Gold price boosts cash generation at Caledonia Mining

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Generating cash from a high gold price is helping Caledonia Mining Corporation (LON: CMCL) to invest in the Blanket mine and build up its balance sheet as it seeks to progress the Bilboes sulphide project.

Zimbabwe mine Blanket produced 20,773 ounces of gold in the quarter and there was an additional 401,000 from heap leaching at Bilboes. In the second quarter of 2024, gross revenues improved from $37m to $50.1m thanks to a combination of higher gold production and a higher gold price. The on-mine Blanket cost is $906/ounce, down from $915/ounce in the second quarter of 2023. The pre-tax profit jumped from $1.52m to $15.5m.

Caledonia Mining Corporation recently announced a doubling of Blanket’s mineral reserves and a 63% increased in measured and indicated mineral resources. This means that there could be a mine life up to 2041. This year’s production guidance is 74,000-78,000 ounces of gold.

However, the main long-term upside is from Bilboes. The feasibility study should be published in the first quarter of 2025. The capital investment is likely to be $309m, according to Cavendish. The broker believes that $200m could be funded with debt, leaving Caledonia Mining Corporation to find the rest.

This investment could triple gold production to more than 200,000 ounces/year. This is based on a ten-year mine life for Bilboes. There is also the adjacent Motapa prospect that could be brought into production in the future and the capital investment should be lower.

Net debt was $1.4m at the end of June 2024. Further cash generation will boost the cash position even though the quarterly dividend continues to be 14 cents/share, although payments will be made after quarterly results, rather than prior to them. The dividend costs $11m/year.

At 850p, the shares are trading on 12 times prospective 2024 earnings, although a cautious approach to the gold price next year means that the multiple would then rise to 16. The yield is more than 5%.

Cavendish has a sum of the parts valuation of 1435p/share based on a heavily discounted valuation for Bilboes.

FTSE 100 range bound as volatility dissipates

The FTSE 100 gained in slow trade on Monday as stocks took a break from the wild swings of last week and settled into range as investors awaited fresh catalysts.

After a tumultuous week for global equities last week, Monday’s session presented investors with trading conditions more typical of August. Having started the session around 0.4% higher, London’s leading index traded in a tight range of around 20 points with little in the way of major movers.

“A sense of calm has resumed across financial markets, helping to reverse the tumultuous trajectory of stocks witnessed over the past week. In sharp contrast to last Monday’s slide, the FTSE 100 has a spring in its step, easing into the green helped by gains in Asia and on Wall Street on Friday,” said Susanah Streeter, head of money and markets, Hargreaves Lansdown.

“The stabilisation of sentiment is continuing, following the sell off a week ago, as concerns about an American recession ease off a little. But with light trade volumes expected to continue due to the holidays, any whiff of unease could whip up fresh volatility. 

“The latest inflation data in the US will be in sharp focus this week. With producer price numbers out on Tuesday and the headline consumer figure due Wednesday, investors will be keen for fresh clues about how deep interest rate cuts will be this year.”

BT was the standout performer on Monday, with a 6% gain, on the news India conglomerate Bharti was buying a 24.5% stake in the company from Altice.

“The news Indian telecoms firm Bharti is taking a major stake in BT is reflective of a big power shift between the two companies. Around the turn of the millennium, it was BT which had a substantial holding in Bharti, as well as two seats on its board,” said AJ Bell investment director, Russ Mould.

“Bharti is buying its stake from French telecoms tycoon Patrick Drahi’s vehicle, Altice, and the news will likely be greeted with some relief by shareholders as it holds the promise of a bit more stability. 

“Drahi has been selling assets to pay down debt so his stake in BT represented a significant overhang on the shares.”

JD Sport, down 3.4% to 120p, was the top faller after Deutsche Bank cut its rating to sell with a 110p price target. JD Sports shares have failed to win back investor favour after cutting its profit outlook earlier this year. The biggest concern for investors of late has been Nike’s underwhelming performance. JD Sports is heavily reliant on Nike products for revenue, and a slowing Nike doesn’t bode well for JD Sports, which is eyeing rapid expansion in North America.

The Paris Olympics – Are The Medals Worth The Effort? 

As the Paris Olympics close, following Tom Cruise’s abseiling into the Stade de France as an effort to wave in the 2028 Los Angeles games, there remains a big question over the value of Going For Gold. 

In a report by Oxford Economics, the leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, it is claimed that the Olympic Gold Medal is not all gold. 

In fact, it is only just over 1% gold! 

The medals consist of 523 grams of silver and just six grams of gold. 

Whereas the Olympic Silver Medals are all silver, some 525 grams. 

The Olympic Bronze Medals are a 455 gram mix of copper, tin and zinc. 

