Made Tech Group – big Government contract wins boost record order book

The news that in the last few weeks Made Tech Group (LON:MTEC) has been awarded a massive £27m of new contracts by the Government, emphasises its potential to create sizeable profits in the coming year.

The £40m capitalised group is a specialist provider of digital, data and technology services to the UK public sector, enabling central government, healthcare and local government organisations to digitally transform.

The new contract wins are with the DVLA for £14m, the Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities for £8m and finally with the Cabinet Office for £5m.

Interim results due in next few weeks

Ahead of announcing its interims on Thursday 23 February the group issued a Trading Update declaring a strong first-half performance for the six months to end November 2022.

Group revenue was up 76% at £20.6m (£11.7m) while adjusted EBITDA was £0.5m (£1.2m), due to delayed bid submissions and ongoing project work.

The group had a net cash position of £9m, while its contracted order backlog at the period end was 53% up at a record £47.8m (£31.3m).

Going forward the group’s Board has confidence in its growth prospects, having right-sized its headcount, having reduced contractor numbers by 10% and improved cost controls.

CEO Rory MacDonald stated that:

 “We are delighted to have delivered another period of strong growth. It is pleasing to note that our contract sizes continue to grow as we become more established in the market. 

These wins, together with the new Home Office contract announced in November 2022, demonstrate Made Tech’s ability to deliver digital technology successfully, and highlight the strength of our reputation in this growing market. 

As a result, the Group remains on track to meet market expectations for the full year and deliver value to shareholders over the long term.”

Analyst Opinion – the most important indicators are flashing green

Analysts at Singer Capital Markets rate the shares as a Buy, looking for 76p a share.

Their estimates for the current year to end May are for £43.0m (£29.3m) revenues, with adjusted pre-tax profits rising to £3.4m (£2.3m), generating 3.4p (2.3p) per share of earnings.

For the next year they go for £50.0m sales, £4.1m profits and 2.6p earnings.

Conclusion – 40p for 2023 an easy objective

With its shares now trading around the 27p price level they are offering attractive upside, with 40p being an easy 2023 objective.

Entain has record fourth quarter as World Cup boosts gaming revenue

The World Cup helped drive a record fourth quarter for betting company Entain. Gaming revenue jumped 11% in the period as punters turned to their betting apps during the unusual winter football competition.

The company also pursued global expansion with acquisitions in Croatia and the Netherlands, and the continued roll out across the United States.

“Entain saw record fourth quarter gaming revenue and a spike in active customers as the winter World Cup gave punters plenty to sink their teeth in to. It’s no real surprise to see annual figures heavily biased toward the retail division growth, as performance laps times when betting shops were shut due to lockdowns,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“There were always concerns that the lockdown-induced boom for online betting would simply shift back to physical stores, but that doesn’t seem to be the case – online revenue is down a touch but remains well ahead of pre-pandemic levels.”

Britzman highlighted the importance of Entain’s US business and their joint venture with MGM.

“BetMGM, the joint venture with MGM in the US, remains a shining star. Recent performance beat expectations and cash profit should start to flow as we move into the second half of the year. The real question here is how long this will remain a joint venture, it seems unlikely both parties will want to continue their US gambling exposure in its current form indefinitely. If we had to put money on it, a bid from MGM to take full control looks the most likely outcome – time will tell.” Britzman said.

New AIM admission: Celsius Resources Ltd

ASX-listed Celsius Resources has its main exploration assets in the Philippines and Namibia, plus an asset in Australia that is likely to be sold. The cash raised in the placing will be predominantly spent on the MCB project in the Philippines.
The MCB project is favoured by the authorities, and they are keen to fast track its development. The cash will help to finance further development, but management needs to secure additional debt and/or an offtake agreement to generate the funding required to get the project to bankable feasibility.
Celsius Resources owns 100% of the project, which provi...

FTSE 100 sinks after downbeat UK economic forecasts from the IMF

The FTSE 100 stumbled again on Tuesday as investors became increasingly nervous about the implications of key central bank meetings this week and reacted to downbeat UK economic forecasts from the IMF.

