Restore to focus on organic growth

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Records management, technology and office relocation services provider Restore (LON: RST) has plenty of acquisition opportunities, but in the short-term it is likely to focus on organic growth. Acquisitions will still enhance longer-term growth.

In 2022, revenues were 19% higher at £279m, which includes organic growth of 11%. Underlying pre-tax profit improved by 8% to £41m because it was held back by higher interest charges. The total dividend of 7.4p a share is covered 3.2 times by earnings.

Improved efficiency and price rises helped to offset inflation, although there was a lag so profit was slightly lower than it would have been.

Records management remains the largest division and it is growing faster than the market. Contract wins from the BBC and Department of Work and Pensions provides further growth this year and beyond. Occupancy rates are up to 97%.

The digital business is growing rapidly with organic growth of 25% as physical records are transferred to digital. Contract wins are increasing scale and improving margins. The profit growth came from records management and digital.

The technology division, which focuses on end of life technology services, had a tougher year as spending on new equipment dipped – partly due to component supply. It still grew, though. The longer-term outlook is better.

Datashred grew strongly. The relocation business reported flat revenues, but it will be helping with the new BBC contract.  

A full year pre-tax profit of £45m is forecast for this year and net debt is expected to fall from £104m to £91m.

At 320p, the shares are trading on 13 times prospective 2023 earnings. The increase in corporation tax rates means earnings will be flat but in the future, there should be double digit growth.

Earnings enhancing acquisitions could make the shares appear even more attractive.

FTSE 100 steadies as Credit Suisse secures funding, Rentokil Initial jumps

Global banks enjoyed the reassurance of a Credit Suisse funding deal on Thursday after the stricken institution said they had secured a $54bn funding line with the Swiss central bank.

The FTSE 100’s rout subsided on Thursday as the index opened up sharply and traded as high as 7,458. As the session progressed, the gains dwindled and the index was trading up just 0.1% shortly after the ECB announced a 50bps hike on Thursday.

Credit Suisse’s new funding options drove a rally across Europe as the German DAX rose 0.1% and French CAC surged 0.5%.

“One minute the market is worried about a banking crisis, the next minute it is more relaxed. This hot/cold mentality creates an odd atmosphere and today we have another one of those days where investors are seemingly less worried. How long this situation lasts is another matter,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“News that the Swiss National Bank would step in and lend Credit Suisse up to 50 billion Swiss francs was the catalyst for investors to breathe a sigh of relief.”

“However, we are nowhere near safe territory for the markets. It would only take another piece of bad news from the banking sector anywhere in the world to put investors on edge again.”

Underlying concern in markets was evident in the regional US banks as First Republic Bank traded down 35% on reports the bank was exploring a sale following downgrades by ratings agencies.

Nonetheless, the FTSE 100’s most heavily hits banks provided some reprieve from the selling on Thursday. Barclays edged 1.7% higher and Standard Chartered opened higher before the gains evaporated to trade marginally lower. Standard Chartered is down 17% over the past five trading sessions.

Rentokil Initial

With attention remaining firmly on global banking stocks and the ECB’s rate decision, Rentokil Initial’s bumper revenue jump was somewhat overlooked.

The pest control and hygiene company’s Adjusted EBITDA rose 27% as it began the integration of their recent Terminix acquisition.

AIM movers: California contract for Kooth and ex-dividends

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Digital mental health company Kooth (LON: KOO) has won a significant contract in California covering 13-25 year olds. Services will be provided to the Behavioural Health Virtual Services Platform, and they will launch in January 2024. Specific terms are still to be finalised, but there should be a material impact on annualised recurring revenues from 2024. The share price jumped 37.6% to 236p.

Hurricane Energy (LON: HUR) has agreed a bid from Prax Exploration & Production, which values the oil and gas producer at up to £249m. There will initially be a 3.32p a share transaction dividend and cash consideration of 0.83p a share, totalling 4.15p a share. There is then a supplementary dividend of 1.87p a share. Shareholders will also receive a deferred consideration unit worth up to 6.48p a share. The deferred consideration is based on 17.5% of future net revenues earned by Hurricane between 1 March 2023 and 31 December 2026. The deferred consideration will be paid twice a year in arrears. The share price moved up 6.33% to 7.305p.

Evgen Pharma (LON: EVG) says data evaluating anti-tumour activity of SFX-01 for childhood tumours will be presented in Switzerland. It has been shown to be effective as a single agent and in combination with radiotherapy. The share price increased 7.89% to 4.1p.

