Halfords shares fall as weak sterling impacts on costs

Shares in retailer Halfords (LON:HFD) fell over 6 percent on Thursday morning, after profits were hit by the weaker pound. The company reported a strong increase in revenue over the financial year, with total group revenue up 3.8 percent and 1.5 percent on a like-for-like basis. Halfords said that it anticipated group profit before tax for the 2018 financial year to be in line with current market expectations. However correlating with previous guidance, the depreciation of Sterling is likely to have a continued impact and add a £25 million cost increase, £15 million of which was evidence on the cost of goods in the first half. Jonny Mason, Chief Financial Officer & Interim Chief Executive Officer, said the group’s “mitigation plans are on track”, pointing investors towards the “positive sales growth for this period, despite the poorer summer weather and the uncertainty in the UK economy”, rather than the profit impact of higher costs. “Looking ahead, we have strong plans both in-store and online for the Cyber, Christmas and winter peaks”, Mason said. Shares in Halfords sunk on Thursday morning, however, and are currently trading down 5.80 percent at 313.39 (1139GMT).

Burberry shares fall 10pc on growth plan costs

Shares in luxury brand Burberry (LON:BRBY) tumbled over 10 percent on Thursday morning, as investors shied away from the high costs of CEO Marco Gobbetti’s growth plan. The group made the announcement alongside a strong set of first half results, with revenue rising by an underlying 4 percent to £1.26 billion over the six months to September. Comparable sales rose by a better-than-expected 4 percent, with adjusted operating profit up 17 percent to beat forecasts at £185 million. The company also laid out a growth plan for going forward, in the wake of the shock resignation of Chief Creative Officer Christopher Bailey. It aims to enhance the brand’s exclusivity, cutting sales to non-luxury stores and creating a new range every season. However investors baulked at the cost of the plan, with Chief Financial Officer Julie Brown telling reporters that total restructuring costs would likely hit £110 million, almost double the previous estimate.

Capital expenditure would be £150-160 in the 2019 and 2020 financial years, growing to £190-210 million after.

CEO Marco Gobbetti said he was “pleased” with the group’s performance over the first half, adding that “consumers responded positively to fashion and newness, particularly in rainwear and leather goods” Digital revenue grew in all regions, led by mobile, while growth was strongest in Burberry stores in Asia Pacific. “I look forward to building on our strong foundations as we implement our strategy to drive Burberry forward”, Gobbetti concluded. Shares in Burberry are currently trading down 9.87 percent at 1,789.00 (1031GMT).

Tencent snaps up 10pc share in Snapchat, despite weak results

Chinese internet giant Tencent has taken a ten percent share in Snap (NYSE:SNAP), with the announcement coming just a day after the company reported a disappointing set of earnings for the third quarter. The Chinese company have taken a roughly 10 percent stake in Snapchat parent Snap, according to documents released on Wednesday from the Securities and Exchange Commission, furthering their already large investment in the company. The news will come as a welcome show of confidence in Snapchat, after the social media app shocked analysts with a poor set of figures for the third quarter. Revenue came in at $207.9 million, lower than the $236.9 million expected, with daily active users also well beneath the expected figure of 181.8 million. Average revenue per user also disappointed, at $1.17 instead of $1.30 expected. The company also posted a net loss of $443.2 million, furthering speculation that the company has been grossly overvalued since its IPO in March. Snap shares fell over 11 percent in pre-market trading.

OneSavings Bank shares jump on strong loan book growth

Challenger bank OneSavings (LON:OSB) saw its share price jump nearly 4 percent on Wednesday, after it increased its full expectations for loan book growth to 20 percent. The bank hit a 17 percent increase in its loan book during the first nine months of the year, with net loans and advances rising by £997 million pounds to £6.9 billion. After the better-than-expected performance in the first half of the year, OneSavings raised its growth estimate from a figure in the high teens to 20 percent.

In 2016 the group grew its loan book by 16 percent to 5.9 billion pounds.

OneSavings bank, a ‘challenger’ bank hoping to offer a more modern alternative to the traditional banks with increased online services and transparency, recently increased its focus on professional landlords. Going forward the bank are aiming to lend more to professional institutions rather than amateur buy-to-let investors.

Shares in OneSavings are currently trading up 3.50 percent at 411.40 (1403GMT).

AB Foods shares fall for second day running after company results

Shares in Primark owner AB Foods (LON:ABF) sunk nearly 3 percent on Wednesday, despite a surge in profits in the year to September. A recovery in its sugar business and continued strong performance from its clothing business Primark boosted adjusted operating profit by 22 percent to hit £1.36 billion. Revenues were also up 19 percent, with full year profits for the year up by 50 percent as Primark continues to defy the lull in consumer confidence hitting the High Street. The strong results were boosted by the sterling’s weakness, with 60 percent of the company’s sales coming from abroad. However AB Foods warned investors going forward that the positive momentum may not continue, with sugar prices set to fall and the High Street facing increasing reports of negative consumer confidence. Analysts took their cue from this statement rather than the positive results, sending shares down over 4 percent on Tuesday, with the downward spiral continuing into Wednesday morning. Shares in the group are currently trading down 2.95 percent at 3,123.00 (1348GMT).

