FTSE 100 edges higher as US rate decision eyed

The FTSE 100 rose on Wednesday after a a strong session in the US overnight driven by central bank expectations.

The FTSE 100 had edged up 0.2% to 7,786 at the time of writing.

Nervousness earlier in the week has been replaced by mild optimism the Federal Reserve and Bank of England would soon start to slow the pace of their rates hikes, and could even cut rates towards the end of the year.

The prospect of easier monetary policy buoyed US stocks overnight where the S&P 500 closed up over 1%.

“The FTSE 100 moved higher on Wednesday morning, with today’s trading session in London sandwiched by strong gains on Wall Street overnight and the US Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates later,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“A lot is riding on the Fed dialling back the pace of rate hikes to 25 basis points and there will also be plenty of attention on the surrounding messaging from chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues. Helping the market’s mood on Tuesday was data that revealed slowing US wage growth, another signal that inflationary pressures have peaked.”

GSK

GSK, formerly known as GlaxoSmithKline, dipped slightly on Wednesday after the pharma giant reported strong sales growth for 2022. GSK shares had been bid up over the last week and the numbers proved to be lacking the punch to keep the rally going through the trend line in a downtrend started in December.

“GSK, or Glaxo as market greybeards still know it as, reported underlying sales growth of 13% for the year just ended. Currency moves pushed the reported numbers up even higher,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Growth was driven by specialty medicines, up 29% and HIV treatments, 12% higher. The rest of the portfolio saw strong gains also from oncology and immuno-inflammation treatments.  Blockbuster shingles vaccine, Shingrix was the star of the show, delivering £3bn of sales, up 72%. The group currently has a pipeline of 69 treatments, 19 of which are in late-stage trials. Underlying earnings jumped by 18% to 110.8p.”

Entain

Entain was among the best performers on Wednesday following a record fourth quarter helped by growth in their US business and the World Cup.

The company also completed a number of European acquisitions which promise top line growth in 2022.

AIM movers: Pathfinder Minerals option exercised and Orcadian Energy funding

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Pathfinder Minerals (LON: PFP) has received notice of the exercising by Acumen Advisory of the option to acquire its subsidiary IM Minerals and the rights to a claim against the Mozambique government. A binding agreement is required by 23 February. This will inject £2m in cash into Pathfinder Minerals and there could be more from a successful legal claim. The £500,000 placing at 0.5p a share has been completed. The share price jumped 35.3% to 0.575p.

Made Tech Group (LON: MTEC) announced positive trading and the share price moved up by 18.7% to 31.75p. This in contrast to TPXimpact, which also provides digital services to the public and private sector. First half revenues are 76% higher at £20.6m, meaning that it is well on the way to forecast full year revenues of £43m. Three recent major contract wins totalled £27m over two to four years. Margins have been low, but contractors are being used less and this will improve the margin. There is still a long way to go to get back to the September 2021 flotation price of 122p.

Crimson Tide (LON: TIDE) has secured the first US subscription contract for its mpro5 smart mobile working as a service product. The contract is worth more than £250,000 over three years. The mpro5 will be used as the front end for IoT sensors in the California offices of a global networking supplier. This could then be rolled out to other offices. The share price increased by 16.3% to 32p.

PetroTal Corp (LON: PTAL) has increased its 2P reserves by 24% to 96.7 million barrels. On the onshore Peru Bretana oil field. This comes from increased oil in place and higher an increased recovery factor. The NPV10 is estimated as $1.5bn. The share price rose 13.3% to 47p.

Kodal Minerals (LON: KOD) has received the $7m deposit from its funding package for the Bougani lithium project in Mali. This is being provided by Hainan Mining. The full funding is subject to Chinese regulatory approvals. Suay Chin decided not to take up the pre-emption rights that would be triggered by the subscription agreement that is part of the funding package. Results from drilling are pending. The share price is 14% ahead at 0.4475p.

Cybersecurity services provider ECSC (LON: ECSC) has won three significant contract wins. The managed detection and response division will provide services over three years for a total value of more than £690,000. The share price rose 13% to 26p.

Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) raised £500,000 at 10p a share to fund the progress towards a field development plan for the Pilot licence area in the North Sea. A farm-out process is underway. Upside resource potential for Pilot is 131MMbbl. Pro forma cash is £723,000. The share price fell 29.2% to 10.625p.

