FTSE 100 consolidates as oil falls and UK GDP beat fails to inspire

The FTSE 100 was lower in early trade on Thursday before recovering as the recent rally in global stocks showed signs of consolidation after a surging recovery rally from Trump tariffs that has taken UK and US stocks into positive territory for the year.

Lower oil prices were the main detractor from improving investor sentiment as investors reacted to Trump’s comments on Iran and prepared for a number of risk events, including central bank speeches.

London’s leading index had just turned positive on the session at the time of writing after falling 60 points in the very early stage of trade on Thursday.

“A big pullback in oil prices weighed on markets across Europe,” says Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Traders focused on the prospect of a US/Iran nuclear deal which could see economic sanctions lifted on the latter and potentially lead to greater supplies of oil. That weighed on shares in BP and Shell which pulled down the FTSE 100. Commodities trader Glencore was also weak.”

Investors also digested stronger-than-expected UK GDP figures, which showed the economy successfully navigated a number of risks in Q1 to produce growth of 0.7% – the fastest pace of growth for a year.

However, analysis of the numbers reveals that the uptick in activity can be attributed to businesses preparing for the trade war as opposed to any meaningful improvement in demand.

“The better-than-expected growth snapshot also appears to have underwhelmed investors,” explained Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“UK GDP data may have surprised on the upside, but the upswing in activity risks fizzling out given the uncertainty on the horizon. There was a surge in business investment during the quarter, after a fall at the end of last year. With the threat of tariffs hovering which looked set to push up prices, it looks like there was a spell of buying of machinery and IT.”

FTSE 100 movers

Aviva shares helped the FTSE 100 turn positive with a 2% gain after releasing a very respectable round-up of Q1 trading. General insurance premiums rose 9%, wealth flows boosted AUM, and retirement sales increased 4%.

“Aviva’s prowess as an insurance titan shone through in the first quarter with strong signals across the board. The benefits of recent acquisitions are starting to manifest with both new business and the Probitas deal driving General Insurance premiums up 12% to £2bn in the UK and Ireland,” said Derren Nathan, head of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Meanwhile, last year’s acquisition of assets from AIG helped spur a 19% increase in Protection and Health Sales. And despite a major client loss, net flows into Wealth were positive at 5%.”

JD Sports was the FTSE 100’s top riser as investors bought into the sports retailer after Footlocker shares soared 60% in the US pre-market on a takeover approach from Dick’s Sporting Goods.

Natural resources shares BP, Glencore, and Antofagasta were among the fallers amid lower commodity prices. Recent gains for the sector have also created short-term profit-taking opportunities for traders.

3i was the top faller after the investment trust reported NAV growth that fell short of analyst estimates. 3i shares were down 7% despite NAV increasing 22% in the year to 31 March.

Share Tip: Greencore Group – excellent results news and agreement for the Bakkavor acquisition

This morning’s Interim Results announcement from the Greencore Group (LON:GNC) were excellent. 
The company, which is one of the UK’s leading convenience foods manufacturers, showed that the half-year to 28th March saw a 6.5% improvement in its revenues at £922.0m (£866.1m), while its adjusted pre-tax profits were up 105.9% at £34.8m (£16.9m), generating a massive 117.9% increase in its earnings to 6.1p (2.8p) per share. 
The Business 
Greencore which is headquartered in Dublin supplies all of the major supermarkets in the UK, also supply convenience and travel retail outlets, d...

GreenFox: Unlock your share of the UK’s £20bn Domestic Solar Opportunity

With half their current funding target already met, and its co-founders committing an additional 30% new money over and above the raise target, GreenFox Energy is a differentiated renewable energy company in a hurry. Hosted on the CrowdCube platform, there’s just over a week left to get a share of this rapidly growing, and already consistently profitable business. Find it here

The UK is on the cusp of a renewable energy revolution—and GreenFox is ideally positioned to lead it.

GreenFox is an installer of domestic solar systems, batteries, and related technologies, offering customers a trusted, high-quality route to clean energy. The company combines expert installation with a branded care and maintenance plan that keeps systems efficient, productive, protected, and supported over the long term. 

With a growing addressable market and customer appetite for clean energy and peace of mind, GreenFox is poised for scale.

A Premium & Differentiated Proposition

GreenFox selects top-tier components from trusted brands and manages installation and commissioning for domestic customers. Its model centers on:

  • Customer trust & transparency: Fixed pricing, reliable timelines, and responsive support
  • Best-in-class service – as evidenced by their status as a Which? 5-star trusted trader with full industry accreditations and an unblemished 5-star record of customer reviews
  • ’Good/Better/Best’ brand and product offerings from trusted partner brands like Solis, Duracell & Tesla.
  • Lifetime value: An optional annual care plan offering performance checks, issue diagnosis, cleaning and expert support – including ‘on-tap’ tariff advice.

