Tekcapital’s Guident expands autonomous vehicle safety partnership with Auve Tech

Tekcapital’s Guident has announced the expansion of its strategic partnership with Auve Tech, an Estonian autonomous transportation company, with the launch of Auve Tech’s flagship MiCa autonomous shuttle into the US market.

Guident will integrate its Remote Monitor and Control Center solution into the MiCa shuttle to enhance the MiCa’s safety features by adding human-in-the-loop connectivity to the fixed-route transportation technology.

“With MiCa now officially ‘landed’ in the US for market entry, we are glad to join forces with Guident. Together, we are committed to enhancing the safety and efficiency of our MiCa AV shuttles with their advanced remote monitoring and control software. Based on the success in Japan and Europe, we eagerly anticipate rapid deployment of our innovative combined solution in the US and worldwide,” Johannes Mossov, Board Member at AuVe Tech OÜ.

A MiCa shuttle has been received at Guident’s headquarters and the integration process is fully underway. The new partnership and technology will be showcased at the grand opening of Guident’s new headquarters in Boca Raton, Florida, later in April.

“Since establishing our strategic partnership, we have been thrilled to collaborate with the Auve Tech team on several projects. We are particularly excited to achieve a significant milestone with Auve Tech’s entry into the US market coupled with the integration of our advanced teleoperation technology,” said Harald Braun, Executive Chairman and CEO at Guident.

The MiCa shuttle is described as ‘the world’s most compact and flexible level 4 autonomous shuttle.’ This is significant because most other companies developing Level 4 autonomous vehicle technology, including Alphabet, Volvo, and GM, have valuations in excess of a billion dollars.

Where the Auve Tech and Guident partnership breaks new ground is the established human-in-the-loop safety solution that allows a real person to take control of an autonomous vehicle should danger be detected.

A General Motors incident in which one of the company’s Cruise autonomous taxis dragged a woman after a collision in San Fransico is the perfect example of the benefits of a human-in-the-loop autonomous vehicle safety solution, such as Guident’s Remote Monitor and Control Center.

The California Department of Motor Vehicles suspended Cruise’s taxi license after the incident.

In the Cruise case, if the vehicle had access to a remote operator, they would have been able to step in and take control of the vehicle, possibly minimising the severity of the incident.

FTSE 350 housebuilders fall after Halifax says UK house prices fell 1% in March

The Halifax House Price Index’s release contributed to a fall in FTSE 350 housebuilder shares on Friday after the building society said average UK house prices fell 1% in the month of March.

Taylor Wimpey dropped 1.7%, Persimmon fell 1.4%, Barratt Developments shed 1.3%, and Crest Nicholson was off by 2%.

Although March prices dropped by 1% month-on-month, average UK house prices were up 2% on the quarter.

“UK house prices grew in March on a quarterly basis, by +2.0%, with annual growth slowing to +0.3%, from 1.6% in February. Compared to last month, the price of a UK property fell -1.0% or £2,908 in cash terms, with the average property now costing £288,430,” said Kim Kinnaird, Director, Halifax Mortgages.

“That a monthly fall should occur following five consecutive months of growth is not entirely unexpected particularly in view of the reset the market has been going through since interest rates began to rise sharply in 2022. Despite this house prices have shown surprising resilience in the face of significantly higher borrowing costs.”

As Kinnaird mentioned, house prices have been steadily increasing for five months, and as seasoned investors will be fully aware, no market moves in a straight line. The blip in housing prices has spurred a bout of profit-taking in FTSE 350 housebuilders on Friday after the sector rallied as house prices bottomed out last year.

A quarterly gain is an encouraging sign for the housing market, but with mortgage rates remaining elevated and many homeowners still to move onto mortgages at the new higher rates, the UK property market may still face some pain in the coming year.

“Affordability constraints continue to be a challenge for prospective buyers, while existing homeowners on cheaper fixed-term deals are yet to feel the full effect of higher interest rates. This means the housing market is still to fully adjust, with sellers likely to be pricing their properties accordingly,” Kinnaird said.

“Financial markets have also become less optimistic about the degree and timing of Base Rate cuts, as core inflation proves stickier than generally expected. This has stalled the decline in mortgage rates that had helped to drive market activity around the turn of the year.”

FTSE 100 jumps on stronger commodities, Non-Farm Payrolls eyed

The FTSE 100 was on a firmer footing on Thursday as stronger commodity stocks helped propel the index higher ahead of tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls report.

