AIM movers: Strix debt problem and ex-dividends

0

Vela Technologies (LON: VELA) shares jumped 51.2% to 0.031p on the news that Conduit Pharmaceuticals will start trading on Nasdaq on Friday. This will trigger the option to sell the interest in AZD1656 to Conduit Pharmaceuticals for £4m.

CT Automotive (LON: CTA) reported better than expected interim revenues as vehicle production increases and new business is won. Gross margin also recovered, helping the interior components supplier to move back into profit and more than halve debt to $9m over a 12-month period. Liberum trimmed is 2023 pre-tax profit forecast from $9.1m to $8.7m, although revenues have been upgraded by 8% to $135.5m. The share price is 13.8% higher at 45.5p. The December 2021 placing price was 147p.  

Premier African Minerals (LON: PREM) is commissioning the mill for the Zulu lithium project. Production of spodumene should reach 1,000 tons/month by November. The share price is 5.15% higher at 0.51p.

Neometals (LON: NMT) has been granted a lithium-ion battery recycling patent in Australia. Neometals owns 50% of the project. The technology recovers minerals from lithium-ion batteries. This includes cobalt, nickel, manganese and lithium. The share price rose 6.82% to 23.5p.

FALLERS

Shares in Strix (LON: KETL) slumped 40.3% to 54.65p on the decision to cut the dividend because of high borrowings. Acquisitions have pushed up net debt to £93.1m. The economic recovery has also been slower than expected. Revenues are growing, but higher interest rates meant that interim pre-tax profit has dived from £11.6m to £5.7m.

Yesterday, Eqtec (LON: EQT) announced that the Billingham waste-to-energy project is not going ahead. Potential customers have closed facilities and the project is behind schedule. So far, £4m has been invested. Eqtec is also taking legal action against its partner in the Deeside project, seeking repayment of £4m of loans. Forecast 2023 revenues have been slashed by more than three-quarters to €2-3m. Net debt is expected to be €5.7m and double that at the end of 2024. The share price dived 34.6% to 0.085p.

Harvest Minerals (LON: HMI) reported interims showing a near-doubled loss as demand for fertiliser and pricing was lower in the period. The second half sales are normally much greater than in the first half, but they continue to be disappointing. Low crop prices mean that farmers are disinclined to boost production. Cash has declined and the company has moved into net debt of £1.4m, partly due to a jump in inventories. The share price fell 34.2% to 1.35p.

Bluejay Mining (LON: JAY) announced a downgrading of the resource at the Dundas project in Greenland due to inconsistent exploration results. The resource is 29.7Mt grading 1.99% titanium dioxide, compared with 67.1Mt grading 3.45% titanium dioxide previously. This means that additional work is required to assess whether the project is commercial. There was better news of the progress of the Disko-Nuussuaq nickel project. The share price dipped 20.9% to 0.759p.

Ex-dividends

Alpha Group International (LON: ALPH) is paying an interim dividend of 3.7p/share and the share price rose 20p to 2020p.

Brooks Macdonald (LON: BRK) is paying a final dividend of 47p/share and the share price dipped 37.5p to 1832.5p.

Churchill China (LON: CHH) is paying an interim dividend of 11p/share and the share price declined 5p to 1300p.  

Driver Group (LON: DRV) is paying an interim dividend of 0.75p/share and the share price is unchanged at 27.5p.

Eckoh (LON: ECK) is paying a final dividend of 0.74p/share and the share price is 0.5p lower at 43p.

Eleco (LON: ELCO) is paying an interim dividend of 0.25p/share and the share price is unchanged at 82p.

Gamma Communications (LON: GAMA) is paying an interim dividend of 5.7p/share and the share price fell 22p to 1130p.

Hargreaves Services (LON: HSP) is paying a dividend of 18p/share and the share price is 14.5p lower at 455.5p.

Ingenta (LON: ING) is paying an interim dividend of 1.5p/share and the share price declined 1p to 123.5p.

Jet2 (LON:JET2) is paying a final dividend of 8p/share and the share price fell 22p to 1095p.

Keystone Law (LON: KEYS) is paying an interim dividend of 5.8p/share and the share price dipped 7.5p to 485p.

Midwich Group (LON: MIDW) is paying an interim dividend of 5.5p/share and the share price declined 5.5p to 412.5p.

