AO World sales suffer but guidance maintained ahead of key trading period

AO World saw its sales drop 17% in the six months to 30 September but the board was optimistic about the remainder of the year and eyed strong trading over the end of year festive period.

AO World sales fell to £546m in the first half, but were confident stringent management of costs would achieve full year adjusted EBITDA at the top end of their £20m-£30m guidance.

The optimism of their forecasts caught the attention of investors on Tuesday and AO World shares were over 15% higher at the time of writing. AO World shares are still 42% weaker year-to-date.

Analysts at AJ Bell highlighted the challenging nature of the retail environment and suggested the company were pinning their hopes on a strong festive period, which will be instrumental in achieving their guidance.

“First-half results from online electronics retailer AO World are being released in the calm before the storm which is Black Friday and Cyber Monday when the company will hope to be extremely busy,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“AO World was a pandemic winner whose fortunes have taken an alarming turn since, but these results hint that the company may have bottomed out and is ready to recover.

“The backdrop is undoubtedly difficult. Given the pressures on household budgets, people are putting off purchases of new appliances where they can, though to some extent if your washing machine or fridge freezer breaks down, a replacement is a non-discretionary item. 

“This set of numbers from AO World is as messy as the bottom of a student’s fridge, but management guidance is notably robust, with full-year earnings expected at the top end of expectations. Though it’s important to note this is largely being driven by cost cutting, rather than any inherent strength in the business.”

Severn Trent contends with inflation as revenue increases, hikes dividend

Severn Trent has provided insight into how they are operating in an environment punctuated by soaring inflation in their first half results in which revenue increased.

Soaring inflation meant the company’s revenue increased, but the impact of inflation-linked debt saw their overall earnings suffered.

Severn Trent’s revenue grew £103.6 million to £1,061.8 million but Adjusted basic EPS nearly halved to 29.9p from 54p.

The culprit was a sharp increase in net financing costs which hit £186.9m, compared to £120.8m in the year prior. This more than offset the increase in revenue and profit before interest and tax.

Nonetheless, Severn Trent increased their dividend. With a yield of 3.7%, the willingness to improve investor distributions, despite a challenging backdrop, will be an attraction to investors seeking a reliable income play.

“Severn Trent are showing the benefits of being a utility provider when inflation’s running wild, as inflation linked tariff rises gave revenue a £39m boost over the half,” said Matt Britzman, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“That’s not to say Severn Trent’s been immune to pressures, higher costs meant a big chunk of the 11% rise in revenue never made its way down to the profit line and inflations impact on index-linked debt meant financing costs shot up. Though it’s worth remembering, most of the rise in finance cost is a non-cash charge due to how changes in the value of index linked debt is accounted for, rather than a cost that had to be paid in cash.”

5 Things Moving Markets 22nd November

BP and Shell lift the FTSE 100

Oil majors BP and Shell were lifting the FTSE 100 on Tuesday as the companies gained 5.4% and 3.5% respectively.

Shell and BP are major constituents of the FTSE 100 and accounted for a large proportion of the FTSE’s 50+ point gain at the time of writing.

Saudi Arabia production hike reports whipsaws oil

Although Saudi Arabia denied the claims, the Wall Street Journal have reported Saudi Arabia was considering a 500,000 barrel per day production increase ahead of the next OPEC+ meeting.

Chinese stocks bounce back

The choppiness in Chinese stocks persists with rising COVID cases causing sharp swings in equities as investors attempt to gauge the end of their Zero COVID policy which would spark a huge risk-on rally.

Severn Trent shares dip

Severn Trent announced falling earnings per share in the first half as inflation linked debt eroded their profitability. Revenue rose to £1,061.8 million, up £103.6 million in the period and the dividend rose to 42.73p.

Tesla shares hit by China concerns

Tesla shares closed down 6.8% overnight as investor fretted about the state of demand in China that may lead to further price cuts. Elon Musk’s antics at Twitter are also weighing on sentiment around Tesla shares. Tesla shares are down 58% year-to-date.

HMRC tax receipts soar as Inheritance Tax rises to £4.1bn

HMRC’s tax receipts between April and October rose sharply with income tax, national insurance, inheritance tax and capital gains tax intake all rising.

Income tax, national insurance and capital gains tax receipts for the period jumped £28.1bn to £235.6b.

Inheritance tax receipts soared to £0.5bn to £4.1bn.

