FTSE 100 rises after the NASDAQ storms to record high

The FTSE 100 jumped on the coattails of a US rally on Thursday after the NASDAQ broke through the milestone 20,000 mark to fresh record highs.

US tech shares have proved they still have the power to lift global investor sentiment. Strong sessions for Tesla and Google’s parent company, Alphabet, helped propel the NASDAQ to record levels, sending a wave of optimism through equity markets.

Alphabet shares rose after the tech giant announced its latest AI development.

“Alphabet unveiled Gemini 2.0 yesterday, its shiny new family of AI models that promises to be faster and smarter,” said Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“Alphabet sees these models as a step toward the next chapter in language models where they handle tasks on your behalf, with highlights like better multitasking, complex reasoning, and tool use. While it’s still early days for this tech, investors liked what they saw from a name that’s sometimes seen as being behind in the AI race.”

Although the FTSE 100 has next to no exposure to technology, hopes the US tech rally could continue helped lift sentiment.

“The FTSE 100 ticked higher on Thursday after US stocks chalked up another landmark. The Nasdaq index yesterday smashed through the 20,000 barrier for the first time,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

“The catalyst for the tech-driven rally was a benign inflation reading. This fuelled expectations for an interest rate cut when the Federal Reserve meets next week.

“The Fed is in tricky position given the uncertainty over the incoming Trump administration’s agenda and the scope for tariffs to revive inflationary pressures.”

A rate cut next week is far from nailed on, but it is the most likely scenario. However, the Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rates in 2025 will drive trade the accompanying commentary next week will have the power to move the dial for global stocks.

Positive developments in the US overnight provided a welcome distraction from the China headline-to-headline trade that has dominated the week so far.

At the time of writing, around half of the FTSE 100’s constituents were trading positively, with banks and utilities helping to support the index.

Diageo was the FTSE 100’s top riser after UBS switched its sell rating to buy with a price target of 2,920p. Diageo shares were 3.4% higher at the time of writing.

IAG continued its rip-roaring rally with another 2% rise, extending its 2024 gains to 89%.

Meeting global tin demand and restarting UK production with Cornish Metals

The UK Investor Magazine welcomed Fawzi Hanano, Chief Development Officer of Cornish Metals, to explore the London-listed tin miner’s recent developments.

We start with tin’s broad electrical applications. Tin is a strategic metal vital in the manufacture of electric cars, computer chips, and the energy transition.

Fawzi highlights the importance of tin in the artificial intelligence boom and the use of tin chips and data centres powering technology adoption.

We discuss the importance of the Western world securing a reliable tin supply amid disruption in Asian markets.

Cornish Metals owns 100% of the South Crofty tin mine in Cornwall. Fawzi outlines plans to bring the mine back into production and ensure the UK’s tin supply for decades to come.

To finish, Fawzi highlights three things investors should keep an eye out for in 2025.

AIM movers: Orcadian Energy farm out and ex-dividends

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Orcadian Energy (LON: ORCA) has revealed a farm out deal for the 145bcf Earlham/Orwell project in the North Sea. A joint venture led by Independent Power Corporation is earning a 50% stake and Orcadian Energy is fully carried to first gas. The joint venture, which has also acquired the $1.5m Shell loan, will be repaid this spending through an additional 30% share of project revenues until the cost is covered. The share price jumped 42.9% to 12.5p.

Parkmead Group (LON: PMG) is selling its subsidiary that holds its UK offshore oil licences. Serica Energy (LON: SQZ) is paying an initial £5m in cash with a further £9m in cash over the next three years and up to £120m of contingent consideration. The contingent consideration relates to the potential Skerryvore and Fynn Beauty. Parkmead is also released from the obligation to spend £16m on drilling a well at Skerryvore. The Netherlands gas licences, and onshore UK renewable energy development assets are being retained. The Parkmead share price is 34.5% higher at 19.5p, while Serica Energy is up 3.65% to 136.2p.