Mattioli Woods (LON: MTW) is paying a final dividend of 18p/share and the share price slipped 20p to 600p.

Public Policy Holding Company (LON: PPHC) is paying an interim dividend of 4.5 cents/share and the share price is unchanged at 124.5p.

Robinson (LON: RBN) is paying an interim dividend of 2.5p/share and the share price is unchanged at 92.5p.

Restore (LON: RST) is paying an interim dividend of 1.85p/share and the share price is 7p lower at 187.5p.

Somero Enterprises (LON: SOM) is paying an interim dividend of 10 cents/share and the share price slumped 15p to 285p.

The Property Franchise Group (LON: TPFG) is paying an interim dividend of 4.6p/share and the share price is 2.5p lower at 282.5p.

Federal Reserve keeps rate at 5.5% in ‘hawkish hold’, dollar rallies

Last night, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced they would keep interest rates on hold at 5.5%.

The announcement was followed by a press conference, during which the Federal Reserve hinted that they do see the interest rates rising again by the end of the year and rates would remain elevated for a longer period.

USD strengthened in the aftermath of the press release, and GBP fell to $1.2293 against the U.S. dollar, hitting a five-month-low this morning. The Euro also fell below $1.07 against the dollar.

At noon the Bank of England is to make a decision regarding UK’s interest rates. 

According to Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown:

”Nervousness is pervading sentiment as investors assess the prospects of interest rates staying higher for longer.

”The mood is being driven by the U.S. Federal Reserve taking a defensive stance in the fight against inflation, pausing for now but signalling a fresh rate hike to come“, she added. 

The Federal Reserve’s announcement has created a lot of speculation as to what fate awaits UK and the next decision on interest rates.

According to Marios Hadjikyriacos, the senior investment analyst at XM: 

”Following the latest inflation report that was colder than expected, markets are pricing this rate decision almost as a 50-50 coin toss. 

“Admittedly, the data pulse argues for no action. The labor market loss jobs in July while economic growth stagnated, and business surveys suggest these trends will persist or worsen.

“The only real argument in favour of a rate increase is wage growth, which is extremely hot and continues to accelerate”.

Converting higher interest rates into a substantial dividend yield with the M&G Credit Income Investment Trust

The UK Investor Magazine was thrilled to welcome Adam English, Fund Manager of the M&G Credit Income Investment Trust, for a deep dive into the trust and the opportunity for investors to benefit from the higher interest rate environment.

Adam employs a counter-cyclical approach to portfolio composition and focuses on private and public credit assets with floating rates.

The trust pays a quarterly dividend at a rate of SONIA +4% which has gradually increased since the Bank of England started hiking rates.

Visit the M&G Credit Income Investment Trust website.

The M&G Credit Income Investment Trust is an investment-grade portfolio which means the portfolio is considered lower risk than other high-yield fixed income trusts.

JD Sports shares soar as sales in Europe and Asia surge

JD Sports is a fantastic example of a British company dominating its domestic market and replicating this success through overseas expansion.

Shares in the sports fashion retailer were 6% higher in early trade on Thursday after announcing robust organic growth mainly driven by growth in North America, Europe and Asia.

“We have delivered a strong first half to our financial period with organic sales growth of 12% and profit on track for the full year,” said Régis Schultz, Chief Executive Officer of JD Sports Fashion.

“In line with our strategic plan, growth is being driven by our premium Sports Fashion business with an impressive performance in Europe (+27%) and North America (+15%), supported by a strong performance in our more mature UK market (+8%). This performance continued in the important back to school period.”

Investors will be pleased with progress in North America which represents a substantial growth opportunity for the company. However, the most exciting source of growth was Europe and Asia Pacific where JD recorded organic growth of 26.9% and 25.6% respectively.

UK revenue grew 7% to £1.2bn.

“It’s a tough place for consumer-facing companies given the uncertain macro backdrop. Consumer confidence remains fragile even though there are signs of a slowdown in the rate of inflation,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Selling trainers and tracksuits can be big business and many people aspire to own the latest products. That said, these items aren’t cheap and so just because someone wants something doesn’t mean they can always afford it. JD Sports is aware of this situation and rightfully doesn’t assume its goods will continue to fly off the shelf at pace.

