AIM movers: Barkby considers Cambridge Sleep sale

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Barkby Group (LON: BARK) is considering the sale of sleep technology business Cambridge Sleep Sciences, which is set to generate revenues of more than £10m from recent licensing deals over the next three years. Management first said it intended to sell non-core investments back in July 2022 and the progress made by Cambridge Sleep Sciences makes this a good time to seek offers. The share price jumped 158% to 7.75p – it has fallen back from 8p, which was the high since the beginning of the year.

Shares in Silver Bullet Data Services (LON: SBDS) recovered 107% to 77.5p ahead of the interims later this month. A trading statement has already said that revenues will be 76% higher at £4.1m.

Cloud communications company LoopUp Group (LON: LOOP) sharply reduced its loss in the first half of 2023 and it generated £4m of cash from operations, partly thanks to a fall in trade receivables. Net debt has fallen to £5.6m and bank facilities renewed until September 2024. Annualised recurring revenues are £2.7m. The share price increased 50.7% to 3.24p. Last September’s fundraising was at 5p.

Seed Innovations (LON: SEED) has sold 56.4% of Avextra, formerly Eurox, for around €2.9m (£2.45m), while maintaining a 3% shareholding. This represents a 62% return on the original investment and takes cash to £4.6m with a further £2.5m coming in from the disposal of Leap Gaming. This is available for further investments, including short-term ones. The share price is 41.7% higher at 3.4p, valuing the company at £7.2m. Lloyd Leckerman has taken a 3.73% stake in Seed Innovations.

FALLERS

AMTE Power (LON: AMTE) sent out its placing circular at the beginning of the week and then trading in the shares was suspended on Wednesday morning due to a deterioration in settlement performance. The share price had fallen by 75.8% to 2.24p. The battery technology developer is raising £2.1m at 1.7p/share.

Tungsten West (LON: TUN) says that by January 2024 it plans to have obtained the necessary permits for the Hemerdon mine, but that depends on raising enough cash. The board says that there is currently no demand for tranche C of the company’s convertible loan notes. If there continues to be no demand for them then Tungsten West will not be able to meet its liabilities during November. Alternative sources of finance are being sought.  The share price slumped by 45.3% to 2.05p.

North Sea oil and gas producer IOG (LON: IOG) has been told by the authorities that the Nailsworth P2342 and P130 licences are not going to be extended and this could have a negative commercial impact on the potential for the Elland licence. Bondholder discussions continue and the waiver lasts until 29 September. There was £14.5m in cash at the end of August, including £7.3m of restricted cash. There was stable production from Blythe H2, but the realised gas price was lower. The share price slumped 45.3% to 0.93p, which is a new low.

Shares in Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) have declined 40.7% to 0.16p/share following the oversubscribed £4.3m placing and offer at 0.15p/share that was announced on Thursday evening. The share price had been falling ahead of the fundraising, but it is still higher than one month ago. The cash will help to bring the Schwarzbach-2 well in Germany into production. This is an excellent oil-bearing reservoir, and the well could materially increase the company’s production.

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FTSE 100 touches highest level since May, heads for a storming end to the week

The FTSE 100 has had its best week in months this week as optimism around interest rates and the technology sector propelled UK stocks higher. Better data out of China helped lift the FTSE 100’s natural resources sector – an integral factor in this week’s gains.

Higher oil prices helped lift energy majors BP and Shell throughout the week while improving sentiment around China and upbeat broker upgrades supported the miners.

Rio Tinto, Glencore and Anglo American were around 1-2% higher around 2pm on Friday and were among the best performers on the week.

Housebuilders joined in the rally on Friday after the ECB made a ‘dovish hike’ signalling they could be done with rate hikes. The Bank of England will meet next week to decide on rates and hopes are the ECB’s positioning will be mirrored by the BoE’s Monetary Policy Committee.

The FTSE 100 was trading at 7,728 at the time of writing after touching the highest intraday level since May earlier in the session.

