AIM movers: Solid State wins contract and Synairgen set to leave junior market

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North Sea oil and gas explorer Deltic Energy (LON: DELT) has revised its internal economic model for the development of the Selene project. This assumes first gas in 2029 at a production rate of 50mmcf/day and a post-tax NPV10 of $56m. The company is evaluating funding methods. The share price recovered 19.2% to 3.875p.

Solid State (LON: SOLI) has won a $25m communications equipment order that will be delivered in the year to March 2026. This order was expected last year. There will be investment in UK and US facilities to cope with greater defence demand. Zeus has increased its 2025-26 earnings forecast by one-fifth to 9.5p/share. The share price improved 15.4% to 202p.

Symphony Environmental (LON: SYM) says the results of a study by Intertek show that its d2w biodegradable technology does not create microplastics and becomes biodegradable compounds that are naturally recycled. The share price increased 10.5% to 3.15p.

Energy efficiency services provider eEnergy Group (LON: EAAS) has won three contracts in the health and education sectors. The total value is £936,000. The largest is with the Plymouth NHS Trust for LED lighting. The share price rose 5.2% to 4.25p.

FALLERS

Respiratory treatments developer Synairgen (LON: SNG) is asking for shareholder approval to leave AIM less than two months after TFG Asset Management subscribed £18m at 2p/share. A related fundraising did not reach the minimum to scale back the investment by TFG. The general meeting is on 28 March and the cancellation is expected on 9 April. The share price slumped 35.8% to 1.28p.

TV and film fleet services provider Facilities by ADF (LON: ADF) says that business continues to be weaker than expected and there are shorter lead times making it more difficult to forecast the outcome. The weaker demand has led to price competition. The 2025 forecast revenue have been cut by one-quarter to £42.6m, while the lower utilisation levels mean that pre-tax profit expectations are cut from £6.8m to £2.1m. The share price dived 26.8% to 20.5p.

TomCo Energy (LON: TOM) reported an increased loss of £6.34m, from £2.35m. There was £857,000 in cash at the end of September 2024. Subsidiary AC Oil is a party to an application for permitting to drill six holes on its lease area near Vernal, Utah. The share price slipped 10.5% to 0.0425p.

Audioboom (LON: BOOM) has secured a partnership with Sounder, which will provide AI capabilities to the company’s Showcase podcast platform operator to help with ad targeting and brand safety controls. Cavendish believes that this could provide upgrade potential to its 2025 forecast. It forecasts revenues of £80m and pre-tax profit of £4.1m. The share price fell 7.34% to 505p.

FTSE 100 wobbles after US stock market rout 

The FTSE 100 was under pressure again on Tuesday after an overnight US stock market rout rocked sentiment and demand for risky equities.

US equity indices were a bloodbath overnight, with the NASDAQ tumbling nearly 4%—the biggest one-day drop in two years. Tesla shares sank over 15%, and other ‘Mag 7’ shares fell sharply.

Donald Trump’s damaging trade war is at the centre of the stock market rout, with fears growing that the US may tip into a recession as a result of tariffs on its biggest trading partners. 

Trump himself has refrained from ruling out a US recession caused by his policies, which, ironically, are likely to heavily impact his core voter base. 

“During his first term as US president, Donald Trump often cited a rising stock market as being representative of his success,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“As such, he will not want to see a full-blown market crash months into his second term. Quite what rabbit he could pull out of the hat to put markets back on an upwards path is unknown, but Trump might feel compelled to come up with something.”

Although there is no sign of the ‘Trump Put’, equity bulls will hope his approach to tariffs will soften given the market fallout. There will be a school of thought the recently imposed tariffs are an extreme negotiating tool that could well be reversed. 

Analysts suggest that Trump’s approach to policy could provide benefits over the long term, but what they may be isn’t exactly clear, and there will likely be severe market disruption in the interim.

