AIM movers: Extensive copper anomaly for Empire Metals and ex-dividends

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Empire Metals (LON: EEE) says the mapping of the Pitfield copper project show extensive copper, silver and other base metals anomalies of a 40km strike length. Exploration field work will start by the first quarter of 2023. The share price is 26% higher at 1.575p.

There is better third quarter trading news from freight services provider Xpediator (LON: XPD). Trading is in line with expectations and working capital is being reduced. Nine-month revenues were 1% ahead at £300m. The UK businesses are being turned around and the UK loss should reduce by the end of the year. European operations continue to trade well, and pre-tax profit should be flat at £9m. Year-end net debt is expected to be around £8m. The share price is 11.9% ahead at 23.5p.

PetroTal Corp (LON: PTAL) says that testing results of well 13H produced 8,000 barrels of oil per day over the first week of production. The total cost of the well was $14.4m. Drilling has commenced on well 12H and it should be completed before the end of the year. The shares rose 7.3% to 50p.

Drilling at the Panton PGM project by Future Metals NL (LON: FME) has intersected broad zones of primary magmatic sulphides. Future Metals owns 100% of the Panton project. A government grant of $220,000 has been awarded to fund deeper drilling. The shares are 7.84% higher at 6.875p.

Clean energy technology company Libertine (LON: LIB) generated revenues of £600,000 in the first half. Progress is being made in demonstrating the effectiveness of the company’s powertrain technology. The share price moved up 3.57% to 14.5p.

North Sea oil and gas company Longboat Energy (LON: LBE) says results from drilling at Oswig in the northern North Sea were at the lower end of expectations. Longboat Energy has a 20% stake in Oswig. Recoverable resources are estimated at between 10 and 42 million barrels of oil. The share price slumped by 37.9% to 29.5p.

Yourgene Health (LON: YGEN) interim revenues fell but stripping out Covid revenues they were 14% ahead at £8m. Gross margins are under pressure, which means that the full year loss will be higher than previously expected. Yourgene Health shares fell 13.3% to 3.25p.

Engineering recruitment consultancy Gattaca (LON: GATC) reported full year results in line with expectations, but the dividend has been suspended until profit is at a sustainable level. Net fee income improved from £42m to £44.1m, but pre-tax profit slipped from £1.84m to £256,000. Net cash was £16m at the end of July 2022. The share price declined by 8.23% to 72.5p.

Asset management data technology provider Insig AI (LON: INSG) says contracts have been delayed by economic uncertainty. Ongoing costs are being reduced following the development of ESG expertise. Revenue targets are being reduced, so that cash positive can be achieved earlier. The convertible loan provided by Richard Bernstein may be extended.  The shares are 5.26% down at 18p.

Ex-dividends

Bioventix (LON: BVXP) is paying a final dividend of 74p a share and a special dividend of 26p a share and the share price fell 50p to 3300p.

Burford Capital (LON: BUR) is paying an interim dividend of 5.49p a share and the share price is 14p lower at 700p.

Coral Products (LON: CRU) is paying a final dividend of 0.2p a share and the share price is unchanged at 16p.

EKF Diagnostics (LON: EKF) is paying a final dividend of 1.2p a share and the share price is 1.05p down at 43.15p.

London Security (LON: LSC) is paying an interim dividend of 42p a share and the share price is unchanged at 2550p.

NWF (LON: NWF) is paying a final dividend of 6.5p a share and the share price is 10p lower at 274p.

Shoe Zone (LON: SHOE) is paying a dividend of 3p a share and the share price is 5p down at 175p.

Springfield Properties (LON: SPR) is paying a final dividend of 4.7p a share and the share price has fallen 2.5p to 90p.

The Mission Group (LON: TMG) is paying an interim dividend of 0.83p a share and the share price is unchanged at 46.5p.

UP Global Sourcing Holdings – 50% gain in two weeks with more to come

The owner of a number of leading homeware brands reported a record financial performance for the year to end July.

According to its market research, nearly 80% of UK households own at least one of the group’s products.

It was a year of exceptional financial and operational progress, made more notable against a backdrop of global supply chain and economic hassles.

Revenues were up 13% to a record £154.2m (£136.4m), while adjusted pre-tax profits were 42% better at £15.8m (£11.2m), taking adjusted earnings up 32% to 14.7p (11.1p), with a 42% improved dividend of 7.12p (5.02p) per share.

Whilst the current cost of living crisis represents a substantial challenge to all consumer-facing businesses, the group is well placed to respond to this given its relentless focus on delivering value and growth. 

Energy efficient air fryers are doing very well

The UP Global Sourcing Holdings (LON:UPGS) group, which owns the Salter and Beldray brands, expects that current year profit performance will be in line with current market expectations.

