Temple Bar Investment Trust Chairman Update

As we approach the fifth anniversary of Redwheel’s appointment as investment managers to the Temple Bar portfolio, in our latest update video, chairman Richard Wyatt examines Nick and Ian’s progress to date, along with recent developments in the UK equity market and their implications for the Temple Bar dividend. 

Past performance is not a guide to the future. The price of investments and the income from them may fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Forecasts and estimates are based upon subjective assumptions about circumstances and events that may not yet have taken place and may never do so.

No investment strategy or risk management technique can guarantee returns or eliminate risks in any market environment. Nothing in this document should be construed as advice and is therefore not a recommendation to buy or sell shares. Information contained in this document should not be viewed as indicative of future results. The value of investments can go down as well as up.

This article is issued by RWC Asset Management LLP (Redwheel), in its capacity as the appointed portfolio manager to the Temple Bar Investment Trust Plc. Redwheel, is authorised and regulated by the UK Financial Conduct Authority and the US Securities and Exchange Commission.

The statements and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author as of the date of publication. 

Redwheel may act as investment manager or adviser, or otherwise provide services, to more than one product pursuing a similar investment strategy or focus to the product detailed in this document. Redwheel seeks to minimise any conflicts of interest, and endeavours to act at all times in accordance with its legal and regulatory obligations as well as its own policies and codes of conduct.

This document is directed only at professional, institutional, wholesale or qualified investors. The services provided by Redwheel are available only to such persons. It is not intended for distribution to and should not be relied on by any person who would qualify as a retail or individual investor in any jurisdiction or for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

The information contained herein does not constitute: (i) a binding legal agreement; (ii) legal, regulatory, tax, accounting or other advice; (iii) an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell shares in any fund, security, commodity, financial instrument or derivative linked to, or otherwise included in a portfolio managed or advised by Redwheel; or (iv) an offer to enter into any other transaction whatsoever (each a Transaction). No representations and/or warranties are made that the information contained herein is either up to date and/or accurate and is not intended to be used or relied upon by any counterparty, investor or any other third party. Redwheel bears no responsibility for your investment research and/or investment decisions and you should consult your own lawyer, accountant, tax adviser or other professional adviser before entering into any Transaction.

AIM movers: Solid State beats expectations and IG Design considers exiting US

1

Electric Guitar (LON: ELEG) is considering acquisitions in the energy and AI sectors. The creditors voluntary arrangement shares have yet to be issued as the supervisor of the CVA is working through claims. The share price rebounded 84.2% to 0.0875p.

Electronic components and systems supplier Solid State (LON: SOLI) is expecting better than forecast pre-tax profit of £4.25m in the year to March 2025. Product mix has improved gross margins and costs have been reduced. The order book is worth £108.5m and 90% should be delivered this year. The share price jumped 16.4% to 195p.

IG Design (LON: IGR) is considering the future of its North American business and it may decide to concentrate on its other operations. One of the major US customers has filed for bankruptcy protection. Trading was in line with expectations in the year to March with net cash of $84m at the year end. A small pre-tax profit is expected. The share price recovered 11.9% to 55.5p.

Kettle controls and appliances supplier Strix (LON: KETL) did slightly better than in 2024 than the guidance earlier this year with net debt reducing to £63.7m. Underlying pre-tax profit dipped from £22.3m to £18.5m on flat revenues of £144m. The US is a small percentage of business and UK and German consumer confidence are more important to the prospects. The share price rose 9.72% to 46.575p.

FALLERS

GeninCode (LON: GENI) says there are outstanding elements in the De Novo submission to the Food and Drug Administration for CARDIO inCode-Score. These relate to clinical validation, which will be addressed. A supervisory review has begun, and the company is in discussions with the FDA. This will extend the time to generating revenues in the US. The share price slumped 38.3% to 1.45p.

Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) has still not received funds under the secured credit facility. There is enough cash to continuing trading until May, but administration is a possibility. The share price slid 23.1% to 5p.

