Barclays beats expectations and upgrades 2026 guidance

Barclays shares rose on Tuesday after the bank released Q4 and full-year 2025 results that beat expectations and set the group up well for 2026.

Group FY25 income increased 9% year-on-year to £29.1 billion, with net interest income reaching £12.8 billion, meeting guidance of greater than £12.6 billion.

C. S. Venkatakrishnan, Group Chief Executive, said, “Barclays achieved all financial guidance in 2025. RoTE was 11.3% as all divisions delivered double-digit RoTE. We distributed £3.7bn to our shareholders, including the £1.0bn share buyback announced today, up from £3.0bn in 2024.”

Momentum continued in the fourth quarter with group income increasing 2% to £7.1 billion and profit after tax rising 21% to £1.5 billion.

Barclays shares were 1% higher at the time of writing.

The strong results will be welcomed by investors who are enjoying a protracted rally in Barclays shares as the bank and the rest of the sector shake off economic and political concerns.

“Barclays has delivered a resilient performance, with revenues beating consensus by 0.44%. This result reinforces the bank’s ability to perform across various economic cycles, and the upgraded 2026 guidance should be well-received by the market,” explained Max Harper, Analyst at Third Bridge.

“The bank’s progress toward its 2025 targets is encouraging. Income is growing steadily, supported by the structural hedge bolstering NII and the market environment driving non-NII growth, alongside strategy. Looking ahead, future revenue growth should be focused on Barclays driving cross-sales across its existing customer base, with targeted acquisitions such as the Tesco Bank retail business likely to be accretive.

“However, there are still gaps in the strategy. NatWest’s acquisition of Evelyn Partners represents a missed opportunity for Barclays; our experts continue to highlight the bank’s relatively weak UK wealth proposition as an area where a bold move could have driven rapid growth.”

BP shares fall as buybacks scrapped

BP shares fell on Tuesday after the oil major halted share buybacks amid falling profits and weaker performance across most business units.

BP reported a fourth-quarter underlying replacement cost profit of $1.5 billion, down from $2.2 billion in the previous quarter, as lower upstream realizations and reduced refinery throughput weighed on performance.

The company posted a reported loss of $3.4 billion for the quarter, compared with a profit of $1.2 billion in Q3, after accounting for inventory holding losses and net impairments of around $4 billion related to its gas and clean energy transition businesses, as the group front-loaded its retreat from lower emissions business accelerated.

Across BP’s operating segments, gas & low carbon energy delivered an underlying profit before interest and tax of $1.4 billion, down from $1.5 billion in the third quarter, reflecting lower realisations and an average gas marketing and trading result.

Oil production & operations saw underlying profit before interest and tax fall to $2.0 billion from $2.3 billion, impacted by lower realizations, production mix effects, and reduced income from equity-accounted entities, though this was partly offset by lower exploration write-offs.

Customers & products segment posted underlying profit before interest and tax of $1.3 billion, down from $1.7 billion, as weaker midstream performance, including a temporary outage at the Whiting facility, offset stronger refining margins.

“BP’s fourth-quarter results showed relative resilience in a weak pricing environment. Net debt is down again after a spike in the third quarter, but on a 12-month view, it’s not budged much,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Management is taking some decisive action to fix the balance sheet, scrapping the buyback, doubling down on non-core disposals and upping structural cost-savings targets to $5.5-6.5bn by the end of next year. 

“In an effort to clear the decks ahead of the arrival of new CEO Meg O’Neill on 1st April, BP’s also written down its underperforming solar and renewable natural gas businesses by around $4bn. This leaner meaner approach could pave the way for more sustainable payouts to shareholders further down the line, but with investment spend coming down, investors will want some assurance on BP’s plans to remain an energy leader over the long-term.”

AIM movers: Jangada Mines Brazilian option and Cora Gold funding

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Jangada Mines (LON: JAN) has secured an option to acquire 100% of the Molly gold project in Tapajos Brazil. Once the agreement is signed there will be a cash payment of $100,000 and shares issued worth $250,000. There will be a further cash and shares payment of $650,000 after one year plus resource-based payments. The initial JORC inferred resource is 130,000 ounces of gold but gold mineralisation is more extensive than the past drilling indicates. The share price increased 17.2% to 1.7p.

Cosmetics supplier Warpaint London (LON: W7L) has acquired the Barry M brand from the administrator for £1.4m, but 2025 figures will be just below expectations. Cavendish has cut its 2025 pre-tax profit forecast from £20.7m to £19.2m, although the 2026 figure is maintained at £26m. Net cash was better than expected at £16m. Barry M is a value cosmetics brand and had revenues of £15m. It is likely to be loss making. The share price recovered 8.75% to 217.5p.