Better news this week for Helix Exploration (LON: HEX). It has made a commercial helium discovery at the Darwin#1 well at the Rudyard field. It is 1.1% helium with the rest primarily nitrogen and the flow is sustainable. The Rudyard field could support multiple production wells, and each could generate $4m in cash/year. The company could begin to be cash generative in 2025. The share price recovered 12.1% to 18.5p.

Sunda Energy (LON: SNDA) has signed a memorandum of understanding with the Timor-Leste government for the potential development of the Chuditch production sharing contract. This could accelerate the development. Commitments are subject to appraisal drilling and documentation. The share price increased 15.4% to 0.075p.

FALLERS

Industrial monitoring and maintenance systems supplier Tan Delta Systems (LON: TAND) says delays in orders mean that 2024 revenues will be lower than expected at £1.2m, down from £1.5m last year. The loss will be £1.2m. Net cash will be £3m. The share price slumped 29.8% to 16.5p.

United Oil and Gas (LON: UOG) has raised £700,000 at 0.1p/share. This provides cash to pay creditors and progress the Jamican farmout. The share price declined 16.7% to 0.1p.

Trading in Artemis Resources (LON: ARV) shares has been suspended on the ASX. It is raising cash to fund gold projects. Trading should recommence on ASX on 16 December. The AIM share price slipped 14.3% to 0.45p.

Reabold Resources (LON: RBD) has bought a further 20.4% of Rathlin Energy for £700,000, taking its stake to 79.8%. Rathlin is operator and owns two-thirds of the PEDL183 licence on the West Newton gas development, onshore east Yorkshire. Reabold Resources directly owns 16.67% of the licence. This is the largest undeveloped onshore gas field in the UK. Based on the full development plan the NPV10 is $179m net to Reabold Resources. The share price fell 9.52% to 0.0475p.

Wound healing technology developer AOTI Inc (LON: AOTI) has been awarded a five-year contract extension by the US department of Veterans Affairs. This is for Topical Wound Oxygen (TWO2®) therapy and NEXA NPWT products. The share price slipped 8.59% to 117p.

Ex-dividends

Celebrus Technologies (LON: CLBS) is paying an interim dividend of 0.95p/share and the share price is unchanged at 296.5p.

Coral Products (LON: CRU) is paying a final dividend of 0.25p/share and the share price dipped 0.125p to 7.625p.

DSW Capital (LON: DSW) is paying an interim dividend of 1p/share and the share price increased 2.5p to 70p.

Northamber (LON: NAR) is paying a final dividend of 0.3p/share and the share price is unchanged at 28p.

Oxford Metrics (LON: OMG) is paying a final dividend of 3.25p/share and the share price slid 2.3p to 57.2p.

Polar Capital (LON: POLR) is paying an interim dividend of 14p/share and the share price fell 12.5p to 529.5p.

Redcentric (LON: RCN) is paying an interim dividend of 1.2p/share and the share price slipped 3.5p to 116.5p.

Vertu Motors (LON: VTU) is paying an interim dividend of 0.9p/share and the share price rose 0.6p to 63.1p.

Vianet (LON: VNET) is paying an interim dividend of 0.3p/share and the share price is 1p higher at 108.5p.

Share Tip: Ultimate Products has not been a good performer so far this year, however, could the times be on the change

Before tomorrow’s AGM, on Friday 13th December, it is very likely that we could well see a more positive Trading Update, which could help to call the turn in this group’s dismal share price action. 
The Business 
The Oldham-based Ultimate Products (LON:ULTP) is the owner of a number of leading homeware brands including Salter, which is the UK's oldest houseware brand having been established in 1760 and Beldray, the slightly younger laundry, floor care, heating and cooling brand that was established in 1872.  
As I reported in my articles earlier this year, according to its ...

Currys profits surge as strong UK sales help boost profit

Currys shares were well bid on Thursday after the retailer announced a sharp increase in profits and market share. The UK and Ireland were the bright spots as group revenue increased 2%.

