Travis Perkins posts strong Q3 sales

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Travis Perkins has posted strong Q3 results despite issues in the global supply chain.

The building materials business posted a 13% rise in like-for-like sales as people continue with DIY projects in the house since lockdown.

Full-year profits are now expected to hit £340m.

“The group has delivered a strong performance in the third quarter and is navigating well-documented supply chain and cost inflation challenges very capably,” commented Nick Roberts, the chief executive.

End market demand remains robust and we are confident that we are in a strong position to deliver future growth.”

The Autumn Budget round-up

Chancellor Rishi Sunak unveiled his Autumn Budget which he says is designed to prepare the UK for an ‘age of optimism’. The government plans included changes to taxes, and spending on innovation, skills and welfare to help to the prosperity ‘of the whole United Kingdom’.

Capital Gains and Income Tax

A Capital Gains Tax reform was rumoured before the March Budget and was highly anticipated before this Autumn Budget.

However, there was no announcement on Capital Gains Tax or Income Tax, although this didn’t mean a reduction in taxes.

No news isn’t always good news: higher taxes didn’t get a mention in the Budget speech, but unfortunately, you’re still likely to pay more tax next year,” said Sarah Coles, senior personal finance analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Part of this sleight of hand is about timing. The major tax hike had already been announced, with National Insurance and dividend tax both rising 1.25 percentage points in April 2022. The more you earn, the bigger an impact this will have, but NI will add £180 a year to the tax bill for a typical basic rate taxpayer earning £24,100.”

National Minimum Wage

The National Minimum Wage has increased to £9.50 from £8.91.

Innovation and Skills

The government unveiled a multifaceted effort to help innovation in the UK which included attracted overseas innovators and spending on UK business.

Research & Development

Rishi set out plans to help boost UK spending on R&D with £22 billion spending on tax credit reforms and increases to funds designed to help innovation such as the Future Fund.

Universal Credit

Universal Credit has long been a thorn in the side of the government. Today the government made changes to support working families by reducing the taper tax rate from 63% to 55%.

A single mother of two will be better off by £1,200 a year.

This was a more generous move than expected by the government.

Housing and Construction

The ongoing unsafe cladding issue was addressed with a 4% levy on property developers with profits over £25 million.

£11.5 billion is to be spent on 180,000 new affordable homes.

Energy Bills

Prior to the Budget, a MoneySuperMarket study found many consumers worried about their energy bills. Unfortunately, a speculated VAT cut to household bills was not delivered.

“We have found that nearly half (49%) of bill payers are concerned about being able to afford their energy bills this winter and that three quarters (74%) of this group attribute their worries directly to seeing their bills increase,” said Stephen Murray, energy expert at MoneySuperMarket.

Business Rates

The chancellor announced £7bn in Business rates reliefs focused on the struggling retail sector.

Education

The government has earmarked an additional £1.8 billion to help the poorest students’ recovery from the impact of the pandemic. Schools will receive £4.7 billion by the end of the parliament.

NHS

The chancellor has announced an additional £5.9 billion in funding for the NHS to help tackle the backlog of patient appointments.

International Aid

UK international aid is expected return to 0.7% by 2024/25, the end of the current parliament. This is an expectation that is a long way out so take it with a pinch of salt.

Welfare

£200m will be provided to families through Supporting Families schemes.

Devolved Administrations

Scotland, Wales Northern Ireland will receive additional funding £8.7bn per year.

Alcohol Duties

Changes to duties on UK manufactured alcohol were introduced to to help boost the industry with reductions on cider and sparkling wines.

A boost for pubs was provided with draft relief to help encourage people to drink in pubs instead of at home, as pubs are seen as a safer drinking environment.

A tax cut of £3bn was provided to the UK industry by the cancellation of proposed duty whiskey, beer and cider.

Fresnillo, Gold and Inflation with Alan Green

Inflation has been the topic of a number of the UK Investor Magazine Podcasts in recent months, however, such is the prevalence of the topic we must today look at a market closely linked to inflation and central bank action in Gold.

Gold reached a peak around $2,070 during the pandemic and has since eased to $1,790 as uncertainty eases. With the Federal Reserve threatening to begin their QE taper in Mid-November, we look at the forces could drive precious metals higher, or lower, as measures are taken to bring inflation under control.

We discuss Fresnillo, the London-listed silver miner, following its recent production report.

Alan also revisits OnTheMarket and the valuation disparity between its peers.

Kromek Group : Canary Starts to Sing

Kromek Group (LSE: KMK) supplies containment detection technology focusing on the medical, security screening and nuclear markets.  Today it won a 7-year contract with a US based OME worth an estimated $17m for identifying contaminants during production processes as part of quality inspection. 
For the Covid year-ended April 2021 revenue fell 30% to £10.1m with a loss of £6.3m down from £18m, as it accelerates further into the commercialisation phase. In March 2021 £13m was raised at 15p.
There are 24 new customers in the civil nuclear segment with widening interest for its drone-based radiati...

Alphabet revenues jump

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Alphabet, the Google parent company, has posted an increase in profits and revenues for the third quarter.

