Cadence Minerals Q&A session with Kiran Morzaria

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to welcome Cadence Minerals CEO Kiran Morzaria for a dedicated Q&A session.

The sheer number of investor questions at the recent virtual conference meant we were unable to deliver all of them to Kiran on the day. We ensure those questions are put to the Cadence Minerals CEO on this Podcast.

We cover:

  • Evergreen Lithium’s IPO
  • Evergreen’s assets
  • The wider lithium market
  • The Rare Earth portfolio
  • The outlook for Cadence Minerals

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FTSE 100 range bound as Segro jumps

The FTSE 100 was steady on Thursday as investors continued to digest the latest raft of economic data and accessed the implications of higher borrowing costs in the coming months.

The FTSE 100 was down just 0.1% to 7,888 at the time of writing on Thursday. The index has traded in a tight trading range between 7,880-7,920 for most of this week.

Higher UK inflation, better Chinese growth and a mixed US jobs market have presented a complex macroeconomic picture for traders.

“The decline in miners, packaging groups and retailers on the UK stock market would suggest investors are once again worried about the outlook for the global economy. Markets have stalled over the past few days, with the latest corporate updates failing to move the dial,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“A lot of companies are keeping their heads above water but there remain plenty of headwinds to cloud the outlook. The prospect of another round of interest rate hikes in the US and Europe will further increase the cost of borrowing, coinciding with fears that banks are going to have stricter lending policies following the recent Silicon Valley Crisis. Tighter lending could feasibly lead to weaker economic activity.”

FTSE 100 risers

Segro was the standout performer on Thursday after the industrial property company said they were enjoying a strong start to the year.

“2023 has started well for SEGRO,” said David Sleath, Chief Executive.

“Occupier demand continues to be high and is coming from a diverse range of customers, whilst supply remains limited across all our markets. These favourable dynamics, combined with the active asset management of our prime portfolio, have enabled us to drive strong rent roll growth from the leasing of recently completed space and the capture of reversion and indexation from our standing assets.”

Segro shares were trading 3.65% higher at the time of writing.

Consumer health company Haleon rose 3.2% after reporting 9.9% economic growth in the first quarter. The respiratory business unit accounted for a large proportion of their growth with a 33% organic sales increase.

FTSE 100 fallers

Excluding Melrose, which may be showing as a loss on some pricing systems (or a substantial gain) following their demerger of GKN assets and stock consolidation, Antofagasta was the top faller, down 3%.

The copper miner released an underwhelming production report yesterday and was caught up in a general selloff of miners.

Anglo American was 2% weaker.

Housebuilders have ebbed away this week as the possibilty of higher borrowing costs dampens interest in the sector. Persimmon was down 2% and Taylor Wimpey edged down 1.7%.

AIM movers: Dekel Agri-Vision builds cashew volumes and ex-dividends

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Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) says that the quantity and quality of raw cashew nuts acquired for its new facility are in line with expectations and the pricing is better than anticipated. Average production rates have increased to 10 tonnes/day. This follows better palm oil production in March. The share price jumped 14.9% to 2.7p.

Telematics services supplier Trakm8 Holdings (LON: TRAK) has won a contract to provide insurance data services and devices to Freedom Contract for an initial term of three years. The contract could generate revenues of £6m over that term. Freedom Contract was an existing customer, and this expands the relationship. The share price is 9.59% higher at 20p.

GB Group (LON: GBG) says that full year figures will be in line with guidance despite tougher trading conditions. Operating profit is expected to edge up to £59.8m. The share price recovered 8.52% to 305.6p.

Arc Minerals (LON: ARCM) has signed a joint venture with Anglo American covering its copper interests in Zambia. Anglo American can earn up to 70% of the new joint venture through the funding of further exploration. The total investment is $88.5m, which includes $14.5m in payments directly to Arc Minerals. The share price improved 7.32% to 4.4p.

IG Design (LON: IGR) is the biggest faller on the day when news of a non-cash write-down of UK giftwrap and stationery goodwill overshadowed better than expected 2022-23 underlying profit. UK trading conditions have deteriorated and there are concerns about pricing. The full year figures will be reported on 20 June and a pre-tax profit of $9m is estimated prior to the write-down. Margins should continue to improve this year. The share price has recovered slightly since the start of trading, but it is still down 12.8% to 160p on the day.

