FTSE 100 edges higher ahead of interest rates decisions

The FTSE 100 edged higher in early trade on Monday as investors prepared for a busy couple of weeks of central bank action.

The FTSE 100 was 0.1% higher at 7,568 at the time of writing.

All eyes will be on the Federal Reserve and their next move on rates scheduled for Wednesday. The Bank of England will issue their decision next week.

“The FTSE 100 ticked higher on Monday as central banks once again find themselves in the spotlight,” said AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

“The Fed is widely expected to keep its finger on the pause button when it announces its decision on rates on Wednesday. The US is showing some signs of slipping into a recession and inflation has eased considerably, even if it still stands a long way above the Fed’s 2% target.

“A last-minute shift in the plan cannot be ruled out given the Fed is taking a data-driven approach and inflation numbers from the US are out tomorrow. A higher-than-expected number could set the cat among the pigeons.”

The prospect of the Fed holding off another rate hike was causing weakness in the dollar and helping support GBP/USD.

FTSE 100 movers

With little in the way of corporate news on Monday, the FTSE 100’s top movers were largely continuing trends from last week.

Ocado added to its recent rebound after being raised to ‘neutral’ by Exane BNP. Ocado shares were over 6% higher at the time of writing and were the FTSE 100’s top riser.

Goldman Sachs has cut their year-end oil price targets, while Brent and WTI started the week on the back foot. BP and Shell were down around 1%.

Goldman Sachs also cut Segro to ‘neutral’ from ‘buy’ and lowered their price target to 800p. Segro shares were down 2% and were the FTSE 100’s top faller.

Which shares to buy in June 2023

The UK Investor Magazine team has screened the UK equity market, and we highlight five stocks to buy that caught our attention for June 2023.

Remember, these shares are companies our team like the look of and may not be suitable for everyone’s investment strategies. Some included companies have recently presented at UK Investor Magazine Investor Conferences or featured on our Podcast.

Our shares to buy include companies from the FTSE 100, FTSE 250 and FTSE AIM.

IG Group Holdings 

IG Group Holdings does well during periods of financial market volatility. 

The S&P 500 entered a bull market recently, while many economists predict a US recession later this year. The UK housing market is slowing down, and listed lenders have remained steady. Inflation remains stubbornly high, but further interest rates aren’t fully priced into markets.

These disconnects between the underlying macroeconomic indicators and market pricing could lead to heightened volatility.

IG would benefit.

IG is a leading trading and investment platform, and revenue tends to increase when investors place more trades in periods of volatility.

Companies like IG also tend to win new clients when markets move dramatically as investors open new accounts to capture trading opportunities.

Antofagasta 

Miners are on their knees. A spluttering Chinese recovery from the pandemic and concerns about global growth has curtailed demand for natural resources.

Antofagasta is down 5% year-to-date and trades at 23x forward earnings with a 3.3% yield.

Antofagasta offers pure-play exposure to ‘Dr Copper’ and the longer-term global economic recovery. Copper is vital in facilitating economic growth and critical to the green energy revolution.

Antofagasta’s copper production fell 10% in 2022FY due to droughts and reduced concentrate pipeline availability.

Highlighting Anto’s future growth potential, the copper miner’s resources grew by 1bn tonnes to 20.1bn last year.

Several growth projects are due to come online soon and will help expand the topline.

Despite being a FTSE 100 company, this is a volatile stock, not for the faint-hearted.

Antofagasta is a hugely cyclical stock and will do very well on good days and can tank much faster than the broader market on bad days. Antofagasta’s Beta is 1.73 – the 5th highest of FTSE 100 companies.

National Grid

Dull but steady National Grid provides investors with a 5% yield and is trading near key support levels. 

National Grid’s operating profits grew 11% in the last full year to £4.6bn and increased their dividend by nearly 9%.

National Grid shares are unlikely to set the world on fire in terms of capital appreciation, but its defensive nature will be an income-bearing pillar of a portfolio.

During the period, National Grid made £7.7bn in capital investments to help bolster the UK and US energy supply and prepare for a cleaner energy future.

The company is an integral part of the energy transition and was awarded additional offshore energy transmission contracts last year by Ofgem. 

Tekcapital 

Tekcapital shares trade significantly below the company’s NAV. Tekcapital is an investment company with a portfolio of technology companies that can potentially improve millions of people’s lives.

Their portfolio includes AIM-listed Belluscura, NASDAQ-listed Innovative Eyewear, MicroSalt and Guident.

