Challenger Energy Group – as its Uruguay interests gain global attention, right now could be the time to get involved in this highly prospective company

The Isle of Man-based Challenger Energy Group (LON:CEG) has an intensive programme of investor presentations over the next two weeks, which will inevitably generate fresh interest in the group and its various prospects.

Challenger Energy Group engages in the development, production, appraisal, and exploration of oil and gas properties.

It is a Caribbean and Atlantic-margin focused oil and gas company, with a range of oil production, development, appraisal and exploration assets and licences.

The company’s portfolio of opportunities represents a mix ranging from valuable production assets located onshore in Trinidad and Tobago, near-term appraisal and development projects in Trinidad and Tobago and Suriname, and high impact offshore exploration assets located in The Bahamas, Uruguay and Trinidad and Tobago.

The group’s-management team and staff base have a broad range of skills as well as deep technical and industry experience.

Its property portfolio consists of five producing fields and one dormant field in Trinidad and Tobago; a 100% working interest in AREA OFF-1 block in Uruguay; 100% interest in four exploration licenses in the Bahamas; and a 100% interest in Wag naar Zee Project, Suriname. 

I understand that its interest in Suriname and in the Bahamas are now considered ‘non-core’ and that a disposal programme is well underway, the funds from which will be easily reinvested.

The Namibia connection

The company considers that the conjugate margin super-discoveries in Namibia have also validated its early entry strategy in Uruguay.

Specifically, the company was the first operator to enter Uruguay in 2020, pre-dating the conjugate margin discoveries offshore Namibia.

Until the start of 2022, the Company was the only offshore acreage holder in Uruguay, having bid for the AREA OFF-1 licence on the basis of a modest, low-cost work programme.

However, since the discoveries offshore Namibia, five blocks offshore Uruguay have been awarded, all in 2022, to Shell, APA Corporation (formerly, Apache) and YPF (the Argentinian state-owned oil and gas company), such that now all but one available Uruguay offshore blocks is licenced, and the company is the only junior present.

Those blocks secured by the majors surround the Challenger Energy acreage, with those companies having already committed exploration work programs of over $230m.

The Uruguay asset is core to the business and is both highly marketable and highly prospective.

CEO Eytan Uliel stated that:

“In 2020, when no other parties were ready to commit, Challenger Energy was first-mover into offshore Uruguay, securing the AREA OFF-1 block on an uncontested basis and on highly advantageous work terms.

Since then, margin-opening discoveries offshore Namibia by TotalEnergies and Shell have made it possible to correlate what are now proven, oil producing source rocks directly across into the conjugate margin basins of Uruguay’s waters.

As a result, Uruguay has become a new global exploration hotspot, evidenced by the fact that in the last 12 months all but one of the available offshore blocks have been licenced by oil majors and NOCs, bidding sizeable work programs.

The results from the AREA OFF-1 work program have been extremely promising, in that the company now has a technically supported prospect inventory of between 1-2bn barrels in that globally attractive exploration hotspot.

The group’s next-step objective is to farm-out to an industry partner, so that it can fast-track a 3D seismic acquisition. The high-quality data set now compiled, and the intellectual property created, positions the company well, and it is shortly expected to initiate a formal farm-out process.

Significant Shareholders

The Aim-quoted company some 9,620,199,479 shares in issue.

Larger holders include Hargreaves Lansdown Asset Management (10.22%), Bizzell Capital Partners (Stephen Bizzell NED)(9.51%), Choice Investments (Dubbo)Pty (8.70%), Rookharp Capital Pty (5.49%), Jarvis Investment Management (4.35%), Merseyside Pension Fund (4.34%), GP (Jersey) (4.05%), RAB Capital (London) (3.80%), Interactive Investor (3.59%) and Maybank Kim Eng Securities (3.12%).