High Street preparing for frosty Christmas as consumer confidence slips

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As Christmas draws closer and the High Street prepares for its busiest time of the year, the cold seems to have affected more than just the temperature: it’s also had a chilling effect on consumer confidence. Figures from a variety of sources show weak consumer confidence heading into the Christmas season, with slow wage growth and uncertainty in the wake of Brexit contributing to the negativity on the High Street. Non-food sales have taken a particular hit, with BRC-KPMG’s sales monitor showing that growth has fallen to the lowest level for five years. Shops selling both food and non-food items recorded a 2.2 percent slip in non-food sales and a 2.9 percent slide on a like-for-like basis. Over the last year, total non-food sales recorded a 2.1pc decline, the deepest drop since BRC-KPMG’s records began in 2012. “October marked yet another reversal of fortunes for retailers, reinforcing just how volatile consumer spend has been,” said Paul Martin, head of retail at KPMG. The latest figures from Marks and Spencer, released on Wednesday, seem to be in line with BRC-KPMG’s assessment. The group saw a further drop in clothing sales, vowing to speed up the closure of their non-performing clothing departments over the next year. The British Retail Consortium also had similar figures for High Street trading, with like-for-like sales in October 1 percent lower than the same period last year. According to the BRC the key pre-Christmas trading period is off to a bad start, with credit card company also Barclaycard adding to the wealth of evidence that supports this view. The bank recorded consumer spending growth of 2.4 percent for October, below the current 3 percent inflation rate as households cut back on “nice-to-have” goods. The car market has also taken a hit over the past couple of months, with figures from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders showing the market is on course for its first annual decline since 2001. It is also set to weaken further in 2018, as the group recorded the seventh consecutive month of falling car sales. With pre-Christmas figures like these, it seems as though the High Street’s winter collections may need to prepare for a frosty reception.

Marks and Spencer to cut food store openings as weak clothing sales weigh

Marks and Spencer shares fell at market open on Wednesday morning, after the company’s pre-tax profit sunk over 5 percent to £219 million in the six months to September. A further drop in clothing sales led the profit plunge, with the company vowing to speed up the closure of its underperforming clothing departments. The weak figures also led CEO Steve Rowe to announce a slowdown in the opening of its Simply Food stores, with planned openings cut from 80 to 90 in 2018. We have made good progress in remedying the immediate and burning issues at M&S,” said chief executive Steve Rowe. “The business still has many structural issues to tackle … in the context of a very challenging retail and consumer environment. Today we are accelerating our plans to build a business with sustainable, profitable growth, making M&S special again.” Other figures released by the group on Wednesday were more positive, with group revenue for the six months to 30 September grew 2.6 per cent to £5.1 billion. Earnings per share jumped to 5.2p from 1p last year, while the interim dividend was kept flat at 6.8p. Shares in Marks and Spencers moved upwards after their initial plunge, currently trading up 0.82 percent at 330.50 (1020GMT).

House prices increasing despite plummeting confidence

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House prices across the UK are increasing at their fastest rate since February, according to mortgage lender Halifax. In the year to October prices rose by 4.5 percent, up from a previous level of 4 percent in September. The latest figure puts the average UK house price at a record high of £225,826, with Halifax saying prices were likely to continue to stay at this level, supported by cheap mortgages and high employment rates. However according to the lender’s figures, consumer confidence dropped over the same period to hit its lowest level since 2012. Halifax’s figures showing impressive house price growth have contrasted with those of other similar lenders, many of which predict a much slower rate of growth. Nationwide put quarter-on-quarter growth at just 0.8 percent, compared to Halifax’s figure of 2.3 percent.  

G4S shares plunge on growth forecast downgrade

G4S (LON:GFS) became the biggest faller on the FTSE 100 on Tuesday, after weak performance in the Middle East led the group to slash its growth forecast for the year. The security company now expects revenue growth of between 3 and 4 percent in 2017, down significantly from a previous expectation of between 4 and 6 percent. Disappointing performance in the Middle East and India contributed to the downgrade, with G4S CEO Ashley Almanza saying: “Trading for the nine months was in line with expectations. Organic revenue growth was 4.4 percent, with all regions growing apart from the Middle East and India region. Organic revenue growth excluding Middle East and India was 6.1 percent for the first nine months.” The group said it remains focused on cash flow and are on track for the Group’s net debt to EBITDA ratio to be 2.5x or lower by the end of 2017. Shares in the company plunged on the news and are currently trading down 6.69 percent at 260.90.

Germany Dax 30 At All Time Highs – Where Next?

The German Dax 30 is up more than 200% since the 1st March 2009 and at the time of writing has hit a new all-time high at 13500.

This report includes:

Technical Outlook for The German DAX
Long-Term Outlook
Fundamental Considerations

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