Lloyds share price: 3 reasons to buy now

Lloyd share price has enjoyed a stellar year of performance as the bank bounces back from the pandemic-induced market volatility and economic strife.

Lloyds shares are up roughly 35% YTD at 49p, having dipped from their 52-week highs around 51.5p. However, this is still some way off their pre-pandemic highs and bulls could view the recent dip as an opportunity to pick share up.

If you are bullish on the Lloyds share price, here’s three reasons you may want to buy Lloyds shares now.

Increasing interest rates

Although though the Bank of England is yet to deliver a rate hike, the market is pricing a steady increase in rates over the next 12 months.

Futures traders have priced in a hiking cycle starting with the first increase in December continuing to a 1% Bank Rate by June next year.

Soaring inflation has left the Bank Of England with little choice but to hike rates given a robust UK employment market, an economic indicator the BoE said they were keen to see improve before moving on rates.

Higher interest rates traditionally boosts the Net Interest Margins of banks, and with it the profitability of UK banks, including Lloyds.

Strong UK housing market

Lloyds is the UK’s largest mortgage lender and enjoyed the benefits of their market position in Q3 as profits rose to £2 billion for the quarter. This is largely driven by strength in their mortgage business that rose by £2.7 billion in the last quarter and totalled £15.3 billion.

As the UK’s largest lender, ongoing resilience in the UK housing market will support further Lloyds earnings growth by continually increasing their open mortgage book and keeping a lid of defaults.

Despite government support through Stamp Duty reductions ending some months ago, house prices have remained strong, although mortgage applications has trended down throughout the year.

Lloyds share price technicals

Lloyds shares have began the form a series of higher lows over the past month which are consistent with the key features of an uptrend.

In the very short term, the Lloyds has formed a base around 49p which will be crucial to whether Lloyds shares can revisit recent highs around 51.5p.

Assuming this level is held, a move through 50.4p will open up a test of the 52-week high, which once broken will see little resistance to the Lloyds share price as it moves towards the pre-pandemic trading range 60p-64p.

First-time buyers need 5.5x their earnings to get on property ladder

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New data from Nationwide Building Society has found that first-time buyers need to have 5.5 times their typical annual earnings to get on the property ladder, this number increasing to 9 times in London.

“In the third quarter of this year, the UK first-time buyer house price-to-earnings ratio stood at 5.5, above the previous high of 5.4 in 2007, and well above the long-run average of 3.8,” said Andrew Harvey, senior economist at Nationwide.

“While there continues to be a significant gap between the least affordable and most affordable regions across the UK, this has remained broadly stable over the last year. London continues to have the highest house price to earnings ratio at 9.0, although this is still below its record high of 10.2 in 2016.”

“In 2019/20, around a third of first-time buyers had some help raising a deposit, either in the form of a gift or loan from family or a friend or through inheritance – up from 27% 25 years ago.”

For many people looking to buy their first house, being reliant on financial support from family members is essential.

MJ Hudson posts loss

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Fund manager MJ Hudson has posted a £5.3m pre-tax loss in the year to June, which is slightly less than last year’s loss of £7.3m.

This is despite a strong demand for private equity and ESG products.

“There is growth in private equity and other alternative funds assets under management, as investors seek higher returns and yield,” said Matthew Hudson, chief executive.

“Re-focus on regulation and governance, especially benefitting our market-leading ESG business, that helps clients deal with increased regulation and improve transparency.”

Mitchells & Butlers revenues down

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Mitchells & Butlers has announced its more recent financial report.

The group, which owns All Bar One, Harvester and Toby Carvery, found revenues to fall from £1.47bn to £1.06bn.

The group has also posted a loss, which has been reduced from last year’s loss of £123m to £42m. Sales at the group have stayed below pre-pandemic levels.

“Despite the inevitable challenges faced by our business over the past year we are now well positioned to regain the momentum previously built as we come out of the pandemic,” said chief executive Phil Urban.

“The trading environment remains challenging and cost headwinds continue to put pressure on the sector.”

Analysts also highlighted the difficulties Mitchells had experienced during the pandemic and disappointing activity since restrictions have lifted.

“The past few years have been difficult for Mitchells & Butlers, but it finallyreturned to profitability during its second half period. However, it does look like the business is running very hard just to achieve the smallest gains,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“On a full year basis, the results are ugly reading as more than £1 billion went through its tills but it still lost money as the period included the lockdowns that started in November 2020 and January 2021.

“It is now making some progress on sales growth, but the amount is tiny, and the outlook is far from favourable.”

“Pub and restaurant operators traditionally thrive in December from Christmas parties. Nervousness on behalf of many companies could see reduced staff party volumes this festive season, particularly as Covid rates are shooting up. Managers won’t want to risk employees getting ill and a lot of people still feel uneasy about mixing in a crowded room.”

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United Utilities increases dividend despite inflation squeeze

United Utilities have once again increased their payouts to investors through an increase in the ordinary dividend, but does so at a time inflation squeezes the company’s earnings.

United Utilities reported an increase in revenue to £932.3m in the six months ended 30th September, up from £894.4m in the same period last year.

This helped increase operating profit by 4.4% to £332.8m but underlying earnings per share fell to 28.4p from 29.2p as increased costs on inflation-linked debt eroded the bottom line.

Despite pressure on earnings, United Utilities increases their interim dividend by 0.6% to 14.50p.

“The return to the office meant United Utilities saw overall consumption rise. While fewer people at home meant residential revenue was down, it remained above pre-pandemic levels suggesting this hybrid-homeworking environment will be a net positive for UU,” said Laura Hoy, Equity Analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“However, inflation took a bite out of profits in more ways than one. The group saw core costs rise and is expecting this trend to continue through to the full year. More concerning was an increase in net finance costs. A portion of United Utilities’ debt is linked to inflation, and the sharp increase in consumer prices this year meant it rose substantially. This burden together with a one-time tax charge meant the group’s bottom line was in the red.”

“This isn’t necessarily a long-term trend to worry about. If inflation does ease as many are predicting, this should be a blip on the radar. And in any case the group’s revenues should be inflation linked. However if this new level is sustained it will chip away at United Utilities’ balance sheet.”

United Utilities CEO, Steve Mogford, highlighted the real terms reduction in household bills when taking into consideration inflation and provided comment on their push to net zero by 2030.

“At a time when many families are struggling with a higher cost of living, we have reduced typical water bills forhouseholds in our region by 6 per cent in real terms over the last two years. We’re also offering more help thanever before for vulnerable customers and households that are struggling to pay,” said Steve Mogford.

“Climate change and population growth are challenges we must all confront, and we will continue to invest tomake our services more resilient and strengthen our ability to respond to, and recover from, extreme weather events. Our £2 billion investment programme will also help our region’s economy to grow, generate jobs anddevelop skills in our communities.”

“We’re committed to delivering our six carbon pledges, which will help us achieve our ambition of net zero by 2030. We have already delivered our pledge to source 100 per cent of our electricity from renewable sources. As well as reducing our carbon footprint, we are committed to protecting the natural environment and ensuring no net loss of biodiversity.”

Pret sales suffer in the City

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Pret lunch sales have fully recovered across the whole of the UK, however, are still down in the City of London.

Sales were down 13% last week as people in the City are still working from home part-time. Despite this lull, sales across the UK more generally have hit pre-pandemic levels.

“On average around the country, we’re back at the level of business we were at before the pandemic hit,” said chief executive, Panu Christou.

“But we know we need to keep pushing in London’s business districts and constantly think about new ways to grow our business in those crucial markets.”