Rolls Royce shares gain after broker price target upgrade

Rolls Royce shares gained on Monday after the engineering firm enjoyed another broker price target increase.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank increased their price target to 400p from 310p and currently have a ‘buy’ rating on the stock.

The Rolls Royce share price was up 2.5% on Monday, trading at 296p. Shares in the jet engine maker are the FTSE 100’s best-performing of 2023 so far, gaining a whopping 218%.

Rolls Royce has left every other FTSE 100 stock in the dust, with the second-highest share, Marks and Spencer, gaining only 110%. The FTSE 100 index is up less than 1% year-to-date.

Today’s price target increase follows JP Morgan’s upgrading of Rolls Royce to ‘overweight’ from ‘neutral’ last week. JP Morgan also has a 400p price target.

Rolls Royce recently outlined a medium-term strategy to boost operating profits to £2.5bn-£2.8bn and free cashflow to £2.8bn-£3.1bn.

DG Innovate shares rocket higher after hiring ex-Tesla executives

DG Innovate shares rocketed higher on Monday after the junior batteries and electric motor company said it had hired ex-Tesla executives and raised £2.4m via a convertible note issue.

The company is developing two core technologies: the Enhanced Drive Technology (EDT) electric motors and Enhanced Battery Technology (EBT) sodium-ion electric vehicle batteries.

DG Innovate is among numerous companies exploring the viability of sodium-ion batteries in electric vehicles, including AIM-listed AMTE Power and privately held Northvolt.

The addition of three ex-Tesla executives to the board has sparked a wave of speculation as to what the future holds for the company, especially after one of the incoming directors, Christian Eidem, took a 29% take in the company. The executives have extensive experience at the forefront of electric vehicle innovation, and their appointment is a major vote of confidence in DG Innovate’s technology.

“The new executive management team, with their world-class track record in the electric vehicle and mobility sector, recognise the significant commercial potential in DG Innovate’s technology and the wider opportunity to use DG Innovate as a platform to build a larger company focused on the sector,” said Nick Tulloch, Chairman of DG Innovate.

DG Innovate shares were up 160% to 0.11p at the time of writing.

“Most people will have never heard of DG Innovate yet the stock was certainly shouting from the rooftop as the market opened. Initially surging by 180% in value, this tiny company delivered the type of news that sends small cap investors into a frenzy,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The research and development company looking to develop next-generation batteries and electric motors has appointed three executive directors, all of whom used to work for Tesla.

“Inevitably, when you see a small business appoint ‘heavyweight’ individuals there is speculation it will lead to a takeover by one of their contacts. The fact they’re linked to Tesla is the cherry on top as it implies to investors that this little-known company could eventually be gobbled up by the electric car giant. This is pure speculation but that’s how many investors operate.

“In such situations, investors look for a strong narrative around a stock and get carried away. Stirring the pot was an equity research group saying the shares could ‘5-10 bag into New Year’, namely increase by five to 10 times in value. That comment doesn’t appear to be based on any concrete analysis.

Mould continued to detail the use of the proceeds from the convertible note raise and suggested the company could raise further funds to facilitate its strategy.

“More noteworthy is that DG Innovate has raised £2.4 million – more than half the company’s value as of last Friday. This money will be used to advance existing projects; however, the new directors have already indicated they will use DG Innovate as a roll-up vehicle for acquisitions in the electric mobility and energy storage space. That implies we could see a succession of fundraises in 2024,” Russ Mould said.

FTSE 100 slips ahead of bumper week for central banks

The FTSE 100 slipped on Monday as worrying Chinese economic data hit mining companies ahead of a series of interest rate decisions.

London’s leading index was down 0.5% to 7,516 at the time of writing and was underperforming major European indices. The DAX was flat, and the CAC 40 gained 0.3%.

“The FTSE 100 started the week on the back foot, dragged lower by the mining sector as figures from China over the weekend showed the economy swung deeper into deflation,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“An indicator of depressed domestic demand and a very different story to the inflationary pressures faced in the rest of the world, the data inevitably hit the miners given the world’s second-largest economy is such a rapacious consumer of commodities.