The £128m capitalised company sells to over 300 retailers across 38 countries specialising in five product categories: Small Domestic Appliances; Housewares; Laundry; Audio; and Heating and Cooling. 

Other brands include Progress (cookware and bakeware), Kleeneze (laundry and floorcare), Petra (small domestic appliances) and Intempo (audio).

It has recently renewed its licence with Russell Hobbs for non-electrical products.

Analyst Opinions – attractive 5.5% yield

Darren Shirley and Clive Black at Shore Capital Markets consider that the group “is very well positioned to deliver sustained growth across its four growth pillars, supported by ongoing investment in systems and human capabilities.”

Noting the current attractive yield for the shares at 5.5%, the brokers rate the equity as attractively priced.

Their estimates are for revenues for the year to end July 2023 are for £169.1m (£154.2m) and EBITDA of £20.0m (£18.8m) and adjusted earnings of 14.5p (13.8p) and a 7.2p (6.9p) dividend per share.

Conclusion – after a 50% two-week gain shares going higher yet

Having pushed this group’s shares two weeks ago (24 October) at just 95p, where we stated that they were far too cheap, it is very pleasing to note the market’s reaction on the results.

After hitting 147.52p at on time, they have since slipped back to 142.5p, but still showing a very useful gain in such a short time.

After allowing for some short-term profit taking, I see these shares going even higher yet.

CAP-XX Limited – strong optimism persists in growth prospects boosted by new product launch

Today’s AGM Statement from CAP-XX Limited (LON:CPX), one of the world leaders in designing and manufacturing supercapacitors and energy management systems, noted that it is suffering industry wide supply chain bottlenecks, especially in China.

It also noted that apart from increasing pessimism over the state of the global economy, there is a global shortage of integrated circuits.

Accordingly, the start of the £18.6m capitalised company’s financial year has started somewhat slower than had been anticipated.

However, the company remains optimistic about its short-term and long-term growth prospects.

The Australian-based group reports that sales of its new products continue to grow strongly, while shipping of the group’s new Ioxus modules for a ship propulsion project are now underway. This should make a significant contribution for this year and next.

New product just launched

The group has also just announced the launch of its smallest ever 5mm cylindrical supercapacitor to provide high performance at low cost for Internet, medical and other space-constrained and mission-critical electronic devices.

High-power and high energy store

The unique feature of CAP-XX supercapacitors is their very high-power density and high energy storage capacity in a space-efficient prismatic package. These attributes are essential in power-hungry consumer and industrial electronics and deliver similar benefits in automotive and other transportation applications.

Supercapacitors can handle peak power events, supporting batteries and energy harvesters configured to provide low-power current at maximum efficiency. This architecture allows designers to use smaller, cheaper, low-power batteries and extend their run-time and cycle life or use intermittent ambient energy sources such as solar photovoltaic. 

They also enable ultra-quick device charging and wireless power transfer, and provide the backup needed for graceful shutdown and “last gasp” transmissions in mission-critical applications.

Analyst Opinion – ‘fair value of 13p’ on shares, now 3.80p

Analyst David Johnson at Allenby Capital has already allowed for a ‘slowing down’ in the current year to end June 2023, expecting sales of A$ 8.1m (A$10.6m) to take the group into a A$0.6m loss (A$2.1m profit). 

He has an increase in sales for the coming year to A$13.0m and a bounce back to a A$2.1m profit, backing up his unchanged ‘fair value’ of 13p for the group’s shares, which today are just 3.80p.

Rolls Royce struggles through third quarter and pays down debt

Rolls Royce issued trading statement for the third quarter on Thursday which highlighted the struggles the company are facing in the current environment.

Despite strong demand in the defence unit, the Civil Aerospace business recorded flight hours at just 65% of 2019 levels.

The economic environment and rising costs were the main focus and are set to threaten margins through the rest of 2022.

“Rolls Royce is doing all it can within its control. Costs are being managed by inflation-linked clauses in its customer contracts, debt’s being repaid, and crucial Engine Flying Hours are edging upwards,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, Lead Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The trouble is, and which has been the case since the pandemic struck, the group’s grappling against a multitude of headwinds from external forces.”

Having completed disposals in the quarter, Rolls Royce paid down £2bn debt but still had £4bn of drawn debt outstanding.

Rolls Royce shares were trading down 5% to 79p at the time of writing.

Electric Scooters, the Environment, and Pure Electric with Adam Norris

We were thrilled to welcome Adam Norris, CEO and Founder of Pure Electric, to the UK Investor Magazine Podcast to explore his electric scooter start up.

Adam Norris previously founded Pensions Direct and working with Hargreaves Lansdown, he floated the company before committing his time to his son Lando’s motorsport pursuit. Lando went on to become a Formula One driver and Adam turned his attention to angel investing.

Feeling his investee founders did not have the same passion as he did for their projects, Adam founded Pure Electric.