Recent AIM admission Ocean Harvest Technology (LON: OHT) has lost some of its gains over the past fortnight. The share price is 6.12% lower at 23p. A placing raised £6m, or £4.5m after expenses, at 16p. The company produces ingredients for animal feed using seaweed under the OceanFeed brand name.

Tekmar Group (LON: TGP) has completed its strategic review following the completion of a fundraising. The major investor in this fundraising was SCF Partners and two of its partners, Steve Lockard and Colin Welsh, have joined the board. The share price slipped 4.88% to 9.75p. Prior to the strategic review, the share price was 52.4p.

 Intelligent Ultrasound (LON: IUG) lost some of it gains from earlier in the week following full year results in line with expectations. The shares dipped 3.24% to 10.45p, but that is well above the 7.25p the share price closed at on Friday. Intelligent Ultrasound could move into profit in 2024.  

Ex-dividends

Airea (LON: AIEA) is paying a final dividend of 0.5p a share and the share price is unchanged at 39p.

Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON: ARBB) is paying a final dividend of 25p a share and the share price declined 32.5p to 922.5p.

Fevertree Drinks (LON: FEVR) is paying a final dividend of 10.68p a share and the share price is down 6p to 1275p.

 i3 Energy (LON: I3E) is paying a dividend of 0.17p and the share price fell 0.55p to 19.95p.

Portmeirion Group (LON: PMP) is paying a final dividend of 12p a share and the share price is 7p lower at 488p.

Tracsis (LON: TRCS) is paying an interim dividend of 1p a share and the share price rose 5p to 925p.

Uniphar (LON: UPR) is paying a final dividend of 1.1 cents a share and the share price is unchanged at 256p.

M Winkworth (LON: WINK) is paying a dividend of 2.9p a share and the share price is unchanged at 172.5p.

Three UK Real Estate Investment Trusts trading at a deep discount

The UK property has had a tough year. The problems for commercial property sparked by the pandemic are yet to be fully alleviated – and may not be for some time – while residential property is suffering due to higher borrowing costs and the cost of living crisis.

However, for investors prepared to look past the doom and gloom, there are a number of UK Real Estate Investment Trusts trading at deep discounts that may provide long-term value.

Triple Point Social Housing REIT (59% Discount)

The Triple Point Social Housing REIT develops and rents social housing across the UK. They develop specially designed properties to meet the needs of vulnerable people. Their ambition is to be the leading UK supported housing investor while providing investors with an investment with a measurable positive impact.

As of 31st December, the portfolio’s NAV was 109.06p per share, up from 108.27p a year prior. Shares are currently trading at 50.75p.

The trust paid 5.46p dividends in 2022 equating to a 10.5% yield at the current share price. The trust is highly geared at 40%.

Urban Logistics REIT (26% Discount)

Urban Logistics manage a portfolio of logistics assets that facilitate the ‘last mile’ deliveries to homes and businesses across the UK. Their assets are located across the UK close to transport infrastructure including ports and motorways. The trust has made a number of recent acquisitions including assets from Columbia Threadneedle Street which encompasses properties in Southampton and Rugby. Their tenants include Volvo and Amazon.

As of 30th September, the portfolio’s NAV was 184.54p per share. The current share price is 140.75p. Investors will watch for their upcoming report and any updates to NAV.

The current yield is around 5.4% and gearing is 15%.

Balanced Commercial Property Trust (28% Discount)

The Balanced Commercial Property Trust is a diverse portfolio of UK commercial property including retail/restaurants, office spaces and logistics units.

The FTSE 250 constituent’s largest holding is St Christophers Place near Oxford Street. The trust recorded 15% decrease in NAV in the last quarter primarily due to the revaluation of logistics assets. The trusts rental collection has rebounded to around 98% after a dip during the pandemic.

NAV per share was 118.5p per share as of 31st December.

The trust has a 5.4% yield and 25% gearing.

Tesla shares fall as operating margins crash

Tesla shares fell in US trade yesterday as the electric vehicle maker reported a material compression in operating margins and a slump in cash generation due to a broad price reduction.

Tesla has slashed the price of their vehicles in an attempt to attract more customers. After a series of price cuts over the past year, the Model 3 now starts at less than $40,000.

