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Lekoil oil shares down as loss widens
Amazon’s Q3 profits triple amid online shopping boom
The company is “offering jobs with industry-leading pay and great healthcare, including to entry-level and frontline employees, is even more meaningful in a time like this, and we’re proud to have created over 400,000 jobs this year alone”.
Amazon is seeing “more customers than ever shopping early for their holiday gifts, which is just one of the signs that this is going to be an unprecedented holiday season. Big thank you to our employees.”
Since the start of the year, the group has created 400,000 jobs. Earlier this week, the online retailer said it would create 100,000 seasonal jobs to the current workforce. Amazon has forecast revenue for Q4 to be between $112bn and $121bn, however, it warned that Covid-related costs could hit profits. “In total, we have incurred more than $7.5bn in incremental COVID-related costs in the first three quarters of 2020, and we expect to incur approximately $4bn in Q4,” said CFO Brian Olsavsky.IAG swings to €5.5bn loss
NatWest beats forecasts and returns to profit
Vietnam: How Asia’s blossoming economy tackled the pandemic
How did Vietnam manage the crisis?
Every single person who tested positive for coronavirus, regardless of the severity of their illness, was taken to hospital for treatment and monitoring. Anyone who had come into contact with an infected person – down to the fourth degree of separation – was instructed to self-isolate at home, while the army was drafted in to sanitise entire neighbourhoods. The Guardian described Vietnam’s pandemic response as “acting as if this were biological warfare”. Ultimately, it appears as if Vietnam’s draconian measures have worked. Compared to the swathe of countries across Europe now battling a second wave – with German Chancellor Angela Merkel warning of a “long, hard winter” ahead – Vietnam has so far avoided another surge in infections. Craig Martin, Manager of Vietnam Holding (LON:VNH) – a “closed-end investment fund dedicated to sustainable investments in Vietnamese equities” – commented on the country’s success in tackling the pandemic: “Vietnam’s handling of COVID-19 has rightly won praise and admiration from many other nations. Books will be written on how Asia as a whole dealt with the pandemic versus ‘the West’ and ‘the rest’. “It is too early to attribute any one factor as the key success factor, but certainly the cohesiveness of society and the single-mindedness of the people in taking on a threat has been a key part of the resilient response”. He emphasised the fact that Vietnam has prior experience in dealing with pandemic scenarios; it was one of the first countries to be affected by the SARS epidemic in 2003, and has a long track record of outbreaks of both Avian and Swine flu viruses which, like the coronavirus, are highly-contagious and can be fatal. Martin added that Vietnam’s experience from similar outbreaks has led to the country being able to develop “better responses, protocols and communications to deal with emerging infections, and indeed pandemics”. Even while the country embarked on a strict lockdown during the peak, Vietnam has been praised for its economic policy, striving to keep trade running even as the rest of the world shut its borders. Dien Vu Huu, Portfolio Manager of Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited (LON:VEIL), hailed Vietnam’s economically savvy approach: “From early March air, land and sea borders were all but sealed to human traffic though not to trade. Formal lockdowns have been few, brief and localized, which has limited the economic impact while monetary and fiscal easing have been aggressive, with local government bonds now bearing negative real yields. “Hospitality and tourism have been affected of course, but domestic consumption has rebounded and stabilised and exports continue to grow”. Some may recognise an echo of British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s recent – and controversial – regional strategy in Vietnam’s localised lockdowns. But while the UK government faces accusations of being too lax about the second wave, Vietnam’s government has mostly been praised for its ergonomic approach. That being said, the UK continues to battle a steep rise in Covid cases, whereas Vietnam’s relatively few recent cases have not even been home-grown, but the result of tourists travelling with the virus. All the latest cases were quarantined on arrival, and it looks as if Vietnam’s coronavirus success story is not in danger after all.Future investment opportunities to look out for
