Diales transformation underway

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Construction disputes and property services provider Diales (LON:DIAL), formerly Driver Group,has completed its rebranding and the benefits of cost cutting will show through in the current year. Even so, the AIM-quoted company’s results for the year to September 2024 were slightly better than expected.

Interim revenues edged up from £42.6m to £43m. A decline in European and North American revenues was offset by growth in the other markets. The Middle East returned to profit and the Asia Pacific loss was lower. Overall pre-tax profit improved from £1.1m to £1.2m. The total dividend is maintained at 1.5p/share, although it is still not covered by earnings.

The net cash of £4.3m (7.9p/share) enables Diales to add more fee earners, which might come from small acquisitions that may add to the range of services and sectors that can be addressed.

The North American operations have been closed and contracts are services from Europe, where ERP software has helped to improve efficiency. Utilisation levels in the region were steady and could rise this year. Two large customers went into administration and there are some potential bad debts.

The Australian market weakened in the second half. Diales is still trying to collect debts in the Middle East. The operations in Oman and Kuwait have been discontinued.

AB Traction has a 27.4% shareholding, and it has been that level for more than one year.

There have been no forecasts for a while. Following the publication of the results forecasts have been reinstated. A pre-tax profit of £1.3m is forecast for 2024-25, rising to £1.5m the following year. At 29p, the prospective multiple is 19, falling to 16 next year.

FTSE 100 rally gathers momentum as heavyweights lift index

The FTSE 100 soared on Tuesday in a broad rally driven by London’s heavyweight stocks including Shell, AstraZeneca, and HSBC.

Another record high for the S&P 500 overnight proved to be ample reason for equity bulls to buy into London’s blue chips on Tuesday, sending the index 0.9% higher to 8,388 and within touching distance of all-time record highs.

The FTSE 100 has flirted with the 8,400 level numerous times this year but has failed to break through the psychological level meaningfully, leaving all-time record highs at 8,445 just out of reach.

That said, the festive season may provide the conditions needed for London’s flagship index to do what US indices have done on many occasions this year and break to a fresh record.

A lack of macro influences on markets on Tuesday and the broad nature of the rally suggests investors are gearing up for a Santa’s rally by building positions in beaten-down large-cap shares before the end of the year. The gains on Tuesday likely reflect the actions of bargain hunters instead of out-and-out exuberance.

“The year is, effectively, done & dusted. Certainly, nobody is going to be making their year as Christmas approaches, but plenty would find it very easy to break it,” said Michael Brown Senior Research Strategist at Pepperstone.

“Consequently, liquidity tends to dry up and volumes thin out, as markets become a mix of position squaring as books are closed up, and portfolio window dressing as the dreaded task of writing year-end investment letters looms.”

BP and Shell were firmly bid as investors picked up the oil majors and locked in benchmark-beating yields after a prolonged period of poor performance.

AstraZeneca touched its highest level since the beginning of November as the pharma giant continued to rebound above 10,000p, having fallen from highs above 13,000p.

Easyjet was among the top risers after UBS and Barclays hiked their price targets for the airliner. UBS had the most ambitious target of 845p compared to Easyjet’s current price of 566p.

Vistry was down 0.3%, and it looks increasingly likely that the housebuilder will be ejected from the FTSE 100.

Gooch & Housego set to bounce back

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Photonics company Gooch & Housego (LON: GHH) had a better second half, but full year profit was still lower. The AIM-quoted company’s figures are expected to bounce back this year.

In the year to September 2024, revenues were 1% ahead at £136m. A decline in industrial revenues, due to weak product sales for semiconductor manufacturing and other industrial uses, was offset by higher aerospace and defence and life sciences revenues.

Underlying pre-tax profit slipped 22% to £8.1m. The total dividend was raised 1.5% to 13.2p, which is 1.9 times covered by earnings.

There is strong demand for the aerospace and defence division and orders already cover most of the expected revenues for this year. Phoenix Optical was acquired at the end of October. It has a factory in north Wales and supplies polished, coated and assembled precision optics and it will broaden the opportunities for the aerospace and defence division.

