Britvic price target upgraded by HSBC analysts

Britvic shares rose on Thursday after equity analysts at HSBC increased the beverages group price target.

HSBC Global Research increased their price target from 970p to 990p, citing scale opportunities in Brazil and a strong position in Great Britain.

Analysts highlighted Brazil as Britvic’s growth engine and the potential for the company to increase its presence in the juice and energy drinks market.

Brazil is the world’s 6th largest beverages market, roughly 1.5x larger than the UK, where Britvic is more established and achieves better margins.

The impact of material costs and pricing in Brazil means Britvic’s profit per litre is 12p, significantly lower than 24p in Great Britain and 27p in other international markets.

HSBC notes Britvic’s presence in Brazil is marginal and offers the opportunity to scale operations. Britvic has recently acquired Brazilian company Extra Power expanding their footprint in the country after first entering in 2015.

HSBC’s 990p price target is based on average DCF, EV/EBITDA, and PE multiple forecasts.

Tekcapital shares rise after portfolio company double whammy

Tekcapital shares were trading at the highest level since May 2023 on Thursday after two of the technology group’s portfolio companies announced commercial progress.

The Tekcapital share price had gained 7% to 15p in early trade on Thursday after MicroSalt and Guident announced key commercial progress.

MicroSalt has inked a strategic partnership with American Trading International (ATI) that has the potential to make the company’s consumer products available in 80 countries globally. ATI is a leading US export company assisting with the international distribution of brands including Nestle, Sun-Maid, and Dunkin Doughnuts.

“With a heavy focus on better-for-you US foods and beverages, we are thrilled to welcome MicroSalt® into our selective product portfolio. Their undeniable health benefits directly address global concerns about excessive sodium, aligning with various countries’ initiatives to enforce lower sodium levels in the food industry, and live a healthy, balanced, lifestyle,” said Seth Merrick Wilen, President & CEO at ATI.

Tekcapital has a portfolio of four technology companies with the potential to help the lives of a great many people. Alongside MicroSalt’s update on Thursday, Guident also updated investors on recent progress, specifically the expansion of its strategic partnership with AuVe Tech OÜ.

Guident will integrate its remote monitoring and support services for autonomous vehicles with MiCa, a compact level 4 self-driving shuttle from Auve Tech.

Auve Tech will harness Guident’s teleoperation technology and leading connectivity to enhance the safety of their MiCa shuttles. Guident will receive fees for outfitting each MiCa vehicle and a recurring licensing fee.

“Since establishing our strategic partnership, we have been thrilled to collaborate with the Auve Tech team on several projects. We believe that the combination of our advanced teleoperation technology with the innovative MiCa autonomous shuttle represents a significant leap forward in advancing safety, reliability, and autonomous driving capabilities across diverse weather and traffic conditions,” said Harald Braun, Executive Chairman and CEO at Guident.

MicroSalt shares surge higher after announcing strategic partnership

MicroSalt shares were over 20% higher at the time of writing on Thursday after the low-sodium technology company announced a strategic partnership with American Trading International (ATI).

ATI is a leading United States exporter working with brands including Nestle, Sun-Maid, and Dunkin Doughnuts. MicroSalt said the inclusion of their products in the ATI portfolio opens the doors to exports to 80 countries globally.

“This collaboration is vital in making MicroSalt® accessible to everyone. Excessive sodium intake is a major contributor to hypertension and heart disease both domestically and abroad. ATI will enable us to offer international consumers delicious, healthy products with reduced sodium levels without impacting product flavour,” said Rick Guiney, CEO of MicroSalt®.

MicroSalt shares were over 13% higher changing hands at 96p at the time of writing on Thursday. The MicroSalt share price had traded significantly above 100p earlier in the session.

The company has developed a low-sodium technology that reduces sodium in food by up to 50%. The UK Investor Magazine was joined by MicroSalt Non-Exec Chair, Judith Batchelar OBE recently for a deep-dive into the low-sodium market and the growth opportunity for MicroSalt.

Judith explained an underlying shift towards lower sodium products and a supportive regulatory environment.

While today’s announcement relates to the company’s consumer products, MicroSalt’s focus is squarely on the B2B opportunity in 2024 and assisting potential partners in reformulating their ingredients using MicroSalt’s technology.

