UK job market mixed as vacancies drop while wages rise

The UK job market is sending conflicting signals as vacancies continue their relentless decline while wages maintain strong growth despite rising unemployment.

Job openings plummeted by 44,000 to 718,000 between May and July, marking the 37th consecutive month of falls. This slide has pushed vacancies to 9.7% below pre-pandemic levels, signalling a significant cooling in employer demand.

Meanwhile, unemployment edged up to 4.7% in the April-June period. While the increase was marginal, it represents a concerning trend as joblessness now sits above pre-pandemic rates.

“There’s not much reason to be cheerful given the latest snapshot of the labour market,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Although the picture has stayed relatively stable, unemployment has risen fractionally and stands at 4.7%. Vacancies are still dwindling and there’s mounting evidence that companies are increasingly cautious, hesitant about expanding and are battening down the hatches in an uncertain economic world. They’re not recruiting new staff, or replacing those who leave.”

Despite the softening job market, wages continue to climb at a robust pace. Before accounting for inflation, pay packets grew by 5% annually, excluding bonuses, with total pay including bonuses rising 4.6%.

However, the inflation picture tells a different story. After factoring in rising prices, real wage growth drops dramatically to just 1.5% excluding bonuses and 1.1% including them.

The employment rate reached 75.3%, showing improvement both quarterly and annually. Yet this figure remains stubbornly below pre-pandemic levels, highlighting ongoing labour market challenges.

Gold retreats as macro risks ease

A sense of calm set in on Monday as equities rose and gold prices fell with geopolitical risk and macro concerns easing.

The gold price was trading at $3,347 at the time of writing, notably lower than the highs around here $3,400 a couple of trading sessions ago.

“Gold fell sharply in yesterday’s trading session, losing the $3,400/oz level as the broader macro risk backdrop gradually faded. The easing of geopolitical and trade tensions has led to a clear decline in safe-haven demand, stripping gold of part of its previous upward momentum,” said Linh Tran, Market Analyst at XS.com.

“On the trade front, the U.S. and China agreed to extend their tariff pause for another 90 days, a deal announced just hours before the previous deadline expired. President Donald Trump signed an executive order extending this “trade truce” until November 10, immediately removing the risk of an escalation in tensions. This positive development helped spark a “risk-on” sentiment across multiple asset classes, from equities to corporate bonds.”

Tran continued to explain that discussions between Trump and Putin this week were key to the immeaditae outlook for the price of gold.

“In the geopolitical arena, President Trump confirmed that he and Russian President Vladimir Putin will discuss “land swaps” related to Ukraine’s future borders at the upcoming summit in Alaska this Friday,” Tran said.

“While the outcome of these talks is difficult to predict, the prospect of direct dialogue between the two leaders is seen as a step toward de-escalation.”

Bellway reports strong performance with 14.3% rise in completions

Bellway has delivered impressive results for the year ended 31 July 2025, with housing completions surging 14.3% to 8,749 homes.

The UK homebuilder exceeded previous guidance across multiple key metrics, signalling a resilience amid challenging market conditions that other listed housebuilders have lacked.

The company’s housing revenue jumped 17% to over £2.76 billion, while the underlying operating margin approached 11%, up from 10.0% in the previous year. Average selling prices also increased to around £316,000, reflecting a higher proportion of private completions.

Customer appetite remained robust throughout the year, supported by good mortgage availability and relatively stable interest rates. Other housebuilders have used these factors as an excuse for poor performance, and it’s refreshing to see Bellway view the glass half full.

Private reservation rates climbed 12.1% to an average of 139 per week, with the rate per outlet reaching 0.57 compared to 0.51 in 2024.

The company’s forward order book strengthened to 5,307 homes valued at £1,519.4 million, providing a solid foundation for future growth. This represents an increase from 5,144 homes worth £1,412.9 million in the previous year. Investors should be encouraged by this key metric.

Bellway’s balance sheet improved significantly, ending the year with net cash of £42 million compared to net debt of £10.5 million in 2024. The company said it maintained a disciplined approach to land acquisition, contracting to purchase 8,120 plots during the year.

Looking Ahead to 2026

For the upcoming financial year, Bellway expects to maintain approximately 245 outlets on average and deliver around 9,200 homes. The company remains focused on increasing return on capital employed while driving higher cash generation for shareholder returns.

