FTSE 100 jumps on interest rate hopes 

The FTSE 100 was firmly on the front foot on Wednesday as traders digested a softer-than-expected UK inflation reading that pointed to further interest rate cuts by the BoE before the end of the year.

London’s leading index was trading at 0.9% higher at the time of writing.

UK CPI came in below the psychologically key 4% level, and although the 3.8% reading is far above the Bank’s target rate of 2%, it was lower than expected, and markets appear to deem it acceptable to cut rates. Interest rate futures quickly priced in additional rate cuts later this year.

“A lower-than-expected reading of UK inflation makes a near-term cut to interest rates more likely and this boosted housebuilders,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould

“It also led to weakness in the pound which is typically good news for the FTSE 100 because it increases the relative value of the overseas earnings which dominate the index.”

Persimmon, Barratt Developments and Berkeley Group rose between 2%-3%.

Barclays was the top FTSE 100 riser after the bank released an encouraging set of Q3 results and announced a fresh £500m share buyback. The bank did reveal a higher provision for the motor finance scandal, but it was far lower than that of its peers.

“If investors were looking for some reassurance after a tricky little spell for the banking sector then Barclays has provided it,” Russ Mould explained.

“Barclays was caught up in market concerns about the US private credit situation last week, with the company having some direct exposure to the collapse of sub-prime auto lender and car retailer Tricolor. It also has the broadest US exposure among its London-listed peers.”

Barclays shares were over 4% higher at the time of writing.

Reckitt Benckiser was another FTSE 100 group to report on Wednesday, and its shares received a strong reaction in early trade. However, gains quickly turned to losses despite their reporting surprisingly strong third-quarter sales growth, which will go a long way toward squashing fears of stagnation. 

“Core like-for-like sales growth of 6.7% was well ahead of market forecasts, with the beat driven by impressive growth in emerging markets,” explained Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The group’s portfolio has been streamlined in recent years, but there’s something to be said for focusing on strong brands, with household names like Dettol, Durex, and Vanish all continuing to impress.

“The only slight disappointment was that full-year guidance wasn’t raised, but with such a strong start to the second half, full-year targets look well within reach.”


AIM movers: Greenroc Strategic funding and Polarean Imaging considers leaving AIM

2

Greenroc Strategic Materials (LON: GROC) has secured a €5.2m secured loan facility to finance work at the Amitsoq graphite mine in south Greenland and the establishment of a European pilot plant to produce active anode material. The loan can be drawn down over the first two years and has a maturity of five year. The lender can choose to take shares at a 20% discount to the market price when the loan matures. The share price increased 14.6% to 2.75p.

An interim trading update from market research services provider System1 Group (LON: SYS1) says interim revenues were 7% lower at £17.1m, but it is winning new clients. Existing clients are being retained but they are spending less. The share price recovered 11.1% to 240p.

Molecular diagnostics company Novacyt (LON: NCYT) expects second half revenues to be slightly higher than those in the first half and the full year loss will be lower than in 2024. The long-term strategy is to generate double digit annual growth in revenues and keep gross margin above 60%. New product launches will help. The share price rose 10.9% to 43.15p.

Advanced coatings provider Hardide (LON: HDD) had a strong fourth quarter that enabled its to move into profit. In the year to September 2025, revenues rose by around one-quarter to £6m, which is higher than forecast. Aerospace revenues are building up. Cavendish expects the pre-tax profit to improve from £100,000 this year to £700,000 this year. There is spare capacity to grow into. The share price is 8.11% higher at 8p.

Shares in Trellus Health (LON: TRLS) rebounded 7.69% to 0.7p after it signed a contract with a leading global contract research organisation (CRO), although it will not immediately extend the company’s cash beyond December. This was mentioned in yesterday’s trading statement. The 12 month contract will support recruitment and enrolment for an ongoing clinical trial in immunology and inflammation. The contract will start later this year. Trellus Health has also been granted preferred vendor status with another CRO. Additional funding is still required.