Private name holdings include Eytan Uliel (CEO) (5.67%), Baktash Manavi (3.51%) Simon Potter (NED)(0.74%) and MHCNZ Trustee (Mark Carnegie) (5.82%).

Analyst Opinions – looking positive

Brendan Long at WH Ireland, the group’s NOMAD and Joint Broker, has produced a lengthy evaluation of the company and is very expressive and positive about its Uruguay interests, describing the company as a ‘hot property’.

Antenna profit boost for MTI Wireless

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Increased profit contributions from antenna and water distribution businesses helped to offset lower profit from the distribution operations at MTI Wireless Edge (LON: MWE). Demand for antennas in India has been lumpy, but the long-term outlook is positive.

The move from loss to profit in the antennas division was down to increased demand from the defence sector. 5G demand was weaker in the first quarter, mainly due to the lumpiness of demand from India, which is the bid regional growth market. There will be further orders this year and the Indian factory has capacity to cope with the demand.

The Mottech irrigation business is starting to see the benefits of the price rises put in place. Two long-term contracts were won in Israel worth $2.2m.

Distribution profit was much lower in the first quarter, but the outlook is positive. Defence demand remains strong.

In the three months to March 2023, revenues edged up by 1% to $11.3m, while pre-tax profit grew from $974,000 to $1.12m, helped by additional interest on the cash pile. Net cash was $8.5m at the end of March 2023, although the final dividend of $2.5m is paid in the current quarter.

Allenby forecasts 2023 pre-tax profit of $4.79m, up from $4.32m last year. Net cash should improve to $9.4m by the year end. The share price rose 1.5p to 50.5p, which is 17% lower than one year ago. The shares are trading on 15 times prospective earnings, which does not reflect the longer-term potential.

Frasers increases stake in ASOS

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Retailer Frasers Group (LON: FRAS) has taken advantage of the recent slump in the online fashion retailer ASOS (LON: ASC) share price to increase its stake from 5.1% to 7.4%.

Frasers Group has built up stakes in other retailers and it does not mean that it is interested in bidding for ASOS. It may just be seeking a turn on its investment.

On 11 May, T Rowe Price reduced its stake in ASOS from 5.98% to 3.23%. Since the beginning of May, the share price has fallen from 736.8p to 382p at one point. Today, the share price recovered by 7.1% to 427.1p.

On 22 February 2022, ASOS switched from AIM to a premium listing after more than 20 years on the junior market. Prior to leaving AIM, the share price was 1950p.

After a boost from Covid lockdowns, trading has got tougher for ASOS and there have been management changes in recent years. The focus has changed from growth to profitability.

There has been negative broker coverage since the recent results. The interims show a move from an underlying pre-tax profit of £14.8m to a loss of £87.4m on revenues falling from £2bn to £1.84bn.

A major concern is that ASOS may require a cash injection. Net debt increased to £431.7m at the end of February 2023 and cash outflows look set to continue.

AIM movers: Egdon Resources recommends bid and Purplebricks sells business

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Egdon Resources (LON: EDR) is recommending a 4.5p a share cash bid from Petrichor Partners. This values the UK-focused oil and gas company at £26.6m. The share price jumped 89.1% to 4.35p, which is the highest it has been for six months. Petrichor is owned by HEYCO, which provides services and capital to oil and gas projects in the US and Europe.

Chaarat Gold Holdings (LON: CGH) has signed a non-binding letter of intent for a potential equity investment of $250m by Xiwang International Company at 20p a share. That is well above the current share price of 12.5p, up 41.6% on the day. The share price has not been as high as 20p in for one year. This would help to finance existing projects and acquisitions. The final terms are being negotiated.

Xeros Technology Group (LON: XSG) has signed a ten-year technology licence and distribution agreement with KRM Tekstil Boya, which will distribute denim processing equipment. Denim processing uses lots of water and energy and this will be reduced by this equipment. Xeros will receive a royalty on each machine sold and will supply XOrbs for the machine. The launch will be later this year. The share price is 33.9% to 4.15p, which takes it back to around the level it was at the beginning of the year.

Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) has raised £5.75m at 3p a share and a five-for-21 open offer could raise up to £2m more. This has reassured the market that Mirriad Advertising will have the cash to continue trading for a while and the share price rose 18.3% to 3.55p. The cash should last until June 2024, but it will take longer for the business to breakeven.

Purplebricks (LON: PURP) is selling its business for £1 and assets to Strike Ltd and cancelling its AIM quotation. That should leave £5.5m in cash in Purplebricks. The cash remaining after costs, which could be £2m, will be distributed to shareholders, but that won’t happen until early next year. The share price has slumped 42.2% to 0.761p, which values the company at £4m.

Healthcare IT provider EMIS (LON: EMIS) shares have fallen due to the continued uncertainty over the 1925p a share cash bid for the company. The share price declined 12.6% to 1364p. The UK Competitions & Markets Authority is launching a phase 2 investigation into the UnitedHealth Group Inc bid, even though concessions were made by the bidder.

Redx Pharma (LON: REDX) is evaluating its options to extend its cash beyond the first quarter of next year. There was £34.6m in the bank at the end of March 2023. Lead asset RXC007 is progressing well through a phase 2a clinical trial in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. There is enough cash to produce the phase 2a data. The share price fell 5.63% to 33.5p.

Pantheon Resources (LON: PANR) has raised $22m at 17p a share. This will fund the flow testing of the Alkaid#2 well in Alaska, a competent person report on the company’s oil discoveries and further development and exploration. The share price is 5.38% lower at 17.22p.

Lloyds share price: is the technical set-up a trader’s dream?

Lloyds shares are falling back to a key support level where buyers have previously stepped in.

The Lloyds share price has remained in a relatively tight range over the past year and the price has undulated between 45p-55p. On the face of it, this range looks like a trader’s dream. 

The 45p level has held on three occasions over the past year and on two of these occasions, Lloyds shares have subsequently rallied to 50p and 55p, before falling back.

With the stocks now approaching 45p once more, investors will be weighing an entry. If support levels hold at 45p, one could expect a move back up to 50p-55p. However, a significant break of this level would open the door to 40p, possibly lower.

There is of course no certainty the price will simply bounce off 45p and fundamentals must be taken into consideration.
Lloyds has two core elements driving their fundamentals from a macro perspective. 

Lloyds fundamentals

Firstly, UK inflation remains stubbornly high and the Bank of England will likely hikes rates again to control soaring prices.
Higher rates are good for Lloyds profitability and further rate hikes may lead to better than expected earnings later in the year.

However, the counterbalance to the upside scenario is the prospect of deteriorating UK economic health. If the UK’s economy is hit due to higher borrowing costs, Lloyds will have to set aside provisions for bad debts. This may offset higher net interest margins.

Nonetheless, investors confident of Lloyds earnings potential in the long term will be keenly watching LLoyds share price behaviour around the key 45p level.

Tekcapital’s MicroSalt expands US distribution with 400 new US stores

Tekcapital’s MicroSalt has taken another substantive step in bolstering their distributive network, with an additional 400 stores now stocking MicroSalt products across the United States.

MicroSalt is a Tekcapital portfolio company and shares their objective of creating products that can help improve the lives of a significant number of people with patent-protected technology. MicroSalt’s products contain 50% less sodium than traditional table salt and can help individuals with cardiovascular diseases exacerbated by high sodium consumption.

MicroSalt’s products will now be stocked in stores including Brookshire Brothers, Pete’s Fresh Market, Heinen’s, Dick’s Fresh Market, Zerbos, Better Health Market, Tdych’s Marketplace and Associated Supermarkets.