Inspirit Energy Holdings (LON: INSP) says stage two testing of the Inspirit Charger waste heat recovery unit should be complete by April and the third stage completed by the end of May. The intended peak performance is 131kw. Discussions are ongoing with potential partners for future developments. The share price is 1.52% higher at 0.0335p.

Coal miner MC Mining (LON: MCM) has changed its JSE sponsor to BSM Sponsors. It was previously Investec Bank. The share price has fallen a further 23.3% to 7.75p, following yesterday’s announcement that the company is considering options to raise finance for the Makhado coking coal project in Limpopo. Further finance is required for the plant to be built. This could be through selling a stake in the project or issuing shares or raising debt.

Burford Capital (LON: BUR) shares have slumped by 14.7% to 529.5p, having been below 500p at one point. More than $300m was received in cash by the litigation funder last year and new business activity is at record levels. Cash and marketable securities have fallen from $315m to $210m. A dividend of 6.25 cents a share has been announced. Modifications are being made to the fair value approach to valuations. That could lead to a change in NAV.

IOG (LON: IOG) believes that it has enough cash for the next year, having announced a pre-tax profit of £38m for 2022, but this relies on continuing high gas prices. However, gas process have fallen since the beginning of the year and that could result in a covenant breach in the interest cover ratio. Debt requires refinancing in September. The share price has fallen 5.32% to 4.45p.

Ex-dividends

First Property (LON: FPO) is paying a dividend of 0.25p a share and the share price is unchanged at 24.5p.

Globalworth Real Estate Investments (LON: GWI) is paying a dividend of 15 cents a share and the share price rose by 4 cents to 288 cents.

Heavitree Brewery (LON: HVTA) is paying a dividend of 3.5p a share and the A share price is unchanged at 100p.

Impellam (LON: IPEL) is paying a special dividend of 77.8p a share and the share price has fallen by 57.5p to 655p.

NWF (LON: NWF) is paying a dividend of 1p a share and the share price is unchanged at 270p.

Shoe Zone (LON: SHOE) is paying a dividend of 3.3p a share and the share price fell 10p to 227.5p.

Tristel (LON: TSTL) is paying a dividend of 2.62p a share and the share price rose 1p to 331p.

Greatland Gold – the news is getting better and a big gold resource upgrade is possible

Following the latest Update from Greatland Gold (LON:GGP) concerning its exploration and development progress at its Havieron Project, Canaccord Genuity has maintained its Speculative Buy rating on the £369m capitalised company’s shares.

Their analyst Alexander Bedwany has a Target Price of 20p a share, compared to the 7.15p market price.

The flagship gold-copper project located in the Paterson Province in Western Australia is a Joint Venture with Australia’s leading gold producer Newcrest Mining – with Greatland having a 30% interest.

MD Shaun Day, who has recently been hosting a number of investor presentations on the group’s European Roadshow, stated that:

“The Havieron team continues to deliver strong results at the project. Total development has now surpassed 1,850m and pleasingly, decline development is continuing ahead of the current schedule.

Our most recent drilling activities highlight the potential of high grade mineralisation outside the Southeast Crescent which could add significant value to the mine plan at Havieron with additional gold and copper mineralisation intersected at the Northern and Eastern Breccia zones.”

Drilling Update

Improved geotechnical conditions have enabled increased productivity resulting in development outperforming the current schedule by 10%.

The main decline continues to progress ahead of the current schedule having surpassed 1,520m.  Decline support excavations for ventilation, services and materials handling takes the total development to over 1,850m.

The total advance is 10% ahead of the current schedule due to improved geotechnical conditions and the ongoing focus on productivity improvements.

Drilling activities at Havieron recommenced at the beginning of February 2023 with three drill rigs onsite and four holes completed for a total of 5,214m. This most recent drilling takes the total drilling at the project to 331 holes for 293,878m.

The drilling confirms the presence of high-grade gold and copper mineralisation outside the current Mineral Resource with recent results including:

– Northern Breccia: 29.9m @ 3.9g/t Au and 0.01% Cu from 945.1m

– Eastern Breccia: 57m @ 2.1g/t Au and 0.19% Cu from 1,262m

Analyst Opinion – more gold on the way

Canaccord Genuity has the view that the continued release of high-grade results suggests that a significant resource increase is likely later this year.

It also notes that no deal has, as yet, been agreed for GGP to sell off its Havieron stake to Newcrest Mining, the latter currently being bid for by Newmont.

Conclusion – cheap Aussie gold buy?

The shares, at 7.15p,  have hardly responded to the good news, leaving investors with an attractive buying opportunity if they wish to play in the Australian gold scene.

AFC Energy – a long time to profitability, but worth the wait?