Management acknowledged current industry headwinds but expressed confidence in the group’s position. Recent government planning reforms should benefit the sector long-term, though local authorities are still adapting to new frameworks.

Are RC Fornax shares now a ‘buy’?

RC Fornax shares are down heavily since listing in early 2025 after a string of unconvincing updates and a warning about revenues. RC Fornax’s IPO valuation was far too rich, and the company has failed to live up to expectations.

In April, when the company released half-year results, we warned that the company was overvalued and growth didn’t justify the share price at the time. Revenue grew just 8% in their first half despite promising ‘rapid growth’ by disrupting the defence contracting industry.

RC Fornax shares are down two-thirds since then.

With the market now valuing the firm at around £7m, is it time to buy RC Fornax shares? Possibly, but we’d argue that RC Fornax is nothing more than a short-term rebound opportunity.

Any strength in the stock will likely be sold into by investors who wish they’d sold earlier. Traditionally long-term investors are already dumping their shares. 

There may be money to be made for swing traders, but the outlook for the company is badly damaged. And there is a severe lack of evidence to suggest they are turning a corner.

The group put out a trading statement in June that effectively said it had misjudged the key drivers of the sole market it operates in, and the COO responsible for sales wasn’t up to the task, and was taking a career break.

Revenue guidance issued in the statement suggested the company would generate minimal revenue in the second half of the year.

Since June’s disastrous trading statement, the company has said very little, apart from the CEO being up for an award and an MP visiting their HQ to discuss the Strategic Defence Review (SDR), following the company’s admission in June that their analysis of the impact of SDR on the defence market was badly wrong. 

The biggest asset of consultancies such as RC Fornax is their people and the expertise they can deliver to their clients. On this front, RC Fornax has demonstrated that its asset base is subpar, especially from a strategic perspective.

There is a lot of hype around the defence sector currently. But there are probably better ways to play the uptick in defence spending than this over-egged consultancy.

Adsure Services hikes dividend as profits rise, prepares for potentially ‘game changing’ year ahead

Adsure Services has reported strong results for the year ended 31 March 2025, marking another successful year for the business assurance specialist.

The company demonstrated delivery on its strategic goals with significant improvements across key financial metrics whilst expanding its operational footprint.

Revenue climbed 7.7% to £10.0 million, more than doubling the previous year’s growth rate of 3.5%.

This acceleration reflects the company’s enhanced market position and successful client acquisition strategy across its core sectors. Adsure has alluded to their Aquis listing as a driving factor in securing new clients and leading talent.

Operating profit surged 61.4% to £0.9 million. Pre-tax profit jumped 74% to £0.8 million, whilst EBITDA rose to £1.18 million—a 35% increase that lifted margins to 11.8% from 9.4% the previous year.

These are very respectable results and helped support Adsure’s commitment to rewarding shareholders with progressive dividend increases.

The board has proposed a final dividend of 1.14 pence per share, representing a 15.2% increase. Cash balances remained steady at £1.1 million, providing financial stability for future growth initiatives.

“We have worked extremely hard to improve operational efficiencies across the business as revenue grows, and I’m thrilled that our efforts are bearing fruit, with EBITDA margin increasing to 11.8%,” said Vicky Davies, CFO of Adsure Services.

Operational progress

The company’s sector-led business development approach has yielded tangible results. New contracts were secured across health, housing, education, and local government sectors whilst staff utilisation targets were met by 83% of employees.

Adsure made strategic investments in technology, contracting K10 Vision to implement audit working paper software. The company’s proprietary TIAA Insight AI tool has reached testing stage, with early results showing outputs indistinguishable from human auditors. This digital transformation supports margin expansion and operational efficiency goals.

The group expanded into new markets, developing fraud prevention services for social housing and engaging with private sector rail freight operators. Entry into the private sector is particularly interesting.

Strategic focus

Adsure’s three-pillar strategy emphasises organic growth in core markets, accessing new service markets, and creating revolutionary business assurance technologies. The company benefits from its elevated profile following its Aquis listing, which has facilitated the recruitment of senior sector leaders.

Management addressed capacity constraints—the primary growth inhibitor—through restructured senior management and enhanced delivery models. Four lead directors now oversee the main business areas, whilst two senior directors manage operations and commercial activity.

The board expects continued strong trading performance in 2025/26, supported by a robust contract base and healthy new business pipeline. The company plans to refresh its five-year corporate plan, targeting growth in both volume and service scope.