Galantas Gold (LON: GAL) had cash of $526,000 following an outflow from operating activities of $1.1m in 2024. The share price fell 14.3% to 3p.

Consumer ecommerce business Huddled Group (LON: HUD) increased first quarter revenues from £2.1m to £4.4m, but Discount Dragon revenues fell 19% due to stock clearance in January and the refocus on the Nutricircle and Boop Beauty businesses, where revenues grew. The warehouse expansion will be completed in the second quarter. The share price slipped 8.97% to 3.55p.

FTSE 100 winning streak continues as Barclays results impress

The FTSE 100 continued its upward march on Wednesday, as corporate earnings helped lift the index despite lingering concerns about Trump’s tariffs.

London’s leading index rose about 20 points in early trade before the rally faded to trade just above flat at the time of writing.

Anyone who bought into the Trump tariff-induced sell-off is being handsomely rewarded. The FTSE 100 is now over 10% higher than its closing low record in the aftermath of Trump’s liberation day tariffs and more than 2% higher year-to-date in 2025.

“There’s a footloose feeling to the footsie, with the blue-chip index shrugging off global economic worries and heading higher on a winning streak,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“It’s already clocked the best run since early 2017, and investors appear to have appetite for the defensive nature of the index, as they look set to tiptoe round more volatile US assets.”

London’s winning streak was further extended on Wednesday by another strong day of earnings for FTSE 100 companies, with Barclays, Taylor Wimpey, and GSK all giving investors reason to be optimistic.

Barclays

There was a lot to like about Barclays first quarter results. Profit before tax rose 19% to £2.72bn, smashing estimates of £2.49bn helped by strong investment performance. The bank also increased its 2025 net interest income to £12.5bn.

“Barclays has quite comfortably beaten expectations, after its investment banking arm cashed in on market volatility over the first quarter,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“In the main, trends across the portfolio look strong, from stable US credit card write-offs to low default levels on UK cards and loans. In fact, the only real sign that there could be an impending US or global recession was a slightly higher reserve build for its US consumer bank. If that wasn’t enough, management has raised guidance to add a confident cherry on top of the strong quarter – investors should be happy with what they’ve seen today.”

Barclays shares were 1.5% higher at the time of writing.

GSK provided a reassuringly strong set of Q1 results that helped shares rise over 1%.

Mark Crouch, market analyst at eToro, said: “GSK posted a Q1 earnings beat this morning, with rising profits and sales driven by continued growth in its Specialty Medicines division.”

A positive assessment of trading conditions by Taylor Wimpey and the reaffirmation of their competition guidance for 2025 helped the stock to marginal gains of 0.5% at the time of writing.

Natural Resource weakness

Upbeat reports from GSK, Barclays and Taylor Wimpey were offset by weakness in the natural resources stocks after Trump’s 100-day address to supporters overnight served as a reminder that the US President was seemingly hell bent on disrupting the world order.

Weak Chinese manufacturing data also added to the downside pressure on natural resources shares.

“Concerns about US tariffs are resurfacing, after a defiant Trump rallied his supporters, and a weaker than expected manufacturing update from China added to concerns about global growth prospects,” Streeter explained.

Glencore shares were at the FTSE 100 leaderboard at the time of writing having lost 3% of their value.

Taylor Wimpey reports improving sales rates, maintains completion guidance

Taylor Wimpey has announced that its spring selling season progressed as expected, despite macroeconomic volatility and affordability challenges, particularly in southern England.

The housebuilder reported a net private sales rate of 0.77 per outlet per week for the year to 27 April 2025, slightly up from 0.74 in 2024.

The firm’s total order book value stood at £2,335 million, representing 8,153 homes—an increase from £2,093 million and 7,742 homes last year.

Taylor Wimpey maintains its high-quality landbank of approximately 78,000 plots alongside a strategic land pipeline of about 136,000 potential plots.

The company reiterated its full-year UK completions guidance of 10,400 to 10,800 homes and expects group operating profit to align with previous forecasts.

