Ashmore Group AuM falls $8bn as fixed income hit

Emerging markets asset manger Ashmore Group said assets under management fell $8bn to $56bn as of the end September 2022.

Declines in fixed income assets accounted for the majority of the AuM reduction after severe volatility and interest rate risks rocked the asset class. Ashmore has a substantial Fixed income business which makes up the majority of their assets under management.

Of the $8bn fall in AuM, $5bn were net outflows and $3bn was adverse investment performance.

“Global fixed income and equity markets fell over the quarter reflecting continued uncertainty around geopolitical risks, higher inflation and increasingly hawkish central banks,” said Mark Coombs, Chief Executive Officer, Ashmore Group.

“This has increased the risk of recession in many countries and pushed bond yields higher and equity valuations lower in both Developed and Emerging Markets. Investor risk appetite therefore remains limited in the near term and Ashmore’s AuM movement this quarter reflects the impact of lower market levels and investors continuing to reduce risk.”

Mondi sees EBITDA jump as sales volumes rise

Mondi had a successful third quarter judging by the 55% jump in EBITDA continuing operation as volumes and sales price rose.

The paper and packaging maker enjoyed EBITDA of €450m in Q3 2022 compared to €290m Q3 2021 as they more than compensated for rising input cost.

The Corrugated Packaging unit enjoyed higher selling prices but saw volumes dip while Flexible Packaging saw both resilient demand and rising prices.

In the paper business, Uncoated Fine Paper was the stand out performer with higher prices and volumes.

Input cost

Mondi had to navigate rising fuel and wood costs in the quarter but were able to mitigate rising energy cost as most of their European plants produce the required power internally through biomass power generations.

Mondi are continuing with their €1 billion expansion plans, noting a €400 million Czech Republic paper mill set to come online in 2025.

Russia asset are being classified as held for sale as they pursue the sale of Mondi Syktyvkar for around €1.5bn.

“We continue to partner with our customers, helping to lead the way towards a circular economy with our unique portfolio of innovative and sustainable packaging and paper solutions. We also remain focused on operational efficiency and cost control,” said Andrew King, Chief Executive Officer.

“Our ambitious expansionary capital investment programme is progressing well, as we continue to invest in our cost advantaged asset base to capture opportunities in our structurally growing packaging markets, enhance our competitiveness and deliver sustainably into the future.”

FTSE 100 whipsawed by US inflation data and UK government U-turn hopes

The FTSE 100 experienced a whipsawing session on Thursday as a rally sparked by hopes the UK government would U-turn on some of their radical tax cuts was stopped in its tracks by higher than expected US inflation data.

The FTSE 100 sank more than 120 points in minutes after US CPI inflation came in at 8.2% versus expectations of 8.1%. However, the month-on-month 0.6% jump in prices was the major concern for markets.

London’s leading index had staged a strong rally earlier in the session after reports the UK government could be set to U-turn on radical tax cuts that sent a shock waves through markets in September.

U-turn reports – although not officially confirmed and lacking details – are likely the result of mounting pressure on the Prime Minister and Chancellor. There have been calls for them to resign from their own party’s MPs and her administration is persistently lambasted in the media.

Liz Truss had been further humiliated yesterday by a recording of her meeting with the King. King Charles appeared to respond ‘oh dear’ to her arrival at their weekly meeting.

The King aptly summed up the markets, and many UK voters, perception of Liz Truss’s tenure as Prime Minister and a U-turn could be a political move to save her job.

A U-turn on some elements of the mini-budget could trigger a sustained rally in UK assets including the pound and UK equities.

Nonetheless, the reports of a potential U-turn could not contend with US inflation data news and the FTSE 100 was firmly in the red at the time of writing, down 1.3% at 6,734.

US inflation at 8.2% means the Federal Reserve will likely push on with rate hikes in the order 75-100 bps in November and are a long way off pivoting to an easing on policy.

UK banks

A look at the intraday chart of UK banks highlights the volatile nature of the session. Lloyds and Barclays had been up over 6% before the inflation data but sank with the wider market. A roll back of tax cuts by the UK government would boost market confidence in UK assets and help the mortgage market.