This combination of reliability and ongoing care positions GreenFox as a “safe pair of hands” with the reasurring feel of a premium consumer brand for homeowners joining the renewable energy transition.

Vixen Care Plan: Meeting an Overlooked Need

The company’s most powerful growth lever is its subscription-based care and maintenance plan. For a modest annual fee, customers receive diagnostics, system health checks, performance reports, and priority support.

While 55% of UK homeowners pay for annual boiler cover, fewer than 1% of solar owners have any structured maintenance—despite investing thousands in these systems.

GreenFox is already capitalising on this gap. It has a 35% attachment rate from installation to care plan subscription, reflecting strong customer demand. Additionally, 40% of service plan sales come from non-GreenFox installation customers, showing brand appeal beyond its install base. As yet, very few providers are seeking to offer this service giving GreenFox a valuable head-start.

The care plan offers not just homeowner reassurance—it builds a predictable, high-margin recurring revenue stream, compounding with each installation and pulling in third-party customers. Gross margins to date sit at 30% and are intended to ease off to 26% as the company seeks to acquire scale and customer volume rapidly over the next two years. 

The Market: A Sleeping Giant

The domestic solar market in the UK is both large and underpenetrated:

  • 70% of UK homes are suitable for solar, yet only 10% have made the switch, leaving 12 million homes untapped and a profit pool over £20 billion.
  • 99% of installed systems lack care plans, despite concerns about long-term performance and savings.
  • GreenFox projects a 55% adoption rate for care plans among solar homes, suggesting an ARR opportunity of £125 million.

This dual opportunity—conversion and care—places GreenFox at the heart of the UK’s clean energy growth story.

A Clear Path to Exit

While installations deliver upfront income and open up a selling channel for subscriptions and future add-on sales, the Vixen care plan is the driver of long-term, recurring value and elevates this investment opportunity. 

Crucially, GreenFox’s founders are pursuing a short sprint to growth and exit. Only one more raise is planned—in around 18 months—contingent on achieving FY25/26 and FY26/27 financial targets – none of which require the introduction of new service lines or propositions – just scaling across the UK through higher impact marketing and the acquisition of further technical delivery resources . Having achieved these milestones the company intends to pursue a strategic sale to a major utility or domestic services provider.

This exit strategy is aligned with market trends. Most large utility providers are currently delivering renewable services through fragmented, arms-length third-party arrangements, which often produce inconsistent customer outcomes and leave parts of the UK un or under-serviced. As pressure mounts on these companies to decarbonise homes and professionalise solar delivery, acquisition will become the logical path to scale.

GreenFox, with its national installer base, growing subscription footprint, and strong consumer brand, is an ideal platform for acquirers lacking direct customer relationships or service capability.

Timing and Tailwinds

GreenFox is entering the market at an ideal time:

  • Energy prices remain unstable, prompting consumers to seek self-sufficiency
  • Climate awareness is high, with policy and planning rules shifting in favour of solar
  • Homeowners want stability and energy independence

Market readiness, policy momentum, and consumer demand all support GreenFox’s model and growth potential.

A Scalable National Platform Ready for Exit

GreenFox is building a national platform for the installation and maintenance of domestic clean energy systems. By prioritising high quality products, honest & transparent advice, excellent customer service and care plans, we focus on what homeowners truly want: clarity, reliability, savings and a trusted partner to help them navigate renewables.

The opportunity is clear. Millions of homes remain unconverted. Millions more lack care. GreenFox is uniquely positioned to serve both markets—earning immediate revenue from installations and long-term ARR through subscriptions.

For investors, this is a chance to back a high-growth, time-limited value creation story, supported by strong fundamentals and a well-structured exit path.

GreenFox isn’t just participating in the clean energy transition—it’s building the consumer brand and service platform that others will aspire to.

Visit Greenfox Energy Crowdcube page

ITV: Content is king as advertising revenue falls

ITV shares dipped on Thursday after the broadcaster and media group announced Q1 trading and an overall drop in total revenue as their advertising-focused media business experienced a slowdown.

The group’s total revenue fell 1% in the first quarter while the total external revenue rose 4%.

ITV Studios has long been ITV’s bright spot, demonstrated by the 1% increase in revenue during the first quarter, as streaming services boost their spending on ITV’s content.