Net debt was reduced from £20.9m to £16m. That was before the acquisition of Phoenix Optical, where £3.4m was paid in cash and up to £3.35m is payable based on performance in the three years to June 2027. Net debt is still expected to fall to £15m by September 2025 and there is scope to fund further bolt-on acquisitions.

Although the year-end order book was weaker at £104.5m there is an upward trend, particularly for the aerospace and defence business. Destocking by industrial customers appears to be over and there is strong demand from the subsea market.

A recovery in pre-tax profit to £13.3m is forecast, rising to £17.8m next year. There is potential for continued improvement in margins. The share price improved 0.9% to 462p. The shares are trading on less than 12 times prospective earnings, falling to ten the following year.

AIM movers: Invinity Energy Systems product launch and premium fundraising by EMV Capital

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Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) has launched its next generation flow battery ENDURIUM. This has higher efficiency and is designed to be manufactured in Scotland in high volumes. This new product is likely to be the main source of orders from now on. There are already orders for ENDURIUM. Invinity Energy Systems is expected to move into profit in 2026. The share price jumped 23.4% to 14.5p.

New Technology Capital Group has reduced its stake in data processing semiconductor technology developer Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET) from 16.4% to between 12% and 13%. The stake peaked at 21.6% at the end of October. The share price recovered 10.8% to 0.145p.

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) owns 34.6% of the Amapa iron ore project in Brazil and the updated pre-feasibility study shows that 67.5% iron ore can be produced. This has boosted the NPV10 from $1.2bn to $2bn. Initial capex is expected to be $377m. Zeus estimates that the Amapa project could be worth 42p/share when adjusted for risk. The share price increased 17.4% to 2.7p.

Technology company adviser and investor EMV Capital (LON: EMVC) is raising up to £1.5m at 50p/share, which is a 15% premium to the previous day’s closing price. The share price rose 11.5% to 48.5p. A subscription will raise £880,000. The WRAP retail offer to existing shareholders can raise up to £620,000 and it closes at 4.30pm on 4 December. The minimum subscription is £100. The cash will fund investment in reporting infrastructure and hiring of additional staff. It will also provide money for additional investments. Management is targeting recurring annual fund management fees of more than £1m so that it can reach breakeven. In the ten months to October 2024, core income was £2m, up from £1.2m, including £500,000 of recurring fund management fees. This excludes subsidiary portfolio companies.

FALLERS

United Oil & Gas (LON: UOG) has not received the $620,000 owed following the disposal of Egyptian and discussions continue with EGPC. Costs are being reviewed and they will be reduced to a bare minimum. Talks concerning the farm out in Jamaica have been suspended until the New Year. The share price slumped 34.2% to 0.125p, which is an all time low.

Managed IT services SysGroup (LON: SYS) has been hampered by extended sales cycles and full year results will be below expectations. Interim revenues fell 7% to £10.2m, while the reported loss was £1.09m after exceptional costs of £397,000. No growth in revenues is forecast for the second half. Zeus has cut its 2024-25 pre-tax profit forecast from £900,000 to £100,000, down from £900,000 last year, and next year’s forecast has been slashed from £2.8m to £1.3m. Net cash was £4.6m at the end of March 2025. The share price dived 24.6% to 21.5p.

Kefi Gold and Copper (LON: KEFI) raised £469,000 at 0.55p/share from the PrimaryBid offer, with 90% of subscribers existing shareholders. This takes the total amount raised to £6m and there is an additional share issue in settlement of £4.6m of liabilities. The cash will be spent on the Tulu Kapi gold project. The share price is 20.4% lower at 0.519p.

Wind turbine sensor technology developer Windar Photonics (LON: WPHO) raised £5.9m at 40p/share from an oversubscribed placing. The cash will enable expansion of the management team and provide working capital. The company is transitioning to a recurring revenues model. The placing will use up the remaining EIS/VCT capacity. The share price declined 5.88% to 48p.