However, it was the FTSE 100’s overseas earners that drove sharp declines in the FTSE 100 as the dollar soared.

The cyclical sectors such as miners were the most heavily hit on concerns ongoing adjustments to interest rate hikes would hurt the global economy.

GBP/USD rallies on UK tax cut U-turn hopes

The pound staged a rally on Thursday on hopes the UK government would consider elements of their radical tax cuts announced in the recent mini-budget.

GBP/USD surged over 160 pips to 1.1263 following reports there could well be a U-turn on tax cuts. Recent government comments indicated Liz Truss and Kswasi Kwarteng had dug in on their initial plans but breaking news at lunch time on Thursday suggested they could be set to drop some proposals.

There has been no official confirmation from the UK government so far.

Confidence in the UK government has been destroyed and the Prime Minister is facing a revolt by back bench MPs with some calling for her to quit.

Optimism around a potential U-turn was evident in a broad range of UK assets including domestic-facing equites and bonds.

AIM movers: Scirocco Energy Anaerobic boost and higher loss at Distil

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Scirocco Energy (LON: SCIR) has more than made up for its share price dip earlier in the week following news from 50%-owned Energy Acquisitions Group, which owns an anaerobic digestion plant in Northern Ireland. This generated EBITDA of £602,000 in the year to September 2022, which is after the costs of facility upgrades and the running costs of Energy Acquisitions Group. The cash generated can help to fund further acquisitions. Scirocco Energy is selling its oil and gas interests. The share price jumped 24.3% to 0.23p

Echo Energy (LON: ECHO) shares improved 13.7% to 0.29p, after two-thirds of bondholders voted for the proposed restructuring. If shareholders approve €15m of bonds will be converted into shares at 76.4% premium to yesterday’s closing price.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) is having a good week. It previously announced a sale of a system and today it has won a California Energy Commission project as part of a consortium developing a large solar-plus-storage microgrid. Invinity Energy Systems will provide a 10MWh vanadium flow battery system. Delivery is expected in 2023. There is also a new relationship with US Vanadium, which could lead to a joint venture. The share price is 14.6% higher at 31.5p and it is one of the best performers of the week so far.

Gaming machine hardware and software supplier Quixant (LON: QXT) had a strong third quarter and this has sparked a second 2022 upgrade this year. finnCap has increased forecast revenues from $109.1m to $115.1m, while earnings estimates are one-fifth higher at 11.9 cents a share. This is further confirmation that demand is strengthening now that casinos are back up and running and there is good visibility for the rest of the year. The share price is 7% ahead at 175p.

Data analysis software provider WANdisco (LON: WAND) has generated bookings of $61.2m so far this year with the majority coming in the third quarter. This is already higher than expectations for the full year and there is more to come. There was $26.3m in the bank at the end of September 2022, helped by upfront cash payments on contracts. Losses continue and that cash could be almost used up by the end of 2023. The share price is 4.9% higher at 482.5p.

Spirits supplier Distil (LON: DIS) has changed its model to direct selling the major UK customers and using distributors for the rest. This resulted in a sharply increased loss in the six months to September 2022. Alex Baker has joined as commercial director, having been with the previous distributor. Net cash is £950,000. Any profit generated in the second half will not be enough to cover the interim loss. The share price slumped 19.1% to 0.85p.

Georgia-based oil and gas producer Block Energy (LON: BLOE) shares fell 13.5% to 1.925p a share after its third quarter figures. Third quarter production and revenues were lower than the same period last year, partly due to maintenance stoppages and lack of power supply. There is $1.1m in the bank

Artemis Resources (LON: ARV) has announced a new resource for the Greater Carlow project in Western Australia. Even so, the share price fell 9.48% to 2.625p. There are 704,000 ounces of gold equivalent (gold, copper and cobalt) at an average grade of 2.5g/t. This is a significant improvement on previous resource estimates. The gold grade increases at depth. There is further potential for increasing the resource.  

