Trainline shares sink as ticket sales growth slows

Trainline shares were down heavily on Thursday after the ticketing app announced full-year results that highlighted a slowdown in ticket sales growth.

Net ticket sales grew 13% in the first half of FY 2025, and revenue increased 16% compared to the same period a year prior. For the full year, ticket sales growth and revenue growth have slowed to 12%.

Investors will be concerned about lower revenue growth as Trianline faces the looming threat of the government launching Great British Rail and a single app for booking tickets. This isn’t an existential threat for Trainline, but it will present stiff competition in the UK market where Trainline has enjoyed a large market share for many years.

The UK accounts for around two-thirds of Trainline’s ticket sales, so overseas revenue will have to increase dramatically to plug any lost sales in the UK. The problem is international sales only rose 4% last year.

Trainline shares were down 13% at the time of writing despite announcing a fresh share buyback of up to £75m.

“Investors in Trainline will be hoping the online ticket operator is not running out of steam,” said Mark Crouch, market analyst at eToro.

“Despite reporting record net ticket sales for the third year in a row, recent ticket sales have shown signs of slowing down. While adoption of digital ticking has seen revenue and consumer sales continue to grow, this was at the lower end of guidance. The announcement of a £75m share buyback this morning will hopefully add some fuel to the furnace for the share price.

“Threatening to further derail Trainline’s momentum is government plans to launch a state-backed rival to the online ticket operator. Exactly how much of a threat this might pose to Trainline is still up for debate. Trainline’s track record of delivering efficiency and value to customers are fundamental to its success – traits not typically associated with government services. Nevertheless, investors are weary, and after this morning’s underwhelming update, they have good reason to be.”

Share Tip: Kitwave Group – the shares of this delivered wholesale business, now 258p, look ready for a re-rating, possibly ahead of its AGM later this month

Since Tuesday 4th March when the Kitwave Group (LON;KITW) announced its Final Results for its year to end-October 2024, its shares have put in something of a lacklustre performance. 
Upon the results they were went up 4p to 280.28p, before closing that night at 255p. 
Since then, they have wavered between 248p and 268.50p – but are now trading at around the 258p level. 
In my view that is far too low a price for the group’s shares, especially considering that brokers have Target Prices of up to 495p. 
The Business 
Established way back in 1987, following the acquisitio...

FTSE 100 gains as US inflation data boosts sentiment

The FTSE 100 gained on Wednesday as investors tentatively dipped their toes back into stocks in early trade after another poor finish to yesterday’s trade.

Gains accelerated after a softer-than-expected US CPI raised hopes of a Fed rate cut. Consumer prices rose 2.8% in February, compared to estimates of 2.9%.

After days of sharp declines in Europe and the US, equities showed signs of stabilisation on Wednesday. But as we’ve seen already this week, these gains could be short-lived should Trump decide to attack another trading partner with a fresh tariff.

“The winds keep blowing in different directions on tariffs that it is impossible for markets to establish the lay of the land,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell. 

“Donald Trump keeps moving the goal post and investors are getting fed up. Metal tariffs are today’s special on the menu and they’ve been a major catalyst for many of America’s trading partners to retaliate with tariffs on other goods.”

It’s difficult to call the 0.6% gain in London a rebound, as it barely retraces yesterday’s losses. It certainly doesn’t put a dent in losses since the FTSE 100 flirted with all-time highs just last week. 

Nonetheless, the rise in London’s flagship index will be welcomed by equity traders who have been battered by Trump’s outlandish trade policies.

That said, Donald Trump’s change of approach to Ukraine could be seen as a major positive for stocks after Ukraine-US talks resulted in the commitment to a cease-fire.

FTSE 100 movers

Most industry sectors were higher on Wednesday, with banks and financials among those rising on the day.

The best performers were Melrose and Spirax as bargain hunters picked the shares up after heavy losses for the pair following soft updates. Melrose was the top riser with and eye-catching 8% gain.

The biggest drag on the index were retailers who dropped in sympathy with poor results from Spanish Inditex’s downbeat assessment of the industry. 

“JD Sports, Primark-owner Associated British Foods and Next retreated after negative read across from Inditex’s results. Fears of a slowdown in the retail sector were to blame,” Russ Mould said.

AB Foods was the top faller, losing 4%.

AIM movers: Kingswood bid approach from majority shareholder and Rosebank acquisition talks terminated

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Share buying has pushed up the share price of online building products retailer CMO Group (LON: CMO), which is asking for shareholder approval to leave AIM. The share price recovered 103.4% to 3p.

