Open Orphan secure £5m RSV challenge study contract

0

Open Orphan subsidiary hVIVO reported a £5 million study contract win with a European biotechnology company to test its intravenous antiviral candidate in a study on the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV).

Open Orphan saw its share price surge 8% to 14.5p in late morning trading on Friday after the announcement.

The company anticipates revenues from the contract to be recognised across 2022 and 2023.

RSV currently affects an estimated 50 million people globally and accounts for four million hospitalisations and 75,000 in-hospital deaths of children under five years old.

The study is expected to break new ground in the medical community’s understanding of the disease, in particular concerning adult patients.

Open Orphan and European biotech have reportedly collaborated in previous clinical work conducted by the Venn Breda team.

“I am pleased to announce this £5m contract to test our client’s antiviral candidate using the hVIVO RSV Human Challenge Study Model,” said Open Orphan CEO Yamin ‘Mo’ Khan.

“RSV is a significant threat to public health, and we are delighted to support this European biotech in the development of its antiviral candidate.”

hVIVO Chief Scientific Officer Dr Andrew Catchpole added, “This contract is a further demonstration of the significant value of human challenge studies.”

“Efficacy data provided by the Company following the completion of the study can lead to entry into Phase II as well as optimisation of a Phase III programme.”

“For Big Pharma as well as smaller biotechs, the substantial time and financial savings compared to typical field-based studies is increasingly making human challenge the trial design of choice for achieving early proof of concept data.”

UK issues 65 new sanctions on Russia

1

The UK announced 65 new Russian sanctions targeting ‘strategic industries, banks, business elites’ and anyone currently supporting Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Since the invasion began in late February, the UK has penalized over 1,000 individuals and businesses under the Russian sanctions framework.

On Thursday, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss announced 65 new sanctions on Russian banks, oligarchs and businesses.

Major players in the Russian invasion including Russian Railway and defence company Kronshtadt have been sanctioned.

The Wagner Group has also been sanctioned since Russian mercenaries hired the group for the alleged assassination of President Zelenskyy.

Among the companies sanctioned are Alrosa, the world’s largest diamond manufacturer, and Alfa Bank whose cofounders include previously sanctioned Mikhail Fridman, Petr Aven, and German Khan.

The CEO of Sberbank, Herman Gref and founder of Tinkoff Bank Oleg Tinkov have been sanctioned as well.

Also included in the list of sanctioned individuals, Eugene Shvidler, the billionaire oil tycoon and Foreign Minister Lavrov’s step-daughter, Polina Kovaleva are added.

Lis Truss commented, “Putin should be under no illusions – we are united with our allies and will keep tightening the screw on the Russian economy to help ensure he fails in Ukraine. There will be no let-up.”

“All those sanctioned today will have their assets in the UK frozen which means no UK citizen or company can do business with them, and individuals subject to travel bans are also prohibited from travelling to or from the UK.”

“The UK has led the international sanctions effort, cutting off whole sectors of the Russian economy by targeting its defence companies, its trade and transport sector, and working with allies to exclude Russia from the SWIFT financial system.”

Earlier on Friday, EU leaders warned Russia that all loopholes to these sanctions will be addressed.

Russia is currently demanding the payment for their gas in Roubles; this request has been seen to be a circumvention of sanctions and will no longer be allowed.

President Biden claimed to increase gas shipments to the EU as a replacement for Russian supplies, however the EU reportedly remains sceptical.

EU leaders are meeting later today to discuss further sanctions on Russia, however, the likeliness of a ban on Russian gas is low due to Germany and Italy’s high dependence.

United Utilities expects 3% revenue growth for 2021 amidst increased inflationary pressure

United Utilities is set to expect revenue growth of approximately 3% for 2021, however, the company anticipates its underlying operating profit will remain flat as the rising revenue is offset by inflationary pressure.

United Utilities further predicted an increase in underlying net finance expense of £175 million, due to the 30-year record level of inflation applied to the company’s index-linked debt.

The group mentioned that trading is in line with expectations for the current period.

“Utilities tend to be relatively good inflation hedges because they’re able to increase their fees in line with rising prices,” said Hargreaves Landsdown equity analyst Laura Hoy.

“That’s the case for United Utilities, but some of those benefits are being lost because of the group’s index-linked debt, which gets more expensive alongside inflation.”

“This variable rate debt is a concern given the current environment, and we’d like to see the group find ways to pay it down or refinance for more favourable terms.”  