“ITV put in a solid showing over the first quarter, with strong sales of content to the likes of Netflix and Amazon Prime Video helping to offset a tough comparable period for advertising revenue,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The Studios business returned to growth after shrugging off the after-effects of the US writers’ and actors’ strike, and it’s expecting to grow revenue ahead of the broader content market, with performance weighted to the second half.”

However, it’s ITV’s traditional advertising and media business that is dragging on performance. Despite online revenue surging 15% during the period, total advertising revenue declined 2%.

“The Media & Entertainment (M&E) side of the business saw revenues decline slightly, with comparable numbers set to get worse next quarter as last year’s figures benefited massively from the men’s Euro’s 2024,” Chiekrie explained.

“Compared to 2023, first-half total advertising revenues are expected to be broadly flat. Within M&E, ITVX continued its stellar run, with an uptick in monthly active users and total streaming hours growing at double-digit rates. With more eyeballs on ITV’s screens, advertising revenues are flowing in, and the group remains hopeful of delivering at least £750mn on digital revenue by 2026.”

ITV’s wariness about the outlook for its revenue and profit was underscored by its decision to include £30m cost savings in the financial highlights of the announcement made on Thursday.

ITV shares were down 2% at the time of writing. Probably a stock to buy on any weakness to trade the range.

AIM movers: H&T recommends bid and Empyrean Energy well plugged

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Pawnbroker H&T (LON: HAT) is recommending a 650p/share cash bid from FirstCash and shareholders will also receive the previously announced 11p/share final dividend. This values H&T at £297m. FirstCash operates pawnbrokers in the US and Latin America and this deal will take it into the UK. The additional backing could accelerate expansion. H&T rejected the first approach and started talks after the fourth proposal. The share price jumped 40.2% to 642p.

Oil and gas company Corcel (LON: CRCL) is acquiring a 27% additional stake in KON-16 in Angola for $500,000 and a 5% overriding royalty on the first development area. Corcel is selling on a 5% stake to Sintana Energy for $2.5m and Sintana Energy will receive 2.5% net profit interest on Corcel’s share of KON-16 until it reaches $50m, when it reduces to 1.5%. Corcel will have a 71.5% net interest in KON-16, which is valued at $36m based on the Sintana Energy investment. That is double the valuation of Corcel. The share price increased 24.1% to 0.27p.

Metals One (LON: MET1) has agreed to acquire the exploration lease over the Swales gold property, which is within the Carlin gold trend in Nevada. There are 40 unpatented mining claims with others identified. This diversifies the company’s assets and provides exposure to a prolific mining area. The share price improved 12% to 41.15p.

Tertiary Minerals (LON: TYM) has highlighted is Mushima North project in Zambia and multiple targets have been identified. Initial drilling is promising. The main target is a polymetallic silver copper zinc prospect. The share price rose 5.56% to 0.0475p.

FALLERS

Oil and gas producer Empyrean Energy (LON: EME) says the Wilson River-1 drill stem test has been completed and confirms the recovery of formation water. The well has been plugged and abandoned. The share price slumped 59.5% to 0.0375p.

In content advertising technology develop Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) has raised £1.5m at 0.01p/share and a WRAP retail offer could raise up to £200,000. The retail offer closes at 4.30pm on 15 May. There are non-binding heads of joint venture agreement with a US technology company, which will take on the exclusive right to market the technology to existing media partners. There will be a one-off payment of £200,000 and a revenues share. A potential Middle East deal could generate revenues of £400,000/year. Monthly cost savings of up to £295,000 could be achieved. Mirriad Advertising will focus on white label and licence offerings. Louis Wakefield is taking over as chief executive. There should be 12 months of cash available to the company. The share price slipped a further 34% to 0.0165p.

Advanced materials developer Versarien (LON: VRS) is raising £425,000 via a placing at 0.0275p/share. This will finance a mortar mixing plant to scale production of 3D construction printing mortars. The January placing was at 0.033p/share. The share price fell 26.3% to 0.0295p.

Arc Minerals (LON: ARCM) is assessing future targeting options for the Zambia copper project joint venture with Anglo America. The most recent three hole identified no significant intercepts. Arc Minerals is progressing towards the acquisition of the Chingola project. The share price is 16.4% lower at 1.15p.

Innovative Eyewear shares soar as margins expand amid higher revenues

Innovative Eyewear shares soared in the US pre-market after announcing unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting substantial improvements in gross margin and continued revenue growth.

The company reported net revenue of $454,501 for the quarter ended 31 March 2025, representing a 19% increase from $383,471 in the corresponding period of 2024.

This growth was primarily driven by increased unit sales volume following the launch of Nautica and Eddie Bauer Powered by Lucyd collections and the Lucyd Armor safety smart glasses line during 2024.

Innovative Eyewear shares were 55% higher in the US premarket.