Based on analysis by SP Angel analysts, Tekcapital had a NAV of 30.9p as of 31st May 2023. The current share price of 12p represents a 61% discount to the portfolio’s NAV and offers excellent value as market sentiment improves.

SP Angel analysts said in their note:

“We continue to believe there is significant upside to the current valuations of each of TEK’s portfolio companies, which are not fully reflected in the current share price of TEK”.

Challenger Energy Group

Challenger Energy Group is a high-risk, high-reward energy play for adventurous investors.

Listed on London’s AIM, the company is focused on the exploration and production of oil in the Caribbean and South America. After a quiet transition period, Challenger Energy Group is back with a bang.

Challenger Energy is channelling efforts into their Uruguay offshore OFF-1 asset after a recent study estimated the licence could hold up to 4.9bn barrels of oil in an up-side scenario. This asset could be a company maker.

The OFF-1 license is the only license in the licence block not owned by a major oil company. Shell holds the two licenses adjoined to OFF-1.

Challenger announced they would be bidding on another license in the area, demonstrating their conviction.

Pick up Henderson Opportunities Trust at a significant discount

Henderson Opportunities Trust (LON:HOT) shares are trading at an 18% discount to NAV. This is remarkable given the portfolio consists mainly of liquid UK companies with excellent growth potential.

Henderson Opportunities Trust’s top ten holdings include FTSE 100 companies Barclays, NatWest and Rio Tinto. The trust also holds Tesco, Prudential, Standard Chartered and HSBC.

In addition to FTSE 100 stalwarts, HOT provides access to a range of UK growth shares, including Vertu Motors, Next 15, Jersey Oil & Gas, and Serica Energy.

Not only is the trust comprised of UK-listed stocks, but they are also companies which largely operate in the UK. There are of course exceptions.

The trust has six criteria for stock selection which are employed to achieve diversification across the portfolio:

  • Early stage companies
  • Small and medium-sized ‘compounders’
  • Fast-growing smaller companies
  • Large companies
  • Natural resources
  • Companies that are in recovery

Portfolio Manager James Henderson has previously alluded to a contrarian approach to selecting UK stocks which can lead to periods of disappointing performance.

By selecting stocks which are out of favourable, you naturally expect them to be unloved by the market and underperform for periods. However, this is where the opportunity lies as unwanted shares bounce back and provide significant returns.

James Henderson has recently highlighted Serica Energy as an example. Labour’s decision to halt all new licenses for North Sea oil and gas licenses if they came to power hit Serica shares hard.

Henderson chooses to look past this and focus on the need for gas and the North Sea’s close proximity and world-class infrastructure. This underpins Serica’s business model.

Indeed, the entire UK equity market could be viewed as a contrarian play. Politics have cast a shadow over the UK, and we trade at a discount to other global markets.

Henderson looks for shares with a discounted valuation. These discounted shares are included in the Henderson Opportunities Trust, which trades an eye-catching 18% discount to NAV.

It’s hard to think of a better trust for a rebound in UK equities.

New standard listing: Amicorp FS

Amicorp FS provides fund admin services and has a global business. Although it has floated on the standard list, Amicorp Group still owns more than 85% of the share capital. The listing will increase the profile of the business.
Recurring revenues provide a strong base for the business. There is scope for organic growth and acquisitions to consolidate a fragmented market.
Existing shareholders raised $9.7m from selling shares. The share price opened at $1.50 and ended the week at the same price. No trades have been reported. The stated NAV based on pro forma figures is 6 cents a share.
Liquidi...

Aquis weekly movers: ABF bids for National Milk Records

Fully listed Associated British Foods (LON: ABF) has launched a recommended bid for National Milk Records (LON: NMRP). The 215p a share bid values the milk payment testing company at £48m. The share price jumped 77.4% to 204p. has not been as high as this since 2009. The previous peak was in 2019. The business will be integrated with AB Agri.

The Castlefield Investment Partners stake in Capital for Colleagues (LON: CFCP) has slipped below 42%. The share price rose 19% to 62.5p. Net assets were 77.78p a share at the end of February 2023.

Marula Mining (LON: MARU) has appointed Tokkas Van Heerden as chief operating officer ahead of a move to AIM. He has been working at the company for one year and will manage the operations in Africa. The share price improved 16.4% to 10.625p.

Invinity Energy Systems (LON: IES) is deploying a 1.2MWh first prototype of next generation vanadium flow battery product called Mistral in Canada. Mistral is being jointly developed with Gamesa. The share price increased 7.69% to 42p.

