Raspberry Pi EBITDA soars as supply recovers

Fresh after London’s largest technology IPO of 2024, the computing and technology company announced a solid set of first half results on Tuesday. Raspberry Pi raised $179m in June this year.

Despite marginally lower volumes than the comparative period, Raspberry Pi’s overall performance was better than expected during the period. 

EBITDA was 55% higher in H1 2024 than in H1 2023 due to issues with supply in the first half of last year which made this year’s number look that much better.

Investors will also be encouraged to hear that the company sees higher volumes in the second half. 

“The IPO was the watershed moment of the first half, with Admission to trading just two weeks before the period end,” said Eben Upton, CEO of Raspberry Pi.

“In continued pleasing trading in the first half, we saw strong uptake of our latest flagship SBC, Raspberry Pi5, the launch of the Raspberry Pi AI Kit, and the successful ramp to production of RP2350, our second-generation microcontroller platform. The higher than usual customer and channel inventory levels which were evident at the time of the IPO have continued to unwind, and there is a growing sense that this will have concluded by the year end.

“We have an extraordinary team, a world class product set backed up by an exciting future roadmap, and a loyal and engaged customer base that we can continue to grow. In the second half, we have further planned product releases and a number of initiatives to further expand our engagement within our Industrial and Embedded market”.

Antofagasta shares: FTSE 100 mining pick for a recovery in copper prices and the green transition

Antofagasta shares are supported by long-term structural economic expansion and the demand for copper from the clean energy transition.

After touching highs above $10,000 per tonne earlier this year, copper prices have gently eased amid concerns about Chinese growth. However, the Federal Reserve’s decision to start cutting interest rates has sparked a rally in the copper, which touched two-month highs last week. 

Copper’s high correlation with the underlying growth environment has earned the metal the title ‘Dr Copper’, as a rise in the price of metal is usually caused by improving sentiment or economic expansion.

It remains to be seen whether the recent rally in copper is just a result of improving sentiment after the Fed cuts interest rates or is a predictor of future economic buoyancy. Indeed, the shift in copper’s narrative to US interest rates away from Chinese growth will likely be short-lived.

That said, if we see any signs of positivity from China in the coming months, copper prices have plenty of space to rally.

In addition to immediate macroeconomic considerations for the price of copper, the metal is set to benefit from long-term structural demand from the green energy transition. For all the furore around lithium, cobalt, and uranium, copper is the essential metal at the heart of most green energy technologies, including electric vehicles and power generation.

Investors seeking exposure to further recovery in the price of copper or would like to position for the green transition without buying futures or trading another form of derivative should look no further than Antofagasta.

FTSE 100-listed Antofagasta is the ultimate play on copper prices for UK-focused equity investors. The company’s resource base is around 21 billion tonnes, making it one of the world’s leading copper miners in terms of resources.

Focused on Chilean copper assets, Antofagasta’s strength lie in extensive production operations and the supportive environment for copper prices.

Antofagasta invested in mining operations at a time when capital costs were much lower. This provides investors with the attractive advantage of an upside in copper prices without the CAPEX required to bring mines online.

It has become hugely expensive to construct new mines, leading to a dearth of new mines coming on line. It’s one thing for early-stage companies to identify economically viable resources; securing the funds to extract them is something entirely different, especially at the scale at which Antofagasta is operating.

Antofagasta produced 284,000 tonnes of copper in the six months to the end of June 2024. Although this was slightly lower than in the same period last year, group revenues rose 2% due to a higher comparative copper price.

The company expects to spend $2.7bn in capital expenditure for the full year. A large proportion of this will be allocated to improving facilities to increase copper production.

Antofagasta has plentiful resources in place, and its growth strategy is to increase the pace at which it is monetised. Very few miners have the mineral or capital resources to achieve the levels of production Anto is targeting, giving it a huge competitive advantage.

Investors should also note the company’s willingness to return cash to shareholders. Antofagasta pays out 35% of underlying earnings per share. This policy means payouts can be volatile, but it leaves plenty of opportunity for substantial payouts on periods of good performance. 

In conclusion, the stock offers robust chances of both capital growth and income, and with shares below 2,000p, it should be on the watch list of any natural resources fan. 

Transense Technologies potential starts to be recognised

Investors are starting to recognise the potential of Transense Technologies (LON: TRT) and it is building up a range of potential users for its surface acoustic wave technology. The share price has risen by nearly three-quarters so far this year.
Royalty income from Bridgestone for the iTrack monitoring technology continues to grow and provide cash flow for investment in the SAWsense business, which is still at an early stage of developing products for potential clients. Translogik tyre management operations also provide cash flow.
In the year to June 2024, group revenues improved from £3.53m ...