Weiss Korea Opportunity Fund (LON: WKOF) reported an NAV of 145.14p/share on 11 March. There have been two sells today and no buys, but the share price improved 6.06% to 140p.

Identity management software provider Intercede Group (LON: IGP) has won multi-year contracts worth $1.37m. This includes three enhanced orders with US clients. The other is with a government in Asia Pacific. Cavendish upgraded its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast from £3.9m to £4m. The share price rose 4.71% to 144.5p.

Clean Power Hydrogen (LON: CPH2) says that the Level 2 site acceptance test for the MFE110 electrolyser at a Northern Ireland Water site in Belfast. This took one month and verifies the effectiveness of the electrolyser. The Level 3 should be completed by May. This will be the first large-scale membrane free electrolyser in place creating hydrogen and oxygen. The share price increased 4.69% to 6.7p.

IG Design Group (LON: IGR) has completed the sale of its former distribution centre for $8.4m and a gain on book value of $4.9m after costs. The share price rebounded 3.45% to 60p.

FALLERS

Kingswood Holdings (LON: KWG) has received a bid offer of 7p/share from HSQ Investments, which already owns 68.4% of the wealth management firm and it is in talks to buy the 21% stake of KPI (Nominees). There is a lack of liquidity in the shares. Kingswood’s growth HSQ has also provided additional loans to Kingswood in the past year, taking gross debt to £90.7m. The Kingswood independent directors “would be minded to recommend” the potential offer. The share price slipped 17.7% to 7p.

Shares in cash shell Rosebank Industries (LON: ROSE) returned from suspension after it ended discussions with Cerberus Capital about the potential acquisition of critical electrical distribution systems supplier Electrical Components International Inc (ECI). Rosebank Industries says that there was support for the deal from existing and potential new shareholders it has decided not to go ahead with the deal because of stockmarket volatility. The share price declined 13.5% to 622.5p.

Drug discovery company MaxCyte (LON: MXCT) reported 2024 results that were in line with expectations with revenues 6% lower at $38.6m. The underlying loss was $41.1m. Net cash was $190.3m and that will last for years based on expected losses, so there should not be any worries about funding. The share price dipped 3.4% to 256p.

Vietnam Secures its AI Future with Talent, Tech and Ambition 

Craig Martin, Dynam Capital 

Artificial Intelligence is an inescapable topic in 2025. It has fuelled bold claims about economic growth and stoked anxiety about tectonic shifts in the labour market.  

However, it’s clear that countries that embrace it will be better off than those that don’t. In Vietnam, government and business have been both practical and aggressive in their pursuit of a more AI-enabled economy. It’s an approach that will likely pay dividends for Vietnam’s economy, and also for investors who back the right businesses.    

Vietnam has been an economic standout over recent years, maintaining strong growth even as its neighbours struggled through covid. It consistently clears 6% annual GDP growth. But it needs to maintain this steady pace to achieve its goal of becoming a high income country by 2045, according to the World Bank.  

The tech sector – and specifically AI – will be central to this push. A recent Access Partnership report commissioned by Google found that AI enabled tools could create nearly US$80 billion worth of economic benefits to businesses by 2030. That’s equivalent to about 12% of Vietnam’s GDP   

Vietnam’s surprisingly mature tech businesses will lead the way. They are already global players, exporting AI-enabled tech services. FPT, which is the biggest holding in Vietnam Holding Limited (LSE: VNH), is a great example. Its IT service revenues from overseas already top USD$1 billion, much of it from Japan, where it is helping a range of organisations, including banks, transform their back-end with AI-enabled services. One of its leading competitors, CMC also operates in 30 countries, including Japan and Korea.  

It’s not just tech giants who stand to gain. The great promise of AI is its ability to transform almost any industry, and Vietnam’s businesses are enthusiastically adopting new technologies. The Access Partnership report says 42% of the benefits of an AI transformation would go to Vietnam’s thriving manufacturing sector.   

Services would also benefit. In fact, the financial services firm Finastra estimates that 44% of Vietnam’s financial institutions have already deployed AI in their operations. AI is being used for medicine and agribusiness. It is being used in Vietnam’s rapidly growing EV sector. Startups are also racing to adopt AI. In fact the Ministry of Science and Technology says the number of startups using AI quadrupled between 2021 and 2024.   

Foreign investors are paying attention too. Chip giant NVIDIA is opening a research and development centre, a clear indication of confidence in AI in Vietnam. Vietnam has ambitions to find a foothold in the semiconductor market. It seems unlikely that it will challenge Korea or Taiwan in the short term, but there is certainly scope for some processes to find a home in Vietnam. 

