NatWest, Tekcapital, and the FTSE 100 at 8,000 with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the UK Investor Magazine Podcast for a deep dive into a selection of UK equities and the key market themes.

We discuss:

  • Natwest (LON:NWG)
  • Tekcapital (LON:TEK)
  • Logistics Development Group (LON:LDG)

NatWest shares fell on Friday after the UK bank’s profit before tax grew to £5.1bn in 2022 from £3.9bn in the year prior. However it was their outlook that worried investors. We run through the numbers.

Tekcapital’s Guident has signed a partnership to provide remote safety monitoring and  human-in-the-loop supervision to Auve Tech’s new MiCa autonomous shuttle. We discuss Tekcapital’s portfolio and upcoming MicroSalt IPO.

We finish with a look at Logistics Development Group.

FTSE 100 dips back beneath 8,000

After breaching 8,000 yesterday, the index smashed through the milestone level on Thursday trade as high as 8,047, before easing back.

The FTSE 100 was trading at 7,985 at the time of writing with the historic 8,000 failing to hold as support.

“For an index that’s been unloved for years, it’s refreshing to see the FTSE find its rhythm as this could help it win back some of the investors who turned their backs in 2016 when the Brexit vote was cast,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

The index was supported by favourable earnings updates from Centrica, Standard Chartered and RELX, as well as continued interest in Vodafone.

“Helping to drive the index on Thursday was Relx, up 3.2% after its full-year results were well received. Despite being one of the UK market’s biggest companies, Relx tends to stay out of the spotlight and is often underappreciated by investors. In a nutshell it provides information to people working in industries such as legal and insurance to help them do their job in a better way,” Mould said.

Vodafone shares were 3.4% to the good after Liberty Global acquired a 5% stake in the FTSE 100 telecoms company earlier this week.

Heavyweight selling

Despite a raft of positive corporate news on Thursday, investors sold market cap heavyweights including AstraZeneca, Unilever and Shell which ultimately resulted in the FTSE 100 slipping below 8,000.

Imperial Brands and Berkeley Group were the top fallers.

Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered investors will be pleased their board issued a more upbeat outlook than Barclays did yesterday as shares in the emerging markets bank gained 2.5% on Thursday.

Standard Chartered upgraded their expectations for the year ahead after profit before tax rose 15% in 2022. The group earns most of their profit before tax in Asia and is well placed for a recovery in the Chinese economy.

Centrica

Centrica was the FTSE 100’s top gainer after the British Gas owner’s adjusted EBITDA more than tripled to £3.5bn on the back of higher gas prices. Free cash flow increased to £2.5bn as the company announced a £250m share buyback.

Centrica shares were 5% higher to 103p at the time of writing on Thursday.

Standard Chartered shares enjoy outlook upgrade

Standard Chartered’s bullish perspective on the year ahead helped their shares higher on Thursday as the group increased their earnings expectations for the year ahead.

“We continue to make significant progress against the five strategic actions outlined last year, and we remain confident in the delivery of our financial targets,” said Bill Winters, Standard Chartered Chief Executive.

“We are upgrading our expectations, and are now targeting a return on tangible equity approaching 10% in 2023, to exceed 11% in 2024, and to continue to grow thereafter.”

The positive outlook was at odds with Barclays‘ clouded perception of growth in 2023 outlined in their results yesterday. Barclays’ outlook was dominated by concerns around the health of the UK economy and UK rate trajectories. This is problem Standard Chartered does not have.

Although both banks enjoyed the higher interest rate environment last year, Standard Chartered are focused on emerging markets and are benefiting from growth in their key markets.

“In many ways Standard Chartered’s 2022 results are similar to those of Barclays, but the shares are getting a much warmer reception because the outlook statement reads much more positively,” says AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Both banks recorded multi-year highs in profits and dividends last year, even if both were held back by loan losses and other one-off costs, and they have each extended share buyback programmes for this year.”

Standard Chartered are to return $2.8bn in buybacks and dividends back to shareholders.

