Auto Trader maintains strong margins but warns of uncertainty

Auto Trader’s revenue revved up in the first half as their extensive partnership base helped raise sales.

Average revenue per retailer rose to £205 to £2,404 while the number of forecourts rose to 2% to 14,161.

The forecourt strength was dampened slightly by lower activity on their digital platforms by car buyers which fell 10% to 67.7 million per month in the first half of the 2023 FY1. Visitor minutes were also down.

Nonetheless, Auto Trader revenue for the period rose 16% to £249.8m.

There was a warning of uncertainty but Auto Trader pointed to the less cyclical nature of second hand cars as a reason to be positive.

“Auto Trader is accelerating into the second half with excellent momentum. Performance in the first half saw revenues and profits come in better than expected, which is a function of Auto Trader’s enviable recurring revenue, strong pricing power and highly profitable model,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Running a website doesn’t cost a lot, after all. Underlying operating margins north of 70%, with strong conviction that these can be maintained, are an asset very hard to find in the current environment.”

AstraZeneca, Market Catalysts and a NASDAQ IPO with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the Podcast as we delve into key markets theme and a number of UK equities.

We discuss:

  • AstraZeneca (LON:AZN)
  • Georgia Capital (LON:CGEO)
  • Vela Technologies (LON:VELA)

We start by looking at potential catalysts for markets as we move into the winter.

AstraZeneca has reported a solid set of third quarter results as the company sees the benefits of higher cancer drug sales.

Georgia Capital has been trading at deep discount to NAV and Alan outlines why he sees strength in the business going forward.

Vela Technologies shares jumped this week as they announced the IPO of a portfolio company on the NASDAQ.

Tate & Lyle shares rise as strategy shift pays off

Tate & Lyle made progress in the six months to 30 September as revenue grew 20% and adjusted operating profit increased by 29%.

The increase in revenues were the result of a shift in focus to new innovative healthier products with their new products revenue jumping 19%.

Further signalling a move away from the group’s roots in treacle and syrups, the company said the integration of the recently acquired Chinese dietary business was going well.

Tate & Lyle shares were 1.5% higher at 725p at the time of writing.

As with most companies, Tate & Lyle are subject to the inflationary pressures that may dent margins in the future, but the group actually produced some pretty healthy margin expansion in the first half after they exited a number of low-margin businesses.

“Tate & Lyle’s shift, from golden syrup and treacle to sweeteners and thickeners, looks to be a pretty sweet move right now. Revenue popped over the first half as higher prices were gobbled up by customers looking for ways to create healthier food and drink,” said Matt Britzman, Equity Analyst at Hargraves Lansdown.

“Inflation remains a significant headwind, pretty much across the board, with a cost of around £85m over the first half. but it’s being managed well, with a range of initiatives from renewed contracts, higher prices and cost cutting exercises.” 

Belluscura shares jump as certification opens new markets

Belluscura shares jumped on Thursday morning after the portable oxygen manufacturer said they could now target additional markets after securing ISO 13485 certification.

The certification of their portable oxygen enrichment technology is a recognition of the high-quality standard of Belluscura’s units and allow them to be distributed in the European under the CE mark and the UK using the CA mark.

Receiving the certification enables them to distribute global and effectively double the size of their target market. The US currently accounts for around 45% of global demand.

Belluscura shares were 3.5% higher at 58.5p at the time of writing.

“This is a hugely significant step for the Group, as ISO 13485 certification will enable the company to begin the process to start distributing its products globally. Our existing market in the US represents approximately 45% of the Portable Oxygen Concentrator market, so this certification more than doubles the available market opportunity for the Group,” said Robert Rauker, CEO of Belluscura.

“The certification shows the dedication of our team to not only developing a quality product, but to being a leading manufacturer of portable oxygen concentrators. Compliance with this standard will enable Belluscura’s commercial development by proving to new customers that the Company adheres to the highest standards of quality management excellence.

“It will, therefore, contribute to our growth as we expand production of our X-PLOR® device and the Nomad Biometric™ App, as well as the DISCOV-R™, which we expect to launch in Q1 2023 as the world’s first ambulatory dual flow portable oxygen concentrator.”  

