AIM weekly movers: Base Resources agrees merger

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US-based uranium and critical minerals producer Energy Fuels is offering 0.026 of a share and an unfranked dividend of A$0.065 for each Base Resources (LON: BSE) share. That is currently equivalent to A$0.302/share. This is a recommended bid and values Base Resources at A$375m. Two major shareholders owning 51.3% in total intend to support the bid. This will help to fund the development of Base Resources’ Toliara rare earth project in Madagascar. The Base Resources share price soared 127% to 12.25p.

A large pharma company is assessing the Optimer binder technology of Aptamer Group (LON: APTA) with a focus on liver disease. The share price increased 63.6% to 0.9p. This is still more than one-fifth lower than at the start of the year.  

Digital technology consultancy Made Tech (LON: MTEC) has expanded its contract with a UK government department and it is worth up to £19.5m over two years. There is no guarantee of the amount to be spent. This should underpin 2024-25 expectations. The share price soared 45.9% to 13.5p – the highest level since January.

Filtronic (LON: FTC) has secured a £15.8m order for E-band amplifiers from SpaceX, which is part of a five-year strategic partnership. SpaceX is receiving warrants over up to 10% of the telecommunications technology developer. The first tranche is exercisable when £30m of orders have been made for E-band amplifiers and the second when there is a similar level of orders for other products. This sparked an upgrade by Cavendish, which raised its 2023-24 pre-tax profit forecast by one-third to £3.3m and the 2024-25 figure by 180% to £6.4m. The share price jumped 38.2% to 47p. This is the highest it has been for nearly a decade.

FALLERS

Trading levels in Indus Gas (LON: INDI) shares were the highest since early 2020. There were 4.8 million shares traded on Friday and nearly 5.5 million shares traded in the last three days of the week – there was no trading on Monday and Tuesday. Most of the trades were small including some trades of one share. The previous week 33 shares were traded and there were none traded in the week before that. The share price slumped 84.8% to 7.5p.

Donald McGarva is stepping down as chief executive of Aferian (LON: AFRN) and leave the video streaming technology developer in October. This follows a trading statement revealing that 2023-24 revenues and EBITDA would be at the lower end of the previously suggested ranges of $47m-$48m and $1.6m-$2.6m respectively. There are delays in purchases of Amino video streaming devices. Costs have already been reduced and a further $3m will be cut. Management hopes to extend the borrowing facility of $16.5m that matures in November. The share price dived 41% to 7.375p.

Bushveld Minerals (LON: BMN) shares have slipped 39.5% to 0.065p on the back of concerns about the vanadium price and the requirement for further funding. Vametco achieved production of 855mt of vanadium in the first quarter of 2024 even though there were 25 maintenance days. The lower level of production meant that cash costs rose from $25.90/kg to 28.40/kg. In contrast higher production by Vanchem meant that cash costs fell to $25.30/kg in the first quarter, and they were even lower in March. Weak steel demand has hit the Vanadium price and it fell from $31.60/kg to $28.40/kg in the most recent quarter. The focus has been on sales to higher margin markets, such as aerospace and chemicals. Bushveld Minerals has $2.2m in cash. The sale of a 50% stake in Vanchem and 64% of the Mokopane project should generate $25m, but regulatory approvals are not expected until July.

Ironveld (LON: IRON) has secured a working capital facility of up to £125,000 from a company associated with its executive chairman John Wardle. Ironveld continues to seek further funding to further develop its Bushveld assets. The share price fell 30.8% to 0.0675p.

Innovative Eyewear expands distribution network with Canada’s biggest optical group

Tekcapital shares were 4% higher on Friday after the company announced that its portfolio company, Innovative Eyewear, had placed its ChatGPT-enabled smart eyewear in ten New Look stores in Canada and on newlook.ca.

New Look is the largest optical group in Canada and has over 450 stores across the US and Canada. With Innovative Eyewear being placed in ten stores initially, the scope for expansion across New Look’s portfolio is material.

Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear said:

 “We are thrilled to introduce our frames to Canadian eyeglass customers on the market-defining New Look website as well as in several of their beautiful stores in Montreal. When you enter a New Look store, you know you are in for an eyewear experience like no other. This is clear from the moment you meet their incredible staff, expansive selection of quality frames, and attention to detail in both their online and in-store experiences. We look forward to introducing their clientele to our innovative and unique smart frames.”

Today’s news follows the announcement of football pundit Micah Richards’ appointment as a Lucyd brand ambassador and new patent filings for a range of smart safety glasses.

Innovative Eyewear recorded more revenue in Q4 2023 than the prior three quarters, and recent announcements suggest this momentum will carry over into Q1 2024.

Vietnam’s e-commerce – an awakening dragon

According to the 8th Southeast Asia Digital Economy Report, Vietnam had the fastest-growing digital economy for the second year in a row in 2022. It is expected to retain this title through 2025.

This growth comes as the government aims for the digital economy to make up 20% of total GDP by the end of next year. By 2030, this sector could reach US$220 billion in value, representing an astonishing expansion from roughly US$30 billion last year.

According to Metric, Shopee dominates Vietnam’s e-commerce industry, accounting for 69% of the sector’s market share in Q3 2023. TikTok Shop, launched in late 2022, has grown rapidly in popularity and was the second-largest e-commerce player in 2023, followed by Lazada.

Overall, revenue generated by Vietnam’s five largest e-commerce companies through the first three quarters of 2023 surpassed the full-year total for 2022.

Such growth is driven mainly by dramatic shifts in Vietnamese consumers’ behaviour that began during the pandemic and have since become ingrained. This includes the widespread adoption of online shopping, especially in major urban areas, a trend that has forced logistics companies in both the B2C and B2B markets to reconfigure their services.

In terms of e-commerce, the logistics system plays the role of the end-to-end connection of the entire supply chain system, while an effective logistics system represents the “key” to increasing customers’ shopping experience.

“Alongside prioritizing essential consumer goods, one noticeable shift in customer behaviour is the decreased frequency of in-store shopping outings,” said Phan Tuong Bach, Vice President of Delivery at Ahamove. “This period has witnessed a surge in online shopping popularity, coupled with heightened demand for delivery services. This dynamic landscape has placed significant pressure on delivery platforms to innovate and adapt in order to meet the growing transportation needs of consumers.”

Ahamove operates on the B2B side of logistics and has adjusted its services in several ways over the last few years. This includes offering motorbike delivery services within one, two, or four hours and giving vendors a range of pricing options.

Meanwhile, improved truck delivery services allow businesses to ship bulky items to end customers within as few as two hours.

“To remain competitive in this evolving market, I believe the ideal market leader must be a platform that is dedicated to delivering an exceptional experience for customers across all aspects of the delivery process,” Bach explained. “This includes prioritizing fast delivery times, ensuring affordability, and providing reassurance and reliability with every order.”

A concentrated market

It’s important to note that while Vietnam’s overall digital economy is thriving, it remains heavily concentrated in Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, especially regarding e-commerce.

According to research from Metric, those two cities accounted for 86% of total e-commerce revenue in Q3 2023, illustrating their utter dominance of consumer demand.

For Ahamove, the 20 cities outside of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City, they service accounts for just 10% of total delivery volume.

The explosive growth of delivery demand in Vietnam’s two largest cities presents challenges on both ends of the logistics chain.

The market is experiencing rapid growth and intense competition among delivery and logistics providers. Therefore, businesses in this sector are compelled to make substantial investments to enhance their systems and offer value-added services to meet customers’ evolving needs. This entails ensuring super-fast and secure delivery and prioritizing affordability and better after-sales support.