But did you know that each of the medals have included a piece of iron from the Eiffel Tower, giving them truly unique value. 

Furthermore, Oxford Economics informs that the gold medals are worth some $1,027, while the silver medals are worth $535, and the bronze medals are worth just a paltry $4.60. 

In My View 

I am in total admiration for all of the participants and contestants in the Olympics. 

The pride that they gain for their relative countries cannot be priced by a commodity, but instead by the fierce competition and attainment of the various awards. 

It is not about the values but the achievement. 

AIM movers: Global Petroleum talking to partners and Celadon Pharmaceuticals has not received cash

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Global Petroleum (LON: GBP) says there is increased interest in farming-in to its PEL94 licence in Namibia. This would enable the exploitation of 2,747 million barrels of oil that is estimated to be on the licence. Other opportunities in the mineral resources sector are being assessed. The share price soared 123% to 0.145p.

Sunda Energy (LON: SNDA) has entered into an exclusivity agreement with a Singapore investment company LNG Operations as a potential funding partner for the Chuditch PSC project. This would involve an investment in a subsidiary of Sunda Energy. Management is attempting to secure a drilling rig, and an appraisal well is planned for the first quarter of 2025. Possible new ventures have been identified. The share price is one-third higher at 0.08p.

Firering Strategic Minerals (LON: FRG) has switched focus to quicklime, where demand is rising for use in copper smelting and enhancing copper separation. Off-take discussions are progressing with copper producers, as well as companies involved in construction and fertilisers. A deal with a logistics company will provide cash flow of $600,000-$720,000 each year. The share price rose 18.6% to 3.35p.

Rockfire Resources (LON: ROCK) says ASX-listed Sunshine Metals has updated investors about its exploration activity at Rockfire Resources’ Lighthouse tenement, where Sunshine Metals can earn up to 75% by spending A$2.2m. High-grade gold has been encountered in a new area. The share price improved 8.82% to 0.185p.

FALLERS

Cannabis-based medicines developer Celadon Pharmaceuticals (LON: CEL) continues to make progress, but it has not received all the cash from the fundraising earlier this year. An investor that was going to subscribe £1m in four tranches and it has only paid £600,000 so far. This leaves the company short of funds. The expiry date of the £7m committed credit facility provided by a high net worth investor has been extended to 30 November 2025, but an initial attempt to drawdown £1m has led to £100,000 being received and £900,000 being delayed until a property has been sold.  Celadon Pharmaceuticals is in talks with other potential lenders. The company has £49,000 in cash. The share price slumped 47.7% to 27.5p.

Drug discovery company BiVictriX Therapeutics (LON: BVX) believes leaving AIM is the best way of progressing the business. Management believes that the current valuation undervalues the company due to lack of liquidity and becoming a private company will help access to further funding. The share price is hampering partnership discussions. There are plans to appoint JP Jenkins to provide a matched bargains facility. This comes almost exactly three years since the company joined AIM and raised £7.5m at 20p/share. The share price declined 26.5% to 8.25p.

This is final day of trading Destiny Pharma (LON: DEST) prior to its departure from AIM. The share price fell a further 12.5% to 3.5p.

Shares in Earnz (LON: EARN) have returned from suspension following the publication of the admission document for the acquisitions announced last week. It raised £2.05m at 7.5p/share. Earmz is buying energy services companies Cosgrove & Drew, which provides public sector project work and compliance services for heating and plumbing, and heating installation and maintenance services provider South West Heating Services. Earnz chair Bob Holt has a stake in Cosgrove & Drew. The share price dipped 9.09% to 7.5p.

Marshalls ‘cautiously optimistic’ about improving macroeconomic environment

Marshalls shares were lower on Monday after the groundwork products group revealed falling revenue for the first half of the year amid slower demand.

Revenue for the first half of 2024 fell 14% while adjusted profit before tax sank 20%.

“Marshall’s shares have performed well this year, up over fifteen percent. This morning’s earnings update however indicates the Yorkshire construction firm is under mounting pressure with demand for UK housing floundering and inconsistent,” said Mark Crouch, Market Analyst at investment platform eToro.

“Marshalls, which supplies building, roofing and landscaping materials is facing a precarious set of circumstances, falling revenues and rising costs, in an industry struggling to get going and in desperate need of a kick start.”

The sounds from Marshalls were similar to brickmaker Ibstock – who reported last week – when it came to market conditions. Both noted a soggy first half but were more confident about the outlook for the rest of the year.

“The Group has delivered a resilient performance in weak end markets.  The result in the first half is encouraging and demonstrates that the strategy of diversification, building on the Group’s historic core Landscape Products business, through the acquisition and improvement of less cyclical businesses in recent years, has resulted in a more balanced Group,” said Matt Pullen, Chief Executive, Marshalls.