Increasing competition would have been a factor in deciding to build market share on pricing as traditional automakers ramp up investment in their EV offerings. Tesla has been seen as a premium brand, and the move to lower prices will diversify their customer base before traditional car makers snatch share in the budget area of the market.

“Tesla is still an aspirational brand in the USD 60,000-120,000 range. EVs from traditional premium automakers are still playing catch-up with Tesla in terms of performance and the overall user experience,” said Orwa Mohamad, Analyst at Third Bridge.

The move has shown early signs of success with robust revenue figures. Revenue for Q1 2023 was 24% higher than the year prior at $23.3bn – but was lower than the $24.3bn generated in Q4 2022.

Operating margins in Q1 were 11.4% compared to 19.2% a year ago.

The prospect of lower operating margins for the foreseeable future was the overriding factor in sending Tesla shares down 7% in the pre-market.

“Margins were always going to be in the driving seat when it came to determining market sentiment this quarter, following Tesla’s sixth round of price cuts in the US this year,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“While the group’s valuation is in a more reasonable position than it has been, it’s still vulnerable. A large reason for this is it’s unclear where margins are going to settle as price cuts continue to come through the line, the extent of which can’t be fully mapped at this point, and which could see margins losing further traction.”

FTSE 100 drops on rate hike worries

UK stocks started the day deep in the red following the release of UK inflation data which raised the prospect of additional rate hikes by the Bank of England.

London’s leading index recovered some of the losses throughout the session and was trading down just 0.2% at 7,893 at the time of writing. The index had touched lows of 7,871 earlier in the session.

The more UK-focused FTSE 250 was down 0.6%. Most other major European equity indices were in positive territory.

The decline in UK stocks was sparked by worries about the next move by the Bank of England’s voting committee which will now have to factor in UK inflation at 10.1% – higher than economist’s estimates.

“The Bank of England remains under pressure to keep a lid on inflation, so we can’t rule out another rate rise in May,” said Sarah Coles, head of personal finance, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Markets quickly priced in additional rate hikes to interest rate futures.

FTSE 100 risers

British American Tobacco was the FTSE 100’s top riser on Wednesday after the tobacco company said they expected organic revenue growth of 3-5% in the year ahead. It also noted sharp growth in their non-combustibles business which now accounts for around 15% of revenue.

British American Tobacco shares were 3.5% higher at the time of writing. Imperial Tobacco jumped on BATS’ coattails and rose 2%.

FTSE 100 fallers

Fresnillo fell 2% as the possibility of higher interest rates sapped interest for precious metals. The silver miner fell as gold retreated 0.2% and silver reversed sharp losses to trade 0.1% higher.

Higher inflation driven by soaring food prices is a source of concern for the UK’s shoppers who will likely steer away from Ocado’s premium online shopping services. Ocado shares were down 2% on Wednesday as investors steered away from their equity.

Oil prices were down around 2% on Wednesday making BP and Shell less attractive – BP was down 2% while Shell slipped 0.8%.

Cornerstone momentum continues

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Foreign exchange payments services provider Cornerstone FS (LON:CSFS) says momentum continued in the first quarter of 2023. Revenues of more than £1.95m were more than double the first quarter of 22022. SP Angle has upgraded its forecasts and Cornerstone FS could make a profit in 2024.

Increasing direct revenues mean that gross margins are improving. There was positive EBITDA in the first quarter.

Full year forecast revenues have been increased from £5.7m to £6.5m and a £709,000 loss is expected. A 2024 pre-tax profit of £31,000 is forecast on revenues of £8.6m.

The AIM-quoted company could generate cash this year and cash should build up over the coming years. That could finance additional acquisitions to build the scale of the business.

The disposal of Avila House for £300,000 is still awaiting regulatory approval and it should happen in the second half of 2023. A subsequent platform licence should generate income of £290,000 over 12 months.

The share price dipped 3.33% to 7.25p. The 2022 results should be published before the end of May.

AIM movers: Advanced Oncotherapy Nasdaq hopes and Woodbois refinancing requirements

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Proton therapy cancer treatment developer Advanced Oncotherapy (LON: AVO) announced a strategic review yesterday. The share price has recovered 54.6% to 4.25p. A Nasdaq listing is being considered, which could involve selling the business to an existing Nasdaq company. There are no current discussions. Management hopes to obtain additional working capital by issuing more loan notes. That could extend the company’s cash until the end of May.

