Dollar sinks after dismal Non Farm Payrolls, GBP/USD jumps

The dollar sank against other major currencies on Friday after Non-Farm Payrolls missed expectations.

Dollar weakness was exacerbated by dramatic revisions down in prior months’ readings that culminated in the US economy adding just over 100,000 jobs over a 3-month period.

The headline jobs reading for July came in at 73,000 jobs added, falling way short of analysts’ estimates of 104,000.

However, the real shock for markets came in the form of revisions to prior months’ numbers. Over 250,000 jobs were slashed from initial forecasts, which painted a very dim picture of the US economy.

The dollar sank in the immediate reaction to the news, with USD/JPY breaking back beneath 149.00 and EUR/USD rallying through 1.1550.

GBP/USD surged on Friday, breaking a downtrend that was starting to look like a one-way train. Gold jumped over 1.5% on dollar weakness and was back trading comfortably above $3,350 per oz.

Jerome Powell’s hawkish press conference on Wednesday is starting to seem like a long time ago. Having effectively ruled out a September rate cut less than 48 hours ago, the US economy is now screaming out for intervention.

AIM movers: Invinity Energy order and grant win and Amcomri acquisition

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Early buying of shares in oil and gas investor Westmount Energy (LON: WTE) pushed up the share price to around 0.9p. It is currently 52.4% higher at 0.8p.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has confirmed a 10.8MWh order for a ENDURIUM flow battery for a project in Hungary and planning permission has been approved for the 20.7MWh LoDES project in the UK. LoDES will be given a £10m grant and the flow batteries should be delivered by the end of 2025. The share price increased 4.82% to 21.75p.

Aura Energy (LON: AURA) has secured a long-term offtake agreement for uranium oxide concentrate from the Tiris project in Mauritania. The buyer is a US-based nuclear utility, and the agreement represents 10% of potential production. The price is well above forecast cost of production. The deal is dependent on securing finance and making a final investment decision by the end of 2025. There is also a spot sales agreement with a global uranium trading group. The share price rose 3.45% to 7.5p.

88 Energy (LON: 88E) set up a small holding share facility for shareholders with a stake worth less than A$500, The company’s broker will start to sell the 46.1 million shares in the facility. The proceeds will be forwarded to participating shareholders. The facility was not available to UK investors. The share price improved 2.22% to 1.15p.

Orosur Mining Inc (LON: OMI) says Newmont Mining has sold its 9.4% shareholding at C$0.19/share. It was bought by institutional shareholders. The share price edged up 1.18% to 10.75p.

FALLERS

Pentland Capital’s stake in Thruvision (LON: THRU) has reduced from 15.5% to 12.9%. Schroders stake has dipped from 16.4% to 15.9%. The share price slipped 5.56% to 1.7p.

Brandon Largent has replaced David Cocke as interim finance director of regenerative medical devices company Tissue Regenix (LON: TRX). The share price fell 2.82% to 34.5p.

Amcomri Group (LON: AMCO) has completed the acquisition of Randor Technologies, which is an Ireland-based industrial electronic repair and reverse engineering services provider. The initial payment is €2m, with up to €1.5m deferred. The main sectors covered are rail, medical, computing and power electronics and the company fits well with existing group embedded engineering businesses. In the year to February 2025, pre-tax profit was €730,000. The 2026 Amcomri earnings forecast has been raised from 6.9p/share to 7.3p/share. The share price declined 1.12% to 132.5p.

FTSE 100 hit by tariffs and poor US tech earnings

The FTSE 100 declined on Friday as concerns about tariffs and poor US tech earnings cast a shadow over European equities.

London’s flagship index was down 0.4% at the time of writing and looked set to close the week out in the red.

“Equity markets were flashing red as Trump’s tariff regime hits another milestone,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Investors have been caught off guard, having previously hoped Trump would kick the new tariff levels down the road pending further negotiations with foreign trade partners. Instead, we’ve got new rates galore and that means investors need to spend time understanding what that means for companies in their portfolio.

“The fact Trump hasn’t chickened out and pushed back the 1 August deadline to 1 September has soured the tone on the markets. Europe and Asia were in a grumpy mood and futures prices imply Wall Street will follow suit later today.”

US tech stocks also played a part in equity declines on Friday. In sharp contrast to yesterday, when Meta helped lift the global equity universe, Amazon’s poor outlook for the rest of the year weighed on already dented sentiment and dragged European indices lower.