Anglo Asian Mining (LON: AAZ) produced 43,081 gold equivalent ounces in the first nine months of 2022, down from 48,487 ounces in the same period last year. Full year production should be between 54,000 and 58,000 ounces. After paying the final dividend there was still cash of $15.3m. The 3.559p a share interim dividend will be paid on 3 November. The share price fell 3.76% to 64p.

Ex-dividends

Caledonia Mining Corporation (LON: CMCL) is paying a dividend of 14 cents a share and the share price is 15p lower at 910p.

Cenkos Securities (LON: CNKS) is paying an interim dividend of 1p a share and the share price is unchanged at 45p.

Crestchic (LON: LOAD) is paying an interim dividend of 1.33p a share and the share price fell 10p to 255p.

Facilities by ADF (LON: ADF) is paying an interim dividend of 0.46p a share and the share price is 0.5p lower at 42.75p.

i3 Energy (LON: I3E) is paying a dividend of 0.14p a share and the share price has fallen 0.425p to 23.725p.

Inspired Energy (LON: INSE) is paying an interim dividend of 0.13p a share and the share price is unchanged at 11.15p.

MP Evans (LON: MPE) is paying an interim dividend of 12.5p a share and the share price is 27p down at 823p.

CleanTech Lithium shares jump as Direct Lithium Extraction testing begins

CleanTech Lithium shares surged on Thursday as the lithium explorer announced the commencement of lithium brine testing with SunResin.

CleanTech Lithium are developing the Chilean Laguna Verde and Francisco Basin lithium brine assets and are planning production in 2024.

Crucial to achieving production is the finalisation of their Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) activities and today’s announcement signals an expansion of their efforts to evaluate their processes.

Bulk samples of brine from the sub-surface aquifers of Laguna Verde and Francisco Basin have been sent to SunResin’s facilities in China for testing.

The DLE testing with SunResin will from input data for CleanTech’s feasibility studies. Assuming early tests are successful, SunResin has proposed a pilot project to produce 1 tonne per month of battery grade lithium commencing H1 2023. The plant would be located in Maricunga, 50km away from Laguna Verde.

In addition to the SunResin testing in Chile, a small demo unit is being sent to Chile which has a feed rate of 20l/second. The purpose of this is to produce a small amount of lithium to provide to potential customers.

CleanTech had previously produced 1kg of battery grade lithium in early testing at a Beyond Lithium facility.

“We are delighted to move forward our process test-work with SunResin on multiple fronts including trials on brine from the sub-surface aquifers of our Laguna Verde and Francisco Basin projects, ordering of a DLE demo unit which will arrive in Chile this month and receiving a proposal for the DLE unit for a pilot plant that will produce battery grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide for customer testing and verification,“ said Aldo Boitano, Chief Executive Officer, of Cleantech Lithium PLC.

CleanTech Lithium shares jumped 4% to 55.9p on the news and are now up 34% over the past week.

easyjet destined for full year loss as operational costs bite

easyjet’s woes were well-documented this summer as supply chain and staffing issues led to a large number of cancellations. This disruption was evident in easyjet’s 2022 full year trading update in which the budget airliner said they would record a headline loss before tax of between £170 million and £190 million.

easyjet attributed £75 million of costs to the disruptions throughout the summer.

The disruptions came as easyjet and other airlines ramped up capacity as holiday makers returned after the pandemic amid supply chain issues causing cancellations.

easyjet’s Q4 2022 capacity was 88% of pre-pandemic 2019 numbers.

“Profits are still delayed at easyJet, with full year pre-tax losses expected to be as high as £190m. A large chunk of extra costs stemmed from the industry-wide disruption experienced in the third quarter, with well-publicised flight cancellations and short staffing leading to a real drag on resources at the time easyJet needed it least,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

Looking forward, easyJet are still way of pre-pandemic numbers and capacity actually fell in Q1 2023.

easyjet’s Q1 2023 capacity is up 30% year-on-year to around 20m seats. This, however, is only 83% of the capacity recorded in 2019, before the pandemic.

