FTSE 100 falls from 52-week highs in global equity retreat

The FTSE 100 fell on Tuesday in a broad global equity retreat that saw European equity indices accelerate losses started in Asia.

The FTSE 100 was off by 0.65% at 7,564 whilst the German DAX was weaker by 1% at 15,773. US futures were also down heavily with S&P 500 futures pointing to a 1% lower start.

The selling can be attributed to a shift in the market’s opinion of how many times the Federal reserve will hike rates this year, and what this will mean for the economic outlook and investor positioning.

This change in opinion was particularly evident in the tech-heavy NASDAQ which gave up around 1.8% in the premarket on Tuesday.

Tech shares thrived in the period of easy monetary policy during the pandemic. However, this period of easy monetary policy is now set to be replaced by a tightening cycle that makes tech shares less attractive, given increasing bond yields.

The US 10-Year Bond Yield was 1.827% at the time of writing on Tuesday morning, having touched the highest level since the beginning of the pandemic earlier in the session.

After a string of comments from Fed members about the pace of rate hikes, there is now a fierce debate about how many rate hikes there will be this year. This is unnerving markets any asking questions of assets with valuations perceived to have become frothy over the past two years.

FTSE 100 shares

FTSE 100 shares tracked global equities lower with 77 of the 100 constituents trading underwater on Tuesday.

Precious metals miner Polymetal was the top faller – down 4.2% – as investors reacted to a falling gold price. Interest rate hikes aimed at controlling inflation will likely be bearish for gold in the coming year as its attractiveness as an inflation-hedge diminishes.

“Despite the spike higher in US Treasury yields, spot gold seems to be holding its own above $1,800 for the time being,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity to Reuters.

“However, the higher Treasury yields go, that should test bullion’s ability to tread water above the psychologically-important $1,800 mark.”

Also among the fallers were housing and construction shares which felt the pressure of further interest rates hikes in the UK, following strong jobs figures released by the ONS.

There are now over 400,000 more jobs in the UK than prior to the pandemic – a key indicator for the Bank of England and the Monetary Policy Committee who votes on interest rates.

Oil shares were among the top riser as oil approached $100 on rising geopolitical tensions. BP was stronger by 1% whilst Shell gained 1.5%.

UK investor confidence wobbles as concerns grow over interest rates and housing market

A survey by Hargreaves Lansdown found investor confidence in the UK economy has begun to wobble as expectations of interest rates increase dents optimism in the economy.

The HL Investor Confidence Index dropped 2% in as rising inflation outpaces wage increases.

“The number of investors surveyed by HL, who expect interest rate rises in the next six months has fallen back slightly to 78%, compared to 83% in November, possibly reflecting this conundrum, but it’s clear the vast majority of investors are expecting another move by the Bank relatively quickly,” said Susannah Streeter, senior investment and markets analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“At the same time there has been a 2% drop in confidence in UK economic growth among investors, with the combined toxic effects of inflation and an income squeeze playing on minds.”

Weakness in housing shares has been notable as investor offloading companies vulnerable to rising interest rates.

Despite dropping confidence in the UK economy, HL found confidence remain buoyant on UK-lsted assets, which may be due to the large proportion of revenue earned overseas by FTSE 100 firms.

“Even so optimism about UK assets has grown, with investor confidence up 4% compared to November with expectation that the weighting of listed companies towards the mining, energy and financial sectors should start to bear plumper fruit. The only sector to register a drop in confidence was North America, which is likely to be as a result of the jitters continuing about the fate of highly valued tech firms in a higher interest rate environment, which would reduce the value of their future earnings,” Streeter said.

HL’s index data comes as the ONS released data pointing to a 1% drop in wages in November whilst the unemployment rate was 4.1%.

However, the UK jobs market has outperformed dooms day forecasts that predicted the end of the furlough scheme would rock the UK economy and cause mass redundancies. Indeed, the number of jobs in the UK is 400,000 higher than before the pandemic.