Anglo American was the FTSE 100’s top gainer, with a gain of 3.3% as the broader FTSE 100 index added 0.45% to 7,972. Antofagasta and Fresnillo were also among the top risers as commodity prices continued to march higher.

“The FTSE 100 ticked higher on Thursday as US markets enjoyed a better session overnight,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Miners were in demand as commodities prices continued to surge – an inflationary development which might provoke some nervousness about the fate of long-awaited interest rate cuts.”

Elsewhere, Entain enjoyed a 3% gain after announcing another senior management change – the Chairman will step down as the company continues to seek a new permanent CEO.

Suggestions that interest rates could stay higher for longer helped support the FTSE 100’s banks, with a good showing from Barclays, Standard Chartered, and NatWest.

Non-Farm Payrolls & Interest Rates

As the session progresses, attention will shift to tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls and the ramifications for interest rates. Comments by the Federal Reserve Chair on the timing of rate cuts yesterday will heighten anticipation.

“Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell warned yesterday of a risk of having to delay cuts thanks to stubborn inflationary pressures, although there was enough to reassure investors that a rate cut is coming at some point this year,” Russ Mould said.

Tomorrow’s data may see a return of ‘good news is bad news’ for global equities. If the jobs number comes in much better than expected, it will dash hopes of an interest rate cut soon and sour investor sentiment.

The Federal Reserve will be increasingly aware of the US economy’s resilience and stubbornly higher inflation. Strong Non-Farm Payrolls will support the view that the US can withstand higher rates, reducing the need to cut them.

Given the elevated levels of global equities, this scenario will be a concern for traders. Even the FTSE 100 has flirted with record highs in the recent melt-up.

Powell’s comments yesterday suggesting they will continue to digest data could act to exacerbate any market moves in reaction to the jobs report – a repricing to reflect rate cuts much later in the year could be sharp.

“Jerome Powell once again said that there was no rush to cut interest rates, although he did signal a cut would be coming this year, but that this is wholly dependent on economic progress,” said Sophie Lund-Yates, lead equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

We have seen risk aversion ahead of tomorrow’s number in equities earlier in the week. Should the jobs report be weaker than expected, one would expect stocks to pop higher at 1.30pm tomorrow.

AIM movers: Gelion testing success and ex-dividends

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Energy density testing of the Gelion (LON: GELN) lithium-sulphur battery technology shows that it far exceeds lithium-ion batteries. The 9.5 Ah pouch cell achieved an energy density of 395 Wh/kg, which 60% higher than lithium-ion batteries. This means that the batteries could be lighter and cheaper and made from more abundant materials, but there is some way to go to get to commercialisation. Gelion has cash of £7.5m. The share price is 50.8% higher at 23p. Last November’s fundraising was at 24p/share.

Diagnostic tests developer genedrive (LON: GDR) is still benefiting from NICE’s recommendation of the CYP2C19-ID test for genotype-guided clopidogrel treatment in the NHS. It is the preferred platform for UK point-of-care testing for the management of ischemic stroke and transient ischaemic attack patients. It is advised that these patients should have a genetic test before antiplatelet treatment. The share price rose a further 49% to 7.75p.

Strong second half trading at Cavendish Financial (LON: CAV) meant that full year pro forma revenues, following the merger of finnCap and Cenkos, grew from £50.5m to £54m. Private and public M&A activity was buoyant. There was cash of £20.8m at the end of March 2024. Annualised savings of £7m have been made with more to come. The share price increased 30.1% to 11.25p.

Shares in Xtract Resources (LON: XTR) continue to rise following yesterday’s announcement of an option and joint venture agreement with Oval Mining to earn up to 70% of the Silverking copper mine in Zambia. Spending $500,000 over 18 months will earn 51% and spending $1m will earn a further 19%. There is historical data suggesting copper mineralisation. The share price is 10% ahead today at 1.1p.

FALLERS

Cirata (LON: CRTA), formerly WANdisco, says 2023 bookings fell to $7.2m from $11.5m. The business is being rebuilt after a period of turmoil. Management expects bookings to be in a range of $13m and $15m. The cash cost base of the data analytics company could be reduced to $23m. The share price fell 28.1% to 43.225p, which is a new low.

