Share Tips of the Year 2016

Galvan 2016

Dear Reader

The hunt is on for next “Big Winners”…

A New Year brings New Opportunities.

In this Free Special Report you’ll discover the shares that look set to soar in 2016

Here’s just some of the stocks:

  • A UK Bank set to deliver capital growth and income

  • This company’s technology is used billion smartphones… Apple and Samsung depend on them

  • A little-known penny share that could make a fortune from the WiFi boom

Regards

The Galvan Research Team

P.S. Prior year editions have proved very popular, so don’t miss out.

Download the ‘Share Tips of the Year 2016’ for free now.

A copy will be sent to you immediately.

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Risk warning

All investments are speculative and prices may change quickly and go down as well as up. There is an extra risk of losing money when shares are bought in some smaller companies including “penny shares”. There can be a big difference between the buying price and the selling price of these shares and if they have to be sold immediately, you may get back much less than you paid for them or in some circumstances, it may be difficult to sell at any price.

Trading in Contracts for Difference (CFDs) and forex may not be suitable for all investors due to the high risk nature of the products. You may lose all of your initial stake through the use of leverage and may be required to make additional payments by way of margin on a frequent and sometimes daily basis. Failure to do so can result in the closure of part or all of your position.

The value of a CFD or forex may be affected by a variety of factors, including but not limited to, price volatility, market volume, foreign exchange rates and liquidity. CFDsand forex are short term trading tools. Commissions on CFDs are charged on the leveraged amount (not the deposit) and therefore costs can build up when frequently traded. You should evaluate potential losses against affordability. Extended runs of losses as well as profits can occur.

Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. If in any doubt, please seek further independent advice. Tax laws may be subject to change.

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Auto enrolment in workplace pensions: how does it affect you?

The law on workplace pensions has changed – now, every eligible employee must be automatically enrolled in their workplace pension scheme. The deadline for completion of this is nearing; so how does it work, and what does your business need to do to comply? How does auto enrolment affect UK businesses? Auto enrolment has given all UK businesses new financial and regulatory responsibilities. All businesses have to create a workplace pension scheme for their employees – if they don’t, then they may face penalties from The Pensions Regulator. Once the employer has created a workplace pension scheme, then they should then communicate the existence of the pension scheme to employees. Employers should also communicate to the employees if they are going to be enrolled, why they are being enrolled, and that they can also opt out the workplace pension scheme if they wish. Once you have completed auto enrolment, you must also submit The Declaration Of Compliance to The Pensions Regulator. More information on your auto enrolment responsibilities as an employer can be found here. For the employees who join your pension scheme, you need to contribute to their pension scheme every time they contribute to their pension scheme. The amount you need to contribute can be found here. When does it need to be done by? Each company will have a staging date whereby all auto enrolment duties must be completed. To find out when your staging date is, follow the link here. How can Smart Pension help? Smart Pension is an auto enrolment scheme founded by experienced finance & technology professionals, and has been designed specifically to support UK businesses faced with the challenges of auto enrolment. Their have expertise in both investment management and technology; their regulated investment professionals have managed billions of pounds, and their tech team has helped grow some of the world’s biggest online companies. They provide auto enrolment services for UK businesses of all sizes and are free for employers, and great value for employees. For more information and to sign up, click here now. logo-smart-pension-786fdfadc5e67e2a19b85020d917a858  
05/01/2015

UK construction sector given boost in December – PMI

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The British construction industry has seen strong growth in December, according to a survey published on Tuesday, picking up from a seven-month low in November. The Markit/CIPS UK Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 57.8 from 55.3, above the number expected by analysts. Any figure above 50 indicates growth. Tim Moore, Markit’s senior economist, commented on the report: “UK construction companies finished 2015 in a positive fashion, as overall output growth recovered from November’s seven-month low. Commercial building was the main engine of growth, with this area of activity expanding at the strongest pace since autumn 2014. There was also a rebound in house building activity in December, but momentum was still much softer than the post-crisis highs achieved during 2014.” The is the second piece of positive news for the UK construction sector this week, after Prime Minister David Cameron announced yesterday that the government has made plans to directly commission the construction of homes on land owned by the taxpayer in order to boost the housing market.
05/01/2015

Next down five percent as warm weather hits winter sales

High street retailer Next (LON:NXT) is trading down over 5 percent this morning, after a trading statement blamed warm weather and poor stock availability for disappointing sales. Retail sales fell 0.5pc in the 60 days before Christmas, but sales for the full year to January 2 came in at 3.7 percent higher than last year; not as high as the Group’s earlier guidance of between 4 and 6 percent. However, due to good control of margins and low excess stock, the company confirmed that it expects to make a 2016-16 pretax profit of £817 million – still within the guidance of £810-845 million issued in October. Alongside the unusually warm weather in November and December, which drove down the traditional sales in winter clothing, the company admitted that their lead in the online marketplace was diminishing as other retailers improve their service.
Next are currently trading down 5.29 percent, at 6,8100 pence per share. The company has a 52 week range of between 6715 and 8175.
05/01/2016