Companies are also investing heavily in logistics facilities to reduce shipment times. China’s BEST Express, for example, has built 42 automatic sorting centres across Vietnam, while every significant e-commerce business utilises machine learning and the Internet of Things to optimize operations.

Intense consumer demand, meanwhile, can overwhelm companies, leading to driver shortages, delays, and even service interruptions.

Another problem that demands attention as e-commerce grows is waste from product packaging. Many merchants use vast amounts of cardboard and plastic packaging to ensure that goods aren’t damaged in transit, while this packaging is generally thrown out after delivery.

In 2023, Vietnam News quoted a representative from the Vietnam E-Commerce Association as lamenting that the sector is “generating too high an amount of plastic bags as waste.”

Logistics companies also primarily rely on gas-powered trucks and motorbikes, thus contributing to Vietnam’s greenhouse gas emissions. According to Ahamove’s 2022 ESG report, the company aimed to have 350 electric vehicles operating in Da Nang, with expansion to other provinces in the works.

The future

Tackling such challenges will be critical as logistics companies continue to grow, along with the broader e-commerce sector and overarching digital economy.

Undoubtedly, digital-first consumer behaviour is here to stay, and shoppers will only become more demanding moving forward. Bach states this includes expectations of bulky delivery options, competitive prices, rapid delivery, and more.

“In addition, catering to large e-commerce businesses is also one of the priorities for delivery platforms,” he went on. “Constantly optimizing costs by providing faster and more cost-effective delivery solutions poses a challenge for us. Furthermore, customers are becoming more savvy, focusing their needs on major holidays and sales seasons to get the hot deals. Hence, logistics businesses also need to be prepared with infrastructure to meet the sharp increase in demand at certain times.”

Writing credit Michael Tatarski

FTSE 100: bulls in the driving seat with the index comfortably above 8,100

Equity bulls were in the driving seat on Friday as the FTSE 100 continued to break to new highs. Concerns about interest rates and geopolitical risks are fading into the background as London’s leading index chalks up another day of gains.

The FTSE 100 was 0.45% higher at the time of writing, trading at 8,115. The index was up over 2.7% on the week, comfortably above 8,100.

“What a fantastic week for the FTSE 100. We’ve had new record highs, yet more takeover action, and everyone is talking about UK stocks in a positive way which hasn’t been seen for ages. There was no stopping the blue-chip index on Friday as NatWest’s results went down well and we saw gains across most of the market. The breadth of sectors moving higher suggests investor sentiment continues to improve,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

The interest rate and geopolitical risks we mentioned haven’t gone away, but a week packed full of upbeat corporate earnings and M&A activity has fired sentiment into the stratosphere.

The FTSE 100’s weighting towards banks and miners has helped the index outperform other global indices this week as the US ponders interest rate cuts and mixed tech earnings. That said, Microsoft and Alphabet earnings overnight were playing apart on Friday with US futures ticking higher.

“The FTSE 100 has reached yet another untouched summit, as investors remain in a positive mood. There has been a flurry of strong results from big hitters like Barclays and AstraZeneca on Thursday, which has helped carry the FTSE to these new highs. The market’s also reacting to the news that consumer confidence has improved slightly, according to data from GfK,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

NatWest

NatWest contributed to the positive earnings picture on Friday, as the stock gained more than 5% after announcing Q1 profits and income that beat expectations.

NatWest was the last of the UK-focused FTSE 100 banks to report this week and the market reaction to the stock was certainly the highlight of Lloyds, NatWest and Barclays.

“NatWest is best of the bunch. Lloyds and Barclays led the way this week and NatWest certainly hasn’t disappointed with first-quarter results very nearly a clean sweep vs expectations. Impairments came in lower than expected, net interest margin ticked higher from the previous quarter and both customer loans and deposit levels grew,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The UK banking sector looks strong. NatWest has followed its peers in calling out a slowing of some of the headwinds that have been impacting performance in recent quarters. Customers shifting to higher-rate accounts is slowing as expected, impairment rates on loans have stabilised at low levels, the economic outlook has improved, and balance sheets remain strong.”