The price of green hydrogen has been forecasted to halve in the next 10 years, and now nations are investing in the infrastructure for their hydrogen future.
There is a lot going for it!
Hydrogen is the simplest, cleanest and most abundant element in the universe.
Alkaline fuel cells generate electricity through an electro-chemical process that combines hydrogen and oxygen to produce pure water as a by-product.
What do these companies have in common?
An interesting question may well be – what do these companies have in common?
ABB, Keltbray, Taylor Woodrow, Colas Rail, Kier, Vard, Acciona, Mac...

Halma on track for 20th year of record profits

Halma shares were creeping higher on Thursday after the life-saving technology group said group adjusted profit before tax will be in line with market expectations.

In 2022 FY, Halma’s adjusted profit before tax grew to £316.2m and this years expectations of £353.1m to £369.6m would represent the 20th year of growth.

The company has achieved another year of profit growth through acquisitions and building organic growth momentum across all geographies.

“Today’s update was yet another reassuring statement from Halma who is on track to deliver its 20th year in a row of record profits. It’s also been a record year for investment in M&A, committing to a deal spend of up to £264m. We think the challenging macro environment will present further opportunities for Halma to pick up complementary businesses at attractive prices,” said Derren Nathan, Head of Equity Research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Halma continues to prove the resilience of its sectors, and with order intake ahead of last year, next year is also beginning to shape up nicely.”

Nathan continued to explain how the recent selloff has tarred all companies with the same brush and suggested Halma’s declines were unjustified. He did, however, caution that the PE ratio was a little rich.

“The shares have not escaped the recent sell off in the FTSE 100, and that’s perhaps a little unjustified. Nevertheless, a mid-twenties earnings multiple is hardly bargain basement territory. Halma has earnt it’s market admiration through relentless delivery of earnings growth. With that in mind, it’s fair to say that Marc Ronchetti has some big shoes to fill when he takes the helm next month,” said Derren Nathan.

Spring Budget 2023 Highlights

The chancellor began with the assertion the Office for Budget Responsibility now predicts the UK will avoid a technical recession. The OBR also predicts inflation will fall to 2.9% by the end of the year.

There was an emphasis on economic growth. Forecasts of slightly improved UK GDP growth painted a marginally better picture, however, the UK will still lag growth rates of other major economies.

“After this year the UK economy will grow in every single year of the forecast period: by 1.8% in 2024, 2.5% in 2025, 2.1% in 2026, and 1.9% in 2027,” Jeremy Hunt said.

The budget lacked any meaningful changes on tax and the focus was on menial changes to energy prices which will not improve the cost of living crisis.

Many of the measures are designed to bring people back to work and enhance the UK’s work force.

The headline announcements include changes to childcare and the abolishment of the pension lifetime allowance.

Tax

Although the chancellor said the government desired a pro-business, pro-enterprise tax rate, he pushed on with hiking corporation tax to 25% for businesses generating more than £250,000 in profit.

This is good for small businesses but unattractive to large multinationals.

All investment will be counted as a capital allowance and will be applied to all business. This means all investment in plant and equipment can be deducted from that year’s tax.

Savings

ISA limits will be kept the same. The current limit is £20,000 for an ISA in 2022/23. The £20,000 limit has been in place since 2017/18. And all under a Conservative government.

Jobs

Older people are being enticed back into the work force with apprenticeships for over 50s, changes to pensions to keep doctors in the NHS, and reforms to childcare.

£400m will be allocated to help support workers with mental health and back pain.

Carbon capture and nuclear power schemes are designed to create jobs across the country.

Pensions

Pension tax free allowance increased from £40,000 to £60,000 and the lifetime allowance of £1m has been abolished.

Energy

The energy price cap of £2,500 for a typical household will be extended for the next three months.

The rates charged for pre-pay energy meters will be brought in line with rates for those who pay by direct debit.

Fuel duty will be frozen and the 5p cut to duty will remain.

Nuclear power will be classed as environmentally sustainable and will incentivise private investment in the sector. The chancellor announced the launch of Great British Nuclear to help bring down the price of electricity.

Education

A new £600 incentive for childminders entering the profession, and £1,200 for those joining an agency.

Every child over 9 months will receive 30 hours of free child care following a staged introduction to the scheme. This will help bolster the UK’s workforce.

Environment

£20bn will be committed to to carbon capture to help reduce net carbon emissions.

Alcohol

The duty on alcohol will be frozen.

Pints served in pubs will attract 11p lower duty than pints sold in supermarkets.

Debt

Jeremy Hunt says underlying debt will be 92.4% of GDP by next year and will continue to fall as proportion of GDP each year there after. This government’s debt forecasts should be taken with a truck load of salt.