The World Health Organisation has set sodium reduction targets that could save 7 million lives by 2030, if met.

MicroSalt shares listed on London’s AIM 1st February 2024 with an admission price of 43p.

Sound Energy’s disastrous run continues as fresh all-time lows reached

Sound Energy shares touched fresh all-time lows this week as the oil and gas company fails to inspire investor confidence amid slow progress in developing gas assets in Morocco.

The Moroccan assets hold great potential, yet the market has learned little of development progress in recent months and shareholders are seemingly growing frustrated with further perceived delays.

The company did a sterling job in securing project-level financing for Tendrara last year boosting shareholder hopes for the commencement of sustainable production at the project.

However, investors have received little in the way of official releases from the company in recent months, apart from a series of updates about restructuring financing agreements and the conversion of loan notes.

The Sound Energy share price has been dogged by ongoing loan note conversions.

Companies that are subject to persistent convertible loan note conversions can fall into a ‘death spiral’ of regular shareholder dilution as loan note holders are issued new shares.

Sound Energy’s convertible loan note holders last converted notes into fresh equity in November, exercising a £250,000 tranche at 2.25p.

The note holders have an additional £250,000 remaining to exercise. With Sound Energy shares trading at 0.60p yesterday, should the holders wish to exercise, they may have to do so at the lowest level for Sound Energy on record.

FTSE 100 bounces back as UK inflation provides positive surprise

The FTSE 100 largely reversed yesterday’s losses on Wednesday after UK CPI inflation came in cooler than expected.

UK CPI inflation for January was flat at 4% compared to consensus expectations of 4.2%. Although inflation remains well above the Bank of England’s target of 2%, there is a clear trend of UK inflation easing which will support rate cuts later this year.

The FTSE 100 was up 0.95% at the time of writing reversing much of Tuesday’s losses caused by an upside surprise in US inflation.

“The FTSE 100 was up in early trading as yesterday’s negative inflation shock in the US was followed by a surprise of a more positive variety as UK inflation came in flat and below expectations,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“This raises a prospect which would have felt unlikely a matter of weeks ago of the Bank of England cutting its own rates before the US, and the subsequent drop in the pound has helped the big multinational names in the FTSE 100. The relative value of their overseas earnings is boosted by weaker sterling.

“For global markets, the US reading is significant and suggests the battle against inflation is far from over.”

The lower-than-expected UK inflation reading helped support interest rate-sensitive sectors such as housebuilders and retailers.

Persimmon gained 4% as Taylor Wimpey ticked 2.6% higher. Ocado added 2% and Frasers Group was 2.3% higher.

Coca-Cola HBC was the top riser, gaining over 7%, after releasing bumper 2023 results. The company hiked its dividend by 19%.

United Utilities and Severn Trent released investors updates on Wednesday which were met with tepid market reactions. Given the cloudy environment for water companies after the sewage scandals, flat to minorly down share prices may have been the best investors could expect.

Coca-Cola HBC shares jump on bumper 2023 performance

Coca-Cola HBC shares topped the FTSE 100 on Wednesday after the bottling group released a bumper full-year earnings report with highlights including organic EBIT growth of 10.7% and a 19% hike in the dividend.

Shares were over 7% higher at the time of writing.

Coca-Cola HBC delivered strong growth in 2023, with organic revenue up 16.9% to €10.2 billion. Volumes grew 1.7%, led by strategic categories like Sparkling, Energy and Coffee.

Revenue per case was up 15%, reflecting revenue growth initiatives. Reported revenue rose 10.7% but was impacted by FX headwinds in Emerging markets.

Comparable EBIT grew 17.7% to €1.08 billion, with margins up 50 bps to 10.6%. Gross margins improved 80 bps as cost pressures eased. Organic revenue and EBIT were up double-digits in all segments – Established, Developing and Emerging.

EPS grew 21.8% to €2.08, supported by profit delivery and lower finance costs. Free cash flow hit a record €711.8 million. Net debt was €1.6 billion and leverage was 1.1x EBITDA, reflecting a strong balance sheet.

The strong performance during the year culminated in higher shareholder payouts with a 19% increase in the dividend to €0.93 per share alongside the €400 million share buyback launched in November.