The recently launched Reebok line was released after the period, and investors will look forward to their contribution to sales in the company’s next quarterly update.

Most notably, Innovative Eyewear achieved a remarkable improvement in gross profit margin, which rose to 49% in Q1 2025 compared to just 2% in Q1 2024.

The bumper increase in margins was attributed to lower frame costs through greater economies of scale and improved product price/mix, along with reduced prescription lens fulfilment costs following strategic management actions.

To support the expansion of its Reebok and Lucyd Armor product lines, the company has strengthened its sales team with two new directors who bring substantial experience in optical and hardware sales.

“Our 2025 first quarter revenue reflects our continued investments in product lines, marketing and advertising initiatives, as well as increased public interest and growth in smart glasses,” said Harrison Gross, CEO of Innovative Eyewear Inc.

“We are also happy to see our efforts to improve gross margins bear effect. As we look ahead to the rest of 2025, we believe we are well positioned to build on our momentum and significantly grow total revenues and market share. I am particularly excited about the potential of our newly launched Reebok® product line, which expanded our portfolio to include smart glasses for active lifestyles, coupled with the continued significant traction of the Lucyd ArmorTM smart safety glasses. Both product lines address vast subsets of the eyewear market which were previously underserved by smart eyewear providers.”

FTSE 100 steady again as interest rate concerns creep in, Imperial Brands weighs

The FTSE 100 lagged behind US stocks again on Wednesday as concerns about interest rates weighed on sentiment, and declines for Imperial Brands and Compass Group offset gains in BAE Systems.

The S&P 500 added another 0.7% yesterday to take the index 0.3% higher on the year. The rally was led by the world’s largest tech shares, with Nvidia rallying 5% and Palantir jumping 8%.

However, concerns about interest rates in the UK prevented London’s leading index from absorbing enthusiasm radiating from the US.

The FTSE 100 was just about positive, adding 0.1%, at the time of writing.

“Stocks stateside have gone on a run as more trade deals are inked, but the baton hasn’t been passed to the FTSE 100, which is flat in early trade,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The more cautious sentiment may partly have been prompted by concerns that interest rates look set to stay higher for longer in the UK. Bank of England policymakers have been striking notes of wariness about the risk that inflation may stay stubbornly above target.”

Imperial Brand was the FTSE 100’s top faller after currency swings sent reported revenue 3.1% lower and operating profit down by 2.5% in the six months to 31st March. However, it was the news that the CEO was stepping down which caused shares to drop by over 7%. The group enjoyed constant currency growth across all regions.

Gold shares were again among the losers as ongoing improvements in trade relations between the US and key partners further reduced the interest in gold mining stocks. Endeavour Mining fell 0.7% while Fresnillo gave up 0.1% on Wednesday.

“Despite yesterday’s rebound, gold continues to show clear signs of short-term weakness. The precious metal is now trading steadily below $3,300/oz as key drivers in recent weeks — including trade tensions and inflationary pressure — have simultaneously shown signs of easing,” said Linh Tran, Market Analyst at XS.com.

Compass Group shares were down 4% after the food group announced reasonable first-half sales growth but opted to invest cash back into the business and hold off fresh share buybacks.

BAE Systems was the FTSE 100 top riser after Saudi Arabia demonstrated its defence spending power through a deal with the US. BAE Systems shares were 2% higher at the time of writing.

Burberry shares soar as strategic plan bears fruit

Burberry shares were sharply higher on Wednesday after the luxury brand revealed the initial success of its ‘Burberry Forward’ strategic plan, designed to improve retail sales.

Following a difficult start to the year, Burberry has begun to turn things around after launching its strategic plan, with the pace of sales declines slowing to 5% in H2 compared to a 20% decline in H1.

Burberry has taken decisive steps to rebalance its product offering with a “fewer, bigger ideas” strategy and aligned pricing with luxury market expectations. In-store visual merchandising has been enhanced, while digital styling updates have delivered improved online performance.

Burberry is going back to basics to revive sales. The brand was built on the famous check pattern that hasn’t featured as heavily in recent lines, and analysts have highlighted the group’s efforts to refocus on design synonymous with the brand’s legacy.

“Burberry is refocusing on heritage staples like its iconic trench and checked coats, moving away from short-lived fashion trends. This reinforces its brand identity, appeals to loyal and traditional customers, and may help cushion against downturns in the luxury market,” said Yanmei Tang, Analyst at Third Bridge.

“However, challenges remain. Our experts note that in categories like leather goods and footwear, Burberry struggles to compete with more established luxury players such as Louis Vuitton and Hermès.”

There are also challenges from the macro environment, which has been far from favourable for luxury brands.