Seize China opportunity

One of Standard Chartered’s key strategic actions is to ‘Seize China opportunity’. This is an attractive proposition for investors as the world’s second largest economy recovers from a prolonged coronavirus restrictions.

Despite the restrictions, Standard Chartered produced a 10% year-on-year increase in income from on-shore China in 2022. This could well accelerate in the year to come.

Standard Chartered generated $3.7bn of their $4.8bn total group profit before tax in Asia last year.

Centrica reaps the rewards of higher gas prices

After years of low profitability, dividend cuts and balance sheet concerns, the invasion of Ukraine by Russia elevated energy prices and provided the conditions for Centrica to unleash their earnings potential.

Centrica’s EPS for 2022 rose to 34.9p from 4.1p in 2021 as higher gas prices bolstered revenue by 61% to £23.7bn.

With customer numbers for their retail business only growing 2%, the lion’s share of Centrica’s revenue growth was achieved by price inflation in their British Gas retail and business supply, and increased marketing and trading activity.

Net cash rose to £1.2bn at the end of 2022 compare to £0.7bn at the end of 2021.

The higher energy price environment permitted Centrica to reinstate their progressive dividend policy and will pay 3p for the 2022 full year.

“There will no doubt be howls of anguish and pain at the news that British Gas owner, Centrica, has today reported a 700% jump in profits from almost £400m to just over £2,800m, with earnings per share rising even faster from 2.8p to 34.2p. Despite that huge increase, British Gas saw profits fall 39% to £72m, in no small part due to the company spending £75m on customer assistance measures,” said Steve Clayton, Head of Equity Funds at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The huge dichotomy between a group that makes billions and British Gas making millions is because the money is being made in the North Sea and beyond, where the energy is brought out of the ground at high prices. British Gas’s realm is onshore, where gas must be piped around through expensive networks and sold at thin margins in a market with many competitors.”

AIM movers: CPP InsureTech partnerships and ex-dividends

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CPP Group (LON: CPP) says that its InsurTech business, Blink Parametric, has signed a new partnership agreement for its flight disruption product with a European insurer. Two contracts have been extended with Canadian partners. Another strategic partnership has been secured with Firemelon, a provider of travel insurance systems to tour operators, which will include Blink’s real time platform in its systems. The shares are 11.4% higher at 206p.

The AGM statement of Tertiary Minerals (LON: TYM) underlines the focus on copper exploration in Zambia and Nevada. The Brunton Pass project in Nevada is the primary focus for 2023. The company has received historical data for the Mukai and Mushima North projects in Zambia, which are near to existing projects and mineralisation. Exploration targets are being identified and field programmes should commence in the next couple of months. There was a 10.2% share price rise to 0.135p.

Falcon Oil & Gas (LON: FOG) has commenced fracking on a well for the within the Amungee Member B shale at the Amungee NW-2H well in the Betaloo Basin, Australia. This will take up to three weeks. This is the first of two horizontal wells. The share price improved by 6.74% to 10.3p.

Libertine Holdings (LON: LIB) is linking up with Sweden-based Azelio to integrate and licence Libertine’s HEXAGEN platform with its energy storage technology. The two companies have worked together since 2020 to evaluate the technology. The share price rose 7.69% to 21p.

Deferral of contracts by clients has led to forecast downgrades for Jaywing (LON: JWNG) and 2022-23 pre-tax profit expectations have been more than halved to £1m, while next year’s forecast has been slashed from £3.7m to £2m. The digital marketing services provider has won an Australian online education services contract that helps to offset some of the expected decline in revenues in 2023-24. The share price slumped 21.8% to 5.375p.

Medical device developer Creo Medical (LON: CREO) is raising £25m at 20p a share and could raise a further £5.2m from an open offer. The share price fell 18% to 22.75p. However, the share price was below 20p earlier in the week. The cash will be used for further development and commercialisation of its minimally invasive electrosurgical devices. Management believes that there could be enough money to reach cash flow breakeven. Directors and management are investing £2.1m.

