Redx Pharma agrees sale of KRAS to Jazz Pharmaceuticals

Redx Pharma shares jumped on Wednesday after the group agreed on the disposal of their KRAS oncology inhibitor program.

Jazz Pharmaceuticals has signed an agreement to acquire Redx Pharma’s KRAS inhibitor program for $10 million upfront. Redx is eligible for up to $870 million in development, regulatory and commercial milestone payments.

Redx Pharma shares were 15% to the good at the time of writing.

The next milestone is IND clearance from the FDA.

Redx will receive tiered mid-single digit percentage royalties on any future net sales. As part of a separate collaboration agreement, Jazz will pay Redx to conduct research and preclinical development to complete IND-enabling studies for the KRAS inhibitors.

The deal includes rights to Redx’s G12D selective and pan-KRAS molecules. Jazz will take over all clinical development, regulatory, manufacturing and commercialization activities after IND-enabling studies.

“KRAS is a well-validated oncology target and there remains a high unmet need for innovation in this area based on challenges in developing molecules to target specific KRAS mutations. Redx has discovered a number of preclinical KRAS candidates and we plan to leverage our collective oncology development expertise to identify and advance the most promising molecules toward the clinic,” said Robert Iannone, M.D., M.S.C.E., executive vice president, global head of research and development of Jazz Pharmaceuticals.

“This transaction further expands our early-stage oncology pipeline, and we are excited to explore novel approaches to improving treatment options for cancer patients.”

Verditek shares fall on cash shell plans

Verditek shares fell on Wednesday as the company unveiled plans to become a cash shell by disposing of its trading assets after months of financial pressures.

Verditek has agreed to sell its solar business to a new company established by its secured convertible loan note holders for £528,340 in the form of the surrender of the loan notes and £50k in cash.

Verditek shares were down 22% at the time of writing.

This will make Verditek an AIM Rule 15 cash shell as it will no longer conduct its existing trading business or control its assets.

Verditek must complete a reverse takeover within 6 months or face being delisted from AIM. The company is in talks with a potential new management team to conduct a £300k fundraising and complete a reverse takeover within 6 months.

The deal is conditional on due diligence and shareholder approval. If it does not complete, Verditek may run out of cash by the 29 February 2024 target completion date and have to consider alternatives.

MicroSalt announces strategy objectives after storming London IPO

MicroSalt unveiled its strategy objectives on Tuesday after the low-sodium technology company completed a rip-roaring London IPO.

Shares have soared since listing in London at 43p last week, touching highs of 77p this morning before short-term profit takers booked gains.

MicroSalt outlined its strategy to focus on its B2B business, which it believes will drive near-term profitable growth. In 2024, MicroSalt plans to convert current customer trials into large-scale orders, expand sales of its current products into new product lines, and establish partnerships with new B2B customers to reformulate their offerings using MicroSalt’s sodium-reduction technology.

After securing commercial orders from two major customers – the Mexican division of a leading global food and beverage manufacturer and a national Fortune 500 supermarket chain – for use in salty snack offerings, MicroSalt sees a clear path to growing B2B sales volume.

“There is a real business to business opportunity to provide an ingredient that enables food manufacturers to reduce salt levels,” said Judith Batchelar OBE, Non-Executive Chair of MicroSalt.

MicroSalt is also in early discussions with three top UK grocery chains about using its technology in store-brand items, as well as with ready-meal suppliers and a fast food burger company.

To promote its products and technology, MicroSalt plans to exhibit at least 12 major food industry trade shows worldwide this year, including events in Frankfurt, Paris, Shanghai, Dubai, and Stockholm.

In addition to over 1,000 U.S. and Philippines retail outlets currently stocking MicroSalt shakers, the company aims to continue global expansion, making its B2C products available in more top retail stores and new markets.

To manage growing order volumes, MicroSalt will continuously evaluate and expand as needed its global network of third-party manufacturing, storage, and distribution partners. Long-term, the company may opt to bring some manufacturing in-house.

MicroSalt shares were changing hands at 64p at the time of writing.