“While it is good practice to be cautious, JD Sports’ results still show a business in good health. Sales, profits and dividends are all up, it is investing in the business to support geographic growth, and it is finding new ways to keep customers happy and on its side.

“That includes a loyalty scheme trial in the UK for 10 stores in Manchester which involves customers collecting a virtual JD currency that can be used towards future purchases. These initiatives can be easy wins for retailers.”

Next shares rise as profit guidance increased again

Cost-of-living crisis? What cost-of-living crisis? This is certainly the impression Next’s half-year report gave on Thursday.

Next shares were 2% higher in early trading on Thursday after the high-street bellwether said profit before tax rose 4.8% to £420m in the first half.

Shaking off any concerns about the health of the consumer, Next also increased its full-year profit before tax guidance increased from £845m to £875m. This constitutes a 0.5% increase on the last full year.

“Next has pulled another rabbit out of the hat today, leading to a further upgrade to its full-year sales and profit guidance,” said Charlie Huggins, fund manager at Wealth Club.

“UK consumer spending appears to have defied gravity. A strong employment market and rising wages have helped cushion inflationary cost pressures, meaning consumers have continued to spend, despite the gloomy economic headlines.

“Not all retailers have benefited, as the travails of Wilko show. Next has capitalised by doing the simple things well. Once again its operational execution continues to outshine almost all of its competitors.”

Although Next’s increased sales will play a major part in meeting its full-year profit guidance, the company has successfully reduced costs and streamlined its online business which will help the bottom line through the rest of the year.

“If you have an idea of the challenges on the horizon, it’s possible to put your business in the right shape to survive. That seems to be Next’s approach, as it has benefited from focusing on key cogs in the business to navigate the difficult market environment,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Broadening its product offering, making sure the online service is as efficient as possible and keeping a sharp eye on costs have all been key focal points and Next has come out on top. These factors and steady demand from customers have enabled it to raise profit expectations.”

Firering Strategic Minerals raises cash to invest in lithium project

0

Firering Strategic Minerals (LON: FRG) is planning to raise £680,000 at 6.5p/share and this will be used by the AIM-quoted company to define identified pegmatite targets through a drilling campaign at the Atex lithium-tantalum project in Cote d’Ivoire.  

Uses for the cash include 3,000 metres of reverse circulation drilling to increase the understanding of the new six pegmatites identified and Laser Induced Breakdown Spectrometry soil sampling. There will also be some cash to finance a team of technical experts for the owner of a limestone project in Zambia, where Firering Strategic Minerals has an option to acquire up to 28.3%. The crushing system has already been commissioned. This project should generate cash within 24 months.

Firering Strategic Minerals holds 90% of the company that owns the Atex project. Firering Strategic Minerals also owns 75% of Bri Coltan, which owns the coltan rights for the Atex area. Coltan is composed of tantalum, niobium, iron and manganese.

Part 1 of the phase II drilling campaign has been completed. This has been done in partnership with Ricca Resources. Nine target areas have been identified, including the six newer ones. The latest drilling is planned for the fourth quarter of 2023.

When it floated in November 2021, Firering Strategic Minerals raised £4m at 13p/share. The placing was announced after the market closed and the share price was 6.75p.

Consider the Rights and Issues Investment Trust for the UK small-cap recovery

The UK small-cap market is having a difficult time. The macro picture is not on its side and smaller companies are almost always the first to suffer during challenging economic conditions.  

It is during such periods investors are presented with the opportunity to secure holdings in vehicles which can provide returns long into the future.

With a discount of 16% and a dividend yield of 2%, investors should consider the Rights and Issues Investment Trust for exposure to the UK small-cap market.

The trust invests a minimum of 80% of its assets in UK small caps and AIM-listed companies.

Over the past 10-year period, the Rights and Issues Investment Trust’s NAV has returned 137.9% compared to the FTSE All-Share Benchmark’s return of 70.6%.

Managers Daniel Nickols and Matt Cable look for opportunities that can provide above-average returns over the long term and avoid short term trading opportunities.

Investing in small caps and the AIM is all about conviction and the managers of the Rights and Issues Investment Trust have this in abundance.

The Trust has employed a concentrated low turnover approach to stock selection since its inception in 1962 and only has about 20 stocks in the portfolio.