“We are proud of our efforts thus far to build product distribution as it underscores the retail need for full flavor, low-sodium products. These efforts are working in parallel with our efforts to provide low-sodium products for private-labeled retail brands. Excess sodium consumption is one of the leading contributors to hypertension, and partnerships like this are the best way to provide consumers with great tasting products with less sodium,” said Rick Guiney, CEO of MicroSalt.

The Tekcapital portfolio company has previously announced products are stocked in thousands of Kroger stores, a major US supermarket chain.

MicroSalt appointed Zeus Capital as their NOMAD last year ahead of a proposed AIM IPO in 2023.

Angling Direct builds European sales

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Fishing tackle retailer Angling Direct (LON: ANG) improved European online sales in the second half following the opening of the new distribution centre in the Netherlands. There is still significant potential growth in the UK and Europe. The share price rose 12.3% to 29.2p on the latest results.

In the year to January 2023, group revenues edged up from £72.5m to £74.1m. UK store sales improved, but UK online sales fell and were only partly offset by other European markets. The ending of Covid relief measures meant that pre-tax profit slumped from £4m to £700,000. Net cash was £14.1m even though stock levels increased.

There was price competition in the period, and this meant that margins declined. The heatwave last summer also had a negative effect.

AIM-quoted Angling Direct is the number one retailer in a fragmented sector and it is gaining market share. A new store was opened in Cardiff after the year end taking the total to 46. Management is also keen to open stores in other markets, so that it has a full omnichannel retail offer.

The finance director Steve Crowe is taking over as chief executive from Andy Torrance in June and the current incumbent will become non-executive chairman. A new finance director has already been recruited.

There should be no big change in strategy, although the new chief executive is an angler unlike his predecessor. The share price is back to the level it was six months ago, but it has fallen by nearly three-quarters over the past five years.

There should be plenty of opportunities for organic growth as well as potential acquisitions. The cash pile means that these could be financed without any requirement to issue new shares.

There could be a recovery in pre-tax profit to £900,000 this year.

FTSE 100 dips as poor economic data assessed

London’s leading index closed down as investors digested a raft of economic data from the United States and China.

The FTSE 100 closed down 0.3% at 7,750.

On Tuesday, markets were contending with Chinese and US economic data that suggested the world’s two largest economies are showing signs of slowing.

Overnight, Chinese industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment for April were all weaker than expected. The data added to disappointing economic readings in recent months and provided further evidence China’s bounce back from the end of stringent COVID restrictions was fading.

Equity markets were dealt a major blow on Tuesday afternoon when US retail sales rose less than expected, sparking a sell-off in global equities.

The FTSE 100 had been positive before the release, and the S&P 500 was 0.3% weaker at the time of writing.

Many economists have been predicting a US recession, and today’s data corroborates their forecasts. Retail sales rose 0.4% vs 0.7% estimates, following disappointing US manufacturing data released yesterday. The US Empire manufacturing index for May fell to -31.3.

FTSE 100 movers

DDC was the FTSE 100 top riser after releasing solid 2023 numbers. Operating profit grew 11.3% as revenue jumped 25%.

Vodafone was down heavily after a stark warning from the new CEO the telecoms company must improve performance.

“Our performance has not been good enough,” Vodafone CEO Della Valle said. Vodafone shares were down over 8% on Tuesday.

Vodafone’s free cash flow fell in 2023, and revenue was static.

“Lacklustre performance has been something markets have come to expect from Vodafone of late, and full-year results didn’t buck the trend. Higher energy costs and continued weakness in Germany meant underlying cash profit came in below the recently downgraded company guidance,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Ocado finished 4% weaker after JP Morgan analysts cut Ocado’s price target to 450p yesterday.

Greatland Gold responds to Australian press article concerning a listing on the ASX market, which is currently buzzing with the Newmont bid

The precious and base metals mining development and exploration group Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) has responded to an article in The Australian Financial Review’s Street Talk column, which was entitled ‘Greatland ramps up listing preparations, BofA nabs role’.