Wines retailer Virgin Wines (LON: VINO) reported full year figures in line with expectations and the increased spending on marketing is showing signs of paying off. Revenues were flat at £59m and the pe-tax profit declined from £1.7m to £1.6m. However, customer retention is improving and there was a 29% increase in customer acquisition in the first quarter as the marketing spending starts to pay off. Commercial and Warehouse Wines sales are growing strongly. The additional investment in growing the business means that Virgin Wines will fall into loss on higher revenues this year before returning to profit next year. The share price improved 5.53% to 51.5p.

FALLERS

Lung imaging technology developer Polarean Imaging (LON: POLX) is undertaking a strategic review of the business. This includes whether to stay on AIM, where liquidity has been poor. The cost base is also being assessed. Leaving AIM could help to reduce costs and could make it easier to generate additional funding. The share price dived 46.3% to 0.215p.

Oxford BioDynamics (LON: OBD) is raising £7m at 0.3p/share. The clinical diagnostics company will use the cash for working capital as test sales build up and it seeks licencing and distribution agreements. The share price fell 37% to 0.315p.

Shares in Trafalgar Property Group (LON: TRAF) returned from suspension down 14.3% to 0.015p after it published accounts for the year to March 2025.

Budget tax changes could wipe £4bn off FTSE, warns IG

The UK stock market could lose billions in value if the Chancellor makes even modest changes to key retail investor taxes, new analysis from IG suggests.

Research by the trading platform found that a two percentage point rise in dividend and capital gains tax could knock £4bn off the FTSE.

For a government that says it wants to help promote the UK stock market, pushing ahead with rumoured changes seems counterproductive.

The analysis, published as part of IG’s ‘Hands off our investments’ campaign, combines established economic research on tax-equity value relationships with Office for National Statistics investor ownership data.

Currently, investors receive a £500 tax-free dividend allowance before paying rates of 8.75%, 33.75%, or 39.35% depending on their income bracket. Capital gains tax stands at a £3,000 annual exemption, then 18% for basic rate taxpayers and 24% for higher earners.

The platform’s modelling also examined changes to pension tax. Cutting the tax-free lump sum from £268,000 to £50,000 could reduce annual pension contributions by around £800m, the research found. This is money that may be destined for London-listed shares.

Even a smaller reduction to £100,000 would trigger a £300m fall in contributions, based on Institute for Fiscal Studies estimates of how savers respond to tax incentives.

IG is calling on the government to freeze all three policies ahead of next month’s Autumn Budget. The company argues that raising these taxes—often viewed as easy revenue targets—risks undermining efforts to encourage wider share ownership.

The Chancellor has yet to comment on potential tax changes.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

“The government has been clear about its ambition to shift the UK away from a savings-first mindset and encourage more Brits to invest, supporting the stock market and growing their wealth,” said Michael Healy, UK Managing Director at IG.

“That goal would be seriously undermined if any of the tax areas we’ve highlighted are targeted in next month’s Autumn Budget.

“If we want to build a nation of investors, we cannot make it less attractive to invest – whether that’s in an ISA, outside of an ISA, or in a pension. We’re asking the government to keep their hands off our investments: no raids on pensions, no hikes to dividend tax, and no increase to capital gains tax. Britain needs long-term investors, not short-term tax grabs.”

Barclays shares jump as investors cheer £500m buyback

Barclays shares rose on Wednesday after the bank announced Q3 results and surprised investors with a £500m share buyback.

Barclays delivered solid performance in Q3 2025, with group profit before tax of £2.1bn and a RoTE of 10.6%, down from 12.3% in Q3 2024. 

Such has been the strength of RoTE year to date that the group upgraded its outlook for the year. 

All divisions achieved double-digit RoTE during the quarter. 

Group income rose 9% year-on-year to £7.2bn, with net interest income outside the Investment Bank and Head Office increasing 16% to £3.3bn, demonstrating strong underlying momentum across the retail and commercial banking businesses.

This was a period when all divisions performed well. No area produced blowout results, but in combination, there was a lot to like.