Filtronic wins another major space contract

4

RF components and systems developer Filtronic (LON: FTC) has won another major contract and this has led to upgrades for the full year. Interims show modest growth in revenues and the order book points to be more significant growth in the second half. The share price jumped 15.7% to 29.5p

AIM-quoted Filtronic has won a £7.8m for ground station antenna amplifiers for a leading global supplier of LEO satellite communications equipment. This is the third order for Cerus32 solid state power amplifier modules and each one has been bigger than the previous one. There is also a development agreement for an E-band module.

That takes LEO-related space contract wins to £16m. There is also a £3.2m contract with the European Space Agency. There are plenty of other opportunities.

It is not just space contracts that are being won. Recently Filtronic gained a £2m defence contract as preferred partner of radar subsystems supplied by QinetiQ – a new client. That is phase 1 of the contract and revenues will be recognised in 20224-25 and 2025-26. Aerospace, critical communications and telecoms are other important markets.

In the six months to November 2023, revenues were 1% ahead at £8.5m. The cost base has been increased to cope with future growth, so there was a swing from profit to loss. Cash in the bank is £4.1m, helped by an advance payment.  

Progress was held back by difficulties sourcing components for some products, but this is no longer a concern. 5G rollouts are still not gaining the anticipated momentum.

There is enough production capacity for £25m of annual sales. Cash will continue to be generated to help fund any longer-term capital spending.

Cavendish has raised its full year revenues expectations from £20.5m to £23.5m and pre-tax profit estimate has more than trebled from £800,000 to £2.5m.

The orders won in recent month show that Filtronic has developed technology that is relevant to growth markets such as space and defence. The share price has risen sharply in recent months and is the highest it has been since 2018. The prospective multiple is 28. The current profit forecast for 2024-25 is £2.3m, but further contract wins would provide upside to this forecast.  

FTSE 100 surges higher on Chinese stock market intervention

The FTSE 100 surged higher on Tuesday with China-focused stocks doing most of the heavy lifting after the Chinese authorities stepped in to prop up their depressed equity markets.

London’s leading index was 0.55% higher at the time of writing, with names such as HSBC, Prudential and Antofagasta among the top risers.

BP was the top riser after following in Shell’s footsteps in announcing a considerable share buyback even though profits fell in the last year.

“The big story on the markets was the sharp rally in Chinese stocks after a state-backed initiative to stir up interest in equities,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The Hang Seng advanced 4% and the SSE jumped 3.2%, some of the biggest one-day gains we’ve seen on the Chinese market in a long time. The Hang Seng Tech index did even better, soaring by 7%.

“A state-owned investment fund indicated it would continue to buy up shares in what looks like a concerted effort to breathe some new life back into Chinese equities after they fell out of favour. The securities regulator also pledged to encourage more long-term funds to buy shares and to encourage companies to buy back more of their own shares.”

The Miners are the most obvious beneficiaries of Chinese stimulus, and the sector posted respectable gains but didn’t run away with itself as the measures were focused on the stock markets rather than the economy. Antofagasta added 1.2% and Rio gained 0.3%. Glencore slipped 0.3% signalling slight disappointment China wasn’t doing more to support the underlying economy and demand for commodities.

On the other hand, HSBC and Prudential, who are more concerned with China’s financial system, gained 1.8% and 2.7%, respectively. HSBC, as the FTSE 100’s third largest company, would have added a significant number of points to the index.

BP was the FTSE 100’s top riser, jumping 5.8%, as the oil major revealed another share buyback that caught investor’s attention. Profits nearly halved as the firm readjusted to lower oil prices, and refining margins were hit.

“The priorities of BP’s new CEO Murray Auchincloss have been made clear. Although on appointment he pledged that BP’s strategy to transition from an international oil company to an integrated energy company was unchanged, the big share buy-back announcement shows the immediate focus is on boosting the share price and returning value to shareholders.

“BP also said that shareholders would get a further $3.5 billion in buybacks in the months to come, and more in 2025.

“This strategy is being pursued even though BP reported a sharp drop in underlying annual profit from $27.7 billion to $13.8 billion as oil and gas prices were lower and refining profit margins also weakened.”

AIM movers: Initial product revenues for Futura Medical and large contract for Beeks Financial

3

Futura Medical (LON: FUM) says 2023 product revenues were around £3.1m following the launch of erectile dysfunction treatment Eroxon in the UK and Belgium. It has already built up a 20% market share. A $4m upfront payment from Haleon for US rights will be recognised in 2024. There was cash of £7.7m at the end of 2023. The share price jumped 31.6% to 36.45p.