Analysts also pointed to the cost of living crisis as a head wind for easyJet.

“The combination of a higher cost of living and ongoing labor shortages are creating a more cautious environment around capacity and longer-term demand for the European low cost carrier segment,” said Peter McNally, Global Sector Lead for Industrials, Metals & Energy at Third Bridge.

easyjet addressed operational problems with management action but both investors and passengers want to see this in action in the busy summer period before confidence is restored.

“Operations have significantly improved as a result of management actions to mitigate the disruption that the whole airline ecosystem experienced through Q3,” said Johan Lundgren, CEO of easyJet.

Tekcapital’s MicroSalt announces significant partnership with ready meals producer Presty

Tekcapital’s portfolio company MicroSalt announced a partnership with ready meal provider Presty on Thursday and marked another another step in the roll-out of their low-sodium salt products.

The partnership will yield a significant product offering in the low-sodium ready meal market and see MicroSalt’s products reach more end customers.

Presty produces their healthy and diverse range of ready meals from a facility in France specifically for the US market’s taste.

The partnership is eyeing a global ready meals which was valued at US$138 billion in 2021, and is expected to reach $408 billion by 2031.

“We are proud to work with Presty! Foods in their efforts to offer low-sodium solutions to their customer base. We view Presty as a thought leader in offering lower sodium as an active option in its ingredient listing. Excess sodium consumption is a leading contributor to hypertension and cardiovascular disease, and partnerships like this are the best way to make a difference in our efforts to address the sodium crisis,” said Rick Guiney, CEO of MicroSalt®.

Founded in 2018, MicroSalt is 97% owned by Tekcapital. Having floated already their portfolio companies Belluscura and Lucyd, Tekcapital CEO Dr Clifford Gross alluded to a potential MicroSalt IPO in early 2023 in a recent Podcast with Kemeny Capital.

Tekcapital shares rose following the release on Thursday.

New standard listing: ACG Acquisition seeks mining assets

Standard list shell ACG Acquisition Company Ltd is seeking a large acquisition in the metals and mining sector that could be valued at up to $2bn. There are a limited number of opportunities that have the attributes that the company is seeking.
Projects with metals involved in the production of electric vehicles and batteries are likely to be the main targets. There are limited suitable large targets.
The conversion of B shares into A shares and exercising warrants would significantly dilute the current A share capital.
The share price opened at $9.95 and ended the day at $9.875 ($9.80/$9.95) ...

OTAQ set for Aquis move

OTAQ (LON: OTAQ) is raising cash and moving from the standard list to the Access segment of the Aquis Stock Exchange.

OTAQ has raised £2m via a placing at 4p a share, while a four-for-five open offer could raise up to £1.2m. The open offer closes on 28 October. There is also a broker option that could raise up to £400,000 if there is enough demand.

In order to raise the cash, the nominal value of the shares is being reduced from 15p to 1p. Every four new shares taken up will come with a warrant exercisable at 12p.

The fundraising is dependent on shareholders agreeing the move to Aquis, which is planned for 9 November.  

OTAQ was formed after a reversal of the business into shell Hertsford Capital and joined the standard list in March 2020. The placing price at the time was 57.5p. Last December, a placing raised £1.38m at 22p a share. The share price slumped from 9.5p to 4.25p after the latest announcement.

The company dates back to 2005 and has developed products used in the aquaculture, geotracking and offshore sectors.

Previously the core product range was acoustic deterrent devices for the fishing sector under the Sealfence brand, but the business is being refocused. Regulation in Scotland has effectively closed that market to the technology and there could be regulatory changes in Chile.

In aquaculture, OTAQ has developed sonar technology that scans shrimps, live plankton analysis systems and water quality monitoring software.

The geotracking operations have developed a rail personnel and asset safety and sports trackers. Offshore products include the Oceansense leak detection system and a range of newer marine products. OTAQ expects to make a positive interim EBITDA compared to a loss in the corresponding period last year. Management is hopeful it will win additional orders in the second half and that new products will help sales next year.