“Amazon delivered across the board – but the spotlight was firmly on AWS, and it didn’t quite shine as brightly as expected,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“While Microsoft and Alphabet have already shown strong momentum in cloud growth, AWS wasn’t the knockout many wanted to see, highlighting just how tightly investor sentiment is tied to the AI narrative right now. The focus is squarely on Amazon’s cloud business.”

Amazon shares were down 7.5% in the premarket and were set to wipe off a significant number of points from the US indices as cash trading gets underway.

In the UK, Melrose was the FTSE 100’s top riser after reporting a 29% jump in operating profit. The company was one of the most heavily hit FTSE 100 constituents by Trump’s tariffs, so investors will be delighted to see strong underlying performance and a confident outlook. Melrose shares were 6% higher at the time of writing.

IAG was among the losers despite hitting the highest levels since the pandemic earlier in the session after releasing arguably strong results for the first half.

All eyes will be on Non-Farm Payrolls today for further insight into the health of the US economy.

A differentiated approach to UK equity income with Shires Income’s Iain Pyle

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Iain Pyle, Fund Manager at Shires Income, for a comprehensive discussion about the investment trust that currently provides investors with a 5.3% yield.

This is a podcast for UK equity enthusiasts.

We start by exploring the Shires Income approach to achieving a market-beating yield for investors, touching on the portfolio’s composition and key objectives.

Find out more about Shires Income here.

Shires Income is one of the few UK equity income trusts to trade at a premium recently – we ask Iain what he believes the driving factor behind this is.

Iain naturally moves on to the trust’s screening and the types of stocks the managers seek out for inclusion in the portfolio. We discuss balancing an attractive yield with growth and the key attributes Shires require in their portfolio companies.

Shires Income has a notable weighting to fixed income assets, such as preference shares, and we dedicate a segment to the benefits of holding these assets.

Iain provides a deeply insightful breakdown of a selection of Shire’s portfolio companies, really lifting the lid on their investment thesis and what the team likes about the companies.

Companies covered include Greggs, NatWest, Morgan Sindall and Midwich.

Iain finishes by outlining what excites him the most about the year ahead.

IAG reports strong revenue growth and margin expansion in first half of 2025

International Airlines Group (IAG) delivered strong financial performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue climbing 8.0% to €15.9 billion as the airline group capitalised on continued robust travel demand.

Operating profit before exceptional items surged 43.5% to €1.88 billion for the six-month period, while second-quarter operating profit jumped 35.4% to €1.68 billion. The company’s operating margin expanded by 2.9 percentage points to 11.8%, reflecting benefits from its ongoing transformation program.

“Our strong performance in the first half of 2025 reflects the resilience of demand for travel and the success of our ongoing transformation,” said Chief Executive Luis Gallego. He noted the company continues to benefit from “the trend of a structural shift in consumer spending towards travel.”

The airline group announced €1.5 billion in cash returns to shareholders for 2025 through dividends and share buybacks. IAG’s balance sheet remained strong with significant free cash flow generation, providing a major positive for investors.

Looking ahead, Gallego expressed confidence that the company will “deliver good earnings growth and margin progression for the full year.” As of July 29, IAG was 57% booked for the second half with booked revenue in line with the previous year.

The company reported robust demand across its core North Atlantic, Latin America and European markets, though noted “some softness in US point-of-sale economy leisure” that was being offset by strength in premium cabins.

“The airline industry has historically been a difficult place to make money, but IAG is a cut above most of the competition. IAG’s performance continued its skyward trajectory, with profits rising at high double-digit rates over the first half,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Its largest airline, British Airways, accounts for around 45% of the group’s operating profits and is benefitting from favourable supply and demand dynamics. With a large presence in a constrained London market, British Airways has strong pricing power and looks well-positioned to keep benefiting more than anyone from these dynamics. The group also has exposure to the booming Madrid-Latin America route through its second-largest airline, Iberia. Overall, performance across its airlines has been impressive, and with both fuel and day-to-day costs now forecast to come in below previous guidance, profits look set to continue moving higher.”

IAG shares rose more than 2% on Friday in early trade and are more than 140% higher over the past two years.

UK house prices rebound in July – Nationwide

The UK property market is showing clear signs of a rebound after what appears to have been a blip in the longer-term growth trend.

The annual house price growth picked up in July, rising from 2.1% in June to 2.4% in July, while monthly prices increased by a solid 0.6% – a notable turnaround from the 0.9% decline recorded in June.

This return to positive momentum has pushed the average house price to £272,664, representing a monthly increase of over £1,000.

“July saw a modest pick-up in the rate of annual house price growth to 2.4%, from 2.1% in June. Prices increased by 0.6% month on month, after taking account of seasonal effects,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s Chief Economist.