Revolut CEO favours US over UK for IPO

Nikolay Storonsky, the CEO of Revolut, one of the UK’s most successful FinTech firms, said he will choose the US over the UK for its IPO.

Speaking on the 20VC Podcast, Storonsky said that unless London dramatically changed its offering to companies seeking to raise capital on public markets, he would list Revolut in the US.

“I just don’t understand how the product which is being provided by the UK can compete with the product provided by the US,” Storonsky said in the podcast interview.

Storonsky highlighted the UK’s 0.5% Stamp Duty as one of the main reasons behind his preference for New York over London, but in reality, there is a multitude of well-documented factors making the US more attractive than the UK when planning a large-scale IPO.

Labour’s Rachel Reeves has had the chance to scrap the much-criticised stamp duty on UK shares but has chosen not to act. The result is that global innovators and leading growth companies such as Revolut are shunning the UK for the US.

Losing out on the Revolut IPO to New York will be another major blow for London after Revolut started life in the UK, raising two early crowdfunding rounds on Crowdcube and Seedrs platforms.

Following a recent secondary share sale, investors who backed the FinTech company in its early private rounds on crowdfunding platforms saw a valuation uplift of around 40,000% on their initial investment. Investments of just a few thousand pounds are now worth over a million.

The latest share sale values Revolut at $45bn, more than the current NatWest and Lloyds market caps and roughly the same as Barclays.

Revolut has raised over $2.14bn and is not having trouble attracting new investors. The latest share sale was met with strong demand from institutions, which bodes well for an IPO.

It’s no surprise that Revolut CEO Nikolay Storonsky is choosing New York over London for its IPO. The UK hasn’t managed an IPO of any meaningful size for well over a year, and the UK public equity market is being picked apart by overseas firms swooping in on undervalued companies.

Why would the FinTech company battle to justify its valuation in London when US investors would likely welcome the company with open arms and give it the valuation it deserves?

Although Revolut started life in the UK, it has expanded aggressively and operations in 39 countries with ambitions to increase this to 50 over the next three years. Of the 39 countries the company is currently operating in, Revolut is number one in 19 of them. The company hasn’t yet won in the US market as in other markets, but Storonsky has the world’s largest economy firmly in his sights for the next chapter of growth.

Revolut reported revenues of $2.2bn in 2023, generating a record $545m profit before tax.

When asked where he would base the business if he were hypothetically given a chance to start Revolut again, he answered he would have set the company up in the US.

Share Tip: Foxtons Group – Valued at £179m, making £23.6m profits in 2025 and still on the acquisition trail – shares now 59p, while analysts have valuations up to 134p! 

It may be too early for some readers, but I have a number of companies within my Smaller Quoted Companies sector that I really fancy for a good run in 2025. 
One of the list is London’s leading estate agency the Foxtons Group (LON:FOXT). 
And following another read-through of the group’s recently announced Q3 Trading Update, I am convinced that its shares at the current 59p are totally undervalued. 
The Business 
Foxtons, which was established in 1981, is London’s leading estate agency and largest lettings agency brand and has a portfolio of over 28,000 tenancies.   
I...

Cadence Minerals shares jump on improved Brazilian iron ore mine economics

Cadence Minerals shares soared on Tuesday after the company announced positive results from an updated Pre-Feasibility Study for its Amapá Iron Ore Project in northern Brazil, where it holds a 34.6% equity stake.

The study, incorporating a Direct Reduction grade flow sheet, reveals a substantial increase in the project’s post-tax Net Present Value (NPV10%) to US$1.97 billion, with an internal rate of return of 56%.

Cadence Minerals shares jumped over 20% in early trade on Tuesday as investors cheered the improved outlook for the company’s flagship asset.

The project is estimated to generate average annual free cash flow estimated at US$342 million from start-up through to closure.

Over its 15-year mine life, the Amapá Project is expected to deliver US$9 billion in gross revenues, US$4.9 billion in net operating profit, and US$4.6 billion in free cash flow.