Unexpected fall in German and Spanish unemployment

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Both German and Spanish unemployment fell unexpectedly in December, providing a positive start to the year for both economies. Whilst it is normal for unemployment to all in December due to companies hiring temporary employees for the festive period, both countries saw a bigger fall than expected by analysts. Spanish unemployment fell by 55,790 in December, decreasing for the second month running, with the seasonally adjusted figure sitting at 1,258. Germany’s adjusted figure fell further than Spain, with 14,000 fewer unemployed. After an unexpected election, these figures give weight to the Spanish Acting Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s job creation pledges. In an interview with COPE radio, he commented: “There are fewer unemployed people now than when we arrived to government and social security sign-ups have been rising for two years,”, but stated that there was still much more to do.
05/01/2015

Tech IPOs: companies to watch in 2016

2015 was a slow year for tech IPOs, with many choosing to stick with private investment instead of testing the waters on the market. But with several large tech companies rumoured to be looking to float, what’s the forecast for 2016? Throughout 2015, the outcomes were mixed for those that did take the plunge; companies such as GoDaddy (up 64 percent from its initial price) and Fitbit (up 48 percent) were the real stars of the season, but others such as Etsy (down 47 percent) and Party City (down 25 percent) made the overall outcome disappointing – which will not have gone unnoticed by those tech companies considering flotation. Private funding appears to be the word du jour for the big names in tech – Pinterest, for example, have said in a regulatory filing that it has raised an additional $367 million of private funding, bringing the total amount of financing since its 2009 launch to $764 million and the company’s valuation up to around $11 billion. Most unicorn start-ups seem to be thinking along the same lines; why IPO and risk failure when there is plenty of private capital to survive on for the time being? However, there are rumours abound that several large companies are looking to enter the stock market in 2016, including Dropbox and Spotify. Possible IPOs for 2016 Snapchat
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Snapchat app: image via dailymail.co.uk
The smartphone app allowing users to send photos and videos to contacts which then disappear after a given number of seconds has recently reached the big time, boasting 100 million monthly users. Snapchat has so far undergone eight rounds of equity funding, for a total investment of $1.2 billion. Facebook and Alphabet have made offers above $3 billion for the company, both of which were turned down by Snapchat. However, there are recent indications that the company is looking to IPO, including hiring Imran Khan, the Credit Suisse banker who led Alibaba’s record-breaking IPO earlier in 2014, as Chief Strategy Officer. Snapchat have also launched paid-for content, including ‘filters’, starting from 79 pence. Uber
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Uber app: image via androidcentral.com
The controversial taxi app, which has recently been banned in several countries on both safety concerns and claims that they were undercutting traditional cab drivers, is well on its way to becoming the most valuable venture-backed start-up in history; it’s most recent valuation was $50 billion. Bookings grew from $687.8 million in 2013 to $2.91 billion in 2014, and are expected to reach $26.12 billion by the end of this year. It certainly looks to be a lucrative business, and industry experts are expected the company to go public at some point in 2016. Airbnb
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Aibnb logo image via airbnb.com
Airbnb, the online holiday apartment rental platform, is a start-up that has gone from strength to strength since its birth, now displaying over 1.5 million listings in 34,000 cities in 190 countries. Its latest round of funding raised $1.5 billion and valued the company at $25.5 billion. Rumours of Airbnb’s IPO have been circulating since early 2014, but the company has since undergone a significant rebranding – prompting further speculation that it is finally getting ready to float. Its impressive financials and strong user base would make this company one of the hottest IPOs of 2016.
Miranda Wadham on 04/01/2016

Acadia Healthcare to buy private Priory Group

Acadia Healthcare Co (NASDAQ:ACHC) have announced plans to acquire private behavioural healthcare provider Priory Group for £1.28 billion, in order to expand further into the UK market. Tennessee-based Arcadia currently has 54 facilities in the UK, which will be combined with Priory Group’s 300 centres, which include the infamous facility in North London attended by several celebrities battling problems with addiction. Commenting on the acquisition, Acadia Chief Executive Joey Jacobs said the transaction “strongly validates our strategic decision to enter the UK 18 months ago and our ongoing investment in the country.” The deal is expected to close by February 16, with Priory Group posting an expected revenue of $865 million for 2015. Acadia have suffered on the stock market over the last year, with shares falling by 4.4 percent over the last quarter, in comparison to the S&P 500 which has gained 4.7 percent.
04/01/2015

Fiat Chrysler falls by a third without Ferrari

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV has made its solo debut on the Italian stock market, opening a third lower this morning without its luxury Ferrari counterpart. Fiat founders the Agnelli family have the largest stake in Ferrari, at 24 percent, with Piero Ferrari retaining the 10 percent stake he held before the spin-off. Fiat Chrysler distributed its 80% stake in Ferrari to shareholders on Sunday, ending 30 years of exclusive control over the iconic brand.