The FTSE 100 was 0.75% weaker and sterling slipped 0.2% against the dollar.

Interest rate decisions

It’s not the actual rate decisions from the Federal Reserve and Bank of England causing concern, rather the trajectory for rates in 2023.

“This week’s US central bank decision on interest rates is incredibly important to the future direction of stock markets. Investors have been feeling quite relaxed of late, with a risk-on mentality when it comes to bidding up equities. Increasingly a lot of people have become confident that US rates are close to their peak in this part of the cycle, hence a strong run for many markets since late 2022,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

However, most major economies have been remarkably resilient and offer little reason for central banks to reverse rate hikes this year. Indeed, the IMF sees strength across G7 economies this year. Apart from the UK, that is.

IMF growth forecasts

The IMF issued a report last night and amended global GDP forecasts for 2023 with all G7 economies now expected to expand, with the expectation of the UK. Even the Russian economy is now expected to grow this year.

The IMF predicts the UK economy will shrink 0.6% in 2023, before returning to growth in 2024. Global growth is forecast to be 2.9% this year.

Overnight, the IMF published their global forecasts with a bump in GDP growth and easing inflation metrics. While the forecasts are welcome for most economies, the UK was singled out as the only G7 economy forecasted to shrink this year,” said William Marsters, Senior Sales Trader at Saxo UK.

“This will be a disappointing news for Britons as today marks the 3-year anniversary of Brexit. Adding salt to the wound, a separate report by Bloomberg Economics said that Brexit is costing the UK economy £100 billion a year in everything from foreign investment, business opportunities and labour supply.”

This disappointment was reflected in the FTSE 100 shedding 0.75% to trade at 7,724.

Although, UK-centric sectors such as the housebuilders and UK banks were weaker, the selling across the index was broad. Miners and oil majors were down and dragged on the index.

Anglo American, Glencore, Endeavour Mining and Fresnillo were among the top fallers. Shell and BP fell 1.2% and 1.8% respectively.

Ocado was the FTSE 100’s top faller, giving up 3.5% of their value. Diageo rallied 2.3% after a bout of selling since reporting late last week and was the FTSE 100’s top gainer.

AIM movers: Vast Resources increases production and Nicola Foulston ousted at RBG Group

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Interim figures for Vast Resources (LON: VAST) show revenues improving by 69% to $1.93m. Restructuring of mining operations at the Baita Plai polymetallic mine increased capacity. Production is increasing month-on-month. The share price jumped 50% to 0.45p.

Finance provider Morses Club (LON: MCL) says funders have extended the term-out clause on debt to the end of March. The £25m facility remains in place until then. The share price is 46.7% higher at 0.873p. The share price is highly volatile ahead of the general meeting on 3 February to vote on leaving AIM.

Digital media marketing company XL Media (LON: XLM) says full year figures will be in line with expectations with revenue of $73.7m and EBITDA of more than $16m. The growth came from sports and gaming as more states in the US legalise online gaming. Revenues from personal finance marketing fell by more than one-quarter and this part of the business may be sold. The share price rose 11.5% to 17p.

Fire safety products supplier LifeSafe Holdings (LON: LIFS) revenues for 2022 were ahead of the upgraded expectations in December. Annual revenues jumped from £700,000 to £3.9m. There were additional costs to supply US demand and the loss is expected to be £1.4m. WH Ireland is maintaining its 2023 revenues forecast at £5.5m with a much lower loss. The share price moved ahead by 9% to 42.5p.

Digital transformation services provider TPXimpact Holdings (LON: TPX) has downgraded 2022-23 guidance with revenues expected to be £80m rather than £90m. EBITDA falls more sharply and could be around £2m. Third quarter like-for-like revenues were 15% lower and there was a sharp reduction in margins. Net debt was £17.5m at the end of December 2022 and management warns it is likely to breach debt covenants. The share price slumped 42.4% to 26.5p.