Cancer treatments developer Faron Pharmaceuticals (LON: FARN) is raising €4.8m at €1.50/share to satisfy the covenant requirements of its debt and this should provide enough cash until June. More cash will need to be secured to complete the phase II study for bexmarilimab. Cash burn for the first half of 2024 is expected to be €2.5m, declining to €2m in the second half. The share price declined 13.3% to 130p.

Evgen Pharma (LON: EVG) raised £51,760 from a retail offer of up to £1m. The offer price of 1p/share was the same as the placing that raised £850,000. The share price slumped 11.8% to 0.75p, which is an all-time low. Chronos Therapeutics is being acquired for £900,000 in shares at 1.44p each, which means that it will no longer be a single asset company. The company is changing its name to TheraCryf.

Antimicrobial treatments developer Ondine Biomedical Inc (LON: OBI) is preparing to enter the intensive care unit market in Canada. One in every eight of these patients develops an infection in their stay. Daily nasal decolonisation with the company’s Steriwave treatment can help to prevent infections. The share price slipped 5.41% to 8.75p.

Ex-dividends

Alpha Group International (LON: ALPH) is paying a final dividend of 12.3p/share and the share price rose 5p to £19.05.

BP Marsh (LON: BPM) is paying a dividend of 2.68p/share and the share price slipped 2.5p to 496p.

Kitwave (LON: KITW) is paying a final dividend of 7.45p/share and the share price fell 5p to 356.5p.

Nexus Infrastructure (LON: NEXS) is paying a dividend of 2p/share and the share price declined 3p to 77.5p.

Pebble Group (LON: PEBB) is paying a final dividend of 1.2p/share and the share price is unchanged at 65p. Real Estate Investors (LON: RLE) is paying a dividend of 0.63p/share and the share price dived 1p to 32.5p.

Future shares jump on return to organic revenue growth

Go.Compare owner Future has announced a return to organic revenue growth in Q2 for the six months ended 31st March.

The expected revenue improvement from Q4 2023 has continued, driven by a strong performance from Go.Compare, B2B, and resilience in Magazines.

Future shares were 11% higher at the time of writing.

Future said growth in Go.Compare and B2B has been partially offset by a more challenging performance in affiliate products and digital advertising, where macroeconomic pressures and low visibility continue to impact the wider sector. The key website user numbers metric stabilised in Q2 but remained in a year-over-year decline. This is evident in its peers.

The group owns and operates websites and magazines including The Week, Marie Curie, PC Gamer, Tech Radar and Country Life.

Investors will be encouraged to see progress in the implementation of Future’s Growth Acceleration Strategy (GAS). In February, Future announced a reorganisation to accelerate the Growth Acceleration Strategy, creating three business units – B2C, Go.Compare, and B2B – to enhance the company’s offering to audiences and partners. This reorganisation aims to make the company more agile and less complex, enabling faster execution of the strategy to deliver improved growth.

The company’s “Hero” brands continue to outperform the wider portfolio, showing encouraging progress. Additionally, a stronger performance in US direct advertising, a key strategic initiative, has been driven by the continued focus on premiumisation of advertising inventory.

Future said they remain highly cash-generative, with strong cash conversion in the first half. As a result, Future is on track to deliver on expectations for FY 2024.

Cavendish shares soar as revenues jump after FinnCap and Cenkos merger

Cavendish shares soared on Thursday after the company revealed the synergies of the FinnCap and Cenkos merger in a trading statement highlighting a pick-up in deal activity and cost savings.

The mid-market investment bank’s revenues in H2 are expected to hit approximately £34.5m, a bumper 77% increase compared to the pro forma £19.5m in H1.

Cavendish anticipates statutory revenues of around £47.5m, a 44% increase from the previous year’s £32.9m. On a pro forma basis, full-year revenues are projected to reach approximately £54m, up from £50.5m in FY23.

The newly merged Cavendish team completed multiple deals across all business segments, helping to bolster the company’s balance sheet.

As of 31st March 2024, Cavendish’s cash position stood at approximately £20.8 million, a significant increase from £12.3 million at the half-year mark.

Investors will be delighted Cavendish said it has locked in annualised synergies of £7m from the merger between FinnCap and Cenkos and continues to realise additional cost savings.

Although Cavendish has demonstrated the benefits of the recent merger, the company noted that while the interest rate cycle appears to have peaked, conditions continue to impact demand for UK equities, and challenges remain for the sector.

However, Cavendish said it had buoyant pipelines in both private and public M&A during H2, and its capital markets and M&A pipelines remain strong.