Carclo shares bounce back

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Shares in life sciences and aerospace components supplier Carclo (LON: CAR) jumped 62.3% to 12.05p after a better than expected trading performance in the second half. Carclo is on course to return to profit in 2024-25.

There was a particularly strong fourth quarter, which reflects the focus on improving margins and the financial status of the business. The benefits of the restructuring are starting to show through. Net debt fell from £34.3m to £30.4m at the end of March 2024.

Carclo Technical Plastics is exiting unprofitable and non-core operations. The market conditions are tough, but the division has been resilient. The European operations have been restructured and the US businesses will be consolidated. This should be completed in the next six months.

The aerospace division is winning business in South Asia. The product range is being broadened.

The current focus is the US restructuring, and this will benefit profitability this year and in the future. The share price is the highest it has been since November 2023, but it is 44.6% lower than five years ago and 93.4% down over 10 years.  

Anglo American rejects BHP bid

Anglo American has rejected BHP’s unsolicited offer just a day after announcing it has received interest from the world’s largest mining company.

The company said in a statement that BHP’s bid ‘significantly undervalues Anglo American and its future prospects’.

Anglo American shares were down, but only marginally. This suggests the market thinks BHP will be back with a better offer before long.

“It’s no surprise that Anglo American has rejected BHP’s takeover bid. Anglo American has long seen itself as one of the big players in the market and it certainly won’t let a rival swoop on the business when its chips are down,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Miners have a habit of going through bad patches as they are juggling so many different risks and selling prices are, on the whole, out of their control due to the nature of the commodities market. Anglo American has certainly had its fair share of operational setbacks and negative readjustments to output guidance in recent times, but it will fight tooth and nail to stop any takeover attempts while it tries to get back on top.”

Mould continued to explain Anglo’s rejection of BHP bid follows a well trodden path in mining M&A which could see other players start a bidding war.

“The usual playbook for mega deals in the resources space is for the original suitor to respond to rejection by coming back with a better offer, or someone else throwing their hat into the ring. That contender could be Rio Tinto as it will certainly be watching activities with keen interest given it can see the same opportunity as BHP.”

AIM movers: Proteome Sciences contract and Aukett Swanke delays

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Drug development services provider Proteome Sciences (LON: PRM) has won a £500,000 contract from a US biopharma company. This is for mass spectrometry services for the analysis of samples for an ongoing critical trial. There is an increased interest in the services. There are four buys this morning. The share price rose 18.2% to 4.15p.

Molecular Energies (LON: MEN) ends its AIM stay on 29 April, so today is the last day of trading. The share price has improved 7.14% to 7.5p, which is 90% lower than at the beginning of 2024.

Kibo Energy (LON: KIBO) has a 55% stake in associated company Mast Energy Developments (LON: MAST), which says that its 9MW Pyebridge flexible power plant has passed its performance requirements, and it will make £308,000 of gross profit. A second phase will increase capacity and profit contribution. Kibo Energy shares are 6.67% ahead at 0.04p, while standard listed Mast Energy Developments is one-third higher at 0.5p.

Vehicles provider for film and TV productions Facilities by ADF (LON: ADF) was hit by the writers’ strike in 2023 and pre-tax profit fell from £4.8m to £900,000. Capital spending was delayed, although net debt increased to £12.9m. There has been a slow start to 2024 as schedules are rearranged. Pre-tax profit could still bounce back to £5m this year. The share price recovered 5.1% to 51.5p.

FALLERS

Aukett Swanke (LON: AUK) says that there have been delays in contracts starting, but the architecture and interior design services is more optimistic about the second half. A first half loss should be partly offset by the profit in the second half. The share price slipped 12.9% to 1.35p.