“Looking through the volatility generated by the end of the stamp duty holiday, activity appears to be holding up well. Indeed, 64,200 mortgages for house purchase were approved in June, broadly in line with the pre-pandemic average, despite the changed interest rate environment.”

Particularly encouraging for potential homebuyers is that despite this price recovery, the UK house price-to-earnings ratio remains at approximately 5.75 – its lowest level in over a decade – suggesting that homes remain relatively affordable by historical standards even as the market begins to strengthen again.

Figma shares jump over 200% in bumper US debut

Shares in AI-powered design tool Figma soared over 200% in its US debut as investors scrambled to get a piece of one of the most highly anticipated tech IPOs of the last two years.

Figma raised $1.2bn at an IPO price of $33 before the stock rocketed over 200% higher to close at $117, valuing the company at more than $60bn.

Adobe had previously tried to buy Figma for $20bn but was blocked by regulators.

Founded in 2012 with the mission to “eliminate the gap between imagination and reality,” Figma provides online design services for websites, apps, and digital products.

It allows designers, developers, and teams to collaborate in real time on the same file, making it easy to design, prototype, give feedback, and hand off work for development.

The company is profitable, having recorded $44.9m in the first quarter of the year on revenues of $228m. Having generated $749m in revenue in 2024, Figma is clearly still enjoying rapid growth.

Figma has been reported to have over 1,000 clients paying the company more than $100,000 a year, demonstrating Figma’s deep integration into the workflows of some of the world’s biggest tech and design firms.

LV’s investment strategy, Nvidia, and gold with CIO Adam Ruddle

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Adam Ruddle, Chief Investment Officer of LV Group (Liverpool Victoria), to the podcast to delve into the group’s investment strategy and where it sees opportunities for its portfolios.

This comprehensive discussion explores the current landscape for LV, covering everything from asset allocation strategies to geographic positioning in today’s market environment.

The conversation begins with an overview of what investors can expect from LV portfolios in the current climate. The discussion then delves into the balancing act between fixed income and equities, particularly relevant as stock markets hover near all-time highs.

A significant portion addresses recent market turbulence. Specifically, the conversation covers tactical responses to Trump tariff-related volatility and the practical steps taken to navigate this uncertainty. The geographic focus shifts to the UK market, examining current exposure levels, assets under management allocation, and future development prospects in this key region.

Global positioning takes centre stage as the discussion reveals current over- and underweight positions across different geographies.

We discuss specific investment vehicles. Individual picks such as gold and Nvidia are analysed, providing concrete examples of how broader strategy translates into actual portfolio construction and security selection.

Adam finishes with a forward-looking perspective on the year ahead. Key opportunities are identified and assessed, offering listeners actionable insights into where the most promising prospects may emerge in the coming months.

Find out more about LV here.

AIM movers: New bid for Empesaria and ex-dividends

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Legacy UK Holdings has made an indicative offer of 62p/share for staffing firm Empresaria (LON: EMR), which follows two major shareholders encouraging the company to seek potential offers. The Planmatics consortium is not going ahead with the cash and loan notes offer of 60p/share, which it blames on a lack of due diligence materials. The share price jumped 76% to 44p.

Nativo Resources (LON: NTVO) has gained approval from the noteholders for the proposed restructuring. The notes will not be convertible until January 2032 unless the market capitalisation exceeds £35m. This means that the company is no longer in technical default. The share price recovered 45.5% to 0.4p.

Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in security technology provider Thruvision (LON: THRU) from 3.17% to 6.8% and Nicholas Slater has a 3.23% shareholding. This follows the recent capital raising. Allenby has been appointed as nominated adviser and broker. The share price improved 22.8% to 1.75p.

Diagnostic tests developer Abingdon Health (LON: ABDX) has won a new contract worth $2.5m. It is for a companion diagnostic test and covers feasibility to scale-up and manufacturing. The share price increased 8% to 6.75p.

Water and environmental testing company Metir (LON: MET) generated revenues of £931,000 in the six months to June 2025, compared with an adjusted £112,000. That includes £386,000 from a project in Qatar. Cash is £586,000. This provides the ability to invest in expanding the business. There will be second half revenues from the Sulphate Reducing Bacteria kits. The share price rose 6.9% to 0.775p.

Wine retailer Virgin Wines (LON: VINO) says full year revenues were flat at £59m, although this was slightly lower than expected. The commercial division sales were 24% higher, indicating that the new strategy is beginning to work. Consumer customer churn is reducing. Net cash was better than expected at £9.3m. The share price is 5.98% higher at 62p.