“Furlough was seen as the cotton wool that cushioned the UK’s jobs market from the ravages of Covid.  The end of the scheme filled many with dread, a fear that those still being protected would find themselves out of work sending unemployment levels soaring,” said Danni Hewson, AJ Bell financial analyst.

“The reality is an intriguing picture with a record level of job vacancies, the number of employees more than 400,000 above that pre-pandemic and the redundancy rate at a record low.  So far so good, but that’s not quite the full story and between the lines is a complex situation that does require careful consideration.”

Electric Vehicle charging point startup Monta raises €15m

Electric Vehicle charging point startup Monta has raised €15m funding in their Series A round led by Stockholm-based Creandum with a significant investment coming from US venture firm Headline.

Headline have previously invested in Klarna, Bumble, Farfetch and Sonos.

With the €15m raised in the latest funding round, Monta have now raised more than €20 million since the company was founded just one year ago.

Monta offering electric vehicle charging from as little as £6 per month and have identified the the need for 400,00 charging points across the UK.

“Monta is the ultimate companion to any electric vehicle. By focusing on open software standards, the team is building the operation system for anyone that seeks or provides EV charging. Solving the hurdles of public charging means accelerating EV adoption: Headline supports this vision and the Monta team has the deep product experience and ability to execute it at speed.” says Jonathan Becker, Partner at Headline.

Casper Rasmussen, CEO and Co-founder of Monta, has outlined their plans to make EV charging points more accessible and the funds will be used to help expand their network and services for drivers.

“Our mission is to accelerate EV adoption through innovative software and services. For too long the EV ecosystem has been dominated by old-school players like electricity companies, hardware manufactures and charge point operators. As a tech company, we’re building a charging architecture free from legacy software that is ready to scale across borders and hardware. With this latest funding round, we’re one step closer to accomplishing this mission,” Rasmussen said. 

Hotel Chocolat sees acceleration in sales

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Hotel Chocolat has posted strong sales and saw revenues increase 37% year-on-year.

Sales were strong all over the world, with 128% growth in the US and 131% growth in Japan. In Japan the customer database has grown by 1000%.

“These results demonstrate that the Hotel Chocolat brand is connecting with more customers, as we invest continually in new product creativity, driving growth across channels and categories, and in our ‘gentle farming’ initiative supporting cacao-farming families,” said Angus Thirlwell, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer.

“All of our six growth drivers are behind the acceleration in sales: Velvetiser in-home drinks system, VIP Loyalty rewards, and Digital, whilst the USA, Global Wholesale, and the Japan joint venture are finding the formula for sustained growth, and our UK domestic market still has huge potential.”

Hugo Boss posts strong Q4

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Hugo Boss is almost back at pre-pandemic levels after strong fourth-quarter earnings.

Revenues jumped 43% in 2021 to €2.79bn (£2.33bn), which is just 1% below pre-pandemic levels. Fourth quarter sales jumped 55% to €906.

The group has raised its outlook for sales and expects them to grow 40%.

“2021 was a highly successful year for Hugo Boss. We strongly accelerated our sales and earnings development throughout the year and also made first great strides in executing our new ‘CLAIM 5’ growth strategy,” said chief executive, Daniel Grider.

“The upcoming weeks will see further important milestones, with the introduction of our new branding and the launch of the biggest Boss and Hugo marketing campaigns in our Company’s history. Based on these exciting initiatives, we will further drive brand relevancy in 2022.”

Marshalls revenues jump

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Marshalls reported strong results this morning as revenues jumped 26% to £589m.

Compared to the same period in 2019, revenues were up 11%.

“The Group has strong supplier relationships and our centralised procurement team continue to actively manage the supply chain to create flexibility and reduce risk,” said the group in a trading statement.

“Underlying market demand continues to be strong and the business has been experiencing trading volumes that are outperforming the Construction Products Association’s growth forecasts.”

Expectations for the year ending 31 December 2021 have been increased slightly.

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