A final ordinary dividend of 4.66 pence per share is scheduled for payment on 9 May, subject to shareholder approval. This would equate to a return of 3.9% for the final Taylor Wimpey dividend alone, should the TW share price remain at 119p.

“The Spring selling season has progressed in line with expectations, with good levels of customer demand reflected in our sales rate,” said Jennie Daly, Chief Executive.

As a result, we are today reiterating our guidance for full year UK completions excluding JVs and Group operating profit1*. Notwithstanding the wider macroeconomic backdrop, affordability is improving with lenders remaining committed to the housing market, albeit first time buyers continue to experience some challenges.

The Taylor Wimpey CEO continued to explain how the UK property market’s underlying demand dynamic will support growth for the group into the future.

“Looking ahead, we operate in an attractive market with significant underlying demand for new homes. With our strong, high-quality landbank, healthy balance sheet and highly experienced teams, Taylor Wimpey is set to deliver sustained growth and value for all our stakeholders.”

Private Equity investment trusts outperform following Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ – AIC

Private Equity investment trusts have outperformed all other investment trust sectors since Donald Trump made his ‘Liberation Day’ tariff announcements, according to data compiled by the AIC.

The AIC ‘Private Equity’ sector has returned 11.1% since 2nd April, more than double the second-best performing sector – the ‘Japanese Smaller Companies’ sector, which has returned 5.5%.

Unsurprisingly, Trump’s ongoing trade spat with China has resulted in the AIC’s ‘China / Greater China’ sector performing the worst since Liberation Day, with the sector losing 9.8%.

The ‘North America’ sector has declined 6.2%, while the UK’s resilience is demonstrated in a 1.3% gain for the ‘UK Equity Income’ sector.

Investment trust experts at the AIC attribute the strong performance of private equity and infrastructure trusts to investor positioning in sectors that are set to benefit from lower interest rates as central banks set about tackling the economic impact of Trump’s trade policies.

“President Trump’s announcements on 2 April and his subsequent flip-flopping sent stock markets into a spin, but four weeks later some winners and losers are emerging,” said Nick Britton, Research Director of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC).

“Winners include interest rate sensitive sectors, such as property and infrastructure, which would benefit from rates coming down faster than expected to soothe a troubled economy. UK equities have also done relatively well, as the UK is perceived as being less affected by the tariffs, and Japanese equities have also been resilient. Meanwhile, the stock markets of the trade war’s major players – the US and China – have both suffered.

“The differing fortunes of investment trust sectors since Liberation Day underlines the importance of having a diversified portfolio. Investors would be well advised to stay calm, stick to their plans and take a long-term view while the tariff war rages on.”

Performance of AIC sectors since Liberation Day (2 April)

AIC sectorShare price total return (%)
Since
2 April
Year to dateLast
5 years
Last
10 years
Average investment trust1.80.274.1157.3
Private Equity11.111.8341.3595.1
Japanese Smaller Companies5.54.813.444.3
Hedge Funds4.9-0.950.182.5
Property – UK Commercial3.710.117.532.5
Renewable Energy Infrastructure3.3-1.8-5.754.6
UK All Companies2.91.463.694.9
Property – UK Logistics2.814.250.3n/a
Property – UK Residential2.27.632.3n/a
Infrastructure2.00.711.568.3
Japan1.61.138.093.9
Property – Europe1.50.1-11.8n/a
UK Equity Income1.34.273.779.8
European Smaller Companies0.97.884.3137.7
India/Indian Subcontinent0.9-8.0132.7108.4
Europe0.79.262.7116.3
UK Smaller Companies0.4-7.341.173.0
Commodities & Natural Resources-0.8-2.1137.960.1
Debt – Direct Lending-0.80.241.2n/a
Debt – Loans & Bonds-1.10.262.650.8
Global Smaller Companies-1.1-10.324.8101.5
Property – Debt-1.2-0.934.530.1
Biotechnology & Healthcare-1.2-10.9-17.631.7
Flexible Investment-1.4-0.436.963.8
Growth Capital-1.6-10.7-25.8n/a
Technology & Technology Innovation-1.7-16.575.0n/a
Global Equity Income-1.9-3.672.5125.4
Global Emerging Markets-2.3-1.038.369.0
Asia Pacific Smaller Companies-2.5-4.290.996.0
Debt – Structured Finance-2.63.6109.085.9
Global-3.4-6.855.8187.6
Asia Pacific Equity Income-4.2-5.041.470.6
Asia Pacific-4.6-7.547.8103.7
Leasing-4.60.0163.0n/a
North America-6.2-10.8119.4206.9
Country Specialist-8.8-14.448.9161.3
China / Greater China-9.86.35.754.2