North Sea oil and gas consolidator Kistos (LON: KIST) is acquiring Norway-based Mime Petroleum for the assumption of $111m in debt and the issue of six million warrants exercisable at 385p each. The share price rose 13.5% to 332.5p. This is the first acquisition in the Norway jurisdiction. Windfall taxes make the UK and Netherlands sectors less attractive. Proforma annual combined production for the enlarged group is between 8,500 and 10,500 barrels of oil equivalent/day. Proforma reserves and resources will be 80 million barrels of oil equivalent/day.

Hummingbird Resources (LON: HUM) produced 27,262 ounces of gold in Mali in the first quarter of 2023 and the all-in costs were 11% lower at $1,109/ounce. There were 26,380 ounces of gold sold at $1,878/ounce. Group EBITDA was $17.5m in the quarter. The second quarter is likely to be similar. The Kouroussa mine should commence production by the end of June. The share price increased 13.7% to 13.5p.

The FDA will meet with ImmuPharma (LON: IMM) on 7 June to provide guidance on the phase 2/3 adaptive study of Lupozur for treating lupus. The study could start in the second half of 2023. The share price is 4.41% to 3.08p.

Woodbois (LON: WBI) says that the lender to its Denmark-based Woodgroup timber trading subsidiary has given notice on a $6m lending facility. The facility provided by Sydbank is fully drawn, but there is also $3.1m in cash deposits with Sydbank, which wants a refinance plan by the end of May. The uncertainty has hit the share price, which is down 61% to 0.4p.

Shares in Echo Energy (LON: ECHO) have declined a further 14.5% to 0.0325p after yesterday’s announcement of a reduction in cash due to lower oil and gas production and sales. It will be difficult to raise cash from a share issue in current market conditions.

Brazil-based Serabi Gold (LON: SRB) produced 8.005 ounces of gold in the first quarter of 2023, up 13% on the first quarter of last year. The company had $13.9m at the end of March 2023. The share price has been hit by allegations that it does not have approval to mine at Coringa in Brazil. Management says that the trial mining licence has been automatically renewed for 12 months to February 2024. The share price fell 10.3% to 30.5p.

Podcast platform operator Audioboom (LON: BOOM) says first quarter revenues, excluding Morbid which has left the platform, were flat, although monthly downloads increased by 13%. There were 38 million unique users in March. Net cash fell to $5.1m at the end of March 2023, but it should improve later in the year. finnCap still expects growth in revenues and improving margins. The share price slipped 4.73% to 352.5p.

Antofagasta, Greatland Gold, and Golden Metal Resources with Alan Green

The UK Investor Magazine was delighted to have Alan Green back on the podcast after a brief hiatus. We delve into key market themes and three UK equities.

UK inflation remains above 10% and presents the Bank of England with a problem. Hike rates to fight inflation and risk the negative economic consequences of higher rates. Or hold off and risk soaring prices in a cost-of-living crisis. We discuss their options.

Antofagasta has released their Q1 production report and we look at the merits of the copper miner in the current environment.

We review Greatland Gold and the Havieron gold project. Alan provides an overview of the latest updates from their JV with Newcrest.

We finish with a look at the upcoming Golden Metal Resources IPO.

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*Get TradingView Pro for 1 year when you start trading with OANDA and meet the minimum volume requirements.

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76.6% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Woodbois – $6m lending facility being withdrawn, shares collapse 65%, will the company survive?

Investors are now questioning whether Woodbois (LON:WBI) will survive one of its lenders asking for its money back?

The £9m market capitalised business is involved in Africa-focused forestry, timber trading and afforestation.

Sydbank, which has provided various banking arrangements to Woodgroup ApS, a group wholly owned subsidiary, has called in the $6m debt facility.

Having a floating charge against the subsidiary assets, which include a $3.1m cash balance, Sydbank has heavy power against the company. The cash will be immediately used to offset part of the $6m facility.

Woodbois has until the end of May to come up with a method or a scheme for the repayment of the $2.9m balance.

The group’s broker Canaccord Genuity has placed its rating on the group’s shares as “Under Review” so that worries investors even more than the sudden totally unexpected cash demand.

Restructuring advisers have been called in and the group is undertaking a “concerted contingency planning exercise” – understandably in reaction the group’s shares have collapsed this morning by some 65% to 0.36p after hitting 0.22p earlier.