A deflationary environment in China will damage the FTSE 100 with a strong weighting to commodity companies. This was evident on Monday with losses in diversified miners Rio Tinto and Glencore. Rio Tinto slipped 1.5%, while Glencore fell 3.2%. Anglo American rose 1.3% after a plummeting last week.

Pure-play copper miner Antofagasta bucked the trend and rose 2% on Monday. Antofagasta is the second-best-performing FTSE 100 stock of December so far. InterContinental Hotels is the best performing, gaining 12%.

Centrica was the top faller on Monday as utility companies dipped.

The interest rate-sensitive banking and housebuilding sectors were weaker as traders trimmed positions ahead of central bank action this week.

Central bank action

Markets are preparing for a bumper week of central bank action. According to Bloomberg, central banks representing 60% of the world’s economy will decide on interest rates this week.

This includes the Bank of England, the Federal Reserve, and the European Central Bank.

Although these major central are set to issue decisions on interest rates, all are expected to keep rates on hold. Investors will pour over the accompanying commentary for hints of where rates will go in early 2024.

These comments and projections have the power to move markets significantly before Christmas.

A narrative has been established around interest rate cuts in Q1; should we learn of anything to the contrary, one would expect negativity in stocks. If hopes of rate cuts are fuelled by central bank rhetoric, we could well be on for a Santa’s rally.

AIM movers: Synectics upgrade and H&T hit by higher wage costs

0

Security systems supplier Synectics (LON: SNX) traded more strongly than expected in the year to November 2023 and the pre-tax profit forecast has been raised from £2.3m to £2.8m. Net cash is better than previously anticipated at £4.6m. There was a recovery in oil and gas demand. The results will be published in February and the 2023-24 forecast will be updated by Shore Capital at that time. The order book is worth £28.6m. The share price jumped 28.6% to 135p, which is the highest it has been since March.  

Powerhouse Energy (LON: PHE) chief executive Paul Emmitt has acquired an initial 3.57 million shares at 0.2797p each. The share price recovered 22.8% to 0.35p.

Fire safety products developer Zenova Group (LON: ZED) says Zenova FX extinguishing fluids are compliant with EU standards and regulations. A German customer has ordered 100 FX fire extinguishers. The share price rose 13.3% to 4.25p.

Dekel Agri-Vision (LON: DKL) has revealed record November palm oil production, which is 152% ahead of the previous November – like-for-like growth in volumes is 82%. Crude palm oil prices were steady at €788/tonne and the extraction rate improved. The share price improved 10.5% to 2.1p.

FALLERS

It is the last day of trading for Myanmar Investments (LON: MIL) before trading on AIM is cancelled on 12 February. The share price 18.75% lower at 2.925 cents.

Shore Capital has reduced its 2024 and 2025 forecasts for pawnbroker H&T (LON: HAT). The pledge book is growing faster than expected and an additional £10m of funding was recently secured. That additional profit is offset by increased wage costs following the raising of the National Minimum Wage. There will also be higher interest costs. The dividend is likely to grow by a lower percentage than previously anticipated. The 2024 revenues have been edged up to £261m, while pre-tax profit is reduced from £36.7m to £39.7m. A higher tax rate means that there will be a 10% drop in earnings estimates to 62.8p/share. The share price slumped 7.59% to 432.5p.

Allergy Therapeutics (LON: AGY) says revenues for the year to June 2024 are likely to be slightly lower than last year, although cost reductions have been better than expected. This means that cash will last until the end of January. Funding discussions are ongoing. The share price declined 9.52% to 1.9p.

Carbon fibre brake technology developer Surface Transforms (LON: SCE) announced that there was a 137% take-up of the open offer, and the board has decided to accept all the applications raising £2.74m. A total of £11m has been raised at 10p/share. The share price dipped 5.49% to 10.75p.