As of the end of August, the top ten holdings accounted for 69% of the portfolio demonstrating the conviction in their holdings.

Top Ten Holdings (31.08.23)

Vp Plc
10.26%
Macfarlane Group Plc
9.74%
Colefax Group Plc
9.26%
Hill And Smith Plc
7.39%
Renold Plc
6.38%
Telecom Plus Plc
5.76%
Treatt Plc
5.56%
Alpha Group International Plc
5.53%
Gamma Communications Plc
5.43%
Carrs Group Plc
4.82%
Total 69.0%

Positioning for recovery and future growth

It is easy to over-diversify a small-cap portfolio and hug the benchmark’s performance. However, material outperformance is typically achieved through a highly concentrated selection of high-conviction ideas.

Since Jupiter was appointed as the manager of the Rights and Issues Investment Trust in October 2022, Nickols and Cable have stayed true to the trust’s historic approach to concentration and conviction, but have set about putting their own stamp on the portfolio.

While maintaining a high level of concentration, the first half of 2023 saw a number of holdings cut from the portfolio while some of the larger holdings were reduced to make space for new additions.

At the start of 2023, the portfolio held positions in 22 stocks with the top five positions accounting for 50% of NAV and the top ten for 76%.

On 31st August, Rights and Issues held 21 stocks with the top five accounting for 43% of NAV and the top ten for 67%.

The top holding accounted for 12.6% of the portfolio at the beginning of the year which reduced to 10.26% at the end of August.

These are marginal amendments and likely reflect the new manager’s desire to bolster the portfolio with higher conviction ideas, rather than move away from a strategy of high concentration and low turnover.

A number of smaller holdings such as Titon Holdings and Coral Products were sold as was Castings which the managers felt offered little upside.

The disposals made way for four exciting new additions; OSB Group, Marshalls, Spirent Communications and Gresham Technologies. These holdings expand the trust’s exposure to banking, UK construction, technology and communications.

What is striking about these new additions is that they present cyclical opportunities which should provide handsome returns during an economic recovery.

OSB is particularly interesting. OSB is a specialist buy-to-let mortgage provider and has suffered dearly in the current environment. The group has experienced adversities in the face of changes to interest rates and general pessimism around the UK housing market.

OSB represents an out-of-favour small-cap company with a plentiful opportunity for recovery. The same can be said of building materials company Marshalls.

Again highly linked to the UK housing market, Marshall’s sales have suffered this year as new house building slowed and shares trade substantially below the 52-week high.

None of the four new additions are in the top ten holdings suggesting the managers are willing to gradually build positions during the periods of share price weakness in preparation for the eventual recovery.

This highlights Rights and Issues’ long-term approach to investing in small-caps and the willingness to build a high conviction position over time.

FTSE 100 charges higher into tomorrow’s Bank of England rate decision

The FTSE 100 was charging in tomorrow’s Bank of England decision after UK inflation came in lower than estimated casting doubt over whether UK rates would indeed rise to 5.5%.

A UK CPI reading of 6.7% sparked a rally in London’s leading index as investors reacted to a chance the Bank of England sees the lower inflation rate as reason enough to hold off hiking rates – if not tomorrow at subsequent meetings.

Just yesterday there was little doubt UK rates were rising to 5.5% but the FTSE 100 surged 0.8% to 7,721 in afternoon trade as investors priced an upset to prior market consensus.

“UK shares enjoyed a strong start to the day after a surprise fall in UK inflation data. The FTSE 250 index jumped 1.3% to 18,667, led by housebuilders, builders’ merchants and property companies,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“Weaker inflation fuels the argument that interest rates no longer need to go up, or at least not by much more. That would be positive for property-related companies as well as retailers because consumers would, in theory, no longer face additional pressures on their finances.

“The FTSE 100 displayed similar trends, with housebuilders and property groups soaring, while the likes of B&M, JD Sports and Next were in demand.

“We could still get another rate rise from the Bank of England tomorrow, but the latest inflation data increases the chance that a further rate hike could be the last in the current cycle.”

As one would expect, housebuilders were leading the FTSE 100’s charge with Taylor Wimpey up 5.4% and Barratt Developments gaining 4%.

M&G was 2% higher after issuing a positive first-half report. Profits soared as the group continued a three-year trend of positive inflows despite challenging macro influences.