Tracsis continues growth record

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Rail and events software and services provider Tracsis (LSE: TRCS) continues to grow its core rail software business and the data and events division bounced back last year.

Tracsis is starting to win contracts for TRACS Enterprise its overall rail operating efficiency system. Even if a rail company used all the individual software supplied by Tracsis, the TRAC Enterprise revenues will be significantly higher. The first user went live in July and five other passenger and freight rail companies will go live over the next 18 months. This will further boost recurring revenues, which were £34.3m last year.  

In the year to July 2022, revenues improved from £50.2m to £68.7m, while underlying pre-tax profit improved £11.3m to £12.3m. The total dividend is 2p a share, having restarted dividends at the interim stage.

Rail technology and services increased revenues by 13%, which includes an initial contribution from RailComm in the US. Remote condition monitoring sales were lower because of strong comparisons.

Data, analytics, consultancy and events revenues jumped by 63%, while organic growth was 51%. The profit contribution from the division increased even though there was no government assistance.

The cash pile fell to £17.2m due to acquisition costs. Net cash could improve to £19m this year. This provides further funding for acquisitions, which are likely in the medium-term.

finnCap forecasts 2022-23 pre-tax profit £14.2m. The share price slipped 13p to 937p, which is 25 times prospective earnings.

Smiths News slashes debt and offers 10% yield

Swindon-based newspaper and magazines distributor Smiths News (LON: SNWS) confirmed that it will pay a total dividend of 4.15p a share following better than expected figures for the year to the end of August 2022. Management continues to improve efficiency.
Revenues from continuing operations were 2% lower at £1.09bn, while pre-tax profit was flat at £31.1m. That does not include the £4.4m bad debt write-off relating to McColl’s Retail Group’s administration. Morrisons has bought the McColl’s operations and business with the chain is not much lower than before.
There are still net liabilities....

Taylor Wimpey feels the pressure of slowing housing market

Taylor Wimpey followed in Persimmon’s footsteps on Wednesday in releasing a trading statement punctuated by falling sales rates and deterioration in key metrics.

Anyone that read our summary of Persimmon’s update yesterday may feel elements of Taylor Wimpey’s release have been copy and pasted over.

Taylor Wimpey net private sales rates per outlet fell to 0.74 year-to-date from 0.95 in 2021 while the sales rate sank to 0.51 in the most recent half year.

Cancellation rates rose and the number of homes in their order book fell.

Despite the worrying metrics, Taylor Wimpey shares were marginally positive on Wednesday morning after suffering on Tuesday in sympathy with Persimmon’s update.

“In a challenging economic and political backdrop we are performing well and are on track to deliver full year operating profit* in line with market expectations,” said Jennie Daly, CEO at Taylor Wimpey.

“While sales rates have been impacted by wider economic uncertainty, we continue to see good levels of customer interest in our homes and a desire to get onto or move up the housing ladder.”

The desire to move up the house ladder may well be there, but the ability for homeowners to do so is diminishing. Rising mortgage rates is putting pressure on affordability at a time householders are facing soaring energy bills.

Despite the short term concerns at Taylor Wimpey, the long terms their fundamentals are supportive. Notwithstanding the challenging environment this winter, Taylor Wimpey has a solid landbank and the long term shortage of UK housing will ensure demand long into the future.

FTSE 100 retreats as US election results digested, inflation data eyed

The FTSE 100 moved tentatively to the downside as investors digested results of the US midterm elections and enthusiasm around oil and China subsided.

US election results were still coming in at lunchtime on Wednesday with the chances of a big win for Republicans looking unlikely. If Biden loses either the House or Senate, it will make it extremely difficult to push his agenda through and render him powerless.

“The red wave promised overnight turned out to be more of a pinkish swell with the result of crucial midterm elections still in the balance as trading began in the UK on Wednesday morning,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Amid the uncertainty the FTSE 100 was modestly lower. A continuing slide in oil prices, as initial excitement about a reopening of the Chinese economy has waned, helping to put energy stocks under continued pressure.”