Cloud computing services provider Beeks Financial Cloud (LON: BKS) has secured a significant multi-year contract with one of the world’s largest global exchange groups. The contract requires regulatory approval so it may not make a contribution in the year to June 2024. The value of the deal was not disclosed but it could be worth £3m or more each year. Another contract has been increased in size. Canaccord Genuity is maintaining its 2023-24 pre-tax profit forecast at £4.1m and increasing the 2024-25 figure from £5.3m to £6m. The share price increased 30.6% to 141p – the highest level since March last year.

Quadrise (LON: QED) has signed a collaboration agreement with Cargill and MAC2 Solutions for the production of the company’s MSAR and bioMSAR fuels for marine vessel trials on the MSC Leandra. Cargill will supply feedstocks and MAC2 provide jetty space. Cargill has its own fleet of more than 500 vessels. The fuels are more efficient and have less emissions than rival fuels. The share price rose 28.3% to 2.675p.

Internet services company SysGroup (LON: SYS) had a good third quarter with double digit growth year-on-year. AI services are building sales with new and existing customers. The company has secured a three-year cyber security contract worth more than £500,000 and this will be recognised in the fourth quarter. Owen Philips has been appointed as finance director. The Liverpool office is being closed. The share price improved 20.7% to 35p.

FALLERS

Tracking systems provider t42 IoT Tracking Solutions (LON: TRAC) lost most of yesterday’s gains after it secured an order from a customer for 30,000 Lokies keyless padlock units and that could generate $7.5m in revenues over three years. The share price slipped 23% to 2.75p – just above the Friday closing price.

Secure payments services provider PCI-Pal (LON: PCIP) increased interim revenues by one-fifth to £8.7m and achieved positive EBITDA. Annualised recurring revenues were 23% ahead at £14.7m. Net cash was £540,000 at the end of 2023, after paying £1.1m of legal costs for the patent case with Sycurio. The US trial is set for February 2025. PCI-Pal has secured a partnership deal with Zoom. The share price dipped 11.7% to 49p.

Tiger Royalties and Investments (LON: TIR) reported a steady unaudited portfolio value of 0.08p/share. The share price declined 9.09% to 0.25p.

There was profit taking in MicroSalt (LON: SALT) shares, which fell from its peak to 9.42% to 62.5p. To put that in context the low-sodium salt developer raised £3.14m at 43p/share when it joined AIM on 1 February. The company has set out its strategy and expects to announce additional US orders. It is in early-stage discussions with three UK supermarkets.

NextEnergy Solar Fund: attractions beyond the dividend

The NextEnergy Solar Fund has an extremely attractive dividend policy and provides investors with a yield far in excess of the benchmark. However, the attractions of the trust run deeper than the dividend, providing investors with unrivalled exposure to UK solar power assets.

A major player in the UK’s solar power generation industry with 90 solar assets across the UK, the renewable infrastructure trust also has international holdings in Europe and India.

The trust has deployed significant capital into the energy transition and has a gross asset value of around £1.2bn and a net asset value of £640m.

NextEnergy Solar Fund is managed by NextEnergy Capital, one of the world’s largest solar investors, with around $3.9bn in assets. NextEnergy Solar Fund benefits from the deep expertise of 300 investment professionals focused on clean energy, making it a uniquely positioned Investment Trust.

The management team’s experience in the solar industry is demonstrated by the evolution of capital allocation during the existence of the trust in response to a changing regulatory environment. The portfolio contains some of the UK’s earliest government-subsidised solar installations generating long-term inflation-linked revenues and newer assets designed for the post-subsidy era.

Diversified portfolio

NextEnergy has consistently invested in new assets through the 10-year life of the fund, and the latest post-subsidy assets utilise the latest solar technology without any government subsidies. Revenues are generated from power purchase agreements with corporates with the help of contracts-for-difference to stabilise cash flows. NextEnergy will also trade the power generated from newer assets in the open market.

The portfolio is split between direct investment solar assets, co-investment and a $50m investment in a fund providing geographical diversification.