Cavendish shares were 27% higher at the time of writing.

Premier Foods – 90% of UK households are buyers, with its shares looking tasty

We all know its products!

This food producer’s brands include Ambrosia, Angel Delight, Atora, Batchelors, Be-Ro, Bird’s, Bisto, FUEL10K, Homepride, Loyd Grossman, Marvel, McDougalls, Mr Kipling, OXO, Paxo, Plantastic, Saxa, Sharwoods, Smash, The Spice Tailor, and also a licence with Cadburys for cakes, home baking and ambient dessert products.

The group, which is the UK’s fourth largest such maker, proudly claims that some 90% of all UK households buy one or more of its products each year.

I don’t know about your household, but mine certainly has hundreds of this group’s products on our shelves during any one year.

And with such top name brands I would bet that it is similar in your home too.

In fact, the group’s iconic brands, feature in millions of homes every day. 

A Long Time Building

The creation of Bird’s, the oldest of Premier’s brands can be dated back to 1837.

Similar important timelines can be identified in 1908 with the invention of Bisto gravy, while in that year OXO sponsored the London Olympics.

In 1917 the Ambrosia creamery was set up in Devon, from which it helped to supply dried milk to troops in the First World War.

Other notable dates in the group’s history include: the 1967 creation of the Mr Kipling brand, which has remained the UK’s top cake brand since the late 1970’s; actress Lynda Bellingham first appeared as the OXO mum in 1983, staying for the next 15 years; and the group going public in 2004.

Today over 86% of the group’s total revenues come from its branded products.

Last year the group’s current brand portfolio helped it to generate over £1bn in sales, having grown at an average 5.3% in each of the last three years.

Furthermore, it has a portfolio of category leading brands, with market leadership in five categories: cooking sauces and accompaniments with 15% market share; 44% of flavourings and seasonings; 36% share in quick meals, snacks and soups; ambient cakes 19%; and 39% of the ambient desserts market.

The group today, which has over 4,000 employees, operates from 15 sites in the UK and operates a multi-format, multi-channel approach to serving a broad range of customers, including major UK supermarkets, discounters, e-commerce channels, convenience stores, wholesalers and foodservice operators.

The company claims that it aims ‘to create great tasting products that contribute to healthy and balanced diets, while committing to nurturing our people and our local communities, and going further in the pursuit of a healthier planet, in line with our Purpose of ‘Enriching Life Through Food’.’

Interesting Shareholders

With some 869m shares in issue, the largest holder is Nissin Foods Holdings, the Japanese-based but totally global noodles and snack pot business, with 24.27% of the equity.

Other large holders include Van Lanschot Kempen Investment Management (5.52%), Brandes Investment Partners (4.86%), M&G Investment Management (4.02%), JP Morgan Asset Management (3.64%), Dimensional Fund Advisors (3.63%), Southeastern Asset Management (3.54%), The Vanguard Group (3.04%), Paulson & Co (2.94%) and Fidelity Management & Research (2.40%).

Analyst Views

Taking a consensus average of six analysts that follow the group, they look for 177p for its shares, while 200p is the highest aim.

Taking a positive view of the recent statement that pension deficit contributions will have been suspended from the start of this month, analysts are suggesting that will save the group some £3m a year, thereby boosting its cashflows.

The analysts are now anticipating a ‘re-rating’ for the group’s shares.

Estimates for the year to end March 2024 range around £1,120m revenues (£979m), with adjusted pre-tax profits improving from £137.2m to £152.5m, lifting earnings to 12.9p (12.6p) and boosting the dividend to 1.7p (1.4p) per share.

For the current year estimates are out for £1,170m sales, £160.5m profits, 13.75p earnings and a 2.10p dividend per share.

My View – a FOMO stock?

We will have to wait to see what the last year’s results will actually look like, which should happen in about six weeks’ time (16th May).

However, the recent ‘reprieve’ on the pension deficit payments gives the group quite an important boost.

It also could help to promote the attractions of the group to any potential bidders, including Nissin.

The shares, which are now trading at around the 147p level, help to value the group at a healthy, but attractive £1.29bn.

Could a bid at around the 180p level set the ‘cat amongst the predatorial pigeons’ – who knows, but methinks it is best to be in than miss out.

FTSE 100 falls as interest rate tensions return

The FTSE 100 dipped on Wednesday as interest rate tensions sapped enthusiasm for UK stocks as traders awaited important US data due to be released later this week.