“Whilst market conditions affected the Landscape Products result, I have a strong view that the segment’s performance can be substantially improved through a number of self-help measures which we are implementing at pace.  I am excited for the segment’s prospects in a market recovery as it will benefit significantly from operational leverage.

“We are undertaking a review of the Group’s strategy and have identified a number of opportunities to deliver outperformance over the medium term.  These include attractive sustainability-driven markets across bricks and masonry, water management and energy transition alongside a cyclical recovery in our core landscape and roofing businesses, supported by the new Government’s commitment to increase housebuilding significantly.  We will provide more information on our new five-year strategy at a capital markets event on 19 November 2024.

“We remain cautiously optimistic of a modest improvement in the Group’s end markets during the second half of the year predicated on a progressive improvement in the macro-economic environment. Against this backdrop and with the benefit of ongoing management actions, the Board believes that profitability and pre-IFRS16 net debt for the full year will be broadly in-line with its previous expectations.”

Investors will be pleased to see the dividend maintained at 2.6p despite the poor performance for the first half.

Chariot Limited – Tomorrow’s General Meeting Will Approve The Recent Fundraising, Share Price To Now Transition Higher 

Tomorrow morning Chariot Limited (LON:CHAR) shareholders will be expected to vote through approval for the group’s recent fundraising. 

It should be voted through with little objection, which will then see the group’s new shares being dealt in the market on Wednesday morning. 

The July announced capital funding sought to raise a net $6.4m by way of a Placing of 83.35m new shares at 6.5p each, together with another $2m by way of an Open Offer to shareholders, for another 23.35m new shares. 

Both issues were at a small discount to the price at the announcement, which was already a positive signal of support, with the funding being oversubscribed. 

CFO Julian Maurice-Williams stated that: 

“We are grateful to our shareholders for their considerable support, which has enabled Chariot to deliver a further $2 million via this significantly oversubscribed Open Offer, bringing the total fundraise to $9 million gross.  

This is an exciting period for the Company, and we look forward to updating all our stakeholders on the imminent drilling campaign at Anchois, alongside progress across the wider Group, over the coming months.” 

The Business 

Chariot is an Africa-focused transitional energy group that is developing scalable energy projects across its three business pillars: Transitional Gas, Transitional Power and Green Hydrogen.  

Transitional Gas is focused on high value, low risk gas development projects in Morocco, which is a fast-growing emerging economy, with a clear route to early monetisation, delivery of free cash flow and material exploration upside. 

Transitional Power is focused on providing competitive, sustainable and reliable energy and water solutions across the continent through building, generating and trading renewable power. 

Green Hydrogen is partnering with TEH2 (80% owned by TotalEnergies, 20% by the EREN Group) and the Government of Mauritania on the potential development of a 10GW green hydrogen project, Project Nour in Mauritania, and is progressing pilot projects in Morocco. 

The group declares that its core focus is to generate near-term cash flows from its gas assets to return capital to shareholders while continuing to build and develop its longer-term project pipeline. 

The net proceeds of the Fundraise will be used to strengthen the balance sheet to continue to progress and deliver value from Chariot’s portfolio of projects, while also helping to secure a material new venture opportunity with multi-billion barrel potential, and additionally to progress onshore gas commercialisation plans in Morocco to build a gas to industry supply. 

It is now known that the company will try to secure a new multi-billion-barrel opportunity in licences adjacent to recent giant discoveries in Africa, located in a basin where Chariot has extensive operational and technical expertise with a deep understanding of the exploration potential in Namibia.  

The company has clearly stated that with the net proceeds of the Placing and the Subscription, the working capital available to the group will be sufficient for the group’s requirements for at least the next 12 months. 

Management Comment 

CEO Adonis Pouroulis stated that: 

“We are very pleased to report the successful completion of our significantly oversubscribed Placing and Subscription, subject to shareholder approval at the General Meeting.  

The funds raised will enable us to progress with key workstreams and a priority new venture as we concurrently move towards the drilling of the Anchois-East well in mid-August with partners Energean and ONHYM. 

We have material catalysts ahead for our business as we look to unlock the value of our existing assets whilst building out our longer-term portfolio.  

We look forward to providing further updates across all our activities throughout the coming months.” 

Analyst’s Views 

Analyst James McCormack at Cavendish Capital Markets has a 51.2p valuation on the group’s shares. 

While Stephane Foucaud at Auctus Advisors has a 45p Price Objective, after allowing for the dilution of the new shares being issued, while also considering that the current share price is an opportunity given the materiality of the near-term newsflow. 

In My View 

The shares, which a year ago were trading at 17p each, are currently only 6.90p and looking capable of running back above the 10p level last seen at the end of May this year. 