Asset manager AssetCo (LON: ASTO) has £3.1bn of assets under management, including the recently purchased SVM Asset Management. A loss was reported for the year to September 2022, but that was mainly due to costs and write-downs related to acquisitions. AssetCo is seeking further acquisitions, but this year’s figures will provide a more realistic indication of the underlying profitability of the group after its recent acquisitions. The share price declined 10.5% to 68p.

Baron Oil (LON: BOIL) has published the CPR for the Inner Moray Firth licence P2478 in the North Sea, where Baron Oil has a 32% interest and the operator is Reabold Resources (LON: RBD), which has a 36% stake. Fully listed Upland Resources (LON: UPL) owns the rest. The Dunrobin West prospect has prospective resource of 201mm barrels of oil equivalent gross with a 34% probability of success. The main risks relate to the trap and seal. Baron Oil shares fell 7.5% to 0.235p, although Reabold Resources shares are 2.08% higher at 0.245p.

Ex-dividends

i3 Energy (LON: I3E) is paying a dividend of 0.17p a share and the share price rose 0.12p to 20.02p.

Knights Group Holdings (LON: KGH) is paying an interim dividend of 1.53p a share and the share price fell 1.1p to 76.9p

Mattioli Woods (LON: MTW) is paying an interim dividend of 8.8p a share and the share price is 5p lower at 620p.

MJ Gleeson – low-cost home developer sees a 40% fall in profits this year

The half-time results to end December from MJ Gleeson (LON:GLE), the UK’s leading low-cost housebuilding group, showed a 1.4% fall in revenues to £171m and a 34.8% fall in pre-tax profits.

A lower forward order book in the first six months was further impacted by weaker sales after the mini-Budget.

However, average selling prices were up 15.6% at £186,400, perhaps reflecting higher cost prices.

Gleeson Homes’ customers are typically young, first-time buyers with a median income of £26,000.

The group’s current trading outlook notes that net reservations in the last four weeks have doubled from the low levels seen before Christmas but remain below the levels typically seen this time of the year.

The group, which sold 894 homes in the first half, is now targeting its full year completions at between 1,650 and 1,850 homes for the full year to end June 2023.

New CEO Graham Prothero stated that:

“We have an exciting opportunity to take Gleeson to the next level by delivering sustainable growth over the medium-term, across both our Homes and Land divisions.

 At the same time as managing through the lower levels of current market demand, I want to ensure that the Group is in the best possible shape to take advantage of the recovery which we are beginning to see early signs of.

In terms of guidance: confidence, underpinned by improved mortgage rates, is slowly returning to the market, evidenced by improving net reservations.”

Broker’s analysts are estimating a 40% fall in adjusted pre-tax profits for the end-June year’s figures, to £31.7m (£55.5m) on the back of some £347m (£373m) sales, taking earnings down from 70p to 42p per share. The question is whether the 15p dividend will be retained.

Both Singer Capital Markets and Liberum Capital are rating the group’s shares as a Buy, with Singers looking for 606p and Liberum 560p as their Target Prices.

Gleeson’s shares held steady at 454p after the results.

Why companies left AIM in January 2023

There were four companies that left AIM in January with Celsius Resources Ltd (LON: CLA) the only new admission during the month. There was a takeover, a winding up and two decided it was not worth being quoted for different reasons.
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5 January 2023
DeepMatter Group
DeepMatter management believes it will be easier to finance the business as a private company and they were backed by the major shareholders. DeepMatter has developed platforms that make it easier to discover and replicate chemical reactions. It is estimated that 50% of science is normally not reproducible. DeepMatter requires...

Proptech platform lettingaproperty.com hits funding target

Sponsored by lettingaproperty.com

Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high risk investment and you are unlikely to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more.

Online lettings company lettingaproperty.com has reached its Seedrs investment target with 10 days to spare, having raised 101% of the £850,000 crowdfunding goal.

Launched on 24 January 2023, the campaign is now approaching its final week, having attracted­­­ 191 investors across 16 countries so far. This includes an initial raise of £750,000 from the MEIF Proof of Concept & Early Stage Fund, managed by Mercia and part of the Midlands Engine Investment Fund, and Mercia’s EIS funds.