Interest rate concerns have taken a back seat lately, with gains in AI-related stocks helping boost global investor sentiment. However, as we entered a new month, the focus has shifted back to central banks and their plans for borrowing costs.

The FTS100 declines were broad yet contained. BT was the biggest faller, shedding 4%, with Prudential and RS Group not far behind. The main factor at play was another soft session in the US spilling over into European stocks.

US equities have experienced a soggy start to April, with profit takers sending many of the ‘Magnificent 7’ tech shares lower and taking the S&P 500 with it.

“After two back-to-back sell-offs on Wall Street, we’ve seen some of the negative sentiment being mirrored this side of the Atlantic, with the FTSE 100 suffering a sharp drop in early trading,” explained Adam Vettese, analyst at investment platform eToro.

“The index had clawed back some of the losses by the afternoon in London, though, with support coming from surprisingly soft eurozone inflation data, solidifying expectations for an ECB rate cut in the summer.”

UK stocks held their own after recent selloffs in the US, but the selling pressure proved too much for the FTSE 100 on Wednesday. The index dropped below 7,900 in early trade before recovering to trade at 7,923 at the time of writing.

“Up until now the market has been remarkably sanguine about expectations on when the first interest rate cut will fall consistently being pushed back. But investors’ patience may finally be running thin,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“Recent releases from the US suggest both that inflation is proving stubborn but also that the economy is proving remarkably resilient. This is creating a situation where central bankers can arguably afford to keep policy tight to ensure they really have slain the inflation dragon.”

Last year, equity traders had their hearts set on rate cuts in March and took the delay to the summer well. However, any suggestions from major central banks, including the Bank of England or the Federal Reserve, that they could prolong the date of their first rate cuts beyond this will be hard for some to take.

Aton Resources: the gold junior set to support Egyptian exploration with near-term production revenues

Exciting junior gold miner Aton Resources targets near-term production at the under-explored and highly prospective Abu Marawat gold concession in Egypt.

The company is delivering on a ‘3-Part Strategy’ to start production at its 341koz Hamama gold mine, fast-track evaluation of the Semna project, and complete an aggressive exploration campaign across the 255km2 Abu Marawat concession.

Operating in the Egyptian Nubian Shield, TSX-listed Aton Resources is the first international company to be issued an Egyptian mining licence since 2005. 

The only other large-scale modern mine operating gold mine in Egypt is the Sukari mine, owned by London-listed £1.2bn market cap Centamin.

Aton’s 100% owned Abu Marawat concession is located in the Central Eastern Desert of Egypt in the “strategically significant” Arabian Nubian Shield (ANS). ANS is one of the world’s largest Precambrian rock formations and is thought to become a major mining destination due to its rich mineral deposits of gold, cobalt, copper, nickel, and uranium.

Abu Marawat is approximately 200km north of Centamin’s Sukari gold mine, which is forecast to produce 500,000 ounces of gold in 2024.

Aton has encountered gold occurrences throughout the concession area, including the 341,000-ounce gold equivalent Hamama deposit in the west and the Abu Marawat polymetallic deposit in the northeast.

The company plans to progress Hamama to production by 2026 through a starter open pit. The revenues from Hamama will support additional exploration across the concession – an enviable position for an early-stage gold producer.

Securing the gold mining license is an achievement testament to the strength of Aton’s assets and the technical team’s track record of developing world-class resources.

Arabian Nubian Shield 

The Arabian Nubian Shield is a 3 million km2 crustal block of juvenile Neoproterozoic rocks around the Red Sea that covers parts of countries including Israel, Jordan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Yemen, and Somalia.

The region is considered one of the most exciting emerging mining destinations due to relatively low levels of exploration to date and a string of recent discoveries.

The Arabian Nubian Shield is home to several Tier 1 gold and copper mines. In Egypt, Centamin operates the 5.8moz gold reserve Sukari mine, while in Saudi Arabia, Barrick produces 32,000 tonnes of copper annually at Jabal Sayid in a joint venture with state-owned Ma’aden.

Because the Egyptian sector of the Arabian Nubian Shield is significantly under-explored, Aton’s Abu Marawat concession is hugely exciting regarding the potential for future gold production.

Abu Marawat and Hamama

Located in the North Western section of the Abu Marawat concession, the Hamama deposit is Aton’s most important target, with plans to begin open-pit mining in 2026.