“The Admin are, for now, doubling down on the idea of ‘short term pain, for long term gain’, in the hope that macro headwinds can be blamed on the Biden Admin, and that Trump & Co will be able to claim credit for the economic, and market, turnaround that would likely follow. While I see how this might be politically expedient, juicing the economy just in time for the midterms, it’s rather economically incoherent, particularly for an Oval Office which claims to be more focused on Main Street, than on Wall Street,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone

“To be clear, if Trump & Co are able to cut federal waste, decrease the size of the government, and juice the private sector, as much as they are touting, then it gives me confidence that the long-run path of least resistance should continue to lead to the upside on Wall St. However, in the short-term, it remains difficult to advocate buying dips, with the bear case holding more weight for me.”

The FTSE 100 had shown signs of resilience amid recent sell-offs of US stocks, but that resilience, usually caused by a rally in defence and pharma stocks, was absent again on Tuesday. 

London’s leading index was down 0.3% at the time of writing with Spirax leading the way lower.

Spirax shares fell 4% after reporting lower revenue and profit.

Housebuilders and miners offered some positivity and helped offset broad losses elsewhere.


Share Tip: GlobalData – this group’s whose mission is to help clients decode the future, make better decisions, and to reach more customers – is about to move to the Main Market

Yesterday’s announcement of its 2024 Full Year Results from GlobalData (LON:DATA), the data, insight and technology group showed profitable growth and strong foundations embedded to execute its declared ‘Growth Transformation Plan’ just as it looks to switch on to the Main Market. 
The Business 
Capitalised at £1.6bn, this London-based group is a leading data, analytics, insights and technology platform for the world's largest industries.  
Its declared mission is to help its clients decode the future, make better decisions, and reach more customers.  
The company...

How Financial Fair Play Rules Affect Manchester City’s Future Transfers 

Financial Fair Play (FFP) regulations were formulated by UEFA and have subsequently been adopted by leagues, such as the English Premier League, to improve the financial health of football clubs. These regulations keep clubs from overspending, promote fiscal responsibility, and minimize the threat of far-reaching losses or administration. It sounds simple enough, “don’t spend more than you earn.” Still, the ramifications are a minefield for clubs with ambitions as lofty as Manchester City.  

FFP regulations pose a mixed insight for Manchester City — opportunity and challenge. Some scrutiny follows the club’s rapid growth thanks to huge investment bringing success. The FFP break-even rule, which requires clubs to equal their spending to the income they generate over a rolling three-year period, has a direct impact on City’s ability to operate in the transfer market.  

Limiting Spending Power 

The most significant impact of FFP on Manchester City’s ability to acquire future signings is that it reduces the amount of money the club can spend. Unlike income from, say, gate receipts, television rights, merchandising etc. which are excluded from FFP calculations, outgoings — including transfer fees, wages, and amortization of transfers — are scrutinized to the letter of the law. It means Manchester has to be prudent with its salaries and fees — or else it could be in and out of FFP hell in the course of a summer.  

Factors that Affect Transfer Strategies 

FFP rules also impact the transfers Manchester City can go for. They can no longer afford to splash out on a series of headline-signing players. Instead, they will have to look to make sustainable long-term investments. Whether that is investing in youth, looking for undervalued players, or structuring transfers in ways that reduce their immediate costs.  

Consequences of a Violation 

Penalties for violating FFP regulations can be harsh, including fines, points deductions, bans from signing players, or even exclusion from competitions. These potential sanctions act as a deterrent and force Manchester City to abide by the rules and change its transfer policy accordingly.  

Effect on Football Betting Websites 

The impact on football betting sites is also a point worth mentioning. Just like the FFP regulations greatly impact team compositions and transfers, they also affect the odds and predictions provided by betting sites. Bettors need to factor in what sort of profit a team generates and potential transfer limitations when placing their bets, adding another layer of complexity to football betting. 