The majority of the portfolio is allocated to direct investments in the UK managed directly by the NextEnergy team. Of the trust’s 100 directly held assets, 90 are in the UK and eight in Italy.

The trust achieves overseas exposure through the $50m investment in NextPower III ESG, which invests in solar projects globally. NextEnergy Solar Fund has co-invested directly with the fund into solar assets in Spain and Portugal.

UK investors will be hard-pressed to find another investment vehicle offering the same solar asset diversification and NextEnergy Solar Fund’s expert management.

It operates some of the UK’s largest facilities, ranging from the 9MW capacity Gover Farm installation in Cornwall to the 4.8MW capacity Balhearty asset in Scotland.

The trust’s total capacity is 933MW. To put this into context, the UK’s total solar capacity was around 15,000 MW in 2023, according to trade body Solar Energy UK.

The NextEnergy Solar Fund Opportunity

Amid a sector trend of renewable infrastructure trusts trading at substantial discounts to NAV, the NextEnergy Solar Fund trades at a 23% discount to NAV.

Speaking to UK Investor Magazine in early 2024, Ross Grier, COO & Head of UK Investments, NextEnergy Capital, said; ‘there is nothing within the fundamentals of the platform that could justify the discount.”

This is a major vote of confidence by someone at the forefront of managing the trust and calculating the portfolio’s NAV.

NextEnergy has spent a decade optimising ‘robust’ NAV calculations they feel are entirely representative of the trust’s value. These calculations are audited on a regular basis.

The discount is almost entirely the result of the higher interest rate environment, and there’s a strong argument that when rates start to fall, the NESF will rerate accordingly.

However, instead of waiting for interest rates to fall, the trust is taking active steps to recycle capital to pay down an interest-rate-sensitive revolving credit facility to bolster its capital structure.

Taking these steps now will likely feed through to better performance for investors as interest rates are reduced later this year.

Although there is a substantial gap between the share price and NAV and a material opportunity for this to narrow exists, much interest in NextEnergy will derive from the 8% dividend. 

Dividend yields above 6% should always be treated with caution, but nothing here suggests any disruption to payments on the horizon.

Indeed, the trust increased the dividend by 11% recently so that investors will receive 8.35p for the full year, and everything points to dividends rising in the future.

The trust has increased the dividend in line, or above, inflation in each year of existence.

The trust targets a 1.3x dividend cover in 2023/24. This leaves plenty of space for payout increases thereafter.

With a current share price of 82.1p, NESF represents deep value and market-beating sustainable yields.

BP shares jump on share buyback as profits fall

BP rose on Tuesday after the oil giant revealed the impact of lower oil prices in 2023 but pushed on with another bumper share buyback.

BP shares were 6% higher at the time of writing.

BP followed Shell’s lead as far as investors looked past falling profits and focused almost exclusively on an increased share buyback. BP announced an additional $3.5bn share buyback programme to be completed in the first half of 2024.

Lower profits at BP were telegraphed after energy prices slid in 2023, and the halving of Underlying Replacement Cost Profit to $13.bn in the full year would not have come as a surprise to investors.

Oil majors’ profitability is notoriously volatile and largely in the hands of underlying energy market pricing. As profitability swings dramatically, investors will be conscious of the company’s cash position and the ability to continue to grow distributions.

Looking at BP’s cash flow, shareholders have nothing to be concerned about. Despite operating cashflow falling in 2023 due to lower oil prices, BP increased shareholder payouts, maintained the same level of CAPEX as in 2022, and still ended the year with more cash in the bank than at the end of the prior year.

In many respects, the comparison to 2022’s earnings will be discounted by the market due to the war unfolding in Ukraine, sending oil prices above $100.

With oil prices falling back to the $70-$80 range, BP is now operating in an environment more representative of historical conditions and shareholders may feel comfortable with the macro influences on earnings going forward.

“The priorities of BP’s new CEO Murray Auchincloss have been made clear. Although on appointment he pledged that BP’s strategy to transition from an international oil company to an integrated energy company was unchanged, the big share buy-back announcement shows the immediate focus is on boosting the share price and returning value to shareholders. BP also said that shareholders would get a further $3.5 billion in buybacks in the months to come, and more in 2025,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“This strategy is being pursued even though BP reported a sharp drop in underlying annual profit from $27.7 billion to $13.8 billion as oil and gas prices were lower and refining profit margins also weakened. 