Adam describes how he wanted to create a business that would provide people with a positive impact. His interest was channelled towards climate change and Pure Electric was born.

Adam explains while he saw the benefits in nuclear power and other major infrastructure, he wanted to be instrumental in his business and has invested a significant proportion of his wealth in establishing Pure Electric.

Pure Electric has since sold over 200,000 scooters and generated £35m revenue. Pure Electric are welcoming investors to join their journey through a Crowdfunding campaign on Crowdcube.

You can find more information on Crowdcube here.

Adam Norris can be contacted personally on LinkedIn here.

Gulf Marine Services – new contracts being awarded reflect favourable markets

The Abu Dhabi based provider of advanced self-propelled self-elevating support vessels has announced another two contracts and an extension of another.

Together with the major contract announcement a month ago for a six-year contract with a National Oil company in the MENA region, these awards are really quite significant for the £58.5m capitalised group. 

These contract awards for Gulf Marine Services (LON:GMS), with improved day rates, equate to seventy-eight months of utilisation, substantially increasing its overall fleet backlog and secured revenue.

The group’s fleet of 13 SESV’s serves the oil, gas and renewable energy industries in the Middle East, West Africa, Europe, South-East Asia, the Gulf of Mexico and North America.

GMS Executive Chairman Mansour Al Alami stated that:

“These contract awards solidify our financial position going into 2023 and again reflects positively on the already favourable market conditions”.

Analyst Opinion

Daniel Slater at Arden Capital rates the group’s shares as a Buy, looking for a 20p Target Price compared to the current 5.7p.

His estimates for the current year to end December suggest $135.4m of revenues ($115.1m), while adjusted pre-tax profits could come in at $32.8m ($20.7m), with earnings of 2.5c (2.7c) per share.

The coming year figures look like $143.6m sales, $39.6m profits and 3.1c earnings per share.

Conclusion – could easily double

The market is missing out on the real potential for this stock.

Greatly improving rates and long-term contracts give the group very healthy prospects for growth.

At only 5.7p this group’s shares have an easy potential for doubling in price and still looking cheap.

Sainsbury’s market share grows but profit sinks in price war with discounters

Sainsbury’s are engaging in all out war with the discount supermarkets to maintain their market shares in an increasingly gloomy economic environment.

Indeed, Sainsbury’s are gaining ground on the discounters, but at a significant cost to their bottom line. The price war between the supermarkets is a war of attrition with margins sacrificed at the expensive of revenue and market share.

“Sainsbury’s margins are under incredible pressure because they cannot pass on the full costs of inflation to their customers. They are also facing intense competition from discounters,” said Orwa Mohamad, analyst at Third Bridge.

Supermarkets are also fighting a war on two fronts. On one front they face price competition from other supermarkets, and on the other, rising food input prices.

The result for Sainsbury’s in the 28 weeks ended 17 September 2022 was an 8% drop in underlying profit before tax.

“With fresh food prices increasing by a scorching 13.3% over the year according to the British Retail Consortium, it’s a super-tough time to be a grocer and that’s reflected in an 8% fall in first half profit at Sainsbury’s,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Despite the fall in profits, Sainsbury’s update was met with a positive market reaction as shares gained over 3.5% in early trade on Thursday.

Revenue rose 4.4% in the period due to an increasing market share achieved by an ever greater number of discount lines.

“As hard-pressed shoppers shift from branded products to cheaper alternatives this should benefit Sainsbury’s thanks to the strength and depth of their own-label assortment,” said Orwa Mohamad.

AIM movers: Firering Strategic lithium investment and Accys Technologies restructures Tricoya venture

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Firering Strategic Minerals (LON: FRG) has entered an agreement with Ricca Resources to fund the advancement of the Atex lithium tantalum project and adjacent Alliance Lithium exploration licence in Cote d’Ivoire. Firering Strategic will spend up to $18.6m. There is a cash payment of $1m and the acquisition of Ricca shares worth $600,000. The rest of the cash funds a four stage earn-in of up to 50% of the project. The share price soared 35.8% to 11.75p.

Frasers Group (LON: FRAS) has 94.5% of acceptances for its bid for MySale Group (LON: MYSL) and it will compulsorily acquire the rest. The MySale shares rose by one-quarter to 2.25p even though the bid is 2p a share.

Oil and gas producer Hurricane Energy (LON: HUR) has received an indicative bid of 7.7p a share but does not recommend this offer. Instead, a formal sale process has started because 28.9% shareholder Crystal Amber Fund Ltd (LON: CRS) is keen to sell its stake. Hurricane Energy is generating cash and more than $370m of tax losses. If there is no bid a 3.1p a share distribution is planned. The share price jumped 20.5% to 8.195p.