The electronics retailer achieved a group-wide adjusted EBIT of £41 million, representing a 52% increase year-on-year, while free cash flow improved substantially to £50 million, up £46 million from the previous year.

In the UK and Ireland, the company demonstrated robust growth with revenue increasing by 6%, supported by market share gains and successful strategic initiatives. A particular highlight was the performance of its mobile division, with iD Mobile subscribers growing by 32% to reach 2.0 million customers.

“Compared to recent history, Currys had an electric start to the year, with both first-half revenue and profit moving higher. While 2% revenue growth isn’t breakneck speed by any stretch, declines in the Nordics mask 6% growth in the UK and Ireland, as both Online and Store channels charged higher,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The positive momentum and continued recovery indicate a potential easing market headwinds and there’s now cautious optimism for the future.

“Market share gains in both major regions are to be applauded. The focus on margins is beginning to bear fruit, with profits jumping higher, albeit from a very low base. Services like device repair, insurance and cloud backup have been a major help on this front as they’re typically higher-margin activities. They also bring a little more revenue visibility to a business model that remains at the mercy of ups and downs in consumer sentiment and one-off purchases of big-ticket items like laptops, TV’s and white goods.”

Currys shares were 9% higher at the time of writing.

Helix Exploration announces commercial helium discovery

Helix Exploration has announced a significant commercial helium discovery at its Darwin #1 well within the Rudyard Project in Montana’s Helium Fairway.

The exploration well has yielded high-grade helium concentrations of 1.1%, and Helix projects that individual wells at the Rudyard field could generate approximately $4.0 million in pre-tax annual cash flow.

This will be a welcome development for investors after recent disappointment elsewhere in Helix’s exploration activities, and Helix Exploration shares were 20% higher at the time of writing.

The company conducted comprehensive testing across multiple reservoir horizons, simultaneously perforating a 236-foot section spanning both the Souris and Red River intervals at depths between 5,000 and 5,276 feet.

Testing revealed robust production capabilities, with the well achieving sustained commercial flow rates of 2,750 thousand cubic feet per day (Mcf/d) of raw gas when using a 40/64″ choke.

Further testing indicated an Absolute Open Flow potential exceeding 4,500 Mcf/d, confirming Darwin #1 as a strong producing well.

“Darwin #1 has delivered exceptional results and has demonstrated it has the potential to be a strong producer capable of delivering sustained flow of commercial helium.  The identification of 1.1% helium with commercial flow rates at Darwin #1 makes Rudyard a company making discovery.  With capacity for several production wells to operate on Rudyard field simultaneously the project has potential to generate multi-million-dollar revenues per year,” said Bo Sears, CEO of Helix Exploration.

“With deep experience taking helium projects through exploration into production, the Board is uniquely positioned to rapidly advance our projects.  With low capital requirements and high yield return on investment Rudyard is attractive to many forms of project finance. We look forward to an exciting 2025 as we update the market on plans to become cash generating before the end of next year.”

Notably, the well demonstrated immediate flow following perforation without requiring stimulation or swabbing, while pressure build-up between flow periods remained close to initial shut-in levels, indicating excellent reservoir permeability and minimal wellbore damage.

Parkmead shares soar on asset sale to Serica

Parkmead shares soared on Thursday after the company announced the sale of its subsidiary Parkmead (E&P) Ltd to Serica Energy (UK) Ltd, in a deal worth up to £134 million.

The transaction includes £14 million in firm cash consideration, with an initial payment of £5 million at completion and three deferred payments totaling £9 million to be paid between 2025 and 2027.

Parkmead shares were 75% higher at the time of writing.

The deal also includes substantial contingent payments of up to £120 million, linked to the development of two key assets. These contingent payments are tied to the approval of field development plans for the Skerryvore prospect and Fynn Beauly oil discovery, with potential payments of up to £30 million and £90 million respectively.