Oberon Investments (LON: OBE) has received FCA approval for the acquisition of 63% of Logic Investments, which has developed its own fintech platform. The two companies will combine their back office functions. The share price rose 6.85% to 3.9p.

Fenikso Ltd (LON: FNK) has received a further $644,000 of the money owed as part of the Fenikso restructuring. At the end of 2022, NAV was $19.5m. The share price edged up 3.45% to 0.75p.

Brewer and pubs operator Adnams (LON: ADB) grew beer volumes by 2.7% in 2022. The low and no alcohol sector is growing in importance. Revenues improved from £57.4m to £64.2m, but the loss increased from £1.39m to £2.29m. NAV improved to £25.5m because there is no longer a pension liability. Net debt is £13.9m. The share price increased 2.92% to 7050p.

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Fallers

Cadence Minerals (LON: KDNC) investee company European Metal Holdings (LON: EMH) says its 49% owned subsidiary has agreed to purchase land on which it plans to build a lithium plant at a cost of nearly $44m. Cadence Minerals shares slipped 1.05% to 8.46p.

AIM weekly movers: Acuity RM recovers on back of contract

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Newly renamed Acuity RM Group (LON: ACRM), it was previously Drumz, has won a new customer for its risk management software. It is a leading British insurance company, but the initial order is small. There should be further opportunities generated by the company’s partners. The share price recovered 48% to 9.25p. which is the highest it has been since January before the reversal.

GCM Resources (LON: GCM) shares jumped 42.2% to 4.125p on the back of talk about a shortage of coal in Bangladesh. The Phulbari coal and power project is still a long way from production, but the authorities are keen to increase supply from Bangladesh.

Biopesticides developer Eden Research (LON: EDEN) has applied for authorisation in the EU for seed treatment product Ecovelex, which has been developed with Corteva Agriscience. It can replace chemicals that have been banned after regulatory changes. Ecovelex deters birds from eating the seeds. The initial use could be for Maize crops. The share price is 37% higher at 5p.

Mobile content provider Mobile Streams (LON: MOS) signed an exclusive partnership with cyptocurrency company Bitso. This covers sporting NFTs, which Bitso will promote and also create joint NFT collections. Bitso will advertise the NFTs across all its channels in return for a modest revenue share. The share price is 35% ahead at 0.135p.

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Fallers

Barryroe Offshore Energy (LON: BEY) warns that has around three weeks of working capital left after announcing it is no longer proceeding with the previously announced placing and open offer following the Irish government’s refusal to grant the lease for the SEL 1/11. The company is seeking additional cash for working capital, but if it is unsuccessful then it will probably have to go into liquidation. Trading in the shares is likely to be suspended on 3 July because the 2022 accounts will not be published by then. The share price dived by three-quarters to 0.35p, which is a new low.

Environmental technology developer DeepVerge (LON: DVRG) has stopped funding the development of Labskin and other businesses. Out-licensing of technologies that these businesses have developed is a possibility. Additional funds are required and that could come from a share issue or selling parts of the group. DeepVerge has won a water treatment contract in Ireland that will be worth £2.3m over four years. It is uncertain whether the 2022 accounts will be published by the end of June. The share price dived a further 47.6% to 0.275p.

Bad news for oil and gas company IOG (LON: IOG) concerning the Blythe H2 well in the North Sea is producing gas at a constrained rate. There could be a mechanical blockage. The well could be brought onstream this month. The volatility of the gas market and the declining price has increased pressure on the company. Management is seeking pre-emptive waivers of potential covenant breaches. The company’s bond matures in September and that will need to be refinanced.  The share price slumped 43.8% to 3.65p, which is a new low. A subsidiary of TomCo Energy (LON: TOM) is acquiring the 90% that it does not own in Tar Sands Holdings II for $17.3m. It is unclear where the funds will come from. This announcement was followed by a decline in the share price, which was one-third lower over the week at 0.098p.

FTSE 100 dips after S&P 500 enters bull market

The FTSE 100 was weaker on Friday despite the S&P 500 entering a bull market overnight in US trade.

The FTSE 100 outperformed the S&P 500 in 2022 as the US index tanked, but the S&P 500 has left the FTSE 100 in the dust in 2023.

US stocks have been led higher by technology growth stocks this year, while the FTSE 100’s defensive attributes have held London’s leading index steady just below all-time highs.

“The tech bulls may have come out to play, with US stocks higher, but it hasn’t yet spilled over into a stronger performance for the FTSE 100 which has opened pretty flat, as eyes stay fixed on gloomier prospects for global growth,” said Matt Britzman, equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown.