That said, Burberry said they were confident they were ‘positioning the business for a return to sustainable, profitable growth’.

The market liked their optimism and the progress in their turnaround plan to date. Burberry shares jumped over 9% in early trade.

AIM movers: California approval for Eden Research and more disappointment form Revolution Beauty

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Eden Research (LON: EDEN) has received regulatory approval for the use of Mevalone for the control of powdery mildew on grapes in California. This is the most prevalent fungal diseases for grapes in California. The addressable market is €94m. The share price is one-fifth ahead at 3.3p.

Productivity optimisation software provider ActiveOps (LON: AOM) has won upsell work that includes £1m of annualised recurring revenues and £1.5m of training and implementation services. Canaccord Genuity estimates that 93% of its forecast 2025-26 full year revenues of £32.8m. Net cash is likely to reach £21m at the end of 2025. The share price rose 7.66% to 119.5p.

Digital technology company Catenai (LON: CTAI) has signed a subscription agreement with Alludium and the terms are in line with previous announcements. In the initial subscription, Catenai will take a 8.3% stake in Alludium at 73p/share. The share price improved 2.5% to 0.41p.

Angling Direct (LON: ANG) is doing well in a consolidating retail market for fishing tackle retailers. Revenues increased from £81.7m to £91.3m in the year to January 2025. There were six new stores in the UK and a store was opened in the Netherlands one year ago. The MyAD club has 409,000 members and is helping to increase spending. The European loss was reduced, and group pre-tax profit was one-quarter higher at £2m. Net cash is £12.1m after capital investment and share buybacks. The share price improved 5% to 42p.

FALLERS

Cosmetics supplier Revolution Beauty (LON: REVB) has got additional productions into retailers and launched the RELOVE brand, but the US and online wholesale markets are weak. Full year revenues fell 26% to £141.6m. A £10.9m loss is forecast for the year to February 2025. Inventory levels have been slashed, but net debt increased to £26.3m at the end of February 2025, which leaves little flexibility in terms of cash. It could stay at around that level by February 2026, although the company could be near to breakeven this year. Panmure Liberum cut its target share price from 50p to 20p. The share price dived 38.9% to 4.58p.

88 Energy (LON: 88E) has completed its 25-for-one share consolidation. The previous closing price was the equivalent of 1.4375p. The share price has declined 35.7% to 0.925p.

Retail software developer itim Group (LON: ITIM) increased revenues by 11% to £17.9m in 2024. Annualised recurring revenues were flat at £13m, but that was a result of currency movements and there was underlying growth. Services revenues increased helping to improve short-term profitability. There was a swing from loss to a pre-tax profit of £200,000. Cash doubled to £3.8m. There is a strong pipeline of potential business, but the timing of decisions by retailers remains uncertain. A further improvement in profit is expected in 2025. There has been profit taking after the gains over the past year and the share price fell by one-fifth to 46.5p.

Audio visual products Midwich Group (LON: MIDW) says tough trading conditions have continued into 2025 and there has been a mid-single digit fall in organic revenues. There has been growth in the UK, but sales in North America and Europe are lower. Gross margins are slightly better, but there has been a sharp decline operating profit. This means that full year profit will be well below previous expectations. There will be a trading statement on 21 July. The share price is 4.17% lower at 201.25p.

EKF Diagnostics (EKF) has completed its share buyback programme. A total of 4.64 million shares have been purchased at an average share price of 21.48p. The share price declined 4.17% to 19.55p.

Rules-based stock picking and building market-beating portfolios with Stockopedia

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Ed Croft, Founder and CEO of Stockopedia, to the podcast to explore how investors can use rules-based stock picking to build portfolios that have historically outperformed the wider market. Ed shares the core investment philosophy behind Stockopedia – Quality, Value and Momentum (QVM) – and explains how these factors help investors stay focused on the financial traits that drive long-term returns.During the podcast, we discuss:

  • How a structured process can help investors remove emotion from decisions
  • The key company characteristics that underpin consistent performance
  • How this framework has been applied in a model portfolio that hasdelivered a 13% annualised return – beating the S&P 500 and every UK equity fund over the past decade

Ed also highlights past high-performing stocks that have risen to the top using this approach – including Games Workshop, Dart Group and Jet2 — and explains why certain financial traits consistently stand out.Listen to the full episode to learn how rules-based investing can bring structure, discipline, and performance to your investing process.To go deeper and see how to apply this strategy in your own portfolio, join Ed live on Thursday 22nd May at 5pm (BST) for a free webinar “The Smarter Way to Build a Market-Beating Share Portfolio”

Register for the free webinar here