UK house prices rebound in July – Nationwide

The UK property market is showing clear signs of a rebound after what appears to have been a blip in the longer-term growth trend.

The annual house price growth picked up in July, rising from 2.1% in June to 2.4% in July, while monthly prices increased by a solid 0.6% – a notable turnaround from the 0.9% decline recorded in June.

This return to positive momentum has pushed the average house price to £272,664, representing a monthly increase of over £1,000.

“July saw a modest pick-up in the rate of annual house price growth to 2.4%, from 2.1% in June. Prices increased by 0.6% month on month, after taking account of seasonal effects,” said Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s Chief Economist.

“Looking through the volatility generated by the end of the stamp duty holiday, activity appears to be holding up well. Indeed, 64,200 mortgages for house purchase were approved in June, broadly in line with the pre-pandemic average, despite the changed interest rate environment.”

Particularly encouraging for potential homebuyers is that despite this price recovery, the UK house price-to-earnings ratio remains at approximately 5.75 – its lowest level in over a decade – suggesting that homes remain relatively affordable by historical standards even as the market begins to strengthen again.

Figma shares jump over 200% in bumper US debut

Shares in AI-powered design tool Figma soared over 200% in its US debut as investors scrambled to get a piece of one of the most highly anticipated tech IPOs of the last two years.

Figma raised $1.2bn at an IPO price of $33 before the stock rocketed over 200% higher to close at $117, valuing the company at more than $60bn.

Adobe had previously tried to buy Figma for $20bn but was blocked by regulators.

Founded in 2012 with the mission to “eliminate the gap between imagination and reality,” Figma provides online design services for websites, apps, and digital products.

It allows designers, developers, and teams to collaborate in real time on the same file, making it easy to design, prototype, give feedback, and hand off work for development.

The company is profitable, having recorded $44.9m in the first quarter of the year on revenues of $228m. Having generated $749m in revenue in 2024, Figma is clearly still enjoying rapid growth.

Figma has been reported to have over 1,000 clients paying the company more than $100,000 a year, demonstrating Figma’s deep integration into the workflows of some of the world’s biggest tech and design firms.

LV’s investment strategy, Nvidia, and gold with CIO Adam Ruddle

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Adam Ruddle, Chief Investment Officer of LV Group (Liverpool Victoria), to the podcast to delve into the group’s investment strategy and where it sees opportunities for its portfolios.

This comprehensive discussion explores the current landscape for LV, covering everything from asset allocation strategies to geographic positioning in today’s market environment.

The conversation begins with an overview of what investors can expect from LV portfolios in the current climate. The discussion then delves into the balancing act between fixed income and equities, particularly relevant as stock markets hover near all-time highs.

A significant portion addresses recent market turbulence. Specifically, the conversation covers tactical responses to Trump tariff-related volatility and the practical steps taken to navigate this uncertainty. The geographic focus shifts to the UK market, examining current exposure levels, assets under management allocation, and future development prospects in this key region.

Global positioning takes centre stage as the discussion reveals current over- and underweight positions across different geographies.

We discuss specific investment vehicles. Individual picks such as gold and Nvidia are analysed, providing concrete examples of how broader strategy translates into actual portfolio construction and security selection.

Adam finishes with a forward-looking perspective on the year ahead. Key opportunities are identified and assessed, offering listeners actionable insights into where the most promising prospects may emerge in the coming months.

Find out more about LV here.

AIM movers: New bid for Empesaria and ex-dividends

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Legacy UK Holdings has made an indicative offer of 62p/share for staffing firm Empresaria (LON: EMR), which follows two major shareholders encouraging the company to seek potential offers. The Planmatics consortium is not going ahead with the cash and loan notes offer of 60p/share, which it blames on a lack of due diligence materials. The share price jumped 76% to 44p.

Nativo Resources (LON: NTVO) has gained approval from the noteholders for the proposed restructuring. The notes will not be convertible until January 2032 unless the market capitalisation exceeds £35m. This means that the company is no longer in technical default. The share price recovered 45.5% to 0.4p.

Dr Graham Cooley has increased his stake in security technology provider Thruvision (LON: THRU) from 3.17% to 6.8% and Nicholas Slater has a 3.23% shareholding. This follows the recent capital raising. Allenby has been appointed as nominated adviser and broker. The share price improved 22.8% to 1.75p.

Diagnostic tests developer Abingdon Health (LON: ABDX) has won a new contract worth $2.5m. It is for a companion diagnostic test and covers feasibility to scale-up and manufacturing. The share price increased 8% to 6.75p.