“A solid showing from Wall Street last night put investors in a good mood and that positivity extended across Europe and most of Asia on Friday,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Helping to lift spirits was a strong debut from Arm on the US market and the ECB signalling the end of its policy tightening. That’s exactly what investors want to hear, namely the end of the rate hiking cycle and excitement around growth stocks once again.”

ARM Holdings closed up 25% on its first day of trading yesterday and markets will closely watch how it performs today for signs of sustained interest.

Games Workshop tops FTSE 250 risers

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Games Workshop (LON: GAW) says trading is ahead of market expectations and it announced a 50p/share dividend. This made the Warhammer company the best performer in the FTSE 250 index. The share price is 11.7% higher at £116.10/share.

First quarter core revenues are 14% ahead at £121m, while licensing revenues doubled to £6m. Pre-tax profit is estimated at £57m, up from £39m.

Management does caution that it is still early in the financial year to May 2024.

The dividend relates to the company distributing surplus cash. The ex-dividend date is 28 September, and it will be paid on 3 November. The 50p/share dividend follows a 145p/share payout declared in July and paid on 11 September. In the previous year, the total dividend was 325p/share.

There was cash of £90.2m at the end of May 2023. The two latest dividends will cost around £65m, depending on whether shareholders take shares instead of cash.

Rio Tinto, Anglo American, and Glencore shares: have you missed the boat?

The FTSE 100’s miners have staged a monumental rally this week. The slightest sign of optimism from China has fired up the sector and Rio Tinto, Anglo American, and Glencore are among the best performers over the past week, extending a rally that started in August.

The mining sector had been on its knees after the Chinese slowed to a crawling pace this year and the Chinese authorities did little to stimulate the economy.

China is the world’s biggest consumer of natural resources and a slowdown in China is bad news for the miners. Concerns were anchored around the property market which is the destination for much of global mining companies’ offtake.

However, one could argue the Chinese slowdown has presented a rare opportunity in the shares of Rio Tinto, Anglo American, and Glencore.

The mining sector is horribly cyclical. The FTSE 100’s miners have the highest beta of the index and can be enormously volatile. It is not a sector for the cautious investor.

That said, the sector has a propensity to distribute high levels of cash to their investors during the good times. Those who buy during the downturns can find themselves enjoying bumper dividend yields when things pick up.

An appetite for risk is required to make this play and it favours investors with a longer-term outlook.

In terms of whether you have missed the boat after this week’s rally; long-term investors will have little to worry about but those hoping for a quick buck may find better opportunities elsewhere.

AIM movers: Empyrean energy salary sacrifice and Cambria Africa returns from suspension

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Empyrean Energy (LON: EME) is issuing 4.4 million shares at 0.8p/share to directors instead of paying their salaries between June and August. The agreement to take shares will continue until the interest in Mako is sold or the end of 2023. The share price increased 9.21% to 0.901p.

Insig AI (LON: INSG) says that discussions continue with interested customers for its data science software. The share price rose 7.69% to 21p.

Power Metal Resources (LON: POW) says two gold-in-soil anomalies were identified in strike at the Tati gold project in Botswana from the 2022 drill intercepts of 40g/t and 23.2g/t gold over one metre and two metres respectively. The company is targeting a zone to the south west extension from the historic gold mine Cherished Hope. The share price improved 4.29% to 0.85p.

FALLERS

Trading in Cambria Africa (LON: CMB) shares recommenced after it published its 2021-22 accounts on Thursday evening. It also published interims to February 2023. Revenues declined 38% to $451,000 and pre-tax profit fell to $139,000. NAV is 1.06 cents/share. The share price slipped 18.2% to 0.225p.

Fulcrum Utility Services (LON: FCRM) continues to decline ahead of the general meeting on 26 September to gain shareholder approval to leave AIM. It has fallen a further 18.2% to 0.135p and the share price has slumped 86.3% this year.