The processing plant has been redesigned to produce high-grade iron ore concentrate at 67.5% Fe, with an average production rate of 5.5 million metric tonnes per annum.

The project demonstrates strong cost efficiency, with Free on Board C1 Cash Costs of US$33.7 per dry metric tonne at the port of Santana, and Cost and Freight C1 Cash Costs of US$61.9 per dry metric tonne in China.

The pre-production capital requirement is set at US$377 million, with an attractive payback period of just three years, shortened by the increased free cash flows.

“This significant update to the Amapá Prefeasibility Study, which includes the DR-grade concentrate flow sheet, reinforces our firm belief that the project can add substantial value to Cadence. The increased net present value of $1.97 billion and improved post-tax internal rate of return reflect significant advancements in the project’s robust economics,” said Cadence CEO Kiran Morzaria.

“The Amapá Project represents a well-developed and largely de-risked opportunity, featuring established mineral reserves, advanced environmental permitting, and complete control of integrated rail and port infrastructure. This ownership and control of the infrastructure contribute to the project’s low-cost base and will enable the pursuit of regional expansion opportunities, with substantial resources located within 30 kilometres of the existing rail line. In addition to the DR-grade flow sheet, the project will use 100% renewable energy sources. We anticipate this will help us achieve one of the lowest carbon footprints in the region while still delivering a robust and highly profitable project.”

AIM movers: K3 Business sells main subsidiary and Capital Metals reduces capex

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K3 Business Technology (LON: KBT) is selling its UK SYSPRO business NexSys to SYSPRO owner Advent for £36m. This business generated 109% of group EBITDA and 28% of group revenues. K3 Business Technology intends to return cash to shareholders. The company’s remaining operations are K3 Fashion and Pebblestone, the IKEA software business and other retail software. The share price is two-fifths higher at 87.5p.

Capital Metals (LON: CMET) has reduced the stage one capex for the Eastern Minerals project in Sri Lanka by one-third of $20.9m. Initial production of heavy mineral concentrate is 125,000tpa. Funding and offtake discussions are continuing. Drilling is restarting, so that the resource can be increased. The share price jumped 31.3% to 2.1p.

Condor Gold (LON: CNR), which is developing the La India gold project in Nicaragua, says that Metals Exploration (LON: MTL) and have made bid approaches and negotiations are at an advanced stage with Metals Exploration. Calibre Mining Corp says it will not make an offer. Metals Exploration has entered into a £5.5m bridging loan facility with Drachs Investments No. 3, which has a 18.4% shareholding. This is repayable at the end of January or when talks end. Galloway is lending £475,000 to Condor Gold. Metals Exploration owns the Runruno gold project in the northern Philippines. Condor Gold shares increased 22.9% to 29.5p. Metals Exploration shares have fallen 6.14% to 5.35p.

Energy optimisation service provider Inspired (LON: INSE) has won three large optimisation contracts with two starting in 2025. These contracts came later than expected and Panmure Liberum has knocked £5m off its pre-tax profit expectations and reduced earnings by 29% to 9.2p/share. Net debt is forecast at £58m at the end of 2024. Covenants have been changed and this should ensure there is no breach following the decline in expected profit. The share price recovered 20.3% to 41.5p.

FALLERS

Goldstone Resources (LON: GRL) is in talks with Blue Gold International concerning an extension for the repayment of the £2.7m owed through convertible loan notes. It was due to be repaid at the end of November and Goldstone Resources has five business days to negotiate the extension or it will be obliged to repay the loan notes. The share price dived 27% to 1.15p.

Bigblu Broadband (LON: BBB) is selling Australian broadband business to SKM Telecommunications for up to £25.7m, which values the business at more than double the total cost of investment. The initial cash payment is £15.4m and £6.8m in shares in SKM, with a further £3.5m in cash due in one year. This requires shareholder approval at a general meeting on 20 December. The company will still have operations in New Zealand and a subsidiary involved in the distribution of Starlink, plus a 2.8% stake in Quickline. Revenues are forecast to be £1m in 2024-25. The share price lost some of its recent gains and is 14.6% lower at 35p.