Water and environmental testing company Metir (LON: MET) generated revenues of £931,000 in the six months to June 2025, compared with an adjusted £112,000. That includes £386,000 from a project in Qatar. Cash is £586,000. This provides the ability to invest in expanding the business. There will be second half revenues from the Sulphate Reducing Bacteria kits. The share price rose 6.9% to 0.775p.

Wine retailer Virgin Wines (LON: VINO) says full year revenues were flat at £59m, although this was slightly lower than expected. The commercial division sales were 24% higher, indicating that the new strategy is beginning to work. Consumer customer churn is reducing. Net cash was better than expected at £9.3m. The share price is 5.98% higher at 62p.

FALLERS

Digital mental health products developer Cambridge Cognition (LON: COG) has experienced delays in signing contracts and them generating revenues. Interim revenues fell 23% to £4.3m and full year guidance has been cut from £12.5m to £9.5m-£10m. This means that the full year loss would increase from £700,000 to £900,000. The share price slumped 23.1% to 25p.

Atlantic Lithium (LON: ALL) is progressing discussions for the mining lease of the Ewoyaa lithium project in Ghana. Cost savings will be made to focus on this project. Cash was A$5.4m at the end of June 2025. The share price slipped 6.63% to 7.89p.

Allergy Therapeutics (LON: AGY) has published three papers in the journal Allergy that improve the evidence for its Grass MATA MPL allergen immunotherapy. In one study the treatment was shown to be effective and well-tolerated. The share price declined 6.25% to 7.875p.

Wine maker Chapel Down (LON: CDGP) increased net sales revenues by 11% to £7.9m in the six months to June 2025. There was strong off-trade growth. Net debt increased to £11.3m. This is due to new plantings that will become productive over the next two years and an increase in inventory following the 2024 harvest. The level of the 2025 harvest should be known by October. Former ICAP boss and major shareholder in Chapel Down Michael Spencer will take over as chair in September. The share price fell 3.37% to 43p.

Ex-dividends

CML Microsystems (LON: CML) is paying a final dividend of 6p/share and the share price is unchanged at 308p.

James Latham (LON: LTHM) is paying a final dividend of 27.3p/share and the share price decreased 15p to 1165p.

Volex (LON: VLX) is paying a final dividend of 3p/share and the share price fell 6.25p to 373.75p.

FTSE 100 gains as US tech earnings boost sentiment, Rolls-Royce soars

The FTSE 100 was firmly on the front foot as earnings on both sides of the pond fired up investor sentiment and offset any disappointment around the Fed chair’s hawkish tone on interest rates.

London’s leading index was trading 0.3% higher at 9,169 at the time of writing.

“Stellar results from Microsoft and Meta have fired up investors, quickly shifting the focus from US interest rates potentially staying higher for longer, to an environment where big tech is ruling the roost again,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“The probability of a US rate cut in September has fallen since the Fed’s rate decision on Wednesday, with the market now pricing in a 57% chance of rates staying level versus 35% a day ago. Normally, such a shift would be negative for investors who typically prefer rates to be trending lower. However, the big tech reporting season has got everyone excited about mega profits and tremendous earnings growth.”

US stocks sank in the close overnight, but futures rebounded sharply as Meta and Microsoft earnings broke after the bell.

In addition to strong earnings releases from US tech, UK investors were treated to a plethora of upbeat results from FTSE 100 stocks.

Rolls-Royce was the FTSE 100’s top riser after raising its profit guidance for the year following a 50% increase in operating profit in the first half.

“Rolls-Royce continues to soar above expectations, delivering yet another set of high-flying results and profit guidance upgrades. The group produces aeroplane engines for larger, long-haul planes. Revenues are being boosted by the upward trend in engine-flying hours, which are now cruising well above pre-pandemic levels,” explained Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Rentokil Initial shares soared 9% after the pest control group maintained guidance as its US business surprised investors with rare positivity.

“Having fallen from around the 600p level two years ago, they have been trading around the 350p level in recent weeks, so Rentokil Investors could have been forgiven for feeling like the rats were getting the better treatment,” Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown said.

“Today’s news that there are signs of improvement in trading at the Group’s key US Pest division was enough to rally spirits, with investors pushing the stock as much as 12% higher.”

Shell was also among the risers on the news that it would commence a fresh $3.5bn share buyback as cash generation remained robust despite lower oil prices.

Mark Crouch, market analyst for eToro, noted that “Shell delivered results that, while down on last year’s bumper profits, comfortably exceeded analyst expectations. In a weaker oil price environment, the group’s performance has been notably resilient, drawing favourable comparison with US peers rather than its more volatile UK counterpart, BP.”

Shell shares were 2% higher at the time of writing.

Amid the furore surrounding Powell’s press conference and US tech earnings releases, Trump announced that refined metals would be exempt from tariffs, sending metals futures sharply lower.