Pathos Communications (LON: NEWS) has entered a partnership with Flippa.com, a marketplace for buying and selling online businesses. This will allow the latter’s 1.6 million registered users to become a client of Pathos Communications’ PR services. This is part of an invitation-only Flippa partner programme. The share price is 7.84% higher at 27.5p. The December placing price was 30p.

More positive new for Fulcrum Metals (LON: FMET) concerning gold and other product recoveries at the Teck Hughes tailings project. Gold recovery has been increased to 78% with up to 95% silver recoveries. There are also high recovery rates for tellurium and copper and 20% recoveries of gallium – that could be improved. There is a potential recoverable value of more than $550m of all these metals. Further testing will be undertaken. The share price rose 5.71% to 9.25p, which is near to its high for the year.

Power Metal Resources (LON: POW) says drilling will start at the Badger Lake uranium property in Canada on 1 March. The joint venture will undertake 2,100 metres of drilling testing two shear zones and the S-Zone, which differs from most unconformity-related uranium targets in the Athabasca Basin. The share price improved 3.13% to 16.5p.

FALLERS

Phoenix Copper (LON: PXC) has suspended chief executive Marcus Edwards-Jones and finance director Richard Wilkins due to their recent conduct and past payments. A n investigation is underway. The company has limited cash available, and it will last until the second quarter of 2026. The share price slumped 47.5% to 1.05p, having been below 1p earlier in the day.

ADM Energy (LON: ADME) returned from suspension down 36.4% to 0.0035p after annual accounts and subsequent interims were published. There was £1,000 in cash at the end of 2025. The company’s name is being changed to Vega Energy.

Cora Gold (LON: CORA) is raising £12.9m-£13.7m through a subscription by Singapore-based Eagle Eye Asset Holdings at 6p/share. There will be a retail offer to raise up to £2m. Eagle Eye’s investment will depend on the take up of the retail offer, so that it does not go above 29.9%. The definitive feasibility study for the company’s Sanankoro project in south Mali indicated a NPV8% of $221m, but that was at a gold price of $2,750/ounce. The money raised covers nearly 50% of the cash required to construct the mine. The share price fell 18.6% to 8.75p.

Diverse markets enable Porvair to continue profit growth

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Despite mixed performances from different sectors filtration technology supplier Porvair (LON: PRV) improved margins and profit in the year to November 2026. Porvair’s wide spread of markets offset weakness in some areas. Porvair has a good growth record and is involved in growing markets.

Full year revenues edged up 1% to £194m, while pre-tax profit improved from £22.7m to £25.1m. the total dividend was raised from 6.3p/share to 6.7p/share. That is more than six times covered by earnings.

The improvement in profit came from the laboratory, helped by strong environmental demand, and metal melt quality divisions, even though the latter had lower reported revenues due to currency movements.

The aerospace and industrial division maintained its profit on slightly lower revenues. There are signs that industrial demand may recover and areas such as nuclear are doing well.

The aerospace market is set to grow at 4%+ annually and the aluminium market at a similar rate. The environmental market is likely to grow even faster.

Cash generation remains strong and more than covers capital investment and the dividend. Net cash was £22.9m at the end of November 2025.

At the beginning of the year, Porvair paid €20.5m for Drache, which fits well with the metal melt quality division. It increases exposure to Europe and while it is profitable there is scope to improve margins.

The share price has risen 9p to 869p, which is just over 20 times earnings. That reflect the growth sectors that Porvair is involved in and the strong tract record. The benefits of the latest acquisition may not show through this year, but it should provide a long-term boost and there is potential for further acquisitions.

FTSE 100 gives up early gains as UK-centric sectors fall

The FTSE 100 gave up early gains on Monday as UK-centric sectors weighed on the index amid deepening turmoil at the core of the UK government.

London’s leading index hit highs of 10,420 in early trading before giving back all its gains to trade at 10,360, down 0.1%, at the time of writing.

News of two high-profile resignations from the Prime Minister’s team sent a wave of concern through sectors including housebuilders, retailers, and banks, as investors rushed to reduce exposure to the UK amid mounting risks of a leadership change.

“Politics were front of mind for investors in the UK after the resignation of chief of staff, Morgan McSweeney,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Gilt yields and the pound nudged slightly higher as markets digested ongoing speculation about the future of Keir Starmer as prime minister. Movement among government bonds and the currency suggests there is no panic on financial markets about the stability of the UK government.”

NatWest was the FTSE 100 top faller, losing 5%, after announcing the acquisition of Evelyn Partners in a £2.7bn deal. Lloyds was down 3%.