“I am delighted to announce this important transaction for Parkmead.  Through the sale of these UK offshore oil licences we have no further capital investment requirements, whilst retaining a very attractive share of the upside should any developments at Skerryvore or Fynn Beauly proceed,” said Parkmead’s Executive Chairman, Tom Cross.

“The addition of the near-term, firm £14 million cash consideration, together with Parkmead’s existing cash, means the Group is well-funded to pursue the next phase of its growth plans in natural gas, renewable energies and international E&P.”

While Parkmead is selling its UK offshore oil licenses through this transaction, it will retain its Netherlands onshore gas licenses and continue to hold all its other energy assets, including its revenue-generating Dutch gas fields and the Kempstone Hill Wind Farm in the UK.

The rationale behind the sale reflects the challenging landscape for UK North Sea oil operations. Parkmead cited the current political environment towards UK oil and gas, along with the UK Government’s focus on its Net Zero Strategy, as key factors in its decision. The company believes these offshore licenses would be better served within a larger, North Sea-focused organization, allowing Parkmead to concentrate on developing its Netherlands gas assets and renewable energy projects.

The transaction is expected to complete in the first half of 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. Looking ahead, Parkmead plans to focus on growing its core UK renewable and Netherlands gas assets, including the development of a major wind farm of up to 100 MW at Pitreadie, while actively pursuing value-adding acquisition opportunities in renewable energy and international exploration and production.

UK inflation trends and their impact on investment strategies

The recent decline in UK inflation below the Bank of England’s target has sparked discussions among investors. Understanding these trends is crucial. As inflation rates fluctuate, investment strategies must adapt to maintain profitability.

Incorporating a trading journal into your investment strategy can be a game-changer. Tradelytic.com offers a suite of tools for trade tracking, performance analysis, and strategy optimization, which are essential for navigating the complexities of inflationary trends. By documenting trade decisions and evaluating outcomes, you can refine your strategies and enhance profitability.

In September, the United Kingdom experienced a significant shift in its economic landscape. This deviation from expectations signals a critical juncture for investors who must keenly monitor such economic indicators to refine their strategies. Recognising how these inflationary trends affect different asset classes is essential for maintaining a robust portfolio. By leveraging tools like a trading journal, you can better navigate these changes and make informed decisions.

UK inflation overview

The drop in the UK’s inflation rate below the Bank of England’s target marks an important milestone in the nation’s economic trajectory. Several factors contribute to this easing of inflationary pressures, including shifts in consumer demand and international market dynamics. These factors underscore the complexity of predicting inflation trends and highlight the need for investors to stay agile in their approach to portfolio management.

As inflation deviates from expected patterns, it presents both challenges and opportunities for investors. Lower inflation may ease cost pressures on businesses but can also signal sluggish economic growth. Understanding these nuances is vital as they directly impact asset valuation and investment returns. By staying informed about these developments, you can better position your investments to withstand potential market fluctuations.

Impact on investment strategies

Inflation plays a pivotal role in shaping investment strategies across various asset classes. For instance, equities may suffer as inflation erodes profit margins, while bonds might offer less attractive real returns as interest rates adjust. In this context, diversifying your portfolio becomes crucial to mitigate risks associated with changing inflation rates.

To effectively adapt your strategies, consider exploring alternative investments that may benefit from current economic conditions. Commodities like gold often serve as a hedge against inflation, while real estate can offer stability and growth potential. Remaining proactive by adjusting your asset allocation based on prevailing inflationary trends is essential for safeguarding your investments.

Utilising a trading journal

Incorporating a trading journal into your investment toolkit can significantly enhance your ability to track performance and adapt strategies in response to inflationary changes. A trading journal enables you to document trade decisions, evaluate outcomes, and identify patterns that might influence future actions.

This tool provides an invaluable resource for refining investment strategies over time by offering insights into market behaviour and personal trading tendencies. Understanding historical performance data is key to optimising future trades and achieving consistent returns.