Although the Seedrs target has been met, the campaign will continue to remain open for investment until close on 23 February.

Founder and CEO, Jonathan Daines, comments: “We are delighted with the appetite that has been shown for investment in lettingaproperty.com as a result of our Seedrs crowdfunding campaign. Given the strong demand from investors, our board has unanimously agreed to extend our initial funding target.”

The lettingaproperty.com business model has already resulted in impressive growth, with more than 1,500 properties managed across the UK, and an 80% subscriber increase over the last two years. The company generated £1.1 million turnover in 2022 with £800,000 of that from recurring revenue subscriptions.

Funds raised in this round will focus on driving marketing activity to boost recurring revenue further and capture greater market share, while also fuelling the firm’s technology roadmap and the recruitment of specialist roles across the organisation.

Since 2008, lettingaproperty.com has offered a smarter alternative to traditional high street letting agents. Landlords can advertise their properties, process applications and tenant checks, create tenancy agreements and more, supported by a professional lettings team, on hand to provide expert help and advice at every step.

Everything is managed through the lettingaproperty.com rental platform, featuring built-in legal compliance, digital wallets, OpenBanking, document storage, and instant messaging – all facilitating secure landlord-tenant communication.

Fixed-fee lettings plans include rent protection and LetsProtect legal support – giving landlords financial peace of mind and an invaluable ‘safety net’ in the event of rent arrears, evictions or other legal disputes – crucial in this economic climate.

lettingaproperty.com is on a mission to become the go-to destination for renting. Offering simple rental property management from any device, anywhere, at any time.

Learn more about lettingaproperty.com and invest on the Seedrs crowdfunding page: https://www.seedrs.com/lettingaproperty/ 

Investing involves risks, including loss of capital, illiquidity, lack of dividends and dilution, and should be done only as part of a diversified portfolio. Please read the Risk Warnings before investing. Investments should only be made by investors who understand these risks. Tax treatment depends on individual circumstances and is subject to change in future. Seedrs or the fundraising business do not make investment recommendations to you and any investment decision should be made on the basis of the full campaign. No communications about any campaigns on Seedrs you receive from Seedrs or the fundraising business, through email or any other medium, should be construed as an investment recommendation.

This article has been approved as a financial promotion by Seedrs Limited on 14/02/23

Seedrs Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Seedrs Limited is a limited company, registered in England and Wales (No. 06848016), with registered office at Churchill House, 142-146 Old Street, London EC1V 9BW.

FTSE 100 dragged by disappointing Barclays and Hargreaves Lansdown results

Hargreaves Lansdown and Barclays weighed on the FTSE 100 on Wednesday after the financial companies provided disappointing earnings updates sending their respective shares into a tailspin.

Barclays shares were down 10% after the company said impairment charges and litigation costs were instrumental in a 14% drop in profit before tax to £7bn.

Total income was higher during the 2022 full year period due to higher interest rates, but the cost incurred due to trading mistakes and worsening economic conditions more than erased top line growth.

“Barclays has bitterly disappointed the market with its full year numbers. Profits have been stunted partly because of a big increase in litigation costs relating to the over-issuance of US securities. This costly mistake has been known about for some time, but these are now the hard consequences biting the bottom line,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, Lead Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Barclays poor update also rocked Lloyds and Natwest shares, down 3.2% and 2.3%.

Hargreaves Lansdown

Hargreaves Lansdown results for the six month ended 31st December were positive by many measures. Higher interest rates helped revenue grow 20% and the company increased active clients by 31,000 in the last half year. However, levels of net new business fell by 30% to £1.6bn and assets under administration fell 10% to £127bn suggesting underlying weakness in their investment business.

Hargreaves shareholders will enjoy a 3.6% increase in the half year dividend to 12.7p, but concern about lower new business and client assets hit shares.

Hargreaves Lansdown shares fell 6% and were the second biggest FTSE 100 faller behind Barclays.