Africa-focused lithium explorer Atlantic Lithium (LON: ALL) published strong drilling results from four deposits in Ghana. There are more results to come. The estimated post-tax NPV8 of the project is $1.33bn. The capital cost is $125m. The share price is 12.5% ahead at 44.1p.

Sabien Technology (LON: SNT) has a 33% stake in b.grn Group, which is involved in setting up a 24T regenerated green oil system in the UK. South Korea-based City Oil Field is supplying the equipment and b.grn, assuming it can raise the required funds, will find and develop a suitable site in the Midlands. One has already been identified. Sabien is the sales agent for the agreement and is set to earn $1m in commission if the system is installed. Similar deals are possible in other countries. Shares in Sabien rose 10.2% to 13.5p.

Financial media business Bonhill (LON: BONH) says 2022 revenues will be lower than expected and the EBITDA loss expectation has been raised from £350,000 to £500,000. The formal sales process is continuing. The shares slumped 13.3% to 3.25p.

Cyber security services provider Osirium Technologies (LON: OSI) has been hit by profit-taking following yesterday’s share price rise on the positive trading statement. The share price fell 10.5% to 4.25p, which is well above the Monday closing price of 2.75p.

Sustainable wood products supplier Accsys Technologies (LON: AXS) will report a non-cash impairment charge relating to the restructuring of the Tricoya consortium with Accsys Technologies taking 100% ownership of the Hull Tricoya plant, which is going to be put on hold for six months. That will slash the cash outflow. The restructure means that the consortium partners will receive 11.9 million Accsys Technologies shares. The debt facility will be restructured with the principal reduced from €15m to €6m. Ineos and Medite still have their supply and wood chip offtake agreements. It may require €35m to complete construction of the plant. A decision on construction will depend on the assessment of the longer-term outlook for costs. The fourth reactor at the Netherland Accoya plant will increase cash generation and the US Accoya plant development is progressing. The share price declined 8.51% to 64.5p.

Liberum has cut its boohoo (LON: BOO) recommendation to sell and the share price has declined by 7.11% to 43.9p.

FTSE 100 consolidates ahead of key central bank decisions

The FTSE 100, along with global equity markets, were in wait and see mode on Wednesday as investors prepared for the latest instalment of commentary and decisions on monetary policy.

The Federal Reserve is expected to hike rates by 75 bps to a 3.75%-4% Federal Funds rates while economists are forecasting the Bank of England raises rates 75 bps to 3%.

“After a positive couple of days, the FTSE 100 was in consolidation mode on Wednesday,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“All eyes will be on central banks on both sides of the Atlantic as both the US Federal Reserve and Bank of England get ready to deliver their rate decisions over the next 24 hours or so.

“While we have a good idea of the quantum of increase both parties will deliver, it will be all about the mood music. Investors are like thirsty travellers in the desert, hoping for even the tiniest drop of comfort to suggest the rate cycle may have run its course.”

Fed Pivot

The Fed pivot, or hopes of a Fed pivot, is an integral driving force behind risk appetite and demand for equities. The Federal Reserve is set to hike rates by 75 bps for the fourth time in a row and markets will be keenly watching to see if this pace is set to be continued.

Investors have been accessing economic conditions in an attempt to gauge the Fed’s next move and there has been little to suggest to major economic slowdown warranting a change in pace. Inflation rates remain stubbornly high and unless there are signs of economic deterioration, the Fed has no reason to even think about cutting rates.

The language used in statements accompany the Federal Reserve and Bank of England’s decisions could set the tone for equities going into the end of 2022.

Corporate updates

While markets are fixated on central banks today, a number of FTSE 100 constituents have provided relatively positive updates.

Next maintained their full year guidance after a promising third quarter update punctuated by seasonal swings in sales likely due to warmer weather.

GlaxoSmithKline’s third quarter was robust with sales rising 18% £7.8 billion helped by bumper increases in speciality medicine revenue.

Next, GlaxoSmithKline, and China with Alan Green

Alan Green joins the Podcast as we explore UK equities and key macro themes driving markets this week.

We discuss:

  • Next (LON:NXT)
  • GlaxoSmithKline (LON:GSK)
  • Sovereign Metals (LON:SVML)
  • ECR Minerals (LON:ECR)

We focus initially on the Chinese economy and how UK investors could play the end of the Zero COVID-19 policy, should recent rumours prove to have any weight to them.

Next is a fantastic bellwether for the UK economy and to see the retailer maintain their full year profit guidance, despite concerns around the health of the UK consumer.

GlaxoSmithKline sales have impressed the market with £7.8 billion sales in the third quarter, up 18% AER compared to the same period last year. We look deeper into the results and recent developments oil their pipeline of drugs.

We finish by looking at Sovereign Metal’s recent Titanium Rutile offtake agreement and ECR Minerals latest update.