“Our strong 2025 performance positions us well, but I’m focused on the significant opportunities ahead as a London-listed company,” said Kevin Limn, Chief Executive Officer of Adsure Services Plc.

“Having invested prudently in our technological capabilities, the coming year could prove to be game changing for Adsure Services as we pursue further operational efficiencies and margin expansion through the deployment of our proprietary AI tools.”

AIM movers: New orders for Kromek and delays for Aurrigo International

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First Development Resources (LON: FDR), a minerals exploration company recently spun out from Power Metal Resources (LON: POW), has clawed back some of its losses over the past fortnight. London-based First Development Resources is focusing on the Wallal gold copper project in the Paterson province in Western Australia. On admission, £2.3m was raised at 6.67p/share and the company valued at £7.06m. The share price subsequently fell but it has rebounded 13.6% to 6.25p.

Falcon Oil & Gas (LON: FOG) says that the Shenandoah South 2H sidetrack at the Betaloo in Northern Territory achieved an average 90-day initial production flow rate of 6.7 million cubic feet per day. This suggests significant potential for the area. The drilling campaign continues. The share price increased 12.3% to 7.75p.

Detection technology developer Kromek (LON: KMK) has received a new contract award from the MoD to develop methods of enhancing detection of biological agents and orders for CBRN detection equipment worth £860,000 in total and most of this will be recognised in the first half of the current financial year. The share price rose 7% to 5.35p.

Metals One (LON: MET1) has invested £1m in the latest placing by Chile-focused lithium project developer CleanTech Lithium (LON: CTL). The placing raised a total of £4.3m at 5p/share. The cash was raised to finance the acquisition of an additional 30 licences in the Laguna Verde project for $600,000 and finance the development of the enlarged project. The additional licences should help to seek streamlined approval for the project. The Metals One share price improved 9.45% to 6.0195p, while the CleanTech Lithium share price slipped 18.5% to 5.5p.

FALLERS

Mobile Tornado (LON: MBT) is asking for shareholder approval to leave AIM. There is limited liquidity and one major shareholder in the mobile communications technology company, so the quotation is not worth the cost. The board intends to seek a buyer in the next two years and believe it would be easier as a private company. The plan is to leave on 9 September. The share price dived 53.6% to 0.65p, having been below 0.5p at one point this morning.

Versarien (LON: VRS) intends to accelerate the sales process of the remaining parts of the group, while it tries to secure additional finance for the group. If the disposals happen the proceeds are unlikely to cover liabilities and Versarien would be placed in administration. The share price slumped 34.2% to 0.0125p.

Autonomous vehicles developer Aurrigo International (LON: AURR) says weaker activity has hit revenues this year. Disruption from tariffs and delayed tenders have pushed revenues into next year. The tariffs are hampering demand for its supply of equipment to the automotive sector. Aurrigo has been awarded more than £1m of grant funding. Canaccord Genuity has slashed its 2025 forecast revenues from £12m to £7.5m and that means the expected loss is £3.9m. Net cash should be around £1m at the end of the year. The share price dipped 28.1% to 52.5p.

Pharmacogenetic testing company Genedrive (LON: GDR) expects revenues to double to £1m in the year to June 2025. There is also £600,000 of visible revenues for this year, and the growth is likely to be international. Genedrive is confident that there are significant long-term opportunities in the NHS, but this remains a challenging market. Cash is around £700,000 and ways of raising more money are being assessed. The share price fell 15.6% to 0.95p.

Rank Group: this Thursday’s Final’s will show just how under-rated the gaming group’s shares are

I now have an answer to my question of just eight months ago, when I last featured this gaming group’s shares. 
On Wednesday 16th October last year, I stated that I had been impressed by the number of recent sizeable ‘insider’ purchases at prices up to nearly 83p a share. 
I took the view that the shares of the Rank Group (LON;RNK), then 86p, were headed back over the 100p level – and I concluded my article by asking the question – “is this the time to take a gamble with The Rank Group?” 
The Answer 
Since then, the group’s shares have been up to 164.59p, that peak being re...

FTSE 100 gains as investors focus on rate cut hopes

The FTSE 100 was higher on Monday as mild optimism crept into equity markets with investors choosing to focus on the recent market repricing of the number of US interest rates set for this year.

London’s leading index was 0.3% higher at the time of writing.

Banks, including JPMorgan, are now predicting the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September, and interest rate markets are pricing on 50 bps of cuts by the end of the year.