Final Words: The Future of FFP 

Going forward, FFP’s future is a little unclear. Even the concept of FFP could change over the next few years, with UEFA having previously examined a cap and luxury tax system that would completely reshape the game’s landscape at the top tier in European football. Clubs would only be able to spend a set percentage of their earnings on wages under the new system, with penalties imposed on those that go over the maximum threshold.  

The regulations might be evolving, but Manchester City needs to update its transfer policy if it wants to operate in a competitive space but one that still adheres to the rules of the game.

AIM movers: Mindflair sells Getvisibility stake and Savannah Energy completes acquisition

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The government of Mali has partially lifted the suspension of the allocation of mining titles. This is potentially good news for Cora Gold (LON: CORA) and its Sanankoro gold project. Progress can be made, and the company will apply for a mining permit covering the Bokoro II, Kodiou and Sanankoro II areas. The share price increased 29% to 4p.

Investment company Mindflair (LON: MFAI) has sold its direct stake in Getvisibility to Forcepoint, a data and cloud security business, for £1.8m. Mindflair also had an indirect interest in Getvisibility via Sure Valley Ventures Fund and Sure Ventures (LON: SURE) and it should receive a further £800,000 from a distribution by the fund. The share price roe 18.8% to 0.95p.

Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) says February crude palm oil production was 6% lower at 3,527 tonnes as better extraction rates only partially offset the reduced crop. Year-on-year sales volumes rose 28.5% because of the timing of sales. The average sales price was €950/tonne, which is well above the average price assumption of €775/tonne for 2025. Palm kernel oil production rose, and the average price jumped 54.4% compared with one year ago. Raw cashew nut purchasing has started, and production rates are increasing. Quarterly data will be published next month. The share price improved 11.1% to 1.25p.

Empire Metals (LON: EEE) has reported positive test results and delivered a product which assayed at 91.6% TiO2. Purification and product finishing steps have been optimised. There are limited levels of deleterious elements. Larger scale test work will be undertaken. The share price is 5.56% higher at 11.4p.

Sovereign Metals (LON: SVML) says test work on coarse flake graphite from the Kasiya test mine in Malawi shows purification to 99.95% using acid purification and 99.98% using alkaline purification. This means that the graphite is suitable for powder metallurgy, isostatically pressed refractory products and foils and sheets. The share price moved up 4.55% to 46p.

FALLERS

Shares in Biome Technologies (LON: BIOM) slid a further one-fifth to 1p ahead of the general meeting on 13 March to gain shareholder approval to leave AIM.

Savannah Energy (LON: SAVE) has completed the acquisition of Sinopec International Petroleum Exploration and Production Company Nigeria, which gives it 100% of the Stubb Creek oil and gas field. This produces 2,700 barrels of oil equivalent/day and there are plans to increase production. The Stubb Creek field petroleum mining lease lasts until 2043. The share price fell a further 8.98% to 9.375p.

On Friday evening, Huddled (LON: HUD) reported a February trading update. The circular ecommerce company generated revenues of £1.5m in February and in the first six days of March has generated £350,000. Additional warehouse space will not be operational until the end of April/early May. The share price slipped 5.71% to 3.3p.

FTSE 100 dips as trade concerns weigh

The FTSE 100 fell again on Monday as trade concerns continued to weigh on cyclical sectors including banks and miners.

Selling pressure in US futures dragged as the session progressed with the FTSE 100 down 0.5% at the time of writing.

London’s leading index had its worst week for some months last week as the threat of Donald Trump’s trade war eventually eroded sentiment and sent the index below 8,700 on Friday.

Just days before, the index had been closing in on record highs as defence stocks rallied on positioning for higher European defence budgets.

However, uncertainty set in as the week progressed, and investors began reducing positions in UK-listed stocks as sentiment soured.

The US Non-Farm Payroll released on Friday helped steady the ship, but underlying fears of how the global trade war will play out prevented stocks from rebounding on Monday.

