AIM movers: Gfinity generates AI revenues and further positive drilling news from Xtract Resources

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Gfinity (LON: GFIN) is commercialising AI technology Connected IQ under licence from 0M Technology Solutions, and first revenues were generated in April. Talks are underway with large advertising agencies to use the technology in brand campaigns and for the provision of services. Additional sales personnel have been hired. Gfinity has formed Yentra.AI to bring together the software engineering, AI consulting and web 3 development operations for commercial customers. Gfinity owns 51% and management the rest. The share price improved 22.2% to 0.0825p.

Oil and gas producer Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) says the Selva Malvezzi production concession in Italy, where it has a 37% interest, generated average daily production was 77,292scm. The Prospex Energy share of income was €1.24m. An application has been made to drill four more holes and 3D seismic survey data will be acquired. The temporary halt to production at Viura in Spain due to a leak in the completion tubing at the Viura 1-B well will reduce income from there. Production should resume in mid-June. The share price rose 2.69% to 5.75p.

FALLERS

Shares in Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) continue to fall following yesterday’s statement that cash fell to £2.7m at the end of March 2025 with monthly cash burn of up to £750,000. There were talks about a possible offer for the company, but they have ended. The in content advertising company needs to raise more cash, and management is considering placing the company in administration if it cannot obtain additional funds. An additional decline of 16.7% takes the share price to 0.035p.

Xtract Resources (LON: XTR) reported further assay results from the Silverking copper project in Zambia, where it can earn a stake of up to 70%. These double the strike extent of the high-grade mineralisation to more than 160 metres. Drilling will continue down to 400 vertical metres. Lower grade copper mineralisation could be commercially processed. The shares dipped 5% to 0.95p.

Trading continues on AIM and in South Africa in Kore Potash (LON: KP2) although it was suspended on ASX ahead of draft financing proposals for the Kola project. The ASX suspension will be lifted when the negotiations and agreement of the draft financing proposal and associated non-binding term sheets received from the Summit consortium are completed. The share price declined 3.72% to 2.85p, but it is still higher on the week.  

David and Sharon Hudaly revealed a 3.43% stake in healthcare services provider Totally (LON: TLY) following yesterday’s launch of a strategic review after a downgrading of expectations for the year to March 2025. EBITDA expectations have been downgraded from £3.5m to between nil and £2m. The finance director has left. There is a tight cash position and that has sparked the review to decide how to strengthen the balance sheet. The share price slipped a further 3.57p to 1.35p.

Aurora UK Alpha: The North Star of Intrinsic Value

One of the challenges in observing investment markets, especially over shorter durations, lies in the frequent disconnect between share price movements and the underlying fundamental reality of the businesses represented.  

We often witness share prices fluctuate in ways that seem detached from tangible results. While sometimes an explanation appears obvious, trying to draw causal links between daily news and price shifts often proves to be futile.  

The market, after all, is not merely reflecting the present state; it is continuously attempting to gauge the future, leading to fluctuations based on shifting expectations.    

Looking past short-term noise to find long-term value 

At Phoenix, our approach seeks to look through this noise, anchored by a focus on intrinsic value. This represents our assessment of a business’s true long-term worth, serving as our North Star. Estimating this value involves deep, sometimes unconventional, research utilising our DREAM framework.  

Within this system, we assess numerous factors but also explicitly rate our confidence in that rating and the depth of our work, acknowledging that greater depth can sometimes reveal more uncertainty. This explicit separation helps foster clearer thinking and guards against analytical bias. This process yields a probabilistic range for intrinsic value, reflecting inherent uncertainties, from which our central estimate is derived.    

The process of distinguishing between price and value is a central tenet of value investing. Successfully differentiating between a price decline that creates value and one that reflects destroyed value is paramount. It allows informed action to convert market fluctuations into investment advantage.  

For the latest factsheet and Q1 Commentary, please see here

UK Equities: seeing opportunity where others see weakness 

Applying this intrinsic value framework to UK equities offers a perspective contrary to prevailing narratives. Persistently weak share prices and factors like sustained divestment by domestic pension schemes and the overhang of past political challenges, understandably foster a view that depressed valuations reflect structural challenges.    

Our assessment differs. The fundamental drivers of economic prosperity and corporate profitability appear, to us, largely unchanged. Developments such as AI seem poised to potentially boost productivity, an opportunity a service-oriented and adaptable economy like the UK should be well-placed to capture.  