Fiat’s chairman John Elkann, head of the Agnelli family, said: “Fiat Chrysler has now a very clear scope of activities. It has now a very ambitious plan ahead.”

Ferrari, which trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker RACE, is down 1.63 percent at 47.62 pence per share.

04/01/2016

China 2016: what’s in store for the world’s second largest economy?

2015 was undoubtedly a turbulent year for the world’s second largest economy; and with trading on the Chinese markets halted this morning after dropping over 7 percent, 2016 has set off to a worrying start. But what lies in store for this year? Slowing growth Whilst there is debate on just how slow growth will go, most analysts are in agreement that the Chinese economy will continue to struggle. For the last five years, the government has tried to grow the economy at 7 to 8%, but the most recent statistics suggest growth has slowed to below that by the end of 2015. Looking forward, predictions sit at a growth rate of around 5 – 6 percent; UBS analysts are the most optimistic at 6.2 percent, with Citi Research slashing growth estimates to just above 5 percent. However, even these figures remain well above the global growth rate, which The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has recently cut from 3.6% to 3.3%. Further rate cuts The Chinese stock market crisis in July caused repeated interest rate cuts in 2015, the most recent in October down to 4.35 percent. According to Barclays Research, this trend is set to continue; analysts are predicting two more 25 basis points benchmark rate cuts in the first half of 2016. Further depreciation of the yuan 2015 became the year that the IMF officially agreed to include the Chinese currency in the benchmark SDR basket. Whilst devaluation of the yuan may still be necessary in 2016 to confront any further economic setbacks, Francis Cheung, head of China/Hong Kong Strategy for Hong Kong-based brokerage CLSA, told the LA Times that a large devaluation is unlikely: “it will be a big setback for their plan. The incentive is to keep the renminbi relatively stable.” Impact of China’s One Belt One Road policy Chinese premier Xi Jinping announced the “One Belt, One Road” development strategy in 2015, designed to increase China’s economic activity and promote the country’s relationship with all countries between itself and Europe. The impressive strategy, which aims to involve 65 countries, has lined up three major institutions to 2016 to help fund it – the Silk Road Fund, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and the New Development Bank – and is planned for full operation later this year. The key to the plan is investment in road and rail infrastructure across what once was the ‘Silk Road’ through Central Asia, West Asia, the Middle East and Europe, and aims to increase the flow of trade and exports. Should China pull off this plan in 2016, trading relationships with other countries will dramatically improve, hopefully boosting the unstable Chinese economy. 2016 outlook It is clear that, whilst the outlook for 2016 is relatively uncertain, growth will remain slow and the market unstable. Xi Jinping’s economic policies designed to deal will turbulent markets will continue to come into play, alongside the One Belt One Road policy being launched in 2016. Daffyd Davies, partner at Charles Hanover Investments, says: “Whilst China’s drive to shift from an export led economy to a more domestic demand-based economy continues to push forward, we see this path being no straight line. The current outlook indicates the continuation of highly volatile markets into 2016; in particular emerging markets that are heavily reliant on China whilst being hit by the strong dollar could see significant economic hurdles in the coming months.”
Miranda Wadham on 04/01/2016

Creditor agreement sends Bagir Group up 20 percent

Tailoring Bagir Group (LON:BAGR) is one of the biggest movers on the AIM market this morning, rising over 20 percent after reaching an amended loan repayment agreements with its creditors. Both Leumi Bank and Discount Bank agreed to waive covenant tests at both 31 December 2015 and 30 June 2016, and reduced long term loan repayments due this year from $2.7 million to $465,000, and extending the full repayment to the end of 2020. The company’s short-term revolving loan of $10 million has been reclassified as a long term loan, easing their financial pressure. CEO Eran Itzhak said in a statement: “The waiver of the testing of the covenants is of immediate importance but of equal, if not more, significance is that we have secured agreement (with the banks) to a three year extension ot the repayment terms of the loans and the reclassification of the previous short-term revolving 12 month loan to a long-term facility.” Bagir Group, a design and tailoring company currently listed on the AIM market, is currently trading up 20 percent at 4.50 pence per share. The company has a 52-week range of between 2.20 and 11.25.
04/01/2016