BT stake snapped up by Indian conglomerate

Bharti Global, the international investment arm of Indian conglomerate Bharti Enterprises, has agreed to acquire a 24.5% stake in BT Group plc from Altice UK.

The acquisition will occur in two phases: 9.99% will be purchased immediately, followed by the remaining 14.51% pending regulatory approvals. Bharti Televentures UK Ltd, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Bharti Global, will execute the transaction.

In a statement released by Bharti on Monday, the group said the deal underscores Bharti’s confidence in BT’s strategy and the UK’s investment climate, though Bharti has no plans for a full takeover.

This move builds on Bharti’s existing UK investments and its historical connection with BT, which held a minority stake in Bharti Airtel from 1997 to 2001.

“This investment demonstrates the confidence we have in BT and in the UK. BT has a strong portfolio of market leading brands, high-quality assets and an experienced management team with a compelling strategy mandated by the BT Board to deliver value over the long term, which we fully support,” said Sunil Bharti Mittal, Chair of Bharti Enterprises.

“Bharti and BT have enjoyed a longstanding relationship – BT previously owned a 21% stake along with two board seats in Bharti Airtel Limited from 1997 to 2001.

“BT is playing a vital role to expand access to full-fibre broadband infrastructure for millions of people across the UK. Its focus on strengthening its networks, driving consumer growth, and optimising every aspect of its business makes it well-placed to consolidate its position as a leading global telecoms company.”

Directors deals: TV boss takes advantage of share price dip

TV programmes producer Zinc Media (LON: ZIN) disappointed the market with its July trading statement, although it continues to make progress. Chief executive Mark Browning has taken advantage of the share price decline to buy 20,825 shares at 71.7p each. He owns 396,958 shares.

Last August, Mark Browning exercised options over 151,515 shares at 0.125p each. The previous August he bought 30,000 shares at 100p each.

The share price had fallen to 67.5p after the trading statement. The current price is 69.5p, which is one-fifth lower than at the start of the year.  

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Adsure Services Investor Presentation August 2024

Following the release of Adsure’s Final Results, Adsure Service’s CEO, Kevin Limn, presents the group’s financial progress and future growth strategy to investors.

Download Presentation Slides

Highlights:

  • Total Revenue of £9.3M (2022/23 – £8.99m)
  • 72% increase in profit before taxation
  • 33% increase in EBITDA
  • Awarded an Innovate UK grant to develop an Artificial Intelligence LLM tool for government-funded organisations 
  • Proposed final dividend of 0.99p and maiden interim dividend of 0.49p equates to circa 5% yield
  • Successfully delivered objectives set in the first year of the new Corporate Plan for 2023/24 – 2027/28
  • TIAA Ltd awarded B Corporation certification 

Aquis weekly movers: Investment proposition for Quantum Exponential

Quantum Exponential Group (LON: QBIT) says potential investors have proposed a minimum investment of £1m at 1p/share. The investors have also agreed to pay the investment company £100,000 to cover costs since incurred since the proposed cancelation was announced. This will be repayable out of the proceeds of the investment when it is completed. The share price doubled to 0.5p.

Ormonde Mining (LON: ORM) investee company TRU Precious Metals has appointed Ormonde Mining technical adviser Steve Nicol as chief executive. The 36.2%-owned TRU Precious Metals is exploring for gold and copper in Canada. Another investee company, Peak Nickel, has commenced a drill programme in Aberdeenshire. There will be a minimum of 1,000 metres drilled. The Ormonde Mining share price rose 11.1% to 0.25p.

Gunsynd (LON: GUN) remains on Aquis for a few more days and it has entered a farm-in agreement with Pinwheel Resources over acreage in Canada. It can earn 100% of Falcon Lake U-Co-Cu project and Bear Twit VMS project for a total outlay of £200,000 in cash and shares. The share price improved 3.33% to 0.155p.

FALLERS

Flex Labs Inc (LON: FLEX) is proposing to cancel its Aquis quotation and is holding a general meeting on 30 August. The plan is to seek a listing in Canada. The AI company joined Aquis last December at 6p/share. The share price halved to 0.75p following the latest news.

Investment Evolution Credit (LON: IEC) has raised £100,000 at 20p/share. The share price declined 28.6% to 50p.

Ananda Developments (LON: ANA) has moved to the Apex segment of the Aquis Stock Exchange. The share price slipped 10% to 0.45p.

Tap Global Group (LON: TAP) says David Hunter is resigning as chairman. He has given three months’ notice. The share price fell 6.67% to 0.7p.

IntelliAM AI (LON: INT) has secured a contract extension with a global alcohol company. The company’s consulting services will be broadened to 35 maltings sites in the UK. The contract value is a minimum of £100,000. The share price is 4.55% lower at 105p.