Practical tips for investors

As you navigate the evolving landscape of UK inflation trends, consider implementing practical adjustments to your investment approach. Regularly reviewing your portfolio allocation can help ensure alignment with current market conditions and long-term financial goals. Staying informed about economic indicators like inflation rates allows you to make timely adjustments that protect and grow your investments.

Moreover, leveraging platforms like Tradelytic.com can provide additional insights into trade analytics and strategy optimisation. These resources assist traders in tracking their trades, enhancing profitability, and refining strategies in light of changing economic climates.

Keeping abreast of inflation trends is essential for making informed investment decisions. By utilising tools such as a trading journal, you can refine your strategies and better adapt to economic shifts, ensuring sustained financial success in a dynamic market environment.

Equals recommends bid but major shareholders yet to accept

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Equals Group (LON: EQLS) is recommending a bid from a bid vehicle owned a consortium comprising TowerBrook Funds, JC Flowers Funds and Railsr shareholders. The 140p/share cash offer values the AIM-quoted multi-currency payments company at £283m.

The bid is 135p/share in cash with a special dividend payment of 5p/share. The divided should be declared before the completion of the acquisition. The bid is equivalent to 19 times prospective earnings, falling to 15 next year. Net cash of £22m is forecast for the end of 2024, rising to £41m by the end of 2025.

Railsr is a pan-European embedded finance platform, and it approached Equals with the backing of other fintech investors. The consortium believes that combining the two companies will create a European market-leading business where growth can be accelerated.  

The bid vehicle will also acquire Railsr so that the two companies can be integrated.

There are irrevocable acceptances of 16.5% of the share capital of Equals. Threadneedle Asset Management owns 12%, Schroders 10.1%, JP Morgan 4.79% and MI Chelverton UK Equity Growth 3.24%. These shareholders have not accepted the bid as yet. They could still have a significant say in the success of the bid at this level.

The share price increased 15.5p to 135.5p.

FTSE 100 recovers early losses as China concerns linger, US CPI in focus

China has been at the forefront of investors’ minds this week, and it remained there on Wednesday as markets awaited further news on efforts to stimulate the economy.

The FTSE 100 reversed early losses to trade 0.2% higher at the time of writing after a softer session yesterday on concerns China’s measures may not be enough to sustain longer-term recovery.

“There’s hope in the air for more clues about China’s latest stimulus plan, which is helping lift markets mid-week. The FTSE is set to edge higher in morning trade as the Central Economic Work Conference begins with new targets expected to be laid out,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“With the Politburo having announced a looser monetary stance will be adopted next year, investors are holding out for more fiscal support, bigger spending and lower borrowing. While the plans are still likely to be short on detail this week, the economic priorities set by the conference will be seen as an indicator of how far authorities are willing to go to bolster China’s domestic demand, in the face of looming US tariffs which are set to hamper exports.”

While much of the focus has been on China this week, attention will soon shift to the US and the latest round of inflation data. Traders will be acutely aware of the uncertainty around interest rate cuts, and each highly anticipated inflation data point brings with it the chance of a shift in market expectations of when the Fed will next cut rates.

US CPI will be released at 13.30 on Wednesday and has the potential to move the dial for equities.

FTSE 100 shares were evenly split between gainers and decliners on Wednesday, although the risers did show a little more vigour than the decliners.

IAG was the top riser after a broker upgrade sent shares 2.7% to the highest level since 2020. “International Consolidated Airlines is having a whale of a time on the stock market this year and its shares just hit their highest level since March 2020 thanks to a ratings upgrade from Deutsche Bank,” said Dan Coatsworth, investment analyst at AJ Bell.

IAG shares have gained 87% in 2024 alone.

Endeavour Mining was having a good session after releasing a positive evaluation of a gold mine in Côte d’Ivoire.

“I am delighted with the results of this pre-feasibility study that highlight the potential for Assafou to become a tier 1 asset for Endeavour,” said Ian Cockerill, CEO of Endeavour Mining.

Ashtead was rooted to the bottom of the leaderboard again following a profit downgrade yesterday. Ashtead shares were down 5% at the time of writing.