Lower metals prices translated into a weaker session for the miners as copper pure play Antofagasta tumbled 5%. Glencore, Anglo American, and Rio Tinto were all lower by more than 4%.

The FTSE 100 would likely have broken through 9,200 today if the copper tariff hadn’t been announced overnight.

Dollar rallies after Powell’s hawkish press conference

The dollar surged against other major currencies overnight after the Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a hawkish press conference following the decision to keep rates on hold.

Despite US GDP growth rebounding to 3% yesterday, the Fed is taking a cautious approach to inflation, downplaying the prospect of near-term rate cuts, and the dollar has soared.

USD/JPY broke through 149.00 while GBP/USD sank again and extended the pound’s losses against the dollar this month. 

Yesterday, the UK Investor Magazine suggested resistance in the 149.00 region could be broken if the Fed delivered a hawkish press conference. And USD/JPY did just that as traders rolled back their bets on the Fed making more than one interest rate cut this year. 

GBP/USD extended its remarkable decline below 1.3300 and looked set to close the month out around 400 pips lower than where it started. The Bank of England is now likely to cut rates once, maybe even twice, more than the Fed this year, and further declines in cable are likely this quarter.

While the dollar is on the front foot today after a week-long rebound, some analysts feel it could run out of steam soon.

“Not only have we charged about 2.5% higher in the last week (a huge move in FX land!), but the DXY is also starting to run into resistance at the 100-day moving average, and the 100 figure,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

“As a longer-run dollar bear, this is the sort of region where fading the move starts to feel attractive from a risk-reward perspective.”

Rolls-Royce shares rocket to record high as profit guidance boosted

Rolls-Royce shares rocketed to a fresh all-time record high on Thursday as the group reported a bumper first half and increased its profit guidance for the full year.

Rolls-Royce delivered a stellar first-half performance, with underlying operating profit surging 50% to £1.7bn despite ongoing supply chain headwinds and tariff pressures.

The British aerospace and defence giant raised its full-year guidance, now expecting underlying operating profit of £3.1bn-£3.2bn. Free cash flow guidance was also lifted to £3.0bn-£3.1bn.

“Rolls-Royce continues to soar above expectations, delivering yet another set of high-flying results and profit guidance upgrades. The group produces aeroplane engines for larger, long-haul planes. Revenues are being boosted by the upward trend in engine-flying hours, which are now cruising well above pre-pandemic levels,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“But that’s just one part of the puzzle. Layoffs, contract renegotiations, process changes, and increased use of data to drive efficiencies have put Rolls on a much healthier platform. As a result, margins have moved much higher, helping to convert the increased flying hours and revenue into profits.”

Operating margins climbed sharply to 19.1% from 14.0% in the prior year.

Civil Aerospace led the charge with margins reaching 24.9%, driven by robust aftermarket performance and improved contractual terms. Power Systems margins jumped to 15.3% as data centre demand accelerated.

Free cash flow strengthened to £1.6bn, bolstered by higher profits and continued growth in long-term service agreements. The company’s net cash position improved by £609m to £1.1bn.

Shareholders will receive an interim dividend of 4.5p per share in September. Rolls-Royce has completed £0.4bn of its planned £1bn share buyback programme, with total shareholder returns expected to reach £1.9bn through 2025 including dividends.

The engineering group said it expects to fully offset announced tariffs through mitigating actions, whilst monitoring broader economic impacts.

Rolls-Royce shares were trading up 10% at 1,095p at the time of writing.

“Rolls-Royce’s near tenfold rally since early 2023 reflects strong execution, rising profits and growing cash returns,” explained Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at IG.

“Civil Aerospace is delivering, Power Systems is expanding fast, and Defence, which IG clients continue to expect to do well, remains a steady contributor. With SMRs offering long-term upside and cash delivery on track, the re-rating may still have legs.”

Meta shares surge following blowout Q2 earnings

Meta shares soared in the US aftermarket following the release of earnings that obliterated analyst estimates, driven by surging advertising spending across its platforms.

Meta’s Q2 revenue came in at $47.5bn, far higher than the $44.8bn expected by analysts. EPS rocketed 38% higher to $7.14.

“Meta has knocked it out of the park. Pick your metric and Meta crushed it, from ad revenue growth to daily users, all the way down to the profit lines,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“AI is clearly delivering real-world benefits for advertisers, and they’re willing to pay more as a result. Average price per ad was up 9% over the quarter, a clear indication that Meta is delivering an improved product for both users and advertisers.”

Meta’s core ‘Daily Active People (DAP)’ metric rose again to 3.46 billion people in the quarter. This is the total number of people who used one of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, or WhatsApp at least once during the period.