“2023 was another year of consistent execution of our growth strategy. We delivered volume growth, share gains, improved margins and record levels of free cash flow. As a result, we were able to increase shareholder returns, including the launch of a share buyback programme,” said Zoran Bogdanovic, Chief Executive Officer of Coca-Cola HBC AG.

“The power of our 24/7 portfolio, our diversified country footprint and our sustained investment in building bespoke capabilities, driven by data, insights and analytics, are foundations of compounding growth.

United Utilities reconfirms guidance as heavy rainfall hits performance

United Utilities confirmed its full-year earnings guidance in a trading statement issued on Wednesday that provided little in the way of new information to investors.

The company did note heavy rainfall would lead to lower Outcome Delivery Incentive (ODI) payments to the tune of around £25m, although this is not considered material to overall performance.

Early gains in United Utilities shares turned to losses as the session progressed with the stock down 0.9% at the time of writing.

The factors influencing United Utilities’ earnings, such as inflation and the weather, are largely out of their control, and investors will welcome guidance for the full year being maintained.

“United Utilities is handling the pressure of an uncertain macroeconomic backdrop well. Operations are in good shape with no updates to full-year guidance which calls for revenue to rise by around £150mn from a base of £1.8bn, largely driven by inflation-linked increases in the group’s revenue cap, as well as an uplift in consumer consumption levels,” said Aarin Chiekrie, equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown.

United Utilities’ update was released amid pressures on the water industry following a series of sewage scandals, which could lead to potential fines for the companies involved. United Utilities, however, has a strong track record of high performance and favourable outcomes on the regulatory front.

“Over the last 10 years, United Utilities has stood out in the UK water utility market as a strong performer. Alongside Severn Trent, United Utilities has broadly delivered on its performance metrics targets that are set and enforced by Ofwat on a five-year basis, and as such, has been rewarded healthily in the form of straight cash through ODIs (outcome delivery incentives). United Utilities did, however, recently lose its 4* EPA rating but has completed 67% of its AMP7 environmental improvement program, and is currently on track to attain the highest 4-star rating in the Environment Agency’s Environmental Performance Assessment (EPA) for 2023. Today’s results reinforce this strong track record,” said Louis Knight, Analyst at Third Bridge.

United Utilities will release their full-year earnings on 16th May.

Bloomsbury Publishing’s fantasy upgrade

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Books publisher Bloomsbury Publishing (LON: BMY) says full year pre-tax profit will be significantly ahead of expectations. The latest novel by fantasy fiction writer Sarah J Maas has boosted the performance of the consumer division even though it was published on 30 January and will only contribute for one month in this financial year.

The 2023-24 pre-tax profit will be better than previously upgraded estimates of £37.2m. The share price jumped 8.65% to 534p and it has risen by 13.6% since the start of the year. The prospective earnings multiple could be around 14.

The publication of House of Flame and Shadow has increased demand for the other 15 books written by Sarah J Maas. The publisher signed her up 13 years ago. Bloomsbury is expanding its fantasy book range. Another of its authors is Cixin Liu, whose Three Body Problem trilogy film adaptation is being released on  Netflix on 21 March.

Cook books and The Harry Potter Wizarding Almanac are also among the publisher’s bestsellers. The results for the year to February 2024 will be published on 23 May.

AIM movers: Potential Costa Rica project for ATOME and Vast Resources capital reorganisation

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ATOME (LON: ATOM) has announced a collaboration agreement with the state-owned power company in Cost Rica to assess the feasibility of a green fertiliser project in the country. Costa Rica imports all its fertiliser requirements. The project will be a similar size to the 145MW project in Paraguay. A final investment decision has yet to be secured on that project, but it should happen in the next few months.

Transport analytics provider Cordel (LON: CRDL) has started Data-as-a-Service monitoring for Network Rail (High Speed), which maintains the infrastructure for High Speed One. This is the line between St Pancras International and the Channel Tunnel. On-train equipment has been installed data is being processed using AI.

Ayala Deutsch has been appointed a finance director of Ethernity Networks (LON: ENET).  

Bradda Head Lithium (LON: BHL) has published results of the gravity survey at its Basin clay project in Arizona. There is a significant gravity low over the Basin North area. The clay beds are thicker than previously reported. Delivery of a resource of more than 2.5mt unlocks a $3m payment from royalty company LRC and that should be possible with limited drilling. A drilling campaign is planned for the very near future.