Braveheart Investment (LON: BRH) chief executive Trevor Brown bought 425,000 shares at 4.0388p each, taking his stake to 25.5%. The share price declined 5.56% to 4.25p.

Africa-focused Shuka Minerals (LON: SKA) is being loaned £500,000 by its second largest shareholder Gathoni Muchai Investments. The initial advance is £150,000. Shuka Minerals is planning to appoint new directors. The share price slipped 3.33% to 7.25p.

FTSE 100: mining strength overcomes weakness in housebuilders

An encouraging insight into China’s manufacturing sector helped lift the FTSE 100 on Monday, overcoming weakness in housebuilding shares after several downgrades in the sector.

London’s leading index was 0.3% higher at 8,315 at the time of writing as it broke through the 8,300 level convincingly for the first time since late October. Should 8,300 hold as support, traders may eye the next major resistance level around 8,400.

“Beijing’s economic stimulus effort seems to be having a positive effect, judging by better-than-expected manufacturing data from China,” says Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“The Caixin Manufacturing PMI data hit 51.5 in November against a forecast of 50.7%. The data sent Chinese shares flying, including a 1.1% rise in the Shanghai SEE Composite index. The big unknown is whether the stimulus efforts will have a long-lasting effect or just a short-term boost.

“The Chinese manufacturing data also needs to be viewed in the context of what’s happening in the US. The threat of punishing tariffs on Chinese goods imported into the US from January 2025 once Donald Trump returns to power is likely to have spurred factories to boost output ahead of the event. The theory being that some US customers might stockpile goods while they can buy cheaply before the threatened tariffs come into power.”

A positive session for mining names such as Rio Tinto and Anglo American – both up around 1% – was dampened by softness in the domestic-facing housebuilding sector after a string of broker downgrades hit Vistry, Persimmon and Taylor Wimpey despite Nationwide’s very encouraging house price data for November.

Average UK house prices rose 1.2% in November as first-time buyers scrambled to beat the changes to stamp duty due to be implemented in April 2025. House prices rose 3.7% in the year to November, the fastest annual growth rate in over two years.

However, the promising house price data was not enough to offset the impact of several broker downgrades, including RBC’s slashing of Persimmon’s price target to 1,275p. Vistry looks set to exit the FTSE 100 after RBC’s downgrade, which sent shares down by 4% and put the social housing-focused builder firmly in demotion territory. 

UK house prices surge at fastest rate in two years

UK house prices rose at the fastest rate in two years in November, according to new data from Nationwide, as buyers raced to beat the changes in stamp duty set for 2025.

House prices rose 1.2% in the month to November and were 3.7% higher over the year.

“The Budget blip was a wrinkle rather than a rift. The housing market has shaken it off, bouncing back to its fastest annual growth since November 2022,” said Sarah Coles, head of personal finance, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“We’ve seen a pick-up in activity from landlords, who put sales in train before the Budget. They may not have had the capital gains tax blow they were expecting in the speech, but given that the Treasury is still more likely to hike taxes for landlords than to cut them in the next few years, there’s a decent chance many of them have decided to get out anyway, while they know where they stand.”

“More properties for sale will have spurred more buyers into action, especially in areas where a lack of choice had been holding them back. We had an indication this could be the case from the Bank of England, as mortgage approvals for new purchases had risen in October – to the highest point since August 2022. We’re getting back into solid pre-pandemic territory, with 68,300 approvals.”

Whether the increase in house prices holds through the change of stamp duty laws next year will depend heavily on interest rates and resulting mortgage rates. Mortgage rates have steadily increased in recent weeks after the Bank of England signal rates may not fall as quickly as previously thought.

The prevailing interest and mortgage rates when the dust settles following the rush to beat stamp duty next year will drive prices through 2025, with affordability still stretched for many first-time buyers.