Digital transformation services provider TPXimpact (LON: TPX) continues to decline after yesterday’s reduction in full year guidance. It has slumped a further 25.5% to 19p, having started the week at 46p.

Synergia Energy Ltd (LON: SYN) says production at the Cambay C-77H well in India is being inhibited by the 1,500 metre column of gas in the wellbore. Management is considering solutions to this problem. The company plans to farm-out 50% of Cambay. The share price declined by 17.1% to 0.085p.

Made Tech Group – big Government contract wins boost record order book

The news that in the last few weeks Made Tech Group (LON:MTEC) has been awarded a massive £27m of new contracts by the Government, emphasises its potential to create sizeable profits in the coming year.

The £40m capitalised group is a specialist provider of digital, data and technology services to the UK public sector, enabling central government, healthcare and local government organisations to digitally transform.

The new contract wins are with the DVLA for £14m, the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities for £8m and finally with the Cabinet Office for £5m.

Interim results due in next few weeks

Ahead of announcing its interims on Thursday 23 February the group issued a Trading Update declaring a strong first-half performance for the six months to end November 2022.

Group revenue was up 76% at £20.6m (£11.7m) while adjusted EBITDA was £0.5m (£1.2m), due to delayed bid submissions and ongoing project work.

The group had a net cash position of £9m, while its contracted order backlog at the period end was 53% up at a record £47.8m (£31.3m).

Going forward the group’s Board has confidence in its growth prospects, having right-sized its headcount, having reduced contractor numbers by 10% and improved cost controls.

CEO Rory MacDonald stated that:

 “We are delighted to have delivered another period of strong growth. It is pleasing to note that our contract sizes continue to grow as we become more established in the market. 

These wins, together with the new Home Office contract announced in November 2022, demonstrate Made Tech’s ability to deliver digital technology successfully, and highlight the strength of our reputation in this growing market. 

As a result, the Group remains on track to meet market expectations for the full year and deliver value to shareholders over the long term.”

Analyst Opinion – the most important indicators are flashing green

Analysts at Singer Capital Markets rate the shares as a Buy, looking for 76p a share.

Their estimates for the current year to end May are for £43.0m (£29.3m) revenues, with adjusted pre-tax profits rising to £3.4m (£2.3m), generating 3.4p (2.3p) per share of earnings.

For the next year they go for £50.0m sales, £4.1m profits and 2.6p earnings.

Conclusion – 40p for 2023 an easy objective

With its shares now trading around the 27p price level they are offering attractive upside, with 40p being an easy 2023 objective.

Entain has record fourth quarter as World Cup boosts gaming revenue

The World Cup helped drive a record fourth quarter for betting company Entain. Gaming revenue jumped 11% in the period as punters turned to their betting apps during the unusual winter football competition.

The company also pursued global expansion with acquisitions in Croatia and the Netherlands, and the continued roll out across the United States.

“Entain saw record fourth quarter gaming revenue and a spike in active customers as the winter World Cup gave punters plenty to sink their teeth in to. It’s no real surprise to see annual figures heavily biased toward the retail division growth, as performance laps times when betting shops were shut due to lockdowns,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“There were always concerns that the lockdown-induced boom for online betting would simply shift back to physical stores, but that doesn’t seem to be the case – online revenue is down a touch but remains well ahead of pre-pandemic levels.”

Britzman highlighted the importance of Entain’s US business and their joint venture with MGM.

“BetMGM, the joint venture with MGM in the US, remains a shining star. Recent performance beat expectations and cash profit should start to flow as we move into the second half of the year. The real question here is how long this will remain a joint venture, it seems unlikely both parties will want to continue their US gambling exposure in its current form indefinitely. If we had to put money on it, a bid from MGM to take full control looks the most likely outcome – time will tell.” Britzman said.

New AIM admission: Celsius Resources Ltd

ASX-listed Celsius Resources has its main exploration assets in the Philippines and Namibia, plus an asset in Australia that is likely to be sold. The cash raised in the placing will be predominantly spent on the MCB project in the Philippines.
The MCB project is favoured by the authorities, and they are keen to fast track its development. The cash will help to finance further development, but management needs to secure additional debt and/or an offtake agreement to generate the funding required to get the project to bankable feasibility.
Celsius Resources owns 100% of the project, which provi...