Shares in Beacon Energy (LON: BCE) have declined 8.33% to 0.165p/share following the oversubscribed £4.3m fundraising at 0.15p/share that was announced on Thursday evening. The cash will help to bring the Schwarzbach-2 well in Germany into production. There is an excellent oil-bearing reservoir, and the well could materially increase the company’s production.

Webis Holdings (LON: WEB) is issuing £1.15m from an issue of convertible loan notes to Galloway to satisfy a prior loan and raise an additional £750,000 to invest in software for its main betting website. The interest rate is 11%. The share price dipped 6.9% to 1.35p.

Online gaming company B90 Holdings (LON: B90) has raised £2m at 5.44491p/share. The cash will go towards funding acquisitions and further investment in existing assets. The company is also converting £4.73m of loan notes and interest into 86.8 million shares. Enwys, which acquires customers for online gaming companies, has been bought. There are more than 20 other acquisition targets. The share price fell 5.74% to 5.75p. The share price has more doubled this year.

Rolls Royce shares: how much higher can the stock run?

Rolls Royce shares are the best-performing FTSE 100 shares of 2023 so far. The Rolls Royce shares price is up a bumper 147% since the start of the year and has left every other London-listed Bluechip in the dust.

One of the main drivers of Rolls Royce shares is the resumption of global travel after the pandemic. Revenue grew 28% in the first half of 2023 compared to the same period last year and operating profit jumped 9.7%.

The strong performance gave the board the required confidence to increase guidance full-year operating profit £1.2bn-£1.4bn and free cash flow to £0.9bn-£1.0bn.

Higher profit guidance is the result of the recovery from the pandemic but also the fruit of a multi-year transformation strategy Rolls Royce says has ‘started well with strong initial results’.

Tufan Erginbilgic, Rolls Royce CEO, was particularly bullish on the back of the results and indicated Rolls Royce was far from done:

“There is much more to do to deliver better performance and to transform Rolls-Royce into a high performing, competitive, resilient, and growing business.”

Rolls Royce shares have continued to rally since and investors will undoubtedly be questioning how high the stock can go.

Using Rolls Royce EPS for the first half in a price/earnings valuation would suggest the run isn’t over yet. Annualising the first half’s EPS of 4.9p to 9.8p would give Roll Royce a PE Ratio of around 23x earnings.

However, this doesn’t allow for EPS growth in the second half. If the top end of Rolls Royce operating profit guidance is achieved, and margins are maintained, EPS could be as high as 12p for the year.

This would translate to a PE Ratio of around 19x which isn’t expensive.

From a technical perspective, the market depth prior to the pandemic favours a move into the 300p-320p region. 260p is an important level of resistance and some may take profit around this level.

Both a basic analysis of their earnings multiples and the technical set-up of the stock suggests the Rolls Royce share price could have plenty left in the tank.

Banks race to the front of Vietnam’s digital transformation

Digital banking has exploded in popularity around the world, with an assist from the Covid-19 pandemic, and Vietnam is no exception.

According to the Vietnam Banks Association (VBA), Vietnamese banks have invested over US$660 million into digital transformation thus far, with dramatic growth in digital transactions over the past decade.

Before 2016, for example, it was rare for there to be more than 500,000 digital transactions nationwide on an average day. Now, there are up to 8 million such transactions daily.

“With such a huge number of transactions each day, digital transformation has been remarkable in the banking sector, especially given the Covid-19 pandemic,” Nguyen Quoc Hung, the VBA’s Vice Chairman, said at a conference on digital transactions in August.

In some ways, this digital transformation is ahead of schedule.

As of late 2022, over 90% of customer transactions at several Vietnamese banks were done digitally, beating the Banking Digital Transformation Plan of 70% by 2025.

State Bank of Vietnam data shows that in the first six months of last year, cashless payment transactions increased by 77.2% in quantity and 29.8% in value. Mobile payments grew by 98.3% and 84.3%, respectively.

While we wait for 2023 data, there is little doubt that these consumer trends will continue, with e-commerce and mobile payments becoming an entrenched part of daily life, especially in urban Vietnam.