The Hamama project is characterised by a sequence of overturned Neoproterozoic metavolcanic rocks, predominantly of intermediate composition.

The local geology comprises a footwall sequence of andesitic lavas and tuffs, overlain by tuffaceous volcaniclastic and sedimentary rocks.

Mineralisation

The Hamama West deposit, representing 750 meters of the 3 km mineralised horizon, has an Inferred Mineral Resource of 341,000 ounces of gold equivalent (“AuEq”) and an Indicated Mineral Resource of 137,000 ounces AuEq, as per an NI 43-101 Independent Technical Report.

The Independent Technical Report concluded after a comprehensive campaign of 109 diamond drill holes amounting to 11,827 meters were drilled across the Hamama West deposit.

The mineralisation at Hamama is hosted within a distinctive silica-carbonate horizon. It displays characteristics of a “VMS-epithermal hybrid” deposit type, the shallow marine equivalent of subaerial epithermal systems. This deposit type is similar to other VMS deposits in the Arabian Nubian Shield, such as Bisha and Hassai.

The mineralised horizon at Hamama has a strike length of 3 km and potentially remains open to the east and west. To date, three mineralised zones have been identified: Hamama West, Hamama Central, and Hamama East.

Additionally, high-grade gold-mineralised quartz veins have been discovered at West Garida, 3 km east of Hamama West.

Ancient iron, copper mining, and smelting sites, as well as evidence of Egypt’s ancient gold mining sites and tailings dumps, have been identified in the general Hamama area and the North Garida area, respectively.

Production timeline

To become cashflow positive and support exploration across the entire Abu Marawat concession, Aton plans to develop a starter open pit mining and heap leach processing operation at Hamama West, with the aim of starting production in 2026.

Aton received the license in early 2024 and has set to work achieving this goal.

Tekcapital shares: a brief overview for Q2 2024

Tekcapital stock surged after portfolio company MicroSalt’s IPO, and new catalysts are just around the corner.

Tekcapital (LON: TEK) shares soared from just under 7p at the start of 2024 to 17p piece in mid-February, buoyed by the successful IPO launch of promising portfolio company MicroSalt. However, the company’s stock has since fallen to 8.1p, in line with MicroSalt’s market price discovery, today’s Belluscura news, and perhaps also driven by a placing that should see the company financed for some time to come.

For context, MicroSalt ran to as a high as 114p on 16 February having launched at 43p — and the stock is still changing hands at 71.5p after a period of plateau.

It’s probably fair to say that this price action is indicative of two things: a market starved of IPOs, and the difficulty in fairly assessing the value of MicroSalt’s potential given its relatively early stage status, unique product, and top end partners.

The TEK placing

TEK raised £2 million on 29 February at 10p per share — another example of a quality company given the London financial treatment — with £300,000 to be used to complete the build-out and commercial deployment of Guident’s new Remote Monitor and Control Centre, and £500,000 for a new investment into a Generative AI portfolio company opportunity.

The company also repaid a £600,000 (plus interest) loan entered into by subsidiary Tekcapital Europe with portfolio company Innovative Eyewear. The rest of the funds raised, after expenses, are to be used for working capital requirements.

Executive Chairman Dr Clifford Gross notes that the funding will ‘enable us to strengthen our balance sheet, complete the build-out of Guident’s new RMCC to facilitate servicing its growing client base, and form a fifth portfolio company in the Generative AI space.’

There are plenty of factors to unpack here. To start with, MicroSalt should now be self-funding, having raised £3.14 million at the IPO — and TEK continues to hold more than three quarters of its shares.

The placing may have felt a little unfair to long-term holders at the time, but Tekcapital is operating in a difficult market. Taking advantage of the heightened interest around the company to pay off a debt that would have been a long-term anchor, and getting the cash in place to advance its strategy while also getting the money to keep all typical expenses at bay is not a bad compromise.

Tekcapital’s share price is now below that 10p placing price, and in hindsight this leaves TEK better positioned for growth through 2024.

Upcoming catalysts for TEK shares?

While TEK also has interests in Belluscura and Innovative Eyewear — which both hold significant promise over the longer term — there are three potential near-term catalysts for investors to keep an eye on:

  • The next MicroSalt contract
  • TEK’s AI investment
  • Guident’s RMCC update

MicroSalt already boasts contracts with some of the biggest names in the health business, and an update on the success of these current partnerships, or perhaps a new contract with another partner could see a positive corresponding effect on TEK.