Security and surveillance systems developer Petards (LON: PEG) has secured a contract extension with a key customer and this is worth £300,000 over 12 months. The contract covers the company’s real time failure and incident management system for rail infrastructure.

FALLERS

Vast Resources (LON: VAST) is asking shareholders for approval to issue additional shares and for a capital reorganisation that will consolidate 54 shares into nine new shares. The consolidated share price will then be well above the 0.1p par value. The company is trying to reassure creditors that it can raise cash to pay them.

Co-founders Cathal Friel and Brendan Buckley and related interests are selling 14 million shares in infectious disease testing services provider hVIVO (LON: HVO) at 28p each. This is one-quarter of their shareholdings. There is an accelerated bookbuild.

Pan African Resources (LON: PAF) produced 98,458 ounces of gold in the six months to December 2023. All-in sustaining costs were slightly lower at $1,287/ounce, but the full year figure is likely to be higher. Interim pre-tax profit increased 47% to $42.4m. Net debt rose from $53.7m to $64.3m. The Mogale tailings retreatment project should be up and running by the end of 2024 with annual production of 50,000 ounces at a lower cost than current projects.

Valentina Slater, sales director of Anexo (LON: ANX) subsidiary Direct Accident Management, has sold 703,030 shares in the legal services and credit hire company at an average price of 65.7p/share. She still owns 2.82%.

RheEnergise: turning hills into batteries

We are bringing innovation to pumped energy storage with our High-Density Hydro® solution, a -long duration energy storage technology that is low-cost, fast to build and globally scalable.

This century, we are witnessing the increasingly rapid transition from fossil-fuels to low carbon generation due to the critical tipping point we regularly face when dealing with climate change.  Whilst this brings unapparelled opportunities, the race to deliver Net-Zero targets by 2030 is on. Power generation, that is now increasingly serving mobility, heat and industry, is becoming dominated by intermittent wind and solar power. This intermittency means that energy grids around the world require medium-long duration energy storage solutions to provide power grids with flexibility, reliability and stability. Our High-Density Hydro is a solution, that when deployed at scale, will support grid decarbonisation and the transition to Net Zero.

Drawing on the experience of hydropower systems that have been in use for a century or more, our engineers and scientists have devised HD Hydro to be low-cost, energy efficient, fast-to-build and environmentally benign.   Rather than using water, we use a fluid that is 2½ times denser than water, and which can provide 2½ times the power when compared to a conventional low-density hydro-power system.  It means that our system can be deployed beneath the surface of hills rather than mountains – so, turning small hills, found nearly everywhere, into batteries, and so opening up massive opportunities for its commercial deployment.  HD Hydro is proven to outperform and outlast other similar types of energy storage solutions.

We are a young and ambitious company. The market pull for energy storage technologies is exceptionally strong as governments increasingly recognise the urgency to decarbonise over the next 30 years. We are assessing storage sites in the UK and Ireland, Spain and Chile for our first commercial-scale projects, with the USA, Canada and Australia firmly in our sights over the next 1-2 years.  Our first phase of growth has benefited from significant support from the UK Government, with grants and contracts totalling over £1m in 2023 to add to the >£8.25m awarded in 2022 plus we have received incredible backing from private investors. We are now seeking new investors to take RheEnergise to the next level and realise the market opportunities that exist today and in the future.

Parallels between investment history of the wind industry and the investment opportunities in energy storage can be made. Vestas, the world’s largest manufacturer of wind turbines, made their first sale in 1979, by 2000 revenues were €858m and by 2021 revenues were €15,587m. Their growth is not expected to slow.  We can expect that a handful of companies will dominate the short duration energy storage market, a further handful will dominate the inter-seasonal storage market, and lastly there will be a number of companies that dominate the medium duration energy storage space, such as RheEnergise.

BloombergNEF predict the global energy storage market to be worth US$620B by 2040, whilst Wood Mackenzie forecasts that 1TWh of medium-long duration energy storage will be needed by 2030.

As the world moves to a greater reliance on wind and solar power, help us to revolutionise energy storage. If you would like to know more about work and our investment opportunity, please register via this link or contact us via www.rheenergise.com

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