FTSE 100 sinks after downbeat UK economic forecasts from the IMF

The FTSE 100 stumbled again on Tuesday as investors became increasingly nervous about the implications of key central bank meetings this week and reacted to downbeat UK economic forecasts from the IMF.

The FTSE 100 was 0.75% weaker and sterling slipped 0.2% against the dollar.

Interest rate decisions

It’s not the actual rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and Bank of England causing concern, rather the trajectory for rates in 2023.

“This week’s US central bank decision on interest rates is incredibly important to the future direction of stock markets. Investors have been feeling quite relaxed of late, with a risk-on mentality when it comes to bidding up equities. Increasingly a lot of people have become confident that US rates are close to their peak in this part of the cycle, hence a strong run for many markets since late 2022,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

However, most major economies have been remarkably resilient and offer little reason for central banks to reverse rate hikes this year. Indeed, the IMF sees strength across G7 economies this year. Apart from the UK, that is.

IMF growth forecasts

The IMF issued a report last night and amended global GDP forecasts for 2023 with all G7 economies now expected to expand, with the expectation of the UK. Even the Russian economy is now expected to grow this year.

The IMF predicts the UK economy will shrink 0.6% in 2023, before returning to growth in 2024. Global growth is forecast to be 2.9% this year.

Overnight, the IMF published their global forecasts with a bump in GDP growth and easing inflation metrics. While the forecasts are welcome for most economies, the UK was singled out as the only G7 economy forecasted to shrink this year,” said William Marsters, Senior Sales Trader at Saxo UK.

“This will be a disappointing news for Britons as today marks the 3-year anniversary of Brexit. Adding salt to the wound, a separate report by Bloomberg Economics said that Brexit is costing the UK economy £100 billion a year in everything from foreign investment, business opportunities and labour supply.”

This disappointment was reflected in the FTSE 100 shedding 0.75% to trade at 7,724.

Although, UK-centric sectors such as the housebuilders and UK banks were weaker, the selling across the index was broad. Miners and oil majors were down and dragged on the index.

Anglo American, Glencore, Endeavour Mining and Fresnillo were among the top fallers. Shell and BP fell 1.2% and 1.8% respectively.

Ocado was the FTSE 100’s top faller, giving up 3.5% of their value. Diageo rallied 2.3% after a bout of selling since reporting late last week and was the FTSE 100’s top gainer.

AIM movers: Vast Resources increases production and Nicola Foulston ousted at RBG Group

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Interim figures for Vast Resources (LON: VAST) show revenues improving by 69% to $1.93m. Restructuring of mining operations at the Baita Plai polymetallic mine increased capacity. Production is increasing month-on-month. The share price jumped 50% to 0.45p.

Finance provider Morses Club (LON: MCL) says funders have extended the term-out clause on debt to the end of March. The £25m facility remains in place until then. The share price is 46.7% higher at 0.873p. The share price is highly volatile ahead of the general meeting on 3 February to vote on leaving AIM.

Digital media marketing company XL Media (LON: XLM) says full year figures will be in line with expectations with revenue of $73.7m and EBITDA of more than $16m. The growth came from sports and gaming as more states in the US legalise online gaming. Revenues from personal finance marketing fell by more than one-quarter and this part of the business may be sold. The share price rose 11.5% to 17p.

Fire safety products supplier LifeSafe Holdings (LON: LIFS) revenues for 2022 were ahead of the upgraded expectations in December. Annual revenues jumped from £700,000 to £3.9m. There were additional costs to supply US demand and the loss is expected to be £1.4m. WH Ireland is maintaining its 2023 revenues forecast at £5.5m with a much lower loss. The share price moved ahead by 9% to 42.5p.

Digital transformation services provider TPXimpact Holdings (LON: TPX) has downgraded 2022-23 guidance with revenues expected to be £80m rather than £90m. EBITDA falls more sharply and could be around £2m. Third quarter like-for-like revenues were 15% lower and there was a sharp reduction in margins. Net debt was £17.5m at the end of December 2022 and management warns it is likely to breach debt covenants. The share price slumped 42.4% to 26.5p.

Asia-focused investment company Jade Road Investments (LON: JADE) is raising $1.75m at 0.75p a share. The share price fell 11.8% to 2.25p. The most recent NAV was 49p a share. The new shares represent more than three-fifths of the enlarged share capital. This will provide working capital until the end of the year. A more significant fundraising in the future plus disposals will provide additional cash for longer-term investment. The investing policy of the company is being modified so there is more focus on income production.