In today’s announcement answering the press mention, the group has not specifically confirmed that it has appointed Bank of America to assist with the ASX listing, nor the suggestion that it has been chosen to raise between A$50m and A$100m in the process.

As we highlighted earlier this month the group has appointed a new Non-Executive Director that could help speed the procedure in the ‘cross-listing’ for the £407m capitalised resources business.

The company has confirmed that it has held preliminary talks with various potential advisers, but no decisions have been made as yet.

The whole Australian gold mining scene has perked up over the last few days as the Newmont Corporation $17.5bn bid for Newcrest Mining has been recommended by the latter to its shareholders.

Newcrest Mining is a partner with Greatland Gold on the Havieron gold-copper project in Paterson Province in Western Australia.

Greatland Gold, whose shares have eased 11% today to 7.35p, has a number of exploration interest in WA, while it is expected that Havieron will be developed into a significant scale project.

AIM movers: Rurelec sells interests in Argentina and Tower Resources discounted placing

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Rurelec (LON: RUR) is selling its Argentinian power generation interests for $5m (£4m), which will leave it as a shell. The assets had a book value of $4.76m. Sterling Trust, which owns 54% of Rurelec is in favour of the deal. There is an initial payment of £2.4m on completion. This deal will enable a 0.2p a share dividend to be paid and leave £1.14m in the company. The share price is 50% ahead at 0.6p.

Accounting software provider Glantus (LON: GLAN) has issued a first quarter update, even though 2022 accounts have not been published. There was positive cash flow on revenues of €3.47m, following cost reductions. Management is hopeful that it can extend payment terms for a €5m loan. Cash remains a concern. The appointment of a new finance director may improve sentiment towards the company. The share price is recovering from the depths with a 13.3% gain to 8.5p.

Sabien Technology (LON: SNT) has signed a memorandum of understanding bringing City Oil Field in as an equal one-third shareholder in b.grn with Sabien Technology and Parris, which will be granted the right to manufacture its regenerated green oil systems under licence. There is also an option for b.grn to take a 10% stake in City Oil Field. Sabien Technology will also have the right to undertake research projects for the regenerated green oil technology. Sabien Technology set up b.grn with Parris Group to develop waste plastic recycling sites in the UK. The share price has risen 11.3% to 17.25p.

Online retailer boohoo (LON: BOO) reported a 11% decline in revenues to £1.77bn, which was slightly better than expected. The biggest decline was in the US. There was still a small full year loss, but the cash position was stronger than forecast with net cash of £5.9m thanks to a working capital inflow. A higher loss is expected this year. The share price improved by 10.2% to 42.385p, which remains below the flotation price.

Tower Resources (LON: TRP) is raising £2.3m at 0.05p a share. This will fund the preparation of drilling of the NJOM-3 well in Cameroon. It will also fund work on interests in Namibia and South Africa. The share price slumped 54.4% to 0.0525p.

Anglesey Mining (LON: AYM) is another company where the share price has been hit by a fundraising. It fell 22.5% to 1.55p following the £1m placing at 1.5p a share. Every two shares have a warrant attached that is exercisable at 2.5p. This will finance drilling at the Parys Mountain mine in Anglesey, as well as studies for the Grangesberg iron ore mine in Sweden.  

Shoe Zone (LON: SHOE) increased interim revenues by 8% to £75.4m even though there are fewer stores, but margins declined. Pre-tax profit fell from £3.1m to £2.5m. The interim dividend is unchanged at 2.5p a share. Net cash was still £12.9m, even after dividends and share buybacks. Full year pre-tax profit is forecast to slip from £11.2m to £8.5m. The share price slipped 15.6% to 202.5p, which is still higher than at the beginning of 2020.

Building technology supplier SmartSpace Software (LON: SMRT) reduced its loss in the year to January 2023 and there should be a further reduction this year to a point where the business is cash neutral. The hardware business is being sold. The share price fell 14.2% to 45.5p.