The last thing the UK housing market needs is further uncertainty, and the latest scandal at the top of government gave traders another reason to sell down holdings in Persimmon, Barratt Developments, and Berkeley Group. All three were lower by 1%.

The same sentiments were evident in British Land, LondonMetric Property, and Land Securities. UK retailers Sainsbury’s, Next, and Marks & Spencer were also lower.

Losses in London were a clear result of the crisis in Downing Street with the German Dax rising 0.25% and US futures pointing to a higher open after a strong session in Asia, driven by record highs for Japanese stocks.

“Japan’s Nikkei reached fresh records, with a stunning surge as investors cheered the certainty of policy ahead after Prime Minister Takaichi’s Liberal Democratic party secured a two-thirds supermajority in the elections,” explained Susannah Streeter, Chief Investment Strategist, Wealth Club.

“Election fever has taken hold amid big hopes that her pro-business agenda will help revitalise growth. But the big tax cuts planned risk pushing up inflationary pressures and raise questions about the sustainability of Japan’s debt pile.”

Wynnstay Group: lower sales but higher profits, 22-years of dividend growth, shares 402p, valuation 575p

Despite a near 5% fall in its overall sales in the year to end-October 2025, Wynnstay Group (LON:WYNN), the undervalued £93m-capitalised agricultural supplies and services supplier has this morning declared a 21.1% rise in pre-tax profits.
"FY25 has been a year of significant progress for Wynnstay, with a stronger underlying performance and clear early benefits from the operating changes delivered during the year.
The business enters FY26 in a materially strengthened position, with a robust balance sheet, and a clearer platform for growth under Wynnstay Strategy Genesis.
The group’s brokers ha...

Warpaint acquires Barry M Brand for £1.4m, highlights struggles in trading update

Warpaint London announced on Monday that it had acquired the Barry M brand out of administration for £1.4 million in cash, alongside a trading update.

Barry M is an established value cosmetics brand with significant retail distribution across more than 1,300 stores, including Superdrug, Boots, Sainsbury’s, and Tesco, as well as direct-to-consumer online sales. The brand generated approximately £15 million in revenue in the year ended 28 February 2025.

The acquisition will be funded from existing cash resources. Warpaint reported cash balances of £18 million as at 31 January 2026, up from £9 million the previous year, demonstrating a strong balance sheet position.

Warpaint released a trading update alongside its acquisition, announcing that it expects full-year revenue of approximately £105 million for FY25, up from £102 million last year, at an improved gross margin, including a £12 million contribution from Brand Architekts.

Although revenues increased, the group was hindered by the closure of Bodycare, a significant customer, challenging consumer conditions, and US tariff uncertainty, resulting in stalled momentum in America.

Adjusted EBITDA for FY25 is expected to reach approximately £22 million, down from £25 million in 2024, impacted by these factors.

Warpaint noted that after losing £1 million in 2024, its Brand Architekts business generated a positive Adjusted EBITDA contribution of £0.8 million in FY25 following successful integration and delivery of expected year-one synergies.

Warpaint shares were 1% higher at the time of writing.

Phoenix Copper shares tumble as board members suspended, warns cash running out

Phoenix Copper shares sank on Monday after announcing it had suspended two senior board members and warned it was running out of cash.

Executive Chairman Marcus Edwards-Jones and CFO Richard Wilkins have been suspended with immediate effect whilst investigations are conducted into allegations concerning their recent conduct and historic payments to the company’s former corporate finance adviser, Lloyd Edwards-Jones S.A.S.

The AIM-quoted US-focused base and precious metals company said its board is conducting investigations with input from professional advisers, with a further announcement expected once the investigations are concluded.

Phoenix has implemented interim financial oversight arrangements and is advancing the appointment of an interim CFO to minimise operational disruption. Catherine Evans, Chair of the Audit Committee, and Ryan McDermott, CEO, will support the interim arrangements, along with other board members and senior management.

In addition to announcing the suspension of two senior executives, investors also received the news that Phoenix currently has limited working capital, with existing cash balances expected to cover only until early Q2 2026 without additional funding.

Phoenix said it is evaluating both short and long-term funding options and will update shareholders on its fundraising strategy in due course.

Discussions with Riverfort Global Opportunities regarding a short-term loan facility remain ongoing following the announcement on 27 January 2026.

Phoenix has a $2.1 million convertible loan note facility with Indigo Capital that has been used to repay Riverfort’s loan facility, but it is almost fully used.

Phoenix Copper shares traded above 5p at the start of 2025, but persistent funding issues have seen them drop to below 1p today.

NatWest acquires Evelyn Partners for £2.7bn and announces £750m buyback

NatWest Group has acquired Evelyn Partners from Permira and Warburg Pincus for £2.7 billion, creating what it says is the UK’s leading private banking and wealth management business.