Annual results from acoustic insulation supplier Autins Group (LON: AUTG) show revenues falling by one-fifth to £18.9m, although second half revenues were slightly higher than those in the first half. The supply chain issues of automotive customers continue to hold back sales and they are continuing. Automotive remains the main sector, although flooring sales also declined. The loss trebled to £3.55m. Net debt is £2m and lenders have agreed to payment deferrals until July 2023 and covenant waivers until March 2024. Improved pricing and cost reductions should reduce the annualised loss by £2.5m. This is an important step for Autins on the road back to profit. The share price slipped 11.1% to 8p. The board of legal services provider RBG Group (LON: RBGP) has terminated the contract of chief executive Nicola Foulston because it has lost confidence in her. Jon Divers becomes acting chief executive. The 2022 results are expected to be in line with expectations (pre-tax profit £6.9m) and a second interim dividend is promised. The company is exiting the litigation finance business and concentrating on core businesses. The share price fell 10.6% to 59p.

Digitalising the UK rental market with lettingaproperty.com

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to be joined by Jonathan Daines, Found and CEO of lettingaproperty.com.

Get more information on the lettingaproperty.com crowdfunding campaign here.

lettingaproperty.com is digitalising UK letting processes and have attracted 20,000 landlords to their service to date.

Having secured investment from institutional investors Mercia Asset Management, the company is now planning their next stage of growth and raising funds to deliver on their strategy.

Jonathan details their journey so far and outlines the opportunity for investors in the digitalisation of the UK rental market.

CLIQ Digital achieves record sales and earnings in 2022 as memberships boom

CLIQ Digital, the streaming services and digital marketing company, have achieved record sales and earning in 2022 as their memberships hit an all-time high.

CLIQ’s 2022 preliminary results exceeded both the management’s outlook and market expectations.

The streaming company’s FY 2022 sales surged 84% to €276m and helped EBITDA grow to €44m, up from €27m last year. The robust financials were driven by a 45% increase in members to 1.9 million.

“2022 was another fantastic year for CLIQ with record memberships, sales and earnings as well as the introduction of cliq.de – our new and most advanced streaming service tailored to the German market,” said Luc Voncken, CEO.

CLIQ Digital employs direct to consumer performance marketing campaigns to cost effectively win new members. Paying testament to CLIQ’s prowess in securing new customers efficiently, 2022’s marketing spend more than doubled to €112m, and CLIQ still produced record high sales and earnings.

CLIQ believes their marketing model will continue to produce strong results in 2023 and expects sales to exceed €345m with further increases in EBITDA.

CLIQ Digital dividends

CLIQ’s success has translated into bumper distributions for shareholders. CLIQ doubled their distributions to shareholders through dividends in 2022 and currently yields around 3.2%.

Despite paying sharply higher dividends, the company has increased their cash position which will allow for further investment in growth going forward.

“CLIQ concluded the year with the highest net cash position in the Group’s history, whilst also having paid record dividends. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, we continue to see a strong market for our streaming services,” said Ben Bos, member of the Management Board. 

Tekcapital shares rise as MicroSalt growth builds momentum

Tekcapital shares rose in early trade on Tuesday after their portfolio company MicroSalt announced their low-sodium salt shakers will be stocked in additional stores in the US.

MicroSalt will partner with Giant Foods who operates 160 stores across the Delaware, Washington DC, Maryland, and Virginia. Giant Foods’ current product mix is aligned with MicroSalt’s mission to provide healthy low-sodium salt shakers that can help fight cardiovascular disease.

The Giant Food’s partnership adds to a recent commercial agreement with Prestly Foods and expands their footprint across US retail outlets. MicroSalt are stocked in over 2,000 Kroger supermarkets in the US.

Tekcapital shares jumped 5% to 18.8p following the announcement on Tuesday.

“We are extremely excited that Giant has joined with us to provide low sodium solutions to its customers. This is a tremendous step in our march toward reducing excess sodium consumption. Our MicroSalt shakers empower consumers to salt their food to taste with less sodium,” said Rick Guiney, CEO of MicroSalt.

MicroSalt are gearing up for an IPO this year after appointing Zeus Capital as their NOMAD for an AIM listing.