As Vietnam emerges from the pandemic, it is ripe for investors to dip their toes into its blossoming economy. Khanh Vu, Co-Manager of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund (LON:VOF), urged investors to consider adding Vietnamese projects to their portfolios: “The main attraction of investing in Vietnam is that the country is following in the footsteps of other ‘Asian Tiger’ economies that came before it such as Japan, Korea and Taiwan. “So the future trajectory of Vietnam’s per capita income, consumer spending, and of the general wealth of its citizens is fairly clear”. Emily Fletcher, Portfolio Manager of BlackRock Frontiers (LON:BRFI), added: “Vietnam has been a poster child for frontier markets, having experienced strong economic and social development over the past two decades”. Indeed, Vietnam has enjoyed more than $149 billion in foreign direct investment inflows over the past two decades, supported by “accelerating supply chain migration from China – a trend that was established well before trade tensions between China and the US emerged”. This has driven “huge increases” in manufacturing production, with exports growing at a compound annual growth rate of 15.8% in the last 20 years. “Domestically,” Fletcher says, “demographics are in favour of sustainable growth”. Craig Martin emphasised that Vietnam is still steadily on an upward economic trajectory, and investors should seriously consider its potential: “Vietnam’s GDP per capita is expected to reach $5,000 by 2025, and by 2035 there could be a further 35 million middle-income consumers in the country. “We think this provides exciting prospects for investors. Vietnam is a very open economy from a trade perspective, with more than 200% of its GDP in exports and imports”. Since the 1990s, Vietnam has transformed its economy from primarily exporting raw materials, to producing “finished and semi-finished goods, as well as exporting services – such as information technology”.Which kinds of investment to consider
BlackRock’s Fletcher was keen to highlight Vietnam’s potential for consumer products, with technology and foods posed to be particularly lucrative in the years ahead: “The young, relatively well educated, and increasingly connected population has helped steer change in how businesses interact with consumers. “With over 51 million smartphone users, representing 80% of the population aged 15 years and older, awareness of mobile internet and usage has increased, sparking further evolution of retail services. “Similarly, the global trend of improving health and wellness has not been lost on Vietnam, leading to shifts in nutritional preferences and the way people shop for food. Seen through this lens, consumer related industries remain preferred areas for investment”. VinaCapital’s Vu, however, added that the manufacturing sector looks set to enjoy a post-pandemic boom: “Currently, the manufacturing sector accounts for less than 20% of Vietnam’s economy, but manufacturing contributed over 30% of GDP in each Asian Tiger economy at the peak. “This is an indication of the extent to which Vietnam’s future economic growth will be driven by the further development of the manufacturing sector – and the COVID-prompted relocation of factories from China to Vietnam will accelerate this development”.The road ahead
While the rest of the world’s economies shake off a coronavirus-induced slumber and tackle the dreaded second wave of infections, Vietnam has emerged from the crisis better than most Western countries, and with a renewed appetite for foreign investment ventures. Gabriel Sachs, Manager on Aberdeen Standard Asia Focus (LON:AAS), stated: “The country has been one of the fastest-growing markets in the region and we don’t see that changing. The government has handled COVID-19 very well which means the economy is operating rather normally now and the consumer is in reasonably good shape”.ECB stimulus and US GDP see global equites take a breather ahead of election
“A degree of calm has descended on markets again today, with some overnight reversal for equity markets, ahead of a vital day of central bank news, GDP figures and of course a barrage of earnings reports. Whether this will be enough to stem the avalanche of selling that has dominated the week so far remains to be seen.”
Indeed, ECB chief, Christine Lagarde, indicated that the central bank will continue stimulus by expanding its bond-buying programme in December, as Europe prepares itself for a ‘very negative’ November, following lockdown announcements in France and Germany. In the US, a better-than-forecast Q3 GDP rebound of 33.1% – versus a 31.4% contraction in Q2 – was enough to give investors a boost of confidence, and mask the pain felt by the average American, which will likely be reflected more accurately in Q4 figures. In terms of where these updates leave global equities ahead of the presidential election, the answer is: pretty flat. As Mr Beauchamp said:“Investors have witnessed a tremendous reset in equities over the past few days, which for some is a harbinger of another sell-off like February and March (the rise in virus cases and the return of lockdowns providing support for this idea) but for others, particularly in the US, is merely a wave of pre-election jitters that might help set up equities for a bounce after the election, assuming that event goes smoothly.”
“With a few days left until the election however, there are unlikely to be many bargain hunters out shopping this side of the weekend, which sets up the potential for another flush in stocks to provide just the right kind of market turmoil as a backdrop to this hotly-contested presidential election.”