AIM movers: Oxford Metrics contract delays and Electric Guitar wins business in Singapore

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Electric Guitar (LON: ELEG) says subsidiary 3radical has won a campaign with Singapore-based media network Mediacorp. This follows a test period where 3radical’s Voco engagement platform was used to capture customer data on the Mediacorp website. The focus will be behavioural data. The share price rebounded 8.33% to 0.65p.

Telematics services provider Microlise (LON: SAAS) has secured a five-year contract renewal with JC Bamford up until September 2029. The technology enhances connectivity and diagnostic capabilities to improve productivity. The relationship has lasted 14 years. The share price rose 6.22% to 128p.

Exploration data services provider Getech (LON: GTC) interim revenues were 17% ahead at £2.2m and annualised recurring revenues are £2.9m. Even excluding exceptional costs, the loss was reduced from £2.19m to £733,000. The cash position was improved by the £1.7m fundraising in August. The full year loss should be lower and Getech could move back into profit in 2025. The share price improved 3.7% to 2.8p.

Challenger Energy (LON: CEG) has received Uruguay government approval for its OFF-1 farm out to Chevron. The deal should be completed within eight weeks and Chevron will pay $12.5m. Chevron will then become operator and start the seismic campaign in early 2025. These costs are covered by Chevron, which will own 60% with Challenger Energy holding 40%. There are three identified prospects on OFF-1. Zeus has a risked NAV of 28p/share. The share price increased 2.46% to 6.25p.

FALLERS

Spirits supplier Distil (LON: DIS) is raising £650,000 at 0.12p/share with non-exec Roland Grain subscribing £200,000 and Dr Graham Cooley £90,000. The shares come with placing warrants exercisable at 0.36p each. Allenby has been appointed as broker. The cash will fund promotion and production of stock. The share price slid 27.5% to 0.145p.

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) says that if A&T Investments takes enforcement procedures against a third party that has secured the $5.82m debt owed by Vast Resources this will not have any immediate effect on the business. Management is seeking ways of raising additional finance to settle debts. The share price slumped 24.4% to 0.0775p.

Smart sensing software developer Oxford Metrics (LON: OMG) has been hit by the weak video games sector and delays to business. Full year revenues will be between £40m and £42m, compared with £48.6m previously. Pre-tax profit of £7.78m was previously expected, but the outcome will be much lower. There is still £50m in the bank, which underpins the market capitalisation of £82.8m and provides funding potential acquisitions. The share price dived 20.5% to 63p.

Software and maintenance services provider Pennant International (LON: PEN) says that the UK strategic defence review has led to delays in training contracts. This part of the business is being reviewed with plans to focus on a software-led model. Interim revenues were 4% higher at £7.4m despite a decline in North American revenues because of the splitting up of a large Canadian contract. There was a move back into a modest profit. A new software product will be launched in early 2025. Cavendish still expects a full year loss of £400,000, but it is reviewing its 2025 figures. The share price declined 13% to 23.5p.

Sosandar – AGM Due On Thursday For Women’s Fashion Group Now Recovering Into Profits, Shares Now 10p, Brokers Predict 31p  

This coming Thursday, 26th September, Sosandar (LON:SOS) will be holding its AGM in Wilmslow, Cheshire. 

It will sign off on a small loss-making year’s business, just £0.3m down on a £46.3m turnover, but it is not so much about what happened last year, instead confirming that the current year to end-March 2025 will see the business turn back into profits. 

The Business 

Sosandar, which was founded in 2016 and listed on AIM in 2017, is one of the fastest growing women’s fashion brands in the UK targeting style-conscious women who have graduated from lower quality, price-led alternatives. 

Over 1m women now have items of the company’s clothing hanging in their wardrobes, its product range is diverse, providing an array of choice for all occasions across all women’s fashion categories. 

The company, which sells predominantly own-label exclusive product designed and tested in-house, states that for its underserved audience it offers fashion-forward, affordable, quality clothing to make them feel sexy, feminine, and chic.  

Sosandar’s success has been built on an exceptional product range, seamless customer experience and impactful, lifestyle marketing, all of which is underpinned by combining innovation with data analysis.  