“The big issue for financial markets right now is not necessarily the Trump Admin’s policies themselves, but the degree of uncertainty associated with them, and the fact that the policies in question change almost as often as the direction of the wind does,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

Brown continued to explain that investors hoping for the famous ‘Trump put’ to kick in are likely going to be disappointed with the President who is seemingly unphased by the rout in US stocks.

“The real ‘Trump put’ would, at this point, be to take the President’s microphone away, throw his phone in the Potomac, and pack him off to play golf for a couple of weeks to let businesses, consumers, and markets, adjust to the new policy regime.

“That seems about as likely as pigs flying, though, in all honesty, meaning that headwinds facing the US equity market are only likely to intensify, with the bears retaining the upper hand.”

The declines were broad on Monday in London with most industry groups down.

Those stocks that enjoyed gains towards the beginning of the year were hit by profit taking. Banks and miners suffered the most. Ashtead and Melrose continued their purple patches and were again among the losers.

There was interest in JD Sports in early trade and the risk off tone was underscored by notable gains in utility stocks.

Share Tip: Forterra Group – this Wednesday the UK’s second biggest brick maker will report its 2024 results

The chances are, you are never far from a building or structure built using Forterra (LON:FORT) products. 
This company proudly proclaims that: 
“Our purpose is to help create lasting legacies. 
We create bricks, blocks, precast concrete, paving and many other vital products that keep Britain building. 
We provide the building products that help our customers and communities prosper – from the initial groundwork through to the finished build.” 
The Business 
The Northampton-based business, which was founded in the 1960’s as Hanson’s UK building products division, ...

What is the attraction of Ricardo?

AIM-quoted science and technology consultancy Science Group (LON: SAG) has built up an 11.7% stake in fully listed environmental and engineering consultancy Ricardo (LON: RCDO). This is described as a strategic investment.

The initial purchases were between 16 and 27 February and cost £12.2m, which is an average of roughly 231p/share for a 8.46% stake. There were subsequent purchases. But no figure has been put on the additional shares.

Briarwood Chase Management has cut its stake in Ricardo from 5.42% to 2.16%. The largest shareholder is Gresham House with 22.5%.

The Ricardo share price was 214p on 14 February. It has subsequently been as high as 250p. The current share price is 220p. That is 47.6% down since the end of 2024. At the end of January, Ricardo warned that delayed orders will mean that forecasts would not be met.

Results

In the six months to December 2024, continuing revenues edged up by 1% to £169.1m, while a loss of £3m was turned into a pre-tax profit of £4.1m. These figures were affected by the sale of the defence business for £72.3m. The dividend was cut from 3.8p/share to 1.7p/share.

Environment and energy division revenues were lower, but the operating profit contribution improved thanks to better margins in some parts of the division. The transport division returned to profit.

Net debt was £18.5m at the end of 2024. Part of the disposal proceeds have been used to buy an 85% stake in E3 Advisory in Australia for an initial £34.5m.

The order book is worth £393m. Zeus forecasts a full year pre-tax profit of £12.7m, down from £30.5m including the defence business, rising to £15.8m next year. The Ricardo share price is equivalent to 14 times prospective 2024-25 earnings.    

What is the attraction?

Science Group has a higher market capitalisation than Ricardo. Management wants to talk to the Ricardo board in relation to the investment. It is possible that Science Group could have some positive input.

Ricardo is already reducing its cost base and trying to improve cash generation. The target operating margin is 10%, which is nearly double the 5.4% expected in 2024-25. The dividend I being rebased from 12.7p/share to 5.4p/share in the year to June 2025 and could then grow steadily from this level.

Debt should come down, but it is likely to increase initially. The high borrowings are likely to hold back the share price.

Organic growth is anticipated to be in mid-single digits with a focus on environmental and energy. There is significant potential to improve profitability if management can get it right.

If the performance of the business is not significantly improved, then Science Group may be tempted to bid. This will probably not happen in the short-term, but there is a good chance it could happen further out. It is possible that the share price could remain depressed, and Science Group may take further opportunities to add to its stake.