Vietnam has many factors working in its favour. The most obvious is its workforce. The country produces around 50,000 IT graduates a year, according to the Ministry of Education and Training. Many Vietnamese students and younger workers express an interest in pursuing a tech career. Firms like FPT and CMC have created their own AI universities aimed at constantly reskilling their employees.   

To be fair, Vietnam faces a number of challenges too. Although it has high mobile penetration and fairly good internet infrastructure, there is definitely room for improvement. It will need more data centres to deal with the demands of AI apps, and its electricity network also needs upgrading. Vietnam is reportedly considering a US$1.5 billion deal with Elon Musk’s satellite internet service Starlink. This could potentially improve data reach in remote areas and create new connectivity options for Vietnam’s expanding domestic airline and maritime services.    

It also faces regulatory risks. AI is moving so quickly that governments are not always sure how to deal with it, as evidenced by the vastly different approaches the US and Europe have taken thus far.  

For the moment, however, it seems the government is serious about advancing its digital and industrial sectors. They recognize that Vietnam needs to elevate its position in the value chain and build a robust industrial base, led by their leading digital companies and industry champions.   

Craig Martin is the Chairman of Dynam Capital, the fund manager for Vietnam Holding Limited. 

Share Tip: Foxtons Group – looking forward to a stream of positive corporate news

Perhaps in the face of the recent Bloomberg-amplified rumours of ‘laddish culture’ within the estate agency offices of Foxtons Group (LON:FOXT), it is more than understandable that the group will be looking to change perceived investor images by way of a Capital Markets Day within the next couple of months. 
Last week, on Wednesday 5th March, London’s number one estate and lettings agency group announced a good set of results for the year to end-December 2024. 
It showed revenues up 11.4% from £147.1m to £163.9m, with adjusted pre-tax profits 39.1% better at £19.2m (£13.8m), helping ...

Balfour Beatty profit jumps as orderbook grows, hikes dividend

Investors will be pleased with Balfour Beatty’s results. They will not be pleased that the person who drove the strong performance will soon step down.

Despite a tricky economic backdrop, the company reported strong revenue growth and a growing order book during the 2024 full-year period. The strong performance resulted in a 9% increase in the dividend.

“Balfour Beatty’s results underline why CEO Leo Quinn will be such a hard act to follow,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“He has masterminded the company’s turnaround from a struggling firm to an industry leader focused on high margin contracts. Investors have clearly been concerned about whether the firm, under new CEO Philip Hoare can maintain momentum.”

This concern may be why Balfour Beatty shares dropped on Wednesday. Results were strong, and the dividend combined with share buybacks are reason enough to like the stock.

“Full year revenue came in at £10 billion, beating broker forecasts of £9.4 billion, and it’s hailed a high-quality order book providing not just robust short-term opportunities but significant medium to long-term potential,” Streeter said.

“Investors are being rewarded by a 9% increase in the full year dividend and a £125 million share buyback programme. The company has also made it clear that Philip Hoare won’t be flying solo just yet, with Quinn set to stay in a strategic advisory role to help him bed in, which will provide some reassurance.”

Cake Box Holdings accelerates growth with acquisition

Cake Box Holdings has announced its intention to acquire Ambala Foods Limited, a well-established manufacturer and retailer of Asian sweets with deep roots in British Asian communities dating back to 1965.

The deal comes amid strong organic growth for Cake Box, which is also expanding the number of its own brand stores.

The acquisition, valued at £22 million, represents a strategic expansion for Cake Box, which has built its reputation as the UK’s largest retailer of fresh cream celebration cakes.

The deal includes £16 million for Ambala itself and an additional £6 million for Ambala’s manufacturing facility located in Welwyn Garden City.

Cake Box will fund the deal through a proposed placing at an issue price of 180 pence per share, aiming to raise gross proceeds of £7 million before expenses. The remainder of the acquisition cost will be covered by a new £15.2 million Term Loan Facility, with any balance coming from Cake Box’s existing cash reserves.

Additionally, the company is undertaking a Retail Offer to existing retail shareholders in the UK with the goal of raising up to an additional £0.2 million.

The acquisition of Ambala Foods brings 22 stores into the Cake Box fold, comprising 19 owned stores and three franchised locations. Ambala, which has remained family-run since its inception, specialises in Mithai, traditional Asian sweets.