The deal combines Evelyn Partners’ £69 billion in assets under management with NatWest’s £59 billion, bringing total AUMA to £127 billion.

“Bringing together these two leading businesses creates a unique opportunity to provide financial planning, savings and investment services to more families and people across the UK. We look forward to welcoming our new clients and working with our colleagues at Evelyn Partners to transform the services our 20 million customers across the Group can expect from us,” said Paul Thwaite, Chief Executive of NatWest Group.

“At a time when the benefits of saving and investing are increasingly part of the national conversation, we can help customers to make more of their money through a broader range of services, as well as helping to drive growth and investment across the economy.”

NatWest successfully fought off interest from other parties to secure the deal. Barclays and RBC Brewin Dolphin were reportedly interested in acquiring Evelyn. And for good reason.

The acquisition transforms NatWest’s investment offering for its 20 million customers and increases fee income by approximately 20% before revenue synergies.

Evelyn Partners, operating for 180 years, offers an integrated wealth management model that includes financial planning, discretionary investment management, and the BestInvest platform.

NatWest expects annual cost synergies of around £100 million, equivalent to 10% of the combined cost base, with implementation costs of £150 million.

Alongside the acquisition, NatWest announced a £750 million share buyback, maintaining its track record of capital returns to shareholders. The ordinary dividend payout ratio of around 50% remains unchanged.

NatWest shares were 3% lower at the time of writing on Monday.

AIM weekly movers: Zoo Digital eyes recovery

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Localisation and digital media services provider Zoo Digital (LON: ZOO) is seeing signs of recovery in activity and has received initial orders from two major US studios. This pushed up the share price by 67.6% to 15.5p. Gillian Wilmot and Mickey Kalifa are stepping down from the board after many years, and Nathalie Schwarz will replace Gillian Wilmot as chair. Two new non-executive directors will be appointed. The share price

Shares in Strategic Minerals (LON: SML) jumped by two-thirds to 3.5p following the latest assay results from two holes at the Redmoor tungsten tine copper project in Cornwall. They confirm high grades of tungsten and tin within in the sheeted vein system. Further results are due.

Tungsten West (LON: TUN), which owns the Devon-based Hemerdon tungsten and tin mine, published an updated project value on the back of strong metals prices. The NPV7.5% has increased from $190m to $1.7bn. Management followed this up with a fundraising of £44.4m at 18p/share, including a fully subscribed retail offer of £3m. The cash will finance the feasibility study and pay back the bridge facility. It will help to accelerate the move towards production in the third quarter. Debt financing discussions are continuing with multiple lenders. The share price increased 46.1% to 29p.

Advanced coating provider Hardide (LON: HDD) continues to win new business and this has sparked an upgrade in the forecast for 2025-26. The latest order is from a North American energy company, and it is worth $1m. This should be delivered in the second half. Cavendish has upgraded its earnings forecast by one-quarter to 1.9p/share on a £1m increase in forecast revenues to £9m. That shows the operational gearing of the business. The share price gained 43.8% to 23p.

FALLERS

Trellus Health (LON: TRLS), which has developed a digital platform to manage chronic health conditions, says it has enough funding for most of the first quarter of 2026, having reduced cash burn to $400,000/month, and it is in talks for additional funding. Revenues were $545,000 in 2025. Last year, the agreement with Pfizer to license patient support educational content for inclusion in Pfizer’s IBD digital application was renewed and it could be expanded this year. Trellus Health has begun launching the programme to support recruitment and enrolment optimisation for an ongoing mid-stage immunology and inflammation clinical trial sponsored by Takeda. There has been trimming of some major shareholdings in the company, including by Icahn School of Medicine, which has reduced the stake from 25% to 22.3%. The share price slumped 42.1% to 0.56p.

Image Scan (LON: IGE) says a major defence contract that was going to use the company’s ThreatScan® portable X‑ray systems has been terminated. The was a 36-month programme that would have been a major contributor to 2026-27 and 2027-28 revenues. The termination reduces the order book from £4.67m to over £1m. The share price slipped 29.3% to 1.45p.

Berenberg has cut its share price target for Next 15 Group (LON: NFG) from 580p to 510p, but it retains the buy recommendation. The share price declined 19.8% to 281p.

Trading in Celsius Resources (LON: CLA) was suspended on the ASX because of concerns about the resignation of a past auditor not being in accordance with the government regulations. Trading on AIM continues. The share price fell 18.4% to 0.775p. Later in the week, the Philippines authorities approved the renewal of the exploration permit for the Botilao porphyry copper-gold prospect.