Source: theaic.co.uk / Morningstar. All share price returns to market close on 25 April. Returns since 2 April are from London market close on 2 April to market close on 25 April. Excludes VCTs. “n/a” indicates performance history is shorter than stated period.

AIM movers: Positive drilling news from Xtract Resources and Jet2 forecasts upgraded

0

Xtract Resources (LON: XTR) has received results for the first three drillholes on the Silverking copper project in Zambia, where it can earn a stake of up to 70%. There are high grade copper and silver intercepts. Follow-on drilling will define the limits of mineralisation. Other targets have been identified. The share price increased by one-quarter to 1p.

Litigation finance provider Manolete Partners (LON: MANO) generated £7.5m in cash from completed cases in the year to March 2025, which was a 51% increase. Gross cash receipts were 44% higher at £25.6m. Realised revenues, an indicator of future cash flow, was better than expected at £29.5m and Manolete Partners moved from loss to a pre-tax profit of £300,000. The focus is legal cases relating to insolvencies and the number of insolvencies is increasing. The share price is one-sixth higher at 94.5p.  

Airline and tour operator Jet2 (LON: JET2) announced a £250m share buyback alongside its year end trading statement. The pre-tax profit guidance of £565m-£570m includes £10m gain on disposal of assets. Own cash was £1.1bn at the end of March 2025. Canaccord Genuity has raised its 2025-26 pre-tax profit estimate from £574.6m to £578.2m and the buyback helps to increase earnings per share from 208.5p to 223.9p. The share price improved 14% to 1539.5p.

Automotive connection systems supplier Strip Tinning (LON: STG) has received a £698,000 R&D tax credit for 2022, which was more than expected. A further £122,000 claim is outstanding for 2022. The 2023 R&D tax credit should be paid in the second half of this year. The share price rose 8.82% to 18.5p.

Gaming, medical and broadcast equipment supplier Nexteq (LON: NXQ) has made a positive start to the year and net ash has increased to $30.2m at the end of the first quarter of 2025. That is before the payment of the 3.7p/share dividend. Forecasts are unchanged with a decline in pre-tax profit to £3.6m expected in what should be a transitional year in an overall three-year plan for growth. The share price recovered 7.63% to 63.5p.

FALLERS

Oil and gas producer Prospex Energy (LON: PXEN) says that there has been a temporary halt to production at Viura in Spain due to a leak in the completion tubing at the Viura 1-B well. This will reduce income. Production should resume in mid-June. Follow-on drilling has been paused. The share price dipped 9.92% to 5.45p.

Buy-to-rent and student accommodation developer Watkin Jones (LON: WJG) reports that it was profitable in the first half and the second half should be stronger. Net cash improved by two-thirds to £73m by the end of March 2025. Short0term economic uncertainty continues to affect investor sentiment. The share price slipped 6.44% to 30.875p.

Oil and gas producer Arrow Exploration (LON: AXP) reported growth in full year sales from $50.6m to $81.6m, while EBITDA improved from $26m to $47.4m, which was lower than expected because of higher operating costs. Free cash flow was $6.8m. The share price is down 4.62% to 15.5p.