“We are pleased to announce the acquisition of Ambala Foods Ltd, a leading manufacturer and retailer of Asian confectionery in the UK since 1964. This strategic acquisition represents a significant opportunity to leverage the strengths of both brands to expand our market presence and accelerate our growth,” said Sukh Chamdal, Chief Executive Officer of Cake Box.

“Ambala’s rich heritage and established customer base complement Cake Box’s values and commitment to quality and innovation. By adding Cake Box’s expertise and resources to Ambala, we aim to create a unique blend of traditional and contemporary delicacies that appeal to a diverse audience, ultimately driving growth and profitability.

“We are confident that this acquisition will resonate with Cake Box’s existing customer base and to its commitment to quality products and customer service.”

Recent Cake Box trading

The acquisition comes after a period of robust trading for Cake Box. In a trading statement released alongside the acquisition news, Cake Box has reported continued year-on-year improvement in sales since its interim results to 30 September 2024 and celebrated record sales during the recent festive period.

Furthermore, Cake Box remains on track to open more than 25 new stores by the end of its financial year on 31 March 2025.

The board has expressed confidence that Cake Box will meet market expectations for the current financial year, suggesting that the positive trading conditions have continued despite the broader economic challenges facing UK retailers.

Rosebank terminates bid discussions

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AIM cash shell Rosebank Industries (LON: ROSE) has ended discussions with Cerberus Capital about the potential acquisition of Electrical Components International Inc (ECI). Rosebank Industries says that there was support for the deal from existing and potential new shareholders it has decided not to go ahead with the deal because of stockmarket volatility.

This is a disappointment for Rosebank Industries, which has been seeking a substantial acquisition that would involve a significant share issue. Trading in the shares will recommence at 7.30am on Wednesday 12 March.

Founders and management of Melrose Industries, one of the four former AIM companies that are constituents of the FTSE 100 index, have set up the investment vehicle to acquire an industrial business. US-based ECI is a supplier of critical electrical distribution systems to a range of industries.

Trading in Rosebank Industries shares was suspended ahead of firm news of a deal. The share price fell 40p to 720p prior to the suspension. Rosebank Industries joined AIM on 11 July 2024 after raising £50m at 250p/share. 

AIM movers: Solid State wins contract and Synairgen set to leave junior market

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North Sea oil and gas explorer Deltic Energy (LON: DELT) has revised its internal economic model for the development of the Selene project. This assumes first gas in 2029 at a production rate of 50mmcf/day and a post-tax NPV10 of $56m. The company is evaluating funding methods. The share price recovered 19.2% to 3.875p.

Solid State (LON: SOLI) has won a $25m communications equipment order that will be delivered in the year to March 2026. This order was expected last year. There will be investment in UK and US facilities to cope with greater defence demand. Zeus has increased its 2025-26 earnings forecast by one-fifth to 9.5p/share. The share price improved 15.4% to 202p.

Symphony Environmental (LON: SYM) says the results of a study by Intertek show that its d2w biodegradable technology does not create microplastics and becomes biodegradable compounds that are naturally recycled. The share price increased 10.5% to 3.15p.

Energy efficiency services provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) has won three contracts in the health and education sectors. The total value is £936,000. The largest is with the Plymouth NHS Trust for LED lighting. The share price rose 5.2% to 4.25p.

FALLERS

Respiratory treatments developer Synairgen (LON: SNG) is asking for shareholder approval to leave AIM less than two months after TFG Asset Management subscribed £18m at 2p/share. A related fundraising did not reach the minimum to scale back the investment by TFG. The general meeting is on 28 March and the cancellation is expected on 9 April. The share price slumped 35.8% to 1.28p.

TV and film fleet services provider Facilities by ADF (LON: ADF) says that business continues to be weaker than expected and there are shorter lead times making it more difficult to forecast the outcome. The weaker demand has led to price competition. The 2025 forecast revenue have been cut by one-quarter to £42.6m, while the lower utilisation levels mean that pre-tax profit expectations are cut from £6.8m to £2.1m. The share price dived 26.8% to 20.5p.

TomCo Energy (LON: TOM) reported an increased loss of £6.34m, from £2.35m. There was £857,000 in cash at the end of September 2024. Subsidiary AC Oil is a party to an application for permitting to drill six holes on its lease area near Vernal, Utah. The share price slipped 10.5% to 0.0425p.

Audioboom (LON: BOOM) has secured a partnership with Sounder, which will provide AI capabilities to the company’s Showcase podcast platform operator to help with ad targeting and brand safety controls. Cavendish believes that this could provide upgrade potential to its 2025 forecast. It forecasts revenues of £80m and pre-tax profit of £4.1m. The share price fell 7.34% to 505p.