Telematics company Quartix Technologies (LON: QTX) is taking a £2.5m impairment charge on the goodwill for the acquisition of Konetik, which was completed on 15 September. A review of the deal by founder Andy Walters, who recently returned as chairman, suggests that the growth prospects for the Evolve EV product are not as good as previously thought. This is partly due to the government’s decision to delay the ban of petrol vehicles. Investment in Evolve is not expected to produce a sufficient return. The share price fell 4.84% to 147.5p.

Sri Lanka-focused mineral sands developer Capital Metals (LON: CMET) has raised £625,000 from a placing at 4.25p/share following last week’s subscription of £625,000. Plans to develop the Eastern Minerals project can be accelerated. The share price slipped 4.04% to 4.75p.

Three potential London-listed takeover targets

US private equity and global corporations are swooping in on undervalued London-listed companies and snapping up great organisations that the UK's domestic market hasn't appreciated. We highlight three companies that could be next.

Recent takeover targets Ten Entertainment, Hotel Chocolat, and Smart Metering Systems share two key attributes: an attractive valuation and a deep moat.

This article focuses on companies offering substantial value, measured by the Enterprise Value/EBITDA ratio, with a significant and expanding competitive advantage. 

EV/EBITDA paints a clearer picture...

Aquis weekly movers: Watchstone share price rises, but still less than 50% of NAV

Watchstone Group (LON: WTG) has £7m in cash, equivalent to 15p/share, and is awaiting the result of attempts to recover VAT payments. Claims and disputes between subsidiaries and Aviva Canada have been resolved and discontinued. The share price jumped 55.6% to 7p.

NHS medical procedures provider One Health Group (LON: OHGR) increased interim revenues by 13% to £11.1m, while underlying earnings improved by one-third to 5.15p/share. The interim dividend has been raised by 22% to 2.03p/share. Demand for the services remains strong and more capacity is being added, including new surgical hubs. The share price is 17.1% higher at 205p.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) is targeting an annual dividend of between 30% and 50% of free cash flow each year. Net cash would have to be £10m after the dividend payment. Phase 1 and 2 drilling has been completed at Blesberg lithium and tantalum project. Further work on mine design and planning will start early in 2024. Martin Westerman has been appointed as chief operating officer. The share price increased 16.7% to 13.125p.

Mark Horrocks has increased his stake in Lift Global Ventures (LON: LFT) from 14.99% to 17.6%. The share price rose 16.3% to 0.25p.

Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON: ARBB) chairman and chief executive bought 69,941 shares at 975p each. That compares with a share price of 700p, up 6.87%.

Tony Wilson has increased his stake in Oscillate (LON: MUSH) to more than 3%, while Steven Bennett has taken his stake to 4.75%. Chris Akers’ shareholding has fallen from 15.6% to 5.9%. Non-exec Stephen Winfield bought an initial one million shares at 0.5p each. The share price improved 5% to 0.525p. Investee company Psych Capital has acquired Short Wave Pharma, which dilutes Oscillate’s stake to 12.75%.

Guanajuato Silver (LON: GSVR) shares slumped when it announced that it is withdrawing from the Aquis Stock Exchange at the end of 2023. Last week, the share price recovered 3.13% to 16.5p after the company secured a $7.5m gold loan credit facility with Ocean Partners. There will be $4.6m used to pay off a previous loan facility.

Retail carbon trading technology company Ora Technology (LON: ORA) has launched the beta version of Ora Carbon, which is an app that enables investors to become involved in the carbon credit market. The entry point is £1. The share price edged up 1.16% to 10.875p.

FALLERS

Substrate AI (LON: SAI.B) A shares are being admitted to the Access segment of the Aquis Growth Market. The share price slumped 40.3% to 18.5p.

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) announced a fundraising yesterday evening. The investment company raised £210,000 at 0.2p/share. This will provide additional cash for investments and fund the running of the company. The share price fell 18.4% to 0.2p.