Barclays UK posted a 16% increase driven by structural hedge income and the Tesco Bank acquisition, whilst the UK Corporate Bank grew revenues by 17% on higher deposit and lending balances. 

The Investment Bank delivered 8% growth, driven by gains across Global Markets and Investment Banking, supported by stable income streams. 

The US Consumer Bank saw the strongest performance with 19% income growth, reflecting repricing initiatives.

Although Barclays isn’t one of the most exposed to the motor finance scandal, it is impacted through its Clydesdale subsidiary and was forced to increase provisions by £235m after recent developments.

But the motor finance update wasn’t enough to dampen the mood around a £500m share buyback. 

“Barclays’ latest results show a bank quietly outperforming despite headline noise,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The extra charge tied to motor finance grabbed attention, but investors had largely priced that in already with shares underperforming in recent weeks. Strip out that provision and profits were 13% ahead of expectations, helped by revenue growth that beat forecasts by 2%, driven mainly by strong US card spending. 

“Guidance was lifted – though mostly to match consensus – and a fresh £500 million buyback underlines confidence in the bank’s capital strength. Investment banking edged past estimates but lacked the big gains seen at US rivals, leaving Barclays leaning on its diversified model to deliver steady progress without any major fireworks.”

Barclays shares were 3% higher at the time of writing.

FTSE 100 carves out minor gains as optimism returns

The FTSE 100 rose again on Tuesday as a weaker pound helped support the index following a strong session for US stocks amid hopes of progress in US/China trade talks and positive earnings.

London’s flagship index was 0.4% higher at the time of writing.

“It’s hard to imagine that markets were in panic mode only four days ago,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. “It’s like all the troubles faded away over the weekend, and investors are back in risk-on mode.

“Wall Street enjoyed a particularly strong session on Monday, and that optimism has extended to Asia and Europe on Tuesday. The focus is now on US interest rate cuts, the new corporate reporting season, and US/China trade talks.

Segro was the FTSE 100’s top riser after the group announced a promising uptick in rental agreements and a growing pipeline of data centre business. 

Segro’s latest update shows an encouraging rebound in momentum across its logistics and industrial portfolio. £22 million of new rent signings in the quarter and a 37% uplift on rent reviews underline resilient tenant demand despite a still challenging rate backdrop,” explained Adam Vettese, market analyst for eToro.

“Its data centre strategy is emerging as a powerful growth driver, with new pre lets helping deliver the most productive quarter of development since early 2024 and capacity expansion in key markets like London.”

Segro shares were 3% higher at the time of writing, with the group emerging as one of the FTSE 100’s most direct ways of playing the AI story.

Unilever shares slipped marginally on news that the spinout of its Magnum has been delayed due to the US government shutdown.

“Unilever is in the process of demerging its ice cream division, now known as The Magnum Ice Cream Company, onto the US stock market. But the deal has hit a snag, in the form of the US Government shutdown,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“With federal employees laid off until Congress agrees a new funding deal, there’s simply no-one available to approve the paperwork, putting the demerger on hold. With neither the White House nor the opposing Democrats seemingly prepared to give ground on spending, Magnum’s stock-market debut is stalled for now.”

Unilever shares were down around 1% at the time of writing.

Bunzl shares slipped 2% after announcing a steady, yet fairly uninspiring, Q3 performance. 

Miners were the biggest drag on the index on a sector basis as both diversified and precious metals miners fell. However, it was the precious metals that were the most heavily hit as the gold price continued to pull back from its record run. 

“Gold edged lower on Tuesday as investors took profits following recent record highs, while signs that the US government shutdown could be resolved this week could add to the selling pressure,” said Joseph Dahrieh, Managing Principal at Tickmill.

Fresnillo lost over 4% and was the biggest faller, and gold-focused miner Endeavour gave up 3%. 

AIM movers: Maiden mineral resource estimate for Oriole Resources and Wellnex Life boss leaving

17

More good news from modular housing company Eco Buildings Group (LON: ECOB), which has secured a contract worth €420m over seven years to supply 20,000 homes in Chile. The first 607 homes have been funded with a 50% deposit of £12.75m. It has taken more than two years to go through the approval process in Chile and win the order. The share price jumped 78% to 22.7p, which is 249% higher over five days. This is the highest it has been for two years.