Trinity Exploration & Production (LON: TRIN) produced 2,670 barrels of oil/day, which is 2.5% down on the previous quarter. The Jacobin well has a sand blockage. The sales price was $69.90/barrel. There was cash of $8.6m at the end of March. Full year production guidance is maintained at 2,600-2,700 barrels/day. Tax changes should improve cash generation. The share price fell 7.69% to 36p.

Brickability Group (LON: BRCK) says fourth quarter trading was in line with expectations. Demand for bricks and building products continues to be depressed. Full year revenues were £594m, which 18% lower like-for-like. EBITDA should be at least £44.8m. The share price is 2.94% lower at 17.5p.

Thruvision Group (LON: THRU) generated 2023-24 revenues will be around £7.8m, down from £12.4m. A Large US Customs and Border Protection contract was not repeated. The security technology developer improved gross margin to 53%. The EBITDA loss was £2.5m. There was £4.1m in the bank at the end of March 2024. The share price dipped 2.78% to 17.5p.

The Pros and Cons Of Selling Property To A Cash Buyer

Selling a property can often be a daunting experience, fraught with stress and uncertainty. From navigating the complexities and expenses of the process to dealing with potential setbacks like delays and broken chains, the challenges are numerous. In the UK alone, statistics show that a staggering one in four house sales failed in 2023. Opting for a cash offer on your house can alleviate much of this stress and streamline the sale process significantly.

The definition of a cash buyer is straightforward: they possess the financial capability to purchase a property outright, without relying on mortgages or loans. However, the crucial distinction lies in the availability of funds at the time of making an offer. While some agents may tout potential buyers as cash-ready, the truth may be murkier. In certain cases, these supposed cash buyers may need to sell their property first to secure the necessary funds, blurring the line between genuine cash buyers and those reliant on subsequent transactions.

For the most part, the sales process remains the same. However, the absence of mortgage acquisition for cash buyers eliminates a significant administrative hurdle. Prudent cash buyers typically undertake due diligence akin to that of lenders. This involves conducting surveys and property searches to assess the building’s condition and potential liabilities. While these steps are still integral to the process, cash buyers often expedite them compared to lenders, resulting in a faster transaction timeline.

Source: Unsplash

The benefits of a cash-buyer sale

Selling to a cash buyer offers distinct advantages. Firstly, it eliminates the complexities of the property chain, significantly reducing the risk of the sale collapsing due to third-party issues. Secondly, there’s no need to contend with mortgage-related setbacks, a common cause of failed sales. Since cash buyers don’t require mortgages, the transaction is inherently more secure.

Sellers will often ask: can I sell my house for cash quickly? The answer is “yes”, especially through a cash-buyer company. They will accelerate the process by making an offer after consulting easily accessible tools such as the Land Registry and Rightmove Plus. They also have the processes in place to organise a prompt site visit, issuing a sale offer shortly after. Moreover, the absence of mortgage lenders expedites the process, ensuring a faster completion timeline compared to traditional sales.

Consider the disadvantages too

Of course, there are notable drawbacks to consider too. Firstly, cash offers typically come in lower than market value, as buyers leverage the perceived benefits of a swift transaction. This can translate to sellers accepting less than they would through traditional sales channels.

Additionally, despite the assurance of a cash transaction, there’s still the risk of deals falling through if the buyer has a change of heart or encounters unforeseen circumstances. The cash buyer market is also susceptible to scams, ranging from hidden fees to sudden price reductions. It’s advisable to collaborate with a reputable estate agent who can offer guidance and protection throughout the process to mitigate these risks.

While selling property to a cash buyer presents a tempting solution to alleviate the stresses of the traditional sales process, it’s essential to weigh the pros and cons carefully. Cash buyers offer the advantage of bypassing the complexities of property chains and mortgage-related setbacks, ensuring a more secure and expedited transaction. However, sellers must be prepared for potentially lower offers and remain vigilant against the risks.