Bob Sutcliffe acquired 400,000 DXS International (LON: DXSP) shares at 2.5p each and chief executive David Immelman is deemed to own 40,000 of these shares, taking his stake to 10.25%. After transferring some of the shares to his daughters, Bob Sutcliffe holds 1.3%. The share price slipped 18.2% to 2.25p.

Ormonde Mining (LON: ORM) investee company TRU Precious Metals has confirmed that there is extensive gold mineralisation in the Ryan’s Harmer gold prospect, while sampling of the Mark’s Pond target shows high-grade copper results. The share price is 8.33% lower at 0.275p.

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) says results from the Red Setter project in the Paterson Range in Western Australia confirm a significant gold system with mineralised strike over 3km. The share price declined 5.56% to 1.7p.

SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) improved interim revenues from £75,000 to £136,000, while the pre-tax loss edged down from £965,000 to £870,000. The share price dipped 3.7% to 26p.

AIM new admission: Is Chapel Down worth buying?

English wines maker Chapel Down has switched from Aquis to AIM after two decades on the other market. It is already the largest English wine maker with the strongest brand recognition and plans to grow significantly.

Chapel Down originally joined Ofex, which became the Aquis Stock Exchange, in March 2003 – although it was then known as English Wines. It was on the Apex segment of the market prior to the switch.

When it published it 2021 accounts, Chapel Down said it wanted to double the size of its business by 2026. It shed its brewing business to concentrate on wine. Part of the strate...

AIM weekly movers: Another positive statement from Cornerstone FS

0

Pharmacogenetic testing company GeneDrive (LON: GDR) says the Royal Sussex County Hospital in Brighton is adopting the MT-RNR1 ID kit in its baby unit. This is the second NHS trust to use the kit for antibiotic induced hearing loss testing. The share price jumped 60.9% to 9,25p.

Payments services provider Cornerstone FS (LON: CSFS) published another positive trading statement. The share price soared 50% to 17.25p. The pre-tax profit forecast has been upgraded from £100,000 to £700,000 with £1.2m forecast for 2024. Cornerstone FS should move to a net cash position during 2024. The number of customers and average value of transactions continues to increase.

Sancus Lending (LON: LEND) has secured a strategic joint venture with Hawk Lending, which is owned by the Morton family, to provide alternative property finance and debt advisory services from Jersey. The Morton family will provide £30m of funding for the joint venture and there will be other sources of cash, including Sancus Lending’s existing funders. The share price increased 48.4% to 0.705p. On 6 December, chief executive Rory Mepham acquired one million shares at 0.545p each.

Funds advised by Kohlberg Kravis Roberts are bidding 955p/share in cash for Smart Metering Systems (LON: SMS), which values it at £1.3bn. Shareholders will receive the latest dividend of 8.31875p/share. The board does not believe the progress of SMS has been fully reflected in the market price and they are recommending the bid. In September 2021, the all-time share price high of 1030p. The share price rose 47.2% to 958p.

FALLERS

Myanmar Investments (LON: MIL) shares continue to fall after it gained shareholder approval to cancel trading on AIM on 12 February. The share price declined 62.1% to 3.6 cents. In 2019, the company took the decision to wind down its investment portfolio due to unfavourable conditions in Myanmar. Leaving AIM will save $115,000/year. NAV was 23 cents/share at the end of March 2023.

Video games company tinyBuild (LON: TBLD) says current trading is below expectations and full year revenues will be between $40m and $50m – a large spread for such a late point in the year. A claim from the vendors of a past acquisition has been settled for $3.5m plus costs. At the end of November, there was cash of $5.7m, which will be lower at the end of the year. There is no debt, but new funding will be required in January. Chief executive Alex Nichiporchik says he will underwrite a fundraising of up to $10m. Other shareholders will be given the opportunity to participate. The share price dived 56.7% to 2.65p. The March 2021 placing price was 169p.