Asia-focused investment company Jade Road Investments (LON: JADE) is raising $1.75m at 0.75p a share. The share price fell 11.8% to 2.25p. The most recent NAV was 49p a share. The new shares represent more than three-fifths of the enlarged share capital. This will provide working capital until the end of the year. A more significant fundraising in the future plus disposals will provide additional cash for longer-term investment. The investing policy of the company is being modified so there is more focus on income production.

Annual results from acoustic insulation supplier Autins Group (LON: AUTG) show revenues falling by one-fifth to £18.9m, although second half revenues were slightly higher than those in the first half. The supply chain issues of automotive customers continue to hold back sales and they are continuing. Automotive remains the main sector, although flooring sales also declined. The loss trebled to £3.55m. Net debt is £2m and lenders have agreed to payment deferrals until July 2023 and covenant waivers until March 2024. Improved pricing and cost reductions should reduce the annualised loss by £2.5m. This is an important step for Autins on the road back to profit. The share price slipped 11.1% to 8p. The board of legal services provider RBG Group (LON: RBGP) has terminated the contract of chief executive Nicola Foulston because it has lost confidence in her. Jon Divers becomes acting chief executive. The 2022 results are expected to be in line with expectations (pre-tax profit £6.9m) and a second interim dividend is promised. The company is exiting the litigation finance business and concentrating on core businesses. The share price fell 10.6% to 59p.

Digitalising the UK rental market with lettingaproperty.com

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to be joined by Jonathan Daines, Found and CEO of lettingaproperty.com.

Get more information on the lettingaproperty.com crowdfunding campaign here.

lettingaproperty.com is digitalising UK letting processes and have attracted 20,000 landlords to their service to date.

Having secured investment from institutional investors Mercia Asset Management, the company is now planning their next stage of growth and raising funds to deliver on their strategy.

Jonathan details their journey so far and outlines the opportunity for investors in the digitalisation of the UK rental market.

CLIQ Digital achieves record sales and earnings in 2022 as memberships boom

CLIQ Digital, the streaming services and digital marketing company, have achieved record sales and earning in 2022 as their memberships hit an all-time high.

CLIQ’s 2022 preliminary results exceeded both the management’s outlook and market expectations.

The streaming company’s FY 2022 sales surged 84% to €276m and helped EBITDA grow to €44m, up from €27m last year. The robust financials were driven by a 45% increase in members to 1.9 million.

“2022 was another fantastic year for CLIQ with record memberships, sales and earnings as well as the introduction of cliq.de – our new and most advanced streaming service tailored to the German market,” said Luc Voncken, CEO.

CLIQ Digital employs direct to consumer performance marketing campaigns to cost effectively win new members. Paying testament to CLIQ’s prowess in securing new customers efficiently, 2022’s marketing spend more than doubled to €112m, and CLIQ still produced record high sales and earnings.

CLIQ believes their marketing model will continue to produce strong results in 2023 and expects sales to exceed €345m with further increases in EBITDA.

CLIQ Digital dividends

CLIQ’s success has translated into bumper distributions for shareholders. CLIQ doubled their distributions to shareholders through dividends in 2022 and currently yields around 3.2%.

Despite paying sharply higher dividends, the company has increased their cash position which will allow for further investment in growth going forward.

“CLIQ concluded the year with the highest net cash position in the Group’s history, whilst also having paid record dividends. Despite macroeconomic headwinds, we continue to see a strong market for our streaming services,” said Ben Bos, member of the Management Board. 

Tekcapital shares rise as MicroSalt growth builds momentum

Tekcapital shares rose in early trade on Tuesday after their portfolio company MicroSalt announced their low-sodium salt shakers will be stocked in additional stores in the US.

MicroSalt will partner with Giant Foods who operates 160 stores across the Delaware, Washington DC, Maryland, and Virginia. Giant Foods’ current product mix is aligned with MicroSalt’s mission to provide healthy low-sodium salt shakers that can help fight cardiovascular disease.