Revenue jumped 41% to $65.12bn. This is the largest revenue increase in 14 years. Advertising revenue jumped from $37.1bn $53.13bn.

Sundar Pichai, chief executive of the group, said: “this quarter’s results show how our investments there are enabling us to build more helpful products for people and our partners.”

Cloud division revenues jumped 45% to $4.99bn.

Chief business officer Philipp Schindler commented on the uncertainty of future results, saying: “it’s clear that uncertainty is the new normal.”

“When it comes to anticipating change, predicting demand and investing in innovation businesses need as much support now as they did a year and a half ago.”

Ikea buys Topshop flagship store

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Ikea has bought the Topshop flagship store on Oxford Street.

In a move that cost £378m, the new Ikea store will open in autumn 2023. The transaction is expected to be finished in January 2022.

“We are delighted to have exchanged contracts on this iconic property, which sits at the cornerstone of London’s principal retail district,” Ed Boyle, who is the managing director at Interpath Advisory and joint administrator of Redcastle.

“We are delighted to have exchanged contracts on this iconic property, which sits at the cornerstone of London’s principal retail district. As shoppers, workers and tourists return to central London following the pandemic, IKEA’s presence in Oxford Circus will help further boost footfall and provide a real fillip for the city’s retail sector,” he added.

Bloomsbury Publishing posts strong profits

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Bloomsbury Publishing has posted a 225% profit growth to £12.9m, as well as a year-on-year revenue growth of 29% to £100.7m.

Bestsellers at the group included The Priory of the Orange Tree by Samantha Shannon and Outdoor Cooking by Tom Kerridge.

“For a time publishing firm Bloomsbury was like a magician with only a single trick. To be fair it was a good one, with the Harry Potter series perhaps the biggest single phenomenon in book publishing history,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“However, once the series ended in the late noughties Bloomsbury’s share price and sales went into steady decline.

“After a few years of decent progress, building up a diversified business, the pandemic hit fast forward on Bloomsbury’s return to prominence as people picked up the book reading bug in large numbers.”

The book publisher has said that it expects to meet market expectations at February 2022 despite the supply chain issues. The group expects to make profits of pre-tax profits of £19.3m and revenues of £193.4m.

“These results demonstrate the strength and resilience of our strategy of publishing for both the consumer and academic markets, and our growth of digital revenues,” said chief executive, Nigel Newton.

“Our strong financial position and cash generation give us significant opportunities for further acquisitions and investment in organic growth. In recognition of our strong performance and in line with our dividend policy, we are announcing a 5% increase in our interim dividend to 1.34 pence per share.”

Legal bid for Arden

Smaller companies broker Arden Partners (LON: ARDN) is being acquired by one of its clients in an all-share offer. The purchaser is not another broker it is a legal services business.
The Ince Group (LON: INCE) is offering seven shares for every 12 Arden shares in a bid recommended by the board of the broker. Assuming an Ince share price of 53p, this values each Arden share at 31p and the total share capital at £10m. Arden shareholders will own just over one-fifth of the enlarged share capital of the group. Irrevocable acceptances equate to 44.5% of the Arden share capital.
In 2017, Arden hand...

IG Design margins under pressure

There are no celebrations at IG Design Group (LON: IGR) following its warning about margins. This led to the share price falling by more than one-third.
First half trading has been reasonably good, but the second half is always most important for the gift packaging and giftware business. The extension of the product range into craft products has helped to reduce the second half weighting, but it is still significant because of the Christmas season.  
Management warns that operating margin could be between 1.75 percentage points and 2.25 percentage points lower than last year. Revenues, th...

Shell share price: third quarter results preview

Royal Dutch Shell will report third quarter results on Thursday having provided investors with a 42% return in 2021 and over 80% since coronavirus vaccines were first announced.

With the Shell share price providing investors with a solid return already this year, the market will be keen to see if key performance figures are enough to provide shares with impetus for another leg higher.

Profit

Shell report profit on a current cost of supplies (or CCS) basis. In the second quarter, Shell reported pre-tax profit of $2.6 billion and $5.5 billion on an underlying basis.

A year ago Shell made a mere $177 million on a CCS basis and $955 million underlying profit.

This year the market will have to digest the impact of higher energy prices leading to higher revenue and earnings, but also the impact of Hurricane Ida which is thought to have cost the group $400 million.

Cash Flow

Investors will be looking at how much Shell distributes through dividends and buyback which is derived from cash flow from operations. This is set to be strong as analysts have forecast Capex around $19.5bn, unchanged from last year.

With income rising from energy sales and refinery business, a constant Capex will mean more available to distribute to investors.

Shell dividend

Analysts estimate the Shell dividend will be 84 cents for 2021 which would provide investors with a 3.4% yield at a Shell share price of 1,790p and a GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.3800.

This is by no means anywhere near the highest dividend yield Shell has provided investors historically. It is, however, more than respectable given the rough ride income investors had during the pandemic.

Shell are also due to finish a $2bn share buyback before or around these results so one of the major factors driving the Shell share price in the short term will be any news on what they plan for share buybacks for the rest of the year.