“However, the company continues to generate highly impressive cash flows so there will be disappointment that BP is not using this strength to go farther and faster with its green transition. The emerging focus on cleaner forms of energy, are highly capital intensive but the dial is not being moved on capital expenditure guidance for 2024 of around $16bn and it looks likely to stay at a similar level till at least 2030. The focus is now going to be trained on simplifying the business, providing stability for investors, with what Auchincloss calls ‘more pragmatism’.”

Fusion Antibodies shares jump after announcing follow-on project

Fusion Antibodies has announced a new follow-on project that is expected to generate substantial fees for the company. Under the project, Fusion will further progress the lead antibody that was successfully developed under an existing collaboration agreement with a US biotech company.

Fusion Antibodies shares were 13% higher at the time of writing.

The follow-on project is anticipated to bring in approximately $650,000 in fees for Fusion by the end of March 2025. This comes on top of the fees already received under the initial agreement, which slightly exceeded the original minimum of $1.83 million due to additional work elements.

Fusion Antibodies said the ongoing partnership demonstrates the value of Fusion’s proprietary antibody discovery and engineering capabilities, which continue to drive revenue growth through service agreements.

Leveraging Fusion Antibodies’ RAMP antibody maturation platform, the new follow-on project focuses on advancing the lead therapeutic antibody identified in earlier discovery work. Further optimisation and development of potential backup candidates may also be undertaken.

“It is always thrilling and satisfying to share in our clients’ successes. We are delighted that the programme has been so productive, and we look forward to continuing to work with our Client to bring better antibodies to the clinic more rapidly,” said Adrian Kinkaid, CEO of Fusion.

“The collaborative nature of the project, with creative problem solving from both parties over the full length of the programme, makes this a model example of Fusion’s Integrated Therapeutic Antibody Service (ITAS) and highlights the strong reputation that Fusion has for delivering high quality therapeutic antibodies.

Whilst it is not anticipated that revenues from the new Follow-on Project will substantially impact revenues in the current financial year, it provides a valuable bedrock for the following year. We look forward to continuing to build on the excellent relationship with our Client and to repeating the success with more ITAS projects in the future.”

Porvair maintains long-term earnings growth record

1

Filtration technology supplier Porvair (LON: PRV) beat expectations and forecasts have been upgraded. Underlying demand for the company’s products remains strong with clean water and other clean technology areas propelling growth.

Porvair has an impressive long-term growth record with organic earnings growth of 12%/year over a fifteen-year period.

In the year to November 2023, revenues edged up from £172.6m to £176m, while margins were much improved. That enabled pre-tax profit to rise from £19.4m to £21.4m. The total dividend was raised from 5.7p/share to 6p/share.

There were parts of the business that were hit by destocking as lead times for products returned to normal levels. Industrial and laboratory consumables were hit. The former is still being affected by destocking, but it appears to have stabilised for the laboratory business.  

Aerospace demand is improving, and petrochemical demand is also rising. Both aerospace and industrial and metal melt quality divisions improved their margins. The laboratory division margins declined, but they are still the highest in the group.

The business is highly cash generative and net cash was £14.1m at the end of November 2023. That is before paying £10.3m for European Filter Corporation NV (EFC) in December.

Belgium-based EFC manufactures mist elimination filters used in producing industrial feedstocks and it provides distribution channels for existing Porvair products.

Future

The industrial division will continue to be hit by destocking in the first half but could return to growth in the second half. Foreign exchange movements could hold also back progress. Shore expects a 2023-24 pre-tax profit of £22.5m and the dividend is forecast to increase to 6.8p/share – covered 5.5 times covered by forecast earnings.

Water regulation is being tightened in the US and there is also regulation expected for flue gas industrial emissions. Environmental legislation is likely to continue to gain momentum and Porvair will benefit from much of it. There is also more use of aluminium in electric vehicles.

At 660p, the shares are trading on less than eighteen times prospective earnings. Even after paying for EFC, net cash could be back up to £13.3m at the end of November 2024. That provides funds for further acquisitions. The long-term prospects make the shares attractive.