At the end of trading, Eurozone equities were up marginally, with the DAX rising 0.26% to 11,590, and the CAC up 0.070% to 4,574 points. Similarly, inteh US, the Dow Jones has so far rallied by 0.40%, to 26,626 points – though well shy of its 28,800 point levels seen a couple of weeks back.
Unfortunately, despite some cheery company data, the FTSE fell just the wrong side of the fence.
“There has been a slew of good company updates on the FTSE 100 this morning, although perhaps ‘less bad’ is a better description for the Q3 figures from the likes of Lloyds, Shell and BT,” Beauchamp adds.
Unable to be saved by Lloyds (LON:LLOY) reporting a plus-£1 billion profit and a share price increase of over 2%, the FTSE 100 slid just below where it started. Having at one point risen by around 30 points, the FTSE finished down by 0.019%, at 5,581 points.Octopus Renewables acquires 24MW construction-ready wind farm for £50m
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Twitter reacts to Corbyn being suspended from the Labour Party
Antisemitism certainly wasn’t the hot topic on the public agenda when today’s news broke, but will certainly divert some attention from the tired Boris Johnson, who’ll be grateful that Labour have given commentators something else to talk about. Responding to the ruling by the EHRC, and Labour’s decision to suspend him, Corbyn has said he will contest the findings.BREAKING: Jeremy Corbyn suspended from Labour.
“In light of his comments made today and his failure to retract them subsequently, the Labour Party has suspended Jeremy Corbyn pending investigation. He has also had the whip removed from the Parliamentary Labour Party” – spox — Pippa Crerar (@PippaCrerar) October 29, 2020
Twitter users on both sides have also taken to voicing their opinions, with many commenting that Corbyn has spent several decades fighting racism both in and out of Parliament, with a few describing him as ‘the most decent person’ in British politics.I will strongly contest the political intervention to suspend me.
I’ve made absolutely clear those who deny there has been an antisemitism problem in the Labour Party are wrong. I will continue to support a zero tolerance policy towards all forms of racism. — Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) October 29, 2020
Others have called the move out as a direct attempt to subvert the leftists of the party, with one user noting that Corbyn was the first on the list of MPs highlighted to have been suspended. A former Labour MP added:Jeremy Corbyn is not an anti-Semite.
— Gravel Institute (@GravelInstitute) October 29, 2020
In contrast, many are pleased that Starmer’s Labour appears to be expelling the old guard who – guilty or otherwise – have been heavily associated with remarks and behaviours deemed by the EHRC report to be anti-Semitic.It’s appalling that Jeremy Corbyn has been suspended by the Labour Party, but it should surprise no one.
Socialists in the Party must stop deluding themselves: this was always about destroying Jeremy and criminalising criticism of Israel. It had nothing to do with anti-Semitism! — Chris Williamson (@DerbyChrisW) October 29, 2020
Of course, coup or not, Starmer’s team takes a real gamble with this latest move. Certainly, they’d made a vocal commitment to stamping out any reported sources of anti-Semitism within the party. However, many of the party’s left-leaning support core simply do not believe that Corbyn is a racist, and that remarks seen as anti-Semitic were instead critiques of Israeli political policy. Whichever of these reports is true, it is clear that Starmer has a lot of work to do to re-earn the mantle as leader of the ‘party of unity’. Many on the left will now be looking away from Labour – either offering their support to another party, or starting a party of their own. What is on Starmer’s side is time, and with four years until the next, calendared election, he has a lot of time to soothe wounds and flatten out rough edges. We mustn’t forget, though, that Corbyn isn’t gone. For now, he’s merely been distanced, and much to the chagrin of Mr Starmer, he may yet return:Hugely impressed by Starmer’s willingness to confront racism. Suspending Corbyn shows real political courage.
— Nick Cohen (@NickCohen4) October 29, 2020
It reminds me of a (somewhat butchered) Machiavelli proverb: if you are to harm your enemy, kill them. If you merely injure them, they shall remember, and seek vengeance upon you. If Corbyn finds his way back to Westminster, Starmer may have booked himself an uncomfortable time as leader.Worth remembering that it’s *suspends* not *expels*. There has to be due process: that, after all, is partly what the EHRC was so concerned about in its report. Labour may have to ‘welcome’ him back in due course. So, while it’s quite something, it’s not the end – not yet anyway https://t.co/sa4sEjtPSp
— Tim Bale (@ProfTimBale) October 29, 2020