Shell and BP were down 1.5% and 0.2% respectively dragging on the index.

Mould went on to highlight it is not what is happening today, but what might happen tomorrow with US inflation, as the biggest driver of markets on Wednesday.

“What might have greater impact on markets than the latest political ructions across the Atlantic are the inflation figures due out in the US tomorrow as traders play their usual game of trying to guess when the Fed might finally pivot away from rate rises,” said Mould.

AIM movers: Vela Technologies benefits from Conduit Pharma reversal and PCF closes bank

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Vela Technologies (LON: VELA) has risen on the back of the announcement that Conduit Pharmaceuticals is reversing into Nasdaq-listed Murphy Cannon Acquisition Corp. This will provide nearly $150m of funding for Conduit. Vela has an economic interest in AZD1656, one of the assets of Conduit. The Vela share price jumped 54.1% to 0.0285p.

Velocity Composites (LON: VEL) has appointed Adam Holden as finance director. Shares in the composite material kits supplier improved 5.26% to 30p.

Digital publisher LBG Media (LON: LBG) chief executive Alexander Solomou bought 900,000 shares at 51p each. The share price increased 8.58% to 57.005p. He owns nearly 42% of LBG Media, which joined AIM in December 2021 via a placing at 175p.

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) investee company Rincon Resources says a preliminary report highlights similarities between its Pokali prospect and a nearby niobium rare earth discovery. The Gunsynd share price rose 5.88% to 0.45p.

Horizonte Minerals (LON: HZM) completed its £70.5m fundraising at 90.5p a share yesterday. G10 Capital holds 23.2% and Glencore International increased its stake from 9.8% to 17.8%. The share price recovered 5.78% to 91.5p.

PCF Group (LON: PCF) has been unable to raise money or secure a strategic transaction. PCF Bank is withdrawing from the UK banking market. The board will seek shareholder approval for the cancellation of the AIM quotation. The share price slumped 68.9% to 0.35p.

After the close on Tuesday, Sareum (LON: SAR) said the UK authorities have not approved the SDC-1801 clinical trial authorisation. A further review of non-clinical is likely to be required so the safety and tolerability trial will not happen this year. The shares fell 23.2% to 107.5p.

Applied Graphene Materials (LON: AGM) continues to decline following yesterday’s announcement that it was unable to getaway a share issue to replenish its coffers. There was a further fall of 14.1% to 5.5p. More cash will be required by the graphene technology developer at the beginning of 2023.

Ashtead Technology (LON: AT.) shares fell following a placing of 4.79 million existing shares at 260p a share. The current share price fell 5.4% to 288.5p. The seller is Arab Petroleum Investments Corporation, which still owns 9.5%. The subsea equipment rental company floated nearly one year ago at 162p a share.

Battery technology developer Gelion (LON: GELN) has appointed its third chief executive since floating last November. John Wood has experience in the battery technology sector. There was cash of £17m at the end of June 2022, down from £20.6m six months earlier. The flotation price was 145p, while the current price fell 9.23% to 59p.

Next buys Made.com assets for £3.4m

The economic conditions and cost of living crisis has claimed a notable scalp in Made.com who today entered administration, only for Next to step in and buy the assets and IP for £3.4m.

As Warren Buffet said, “it’s only when the tide goes out that you learn who has been swimming naked.”

This is unfortunately true of Made.com. The company were racking up losses as orders fell and payables mounted. An attempt to find a buyer for the business failed and the company was forced to suspend shares and call in the administrators.

Next had been widely expected to buy Made.com and have executed a deft swoop on the assets.

“The deal shows that there was nothing wrong with the proposition as such, just the way the business was run,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“As Made.com CEO Nicola Thompson observed in a candid statement that the company could not survive in a world where there wasn’t stable demand, low inflation, and a cost-efficient global supply chain.”

“Next has the scale, experience and retail savvy to adapt to changing economic circumstances and it has done so successfully in the past, suggesting it can turn Made.com into a successful and lucrative brand.”