From our viewpoint, therefore, lower equity prices currently signify greater potential value rather than impairment.    

UK Housebuilders: valued less than land with compelling businesses 

UK housebuilding is a good example. Current equity valuations stand some 30-40% below their 2019 levels, with companies trading at less than the assessed value of their purchased land. 

The fundamental characteristics remain compelling; large housebuilders generate high returns on capital, supported by structural factors like land, supply constraints and scale advantages – realities acknowledged in the CMA’s detailed sector study.  

Even absent any market re-rating, ownership of these businesses near liquidation value presents the prospect of strong returns fuelled by underlying earnings and asset appreciation.    

And yet the future is one of growth. A key tenet of the current government’s economic growth initiative involves increasing housing supply. Streamlining planning is a low-cost route to spur activity, while a growing housing market has a significant multiplier effect throughout the economy.  

For the 2024 Annual Report, please see here

Growing gap between price and value 

Another way to express our view of the current opportunity is by looking at intrinsic value at the portfolio level. Each quarter, we reassess the intrinsic value for every holding; the portfolio figure constitutes the weighted average. 

The Trust’s net asset value today is 255p, compared to 234p at the end of 2019. In contrast, our estimate of intrinsic value stands at 650p today, versus 420p in 2019. 

Put differently, the market price has risen by only 9%, but we think value has increased by 55%. The upside to intrinsic value has risen from 60% to 155%.  

Confident in delayed gratification  

Our experience suggests that such wide disparities between market price and intrinsic value typically precede periods of strong performance.  

This conviction is underpinned by concentrated holdings in businesses where our knowledge is deep, often accumulated over decades of research.  

While timing remains unknown, we focus on the underlying value, relying on that metaphysical piece of elastic connecting price and value.  

We know the greater the stretch, the stronger the eventual pull. 

FTSE 100 storms higher on trade deal optimism

The FTSE 100 was on the verge of recovering all the losses sustained in the wake of Donald Trump’s tariff announcement as the index surged higher on Friday amid strong earnings from NatWest and Shell, and hopes China and the US would reach an amicable resolution to their trade spat.

London’s leading index was 0.7% at the time of writing, as investors looked past mixed earnings from US tech to focus on UK-centric earnings and an easing in tension between the US and China.

“The FTSE 100 was on course to extend its winning streak after signs of a potential de-escalation of the tariff stand-off between US and China gave investors real heart,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“There were strong gains in Asia and on Wall Street overnight. The latter helped by strong after-hours results from Microsoft and Meta Platforms on Wednesday. Although subsequent more mixed earnings from Apple and Amazon may have soured sentiment a touch.

Shell shares rose after the oil major posted encouraging results demonstrating financial prudence amid lower energy prices.

Despite sizable losses across the energy sector, Shell smashed analysts’ expectations by over $1bn in Q1 as strict capital discipline, a hallmark of Shell, continues to drive strong shareholder returns and insulate the business from market shocks,” said Mark Crouch, market analyst for eToro.

“Falling oil and gas prices, OPEC production increases, and tariff volatility have weighed heavily on producers. But for Shell, whose profits jumped to $5.6bn, strategic execution and a clear identity has delivered in droves.”

Shell shares rose 3%, adding a significant number of points to the index.

The FTSE 100 also benefited from a strong bid in miners on hopes of a deal between China and Donald Trump. Anglo American, Glencore, and Rio Tinto all rose more than 1%.

NatWest hit the highest levels since 2011 in early trade before retreating following the release of upbeat Q1 earnings that showed the bank was in rude health. NatWest shares were 0.3% higher in mid-morning trade.

“NatWest has taken the spotlight this week in banking land, smashing profit expectations thanks to solid top-line growth and tight cost control,” explained Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Like we’ve seen across the sector, impairments came in a bit higher than expected as the bank plays it safe in case the economic backdrop worsens – but for now, borrowers are holding up well, so there’s no major red flag there.”

Haleon was the FTSE 100 top riser after UBS analysts bumped their price target up to 460p. Haleon was 3% higher at 400p at the time of writing.

NatWest shares hit highest level since 2011 on strong Q1 earnings

NatWest shares reached their highest levels since 2011 on Friday after the bank reported Q1 earnings that offered plentiful reason to be optimistic about the bank’s near-term future.