Oriole Resources (LON: ORR) has published a maiden JORC mineral resource estimate (MRE) for the MB01-S zone at 90%-owned Mbe gold project in Cameroon. The pit constrained inferred MRE for MB01-S of 24.8Mt at 1.09g/t for 870,000 contained gold. This exceeded the range of the earlier target. The target for the undrilled MB01-N zone to thee northeast of MB01-S for between 370,000 ounces to 605,000 ounces of contained gold. The share price increased 13.6% to 0.36p.

Chesterfield Special Cylinders (LON: CSC) reports 2024-25 adjusted EBITDA of £800,000, which is higher than expectations. Revenues improved from £14.8m to £16.5m. Net debt of £900,000 moved to a £2.1m net cash position by September 2025. Strong overseas defence demand and record hydrogen contracts helped to improve the figures. The full year results will be published on 18 December. The share price improved 12.1% to 32.5p.

Oracle Power (LON: ORCP) has recommenced drilling at its Northern Zone gold project in Western Australia. Th drilling is focused on shallow undrilled areas between the western and eastern gold mineralised zones. This is a two week programme. The share price rose 7.95% to 0.0475p.

FALLERS

Healthcare company Trellus Health (LON: TRLS) says cost cutting has educed monthly cash burn from $440,000 to around $395,000. Cash should last until the beginning of December. The developer of the Trellus Elevate digital platform for personalised is still exploring options for raising cash. The company hopes to announce at least one collaboration before the end of November. The share price declined 13.3% to 0.65p.

Floorcoverings manufacturer Victoria (LON: VCP) has withdrawn the offer to exchange 2028 secured loan notes for new second-priority notes. It believes that there may be better options. The 2028 notes have a coupon of 3.75%. The share price fell 4.55% to 55.55p.

Wellnex Life (LON: WNX) chief executive Zack Bozinovski has stepped down from the board, but he will remain with the company for six months. A repayment structure for his loan of A$2.3m will be agreed so he is repaid by the time he leaves. Executive chairman Ash Vesali, who joined the company in September, will oversee day-to-day operations while a new chief executive is identified. This follows the reporting of first quarter revenues of $5.4m. There was a drop in IP licensing revenues compared with the previous quarter. Delayed revenues should be received in the coming months. Additional debt of A$5.35m was secured and A$4.1m was drawn down. Cost saving is being pursued, and the company is exiting medicinal cannabis. Pain Away and contract manufacturing will be the focus. Wellnex Life joined AIM in March 2025 when it raised £5.22m at 31.75p/share. The share price slid 3.85% to 12.5p.

Dimitry Kirpichenko has reduced his holding in TMT Investments (LON: TMT) from 4.78% to 3.41%. The share price dipped 3.17% to 275 cents.

Eco Buildings secures €420m Chile housing contract

Eco Buildings, the UK modular housing firm, has landed a seven-year deal with the Chilean government to supply 20,000 homes under its government social housing scheme. 

This is the deal investors will have been waiting for.

The landmark contract is worth €420 million and is the biggest validation of the firm’s modular homes concept to date. It will also generate significant revenues for the firm that still only has a market cap of £25m, even after a 75% rally on Tuesday. 

The AIM-listed company will deliver homes starting with an initial tranche of 607 houses in 2026, scaling up to 5,000 homes annually by year seven. 

The deal follows a two-year certification process and successful demonstration projects in Melipilla and Valparaíso, which were inspected by senior government officials and parliamentarians.

Under Chile’s structured framework, Eco will receive 50% deposits at the start of each housing lot, with the balance paid upon delivery and verification. This provides predictable cash flow and minimal working capital risk throughout the programme.

The Chilean government will pay a €12.75 million deposit for 50% of the first tranche of 607 homes.