The group’s growth strategy has been focused upon continuing to grow brand awareness and expand its addressable market and routes to market, reaching customers wherever they wish to shop.  

The company sells through Sosandar.com and has brand partnerships in place with Marks & Spencer, The Very Group, JD Williams, J Sainsbury, The Selfridges Group, and Next. 

The Latest Trading Update 

On Tuesday 16th July the group, when announcing its 2024 results, issued a Trading Update for the first quarter of the current year. 

Co-CEO’s Ali Hall and Julie Lavington stated that: 

“Looking ahead, FY25 is focused primarily on delivering sustainable growth in our gross margin, pre-tax profit, cash generation and maintaining a strong balance sheet.  

Nonetheless, we do expect revenue growth from on our own site, further third party partnerships, opening shops and the compounding positive effect that the shops will have across all our channels.  

We believe that the future is very bright as we take the Sosandar brand to more customers across the UK and worldwide, as we move forward towards reaching our strategic goal in the medium term.” 

It gave guidance that market expectations for the year to end-March 2025 are currently revenue of £54.6m and PBT of £1.0m. 

In Q1 there was a continued focus on prioritising margin enhancement and profitability, while the balance sheet remained robust with £8.3m in cash allowing the company to self-fund its planned store roll out. 

Analyst View 

Analyst Matthew McEachran, at Singer Capital Markets, rates the group’s shares as a Buy, looking for 31p in due course. 

His estimates for the current year to end-March 2025 are for sales of £45.6m (£46.3m), with adjusted pre-tax profits rebounding from a £0.3m loss last year to a £1.0m profit this year, lifting earnings up to 0.4p a share. 

In My View 

I like the feel of this little £25m capitalised group. 

After last year’s loss it is quickly springing back into profit, while also pushing its online channels and opening its own shops. 

That combination could well deliver even further corporate growth in the coming year. 

Its shares at just 10p, on the face of it may look too expensive on 25 times current year earnings, but remember it is a recovery situation – one certainly worth paying attention to, especially ahead of its AGM this week and its Interim Results being announced on Thursday 10th October. 

FTSE 100 range bound after China stimulus

The FTSE 100 was broadly flat on Monday as investors continued to assess the implications of the Federal Reserve beginning to cut interest rates last week.

The Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 50bps dominated markets last week, and after a strong rally in US stocks, investors were still adjusting to a new world of lower rates and running scenarios for stocks going into the end of the year.

Investors had an additional monetary policy easing to consider on Monday after China cut its repo rate to help stimulate the economy.

“The 10bps cut is aimed at encouraging banks to lend more freely,” said Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“While it’s not a major move, it came alongside the news that a press conference will be held by the governor of the People’s Bank of China, focusing on financial support for economic development. Expectations are rising that another cut to interest rates could be on the way, to try to help China achieve its growth targets.”

Despite the cut to the Chinese, some China-focused stocks were actually down. Rio Tinto was in the read but Antofagasta managed to carve out gains.

Prudential and HSBC cheered the news are were higher on the session.

Rightmove was among the top risers after REA Group upped its offer for the property portal. Rupert Murdoch’s REA Group had its initial offer rejected but has shown a willingness to get the deal done by coming with a revised bid of 770p comprise of cash and shares.

“Australia’s REA has shown its determination to gain a big foothold into the UK property search market by significantly upping its takeover bid for Rightmove,” Streeter said.

“The group is frustrated by a lack of engagement from Rightmove which has clearly been holding out for a much higher offer after the first highly opportunistic bid. It’s now been increased by 9.2% which represents almost a 40% premium to its share price at the end of August. While this will certainly be very encouraging for some investors, who had seen the value of their holdings plummet from highs reached in January 2022, there is likely to be a push among others to hold out for an even better deal.”

Rightmove shares were 2.9% higher at the time of writing.

REA increases Rightmove bid after rejection

Rupert Murdoch’s REA Group has shown how keen it is to acquire Rightmove by coming back with a higher bid after an initial approach was rejected.

REA has made a improved proposal to acquire Rightmove, offering 770p share in a cash and stock deal. This latest offer, made on September 22, 2024, values Rightmove at approximately £6.1 billion and represents a 9.2% increase from REA’s initial proposal on September 5.

The new offer consists of 341p in cash and 0.0422 new REA shares for each Rightmove share.

The revised offer price represents a significant premium to Rightmove’s recent trading prices, including a 39% premium to its undisturbed share price on August 30, 2024. This move follows Rightmove’s rejection of REA’s previous improved offer of 749p per share on September 18, which the Rightmove board deemed as fundamentally undervaluing the company.