“The underlying business case is still intact, but a near doubling of interest expense payments this year is a trend that can’t be repeated in 2022.”

United Utilities saw its share price increase 1.1% to 1,078p in late morning trading on Friday after predicting 3% revenue growth to be seen in 2021.

VinaCapital dividend steady after prior 33% rise

0

VinaCapital saw its share price increase 0.1% to 502.7p today after it reported dividends would remain the same following a prior 33% rise in its half-year dividend.

The Vietnam-focused venture capital group noted a NAV per share of $8.4, alongside a share price total return over its interim of $6.3.

The company reported a NAV total return per share of 6.9% in the six months until 31 December 2021.

Vinacapital saw a 33% increase in dividends from 6c to 8c in October 2021, which they paid in December 2021.

The dividend announced in October of 8c has remained at 8c for 2022 and is scheduled for payment on 10 May 2022.

The firm’s board declined to raise the dividend until it ascertained its final year results given the current global uncertainties.

Vinacapital stated that its outlook was positive in light of the current geopolitical state, and reported that the long term fundamentals of Vietnam’s economy seem to provide a solid platform for advancement in 2022.

Retail sales slump in February as cost of living rises

0

Retail sales have seen a decline in February, following the surging cost of living and the spiking price of oil.

The high street is feeling the chill of customer absences, with a 30-year high rate of 6.2% inflation seeing consumers watch their budgets as costs set course for a continued upwards trajectory.

Retailers reportedly enjoyed a slight uptick in sales as Covid-19 restrictions eased, enticing customers to purchase new outfits for nights out, but a decline in sales is almost certain as the rising costs kick in across supply chains.

The price of oil continued to remain above $115 per barrel in early morning trading on Friday, with Brent Crude set at $116 per barrel.

Analysts have projected potential heights of up to $200 per barrel by the end of 2022 unless an alternative to Russian supply can be found.

Russian oil accounted for around 4 million barrels of oil per day in global exports before the Ukraine invasion.

The climbing costs will no doubt see the high street suffer, as energy prices and supply chain costs look set to cripple retailers already suffering from two long years of the Covid-19 pandemic.

“The pain of higher prices is already hurting with UK retail sales retreating in February,” said Hargreaves Lansdown senior investment and markets analyst Susannah Streeter.

“The easing of restrictions did provide some bounce for fashion retailers, as new outfits were purchased for long awaited nights out, but it brought a drop in sales for food retailers, as consumers swapped gourmet meals in for restaurant meals out.”

“With the only way up for prices, with retailers lining up to prepare customers for hikes, it’s likely this drop in sales is the first sign of fresh falls to come.”

Everyman Media admissions fly 67% post reopening of cinemas

0

Everyman Media admissions were held back due to closures as a consequence of the pandemic, however with venues reopening and restrictions easing, the group saw a 67% increase to 2m in admissions, ahead of management expectations for the year ended 30 December 2021.

Everyman Media remained closed for 19 weeks, functioned at a reduced capacity for 9 weeks and functioned at full capacity for 24 weeks during 2021.

Revenue was impacted by ticket prices and spending per head on food and beverage.

Ticket prices saw a 3% decrease from £11.81 to £11.44 in 2021. However, spending per head on food and beverage rose 27% to £8.96 compared to £7.08 in 2020.

The group’s revenue increased 102% from £24.2m to £49m in 2021, despite Covid restrictions impacting the operations of the cinema group.

An impairment reversal of £2.5m helped the 88% decrease in operating loss from £18.8m to £2.1m in 2021.

Everyman Media’s market share increased from 4.46% in 2020 to 4.5% in 2021.

The net debt for the cinema group reduced from £8.7m to £8.4m in 2021, however, liquidity is not a problem for the company as cash generation increased from £0.3m to £4.2m in 2021.

In 2022, the company plans to add 4 new venues to its existing 36 venues in Edinburgh, Plymouth, Marlow, and Egham.

Alex Scrimgeour, Chief Executive Officer, Everyman Media Group PLC said, “Despite more twists and turns than Kenneth Branagh’s “Death on the Nile”, these last two years have conclusively proved our belief that Everyman has an enduring place at the hearts of the communities we serve.”

“Thanks in no small part to our loyal customers, we have achieved remarkable levels of admissions, profitability, market share and customer satisfaction since government-imposed restrictions were lifted.”