Cosmetics supplier Warpaint London (LON: W7L) continued to grow strongly despite weakness in the UK market late in the year. Pre-tax profit improved from £18.4m to £24.6m. The integration of Brand Architekts is going well with duplicate costs ending. The acquired brands can be sold through existing customers, particularly outside of the UK and sourcing can be improved. The 2025 pre-tax profit is expected to be £29m. The share price fell 3.7% to 390p.

A highly differentiated and diversified approach to securing inflation-beating returns with Majedie Investments

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Dan Higgins, Founding Partner and Chief Investment Officer of Marylebone Partners, the manager of Majedie Investments, to the podcast for an in-depth exploration of the investment trust and its strategy.

This Podcast is essential listening for all individual equity and investment trust investors.

Dan starts by explaining their ‘liquid endowment’ approach to managing Majedie Investments, outlining their objective to deliver returns in excess of inflation through a deeply diversified and unique portfolio of equity-based investments.

Explore Majedie Investments here.

The Majedie Investments portfolio is constructed through allocations to three clear strategies: external managers, special investments and direct investments. Dan’s explanation of each strategy is truly fascinating, and the combination of the strategies creates a unique proposition for investment trust investors.

Dan explains why the trust should be considered by investors seeking an alternative to the US tech trade and why portfolios like Majedie’s could outperform over the next decade.

We address the current market volatility. Dan shares his views on navigating Trump-induced trade tensions and their implications for Majedie Investments.

TinniSoothe: Disrupting the Tinnitus Market with New Wearable Tech 

Tinnitus affects 740 million people worldwide, yet sufferers still face a critical lack of practical, 24/7 relief options.  

British health tech company TinniSoothe has developed the world’s first wearable sound therapy device to provide round the clock relief, without the need for anything in or around the ears. They are currently doing their first equity raise on CrowdCube, where it is now overfunding, following strong early interest. 

Founded by tinnitus sufferer Howard Presland, TinniSoothe was created to solve a problem existing technologies have long overlooked. Traditional solutions such as hearing aids, earbuds, and external devices are either intrusive, impractical for all-day use, or ineffective at night when tinnitus can be most acute. 

TinniSoothe’s patented, neck-worn device emits a continuous stream of subtle white noise towards the ears, designed to distract the brain and accelerate habituation, the process of reclassifying tinnitus as an unimportant background sound. Users can easily personalise volume and frequency settings, and the device automatically switches to night-time mode when docked, offering seamless day-to-night support. The docking cradle also recharges the battery so that the wearable module is ready for the next day. 

Registered as a Class 1 Medical Device and proudly Made in Britain, TinniSoothe represents a scalable, consumer-friendly solution in a rapidly growing market. The tinnitus devices market is forecast to exceed $3.5 billion by 2030, driven by rising noise pollution, ageing populations and over-use of noise-cancelling headphones.  

TinniSoothe has just completed its first full year of trading with statutory accounts currently pending for March 31, 2025. Provisional numbers show Income already approaching six figures, largely from initial eCommerce sales from tinnisoothe.com.  

With excellent user reviews and the concept now proved, the team is accelerating its Go-To-Market strategy in other channels, under the experienced leadership of B2B revenue growth expert, Jez Lawson

TinniSoothe addresses a major gap: the need for discreet, continuous relief without compromising user lifestyle. Its simple, wearable design and potential as a broader platform play, position the company for channel growth in direct-to-consumer, retail hearingcare and national health system markets. 

With its protected IP, a compelling founder story, and first-mover advantage in a largely untapped segment, TinniSoothe offers investors a unique opportunity to back a visionary team and a product with significant clinical need, high consumer demand, and strong potential for global scalability. 

  

Share Tip: Warpaint London – the 2024 results showed strength, 2025 will see further growth

This morning’s results from Warpaint London (LON:W7L), the affordable colour cosmetics group, reported a strong showing for the company’s year to end-December 2024. 
They revealed that revenues were up 13% at £101.6m (£89.6m), while adjusted pre-tax profits were 33% better at £24.6m (£18.4m), generating earnings up 29% at 23.5p (18.1p) per share, easily covering a dividend of 11.0p (9.0p). 
Management Comment 
Chairman Clive Garston stated that: 
"I am very pleased with the Group's record 2024 financial performance. in 2024 which has continued into 2025, despite the challen...