NatWest has delivered a very respectable financial performance in the first quarter of 2025, reporting an attributable profit of £1,252 million, earnings per share of 15.5 pence and a return on tangible equity of 18.5%.

There was little evidence of economic strain in NatWest’s Q1 update, with total income hitting £3,952 million, representing an increase of 2.1% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024.

This growth was primarily attributed to deposit margin expansion and increased trading income, despite being partially offset by the impact of fewer days in the quarter.

The higher interest rate environment is playing into NatWest’s hands. The bank’s net interest margin (NIM) rose to 2.27%, which is 8 basis points higher than the previous quarter. This improvement in margins has significantly contributed to the bank’s strong quarterly performance.

NatWest’s focus on the UK meant it avoided the uncertainty experienced by other FTSE 100 banks operating overseas and made provision for bad debts of just £189 million, or 0.19% of its loan book.

“NatWest has taken the spotlight this week in banking land, smashing profit expectations thanks to solid top-line growth and tight cost control,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Like we’ve seen across the sector, impairments came in a bit higher than expected as the bank plays it safe in case the economic backdrop worsens – but for now, borrowers are holding up well, so there’s no major red flag there.

An upbeat outlook would have been welcomed by investors and helped fuel the stock’s rally on Friday. NatWest expects to record a return on tangible equity at the upper end of its previously guided range of 15-16%, and anticipates income excluding notable items to be at the upper end of its previously guided range of £15.2-15.7 billion.

Gfinity achieves first revenue from AI connected video technology

Gfinity has achieved its first revenue from the commercialisation of its Connected IQ artificial intelligence technology, which focuses on the connected video market.

The company received its initial income in April from campaigns and is currently in commercial discussions with several large advertising agencies regarding CIQ’s services.

To support this growth, Gfinity has expanded its commercial sales team in both the UK and USA, with additional recruitment planned. The company has implemented what its Board considers a market-leading logo detection model through its exclusive licence agreement with 0M Technology Solutions Ltd, whilst a human emotion detection capability is being deployed.

Bolstering its exposure to AI and making the company one of London’s leading listed innovators in the space, Gfinity has established Yentra.AI, a new business unit specialising in software engineering, artificial intelligence consulting and web3 development for commercial customers. The venture is 51% owned by Gfinity, with management holding the remaining stake.

Yentra.AI is led by Ignatius Rautenbach and supported by a team of 12 engineers through partnerships with Techohara Solutions Private Limited and Koneqt Limited. The unit aims to deliver solutions to various sectors, including banking, government and insurance, drawing on existing client relationships.

Gfinity says they view Yentra.AI as both an internal resource for developing further AI ventures and a response to significant commercial opportunities in artificial intelligence over the next two years.

“We are at the start of a major global AI cycle, and through CIQ, we believe that Gfinity is positioning itself to be a clear part of the AI cycle in advertising,” said CEO of Gfinity, David Halley.

“In addition, by partnering with the experienced team at Yentra, we now have an internal resource to build out technology for the sector and benefit from both the revenue generated from Yentra and the ability to build further technology for Connected IQ and Gfinity.”

GenIP shares jump as new product launched into business intelligence market

GenIP has today announced the launch of its innovative AI-powered ‘Competitive Intelligence Report’, marking a significant expansion of the Gen AI analytics firm’s market reach beyond its traditional technology commercialisation services.

The London-based firm that listed on AIM late in 2024 has also secured its first major client for the new product—a ‘Big Four’ accountancy firm.

GenIP shares were 17% higher at the time of writing.

The newly launched ‘Competitive Intelligence Report’ employs advanced artificial intelligence to identify and assess leading entities in specific technological fields.

The new solution delivers insights to support strategic decision-making regarding innovation pathways, potential collaborations, and acquisition opportunities.

Today’s product launch significantly broadens GenIP’s addressable market, extending its applications well beyond the realm of technology commercialisation. The new intelligence service is positioned to serve businesses seeking in-depth competitive intelligence to inform strategic planning and investment institutions exploring partnership or acquisition prospects.

GenIP will utilise proprietary AI-driven prompt engineering with expert human oversight to generate actionable strategic insights.

Notably, the new product attracts a significantly higher fee than GenIP’s existing product range.