NatWest shares jump on solid Q1 update

NatWest wrapped up Q1 2024 earnings from the FTSE 100’s UK-focused banks with solid numbers across the board as profits and income fell, but beat analyst expectations.

Total income was better than expected at £3.5bn, and Net Interest Margins were flying high at 2.05% compared to 1.98% expected. In the context of last year’s performance, NatWest’s results were much lower than those of the comparable period, but this was to be expected.

There were no real surprises in NatWest’s update, more a slightly better performance over the period than the doomsayers had predicted at the beginning of the year. The UK economy has slowed, and interest rates are set to drop, marking the end of a favourable period of income margins. The 3% tick higher in NatWest shares on Friday is a sign of investors’ approval of how NatWest is navigating the current environment.

Investors will have been watching closely for the impact of a slowdown at the end of last year and how it played into earnings. An impairment charge of roughly less than half of what was expected will help confidence in the bank as the UK economy exits recession. 

“NatWest is best of the bunch. Lloyds and Barclays led the way this week and NatWest certainly hasn’t disappointed with first-quarter results very nearly a clean sweep vs expectations. Impairments came in lower than expected, net interest margin ticked higher from the previous quarter and both customer loans and deposit levels grew,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The UK banking sector looks strong. NatWest has followed its peers in calling out a slowing of some of the headwinds that have been impacting performance in recent quarters. Customers shifting to higher-rate accounts is slowing as expected, impairment rates on loans have stabilised at low levels, the economic outlook has improved, and balance sheets remain strong.”

Lookng forward, Britzman was upbeat on the general environment for NatWest and how it will deal with interest rate expectations.

“Of the UK-listed banks, NatWest looks best placed to benefit from a higher rate environment as its structural hedge comes off some of the lowest rates in the sector. Think of this like a bond portfolio that’s rolling on to higher yields over the next few years. Management has kept guidance largely in place, which still looks on the conservative side given it factors in several rate cuts this year that really don’t look likely to come. That leaves NatWest not only with the potential for operational strength but also paves the way for positive income surprises later in the year.”

Tekcapital Innovative Eyewear addresses $4bn safety glasses market with new patents

Tekcapital portfolio company Innovative Eyewear has recently received notices of allowance on three new design patents covering its forthcoming Lucyd Armor smart safety glasses product. The allowed design patents (application Nos. 29/806,204, 29/806/207, 29/806/209) protect the ornamental design of the AR-enabled protective eyewear.

The company has also filed new utility and design patent applications specifically covering the functional and aesthetic aspects of the Lucyd Armor glasses, as it prepares for the product’s launch in mid-2024. Lucyd Armor combines critical safety features with Innovative Eyewear’s open-ear audio and artificial intelligence capabilities.

The developments represent a new application for the company, which opens the door to an entirely new market.

The global safety glasses segment, which spans construction, manufacturing, healthcare and research fields, is projected to reach $4.18 billion in value by 2030. By integrating hands-free communication and computing into industry-approved protective eyewear, the company aims to enhance collaboration and productivity for teams across numerous work environments requiring safety gear.

To facilitate team coordination through the Lucyd Armor glasses, Innovative Eyewear offers the Vyrb mobile app providing voice-over-IP chatrooms capable of hosting up to 100 participants simultaneously on both iOS and Android platforms.

Innovative Eyewear CEO Harrison Gross said:

“Lucyd Armor smart safety glasses are a unique product and the culmination of rigorous in-house R&D, which we are thrilled to bring to the personal protective equipment market. We believe these products will deliver a cutting-edge experience to safety glass users around the world, making it easier than ever for industrial workers to communicate handsfree in a wide range of environments. We are commencing testing to ensure our smart safety eyewear meets US Occupational Safety and Health Administration Agency’s standards and expect to have the glasses available to consumers in the coming months. In addition to our direct-to-consumer channels such as Amazon and BestBuy.com, we look forward to launching Lucyd Armor in hardware and home improvement stores, developing an entirely new vertical for the company.”