The upcoming generative AI investment will also be interesting — presumably this will be a university spin-out as is the corporate model, but having raised at 10p, shareholders will want to see an investment in a company where the juice will be worth the squeeze.

But perhaps the key catalyst to watch is 100% owned Guident, a portfolio company which aims to offer competitive advantages for Autonomous and Electric Vehicles fleet operators via a Remote Monitor and Control Centre (RMCC), utilising artificial intelligence and secure, ultra-low-latency network connectivity.

The RMCC centre, which is being finalised via the £300,000 raised, will monitor autonomous vehicles, and also provide support services such as calling out the emergency services, taking control of the vehicle, moving it out of harm’s way, and even providing real-time comms with passengers.

There are two key economic moats surrounding the portfolio company, which is crucial given the extreme competition in the space.

The first is that it has one of the lowest teleoperation video latencies in the industry, or in other words, video from an AV gets to the RMCC faster than rivals. Guident remains the only teleoperations company with patented systems and methods for remote monitoring and controlling autonomous vehicles, robots, and drones.

The second is its regenerative shock absorber tech — Guident has established a wholly owned subsidiary named Revive Energy Solutions — in response to significant market traction for the tech, including a collaboration with a leading tyre manufacturer and successful proof-of-concept testing results.

The company plans to produce electromagnetic regenerative shock absorbers with advanced energy densities which are capable of capturing and utilising a vehicle’s vertical movements that are part of everyday driving on public roads, and which are currently dissipated as wasted heat energy.

Importantly, Guident has already informed investors that ‘progress is underway with multiple car manufacturers, to assess the manufacturability, cost, and the best approach to rapidly bring the technology to the world market.’

Guident has three key strategic partnerships:

Space Florida and Novelsat — the company was awarded a large grant from Space Florida (independent established by the State of Florida to advance aerospace tech businesses) in 2023. The purpose of the grant was to implement satellite communications as an additional connectivity option for AVs, and the project is now on track to demonstrate teleoperation over satellite communication links in Q2 2024 — or in other words, any time from now to the end of June. This a joint effort with Israel-based Novelsat, a global provider of innovative satellite communication services.

Adastec — Adastec’s flowride.ai system enables SAE Level-4 operation for buses manufactured by Karsan and Vicinity Motor Corp. Guident’s teleoperation solution, integrated with flowride.ai, represents what the two companies see as a ‘breakthrough in autonomous transportation,’ offering full-scope autonomous vehicle monitoring and control coupled with fleet management. Beginning this year, Guident’s RMCC solution will be integrated into Adastec’s automated buses being deployed in the US.

Auve Tech — Guident recently announced a partnership with Estonia-based Auve to integrate its RMCC teleoperation system with Auve’s MiCa autonomous shuttles (already deployed in Europe and Asia), and this partnership has now moved to the implementation phase. This integrated tech will be in place in the first Auve shuttle which has been shipped into the US under Guident’s recently received National Highway Traffic Safety Administration testing approval.

Over the next two years, Guident’s research and development program will develop a roadmap to improve remote control operator effectiveness and implement augmented reality features for enhanced situational awareness and passenger communication. The business also recently adopted a software architecture framework that should help to ensure scalable development, smooth feature releases, customer upgrades, and efficient software license management to support future growth.

The portfolio company is hosting the upcoming National US Autonomous Vehicle Day on 31 May. For perspective — as announced in a recent UKIM interview — Guident is currently organising a US private equity funding round. It’s engaged a US investment bank to facilitate the capital raising which is expected to provide an uplift to Guident’s current valuation.

The round is expected to be completed by the end of Q2 2024, and will have the benefit both of funding Guident but also lifting a financial constraint from Tekcapital’s shoulders.

Tekcapital going forward

Tekcapital is now capitalised, will see strong growth in Guident, and is set to enjoy success with MicroSalt through 2024. Then there’s Belluscura and Innovative Eyewear in the portfolio — and a yet to be named investment into an AI start-up.

In a market where AI dominates the discourse, Guident and this new AI investment could bring TEK back to a premium valuation, and investors know that multiple positive RNSs are going to drop this quarter. 

Of course, the company continues to operate in a difficult market where a combination of the US-based AI bubble and higher interest rates have created record discounts to NAVs. But when rates start falling and the NASDAQ titans fall back to reality, the Tekcapital re-rate could happen fast.