“A rate hike in two weeks is now pretty well priced in, fuelled by what’s happened in Canada and Australia in the past few days. That pushed the pound up nearly 1%, adding more pressure to the FTSE 100, which relies heavily on overseas income.

Britzman continued to explain that although US stocks have entered a bull market, the US economic picture is starting to show signs of weakness.

“The S&P 500 rallied on Thursday to end the day in a new bull market, up 20% from levels seen back in October 2022. The S&P 500 added 0.6%, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 up 1.3% as a familiar story played out. Markets jostled with weekly US jobs data that showed unemployment on the rise.”

US recession?

Many commentators predict a US recession later in the year, suggesting the bull market in US stocks may be short-lived.

S&P 500 futures were already pointing to a lower open on Friday.

“The key question is what happens next. With plenty of signals suggesting we might see a recession soon, investors will be asking themselves if they should bank recent gains in US stocks or stay put and hope any economic downturn is only shallow and quick to pass,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

“What might persuade investors to take a different course of action? Valuations are looking a bit rich and there is a risk that artificial intelligence becomes a bubble that’s waiting to burst. Savvy investors might think it is worth cashing in gains before the market turns. However, if inflation starts to become less sticky and the Fed decides it doesn’t need to keep raising interest rates, there is the possibility that markets can keep pushing higher, so why not enjoy the ride?”

FTSE 100 movers

Croda was the FTSE 100’s top faller after saying sales volumes fell in early 2023 due to destocking by customers.

Ocado was the top riser as investors continued to pick the stock up after the premium food retailer avoided demotion from the FTSE 100.

Vietnam’s inaugural ESG investor conference brings together diverse stakeholders to drive a better future

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Last week, Raise Partners and Vietcetera co-hosted Vietnam’s first ESG investor conference at the New World Hotel in Ho Chi Minh City.

Over the course of two days, speakers and panelists from across the private and public sectors discussed topics including securing development capital through an ESG lens, investing in decarbonization and Vietnam’s energy transition, and leveraging international resources for carbon market development.

“We had three goals with this conference,” said Mimi Vu, co-founder of Raise Partners. “Present ESG-lens investing in the Vietnam context across various sectors by hearing from different experts and stakeholders; identify investment opportunities within the many challenges faced by Vietnam; and connect potential investors and companies.”

Speakers covered the range from international development partners and corporations to financial institutions, venture capital funds, and startups.

They included the ambassador of Belgium to Vietnam, the consul generals of Australia and the Netherlands, and high-level representatives from businesses and financial institutions such as KPMG, Loc Troi Group, Marou Chocolate, HSBC Vietnam, Nestle, and LEGO.

Dynam Capital and Vietnam Holding was lead sponsors of the conference, and executive chairman Craig Martin delivered the opening keynote on ‘ESG Investment Criteria in Vietnam for Institutional Investors’.

He noted the opportunities inherent in the country’s ongoing urbanization, which will call for huge growth in housing, supermarkets, and other necessities of modern urban life, as well as the attendant challenges given the massive amounts of concrete and other resources this expansion will require.

Craig advised investors to use ESG as a screen to separate “the great companies from the good, and the good from the bad” when determining potential investments. And he called on companies to “do more, measure more, and report more” in order to effectively pursue ESG goals.

Later that morning Tran Phuong Ngoc Thao, Vice Chairperson of the Board of Directors and

Head of ESG Committee at PNJ, took part in a fireside chat on how ESG is a marathon, not a sprint.

“Our sustainable development mindset right from the beginning is to integrate the interests of society and other stakeholders into our business interests,” she said. “That has always been our cornerstone, our strong foundation for our development journey.”

Thao also discussed the importance of learning new corporate best practices as PNJ’s aims transitioned from broad sustainable development to more focused ESG goals.

“Our ESG journey officially started last year when the board of directors decided to from the ESG committee because proper leadership is so important to the future of the company,” she said. “The first step we do is set up the right governance because to transition from just practicing sustainable development as a requirement into being proactive, we need strong leadership and engagement from all stakeholders.”

On the afternoon of the conference’s second day, attendees split into two groups for a pair of workshops on the topics of ESG in agriculture and rural development, and ESG in manufacturing and industry.

In the latter session, Tran Phuong Nga, CEO of Thien Long Group, shared her company’s vision to be fully engaged in ESG and transmit this vision to customers.