Higher ad costs and a higher number of people looking at those ads mean higher revenues and profits.

Meta made $5 billion more in net income in Q2 than the same period last year. 

So no wonder Zuckerberg is reportedly prepared to splash out over $100m on a signing-on bonus to poach a single OpenAI employee as the AI race continues unabated.

Meta’s spending on AI is mind-blowing. Not wanting to fall behind rivals, the firm has upped its guided capex spend to as much as $72bn this year. The recent acquisition of a 49% stake in Scale AI in June demonstrates their intent to ensure they are a major player in the space. 

“The broader focus now turns to Meta’s mammoth AI investment plans and whether it can continue to manage those costs without hurting earnings or free cash flow,” Britzman explained.

For now, at least, investors are more than content with surging revenues and profits. Meta shares were 10% higher at the time of writing.

AIM movers: Arkle Resources premium funding and weak June hits Somero Enterprises

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Arkle Resources (LON: ARK) is raising £500,000 at 0.3p/share. That was a 28% premium to the previous closing price. Each share comes with a warrant exercisable at 0.3p/share. The cash will finance development of the Stonepark zinc project in Ireland and lithium and magnesium prospects in Botswana. The share price increased 27.7% to 0.3p.

IT training firm Northcoders (LON: CODE) reports improving interim margins. In the six months to June 2025, revenues fell 16% to £3.7m. There was a rise in privately funded places, but government funded trainees declined in numbers. The consultancy business is building up work. Annualised fixed costs have been cut by two-fifths. Underlying EBITDA is expected to be maintained at £400,000. Gross cash is £2.25m. The full year outcome will depend on gaining new regional government contracts, but the timing is uncertain. The share price rebounded 11.8% to 42.5p.

Video game outsourced services provider Winking Studios (LON: WKS) says interim revenues were at least one-fifth ahead at $15.2m. The growth is mainly due to the acquisition in April. Underlying EBITDA will be more than 10% ahead of the $2.1m made in the corresponding period last year. The interim results will be published on 13 August. The share price improved 8% to 13.5p.

FALLERS

Restaurants operator Tasty (LON: TAST) has lost 17.2% to 0.6p, following gains earlier in the week due to the confirmation of talks with former Fulham Shore boss David Page. There could be a share placing.

Concrete levelling equipment supplier Somero Enterprises (LON: SOM) has been held back by further weakness in the US. June was particularly weak. A further $3m is being cut from annualised costs. A better second half is expected. Even so, full year revenues guidance has been cut by 14% to $90m, while EBITDA guidance has been reduced by one-quarter to $18m. The share price declined by 16.7% to 187.5p.

The value of the portfolio of Caledonian Holdings (LON: CHP) has risen from £1.77m to £2.09m in the quarter to June 2025. However, that was after an additional investment of £750,000 in Albaco, as part of a sector focus on financial services. Disposals generated a gain of £29,000, but there were unrealised losses, particularly in Northcoders. Cash has fallen from £787,000 to £428,000. The share price fell 13.3% to 0.00325p.

Content management technology provider Fadel Partners (LON: FADL) says interim revenues were $4.7m and this led Cavendish to cut its full year revenues estimate from $14.3m to $12.3m. Fewer implementation projects has hit service revenues. Annualised recurring revenues rose 8% to $9.9m. Strategic options are being reviewed. The share price slipped 13.3% to 65p.

Franchise Brands (LON: FRAN) has been hit by weak discretionary spending. Interim revenues were flat at £70.4m, although pre-tax profit was 10% higher at £11.7m. Net debt was £62m at the end of June 2025. The interim dividend has been raised by 5% to 1.15p/share. Allenby has reduced its 2025 forecast revenues to £427.3m and the pre-tax profit estimate cut from £27.3m to £23.5m. The share price deceased 7.17% to 126.25p.

USD/JPY drops ahead of Fed interest rate decision


Foreign exchange traders favoured the Yen against the dollar going into this evening’s Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with the prospect of a hint at rate cuts later in the year.

The Federal Reserve is not expected to cut rates this evening.

Today’s recovery in the Yen against the dollar follows a week of dollar strength as the greenback rebounds from the worst bout of selling in years.

“In the currency markets, the strength of the Japanese Yen is today’s standout feature, with widespread gains for the Yen against a broad basket of other leading currencies. Sterling is trading steadily, holding at around $1.226 and €1.156,” said Steve Clayton, head of equity funds, Hargreaves Lansdown.

Having built a base around 143.00 – 144.00 through June, the 149.00 USD/JPY level is proving to be a level of resistance. A hawkish Fed this evening could see this level broken to the upside.