The deficit is forecast to be 1.7% by 2027-28.

Innovation

R&D tax credits will be expanded.

To build a hub for AI in the UK the chancellor set out a £1m prize each year for ten years for innovation in the sector.

Defence

£11bn will be added to the defence budget.

Pot holes

An additional £200m will be committed to improving the road network, including potholes.

Leisure Centres

Hardly a headline grabber, but a £63m fund will be set up to save swimming pools and leisure centres.

Investment Zones

Twelve new investment zone have been announced which are supposed to follow in the foot steps of Canary Wharf.

FTSE 100 tanks with European stocks on Credit Suisse crash

European stocks were in free fall on Wednesday as fears about the health of the European banking sector rattled markets.

The FTSE 100 and the German Dax sank over 2.5% at the time of writing while the French CAC and the Italian FTSE MIB were down around 3.5%.

Just as fears about SVB’s collapse appear to subside, investors in European banks were struck down by concerns about Credit Suisse.

Credit Suisse shares were down 20% after their biggest investor, the Saudi National Bank, said they would not pump more cash into the institution. Credit Suisse’s auditor had recently found problems with their financial controls and today’s developments sent the shares deep into the red.

“The fresh banking sell-off has taken hold as fears rise to the surface about the robustness of sector with the shadow of the SVB collapse still looming large. With the US banking sector downgraded to negative by Moody’s nervousness is super-high and that’s spilt over into a hot mess in Europe,” said said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

The coming hours and days will be crucial not only for Credit Suisse, but for the European banking sector and broader indices. European banks were sold heavily and many were halted to regulate trade.

“The banking rout has taken on another ominous twist with trading halted in shares of big European banks including Credit Suisse, Société Generale, BNP Paribas, Monte dei Paschi and UniCredit,” said Susannah Streeter.

FTSE 100 banks were crushed. Barclays was down in excess of 7%, as was Standard Chartered. Lloyds was down over 4%.

Prudential was the FTSE 100’s top faller after disappointing full year results were exacerbated by the banking sector rout.

AIM movers: Amtrak contract for Cordel and Yu Group profit-taking continues

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Cordel (LON: CRDL) has won an important contract with Amtrak in the US. The six-and-a-half year contract is valued at $6.7m. There will be $1m recognised in 2022-23 and $2m in 2023-24, with rest coming in the remaining time of the contract. Cordel’s technology will be used to capture and manage data on clearances of surrounding rail infrastructure. Cordel could move into profit next year. The share price jumped 23.1% to 8p.

Shares in Redx Pharma (LON: REDX) have risen by 14.9% to 38.5p on the news that its merger partner Jounce Therapeutics has received an unsolicited offer from Concentra Biosciences. Cancer treatments developer Redx Pharmarecently announced the merger with Jounce Therapeutics and the AIM company’s shareholders would own 63% of the enlarged group. They would receive 0.2105 of a Jounce share for each Redx share. Jounce would be renamed Redx Inc and retain its Nasdaq listing.

Purplebricks (LON: PURP) has received a possible offer from Strike Ltd, although it is not yet part of the formal sale process and has not entered into a non-disclosure agreement. The share price rose 10.1% to 7.595p

Reabold Resources (LON: RBD) has been approached by Kamran Sattar on behalf of an affiliate of Portillion Capital which could lead to a bid at a 10% premium to yesterday’s closing price of 0.2035p. The board believes this offer undervalues the oil and gas investment company. It recently sold the Victory gas discovery to Shell and intends to return £4m to shareholders, which would still leave it with cash. The share price is 9.46% higher at 0.2025p.

Energy supplier Yu Group (LON: YU.) continues to be hit by profit-taking since reporting 2022 figures. Year-end contracted revenues of £247m underpin the 2023 revenue forecasts. There are concerns over bad debt levels. The share price slipped 16.4% further to 510p, which means that the price is one-third lower over the past five days.  

Adtech company Tremor International (LON: TRMR) says it has had talks with its adviser Goldman Sachs, but it is not up for sale. There have been bid enquiries, though. The share price lost 11.3% to 233.2p. The share price fell 11.3% to 233.2p.

Oil and gas company Synergia Energy Ltd (LON: SYN) used $4.07m in cash during the six months to December 2022. That leaves $710,000 in cash. Since then, a convertible loan facility of £650,000 has been raised. The share price declined by 9.52% to 0.095p.