To meet demand, Eco will install a new automated manufacturing line in Chile during Q2 2026, utilising its glass fibre reinforced gypsum (GFRG) panel technology.

The company plans to replicate the model across the region.

“Securing our first project in Latin America represents an important milestone for Eco Buildings and demonstrates the scalability of our revolutionary technology across new markets. Chile provides a strong regulatory framework and a strategic entry point into the wider region,” said Dr Etrur Albani, Executive Vice-Chairman of Eco Buildings.

“Our focus is on delivering high-quality, sustainable and affordable housing through an efficient, industrialised approach. We believe our technology can support governments and developers in accelerating housing delivery across Latin America in a cost-effective and environmentally responsible way.”

Aberdeen Asian Income Fund: Online Presentation

Watch the online presentation for Aberdeen Asian Income Fund, featuring Chairman, Ian Cadby and Lead Manager, Isaac Thong.

Segro shares rise after strong period of letting activity

Segro had an encouraging third quarter, signing £22 million of new rental agreements as improving market conditions drive increased letting activity across its European warehouse portfolio.

Segro shares rose 2% in early trade on Tuesday.

The property group’s momentum accelerated through the three months to September. This represented its strongest quarter for pre-lettings since early 2024, with total new headline rent for the nine-month period reaching £53 million.

The FTSE 100 company’s modern portfolio continues to capture significant rental uplifts. Year-to-date rent reviews, renewals and regears across 170 transactions delivered an average increase of 37%, split between 49% in the UK and 8% in Europe.

An encouraging pipeline of data centre business has caught the attention of the market and made Segro one of the leading ways to gain exposure to Europe’s AI growth.

“SEGRO has had a strong third quarter, with improving occupier sentiment reflected in £22 million of new headline rent signed during the period, bringing the total signed year-to-date to £53 million,” said David Sleath, Chief Executive.

“We have made good progress in capturing the significant mark-to-market rent potential in our existing portfolio, whilst maintaining occupancy levels and retaining customers.

“Momentum continues to build in our profitable development programme. We had our strongest quarter of pre-letting activity since Q1 2024, signing £7 million of deals versus £3 million in H1 2025, and have a healthy pipeline of further projects under discussion with enquiry levels increasing post the summer. Our fully fitted data centre joint venture is on track to submit a planning application in the coming weeks, and we are progressing multiple negotiations on both powered shells and new fully fitted opportunities in the UK and Continental Europe.”

Inheritance Tax receipts rise £100m to £4.4bn during April to September

HMRC’s intake from Inheritance Tax receipts rose £100m to £4.4bn during the period from April to September this year as rising property prices and a frozen threshold meant more people paid the tax.

IHT payments are set to hit a record high this year and accelerate after new measures come into effect next year.

“The Treasury is on course for another record-breaking year of revenues from inheritance tax (IHT),” said Ian Dyall, Head of Estate Planning at wealth management firm Evelyn Partners.

“With the nil-rate band frozen at £325,000 since 2009 and the residence nil-rate band static at £175,000, fiscal drag is quietly pulling thousands more families into the IHT net as asset values increase year-by-year.  

“The APR/BPR crackdown next April and the inclusion of pensions in estates from the following April will compound the effect, meaning households who would never consider themselves “wealthy” suddenly face significant tax exposure. The Office for Budget Responsibility forecasts receipts will exceed £9 billion by 2026, and potentially £14 billion by 2030.”

Despite IHT being set to sky rocket in the coming years, Chancellor Rachael Reeves is reported eyeing up additional changes to increase inheritance tax receipts further. These include changes to gifting rules that have previously been safe from IHT.

“Gifts made more than 7 years prior to death are completely free of inheritance tax, while regular gifts made out of surplus income are free from IHT immediately,” said Nicholas Hyett, Investment Manager at Wealth Club.

“Shifting the seven-year rule to a ten-year rule is one option. Gifts made up to ten years before death could be taxed as if they were part of the estate – making one-off gifts to children to help with things like buying a new house potentially problematic, especially for those who die young, piling financial pain on top of personal grief.”