In a significant vote of confidence for the new offering, GenIP has already secured its first client: a ‘Big Four’ accountancy firm that will utilise the Competitive Intelligence Report to gain strategic insights into the technological capabilities and competitive landscape of target companies for potential partnerships or acquisitions.

“The launch of our Competitive Intelligence Report marks a pivotal moment for GenIP,” said Melissa Cruz, CEO of GenIP.

“Beyond our established client base, we believe that the potential market size for this strategic intelligence product is substantial, encompassing not only research institutions, and IP firms but also a significant segment of corporations across diverse sectors requiring nuanced competitive intelligence and market analysis.

“This includes areas such as mergers and acquisitions, strategic partnerships, and technology scouting. Our early success in securing a leading client at nearly 7X current report pricing, validates this broader market opportunity and the compelling value proposition of our AI-powered solution.”

AIM movers: Mirriad Advertising running out of money and Emmerson seeks arbitration

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Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in spirits company Distil (LON: DIS) from 17.3% to 18.1%. The share price has come off its high for the day, but it is still up 46.7% to 0.11p.

Emmerson (LON: EML) is seeking arbitration through the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID), which is part of the World Bank, in relation to its dispute with the Moroccan government over the Khemisset potash project. The compensation claim is valued by the company at $2.2bn. The $11.2m litigation funding facility will be used to pay costs.  The share price recovered 30.6% to 2.35p.

Generative AI services provider GenIP (LON: GNIP) has gained its first client for a new AI-powered product. It is a big four accountancy firm. The product analyses data and provides competitive intelligence for businesses. The share price rose 14.8% to 31p.

Architectural and construction software provider Eleco (LON: ELCO) beat previously upgraded expectations with pre-tax profit improving from £4.2m to £5.4m and the dividend was raised by one-quarter to 1p/share. The move to a SaaS-based model is beginning to show though in profitability, while upselling has increased net revenue retention to 109%. A pre-tax profit of £6.8m is expected this year. Annualised recurring revenues are forecast to grow from £26.6m to £32.6m in 2025. The share price increased 6.61% to 129p.

FALLERS

In content advertising company Mirriad Advertising (LON: MIRI) says first quarter revenues were just over £80,000, although this is a seasonally weak period there were lower than expected activity levels. Cash has fallen to £2.7m at the end of March 2025 with monthly cash burn of up to £750,000. There were talks about a possible offer for the company, but they have ended. Mirriad Advertising needs to raise more cash, and management is considering placing the company in administration. The share price slumped 83.8% to 0.055p.

Healthcare services provider Totally (LON: TLY) has launched a strategic review following a downgrading of expectations for the year to March 2025. This reflects a delay in the start of a contract and the discontinuing of higher margin NHS111 work. EBITDA expectations have been downgraded from £3.5m to between nil and £2m. Exceptional costs are higher than anticipated at £3.8m. The finance director has left. There is a tight cash position and that has sparked the review to decide how to strengthen the balance sheet. The share price dived 63% to 1.5p.

Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) is raising £800,000 at 0.022p/share and each share comes up with a warrant exercisable at 0.045p/share. The cash will pay creditors and on ASIC development. The company is making progress with discussions with a wireless business as part of the strategy to become a semiconductor company. The share price declined by one-quarter to 0.0225p.

Oil and gas company Caspian Sunrise (LON: CASP) says delays in the renewal of the licence for the Akkaduk structure had stopped it completing the acquisition of the Block 8 contract area in Kazakhstan. However, it has decided to go ahead with the acquisition without the renewal, and it is applying for government consents. The sale of other assets for $88m also awaits regulatory consents. The share price fell 5.36% to 2.65p.

Ex-dividends

AB Dynamics (LON: ABDP) is paying an interim dividend of 2.8p/share and the share price slid 17.5p to 1742.5p.

Ashtead Technology (LON: AT.) is paying a final dividend of 1.2p/share and the share price is 5.75p lower at 491.75p.

BP Marsh (LON: BPM) is paying a dividend of 8.08p/share and the share price is down 5p to 710p.

Churchill China (LON: CHH) is paying a final dividend of 26.5p/share and the share price slipped 22.5p to 552.5p.

Nexteq (LON: NXQ) is paying a final dividend of 3.7p/share and the share price fell 2.5p to 62p.

Thor Explorations Ltd (LON: THX) is paying a dividend of C$0.0125 /share and the share price declined 1.75p to 31.75p.