Sacombank, one of the country’s largest privately owned banks, offers one example of how financial institutions are embracing digital processes.

“We deeply understand customers through data mining and analysis, which assists us in introducing products that satisfy customer requirements in the fastest way possible,” said Binh Tran Thai, Director of Sacombank’s Digital Banking Division.

“Furthermore, we are developing new strategies by redesigning branches, embedding new financial technologies in our services, and developing new business models.”

He also points to the pandemic as a key inflection point that banks cannot ignore: “It ushered in a new era in the banking industry that witnessed customers gradually switch to digital banking services for their financial needs. Banks must embrace digital transformation in the current environment to meet growing customer demand for product and service quality.”

As Vietnam’s economy continues to grow, there are ample opportunities to bring new customer demographics into the digital banking fold.

Binh points to street food vendors as an example.

“Back in the day, it was difficult for banks to reach out to vendors, who tended to use cash to make transactions, and had little exposure to smartphones,” he shared. “Now, almost every point of sale allows payment by bank transfer, and many have QR codes for customers to scan. This indicates the opportunity for significant customer growth potential in the current context.”

There are, of course, challenges. These include the considerable amount of capital needed to develop digital systems, a shortage of skilled human resources, and ensuring the security of digital information.

Nonetheless, policymakers are bullish, with the Hanoi Department of Industry and Trade aiming to have 45% of all e-commerce payments be cashless.

Binh is optimistic as well, predicting “a technology explosion in the next five to seven years.”

Given the rapid growth in digital payments in recent years, along with the omnipresence of digital wallet platforms such as MoMo, ZaloPay, and VNPay at businesses across Vietnam, it’s clear there is fertile ground for further digital expansion.

More competition is on the way too, with Apple Pay launching in the country in August, becoming just the third country in Southeast Asia to have this service after Malaysia and Singapore.

For both consumers and financial institutions, the digital future is bright. 

Writing credit Michael Tatarski

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Vietnam Holding (VNH) invests in high-growth companies in Vietnam, focusing on domestic consumption, industrialisation, and urbanisation. VNH has outperformed the Vietnam All Share Index (VNAS) on a 1, 3, 5 and 10-year basis and year-to-date, as at 31st August 2023, has outperformed its peers. VNH has a ~30% allocation to the banking sector and the manager sees a more favourable interest rate environment, and renewed credit growth supporting some if its core convictions.  VNH has been nominated for the Investment Company of the Year Awards 2023 in the single country category.

Beacon Energy shares fall after completing marginally discounted placing

Beacon Energy shares fell in early trade on Friday after the junior energy company completed a £4.3m oversubscribed placing to fund their German exploration programme.

Beacon Energy enjoyed strong demand for the issue and was able to secure funds at a marginal discount. The placing was completed at 15p – a 16% discount to the prior closing price.

The placing was met by demand from both institutional and retail investors.

“We are delighted to have received such strong support in this process from both existing and new investors. The Fundraise was significantly oversubscribed, bringing a number of new high quality institutional investors onto the shareholder register – a testament to the quality of the Company’s asset base and the scope for material value creation,” said Larry Bottomley, CEO of Beacon Energy.

“The fundraise provides welcome additional working capital to support bringing the SCHB-2(2.) well into commercial production. We would like to thank our new and existing investors for their support and look forward to providing further updates on our operational progress in due course.”

ARM Holdings pops higher as trading begins

The highly anticipated ARM Holdings IPO got off to a flying start with the stock opening up at $56.10 in New York.

ARM’s IPO had been priced at $51 and a strong start will be encouraging not only for ARM’s investors but a raft of other tech companies preparing to come to market.

ARM was trading at $61.23 at 17.22 BST.

The London Stock Exchange will be bitterly disappointed ARM didn’t choose London as their IPO destination given that the company is based in the UK.

That said, a successful ARM IPO will have wide-reaching benefits to confidence and could spur a wave of global listing activity.

This is a developing story