FTSE 100 flat amid HSBC, BP and AstraZeneca earnings updates

The FTSE 100 crept into positive territory in early trade on Tuesday before turning marginally negative as investors digested a raft of corporate earnings from several FTSE 100 heavyweights, including BP, HSBC, AstraZeneca and AB Foods.

The lull in damaging trade policy announcements and conflicting messaging from the White House has created a welcome opportunity for investors to refocus on company earnings.

Although the FTSE 100 rose in early trade, there was a note of caution evident in corporate updates on Tuesday, with HSBC increasing provisions for bad debts and BP reducing share buybacks.

In many respects, the soft results and evasive action by FTSE 100 companies announced on Tuesday are a reflection of the economic uncertainty the world faces as a result of Donald Trump’s trade policies.

HSBC’s increase in provision for bad debts indicates that it expects its customers to default at a significantly higher rate, while BP’s reduction in share buybacks demonstrates a degree of conservatism amid depressed oil prices and economic uncertainty.

FTSE 100 heavyweights: HSBC

Despite the rise in provision for bad debts, HSBC shares rose as the bank beat expectations and announced a fresh round of share buybacks.

“HSBC has kicked off the year with a bang, smashing past first-quarter expectations,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown

“A big part of that outperformance came from strong fee income in areas like currency trading and wealth management – two bright spots that helped support a solid showing from its more traditional banking operations. The numbers are a bit noisy thanks to the sales of its Canadian and Argentinian businesses, which makes year-on-year comparisons a little tricky. But strip out the noise, and the underlying performance looks strong.”

HSBC said it would kick off a fresh round of share buybacks totalling up to $3bn.

While the all-important share buyback helped HSBC share shake off any concerns about their loan book, BP shares suffered after the oil major slashed its buybacks amid ongoing questions about its strategy.

“BP’s making the best it can of a sticky situation,” explained Derren Nathan, head of equity research, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Improved performance in it’s troubled refineries as well as action taken on central costs has helped eke out an improvement in profitability over the fourth quarter.

“But the difficult backdrop means the bottom line is still a far cry from where it was a year previously. Cash flow is under pressure too and that’s allowed net debt to creep up further. This is a key consideration for activist shareholder Elliott Investment Management and there could be further calls to cut costs and offload non-core parts of the business. This year’s disposals target has been upped slightly, from around $3bn to a range of $3-4bn, but that’s not really going to move the dial.”

AB Foods was the FTSE 100’s top faller, sinking over 8%, as sugar prices rocked their food business and Primark showed further signs of a slowdown.

“There is not much to celebrate in these results from AB Foods,” said Wealth Club’s Charlie Huggins.

The outlook in the Sugar business has worsened, primarily due to lower European sugar prices and an operating loss in Vivergo, the UK bioethanol business. Actions are being taken to turn these businesses around. However, the group warns that a return to profitability is likely to take longer than expected.

“Primark’s sales performance in the UK and Ireland also continues to disappoint. Like-for-like sales fell by 6%, worse than competitors, meaning Primark lost market share in the period. The recent resignation of Primark’s CEO Paul Marchant due to inappropriate behaviour casts further uncertainty and raises question marks around Primark’s culture.”

AstraZeneca

AstraZeneca shares fell over 3% after releasing fairly strong earnings and profit growth in the first quarter of 2025. However, the update served as a reminder that the group was at risk of Trump’s trade policies which have cloudied Astra’s outlook.

“Overall AstraZeneca has demonstrated it’s a calm port in a storm, despite concerns about the impact on business going forward, if the pharma sector is hit by US tariffs,” explained Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown

“The company has recommitted to its expansion plans in the US, which includes increasing the company’s research and manufacturing footprint by the end of 2026.”

Howden Joinery was the FTSE 100 top rising with a 6% gain, helping to offset losses elsewhere in the index.