FTSE 100 steady as Lloyds shares fall

The FTSE 100 remained fairly steady on Thursday, as mixed earnings updates led to a directionless performance by the index.

That said, London’s leading index had just crept above 8,500, turning positive at the time of writing, and was on course to build on the recovery rally following Trump’s tariffs.

“There was plenty of corporate news for the markets to digest on Thursday morning – with the good, bad and ugly all represented,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Banks, energy stocks and housebuilders were out of favour while miners and other stocks caught up in the tariff-related sell-off made progress. BP and Shell were a drag given their weighting in the index as US oil prices slipped below $60 per barrel. This reflected concerns about an economic slowdown in the wake of a global trade war and speculation producers’ cartel OPEC might lift production again in June.”

BP shares were down 2.4% and Shell lost 1.4% as the two oil majors offset gains elsewhere in the index.

Polar Capital Technology Trust was the FTSE 100’s top riser as the US tech-focused trust tracked a rally in the US overnight. Strong results from Meta will have also helped the trust’s cause – Meta makes up 7.6% of the trust’s holdings.

Persimmon shares were 1% higher after the housebuilder followed Taylor Wimpey’s update yesterday with a similarly upbeat trading statement.

“Persimmon’s building on its strong performance in 2024 and looks like one of the best-placed names to benefit from any potential uplift in the sector,” explained Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Improving sales rates, higher average selling prices and a growing order book all paint a very encouraging picture of current and future trading.”

Lloyds was among the FTSE 100 fallers after the UK-focused bank revealed the impact of economic uncertainty on provisions for bad debts, which eroded profits.

There was probably an element of profit taking in Lloyds shares’ 2% drop on Thursday, given the back has rallied from around 60p to over 70p in less than a month.

“Unlike Barclays, which is a beneficiary of market volatility thanks to the trading part of its investment banking business, the current uncertainty is only bad news for Lloyds,” Russ Mould said.

“The company has increased the amount set aside for bad debts – not based on anything it is seeing yet but as a prudent move to anticipate any impact from the recent turmoil.

“While there is no change to the current annual guidance, the first quarter showing was slightly behind forecasts thanks to the tariff-related adjustments and as the company absorbed the impact of higher costs.”

Share Tip: Currys – early signs of recovery in its Nordics regions helps to drive group profit expectations even higher

Just six weeks ago I questioned whether it was the right time to be buying back into the shares of the UK’s leading electronics and technology products retail group. 
The shares of Currys (LON:CURY) were then 88p, with my suggestion that they could well be ready to rise above the 100p level and then forge onwards to 120p. 
Well, that has not happened as yet, however the rise to the current 110p indicates a firm intention for the shares to break my 120p aim and then go even better. 
The Business 
Founded in 1884, the company was formerly known as Dixons Carphone and changed ...

Meta shares surge as profit beats estimates and active users rise

Meta shares jumped in the US after-market following the release of Q1 earnings that revealed better-than-expected EPS and revenue.

The Facebook owner’s EPS of $6.43 for the first quarter smashed estimates of $5.28 as the group shook off concerns about tariff uncertainty weighing on ad spending.

Revenue for the period came in at $42.3bn versus expectations of $41.4bn.

Perhaps the most interesting metric which supports the group’s long-term growth trajectory is the 6% uptick in daily active users. Investors will be encouraged to see the group grow its user base as its platforms enter maturity and competition from the likes of TikTok heats up.

Meta shares were 5% higher in the US premarket at the time of writing.

“Meta shares are racing higher in after-hours trading after a strong set of results – and, more importantly, a confident outlook. This was never really about the quarter just gone for Meta; all eyes were on guidance for the second quarter and capex for the full year – and neither disappointed,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The midpoint of the revenue guide is bang in line with consensus but Meta usually hits the top end, and the big surprise was another bump to capex as Meta goes full throttle on investments in AI.

“There was a distinct lack of commentary on tariffs, so we’ll have to wait for the call to hear more. Meta is more insulated than other names in the ad space, like Snapchat, which tumbled after ditching guidance. But with about 10% of ads tied to Chinese sellers, Meta’s still got some serious skin in the game. Full-year expectations may need to be revised slightly from the 10% revenue growth currently priced in, but Meta has some levers to pull in other areas if it needs to limit the impact on profits.”