“HMRC’s tax take continues to soar with the amounts of income tax, capital gains, inheritance taxand stamp duty heading skywards as a combination of threshold freezes and strong demand for property continue to play out,” said Helen Morrissey, senior pensions and retirement analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Morrissey continued to explain the implications of tax changes at the Autumn Budget and how it could impact tax payer behaviours.

“The squeeze looks set to continue with these taxes taking centre stage in the Chancellor’s Autumn Statement with income tax and inheritance tax frozen for a further two years and the threshold for additional tax rate payers slashed. Capital gains tax changes will penalise those holding investments outside ISAs and pensions and stamp duty changes may force one last stampede to purchase that dream home before the threshold goes back down in 2025.”

Inheritance Tax

While income tax and national insurance are unavoidable, there are many schemes available to mitigate inheritance tax. These include using your pension allowance effectively and utilising schemes such as the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS) to invest in British business.

Jigsaw Insurance Services recommends bid

Former Aquis-quoted company Jigsaw Insurance Services is recommending a 204p a share cash offer from insurance business consolidator PIB Group Ltd. There could also be additional consideration of 14p a share depending on completion accounts. That values the bid at up to £24.1m.

Breakdown, motor and pet markets are the focus of the specialist insurance business. Adding it to the Buyer’s Group, which is owned by PIB, should enhance the development of the enlarged group. Buyer’s Group is involved in motor insurance, but Jigsaw will take it into new areas. It already has revenues of £200m.

Harrogate-based Jigsaw was formerly known as NCI Vehicle Rescue and it left what was then known as ISDX in February 2015, so it still comes under the Takeover Panel rules. Turnover and profit have grown since the departure, but there has been no market to trade the shares. This offer is at a higher price than at any time when the shares were traded.

In the year to March 2022, turnover increased from £12.1m to £14.2m, although that includes a £1.64m exceptional item relating to the decision by HMRC to treat the breakdown product as exempt from VAT. The breakdown business grew its income, but insurance commissions were lower.

Higher costs, partly related to the exceptional, meant that pre-tax profit fell from £2.37m to £1.7m. There was £7.2m in the bank, including £3.36m held in insurer trust money accounts.

The bid values Jigsaw at less than 15 times 2021-22 post-tax profit. At the time of the annual report, management expected 2022-23 results to be in line with last year.

Northcoders raises cash to broaden offer

One of the 2021 new admissions that has done well is AIM-quoted Northcoders Group (LON: CODE) and it is raising £2.1m at 300p a share. Demand for the company’ software training remains high, and it wants to broaden the range of courses on offer.
There were also some small sales by existing shareholders, but they totalled less than 103,000 shares and chief executive Chris Hill hardly made a dent in his 19.6% stake. Amati Global Investors took up enough shares to maintain its holding above 14.3%.
Northcoders will be offering cyber security, platform engineering, quality assurance and agile proje...

Real Good Food shares soar as turnaround funding secured

Real Good Food, the speciality food group focused on cakes, has secured £2.5m to fund their turnaround plan.

Real Good Food had previously announced a restructuring plan to deal with rising inflation which included job cuts and reduced overheads.

Real Good Food shares were up 42% at the time of writing on Monday.

The £2.5m injection came in the form of a 12 month facility from Hilco Private Capital which supplements a £6.3 million facility with Leumi ABL. Real Good Food now have a 12.1% average interest rate across third party funding.

“We are delighted that new funding has been secured to support the radical reform of RGF which is intended to reduce costs, protect revenues and preserve the inherent value of the Group,” said Mike Holt, Executive Chairman, Real Good Food

“With support from both customers and employees, we are making good progress on the required reforms and several major customers have already agreed to significant price re-sets. We are confident that the right actions are being put in place to return the business to sustainable profitability and being cash generative.”

“I am particularly pleased that Leumi ABL continues to support the Group and that Hilco has provided the new funds required. I would also like to thank our suppliers for their forbearance over recent months pending this funding being secured.”

One of Real Good Food’s main competitors was recently put into administration which highlights the risks to the business, but also the opportunity to gain market share.

AIM movers: Real Good Food finance

3

Real Good Food (LON: RGD) has secured additional financing of £2.5m from Hilco Private Capital. This lasts for 12 months and is in addition to the £6.3m from the Leumi ABL. This will help to fund restructuring and cost reduction. The share price recovered 42.9% to 1.5p.

Catalyst Media Group (LON: CMX) investee company Sports Information Services reported a pre-tax profit of £7m in 2021-22. Catalyst Media owns 20.5% and it will soon receive its share of a SIS dividend totalling £4.4m. SIS has £58m in the bank. Oakvale Capital is reviewing strategic options for SIS. Catalyst Media shares rose 17.2% to 116p.  