UK inflation

UK inflation eased slightly in January and today’s 10.1% CPI reading acted as a counterbalance to weakness in the FTSE 100’s financial companies.

“Today’s UK CPI inflation data was followed by a sharp pullback in the pound as it added to the potential of a more dovish BoE as investors carefully follow any developments which may indicate the future steps of the central banks policy. GBPUSD pair retreated below 1.21 and is attempting to recover from this area,” said Walid Koudmani, Chief Market Analyst at online investment platform XTB.com.

With weakness in the pound, one would expect to see strength in the FTSE’s overseas earners. Shell, Diageo, BAE Systems, and BP provided some support for the index with minor gains.

Housebuilders also rallied on hopes lower inflation data would lead to easier monetary policy from the Bank of England and help the ailing UK property market.

The FTSE 100 was trading at 7,964, up 0.1%, at the time of writing.

AIM movers: Clontarf Energy lithium extraction JV and lower production at Jubilee Metals

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Clontarf Energy (LON: CLON) is forming a joint venture with US-based NEXT-ChemX Corporation, which covers the deployment and marketing of the latter’s direct lithium ion extraction technology in Bolivia. There is limited water and energy consumption. Pilot testing and extraction starts in March. Clontarf Energy will contribute $500,000 towards the pilot plant for exclusive use of the technology and when that is made it will also issue 385 million shares to the partner. NEXT-ChemX will issue $500,000 of shares to Clontarf Energy in its next fundraising. A further 500 million Clontarf Energy shares will be issued to NEXT-ChemX on achievement of certain milestones. NEXT-ChemX has the right to invest £250,000 at 0.065p/Clontarf Energy share. The share price soared by 60% to 01.2p.

Having successfully raised €1.4m at 9.25p a share Glantus (LON: GLAN) shares recovered 17.7% to 8p. Chief executive Maurice Healy subscribed €350,000 in the fundraising. The cash will pay deferred consideration on past acquisitions and restructuring costs. This fundraising is a condition of the agreement to extend repayment of a €5m loan until August 2024.

Mercantile Ports & Logistics (LON: MPL) has handled the first container freight at its Karanja port facility in India. An agreement with another local port and a logistics company could prove significant in the longer-term. The share price rose 14.3% to 7p.

LPA Group (LON: LPA) has received a £5.3m order for electro-mechanical products to the UK rail sector, which takes the value of the group order book to £34m. The share price increased 11.1% to 85p.

Jubilee Metals (LON: JLP) says copper production in Zambia fell 10% to 1,149t, which is well below the 3,000t target for the latest six months period. Power problems have hampered progress and back-up sources are being sought. South African platinum group metals production was 18,200 ounces and chrome production was 634,000 tonnes. The share price slumped 17% to 9.5p.

After a period of share price recovery, the Gattaca (LON: GATC) share price fell back % to p despite a good first half. However, permanent recruitment business has weakened since the beginning of 2023. Liberum has trimmed its full year pre-tax profit forecast for the specialist staff provider from £2.5m to £1.8m, which means that the dividend expectation has been lowered from 2.9p a share to 2.1p a share. Net cash is likely to be better than previously expected at £20.6m. The share price declined by 15.5% to 76.5p.

Brighton Pier Group (LON: PIER) says revenues for the 18 months to December 2022 were £58.9m. Like-for-like growth was 9%. Borrowings are falling and this offsets higher interest rates. However, reduced margins due to higher inflation mean that Cenkos has cut its 2023 earnings forecast from 4.6p a share to 3.7p a share. The shares are 11% lower at 61p.

Semiconductors designer Sondrel Holdings (LON: SND) says the project design for a customer in the automotive sector has been delayed because project design will not be completed until the first quarter of this year. The payment for the first milestone was in January and the second will not be until May. The 2022 loss is higher than forecast and there will still be a small loss in 2023. The share price slipped by 7% to 56.25p. Sondrel was one of the better performers of last year’s new admissions, but the share price is nearly back at the 55p placing price.