% and saw volume drops in some markets like India tea and Brazil laundry.

However, beauty and wellbeing sales rose 9.1% led by double-digit prestige beauty and health growth. Emerging markets grew 10.6% though growth in SE Asia was muted. These were key to Unilever’s robust first half.

Developed markets rose 6.9%, with higher pricing in Europe. Turnover increased 2.7% despite currency and acquisition headwinds. Underlying operating profit was up 3.3% as gross margin rose on pricing though it remains below 2019 levels.

“These results from Unilever are solid but uninspiring,” said Charlie Huggins, Manager of the Quality Shares Portfolio at Wealth Club.

“Despite significant price increases, Unilever has managed to maintain broadly flat volumes. This is a clear positive and suggests Unilever’s brands continue to attract a loyal following. The other piece of good news is Unilever upping its full-year sales guidance to “above 5%” and reiterating that operating margins will improve slightly, despite cost pressures.

“The question is – should Unilever be doing better? The answer is almost certainly yes. Margins remain well below pre-pandemic levels and below the bonnet of that robust underlying sales growth there are problems. Only 41% of Unilever’s business is winning market share which means more than half the portfolio is losing out to competitors. And performance in Europe is exceptionally poor, with volumes falling 10% in the second quarter.”

Despite these failings, investors clearly liked Unilever’s top-line growth and shares were very well bid early on Tuesday.

Faith In Nature smashes Crowdcube target

Founded in 1974, UK manufacturer of natural personal care products, Faith In Nature, is open to investment for the very first time in its near 50 year history.

Its Crowdcube campaign (available here) leads under the headline “The first ever chance to invest in a 50 year old start-up” which, they believe, best sums up their independent spirit that has guided their approach to purpose lead business since day 1. Founded by Rivka Rose, the much-loved company has always existed to make natural products accessible for all. It has been a mainstay of the UK health sector since inception and has 95% distribution in the independent sector.

With increased environmental awareness, Faith In Nature has grown 226% in the last five years and is stocked in Holland & Barrett, Boots, Waitrose and Sainsbury’s. They are also number 1 on Amazon for bar soap and 400ml body wash. Sales are projected to increase by a further 85% over the next 4 years.

With investment already at 125%, the crowdfunding campaign is open for another week and they intend to invest funds raised into 3 main areas: growing brand awareness, sustainable product innovation and manufacturing more efficiently by moving to a new, greener, site in Manchester. Managing Director, John Allaway, says: “We know when people discover us, they love us. This investment will really help deliver the growth in awareness that we already know converts into growth in sales and loyalty.”

In August 2022, Faith In Nature made headlines by becoming the first company in the world to make Nature a director — giving Nature a voice and a vote on all decisions they make and reimagining what it is to be a responsible, green business in the 21st century.

To invest, and read the full investment pack, go to their Crowdcube page here.