Engage XR (LON: EXR) has signed a reseller agreement with Lenovo for the ENGAGE platform. Lenovo can sell the platform to help sales of its ThinkReality VRX headset and this will help Engage XR to win new clients. The deal includes ENGAGE Link, which was launched on 7 November and provides the capability to create virtual worlds. The share price more than recovered Friday’s loss and is 14.9% higher at 13.5p.

The Reabold Resources (LON: RBD) share price has recovered by 14.3% to 0.28p following the defeat of the resolutions at the requisitioned general meeting on Friday. Three-quarters of the votes were against each resolution.

Emmerson (LON: EML) has signed memoranda of understanding for the offtake of potash and salt from the Khemisset mine in Morocco. Keytrade AG will take a minimum of 245,000 metric tonnes each year for a decade. Hexagon Group AG will also take a minimum of 245,000 metric tonnes plus 500,000 metric tonnes of salt each year. The share price improved by 8.6% to 5.05p.

Tissue products manufacturer Accrol (LON: ACRL) increased interim revenues by 64% to £121.1m through a combination of higher prices and volume growth. Net debt was £30.5m at the end of October 2022 and it could fall to £24.4m by April 2023. A full year pre-tax profit of £6.7m is forecast. The share price increased by 6% to 27.2p.

Molecular diagnostics company Genedrive (LON: GDR) generated revenues of £49,000 in the year to June 2022 and the cash burn averages £400,000 each month. Net cash was £3m at the end of October. Genedrive is seeking additional funding to enable it to grow revenues. The share price fell 17.7% to 10.5p.

Ncondezi Energy Ltd (LON: NCCL) has raised £520,000 at 0.65p a share, which comes with a warrant exercisable at 1.3p. The share price declined by 10.8% to 0.825p. Updated valuations for the solar project in Mozambique vary from $23m for 100MW to $75m for 300MW. Tower Resources (LON: TRP) says that its $7m loan from a Cameroon bank has been approved by the credit committee but further approval is required before it is received. This will cover two-fifths of the $18m cost of the well at the Thali Production Sharing Contract. That still leaves 35% of the cost to be funded. The share price fell 7.32% to 0.19p.

Compass Group revenue surges as new business jumps

Compass Group had a storming 2022 FY with revenue and new business surging on strong performance in North America and Europe.

Compass Group revenue grew 37.5% to £25.8bn in 2022 – and their 4th quarter sales were 116% of pre-pandemic 2019 levels.

The food services group saw their North American sales grow 53.4% on a reported basis and now accounts for 66.5% of group revenue. Europe’s share retreated to 23% from 25% in 2021.

Shares were slightly weaker on Monday, but Compass Group shares are still 23% higher over the last 52 weeks.

“On all metrics, this was a very strong year for Compass. Growth isn’t just coming from price increases, but also from new customers which the Group said exceeded its own expectations,” said Derren Nathan, Head of Equity Research at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“New business wins totalled £2.5bn, with a strong contribution from both North America and Europe. Pleasingly, 45% of this was from customers who were outsourcing their contract catering requirements for the first time.  We see this as reflective of long-term structural drivers that Compass Group is benefitting from and it’s a class operator, with customer loyalty reaching record levels.”

The group announced a £250m share buyback programme which may have disappointed some investors that were hoping for more. Nonetheless, Compass Group’s dividend jumped to 31.5p in 2022, up from 14p in 2021.

Trafalgar Property moves into hydroponics

5

Trafalgar Property Group (LON: TRAF) has made its first step in its move into hydroponics. The residential property developer has acquired assets and leasehold premises from May Barn Horticultural Consultancy, which is controlled by Trafalgar Property director Dr Paul Challinor, for £30,000.

This is a dedicated research and development site in Nantwich, Cheshire with a five-year lease. Services will also be offered to third parties. Trafalgar Property will concentrate on assessing plant propagation requirements and studies on tissue culture of plant material.

The current work is on lettuce varieties and hydroponic tomato seedlings, as well as seedlings of Nicotiana benthamiana for future development for cosmetics and pharmaceuticals.

The initial decision to move into this area was taken in 2020. Dr Paul Challinor became a director in May and he is seeking opportunities in hydroponics and farming assets. The scope of these opportunities has been widened from food to plants used in cosmetics and pharmaceuticals.

The acquisition is conditional on shareholder approval at a general meeting on 8 December. The share price is unchanged at 0.18p.