Future Metals (LON: FME) says a study has indicated the potential for the Panton platinum group minerals project in West Australia. There is an initial nine-year mine life at an average PGM production rate of 117,000 ounces per annum. All-in sustaining costs average $879/ounce. A PFS could be completed by the end of 2024. Investors were not happy with the news and the share price slumped 47.5% to a new closing low of 1.6p.

Cayman Islands-based Charwell Investments has cut its security systems developer Petards Group (LON: PEG) stake from 8.99% to 1.72%. The shares slipped 43.1% to 3.7p.

Oil rises on Russia’s and Saudi Arabia’s call for production cuts

Both WTI and Brent jumped again on Friday as Saudi Arabia and Russia continued to call for more OPEC+ countries to curb their production in 2024.

Despite OPEC+ also coming to a consensus on fossil fuel production cuts, Saudi Arabia and Russia are also implementing their own domestic production cuts.

Saudi Arabia in particular has confirmed its commitment to maintaining an extra voluntary reduction of 1 million barrels per day (bpd).

This will result in a predicted production level of approximately 9 million bpd for December, according to the statement from the Ministry of Energy.

“This additional voluntary cut comes to reinforce the precautionary efforts made by OPEC+ countries with the aim of supporting the stability and balance of oil markets,” a source told Reuters on Wednesday.

At the time of writing on Friday, WTI crude was up 2.22%, while Brent crude was up 2.24%.

“The oil market has been dominated by predictions of weakening demand. Fears of a slowdown in global growth have been building as we approach year-end,” said David Morrison.

Oil has experienced a 26% decline from its peak in September. The market has been primarily influenced by forecasts of reduced demand, with concerns about a potential global growth slowdown intensifying as the end of the year approaches.

“While there’s plenty of evidence of slowing economic growth for China, the Eurozone (driven by Germany), Japan (an overnight downward revision of GDP), and the UK, the jury is still out when it comes to the US. After all, we’ve just seen an upward revision to the US’s Q3 GDP number to +5.2% from 4.9%. How could that possibly be turned around into a recession in 2024?” Morrison said.

Adding to that, “there were so many voices forecasting a US recession this year, and all were widely off the mark. Anyone calling for one next year can be accused of crying wolf. And yet, it could happen, and if it did, it would explain why the market is pricing in rate cuts of 125 basis points in 2024, despite the Fed warning not to get carried away.”

FTSE 100 gains after stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls, Anglo American crashes

The FTSE 100 gained on Friday after stronger-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls painted a resilient picture of the US economy.

The US economy added 199,000 jobs in November, exceeding economist forecasts of 185,000. The unemployment rate came in at 3.7% compared to estimates of 3.9%.

The conundrum for markets is the jobs report doesn’t support the argument that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in early 2024, but at the same time, it doesn’t support further interest rate hikes.

The FTSE 100 was up 0.5% at the time of writing and will likely remain choppy for the rest of the session. US stocks whipsawed and promised volatility going into the weekend as investors assessed the implications for central bank meetings next week.

The jobs report will influence the Federal Reserve’s thinking on rates and may dictate a more hawkish tone than equity bulls would like.

Anglo American

Anglo American was the FTSE 100’s top faller after the miner said it planned to cut production in the coming years to conserve cash. Mining investors never want to hear about production cuts, and Anglo shares sank over 14% on Friday.

“Mining giant Anglo American is taking the secateurs to its costs, and it plans to reduce expenditure by another $500m next year. The huge increase in the existing plan comes as production from its extensive Copper, iron, platinum, and other commodities will be lower than previously thought,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Miners are at the mercy of cyclical material costs, and the wheel has been turning against new CEO Duncan Wanblad – with issues compounded by operational headaches too.”

Despite the destruction of Anglo American shares on Friday, the losses were limited mainly to Anglo, with only minor losses in Rio Tinto. Indeed, copper miner Antofagasta was the FTSE 100’s top riser, and Glencore edged higher.

Housebuilder Berkeley Group was among the fallers as investors booked profits after the company released reasonably respectable half-year earnings.