“We continue to invest in our venues, our people and enhancing the Everyman proposition. Off the back of a return to quasi business as usual, our outlook is increasingly optimistic, consequently we will be looking to accelerate our openings strategy in the short and medium term.”

Everyman Media Group shares were rising 2.3% to 132p with admission rates exceeding expectations.

Smith Group sees 11.1% rise in operating profits as orders increase

0

The tech engineering firm, Smith Group saw shares fall 1% to 1,501p on early morning trade on Friday despite the company’s reported underlying operating profits increase of 11.1% to £189m, with higher orders in H1 2022.

Smith Group saw a 3.4% increase to £1.19bn in underlying revenue compared to the first half of 2021, with revenues of £1.15bn.

General industrial contributed 40% to the revenues with safety and security contributing 32% followed by energy and aerospace adding 21% and 7% respectively.

Aerospace saw the largest growth in revenues with an increase of 16.7% as demand for Flex-Tek and Smith Interconnect aerospace solutions remained strong.

The 5.7% growth in revenues of general industrial came from ‘original equipment and aftermarket growth’ in chemical processing, pulp & paper, and mining segments for John Crane.

Safety and security lost 3.5% in revenues between H1 of ’21 and ’22 due to the performance of Smiths Detection and Smiths Interconnect’s defence related products.

To add to their growth, Smith focused on product development and launched 9 ‘high-impact’ new products, such as space qualified connectors and a new seal for pipelines during H1 2022.

Smith Group gained £1bn through the disposal of Smith Medical to ICU Medical in January 2022, sooner than expected.

With a strong balance sheet, the group managed to pay repay $400m bonds and capital returns and complete over 25% of the £742m share buyback.

The group reported basic EPS of 30.6p compared to 26p in H1 2021. Smith saw ROCE increase from 10.3% to 14%.

Dividend for Smith Group has increased from 11.7p to 12.3p between H1 of 2021 and 2022.

Paul Keel, Group Chief Executive Officer, Smith Group said, “Our performance in the first half demonstrates the meaningful progress we are making against our strategy.  We accelerated Smiths’ organic revenue growth to +3.4% and converted that into even stronger profit and earnings growth, despite supply chain challenges and cost inflation.” 

“Improvement in the first half centred on the levers we are pulling to accelerate our growth and consistently deliver results, underpinned by our focus on continuous operational excellence and investment in our people and culture.” 

“An important milestone for us was completing the sale of Smiths Medical, ahead of schedule.  This has enabled us to simplify our business, focus on our higher-performing, more strategically-aligned industrial technology core, whilst investing for growth, deleveraging and returning surplus capital to our shareholders. ” 

Helios Towers acquires Airtel Africa company for $55m

0

Helios Towers acquired Airtel Africa’s passive infrastructure company in Malawi for $55 million on Friday.

The passive infrastructure company is a telecommunications tower firm that will continue to develop and operate its own equipment on the towers via separate lease agreements with Helios Towers.

The deal will add 723 sites to Helios Towers‘ portfolio and the two companies telecommunications companies have agreed to a 12-year service agreement on the assets exchanged in the transaction.

Helios Towers is set to pay a consideration of $55 million with a 20% contribution from the Old Mutual Infrastructure Investment Trust Fund.

The investment will amount to a local Malawian shareholding worth 20%, in compliance with local telecommunications infrastructure licence requirements.

The deal is expected to bring in revenues of $23 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $8 million over the initial year of ownership.

Helios Towers reportedly anticipates further growth through 60 committed ‘build to suits’ across the coming three years and colocation lease-up.

Helios Towers saw its share price decline 1.1% to 116p in early morning trading on Friday.

BP shares: Where next for the oil giant?

2

The BP share price is up 18.2% year-to-date and is one of the best performers on the FTSE 100 so far in 2022.

The price of oil has been heavily impacted by scarcity fears since Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, moving major oil companies such as BP and Shell to suspend their slate of operations in Russia.

The price of oil also jumped 5% on disruption of the Caspian pipeline (CPC) this week, sending scarcity fears surging on the back of yet another layer of complications for global supplies.

The price of Brent Crude hit $119 per barrel in late afternoon trading on 24 March 2022. High oil prices mean BP are currently enjoying the most elevated prices for their products in many years which is likely to lead to a strong set of results for the quarter.

BP Growth Potential

BP shares look primed for further gains in 2022, with shares way off recent highs and current price-to-earnings ratio of 8 and a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 6.1.