“We must share data and show measurements for exports to 70 countries,” she said. “Meanwhile, we produce 1 billion products with many parts, and managing quality is a challenge.”

While tackling this challenge head-on, TLG has introduced a range of eco-friendly products across its destination markets. Nga admitted that these products tend to be more expensive than older items, but on the production side, the company has found ways to offset their cost.

“For example, we use lower-cost processes or materials where possible to offset the higher cost items, so we can sustainably produce more environmentally friendly products,” she said.  

Reflecting on the theme of the conference as a whole, Mimi said: “ESG is about intentionality and mindfulness; it is a deep and broad understanding of the literal and figurative environment in which you’re operating as an investor or a company, conditions that may positively or negatively affect your business outcomes, how to mitigate risk, and how to capitalize on opportunities that can help resolve social and environmental challenges that negatively affect the economy. ESG is just good and basic business practices that any successful investor or businessperson should adopt.”

Writing credit Michael Tatarski

AIM movers: Shoe Zone ahead of expectations and Barryroe Offshore Energy has three weeks to find cash

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Footwear retailer Shoe Zone (LON: SHOE) says trading was strong in May and early June and it expects to exceed expectations this year. There was early demand for summer products, which could just be a change in timing of buying. There were also lower transport costs that helped to improve margins. The profit for the year to 2 October 2023 should be at least £10.5m. The share price increased 10.7% to 232.5p.

The highest riser today is Itsarm (LON: ITS), which is surprising since the company has announced that its winding up petition will be heard on 26 July. Shareholders voted against cancelling the AIM quotation, but the board said that the company is running out of cash. The share price is up 115.6% to 0.485p.

Newly renamed Acuity RM Group (LON: ACRM), it was previously Drumz, has won a new customer for its risk management software. It is a leading British insurance company, but the initial order is small. There should be further opportunities generated by the company’s partners. The share price 11.4% to 9.75p.

Barryroe Offshore Energy (LON: BEY) warns that has around three weeks of working capital left after announcing it is no longer proceeding with the previously announced placing and open offer following the Irish government’s refusal to grant the lease for the SEL 1/11. The company is seeking additional cash for working capital, but if it is unsuccessful then it will probably have to go into liquidation. Trading in the shares is likely to be suspended on 3 July because the 2022 accounts will not be published by then. The share price dived 36.4% to 0.35p, which is a new low.

Selling this morning has hit the LungLife (LON: LLAI) share price, which fell 33.7% to 27.5p. Earlier this week, the California-based lung cancer detection technology developer published a positive study of the technology’s lung biopsy diagnosis and assessment performance. The initial six trades were sells valued at between £525 and £2,700, so they were not large. Later in the morning there was a purchase worth £1,942 at 25.9p, which was lower than all but one of the selling prices of the previous trades. They ranged from 22p to 40p. There was one other trade this week, which was on Thursday at 40p a share.

Graphene technology developer Versarien (LON: VRS) reported a higher interim loss of £3.4m on lower revenues. There was cash of £760,000 at the end of March 2023 with £530,000 added since then. However, the cash outflow from operating activities in the past six months was £1.83m, so that needs to be stemmed. Total Carbide and AAC Cyroma could be sold. The share price slipped 29.3% to 3.325p. This follows a sharp recovery from the low of 1.03p a few weeks ago.

Indian port operator Mercantile Ports and Logistics Ltd (LON: MPL) raised £8.9m from a placing and subscription at 3p a share from investors including existing substantial shareholder Hunch Ventures and Investment Private Ltd. A retail offer could raise up to £1.2m at 3p a share and will be open until 4.30pm on 12 June. The minimum subscription is £250. The share price declined 17.7% to 3.5p. Hunch Ventures owns 36.2% of the enlarged share capital. This cash will strengthen the balance sheet and put management in a stronger position when it is renegotiating its debt facilities.

Financing approach to Amigo

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Pay day loans company Amigo Holdings (LON: AMGO) has received an approach from financier and shareholder Michael Fleming. He wants to attempt to explore possible debt funding for the business. At one point the share price more than trebled, but it has fallen back to 0.625p, which is still a 92.3% increase.

Management announced a solvent wind-down of the company back in March when it failed to secure an additional £15m of funding.

Michael Fleming has been granted exclusivity until 6 September. There is no certainty that the search for new funding will be successful. Amigo will continue to sell assets. There is unlikely to be any cash left to distribute to shareholders.

Fully listed Amigo was suspended from lending by the Financial Conduct Authority in 2020.