Bargain hunters stepped into Kingfisher after a sharp decline yesterday with shares adding around 3%.

AIM movers: Bid for Finsbury Food and lack of traffic for Digitalbox

0

Finsbury Food (LON: FIF) is recommending a 110p/share bid by a company backed by DBAY Advisors valuing the cake maker at £143.4m. There is a non-voting share alternative to the cash bid for eligible investors. The bid is less than ten times prospective earnings. The share price has not been at this level since early 2019. The share price moved ahead by 23% to 109.5p. Finsbury Food is one of the companies that has been on AIM the longest, although it has not always been a food company over more than a quarter of a century.

Clean water technology developer MYCELX Technologies Corp (LON: MYX) increased interim revenues by 51% to $5.6m and reduced its loss. Canaccord Genuity forecasts a full year loss of $1.6m and it expects at least breakeven in 2024. The share price jumped 24.7% to 60.5p.

Yesterday evening, Seed Innovations (LON: SEED) announced plans to buyback up to £850,000 of shares. The maximum number of shares is 21.5 million. The share price rose 17.5% to 3.7p, which is above estimated NAV.

Wishbone Gold (LON: WSBN) says drilling has started at the Red Setter project in Western Australia. Initial targets are at a shallow depth and the company is seeking broad spreads of mineralisation. The share price increased 15.2% to 2.65p.

Thor Energy (LON: THR) has raised A$1m via a placing at 4.2 cents/share to fund exploration in the Uravan belt. There is a 4,000 metre programme of reverse circulation drilling at the Radium Mountain/ Wedding Bell project in Colorado. This will be a follow up drilling campaign at Vanadium King project in Utah. The share price is 14.8% higher at 1.75p.

FALLERS

Late yesterday, online publisher Digitalbox (LON: DBOX) said interim revenues were £1.2m, which was ahead of expectations, but in the second half traffic numbers have been poor. That is due to less traffic coming from Alphabet and Meta, which are trying to retain traffic. Other changes from sources of traffic are also affecting the figures. Although traffic is down, the session values of higher. Digitalbox says it will still be profitable in 2023. The share price dived 28.6% to 3.75p.

Brandshield Systems (LON: BRSD) is raising money and planning to cancel the AIM quotation. A subscription will raise £2.68m at 5.68p/share, while a one-for-two open offer could raise up to £2.2m. This is a premium to the previous market price. The share price slumped 22.2% to 3.5p, which is a new low. The cybersecurity company, which reversed into a shell in December 2020, wants to reduce its cash burn. Leaving AIM is part of the cost reductions. The near-term focus will be growing revenues.

Interim sales of Tandem Group (LON: TND) fell 24% and it slumped into loss. Management still believes that the distributor of toys and leisure products could breakeven for the year as a whole. Net debt was £3.1m at the end of June 2023. There have been technical breaches on a property loan and Tandem hopes to consolidate its borrowings on a long-term basis by the end of the year. The share price fell 21% to 166p. Longboat Energy (LON: LBE) says that the gas discovery at the Velocette exploration well was sub-commercial. It could be an indication of other gas reservoirs in the area. The share price slipped 13% to 20p.

Rishi Sunak announces plans to weaken the country’s green policies 

0

Rishi Sunak has announced a raft of proposed amendments to the UK’s policies on meeting net zero targets.

The changes to policies are likely to include phasing out of gas boilers, prolonging the sales ban on diesel and petrol cars, and the cancellation of the energy efficiency regulations on home owners. 

The PM is said to be preparing to announce the exact changes to plans on Friday.

The PM stated that the country will still reach the net-zero goals in more “proportionate ways“ and that his decision should not mean that the government is “losing our ambition or abandoning our commitments“. 

Sunak has further supported his decision by stating that he is putting the “long-term interests of our country before the short-term political needs of the moment“. 

The PM has been criticised by some Tory MP’s of doing just the opposite. 

Conservative MP Chris Skidmore has commented on Sunak’s plan by stating that watering down on net-zero commitments will “cost the U.K. jobs, inward investment, and future economic growth that could have been ours by committing to the industries of the future“. 

Home Secretary Suelle Braverman said the UK government did not want to “save the planet by bankrupting the British people”.