The oil producer reported a swing back to profit of £7.5 billion in 2021, reporting its best results in eight years following a devastating loss of £20.3 billion in 2020.

The company has an extremely generous dividend yield of 4.2%, covered 3x.

BP announced a dividend per ordinary share of 21.6c in 2021, amounting to a decline compared to the company’s 26c payout in 2020. The impact of the pandemic meant payouts were curtailed, but investors should look forward to increased dividends going forward.

BP is reportedly set to increase its dividend 4% year-on-year and buy back $4 billion worth of shares until 2025, based on projected prices of $60 per barrel of oil.

The current climate will most likely see the group flush with a surplus of adequate finances to meet its payment goal.

BP Analyst Consensus

The price of Brent Crude is currently at $119 per barrel, and some analysts predict the commodity might exceed heights of $200 over the coming year.

“I don’t think given the way things are going, this is a temporary problem,” Standard Chartered head of oil and gas Alok Sinha commented at a recent Financial Times summit.

“You now have to deal with this as a long term issue which means you need to find alternative supply growth.”

RCMA Group Chairman Doug King weighed in with an estimated price of $250 by the close of 2022.

“This is not transitory. This is going to be a Crude supply shock,” said King.

The spike in Crude oil prices is anything but bad news for BP shares, as the company will benefit from rising scarcity.

“Brent Crude oil at $122 per barrel is going to be a tough one for businesses to stomach as energy costs go through the roof,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“It isn’t all bad news as a higher oil price is good for BP and Shell on the UK stock market.”

Rosneft Stake

BP took a hit when it sold off its 19.75% stake in Rosneft on 27 February 2022, which the company owned since 2013 and was valued at $14 billion.

However, the the BP share price quickly rebounded, and the sale of its stake in the Russian-owned operation does not appear to have left any lasting damage on its stock in the long run.

Are Lloyds shares a good buy?

2

The Lloyds share price are is up 4% to 49.55p so far in 2022 having enjoyed a higher interest rate environment, but also facing potential headwinds from a cost of living crisis.

Lloyds shares (LON:LLOY) have had a volatile 2022 so far with shares trading in a range from intraday highs of ~56p to 38p.

This has been the result of expectations around interest rates, actual interest rate changes, and the tragedy unfolding in Ukraine.

Nonetheless, Lloyds posted a very respectable set of results for 2021 which showed the bank was benefitting from a growing mortgage business and were enjoying a higher interest rate environment.

In the latest financials, the banking group made a comeback with underlying profits of £8bn in 2021, compared to £2bn.

Lloyds enjoyed a £1.2bn reversal from unnecessary impairment charges provisioned to mitigate default risks on loans because of the pandemic. This was a significant driver of Lloyd’s higher profitability.

In addition, Net Interest Margin rose to 2.54%, up from 2.52% in 2020. This may not sound a great deal, but this 2 basis point increase will help Lloyds bottomline.

Earlier this month, the Bank of England further increased the rates by 0.25% to 0.75%. This means Lloyds are likely to see additional growth to their Net Interest Margin in 2022.

Early this year, Sophie Lund-Yates, Equity Analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown said, “Lloyds has the UK’s biggest branch network, meaning it’s a bread-and-butter current account and lending house.”

“That makes recent interest rate hikes especially welcome, as does the better-than-expected macroeconomic backdrop in the wake of Covid.”

Lloyds was one of the first to increase its mortgage rates following the interest rate hike.

After years of recovery from the financial crisis, Lloyd’s investors will be pleased the bank has started to place more emphasis on a diversified source of income with its wealth management and its real estate venture, Citra Living.

Lloyds Valuation

With a Lloyds share price at 49p, the banking group has a market cap of £34bn.

The company’s forward P/E ratio is 8x and in line with peers in the industry, meaning it is difficult to make argument for multiple expansion in line with peers. Rather, one would expect earnings growth across the sector to ‘lift all boats’.

Lloyds real attraction comes from their dividend and the ability to increase this dividend in the future.

Lloyds has a dividend cover of 3.9x and a yield of 4% highlighting the company’s strong financial position which may lead to a rise in future dividends.

Lund-Yates highlighted the potential for further returns to shareholders through dividends, or even a buybacks:

“It’s [Lloyds] sitting on an unimaginably big pile of excess capital. The top slice of which is coming back to shareholders via buybacks.”

This creates a situation where investors should look to the potential for higher Lloyds dividends as the main driver of Lloyds share price in 2022.