Ricardo is an attractive recovery prospect. Even if Science Group does not bid another bidder could come along. This is not a short-term investment. A longer term view needs to be taken.

AIM weekly movers: Savannah Energy returns from suspension

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Metals One (LON: MET1) is proposing a capital reorganisation that will involve a ten-for-one share consolidation and reduction in the nominal value to 0.01p so that new shares can be issued. This is expected to be completed on 26 March. Metals One is involved in the Black Schist nickel copper cobalt zinc project in Finland and the Rana nickel cobalt copper project in Norway. The share price jumped 128% to 1.025p.

Oil and gas company ADM Energy (LON: ADME) has sent its circular covering the planned capital reorganisation and £313,000 share issue at 0.1p/share. There are also plans to divest the stake in the Aje oil field in Lagos. The proceeds may be distributed to shareholders. The share price doubled to 0.3p.

Yesterday evening it was announced that Andrada Mining (LON: ATM) chief strategy officer Frans Van Daalen sold 7.38 million shares, nearly all his shareholding, at 1.96p each and chief operating officer Christoffel Smith sold 655,873 shares at the same price. This was reported to be due to tax obligations. The share price increased 36% to 2.775p.

Kave Sigaroudinia’s stake in Surface Transforms (LON: SCE) has been raised from 7.6% to 8.9%, while the estate of William Black cut its stake from 5.17% to 4.56%. The finance director of the carbon fibre brake discs developer is leaving at the end of June. The share price recovered 22.2% to 0.33p.

FALLERS

Shares in Savannah Energy (LON: SAVE) returned from suspension and raised £30.6m at 7p/share. There is also a $200m acquisition facility for the oil and gas company. In 2024, total income was $393.6m, including rebilling of foreign exchange losses. Net debt was $634m at the end of 2024. The proposed deal to acquire the interests in Petronas in South Sudan has not happened. The share price slumped 63.3% to 9.625p.  

Vela Technologies (LON: VELA) has raised £1.1m at 0.0025p/share to invest in its new strategy and is changing its name to Caledonian Holdings (LON: CHP). Jim McColl, former boss of Clyde Blowers, and Chris Cooke have joined the board. A share capital reorganisation is required to lower the par value and issue the shares. The new policy is to invest in financial services businesses, particularly wealth management, fintech and specialist lending. The share price declined by two-fifths to 0.003p.

An acceleration by Google of the move from Adsense for Domains (AFD), set for 19 March, is going to hit revenues of Team Internet Group (LON: TIG). The uncertainty has also led to the Verdane deciding not to make an offer for the company. AFD is an important contributor to the search business and the company guides a reduction in EBITDA from $57m to $20m-$25m in 2025 as it adjusts to the switch to Related Search on Content (RSOC). Management believes that it can rebuild profitability as clients switch and it learns how to optimise results. The rest of the business continues to grow so the 2025 EBITDA guidance is a fall from $92m to $60m-$65m. Net debt will continue to reduce from the current level of $97m, but at a slower pace than previously expected. The share price declined 41% to 58.4p.

Petrel Resources (LON: PET) has raised £250,000 at 1.05p/share and each share has a warrant exercisable at 2p/share. This will be used as working capital while new oil and gas projects in Iraq. Petrel Resources may be invited to enter into pre-qualification discussions with the Ministry of Oil. The share price fell 39.5% to 1.15p.

Director deals: Harbour Energy non-execs buy after share price drop

Following the latest full year figures from oil and gas company Harbour Energy (LON: HBR) two non-executive directors have bought shares. Simon Henry acquired 20,000 shares at an average price of 198.16p each. This takes his stake to 60,000. Last September, he bought 20,000 shares at 288p each. Margaret Ovgrum bought 18,000 shares at 189p each, taking the total stake to 26,500 shares. Last week, the share price dipped 16.5% to 189.45p.
Business
Harbour Energy originally focused on the North Sea. There has been subsequent diversification into south east Asia, Mexico, Argentina, Norway and Germa...