FALLERS

Digital mental health products developer Cambridge Cognition (LON: COG) has experienced delays in signing contracts and them generating revenues. Interim revenues fell 23% to £4.3m and full year guidance has been cut from £12.5m to £9.5m-£10m. This means that the full year loss would increase from £700,000 to £900,000. The share price slumped 23.1% to 25p.

Atlantic Lithium (LON: ALL) is progressing discussions for the mining lease of the Ewoyaa lithium project in Ghana. Cost savings will be made to focus on this project. Cash was A$5.4m at the end of June 2025. The share price slipped 6.63% to 7.89p.

Allergy Therapeutics (LON: AGY) has published three papers in the journal Allergy that improve the evidence for its Grass MATA MPL allergen immunotherapy. In one study the treatment was shown to be effective and well-tolerated. The share price declined 6.25% to 7.875p.

Wine maker Chapel Down (LON: CDGP) increased net sales revenues by 11% to £7.9m in the six months to June 2025. There was strong off-trade growth. Net debt increased to £11.3m. This is due to new plantings that will become productive over the next two years and an increase in inventory following the 2024 harvest. The level of the 2025 harvest should be known by October. Former ICAP boss and major shareholder in Chapel Down Michael Spencer will take over as chair in September. The share price fell 3.37% to 43p.

Ex-dividends

CML Microsystems (LON: CML) is paying a final dividend of 6p/share and the share price is unchanged at 308p.

James Latham (LON: LTHM) is paying a final dividend of 27.3p/share and the share price decreased 15p to 1165p.

Volex (LON: VLX) is paying a final dividend of 3p/share and the share price fell 6.25p to 373.75p.

FTSE 100 gains as US tech earnings boost sentiment, Rolls-Royce soars

The FTSE 100 was firmly on the front foot as earnings on both sides of the pond fired up investor sentiment and offset any disappointment around the Fed chair’s hawkish tone on interest rates.

London’s leading index was trading 0.3% higher at 9,169 at the time of writing.

“Stellar results from Microsoft and Meta have fired up investors, quickly shifting the focus from US interest rates potentially staying higher for longer, to an environment where big tech is ruling the roost again,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The probability of a US rate cut in September has fallen since the Fed’s rate decision on Wednesday, with the market now pricing in a 57% chance of rates staying level versus 35% a day ago. Normally, such a shift would be negative for investors who typically prefer rates to be trending lower. However, the big tech reporting season has got everyone excited about mega profits and tremendous earnings growth.”

US stocks sank in the close overnight, but futures rebounded sharply as Meta and Microsoft earnings broke after the bell.

In addition to strong earnings releases from US tech, UK investors were treated to a plethora of upbeat results from FTSE 100 stocks.

Rolls-Royce was the FTSE 100’s top riser after raising its profit guidance for the year following a 50% increase in operating profit in the first half.

“Rolls-Royce continues to soar above expectations, delivering yet another set of high-flying results and profit guidance upgrades. The group produces aeroplane engines for larger, long-haul planes. Revenues are being boosted by the upward trend in engine-flying hours, which are now cruising well above pre-pandemic levels,” explained Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Rentokil Initial shares soared 9% after the pest control group maintained guidance as its US business surprised investors with rare positivity.

“Having fallen from around the 600p level two years ago, they have been trading around the 350p level in recent weeks, so Rentokil Investors could have been forgiven for feeling like the rats were getting the better treatment,” Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown said.

“Today’s news that there are signs of improvement in trading at the Group’s key US Pest division was enough to rally spirits, with investors pushing the stock as much as 12% higher.”

Shell was also among the risers on the news that it would commence a fresh $3.5bn share buyback as cash generation remained robust despite lower oil prices.

Mark Crouch, market analyst for eToro, noted that “Shell delivered results that, while down on last year’s bumper profits, comfortably exceeded analyst expectations. In a weaker oil price environment, the group’s performance has been notably resilient, drawing favourable comparison with US peers rather than its more volatile UK counterpart, BP.”

Shell shares were 2% higher at the time of writing.

Amid the furore surrounding Powell’s press conference and US tech earnings releases, Trump announced that refined metals would be exempt from tariffs, sending metals futures sharply lower.

Lower metals prices translated into a weaker session for the miners as copper pure play Antofagasta tumbled 5%. Glencore, Anglo American, and Rio Tinto were all lower by more than 4%.

The FTSE 100 would likely have broken through 9,200 today if the copper tariff hadn’t been announced overnight.