This is in contrast to the pricing of just one interest rate cut this year before a poor US jobs report at the beginning of August.

“A pulse of positivity also sent stocks on Wall Street back towards record levels on Friday and US indices are set for a higher open as optimism continues to swirl,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“But there could be a swift change in sentiment. The focus will be on US inflation numbers out this week, a key determiner for the Fed’s interest rate decision next week. With Trump’s tariffs set to make swathes of goods more expensive for American consumers and businesses, investors will want to see to if higher prices are landing and what the outlook is likely to be ahead.”

FTSE 100 movers

The FTSE 100’s gain was broad, with the majority of constituents trading positively at the time of writing.

However, while most shares were higher, there were few risers adding more than 1%.

Pharma heavyweights AstraZeneca and GSK were higher by over 1% helping support the wider index. GSK announced that the FDA had accepted a gonorrhoea treatment for priority review, although this wasn’t majorly price sensitive.

Defence-related stocks were weaker, with BAE Systems and Babcock losing over 1% as defence-spending euphoria continued to diminish.

Melrose was the top FTSE 100 faller, dropping 1.8%, on nothing more than profit taking after the stock touched the highest level since the announcements of Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs last week.

Wishbone Gold strikes sulphide mineralisation at Red Setter project

Wishbone Gold shares surged on Monday after reporting drill results from its Red Setter Gold Dome Project in Western Australia.

Wishbone Gold shares have rallied in recent weeks in anticipation of a drill update, and investors have been rewarded with a very encouraging update. Shares were over 20% higher at the time of writing.

The first hole at the project has successfully intersected sulphide mineralisation at the predicted target depth.

Located just 15 kilometres southwest of Greatland Gold’s operating Telfer mine, the project has delivered early positive indicators. Drilling intersected zones of quartz-carbonate veining alongside sulphides, including chalcopyrite and pyrite, from approximately 520 metres depth.

The mineralisation appeared close to the 550-metre target depth identified by Mobile MT domal targeting, as interpreted by Expert Geophysics Limited in April. This proximity validates the geological model underpinning the exploration programme.

“The fracturing and evidence of sulphides from around 520 metres is encouraging,” the company stated. “We are seeing strong signs of mineralisation within the concept of a domal folded hinge structure, as predicted.”

Key geological indicators observed include changes in bedding of the host rock, extensive quartz-carbonate veining, and multiple sulphide zones throughout the hole. These features suggest the current drilling position sits peripheral to the main geological target.

The company now plans to collar a new hole 50-75 metres southwest of the current position. This adjustment aims to focus on what geologists believe represents the centre of the domal structure.

“Seeing the quartz-carbonate veining and sulphides at the expected target depth is highly encouraging at this early stage of the drill program,” said Ed Mead, Wishbone Gold WA director.

“Progress has been a little slower than originally expected due to the drill rig only drilling on day shift, however, processing of core on site and geological and structural logging is giving us real time information on the domal structural we are successfully targeting. This means that we are seeing the significant changes in the bedding of the host rock as we approached the 550m target depth, indicating folds associated with a dome. The zones of significant quartz-carbonate veining seen indicates the presence of hydrothermal fluids often associated with mineralisation. Chalcopyrite (copper sulphide), as blebs in the veining and within fractures, and some bleaching/alteration within the drill core is also seen as highly encouraging. Drilling continues.”

Versarien nears administration

Engineering materials group Versarien has appointed Leonard Curtis to conduct an accelerated sale of its remaining assets as part of a fire sale that is likely to leave shareholders with little value, if any.

Versarien has died a long, drawn-out death. But the end of the company is nearing, and shareholders could soon be put out of their misery.

After failing to gain any meaningful traction and racking up debts in the process, Versarien is seeking to sell off core assets to pay off liabilities.

The company is seeking offers by early September for Versarien plc and its stakes in Gnanomat SL and Total Carbide Limited.

The move follows cost-cutting measures including placing Versarien Graphene Limited into administration and liquidating two subsidiaries, extending the cash runway until end-August. Whilst dialogue continues with a strategic investor announced in March, the board warns there’s no certainty either this investment or asset sales will complete in time to avoid administration.

If asset sales proceed, proceeds are likely to fall short of group liabilities, potentially forcing the company to cease trading and enter administration. This would suspend AIM trading and leave shareholders with no expected return.