We will have to wait and see whether the Rightmove board see any merit in the revised offer, but it isn’t a huge increase on the initial offer.

“We believe that the combination of our world-leading expertise and technology with the attractive Rightmove business will create an enhanced experience for agents, buyers and sellers of property,” said Owen Wilson, CEO of REA.

“We live in a world of intensifying competition and this proposed transaction would bring together two highly complementary digital property businesses for investment and growth. We have today increased our proposal to an implied value of 770 pence – it provides a combination of immediate value certainty in cash and at the same time gives Rightmove shareholders an increasing opportunity in core digital property and adjacencies where we have much expertise. We are genuinely disappointed at the lack of engagement by Rightmove’s Board and we strongly encourage the Rightmove Board to engage.”

Rightmove is the UK’s leading property portal, and for it to fall into overseas hands at a low valuation will be a blow to London’s markets.

How will US rate cut affect commodities?

Last week’s 0.5 of a percentage point cut in US interest rates was larger than many people expected. The US government is switching from reducing inflation to growth. Panmure Liberum believes that this should be the start of a rate cut cycle.
There was one dissenting vote from someone who wanted a 0.25 of a percentage point reduction. Inflation is falling and the US authorities want to create more jobs and prevent the weakening of the economy. There are plans for significant investment in infrastructure.
If inflation returns, then there could be a change in interest rate policy. There are glob...

Director deals: Executives and non-execs buying shares in Next 15 after interims

Next Fifteen Group (LON: NFG) was hit by a profit warning ahead of its interims and the share price slumped. Following publication of the interim figures, five directors bought shares to show their confidence in the company.
Chief executive Tim Dyson bought 10,791 shares at 461p each, while finance director Peter Harris also bought 10,791 shares at the same price. Chief operating officer Jonathan Peachey acquired 11,019 shares at 454p each.
Chairman Panny Ladkin-Brand bought 1,083 shares at 460p each and 5,415 shares at 462p each. Non-exec Helen Hunter purchased 3,235 shares at 461p each. The ...

Aquis weekly movers: KR1 income grows

The Pitch Pit (LON: PICH) share price recovered 532% to 0.06p as it refocuses on AI ventures. The company plans to raise up to £500,000.

Digital assets investor KR1 (LON: KR1) reported interim revenues from those digital assets improving from £3.91m to £8.72m, although lower gains on disposals of assets meant that the pre-tax profit edged up from £10m to £10.3m. There was £1.5m in cash in the balance sheet at the end of June 2024. NAV was 82.01p/share at the end of June 2024 and this has fallen back to 71.92p/share at the end of July 2024. The share price jumped 19.8% to 51.5p, which is still well below asset value.

Constantine Logothetis has acquired more shares in SulNOx Group (LON: SNOX) taking his total to 25.1%. The share price improved 4.11% to 38p.

FALLERS

Adsure Services (LON: ADS) has declared a final dividend of 0.99p/share. The ex-dividend date is 17 October. Even so, share buying at prices lower than the market price last week led to the share price halving to 15p.

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) has raised £360,000 at 0.375p. This will provide working capital. New 3D modelling at the Red Setter prospect owned by Wishbone Goldshows a high quality target, plus the structure of a dome target. The assessment of the Western Australia shows gold, some near the surface, and copper resource. The share price dipped 46.7% to 0.4p.

Probiotix Health (LON: PBX) has secured an agreement with Greek consumer business Eifron, which will introduce YourBiotix tablets in early 2025 under its own brand. There will also be other products using Probiotix Health’s core ingredient launched. The share price fell 10.5% to 4.25p

Oscillate (LON: MUSH) has signed an agreement to acquire Quantum Hydrogen for £1.4m in shares. The Minnesota exploration acreage has potential for hydrogen gas. There was £500,000 raised at 1p/share. The share price slid 3.85% to 1.25p. Investee company Shortwave Life Sciences (LON: PSY) announced positive safety results for its proprietary psilocybin-based drug combination.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) reported a higher loss in 2023. There was a £913,000 cash outflow from operating activities. There was also a £1.67m outflow from investing activities. The first manganese export sales have been completed from the Larisoro manganese mine. The share price declined 3.39% to 7.125p.

William Black and Armstrong Investments has increased its stake in EPE Special Opportunities (LON: EO.P) from 5.1% to 6.02%. The share price slipped 3.13% to 155p.