Coal miner MC Mining (LON: MCM) is considering options to raise finance for the Makhado coking coal project in Limpopo. Further finance is required for the plant to be built. This could be through selling a stake in the project or issuing shares or raising debt. The interim pre-tax loss has fallen. The uncertainty over finance has hit the share price, which is 8.42% lower.

The rise of sustainable consumption among Vietnam’s consumers, small businesses, and corporations

Van, who is originally from northern Vietnam, is one of many white-collar workers now enjoying the economic benefits of living in Ho Chi Minh City.

But outside of office hours, Van runs an online business selling locally sourced, high-quality food and groceries. With about 5,000 monthly customers and a food storage warehouse, this is no small side hustle.

“A few years ago, I learned how each part of Vietnam has its own animals and plants that are ideally suited for people living nearby,” Van shared. “Then I started selling locally sourced food in 2016 after using natural products for myself and my family for a long time.”

Her move was prescient, as tenets of sustainable consumption such as shopping locally are increasingly important to Vietnamese consumers.

The UN Environment Programme describes sustainable consumption as “decoupling economic growth from environmental degradation, increasing resource efficiency and promoting sustainable lifestyles.” Put simply: doing more and better with less.

According to KPMG Vietnam’s 2022 Customer Experience Excellence (CEE) report, 93% of customers are willing to pay more for goods from businesses and companies with strong ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) principles.

Other surveys have found that a majority of respondents believe sustainability is now a key factor when choosing a brand or product.

For example, in a recent survey of young consumers aged 18-29 in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, Indochina Research Vietnam found that 76% of urban youths said they would not buy products from a company known for environmental violations.

One out of two of these consumers also said they had bought clean or organic food products within the previous three months.

Van has seen this shift over time first-hand.

“In the past, people bought food at local markets, but in cities, supermarkets have nearly replaced them,” she said. “Then the concept of eco, organic, natural products became more popular, and people realized the differences between natural products and mass-produced products, especially food. And now when the average income has increased, more and more people want to use natural, organic food.”

Some large corporations have also embraced sustainable consumption.

“It’s considered by us to be a great opportunity not only to bring an excellent customer experience but also to realize our ESG commitments,” said Tran Phuong Ngoc Thao, Member of BOD, Head of ESG Committeeof Phu Nhuan Jewelery JSC – PNJ. “It also reflects the core value of the company, which is a dedication to customer-centricity.”

Their ESG efforts follow careful consideration of global commitments such as the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, Vietnam’s commitment to net-zero emissions at COP26, increasing investor concerns about ESG issues, and consumer decisions.

“We believe that customers deserve to experience, use, and understand the meaning behind the products they purchase,” Thaosaid. “This involves a production process that adheres to environmentally friendly standards, as well as parallel programs and efforts to educate customers on PNJ’s message.”

This includes sustainable marketing campaigns, eco-friendly packaging materials, and green shopping space experiences.

The work has paid off, with PNJ one of just 20 companies listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchanged earning a place on the VN Sustainability Index, and in 2022 it was named first among Vietnamese sustainable companies in non-manufacturing industries.

PNJ was also ranked second in KPMG’s 2022 CEE report, meaning it scored highly across metrics including trust, exceeding customer expectations, and understanding customer circumstances.

According to Thao, pursuing goals in line with sustainable consumption can greatly benefit a company. “One of the key advantages in PNJ’s commitment to, and development of, sustainable consumption is maintaining and upholding trust in the brand and honoring our values. The reputation of the business is a crucial advantage that needs to be leveraged to maintain the trust of customers and attract talent to the company.”

Not all consumers, however, have been convinced to make the switch to sustainable goods yet.

“A major concern remains cost, as sustainable products tend to be more expensive, as well as availability,” said Xavier Depouilly, General Manager of Indochina Research Vietnam. “Further concerns are related to the truthfulness of the promise made by producers without strong certification and guarantees, although some appear to be trusted, such as foreign organic food certifications and Vietnamese VietGap.

Nonetheless, Van believes sustainability will only become more important to consumers moving forward. “We are running out of natural resources, while environmental pollution directly endangers people’s living quality, and especially their food, water, and air,” she said. “People now realize that they need to consume more responsibly to protect their own health, as well as their children’s.”

Writing credit Michael Tatarski

Dynam Capital, the fund manager of Vietnam Holding (LSE: VNH), will be hosting the Webinar “Vietnam’s Retail Market” at 10AM UK, Thursday, 23 March, 2023 to discuss the huge opportunities for Vietnam’s retail sector with Phu Nhuan Jewelery JSC – the leading jewelry producer and retailer in Vietnam, and also one of VNH’s core holdings. Register to attend the webinar at: https://bit.ly/3ZYrOqY