The Giant Food’s partnership adds to a recent commercial agreement with Prestly Foods and expands their footprint across US retail outlets. MicroSalt are stocked in over 2,000 Kroger supermarkets in the US.

Tekcapital shares jumped 5% to 18.8p following the announcement on Tuesday.

“We are extremely excited that Giant has joined with us to provide low sodium solutions to its customers. This is a tremendous step in our march toward reducing excess sodium consumption. Our MicroSalt shakers empower consumers to salt their food to taste with less sodium,” said Rick Guiney, CEO of MicroSalt.

MicroSalt are gearing up for an IPO this year after appointing Zeus Capital as their NOMAD for an AIM listing.

DX (Group) – continuing to deliver growth

The growth in revenues and profits is showing through at the delivery solutions specialist DX (Group) (LON:DX.).

The first half trading was strong, some 15% ahead, leaving the group well-positioned for the second half period.

Both divisions, DX Freight and DX Express, contributed to revenue growth and both have improved margins against the same period last year.

The group, which is a well-established provider of a wide range of delivery services to both business and residential addresses across the UK and Ireland, reported operational improvements and price increases boosted margins, while net new business in each division was healthy, with a strong pipeline of opportunities.

It is continuing its depot network expansion, helped by the end period net cash of £36.4m, with its £20m invoice discounting facility undrawn. Four new depots were opened in the first half, with two expected to open in the second half year.

DX now provides one of the widest ranges of overnight delivery services in the market, as well as logistics services. Items that DX transports range from confidential documents and valuable packages to large, awkward-to-handle freight, unsuitable for automated conveyor.

Newly appointed CEO Paul Ibbetson stated that:

I believe that DX is in a strong position to build on the firm foundations that have been established over the last five years and has further significant growth opportunities ahead of it.”

Analyst Opinion – Target Price of 50p

Analyst Gerald Khoo at Liberum Capital rates the group’s shares as a Buy, assessing a 50p a share target price.

His estimates for the current year to end June are for revenues to increase to £467m (£428m) taking pre-tax profits up to £26.7m (£20.2m), with earnings of 3.3p (2.6p) and a dividend of 1.5p (nil) per share.

For the prospective year he sees £490m sales, £32.4m profits, earnings of 3.8p and a 1.7p dividend per share.

Conclusion – further to rise in price

A year ago, dealings in this group’s shares were suspended and were then requoted last October. Since when they have been down to 21p, before gradually recovering in price to around 30p.

On the basis of Liberum’s estimates they are undervalued and could continue to increase in price ahead of the interim figures due at the end of February.

FTSE 100 reverses early losses ahead of major central bank action

The FTSE 100 reversed early losses on Monday ahead of crucial central bank decisions later this week, which could set the tone for the rest of the first quarter’s financial market’s trade.

Both the Federal Reserve and Bank of England will meet this week and subsequently provide decisions on interest rates.

The FTSE 100 was trading 0.1% higher at 7,773 at the time of writing.

Voting members will weigh stubbornly high rates and softer economic conditions, while having to manage market expectations of rate trajectories. 

The Federal Reserve is expected increase rate by 25bps while the Bank of England is predicted to power on with 50bps.

With this weeks hikes largely priced into markets, investors will be keenly watching their press conferences for insight into the pace of future rate hikes.

“The FTSE 100 started Monday firmly on the back foot as investors started to display a bit of nervousness ahead of two big central bank announcements,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“For the most part 2023 has been smooth sailing for stocks but two icebergs lurk in the waters this week in the form of the Federal Reserve and Bank of England interest rate decisions.”

“How far might they dial back rate hikes and the hints they might drop about the future trajectory of their policy decisions are the two things which will be keeping investors up at night.”

Sainsbury’s

Sainsbury’s was again the top riser on the FTSE 100 following news of a stake purchase by Bestway last week. The purchase has undoubtedly increased speculation about a full takeover of Sainbury’s after a period devoid of major M&A rumours.